Lawrence Wollershein commented on Evaluating the Green New Deal, Visions and Contradictions 2019-03-22 08:51:12 -0700Thank you for your detailed and thoughtful comments, Steven. Whilel US nonprofit organizations cannot legally endorse any political parties, we can speak about political platform positions and proposed policies. I think you will find that if you will read the recently updated Job One Plan on our website you will find many (but not all) parallels to your organization’s positions and goals. It is also our hope that you would spread knowledge of our website and our work on global warming to your peers in the Green party network because there are so many parallels in our goals and policies for reducing global warming and saving humanity from extinction. Sincerely,
Job One executive director
Lawrence Wollershein commented on P1: How to protect yourself from escalating global warming disasters 2019-02-19 15:36:04 -0800I found some additional from the Climageddon book to respond to your comment about nuclear energy being part of the mix. The three different areas are in separate quotes.
“There also could be a survival-critical point where we will have to be open to the possibilities of any existing or new technology, even if that technology seems improbable or far-fetched. Stating that we may have to use wise and appropriate technology solutions does not negate the serious warnings (Part 2, Chapter 2) about an overly-optimistic or distorted over-reliance on new technology solutions as the main way we end the global warming emergency without first and also changing our polluting and destructive fossil fuel-consuming ways.
Among many new technology possibilities, we may even have to use distasteful or disruptive stopgap measures on the way to restabilizing the climate, provided that we have a high certainty these temporary measures will not have even worse side effects! For example, fourth generation nuclear breeder reactors, if perfected, are supposed to use and burn the spent existing nuclear waste now being stored at great expense and risk. They will turn stored nuclear waste into a byproduct with a radioactive half-life of just 300 years instead of the average ~10,000 years for many kinds of existing nuclear reactor waste.”
“Keeping carbon emissions at or below the already unsafe level of carbon 450 ppmv will not be achieved by any conservation, increased energy efficiency, or other gradual fossil fuel reduction tactics currently being implemented. To maintain our current standard of living with our growing population without further exacerbating global warming, a new, non-carbon polluting nuclear power plant would have to be built every day. Because this is not currently happening and, in fact, may be impossible (even if it was a fully desirable solution), the only remaining solution to radically reducing fossil fuel use is economic collapse.”
“Fund appropriate technologies to help us rapidly achieve complete global green energy generation by 2026. Appropriate new technologies will have a major role in the long-term retooling and reorientation of our economy to facilitate the final transition to green renewable energy. It can improve smart grid systems, energy storage capabilities, electricity-based mass transportation, retrofitting buildings, sustainable agriculture, zero waste, and more. Appropriate green technology can even help provide access to cleaner, greener, cooking for the poorest 3 billion people who spend hours each day collecting solid biomass fuels and burning them for cooking.”
“d. Fund other new technologies as an emergency backup if we fail to meet the two critical 2026 targets (mentioned above), but only after we have funded the actions above. This is our last chance plan for when all other remedial actions of the Job One Plan have failed to slow or lessen escalating global warming and we are about to go over the climate cliff into irreversible global warming and Phase 2 of the Climageddon Scenario.
In spite of the grand promises new technologies may offer in helping us reach 100% global green energy generation faster, there are critical warnings about any rushed or desperate implementation of new technologies. When used for last chance geoengineering such as pulling carbon pollution out of the atmosphere, it will be at our peril.
The key warnings about using new technologies to resolve the global warming emergency are: Do not allow new technologies to lull us into a false sense of comfort that we can continue to pour more carbon and methane pollution into our atmosphere—or preserve the dying fossil fuel energy generation business model. The emphasis on the development of these new technologies must always be to move past the fossil fuel energy generation age. There can be no turning back! We have entered the age of green energy generation, and we need to go forward full speed to get us out of the existing escalating global warming emergency. Do not blindly believe that potential remedial geoengineering technologies will save us from what is coming. Relying heavily on miraculous new technologies to save us is a dangerous strategy and should never replace the primary focus of doing the most in-harmony-with-nature actions and the other systemic actions recommended in the Job One Plan. These actions do not carry the potential disastrous side effects of many new technologies employed as last chance solutions implemented in the most desperate of times and situations. We must never forget that almost all new technology is based on mechanical, three-dimensional engineering principles that are far simpler than the principles of complex adaptable systems like the biological and climate systems of our precious planet. Engineering is generally a simple and linear three-dimensional set of cause-and-effect actions. Biology and the climate are complex adaptable systems with nonlinear, self-organizing, and unpredictable spontaneously emergent qualities. They should be seen as having many more non-cause-and-effect “dimensions.” They also have far more unknown and complex tipping points, interconnectivities, and interdependencies than are found within the limited mechanical rules and solutions characteristic of the nonliving, mechanical world. When one blindly applies mechanical solutions to complex adaptive systems such as our biological and climate systems, the results are usually unpleasant surprises in the form of unintended negative consequences. Never allow our individual or collective hubris about our many great mechanical engineering accomplishments to blind us to the risk of overlooking the possibility that new mechanical technology solutions applied to global warming’s complex adaptable systems may in fact produce equal or even greater damage than the problem they’re meant to solve. For example, placing massive amounts of sun-reflecting particles into the complex adaptive system of the atmosphere and global climate is being widely discussed as a mechanical new technology solution to the global warming emergency. What if, as an unintended side effect, those particles blocked the normal rainfall in a nuclear-armed country like China and caused immediate mass starvation and death? With its own population dying before its eyes, where do you think the Chinese government would point its nuclear weapons, or from whom would they demand immediate restitution? The unintended risks could easily and quickly get out of hand, leading to unpredictable and potentially worse consequences if any of the nations harmed have nuclear weapons. Additionally, once our ecological and climate systems have been stressed beyond their respective tipping points and points of no return, it will be far too late to develop or deploy any technologically useful geoengineering repair or cooling mechanism. For additional information on the many problems and dangers of geoengineering solutions to the global warming emergency, see these articles by Andrew Revkin,111 Chelsea Harvey,112 and John Vidal.113 New technologies directed toward maintaining fossil fuel use should never become a fix, substitute for, or cause a delay in the rapid transition from fossil fuels to cleaner, healthier green energy generation. Using technology to strip out the ongoing pollution damage to our atmosphere done by fossil fuels in order to continue using fossil fuels is equally foolish and inhibits or delays resolving the real cause of the problem. New technologies should not be used to extend the use or lifespan of fossil fuels by increasing fossil fuel consumption efficiency or conservation. Research has repeatedly shown that using technology to increase fossil fuel consumption efficiency or conservation increases overall fossil fuel use rather than reducing it. This is because of the economic savings that increased fossil fuel energy efficiency or conservation provides, acting to create more cash resources to buy or use more things dependent upon using more fossil fuels. This is known as Jevons’s paradox.114”
Lastly be sure to see our website page http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/carbon_capture_won_t_save_us_in_time
Lawrence Wollershein commented on What are today's REAL annual personal, business and national fossil fuel reduction targets? 2019-02-12 12:31:01 -0800Dear Herb,
If you can show us where any non-natural biological or chemical technique of carbon capture can scale up safely to handle I trillion tons of atmospheric carbon to meet current HONEST atmospheric carbon reduction targets and deadlines to prevent the Climagedon Scenario from passing from phase 1 to phase 2 and, there are no equally or worse side effects from either the process of extraction or the results of carbon extraction, we would be very open to reviewing the science.
Lawrence Wollershein commented on The 5 most important global warming facts that can save your life, your business and your loved ones! 2019-02-19 15:42:52 -0800Keep exploring our website and get the Climageddon on Amazon.
We’re telling a very difficult truth about global warming and more and more people and organizations are realizing what we’re saying is accurate and real.
Lawrence Wollershein commented on We’re Losing the Global Warming and Environmental Protection Races: “So, What Do We Do Now?” 2019-01-11 10:42:56 -0800Dear Ed,
Your comment should be read by everyone who visits our website. I am doing my best to address these issues along with my partners and other nonprofit organizations. We will be facing the chain of problems that you describe and we need to quickly acknowledge the reality of what is coming.
Hopefully, you and others will join with us in proposing ideas and solutions to do whatever we can while we still can.
Within a few months, we hope to publish a full update to the Climageddon book on Amazon that will better address some of the most important issues you have covered in your post. Once we have done that and updated the Job One Plan we will be actively looking for Job One volunteers to do whatever they can to implement the updated strategies.
Thank you for laying out the challenges of the future so clearly,
Job One for Humanity
Lawrence Wollershein commented on Signup Landing Page 2018-12-31 11:49:57 -0800What you say is absolutely true.
For more on the timeline see the following two pages in the given order: http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/irreversible_global_warming_is_here_now
Lawrence Wollershein commented on Conservatives deny global warming. Progressives deny how bad it's really going to get and how fast it's coming! 2018-11-08 09:32:35 -0800Here is a direct link to the MIT article mentioned in the comments above: http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/mit_says_it_will_take_400_years_to_get_green_energy_to_replace_fossil_fuel_energy
Lawrence Wollershein commented on Look out L Gore, Bill McKibben's and Michael Bloomberg, a new global warming education hero has appeared! 2018-10-16 11:45:19 -0700(The executive director of the Association of the Tree of Life Michael Mielke sent the following letter to Jeremy Grantham after reading the article. It is well worth reviewing for ideas on where we go next.)
“We’re Losing the Race: “So, What do We Do Now?”
This letter is a “compliment” to Jeremy Grantham’s “The Race of Our Lives, Revisited,” and suggests ways and means to deal constructively with its implications. It accepts the “Race’s” implications and expresses how we might engage the transformations required, as immediate as those need be, so that some livable futures for some parts of humanity may be engaged.
In “The Race of Our Lives, Revisited,” a philanthropist finally has explained that the overdetermined and interconnected crises of climate breakdown, ecological overshoot, and pervasive pollutions are not problems that can be solved or even difficulties that can be sufficiently addressed. Instead, Jeremy Grantham details how taking, making and wasting – our relentless extraction, production, then pollution processes – now yield predicaments we must endure. The difference between problems and predicaments is stark. Problems have solutions. Predicaments can only be managed.
The situation that remains – once too many humans take too much from our Earth, leaving too many poisons in our wake – is a predicament, and Grantham’s “Race of Our Lives Revisited” describes the unavoidable predicaments and necessary responses for collective survival:
Destroy the Earth or rapidly and completely decarbonize economies. (Page 2).
Gradual fossil fuel reductions mean coastal cities will be flooded and uninhabitable; ice caps will melt. (Page 3).
We are losing 1% of our global soil a year. There are 30 to 70 good harvest years remaining. (Page 3).
We have created a toxic environment not conducive to life, and toxics saturate our daily life. (Page 3).
There is simply no other way to manage these crises except for extensive and overarching governmental regulation and leadership in establishing restrictions and limiting poisons. (Page 4).
Even with optimistic assumptions and accelerating green technologies, i.e., decarbonized energy, the projected use of fossil fuels will still be 50% of energy consumption in 2050. The largest increase in CO2 levels was in 2017. (Summarized on page 13).
Grantham analyses several aspects of several more predicaments in the next 13 pages. It is easy to become overwhelmed by the intractable nature of the illuminated crises, particularly when almost all of them are getting inexorably worse. On page 28, however, Grantham explodes the bombshell:
“The greatest deficiency of capitalism is its complete inability to deal with any of these things.” A few pages later he concludes, “God help us. For we appear incapable or at least unwilling, to help ourselves, and our great scientific skills increasingly appear insufficient.”
To Be Resigned to Comprehensive Catastrophe:
“Is that Our Only Option?”
At first glance, it seems that Jeremy Grantham has argued that our Modern Wonder-world will end with “Hell and High Water,” while the water itself will be laced with toxic poison. He does not show any way out, nor does he provide a feel-good, unrealistic ending as do so many others. In other words, he tells it like it is, as too many green groups and most large environmental organizations have been afraid to do. In their case, decades of advocacy have been defined by the rule of: “Don’t scare the public!” They believe that if they do, then the public will freeze or give up. They have certainly believed that explaining the full truth of the dire straits we are in would interfere with getting money, membership, and related support.
For too long, the Reality of our existential situation attended by proliferating interconnected crises has been covered with fig-leaves or denied outright. The Truth of the matter has been tailored to continuing the economic system, the social system, and bowing to what has been called “political realities.” Yet, in order to deliver comprehensive catastrophe, all we have to do is to continue to act in ways that are “good, moral, and certainly acceptable.” Human self-immolation means simply continuing to turn the Earth into a waste stream behind our increasing and relentlessly increasing economic activity, while we eliminate the rest of Earth’s mammals, except ourselves and our domesticated animals.
We have no moral restraints that would stop complete self-destruction!
Despite a laundry list of crises, all requiring management, and not finally fixable (or even solvable), Grantham plainly states that salvaging some parts of a fractured future will require collective action, extensive governmental regulation, and governmental leadership. Clearly, individual actions and exhortations toward improved individual choices or individual behavioral changes will be futile. As they have been for the last few decades.
So, is there any good news? Or, do we just party until the Titanic goes down?
To Be, or Not to Be: To Do or Die
Perhaps there is a plausible way out of the cul-de-sac that is presented by the crises, stated and otherwise. The crises argue for collective action, extensive government regulation and governing leadership. In the USA, the unstated belief is that there is no possible way for the government to do what is necessary. Nonetheless, the major philanthropies, like the Hewlett Foundation and the Packard Foundation have five-year plans that are working to build political leadership and elected officials that can begin someday to start to propose the suite of policies required to salvage some part of our future and perhaps shards of civilization.
This is too little and too late.
It is widely known that one political party is moving as fast as possible to drive us off the cliff of oblivion, and the other party is not proposing emergency brakes to stop forward momentum. Somehow, though the idea leading philanthropies suggest is to support “green” and responsible politicians. But, (almost) no Congressional candidates are proposing actions at scale or reflecting the urgency and the breadth of the interconnected crises or looking to legitimately transform any of the conditions exacerbating the crises, the prescription does not change.
So, there seems no escape from the comprehensive catastrophe that is fast approaching. Something drastically different is needed. Consider Backcasting. Backcasting is reverse-forecasting. So, can we start with a specific desirable future outcome and then work backward to the present conditions?
The desired future outcome is the entire country working together cooperatively and with focused effort to eliminates fossil fuels as soon as is possible, at something like 10%/year. The economy and productive capacity of our nation would be focused on eliminating fossil fuels, stopping toxic release while cleaning up pollution, slashing extraction, functioning within frameworks of fairness and social justice in order to involve everyone, as we have in our past, providing benefits and incentives for population reduction, and much more.
The recent analogy for something close to this comprehensive effort was World War 2. In the peak of that war, in 1943, the necessity of the emergency meant that military outlays were about half of the entire economic outputs for contending nations: the USA 42%; the UK 55%; Germany 70%; and Japan 43%. So, how could this level of concentrated and cooperative effort be catalyzed now?
To begin with, who could rouse, educate, alarm, warn, and advise the people of this nation?
We could quickly eliminate most actors as possibilities for that role: politicians, business, green groups, climate activists, and any others who would normally come to mind. Without much thought, we would be left with philanthropy as the only actor that could possibly have the credibility, who would care about impending human catastrophe, who could muster the resources, and who could supply the advocacy that could possibly galvanize enough people who could come to grips with the numerous parts of the crises.
Philanthropy could devote a few dozen billion dollars over the next three years designed to hold the cultural conversation – analogous to the conversation that was unavoidable in the US in the 1850s concerning slavery, i.e., everyone was talking about it everywhere one went, where people met, where families dined, and where political conversations occurred.
To get to effective action requiring a cohesive and comprehensive political response, Americans must give themselves over to the collective political system, in the ways we did in World War 2. In order to do that, we must understand first that we have no choice because effective action must mean collective governmental action. Moreover, our very survival and the survival of our children are urgently at issue.
To get to comprehensive and cooperative effort, nothing less will suffice. That effort must be catalyzed by some entity who cares and who has the resources to make it happen. Those resources are at no one else’s disposal than philanthropy. Jeremy Grantham understands the scope, scale, and urgency of the interconnected crises that beset all of us. He explains how concerted governmental action is required to stave off the crises’ worst aspects. He could perceive that unless the American public is persuaded of the extant emergency, they will not motivate that collective action. Certainly, Americans do not grasp, much less recognize and accept that continuing our economic, political and social operating systems means comprehensive catastrophe. Similarly, the US is not conscious of how rapidly the transformations of our operating systems must take place if we are to create a viable future (since we do not have a viable future now).
Philanthropy can come to see – as Jeremy Grantham does – that large scale and urgent government action is now necessary, and that it is necessary for Americans to have that explained, and explained as unavoidable and immediately required. Just barely one human lifetime ago, America changed from isolationist to the leading Allied champion and changed overnight. The wake-up alarm was Pearl Harbor and President Roosevelt’s response to it. The nation responded.
The information, the news, the data related to the threats to our survival are all more significant and widespread than in 1941. Yet the nation must “get the picture,” then “make sense of it.”
Grantham gets the picture, and clearly so. There is no reason that philanthropy cannot follow his lucid lead. And then gather some of its copious resources. And then communicate, in ways that cannot be avoided, and relentlessly, the reality of what all of us face. The nation can be moved. The nation must be moved. Philanthropy can be catalyzed to come to our aid and succor.
That is their role, and they must see it. Jeremy Grantham can be their guiding light.
Looking back from a historical perspective, sometimes it seems that the future of a culture rests on the shoulders of a significant individual, or just a few. We believe that may have been true in the case of George Washington. Perhaps for Abraham Lincoln. Perhaps now, our future is in Jeremy Grantham’s hands and the fellow philanthropists who can see the need and respond to it.
We can ask, and we can hope that Jeremy Grantham answers the call."
Lawrence Wollershein published Startling research on how people respond to the possibility of the end of civilization and the extinction of humanity in Blog 2018-06-26 11:56:29 -0700
Startling research on how people respond to the possibility of the end of civilization and the extinction of humanity
When you hear how people in a study responded to the probability of extinction most of you will be shocked.
Lawrence Wollershein commented on Mobilization Partners 2018-06-09 13:14:52 -0700Dear Aleister,
Thank you for your courage in facing a very tough reality and your kind words about my new book, Climageddon. Your insight into sharing this difficult global warming emergency message with those of sufficient intelligence and spiritual grounding to face and help manage it
-is exceedingly wise.
Would you also consider two things? One, writing a review on Amazon about the Climageddon book. It really helps us reach more people with the message.
And two read more pages on our website particularly the recently upgraded Our Story. After you’ve done that sufficient examination of the near fully upgraded Job One Plan only on our website and not in the older version in Climageddon would you consider giving us your opinion and/or becoming a volunteer?
Sincerely, Lawrence Wollersheim
Lawrence Wollershein published Four ways your faith can help you survive and thrive through the coming global warming consequences in Blog 2018-05-09 12:15:38 -0700
We have thousands of previous blog posts describing the global warming emergency and how bad it will get. It is also time the Global Warming Blog to regularly post realistic positive perspectives on how we will get through impending climageddon. Please enjoy these new entries.
Lawrence Wollershein published Why the Movie Downsizing Should be Seen by Everyone Who Cares for the Environment? in Blog 2018-05-01 10:46:44 -0700
Alexander Payne the writer and producer of Downsizing, as well as Matt Damon and the other stars, deserve the highest environmental honors. It is obvious they took a lot of professional risks in making this clever film about the dangers of global warming.
Lawrence Wollershein commented on Climageddon Countdown Extinction Scenario 2018-04-13 16:32:02 -0700Hi David,
Thanks for your kind words about my book. If you get a chance, would you review it at Amazon. All you have to do is search the book title and follow the instructions and it will give you an opportunity to write a review.
Also regarding your comments I will look up my original research regarding page 156 hopefully in the next week or two and then post any corrections as needed at this location: http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/climageddon_book_support_navigation_center
And, I will notify you by private mail if a correction update is necessary.
Lawrence Wollershein commented on Contact 2018-04-10 16:11:37 -0700Hi Charles,
Thank you for your compliment and constructive criticisms.
I will take your criticisms to heart and use them for updates for the new Climageddon version and hopefully they will also go up soon on the Job One website in this area, http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/climageddon_book_support_navigation_center.
I would also ask you to go to amazon.com and write a review on Climageddon as well. The more people we get reading Climageddon the greater chance we will get more people dealing with Global warming reality!
I’m glad you like our Job One Plan approach in general. We are still tweaking the just updated Job One Plan which is found at http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/plan
Any help or suggestions you have in upgrading this plan would be deeply appreciated.
You can email them directly to me at manage@Joboneforhumanity.org
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Lawrence Wollershein published P3: Critical Government Actions to Reduce Global Warming in 10 most important website actions 2018-03-07 14:41:34 -0800
Job One Part 3: Critical Government-Driven Actions to Prevent Mass Extinction from Escalating Global Warming
(Please note that Part 3 of the Job One Plan (below) assumes that you have also read and understand why we are out of meaningful control of global warming for as long as the next 30-50 years. If you have not read the out of meaningful control document, click here and read what you first need to know why the government-driven action steps to prevent mass extinction described below are necessary immediately.)
Introduction to Part 3 of the Job One Plan
The following absolutely critical action steps can only be effectively enacted by politicians and governments.
In spite of what global warming reduction progress you hear touted in the media, the current global warming reductions are not occurring now at any level even close to the necessary levels that would keep us safe from extinction.
Hopefully, the government-driven actions below will eventually occur in part, because of the courageous work of individuals in the world's intelligence agencies with the courage and persistence to convince their national politicians that the accelerating global warming extinction emergency is a no-win game leading to certain extinction for most if not all of humanity and, intolerable conditions for those unlucky enough to survive.
Hopefully, our governments and politicians will eventually also act because ultra-wealthy individuals, corporations and philanthropies whose vast self-interests and assets will also drive them to use their influence to get our politicians and governments to realize that now (up until 2025,) is our last effective chance to respond successfully before we pass through the extinction level carbon tipping points of carbon 425-450 ppm, carbon 500ppm and carbon 600 ppm (parts per million in the atmosphere.)
All of the action steps of Part 3 of the Job One below are designed to:
1. immediately and radically reduce the unsafe carbon (and methane) atmospheric greenhouse gasses that are causing escalating global warming. The actual process to reduce our fossil fuel use is quite simple to understand. Next, we immediately cut back all fossil fuel use to net zero carbon. As we define net zero carbon, it means achieving net zero global carbon emissions by balancing our current measured amount of global carbon released from the burning of fossil fuels with an equivalent amount sequestered (removed,) but only through nature's own biological and chemical processes. (The targets, deadlines, and details for cutting back to net zero carbon will be described farther down this page.) By immediately and radically cutting back global fossil fuel use to net zero carbon as described in detailed targets and deadlines below, we can significantly slow many of the now unavoidable, 20 worst consequences of global warming long enough so that some of humanity and key parts of our civilization might then still find a way to survive as we approach the final carbon 600 ppm extinction level tipping point.
2. scale up green energy generation to replace fossil fuel energy generation as fast as possible to minimize economic and other hardships.
3. eventually, reduce all of the greenhouse gases back to the safe levels (carbon 270-350 ppm) that existed hundreds of thousands of years before the fossil fuel powered Industrial Revolution began. And, while we are working on getting to net zero carbon
4. enact an essential backup plan to salvage and transfer as much of humanity and civilization as is possible into the safest global warming zones because as things stand now, we are likely unable to prevent crossing the final extinction level tipping point of carbon 600 ppm. At least if we begin this salvaging transfer operation now some of humanity and civilization can survive. (This final catastrophic tipping point will be described in more detail below.)
The government-driven main extinction prevention action steps and sub action steps in Part 3 of the Job One Plan below are exponentially more effective and important to accomplish than the individual, family and small business action steps of Parts 1 and Part 2 of the Job One Plan because government-driven actions have the ability to multiply the impact of personal or corporate actions across the whole of their nations. However, the action steps below are also far more difficult to achieve than individuals or corporations acting independently.
In spite of their execution difficulty never forget, the government-driven action steps below are designed to do only what is absolutely necessary to slow and lessen many of our now unavoidable worst global warming consequence in the most effective and prioritized manner. They are designed to maximize the survival of as much of humanity as is possible and they are designed to salvage whatever we can while we still can. If executed in an immediate mass mobilization within all nations, they are our best chance to slow our crossing the final extinction level tipping point of carbon 600 ppm.
The extinction prevention actions below will without a doubt, disrupt our normal lives, businesses, nations, and economies just as the escalating global warming emergency is already doing and will continue to do now that the escalating global warming emergency has become the single greatest disruptor of the 21st century.
Think about all of the government-driven action steps below as dealing with the most important, painful and inescapable global warming survival truth. The only effective way to reduce our fossil fuel burning to net zero carbon in time to save us will be through the greatest top-down, government-directed mass global mobilization ever attempted in human history. When done correctly, this mass mobilization will transform our world from dirty fossil fuel energy use and generation into clean green energy use and generation as quickly as is possible.
We now must also face the chilling truth that we have avoided taking the necessary gradual fossil fuel reduction steps for almost 35 years. Because of that 35 years of avoidance, not only is the necessary cure going to be extremely painful, we may also still lose the patient. We must immediately and radically reduce our fossil fuel burning to net zero carbon or as much as 70 to 90% or more of humanity will go extinct in as little as the next 30 to 50 years!
As tough as that news is to hear, the painful cure of immediately and radically reducing our fossil fuel use, having a backup plan as well as doing the other key government-driven action steps listed below will be ultimately and infinitely, far less painful than the complete extinction of humanity and the end of our civilization.
Lucky for us, in Part 4 of the Job One, Plan you will find creative strategies on what you as an individual might be able to do to affect other individuals and organizations which could or do have the necessary current influence to get the critical government-driven actions listed below done before it is too late.
In case some of you were wondering why such an important role for our governments, farther down this page you will discover the reasons why these "last chance, save the future from extinction" actions must be executed primarily by our governments.
And finally, Part 3 of the Job One Plan is divided into two major sections:
Section 1: The most critical government-driven action steps needed to reduce fossil fuel use and slow the consequences that are now unavoidable. Hopefully, this will also slow our crossing the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point.
Section 2: As an essential backup plan, while the fossil fuel reduction action steps (described below) are being done, the governments of the world must also simultaneously begin moving critical resources, technology, infrastructure, and at-risk populations (who are willing to move,) to the far north or far south into the global warming safer zones.
Preventing Extinction Action Plan, Section 1
The Job One Plan Government-Driven Action Steps Needed to Reduce Fossil Fuel Usage, Slow the Consequences that are Now Unavoidable and to Slow Our Crossing the Carbon 600 ppm Extinction Tipping point
There is no longer any excuse or time for delay! Escalating global warming has already passed crisis levels and has already become out of control for at least the next 30-50 years. We are facing the most serious of possible consequences when we allow ourselves to pass through the final extinction level atmospheric carbon tipping point of carbon 600 ppm.
The following are the government-driven action steps we must do to slow or prepare for that very real carbon 600 ppm outcome.
Action Step A: Demand an immediate emergency meeting of the world’s political leaders to declare an international global warming State of Emergency and to enact new global warming reduction laws or treaties.
We cannot afford to waste another year, much less another 5-7 years, waiting for the next ineffective global warming climate conference like the UN Paris Climate Conference of 2015 (COP21). To grasp how ineffective are past 20+ climate conferences have been it is first necessary to see just how poorly our previous fossil fuel reduction agreements and actions have fared since we were first notified about the global warming extinction danger by our scientists over 35 years ago.
What has been hidden from you
1. We have actually increased fossil fuel use more this century than in the last two decades of the 20th century. To make this point alarmingly clear, more than half of all fossil fuel emissions that have been released in the last 25 years and parked in the atmosphere are more than were released in all of recorded history before 1990.
2. Even though we have had over 20 international conferences on fossil fuel use reduction, and we had international treaties since at least 1993 pledging we would reduce global warming, worldwide we still are about 67% higher in carbon emissions than the early 1990s. (Atmospheric carbon emissions is probably the best way to measure future global warming.)
3. In 2018 carbon emissions increased another dramatic 2.7% and they are projected to increase once again in 2019.
Yes, intentionally or through ignorance, our governments, the media, and most of the world's environmental groups have not been telling us the REAL facts about how what our REAL lack of any progress whatsoever in reducing the rate of fossil fuel use increases, much less the complete absence of any substantive reductions anywhere across the world in reducing atmospheric carbon. (If you don't believe we are telling you the facts about our dismal failure in reducing global warming over the last 35 years, click here to view a short video by climate Professor Kevin Anderson in a recent presentation to the Oxford University Climate Society.)
(If you do not understand how fossil fuel emissions of carbon into the atmosphere creates global warming, please click here for a set of simple illustrations and then continue reading...
From the preceding it is easy to see that we are already in an unacknowledged and dangerous global warming State of Emergency, we need to demand an immediate emergency meeting of the world’s leaders (in any forum possible,) to publically declare this State of Emergency in order that we can better acknowledge what this crisis means to the future of humanity and acknowledge the urgency for beginning the correct additional steps needed to resolve it and prepare for its now unavoidable consequences.
With a global public declaration of a worldwide global warming State of Emergency in place, the world and all its nations will be on notice, fully authorized, and legally and morally obligated to:
a. start preparing for its consequences,
b. create necessary new enforceable and verifiable laws or treaties and, allocate sufficient resources to resolve this escalating emergency before it is too late.
Supported by this worldwide declaration of a State of Emergency, we, as corporations, organizations, and individuals, will be more aware of the challenge and better able to mass-mobilize the necessary top-down-driven global actions before it's too late. This first declare a "state of emergency" step is important because, without mass public awareness that we are in fact, in a global warming emergency from our governments, there is little political will or urgency to act appropriately upon what this emergency now demands.
Click here to sign our petition for an internationally declared global warming state of emergency. (After 7 years of our organization demanding that a state of emergency be enacted, the United Nations IPCC has finally started calling escalating global warming an emergency but has not yet formally declared it an international state of emergency.)
If necessary, click here to read more about why this declaration emergency is so important.
Action Step B: At this same emergency meeting have the world’s political leaders declare new national and international goals and subgoals that will honestly resolve the global warming emergency when eventually achieved.
The following is what should have been done decades ago when we were first warned by our best scientists about the dangers of global warming.
These essential new goals for humanity's survival are:
Step 1: To do only what is critical and effective in the properly prioritized sequence to slow global warming enough through radical fossil fuel reductions to keep us from ever crossing the extinction tipping point of carbon 600 ppm. Crossing carbon 500 ppm the near-extinction tipping point (where all ice on earth will melt,) is the most slippery of slopes. It will move us rapidly toward and into the very high probability of crossing the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point and the last phases of the Climageddon Scenario.
Step 2: Once net zero carbon has been achieved we then need to then begin the necessary secondary actions (described farther below,) to further reduce atmospheric carbon ppm levels to the long-term temperature and climate-safer maintenance levels of carbon ppm somewhere between 270 and 350 ppm.
To keep us from ever crossing the unthinkable carbon 600 ppm extinction level tipping point taking us into phases 3-5 of the Climageddon Scenario, there are several additional and essential global mass mobilization targets deadlines and subgoals on how we successfully achieve the goal of not crossing the carbon 600 ppm tipping point, which also must be publically acknowledged and agreed to in the emergency meeting of our world leaders.
i. Mass mobilize to radically scale down and reduce all global fossil fuel use. The absolute minimum amount we need to reduce fossil fuel use to slow and prevent the processes of likely going extinct in the next few decades is as follows:
a. All industrially developed nations must reduce their total fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025 and then continue reducing fossil fuel use to net zero carbon emissions by 2035. Net carbon zero emissions in this solution means that no additional fossil fuel emissions are going into the atmosphere that are not also simultaneously being removed from the atmosphere by natural means. (Only about 20 countries produce 70% or more of the world's carbon emissions.)
Think of developed nations like most members of the G 20 group; Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, China, and India. (See technical note 1 near the end of this page for why China and India had to be included in the list of developed countries.)
b. All developing nations must maintain their total fossil fuel emission levels as they are at the beginning of 2019 and not allow them to go any higher. Then by 2045, all developing nations must also be at net zero carbon emissions. This allowance for developing nations to stay at the level they are now and gradually reduce down to net zero carbon emissions by 2045 is part of an essential justice and equity equation. The developed nations created their wealth by producing the far greatest majority of all carbon emissions in the atmosphere today, thus causing almost all of our current global warming emergency. (See technical note 2 near the end of this page for more about justice and equity allowances.)
Please note: There is much more information including what our individual, business and national annual targets would be, and the technical footnotes that will help explain any qualifications or other technical factors involving these targets and deadlines in detail. We strongly suggest that if you are a researcher or techie, go to this page and read all the qualifying information on these absolutely essential fossil fuel reduction levels and deadlines before continuing on...
ii. Mass mobilize to scale up to 100% renewable global green energy generation as fast as is technologically possible to replace fossil fuel energy generation. We need to bring new and existing green energy generation technology online and to full capacity at a speed of infrastructure transformation, deployment, and mobilization never before achieved in human history. Scaling up green energy generation to replace fossil fuel energy generation is going to be a tremendous challenge as described in this latest research from MIT. (Please note that this subgoal is focused only on global green energy generation, not merely building more efficient, less polluting electric appliances or electric cars that will still be getting their electricity mostly from fossil fuel energy generation.
iii. Radically increase natural carbon sequestration to help achieve net zero carbon. In order to save ourselves from the very worst consequences of escalating global warming, we must also rapidly engage and expand natural carbon sequestration actions that directly and effectively reduce and draw down the existing carbon ppm levels in the atmosphere while we are also radically reducing the global use of fossil fuels. Surprisingly, we can do this while avoiding unproven new technologies with risky outcomes.
Natural sequestration is the only way we should use to achieve net zero carbon because there are so many unforeseen or even worse consequences trying to use new technologies to remove atmospheric carbon to achieve net zero carbon. Natural sequestration does not need cap and trade laws as they are ineffective for the radical carbon reductions we now need.
By harmonizing with nature’s many existing mechanisms to reduce and “eat” carbon in the atmosphere and investing globally in reducing deforestation, promoting reforestation, land/soil restoration, restoration or enhancement of carbon sinks and agroecology, we can avoid the use of risky new technologies. We can also wisely use these existing natural technologies to increase the use of biochar and the successful implementation of other non-natural means of carbon sequestration such as improved and expanded carbon farming. For more information on carbon sequestration, see this article by Umair Irfan.
The global deployment of the above atmospheric carbon reduction and sequestering measures has the potential to reduce and offset 20% of the current emissions of CO and other greenhouse gases. As a side benefit, the more natural methods mentioned above will also create wealth for the poorest 3 billion. (Many of the above carbon sequestration actions will occur in our poorest nations and help provide work for many in those nations. Also, see ”the global climate’s heat-controlling systems and subsystems” here for more information on the Earth’s natural systems, many of which can be used to remove massive amounts of carbon from the atmosphere.)
iv. Immediately enact an agreement between all nations pledging to stop all current or possible future wars conflicts, covert operations, and the manufacturing, research or testing of any additional new weapons. The reason for this cessation of all global hostilities is that all absolutely of those resources will need to be refocused on the global warming extinction emergency if we're going to have any real chance and hope to create the necessary mass mobilization of all necessary resources to prevent extinction for most if not all of humanity. And,
v. Immediately begin to execute an orderly and well-planned salvage and transfer plan to move as much of humanity and civilization as is possible to support into the safest global warming zones. This is because as things stand now, we are likely unable to prevent crossing the final extinction level tipping point of carbon 600 ppm. If we begin this salvage and transfer operation now, while we still have time, at least a smaller part of humanity and civilization can possibly still survive. (More will be said about this critical salvage and transfer emergency backup plan below in Section 2 of the Preventing Extinction Action Plan.)
(Please note: if we do not hit the 2025 radical global fossil fuel reduction goals listed above there is now no mathematical way for us to prevent crossing the carbon 425-450 tipping point range which will lead directly to crossing the carbon 500 ppm tipping point where all ice on earth will melt! Beyond this very scary mathematical atmospheric carbon heat-producing certainty, there are numerous climate scientists who believe that crossing carbon 500 ppm is also inevitable because we will soon cross many of the other climate, biological and human system tipping points covered on the top of this page. The previously mentioned factors will lead to the inevitability of crossing the carbon 500 ppm tipping point does not even include the other accelerating global warming positive feedback loops already occurring throughout our climate system. (Positive feedback loops enhance or amplify changes; this tends to move a system away from its equilibrium state and make it more unstable.)
It is important to be realistic for future planning. The probability that we will cross the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point is very high. Additionally, the final window of opportunity to effectively slow crossing the carbon 600 ppm tipping point will close very soon (in a matter of just a few more years 2025 and not decades,) if we have not made the necessary and immediate radical fossil fuel cuts.) This is because of both the temperature momentum already "baked" into the climate system (the existing carbon 411 ppm level already in the atmosphere,) and the additional 3 or more carbon particles per million we continue to add to the atmosphere each year as we continue failing to adequately reverse our fossil fuel use.)
Action Step C: Have the world’s political leaders create essential new, verifiable, and enforceable laws and treaties to achieve adequate global warming reduction in time to save us from extinction.
Once our politicians have declared a worldwide global warming State of Emergency and have agreed upon national and international global warming reduction goals and subgoals, several categories of new national and international laws or treaties will be needed to ensure effective action. The categories of laws or treaties described below must be enacted simultaneously because they function as an integrated system, which will have the highest probability of success in the little time we have left to slow crossing the carbon 600 ppm threshold.
The many categories of new laws or treaties below are required in part because both the climate and human society are complex adaptive systems, so resolving the global warming emergency will require an integrated systems-level approach involving many categories of laws or treaties covering these areas. These new laws or treaties are also needed to successfully reach the critical subgoals of net zero carbon and 100% green energy generation as soon as is technically possible in a mass mobilization of humanity’s resources. Please note some temporary but strictly limited critical exceptions in immediate or complete reductions of fossil fuel use may also need to be temporarily allowed within these new laws or treaties for military use, space exploration, limited air travel, as well as other critical, medical, and chemical uses of these fuels.
If any area of the following categories of verifiable and enforceable laws or treaties is not enacted, the probability of achieving the necessary level of success in time to save us from going over the carbon 600 ppm battle line or one or more of the critical global warming tipping points is perilously lessened. If you think of enforceable and verifiable international and national laws or treaties as the most essential and critical fulcrum point that helps to maximize successful top-down-driven leverage to prevent humanity’s extinction, you will have fully grasped their true importance. This single step is by far the most important action step.
Here are the key areas of new, verifiable, and enforceable global warming reduction laws or treaties we must demand to be enacted:
1. Demand new national and international laws or treaties to create a revenue-neutral, Fee and Dividend-based global warming reduction program.
The Fee and Dividend plan will work because it puts a price on carbon fossil fuels use equal to their environmental damage and accomplishes this through market economy mechanisms. The Fee and Dividend plan’s rising fee on carbon pollution incentivizes a rapid shift from toxic fossil fuels to clean green energy. Its direct dividend payments to all those individuals, companies, and nations that reduce their fossil fuel use is the profit motive and self-interest key that will strongly incentivize the rapid transition to green energy generation essential to our survival.
This Fee and Dividend plan is also revenue neutral and not the investment banker-friendly, grossly flawed Cap and Trade program continually promoted by the fossil fuel industry, its lobbyists, investment bankers and the fossil fuel-related, owned, or influenced media
Fee and Dividend laws or treaties would quickly reduce greenhouse gas emissions by placing a fee on carbon dioxide (CO2) or equivalent gases. This fee would be levied against all fossil fuels at their point of entry into the economy.
Almost 100% of the collected revenue would be returned as a monthly, quarterly, or annual direct payment to every citizen, business, or nation that uses less fossil fuel energy or moves to green energy. Hence the concept that this fee is revenue-neutral. This revenue-neutral feature would protect low and middle-class citizens from the rising consumer costs associated with the carbon fee and the critical rapid transition to green energy generation. It will quickly spread the financial benefits of green energy transition to every area of the world.
In the U.S. current proposals would start the fee at $15 per ton of CO2 equivalent (3/4 of a penny per pound) and raise $10-$20 per ton each year (1/2-1 penny per pound). The fee would continue to rise until total U.S. CO2 equivalent emissions had been reduced to 10% or less of U.S. CO2 equivalent emissions in 1990. (The projected carbon fee is estimated to quickly reach $40-$100 per ton.)
To protect national businesses from actions of other countries that do not have or enforce equivalent carbon Fee and Dividend pricing mechanisms, a compensating border adjustment would be enacted. All goods coming from countries without a Fee and Dividend carbon price equivalent would be subjected to an equivalent compensating fee at the border of the fee compliant nation. Goods leaving a compliant nation for sale in a fee noncompliant country would be reimbursed that fee at the compliant nation’s border at the time of export.
No other program will be more effective and faster to adopt globally than the Fee and Dividend plan because it:
Financially stimulates low-carbon innovation and the creation of jobs in green energy generation.
Is the fairest current revenue-neutral method of motivating and mobilizing the critical and necessary high-speed transition to green energy generation and away from fossil fuels.
Offsets citizens' higher energy costs with direct dividend payments for conservation and going green.
Immediately and radically reduces emissions in all sectors and areas globally, thereby moving toward carbon neutrality (net zero carbon) by strongly incentivizing carbon pollution reductions and efficiencies.
Creates a stable, predictable carbon price benchmark for business planning and puts the carbon fee at the source (well, mine, or port). This way businesses don't directly absorb costs. Carbon fee border adjustments will also encourage other nations to price carbon similarly to avoid paying the difference at other national borders. This will help create a competitive and level fossil fuel reduction playing field amongst the nations.
Is not easily exploitable by investment bankers and other wealthy special interests who could easily use current Cap and Trade plans to delay or defer expanding green energy generation while continuing carbon pollution and while making vast fortunes buying and selling Cap and Trade credits for owners and Wall Street brokers. Think of Cap and Trade as the “business as usual” scheme of the wealthy few to maintain the status quo for as long as possible. Think of the Fee and Dividend plan as the fairest plan for the well-being of the many as well as the fastest possible transition facilitator to green energy generation for almost all of our energy needs.
Is quickly implementable and is a rational, transparent, and simple policy.
Will quickly generate widespread public support because of its direct and near immediate financial dividend payments.
Is a great policy tool that actually has an excellent chance of being implemented politically. This is because both liberals and conservatives can support it. What makes it an attractive policy for conservatives is that the program creates minimal bureaucracy and does not expand the size of government. Citizens are free to use their dividend as they choose, presumably in part to reduce their use of carbon, to offset the increased cost of carbon due to the carbon fee. Its appeal to liberals is that it will help keep the environment safe.
At every level where rapid and effective change away from fossil fuel dependence will be necessary, the Fee and Dividend program has the greatest hope of motivating and immediately mobilizing the necessary green energy generation, use, and effective energy conservation changes that will keep the greatest possible amount of fossil fuels in the ground forever. More importantly, no other known fee measure will as quickly or effectively lessen the escalating global warming emergency and avert crossing more global warming tipping points. (If you are still uncertain about the details of how the Fee and Dividend plan will work to finance the various actions listed above, please read this Wikipedia article here.)
What some of the carbon fees from the new Fee and Dividend program will be used for
In addition to paying dividends for reducing fossil fuel use, part of the Fee and Dividend plan proceeds will also help finance the following critical activities. In priority those critical activities are:
A. Fund a central, honest global broadcast center that would serve primarily to warn and educate. It would people about the current global warming emergency and provide accurate global warming education and public relations support in mass mobilization type campaigns on why we all have to comply with many difficult, painful and costly global warming reduction laws or treaties and other changes that will suddenly be enforced by our governments so that we may survive. Right now the public media is not telling the real story and too many of our climate experts and climate organizations are also not telling the real story because of political and economic pressure overriding their research.
This honest broadcast center and honest public educational process is critical because the general public is not at all ready for the rapid transition required, and the resulting radical changes in energy generation and energy distribution. It will take nothing less than a massive accurate global public relations and education program to help the general public understand why these rapid changes are needed, why these changes are beneficial to their futures, why individual self-directed actions alone are not enough, and why the escalating global warming emergency is everyone's worst enemy.
We can never forget that change usually evokes fear and the now needed radical changes will evoke massive fears. If there is not a massive government endorsed and funded educational and public relations program about why these difficult changes must be immediately enacted, the general population will become violent and revolt. Any politicians endorsing the needed changes will be thrown out of office if this educational and public relations step is ignored, and we will be back to zero and nothing significant will be done to further reduce global warming.
The financial dividends of the Fee and Dividend program will help lessen that fear and help stimulate adoption, but any sudden, radical, and costly large-scale change will still evoke intense fear, resistance, and counteraction. The successful use of large-scale public education and public relations is not unprecedented. A large-scale education and public relations program is exactly what was used to mobilize the United States in World War II and was foundational to its later victory.
Over time, the citizens of the world will be brought to understand, through these education and public relations programs, the severity, and immediacy of the challenge that the global warming emergency presents. These education and public relations programs must take place concurrently with top-down enforcement of the new global warming reduction laws or treaties. Although many individuals will quickly comply with their national laws or treaties, many others will not commit themselves to any collective effort to remedy this emergency unless they better understand why it is necessary. Over time, this global education and public relations campaign will help the current culture’s transition from the dying fossil fuel age into the life-promoting green energy age. If this global education and public relations campaign is done correctly, the population of the world will begin to feel a powerful sense of common and collective destiny and high moral purpose, knowing their rational actions are saving themselves, their children, and future generations.
B. Create a national and international new job transition training and recovery subsidies and funding that would assist all individuals, businesses, and nations that will suffer significant financial losses or closures because of the rapidly falling use of fossil fuels. For example, these Fee and Dividend revenues will help assist developing nations to stop using fossil fuels and leapfrog over building or expanding any current fossil fuel energy generation systems directly into building or expanding green energy generation systems like solar or wind power.
We cannot forget to financially subsidize and actively assist all of those individuals, businesses and nations who will be harmed financially in this rapid transition away from fossil fuels. This support would include providing new job training in positions for the new green economy or for positions in other industries.
Points A and B above deal with the critical political and practicality issues of getting the radical reductions in global fossil fuel use executed successfully before 2025. Without these two things being done simultaneously with the radical fossil fuel reductions, there is little to no possibility those individuals and industries who will be severely adversely affected will ever politically allow those reductions to happen --- even if they know it means their own later and eventual demise.
C. Fund appropriate technologies to help us rapidly achieve complete global green energy generation as soon as is technologically possible. Appropriate new technologies will have a major role in the long-term retooling and reorientation of our economy to facilitate the final transition to green renewable energy. It can improve smart grid systems, energy storage capabilities, electricity-based mass transportation, retrofitting buildings, sustainable agriculture, zero waste, and more. Appropriate green technology can even help provide access to cleaner and greener cooking for the poorest 3 billion people who spend hours each day collecting solid biomass fuels and burning them for cooking.
Appropriate new technologies are not some new upgraded version of nuclear power or scaling up the older versions of nuclear power. Nuclear power is not the solution. It is another cool new set of problems that avoid the real solution which is radically reducing global fossil fuel usage to the levels mentioned above. Additionally, there is no possible way to physically scale-up building enough new nuclear reactor energy generation capacity to replace ALL of global fossil fuel use in the amounts needed (mentioned above) and, in the time needed to save us from the worst consequences that will occur over the next 30-50 years.
D. Fund other possible new technologies as an emergency backup plan if we fail to meet the two critical scale up green energy and scale down fossil fuel use targets (mentioned above); but only after we have first well funded the actions detailed above. This is our last-chance-plan for when all other remedial actions of the Job One Plan have failed to slow or lessen escalating global warming and we are about to go over the climate cliff into out of control global warming and Phase 2 and 3 of the Climageddon Scenario.
In spite of the grand promises that are being touted about how new geoengineering technologies may help us suck carbon out of the atmosphere, there are critical warnings about any rushed or desperate implementation of these new and unproven technologies. A myriad of unsolved problems attend the proposed “geoengineering” technologies, not the least of which is they are still in the “theoretical drawing board stage,” have no economically proven working models, they cannot be scaled to draw down carbon as computer modeled, and much more.
Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs) are particularly troublesome, and these currently nonexistent technologies are built into current IPCC prediction models. One overwhelming reason they are not feasible any time soon is that some examples of them require growing carbon crops on land the size of India, each and every year for decades. The world does not have anything close to this amount of land to lend to a carbon capture scheme, because the land is already being used for food crops for human use and consumption. When the choice is starving hundreds of millions of people to grow carbon-capture crops to remediate what humans did in the past, then we must say that this plan is non-sense and look for other technologies. And as Professor Kevin Anderson explains in his lucid video in March 2017, that nonsense is just what many of the international IPCC models now suggest.
The key warnings about planning for nonexistent or economically unproven new technologies (particularly those that will save us by sucking carbon out of the air,) to resolve the global warming emergency are:
We cannot allow new, nonexistent or economically unproven technologies to lull us into a false sense of comfort that we can continue to pour more carbon and methane pollution into our atmosphere—or preserve the dying fossil fuel energy generation business model. The emphasis on the development of these new technologies must always be to move past the fossil fuel energy generation age. There can be no turning back! We have entered the age of green energy generation, and we need to go forward full speed to get us out of the existing escalating global warming emergency.
Before demonstrations at scale with proven economic viability, we cannot expect that “theoretically drawing board” of geoengineering technologies will save us from what is coming. Relying heavily on miraculous new technologies to save us is a dangerous strategy and should never replace the primary focus of doing the most in-harmony-with-nature actions and the other systemic actions recommended in the Job One Plan. These actions do not carry the potential disastrous side effects of many new technologies employed as last chance solutions suggested in the most desperate of times and situations.
We must never forget that almost all new technology is based on mechanical, three-dimensional engineering principles that are far simpler than the principles of complex adaptive systems like the biological and climate systems of our precious planet. Engineering is generally a simple and linear three-dimensional set of cause-and-effect actions. Biology and the climate are complex adaptable systems with nonlinear, self-organizing, and unpredictable spontaneously emergent They should be seen as having many more non-cause-and-effect “dimensions.” They also have far more unknown and complex tipping points, interconnectivities, and interdependencies than are found within the limited mechanical rules and solutions characteristic of the nonliving, mechanical world. Frequently, applying mechanical solutions to complex adaptive systems such as our biological and climate systems results in unpleasant surprises in the form of unintended negative consequences.
We cannot allow our individual or collective hubris about our many great mechanical engineering accomplishments to blind us to the risk of overlooking the possibility that new mechanical technology solutions applied to global warming’s complex adaptable systems may, in fact, produce equal or even greater damage than the problem they're meant to solve. For example, placing massive amounts of sun-reflecting particles into the complex adaptive system of the atmosphere and global climate is being widely discussed as a mechanical new technology solution to the global warming emergency. What if, as an unintended side effect, those particles blocked the normal rainfall in a nuclear-armed country like China and caused immediate mass starvation and death? With its own population dying before its eyes, where do you think the Chinese government would point its nuclear weapons, or from whom would they demand immediate restitution? The unintended risks could easily and quickly get out of hand, leading to unpredictable and potentially worse consequences if any of the nations harmed have nuclear weapons. Additionally, once our ecological and climate systems have been stressed beyond their respective tipping points and points of no return, it will be far too late to develop or deploy any technologically useful geoengineering repair or cooling For additional information on the many problems and dangers of geoengineering solutions to the global warming emergency, see these articles by Andrew Revkin, Chelsea Harvey, and John Vidal.
We also cannot expect to extend the use or lifespan of fossil fuels by increasing fossil fuel consumption efficiency. Collective experience and research has repeatedly shown that using technology to increase fossil fuel consumption efficiency or conservation frequently increases overall fossil fuel use rather than reducing it. This is because of the economic savings that increased fossil fuel energy efficiency or conservation provides, acting to create more cash resources to buy or use more things dependent upon using more fossil fuels. This is known as Jevons’s paradox.
In further qualification to what is been said in the section above, it is necessary to state that:
a. While carbon capture technology will not save us from the unavoidable consequences now coming towards us due to the laws of physics and cause-and-effect, at the end of the 21st-century and in the following centuries carbon capture technology will be essential to gradually reduce carbon PPM levels back down to the life-compatible safe zone from carbon 272 carbon 350 ppm. If we do not gradually scale up carbon capture we may not be able to save even the 1 billion or fewer survivors of this emergency as the decades pass.
b. New technology will always play some role, but not the role everyone is hoping for --- the role of the miracle last-minute savior. The essential role that new technology will play will be in providing breakthroughs that will allow increased food production in the poor soils and the sunlight-poor growing seasons of the far north and the far south. New technology will no doubt also provide new solutions to moving our infrastructure to the safe zones as well as creating new types of more sustainable infrastructure and energy generation and use. New technology will also supply many other breakthroughs that will facilitate those who do survive living longer and more comfortably.
2. Demand world political leaders require their respective national intelligence agencies and national security agencies take immediate and full responsibility for re-analyzing current global warming research and rapidly reporting the updated security threats, predicted consequences, and new timetables.
It's time to stop engaging in the false hope that the underfunded Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change of the United Nations (IPCC) can or should be taking on the lead research and analysis responsibility for the future of humanity or producing accurate reports which include tipping points!
It's time to recognize and publicly “reassign” the full final responsibility for creating a complete and accurate risk analysis for the current and future security threat levels of the global warming emergency to our respective national intelligence agencies and national security agencies.
There are many good reasons for “transferring” those senior global warming research and analysis responsibilities
The IPCC has failed to carry out its mandate effectively. (Click here to see more about this.)
Escalating global warming is the one common security threat to all nations, which if not managed correctly, will eventually destabilize our global civilization. The best and brightest of the intelligence agencies analysts already know much of what's in the new Climageddon book. They also know that if they continue to fail to properly inform their politicians to protect the world, they also fail to protect their nation and their own families. In general, there is sufficient intellectual capability and access to accurate information available, along with qualified, self-interested people within intelligence agencies. They know escalating global warming is the ultimate no-win game where we will all come to a painful end if their politicians do not have all of the non-politicized facts and then act effectively to protect and preserve our common well-being. The intelligence agencies already know that if the global warming emergency reaches late Phase 3 or Phase 4 of the Climageddon Scenario, it is the beginning of the end of civilization itself! Because of the sheer power of self-preservation, it is realistic to believe many courageous individuals within our intelligence agencies will sooner or later fight through whatever bureaucratic or political resistance exists to ensure their respective politicians fully understand that global warming is the largest single and escalating security threat the world faces in the 21st-century.
Intelligence agencies have the mandated first and final legal responsibility to speak truth to power. Excluding global thermonuclear war, escalating global warming is the single most serious risk to both national security and humanity. Therefore, the responsibility for accurate global warming risk analysis and reporting to our political leaders must be “re-assigned” to respective national intelligence agencies and national security agencies. These intelligence agencies are also ethically obligated to present this security information clearly and simply enough to their respective politicians so that they fully understand the scope and scale of all risks, time frames, and consequences involved.
Intelligence agencies of the world have the budgets, resources, research capabilities, and expert analytic capabilities to do these annual risk analysis updates far better than an easily politically influenced and grossly underfunded agency like the IPCC. Our well-funded intelligence agencies are far more capable of accessing and hiring the best climate scientists and related researchers to quantify the escalating security threat of global warming than any other existing entity or organization.
The politicians of any nation whose intelligence agency has produced such reports and briefings will tend to give those reports and briefings more credibility and legitimacy than any presented by an underfunded, under-resourced, and expertise-challenged UN agency. Consequently, it would be immeasurably more difficult for our politicians to ignore these credible dire warnings.
Having global warming reports produced by national intelligence agencies would also help to educate and motivate the public. The key issue is “believing” the truth that we are in the middle of a global warming emergency of the scope, scale, and urgency presented here. In 1941, the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor. President Roosevelt used this as the catalyst to engender a US mass mobilization for warfare. Most people don’t recall that Roosevelt had begun planning and preparation for this mass mobilization and the military was ready to swing into full-scale action. Business was ready to support the effort. Currently, with our fractured political system, and with mobilization to leave the fossil fuel era remote and still only a suggestion, the first issue is to provide the optimal credibility mechanism so that the US and the nations of the world, along with their citizenry can “believe” that immediate mass mobilization is truly necessary. The Job One Plan suggests that national intelligence and national security agencies can best substantiate the reality of the dire crisis we find ourselves in as described here and that they are the most likely organizations and entities that can be “believed.” Having these highly credible sources educate the public on why radical fossil fuel reductions must take place immediately is critical. This public education factor could also have the beneficial side effect of creating a more accurately informed citizenry, which will better hold their politicians to account for any delays in taking immediate action to resolve the global warming emergency.
Regular reports and briefings from respective intelligence agencies may well be crucial for political systems and their respective publics. For some time to come, it will likely be necessary to both combat and neutralize the anti-science, climate denial propaganda machine abundantly financed by a dying fossil fuel industry. These intelligence agency reports would also serve to validate and confirm good climate science, as well as accurate consequence prediction models and time frames. This validation and credibility factor will be indispensable to politicians as they ask their citizens to make the many costly, difficult, and radical sacrifices now needed in order to save humanity and civilization.
Despite the military entanglements and extreme nationalism that pervades the histories of national security and intelligence agencies, the Job One Plan asserts that humanity has no better current mechanism for persuading the world’s political systems and the public that the common enemy the escalating global warming emergency is real. There are no more credible organizations available to illuminate the overwhelming common plight we all face. While climate scientists and related disciplines have provided the complex information basis that asserts that the global warming emergency is actually at the scope, scale, and urgency explained herein, the unfortunate reality is that the “relatively” uncomplex information related to the global warming emergency is both disputed and obscured by vested financial interests. Trillions of dollars are at stake for the dying fossil fuel industry, and it will be defended. Therefore, the world’s intelligence agencies are one of the best last remaining options for both correcting the IPCC’s underestimations and other flaws as well as for establishing high credibility for the correct global warming information.
3. Have the world’s political leaders demand annual global warming updates from their respective intelligence agencies, which going forward will always include projection scenarios related to crossing more tipping points.
In spite of the escalating emergency, global warming update reports are far too infrequent (about once every 5 to 7 years from the IPCC). Carbon ppm levels are rising when they should be dropping dramatically. Each increase in carbon ppm in our atmosphere again tolls the warning bell of IPCC failure.
Unfortunately, by continuing to rely on the IPCC for accurate global warming information, we are doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result—the classic Einsteinian definition of insanity. Our tipping point prone escalating emergency is far too dangerous and moving far too fast to not have annual updates by the most qualified parties with the greatest resources and vested security interests.
We must also create a comprehensive global warming annual risk report that will include the consequences of crossing global warming tipping points. By having every intelligence agency in the world produce an annual national update on the current state of the escalating global warming emergency for both politicians and the public, we would also be creating inherent checks and balances against underestimation, errors, or intentional deceit by rogue intelligence agencies, outlier governments, or conflicting nongovernmental organizations.
These multiple annual reports coming from many different intelligence agencies would quickly expose any nation hiding critical global warming information for their own temporary benefit. In time, these national intelligence agencies and the individuals within them would also see the many benefits of cooperating on research and sharing confirmable and comprehensive risk analyses.
Similarly, it would be against the interest of rogue national intelligence agencies to be caught hiding critical information or falsifying information for a perceived temporary national benefit when the other nations’ intelligence agencies publish their contradicting annual global warming reports. As an extra safeguard against deceptive practices, once the multiple intelligence agency annual global warming reports have been made publicly available, leading climate scientists from around the world can review them, looking for common patterns, omissions, or errors within and between these multiple intelligence agency reports.
Similar to the way the scientific method works in advanced scientific systems, peer review and consolidation by non-intelligence community scientists would reveal additional valuable information that single intelligence agencies might miss or misrepresent, as well as reveal omissions that could serve to inequitably benefit any single nation. The intelligence agencies that produce the most accurate annual global warming reports will gain prestige around the world and become the standard for credibility and reliability. For the best agencies, this will likely result in increased funding and budget discretion.
4. Demand new international and national laws or treaties that will provide government subsidies and incentives for expanding green energy generation.
We have to radically scale up green energy production and use—at least as fast as or faster than we are reducing fossil fuel energy use and generation to avoid total economic collapse.
Specifically, we will need to mass-mobilize the production and use of green technologies such as wind turbines, solar panels, high capacity non-toxic battery storage, hydrogen fuel cell or electric light-duty vehicles, and more efficient end-use devices, especially in appliances, lighting, air conditioning, and industrial processes.
5. Demand new international and national laws or treaties that will rapidly remove government subsidies from fossil fuel energy generation.
The fantastically wealthy $28 trillion a year global fossil fuel industry is much more dependent on global government handouts than is widely realized. In 2015, governments worldwide subsidized the fossil fuel industry with an estimated $5.3 trillion, giving this dying industry 50 times more than the $120 billion that went to renewable energy subsidies. Governments are thereby unconsciously paying for their nation’s global warming caused self-destruction!
Amazingly, some fossil fuel subsidies went to boost oil consumption. In effect, taxpayer dollars from around the world are being used to subsidize more toxic fossil fuel pollution, escalating global warming and its catastrophic and unhealthy consequences.
6. Demand new laws or treaties that will incentivize divestment from the dying fossil fuel energy generation industry.
The fossil fuel industry is dying as the green energy revolution continues to grow. While it may be difficult to accept these radical changes, this is as it should be. One important realization related to this change is to understand that the fossil fuel world will, by necessity die, if for no other reason than we cannot continue to run our world economies on lower quality, harder to get, dirtier, and more expensive fossil fuels. The reliance on tar sands, super-polluting processes like fracking, and dangerous super-deep drilling systems will only get worse in the near future. So, it is not a matter of “if” the fossil fuel era will end, but “when.” As the public begins to understand the urgent necessity of leaving fossil fuels behind, and as global warming emergency is increasingly illuminated and substantiated, fossil fuel-related industries will go the way of dinosaurs. Consequently, many people heavily invested in this dying industry will sooner or later suffer huge financial losses.
To prevent the unscrupulous from trying to unfairly profit from this dying industry, new laws or treaties need to be enacted to:
A. incentivize fossil fuel divestment and
B. punish those “gaming the system” to stop windfall profiteering on the sudden and rapid changes in production, pricing, distribution, carbon fees, or inventories that this dying industry will experience as fossil fuel use radically shrinks and the green energy revolution rapidly expands.
How might the system be gamed? As an example, the fossil fuel industry might hear ahead of its competitors that Fee and Dividend per ton carbon fees are going to go up again on a certain date on any fossil fuels that will be subsequently removed from the ground. Before the new carbon fees take place, a fossil fuel producer could accelerate its extraction process many times beyond normal by creating an out-of-the-ground large non-taxable inventory. This would allow that business to “game the system” and obtain windfall profits on the fossil fuels it just quickly stockpiled. The new laws or treaties must prevent all such activities.
7. Demand new laws or treaties to tax all fossil fuel profits at significantly higher rates.
Governments will need to provide a massive retraining of fossil fuel industry-related employees, as well as funding many retooling projects while subsidizing new green energy infrastructure. Considerably higher taxes on remnant fossil fuel profits may also need to be authorized and legislated.
8. Demand new international and national laws or treaties that mandate the creation of emergency recovery reserve funds equal to 5% of national GDPs.
This is necessary in order for each nation to cope with the rapidly rising costs of escalating global warming catastrophes. The modern world has never experienced the rising scope, scale, and frequency of loss and destruction that will continue to accumulate as global warming moves toward crossing more tipping points and deeper into the Climageddon Scenario phases.
Some estimates have suggested that if we survive, it will eventually take $200-$600 trillion dollars to repair the damage. To put that amount in perspective, that is roughly 4-6 times the total annual GDP of the entire world’s economic systems.! Unless we create a minimum 5% emergency reserve fund for each nation, it is difficult to conceptualize how will be able to constructively ameliorate continuing and escalating global warming catastrophe costs.
9. Demand new laws or treaties mandating that fossil fuel corporations pay for past and current environmental and health damages caused by their products.
It has been recently discovered that some fossil fuel companies like Exxon appear to have known their products were causing global warming damage and degradation for over 30 years. This suggests that a reasonable interpretation of their actions could be seen as knowingly harming or intentionally harming the health air, water, and land belonging to all of us.
If these allegations are “proven” by legal action, Exxon will be guilty of offloading the pollution damage and health costs of their products onto the citizens and taxpayers of their respective nations while they kept all the profits from their knowingly destructive acts. If this is demonstrated, the intentional harm projected upon the public should be seriously penalized, and appropriate restitution should result.
New laws or treaties requiring fossil fuel-related companies to pay for past and present health and environmental damage should be enacted at the same time as the other global warming reduction-related laws or treaties mentioned in this document. The governments of the world will need restitution payments as part of the funding to repair past fossil fuel damage and to facilitate the fast migration to clean green energy generation. Click here to see an article describing how to get financial restitution for damages you have suffered in global warming-aggravated storms.
10. Demand the International Monetary Fund, the World Trade Organization, and other power centers call for the immediate emergency meeting of world’s leaders, as well as facilitate verification and enforcement of global warming reduction laws or treaties.
Without a global government that has verification and enforcement powers, individual nations or corporations will have incentives to “cheat,” thus gaining competitive advantages. This is because they believe they are immune to outside verification, enforcement, or punishment.
Unless some kind of effective international mechanisms is put in place for global verification and enforcement of these new global warming laws or treaties, they will be as ineffective and toothless as the reduction pledges, promises, and intentions of the various IPCC conferences. Without strong verification procedures and globally enforceable penalties evenly applied to all structures and negotiated agreements, there is little hope we will change our ways in time and not go extinct.
Luckily, there are several strategic and innovative ways to ensure all global warming cheaters, treaty violators, or treaty non-signers gain no competitive or other advantages. Some individuals may initially be uncomfortable with bypassing the failed IPCC structures in the manner described below, but please keep an open mind.
We are in a desperate corner and forced to utilize the most effective methods with the right resources—even if the agents of this new solution are not perfect or have checkered histories.
If the solution proposed below makes you uncomfortable, after reviewing it ask yourself: What other current options have any proven track record or realistic hope of being more effective? We are potentially going to be trapped in the perfect storm of perfect storms. To adapt an old saying, we need to consider any port in a superstorm.
In the title of this section, we mention the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). These organizations already have a track record of facilitating the negotiation of international agreements and treaties. They also have a history of managing and In some cases, assisting with enforcing those international agreements or treaties. Additionally, many of the world’s largest corporations and nations have already developed some level of trust and confidence in their existing relationships with these organizations. If requested to do so, the World Trade Organization (WTO) could be tasked to:
A. help negotiate the necessary international global warming reduction laws and treaties with adequate verification and enforcement penalties,
B. arbitrate disputes over execution or implementation of resulting law or treaty enactment issue areas, or specific parts of these.,
C. set up mechanisms to verify that nations or corporations are complying with the negotiated global warming laws and treaties, and
D. impose fees and penalties on trade deals or trade items from any nation or corporation shown to be violating the global warming reduction laws or treaties; increasing trade penalties could accompany repeated violations to always ensure the prompt removal of any profit incentive for ongoing violations.
Also, if requested to do so, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) could:
1. collect and hold in trust all global warming law or treaty violation penalty fees,
2. Disperse global warming fees and penalties collected,
3.impose additional interest penalty fees on every existing bank loan for any nation or corporation caught violating the new global warming reduction laws or treaties; these increased interest penalty fees could also independently escalate with repeated violations to a level that replaces any cheating profits with equal cheating penalties, and
4. on the basis of repeated gross violations of global warming laws or treaties, nations or corporations could even be denied loans.
Additional tools and power centers for enforcing and collecting penalties on carbon pollution cheaters:
There are other well-established international power centers capable of penalizing any corporation or nation—across international borders—that might seek to cheat and violate the negotiated international global warming reduction laws or treaties. Among these power centers are the international and national banking transaction clearinghouses that handle clearing and processing of the world’s banking transactions.
Once these and similar international organizations act to collect violation penalties, here's how it would work. These banking transactional clearinghouses would impose a small additional penalty fee on every banking or checking transaction of any nation or corporation caught violating the new global warming reduction laws or treaties.
All collected transactional interest penalty fees, Fee and Dividend fees, and other fees or penalties could eventually be directed into the IMF or some other similar international banking organization that would act as trustee for holding all collected funds. These collected funds could then be dispersed to various areas (as mentioned above in the Fee and Dividend section). Proper dispersal of these funds could be overseen by qualified legal and accounting administrators, as well as a panel of global warming experts chosen from all nations.
11. Demand the governments of the world also start preparing to triage the tremendous psychological and emotional trauma that will be experienced by both climagees and survivors.
Because of the unimaginable trauma that will occur as global warming progresses and its worst consequences unfold phase by phase, there will be a special need for many more pre-trained and ready qualified, psychologists, psychiatrists, social workers, and ministers of all faiths. These individuals will be urgently needed to help everyone recover from the many either the forced or inhibited survival and migration-related traumas or, the deep survivor's guilt in those lucky enough to survive or get to safe zones in time.
If any of the best of humanity is to survive in the safe stones in reasonably healthy psychological or spiritual terms, this need for a massive healing and processing of the emotional and psychological traumas by an adequate number of qualified professionals must be planned in advance and taken into careful consideration.
In the face of the severe levels of trauma that will be experienced by politicians, administrators and the military who will have to make and enforce the life and death decisions at our borders and the many traumatized individuals and families trying to cross those borders or survive wherever they are, there is no other option but to anticipate this coming emotional and psychological crisis and start preparing for it immediately.
12. Ensure justice while executing all of the above action steps. For almost all of the above actions, those instituting the critical actions above must also take into consideration that there must be justice in this transition to a new clean energy world and economy. This also means a justice that benefits poor nations, people of color, displaced workers, and poor communities. It includes jobs with a family-sustaining wage and that maintain the right to unionize. This justice also includes an equitable response to the historical and present-day experiences of low-income communities, communities of color, indigenous communities, rural and urban communities and the front-line communities most affected by global warming.)
Preventing Extinction Action Plan, Section 2:
While fossil fuel reduction action steps are being done as described above, the governments of the world must also begin simultaneously moving critical resources, technology, infrastructure, and at-risk populations who are willing to move to the global warming safer zones in a wise, equitable and well-managed way. This backup plan is critical and needs to be enacted at the same emergency meeting of all world leaders described above in action step A above in section 1.
This step is essential because there are absolutely no guarantees anywhere or whatsoever that we will be successful in preventing our reaching the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point. In fact, it is far more likely we will cross this final tipping point than not.
Therefore we must have a security backup plan or Plan B, which prepares and plans for the worst possible outcome and so that we can still salvage whatever we can. This way some of humanity will at least be able to survive longer and hopefully, an essential portion of our collective civilization's advancements will survive and go on as well.
Here are the basic actions of this "salvage what we can while we still have time" step:
Action Step 1. Workout a migration plan and a fair and equitable migration lottery for all those individuals who had not already migrated. For our long-term future and safety, essential resources, infrastructure, and an essential genetic and social diversity population transfer plan will need to be executed at the same time as the other action steps above are being done. If things continue to go bad as they are now, this action step may turn out to be the most important to the future of humanity and preserving civilization.
Wisely managing an orderly global warming migration by our governments with a fair and just lottery will be critical. This is in part, also because of the poor soils and shorter growing seasons near, above or below the 45th parallel north or the 45th parallel south. Those areas of poorer soils and inadequate sunlight will not be able to grow enough food to feed all or even a significant percentage of our current human population so this well-designed, but fair and just lottery will be critical to the survival of humanity and civilization.
Even before the lottery begins, our best scientists must determine how much food can be successfully grown in those global warming safe areas and what the maximum allowable population should be carefully based on total amount of food needed for that existing population while also maintaining adequate food reserves for unplanned and unexpected contingencies. Once they have those calculations, they can set initial and or adjust lottery migration allocations as conditions continually change.
Even before we get and set the final number of people that the remaining global warming safe zones will support, we must also mass mobilize the necessary agricultural resources to scale up food production in the global warming safer zones for the rapidly increasing migrating populations coming to those zones as well as to compensate for the generally poorer soils and reduced sunlight in the safer zones.
One last thing must be said about the migration lottery. It cannot be hijacked or dominated by wealthy individuals, corporations or nations in the safe zones. No special or unique interest group must unjustly control or determine who is allowed to migrate based on privilege, position, wealth, politics or any other national, cultural or social categorization.
If it is not a fair and just lottery, based upon what is essential for humanity and civilization to survive the global warming meltdown as well as an equitable representation of all of the categories mentioned just above, then those who are left behind will riot and eventually bring about the end of everything by invading the safe zones with whatever nuclear, biological or chemical technology has been left behind in the unsafe zones. Those in any kind of decision power over who is allowed to migrate cannot be allowed to use their political, military or financial positions, advantages or privileges to place themselves, their families, friends, allies or business interests in any better position than any other individual citizen in the unsafe zones in these lotteries.
In the end, a random lottery winner selection methodology (that has layers of independent safeguards to prevent fraud, bias, and any form of selection favoritism,) draws only from a pool of the most qualified migrants with essential skills for the new world we will be living in and allows for the following types of necessary diversity; genetic, national, racial, ethnic, religious, cultural, sexual orientation, gender identity, rural/urban/indigenous and rich/poor. These qualifications and proper quantities will be carefully determined by our best scientists and ethicists.
This will be the only kind of migration lottery that will be viewed as credible and will work. Communities which are most affected by global warming damages which also have least contributed to the global warming emergency will also receive special consideration if true justice is to be served.
There are many good reasons for executing this last chance save humanity and civilization, migration lottery and infrastructure transfer backup plan simultaneously with the other steps described higher up on this page. Here are just a few reminders:
First, we are fighting for the very survival of humanity over the next 30 to 50+ years. If we fail to slow and lessen global warming enough to not cross carbon 600 ppm and, we also fail to move enough of our critical infrastructure and essential populations to the far north or the far south in time, most if not all of humanity and human civilization will end.
Secondly, Our fossil fuel "bill" has come due and there's no way to escape it. We now have to deal with the horrible accumulated consequences of the fossil fuel carbon pollution of our atmosphere for the last 200 years since the industrial revolution began as well as the additional accumulating consequences from fossil fuel burning over the next 30-50+ years where we will certainly reach the carbon 500 ppm level (and reach carbon 600 ppm extinction level.)
Thirdly, the fossil fuel pollution that we have now and that we will continue to put into our atmosphere for the next 30-50+ years will last for centuries to thousands of years! If we stay on our current path of "too little reductions too late," once we do finally stop our carbon pollution of the atmosphere, things will not get better for those who are lucky enough to survive for a very long time. Our children and future generations will truly curse us for our selfishness and blind stupidity as they suffer and wait for centuries to pass for their climate to re-stabilize and the atmospheric carbon parts per million level to drop back down to the earlier and safer carbon 350-270 ppm levels. (As mentioned earlier, we are now at about carbon 413 ppm adding about 3 additional carbon ppm each year.)
Forthy, the amount of emergency adaptation work needed and the short amount of time available (from now until about 10-30 years from now) makes this adaptation and preparation step an immediate planning and action imperative. Adapting and moving all necessary critical resources, technology, infrastructure specifically means moving them into the safer areas near or above the 45th parallel north or near or below the 45th parallel south. This will be a massive undertaking, which will require new levels of cooperation between nations never seen before.
This also means beginning to move potentially hundreds of millions to billions of individuals willing to migrate in the global warming unsafe zones farther north or farther south into the safer zones. This will by necessity and urgency become the largest mass migration in human history. This mass migration will be fraught with challenges and again will require international cooperation at unprecedented levels.
This Great Migration needs to begin right now because of its sheer scale and because of all of the necessary infrastructures that also must be simultaneously relocated in order for humanity to survive what's coming. This Great Migration also needs to begin right now because if we start now, it can be managed and orderly. If we wait until it's too late, there will be panic, chaos and severe conflicts if not all-out war as people desperately try to migrate far north or far south once they realize that what is happening today is not random bad weather, but it is an ever-increasing pattern of severe storms and other weather consequences that have not been seen for thousands if not millions of years.
By about 2029, at least 2-5% of the world's population about will have figured out that the wild climate fluctuations and extremes that they are witnessing are not random or freak occurrences. They will have figured out that the climate is destabilizing steadily and rapidly and, that the climate catastrophes we are already experiencing are showing a clear pattern of ever-increasing severity, frequency, and scale (the size of the area they are covering).
Once these hundreds of millions of people realize they need to get out soon or get caught in the chaos of crashing and soaring real estate, business and market prices depending upon which area you're leaving or moving to, they will migrate and they will migrate fast. Once they migrate others will see and hear about it and they will begin migrating so they too do not get caught with no place to move to, or few resources to get there because of crashing real estate prices and other growing problems in the unsafe zones.
To avoid the potential chaos of this necessary Great Migration not well managed by cooperating world governments, our world governments need to act and begin the massive infrastructure migration and well-managed people migration NOW not 10 years from now. (Part 4 of the Job One Plan has creative workarounds and other provisions for how we can get our political leaders to begin the action steps of Part 3 of the Job One Plan.)
And finally, to make this new fair and just lottery system work effectively, individuals already living near or above the 45th parallel north or near or above the 45th parallel south cannot and should not be removed to make room for others. This would only cause far greater conflict, delay, and confusion, which would further complicate an already massively complex undertaking.
Action Step 2: We need to ensure that nuclear reactors, nuclear and biological weapons, and toxic chemical manufacturing sites within the global warming unsafe zones are secured and more stable governments have backup plans in place for these contingencies as less stable governments and economies fall.
As global warming worsens inside the global warming unsafe zones the political systems and nations will destabilize and many of them will collapse. Once those political systems collapse there will be no stable and organized method for ensuring nuclear reactors within those areas do not melt down and go critical or that nuclear or biological weapons are not stolen or triggered, or that toxic chemical manufacturing sites leak out threatening not only the survival of regional area or nations within that global warming unsafe zone but also the very survival of the whole world itself.
Moving critical infrastructure also includes moving the world's artistic, architectural and cultural heritage from the global warming unsafe zones to the global warming safe zones for preservation as well. The best of our art, architecture, and cultures are also what makes us human and contain critical elements of our history that will help keep us going through this crisis.
Do not forget that the actions needed in this step can only successfully occur if the nations near, above or below the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south work together and cooperate with all other nations in the unsafe zones. If fear takes hold and they do not cooperate, the conflicts and wars that will occur between the global warming unsafe zones and the global warming safe zones will end humanity in nuclear, biological and chemical warfare far more certainly and far sooner than the later phases of the global warming emergency and the Climageddon Scenario.
We really do need to begin transferring critical infrastructure and willing populations from high risks zones immediately. There is so much to transfer and/or build.
There are several additional good reasons for using the least optimistic predictions for any backup plan as well as for recovery or long-term survival plans, they are:
2. The sudden, large-scale unpredictability that each additional crossed tipping point creates. (See this tipping point page or the tipping point chapter in Climageddon. Also, see the updated Climageddon Scenario details here.
3. We will be very, very lucky if the worst we get is anything close to only the IPCC’s current least optimistic consequence and timeframe projections! And,
4. You will probably lose your job and reputation as a mid to long-term planner if you fail to adequately plan for the new realities of the escalating global warming emergency.
(Please note that implementing the above essential backup plan also means that because we already have begun crossing critical global warming tipping points and will cross more soon, our local and regional business planners, city and zoning planners, long-term corporate and, governmental planners of all kinds must also begin radically restructuring their current 5, 10, 25 and 50-year plans, using the least optimistic and more honest climate prediction scenarios [found on this website here as well as in the new Climageddon book] for how and when the real consequences of escalating global warming will unfold. For example, in the San Francisco Bay Area, the headquarters of big tech corporations like Facebook, LinkedIn, and Apple, now have to readjust their long-term operational or relocation plans to deal with their low-lying international headquarters facing as much as 13 feet [3.9 meters] of sea level rise by 2100. This means that some of the billion-dollar high-tech Silicon Valley headquarters buildings will be experiencing first-floor flooding within as little as 20 to 30 years. [A worst case but far more realistic scenario of a 10-foot, 3-meter rise by 2050 was projected by James Hansen's newest research, with the additional 3-feet, 0.9 meters accounting for by coincident king tides and storm surges.)
There will be horrendous side effects as we radically reduce global fossil fuel use in the form of The Great Dying
Agriculture without fossil fuels for equipment, fertilizers, and pesticides will mean massive reductions in global food production. Initially, small organic farms will not be able to provide enough food for the world's current population much less the projected additional billions over the next 30 years. There also will be many other unforeseen and horrendous side effects and consequences from the rapid global transition off of fossil fuels.
There will be mass starvation when we rapidly come off our current fossil fuel empowered agricultural system. 50% or more of the human population could perish in the Great Dying and in the rocky transition from fossil fuel use to other substitutes.
Paradoxically, as we radically cut global fossil fuel use, we also may be finally creating the motivating conditions to get humanity to live within the limits of the carrying capacity of the earth. Ironically, the massive fossil fuel reductions may also teach us that infinite and continual growth economics is simply not possible in a finite space such as the earth.
No matter how bad the many side effects and consequences of the radical reduction in global fossil fuel use are, they will ultimately be far, far less destructive and less painful then the loss of most (if not all,) of humanity as well as our civilization.
Why only top-down government-driven mobilization is now essential for us to survive global warming
By this time it should be clear that to be successful with the Job One Plan, we need to effect massive high-speed change through top-down action. We cannot resolve this global warming emergency and save ourselves in time without a mass mobilization of the world through:
- government and/or internationally verified and enforceable laws and treaties and
- massive education and public relations programs on governmental, corporate, and social levels to convincingly explain why the painful new changes are required as well as the amazing survival, health and economic benefits this transition to green energy will produce.
This does not mean that only top-down action is required to achieve the Job One goals. Because some bottom-up public individual actions to get things happening on the Job One steps will also be required, but it will be primarily top-down, government-driven action that will give us the necessary laws or treaties, enforcement, and verification in time to save us.
Important bottom-up actions will also involve the public learning why such radical and costly changes are needed immediately and demanding changes be made by those with real influence. Bottom-up actions will also involve all of us doing what is necessary to maintain a stable climate once we are successful in ending the global warming emergency.
Because our window of opportunity for effecting slowing and lessening this emergency to prevent total extinction is short, about 15-20 years to prevent us from crossing carbon 500 where all ice on earth will begin to melt and, where we also become near certain to cross the carbon 600 ppm tipping point where extinction becomes probable, we are in essence, forced to start with a top-down approach using the legitimate power of governments to verify and enforce compliance with laws or treaties necessary to save us in time. Educating and then changing individual behavior one person at a time or even in groups is doomed to failure because there is not enough time left to break through the massive inertia and resistance by almost all of the population to the radical changes we will be required to make. Only change derived from the legal, structural and cultural power of universally enforced and verified laws or treaties has any hope of being successful.
The simple beauty of enacting the previously mentioned types of national and international laws or treaties before it is too late is that these laws or treaties, with their financial and non-financial incentives, dividends, disincentives, and penalties, will provide the fastest stimulus for the greatest mass mobilization of national and international, governmental and nongovernmental, corporate and other resources in human history. Enacting these new global warming remedial laws or treaties responds effectively to the uncomfortable reality that only top-down regulatory action coordinated with a top-down global public relations and education program will be able to save us in time.
The good news here is that at national, regional, and local levels, governments, corporations, and individuals will rapidly reorganize themselves to take advantage of the dividends and incentives and avoid the disincentives and penalties related to the new global warming remedial laws or treaties. This will serve to reduce both national and international fossil fuel pollution of our atmosphere at the fastest possible rate because cooperation is rewarded at every level, and failure to cooperate is penalized at every level.
Some other challenges regarding enacting all of the needed new laws or treaties
These are some additional challenges:
- All of these various types of international and national laws or treaties in the different categories must be enacted together to create an effective, comprehensive, and integrated systemic solution to escalating global warming. If laws or treaties in only one or two of the above categories are passed, it will greatly slow the pace of solving our global warming emergency, as well as seriously imperil the probability of achieving success.
- There will likely also have to be some emergency deficit spending by many governments in order to make the transition from fossil fuels to green energy to prevent unthinkable disaster. Deficit spending is not a dirty word or an unusual or unproven thing. Deficit spending was used in World War II and specifically in the United States to help save a great portion of the world in a previously declared State of Emergency called war. Deficit spending is currently happening in almost every nation in the world. If deficit spending were such a morally or financially bad thing, the greatest portion of the population would not be given credit cards and most of the world governments wouldn't be able to function. When one accepts the reality that this emergency is far worse in total eventual damage than World War II and parallels the global extinction threat level of nuclear war, deficit spending by our governments is not only appropriate, it is demanded. If our governments do not deficit spend in this even greater emergency, as they did in World War II, it would be a gross dereliction of their legal and moral responsibilities to protect the lives, livelihoods, and futures of the members of their nations.
The challenge of our fossil-fuel-free future
We must eliminate the use of almost all fossil fuels as soon as is technically possible and then eventually begin the process of drawing atmospheric carbon levels back down to safe levels (carbon 325-350 ppm). As soon as is technically possible we also must be functioning worldwide on green energy generation, almost exclusively, except for a few special exemption areas. This will require nothing less than a heroic effort and a massive global warming emergency mobilization. It will also create a great sense of moral purpose because we know that to save humanity and our civilization this is what must be done. Because of the scale and immediacy of this emergency, it is to be expected that both fact and fear are utilized to help motivate us to be successful.
The global warming emergency will inevitably force us into new levels of local, national, and international cooperation
In the past, humanity has cooperated successfully on critical climate issues. We have successfully created international laws, treaties, and agreements regarding the pollution of the atmosphere caused by the gas/liquid refrigerant Freon®. Freon was formerly used in refrigeration and air conditioners. When it leaked out, it rapidly degraded the ozone layer of the atmosphere and created holes in it. Those rapidly-widening holes in the atmosphere’s protective layer of ozone would have greatly increased the incidence of skin cancer in the areas directly beneath them.
We acted quickly because of the escalating danger of a “hole in the ozone” that would have eventually harmed almost everyone on earth. If we did this successfully before with Freon’s pollution, we should be able to do it again with the fossil fuel industries toxic carbon and methane pollution!
The solution to reversing escalating global warming depends upon radical and immediate global changes in how we produce energy, how we pollute the atmosphere, and how we cooperate collectively as humans. These needed changes are far larger and needed far faster than any change of this scale has ever been previously achieved in human history. Consequently, resolving global warming will require more of Earth's inhabitants to mobilize and cooperatively work together than has ever occurred in the past.
The silver lining bonus for trying to survive escalating global warming is that human global cooperation itself will have to rise to a new and higher evolutionary level that has never been seen before!
To survive the threat of escalating global warming, which transcends national interests and national borders, we will be forced to create a new and greater international cooperative union of nations and peoples that will form an enforcement and verification-empowered global governance well beyond any existing international cooperative structures like the United Nations. This itself would also be a huge evolutionary advantage and advance for humanity!
“The most powerful force ever known on this planet is human cooperation—a force for construction and destruction.” — Jonathan Haidt, social psychologist, professor of Ethical Leadership, New York University
One small act you can do right now
If you have not done so already, there is one quick, small act you can do immediately. Click here to sign the emergency meeting petition calling for an immediate gathering of world leaders to resolve the escalating global warming emergency and enact steps like those called for in the Job One Plan above. We need to do what we can to get this emergency meeting going fast! Your next vaccination
Conclusion and Creative New Solutions to Get The Government-Driven Actions Done
For many of you, the preceding government-driven action steps may seem too difficult to achieve. They are well out of your zones of influence and control. In our website document called Job One, Part 4, you will discover creative and achievable ways to get the necessary government-driven action steps done by working through those with real influence and power.
Also, you probably have noticed that very few of the above-named critical fossil fuel reduction actions are actually being done today at levels that would be even close to effective. When you do start to see that these actions are being done, it means that things have gotten so bad that even politicians who have been taking fossil fuel money for years can no longer ignore the growing chains of cascading consequences and they too must finally act. The irony of that moment may be that it will be too little too late.
- We must never cross the final catastrophic carbon 600 ppm tipping point or it is the end of humanity and civilization!
- Which would you rather learn about: what is easy and makes you feel comfortable, or what will save you and your family’s lives and future?
- The new and ongoing risk analysis and reports for escalating global warming must be assigned solely to those most responsible, those most qualified, and those whose advice has the highest levels of rational influence on our national politicians. Ongoing risk analysis for escalating global warming must be wholly placed in the intelligence agencies of every nation—the correct place of highest responsibility for all national threat and risk analysis.
- We cannot resolve escalating global warming in time to save ourselves unless we can mass mobilize the world from the top down through new verifiable and enforceable national and international global warming reduction laws or treaties.
- We need to come to the collective realization there is no such thing as an allowable amount of carbon and methane emissions anymore or any remaining carbon budget that we can safely burn. Today, there are only damaging carbon and methane emissions to our health and future. Climate catastrophes are already occurring with increasing frequency, scale, and severity at as little as 1°-1.5° degree Celsius (1.8°-2.7° Fahrenheit) of temperature increase.
- The new national and international Fee and Dividend laws or treaties will help the world to change its fossil fuel behavior at the greatest possible speed.
- We cannot resolve escalating global warming in time unless we mobilize the world through the proven power of financial incentives and penalties. Financial incentives and penalties are time-proven facilitators for rapid and radical behavioral change.
- Without the new global warming remedial laws or treaties having strong, enforceable penalties, some nations or corporations will always cheat. Without strong penalties, cheating will spread into the nations and corporations that would be unfairly penalized by the economic advantages accruing to noncompliant nations and corporations. If this is allowed to happen without sanction, we will not solve the global warming emergency in time.
- Among the proposed global warming laws or treaties that need to be passed, the verification and penalty enforcement mechanism laws or treaties are the most critical to making all of the other global warming reduction laws or treaties work.
- New, enforceable, and verifiable international and national laws or treaties to end global warming are the most critical maximum fulcrum and leverage point within the Job One Plan government-driven actions to ensure ending global warming in time. Getting these new laws or treaties passed is by far the most important action we must achieve to survive.
- We have a choice: immediately decommission the world's largest conglomerate, the fossil fuel industry, with all of its related painful costs and problems—or lose humanity and civilization. We either go all-in on green energy generation, or we watch everything we love suffer and be destroyed.
- By completing the Job One Plan action steps as soon as is technologically possible, we preserve an honest and rational hope of still saving ourselves. If we act effectively, together, and immediately, we should be able to keep from crossing more global warming tipping points and entering the later stages of the Climageddon Scenario.
- Make the commitment to help end global warming. It will change your life for the better. It will also release powers, potentials, and opportunities that simply would not have appeared had you not made that decision and committed to put it into action.
- The Job One Plan was designed to focus exclusively upon correctly answering the most important global warming question: What will actually work in the limited window of effective control we have left to save ourselves from crossing more global warming tipping points, which will eventually bring about the later phases of the Climageddon Scenario? With your help, the Job One Plan may be our best hope to resolve the escalating global warming emergency.
- Escalating global warming is the single most urgent threat humanity must act upon and resolve to continue to survive and thrive.
- Even with using Job One’s new strategies, there are no guarantees we will be able to end global warming in time to avoid global catastrophe. But if we successfully collaborate and innovate together on the key government-driven action steps of the Job One Plan and, if we are very lucky, we might just be able to slow and lessen the worst of the coming catastrophes so that some of us will survive.
- Stop using the term “climate change!” “Climate change” is a term that feeds false illusions and confusion about what is really happening with escalating global warming. If we are ever going to create the necessary widespread awareness within the public to slow down and eventually reverse this emergency, it is imperative that we all stop using the term “climate change” and refer instead to “climate destabilization” or “escalating global warming.” It is time for us to stop allowing the clever fossil fuel industry lobbyists to control the conversation by defining the language and ideas about how we think about global warming and the emergency we now find ourselves in.
(All of the preceding and additional information about the escalating warming emergency can be found in the Climageddon book. Get your copy now! Your book purchase helps support the social benefit mission of Job One for Humanity to end global warming.)
Special Reminder if You Have Not Yet Started Part 1 of the Job One Plan...
If you have not already done so, before you begin reading the government-driven action steps below, there is an essential individual, family and small business part of the Job One Plan that you should read and start first. It is Part 1 of the Job One Plan.
Once you have read and begun Part 1, continue working on it while you do anything you can to forward the government-driven action steps found below. The essential actions of Part 1 of the Job One Plan will prepare and protect you, your family and your small business from unnecessary suffering and loss. Part 1 of Job One is key to helping you to endure the endless chain of now unavoidable global warming aggravated consequences that are already hitting us and --- will only get worse!
What is next?
Click here for Part 1 of the Job one Plan on how to prepare yourself, family and business for the unavoidable 20 worst coming consequences.
Click here for Part 2 of the Job One Plan on the best individual actions to slow and lessen the unavoidable coming consequences.
Click here for Part 4 of the Job One Plan on how we can get the critical actions of Part 3 of the Job One Plan done.
Sign the Stop Saying Climate Change PledgeTo purchase the ebook and printed versions of Climageddon at Amazon, click here. With each purchase, you also get free access to special web pages which will contain all updates made to the book due to new research being released.(If you have not done so already, please read the quick summary of the Job One Plan's 4 Parts. Click here to do so now.)
 Job One for Humanity. "The dirty secrets behind the new Paris Climate Conference (COP21) agreement they don't want you to know." Job One for Humanity.org. Accessed December 9, 2016. http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/climate_change_conference
 "Kevin Anderson: Paris, climate & surrealism: how numbers reveal another reality." YouTube video. 52:38, posted by "Cambridge Climate Lecture Series," March 14, 2017. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jIODRrnHQxg
 Andrew C. Revkin. "Can humans go from unintended global warming to climate by design?" New York Times. October 18, 2016. http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/10/18/can-humans-go-from-unintended-global-warming-to-climate-by-design/
 Chelsea Harvey. "We’re placing far too much hope in pulling carbon dioxide out of the air, scientists warn." The Washington Post. October 13, 2016. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/10/13/were-placing-far-too-much-hope-in-pulling-carbon-dioxide-out-of-the-air-scientists-warn/?utm_term=.7443bd74ae95
 John Vidal. "Time to listen to the ice scientists about the Arctic death spiral." The Guardian. August 18, 2016. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/aug/18/ice-scientists-arctic-ice-disappearing-reduce-emissions-peter-wadhams
 when technological progress increases the efficiency with which a resource is used (reducing the amount necessary for any one use), but the rate of consumption of that resource rises because of increasing demand. From Wikipedia contributors, "Jevons's paradox," Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Jevons%27s_paradox&oldid=759401245 (accessed January 10, 2017).
 Umair Irfan. "Engineers work to cut costs and emissions in geothermal power." E&E News. July 29, 2016. http://www.eenews.net/stories/1060040959
 David Coady, Ian Parry, Louis Sears, and Baoping Shang. "How Large Are Global Energy Subsidies?" International Monetary Fund. May 2015. http://www.imf.org/~/media/Websites/IMF/Imported/external/pubs/ft/wp/2015/_wp15105pdf.ashx
 Sara Matasci. "What are Some Renewable Resources? Examples of Alternative Energy." EnergySage.com. August 12, 2016. http://news.energysage.com/examples-of-renewable-resources-and-alternative-energy
Special Note: Some climate scientists also believe that no matter what we do, we have already missed our window of opportunity to prevent reaching carbon 600 ppm and, that once we have crossed the carbon 500 ppm level, we will not be able to keep from reaching carbon 800 ppm (the near-final phase of the Climageddon Scenario.)
Our reading of the current science indicates that if we do not immediately enact the radical fossil fuel cuts described earlier, we will cross the carbon 600 ppm level. (We could hopefully cut enough fossil fuel usage by immediately enacting all of the actions described in this part three of the Job One Plan.) And, just slowing our crossing the carbon 600 ppm tipping point will be a Herculean task of massive global cooperation and mobilization, but the probability that we can at least temporarily, slow and lessen many of the other 20 worst global warming consequences is still quite good.)
- government and/or internationally verified and enforceable laws and treaties and
Lawrence Wollershein commented on WORLD HAS THREE YEARS LEFT TO STOP DANGEROUS CLIMATE CHANGE, WARN EXPERTS... 2017-06-29 07:16:25 -0700Our organization suggest that you reread the article you mentioned several times again. Your comment does not appear to directly relate to what is actually said in the article itself. Sincerely, the staff of job one