Job One Part 1: How to Protect Your Family and Business from More Frequent and Bigger Global Warming Disasters
(Please note: If you have not already read the quick summary of the Job One Plan's 4 Parts, click here to do so now.)
"You cannot be called an alarmist if there really is something to be alarmed about." Unknown
Part one of the Job One Plan is the essential collection of actions to help you prepare your family, and small business for the greatest disruptor of the 21st century, our current state of out of control global warming which will last at least for the next 30-50 years.
For those of you who doubt in any way that global warming has already reached a state of being out-of-control for another 30-50 years, please click the preceding link and let us show you how and why this has already occurred and most importantly, why the very radical steps you will discover in Part 1 of the Job One Plan below are now critically necessary! This link will explain in detail the soon arriving near-extinction and extinction level atmospheric carbon tipping points of carbon 500 ppm (parts per million) and carbon 600 ppm respectively.
Once you have understood what is in the link above particularly the near extinction level atmospheric tipping point of carbon 500 and the extinction level tipping point of carbon 600 ppm, the get prepared, adapt and "salvage what we still can" action steps below will seem not only appropriate, they will also seem both rational and wise in relation to the severity of the rapidly escalating emergency we all now face.
Because we are also not making anything close to the immediate and required levels of critical fossil fuel cuts (discussed below and elsewhere on this website,) in order to be able to survive the now unavoidable consequences that are coming and avoid the extinction level atmospheric carbon tipping point of carbon 600 ppm, we must immediately begin getting prepared and start adapting to the new reality we all now face.
To hear that global warming has become out of our control for at least another 30-50 years will come as an unwelcome shock to most of you, especially because we have been told by our media we are making regular and steady progress in managing it.
Without the necessary preparations (described below,) you will likely be caught vulnerable to one or more of our escalating global warming climate catastrophes and you will have little time or resources left to help yourself or other concerned individuals or organizations get this emergency under control.
There's one other important thing to be aware of concerning why you will want to do these Job One Part 1 "get prepared" action steps first. The reason is similar to what are occurs on an airplane if there's an emergency.
In an emergency, you are always told to put your own mask on first before trying to help your children or anyone else put on their masks. Similarly, individuals who become aware of the coming emergency must also prepare themselves and their love ones first, before trying to help resolve the bigger problems causing global warming and crashing our beautiful World.
Part One of the Job One Plan
How to Prepare for the Coming Global-Warming Aggravated Disasters
It is now appropriate to review your personal, family, business, community, and/or national emergency level preparedness as an important first action step of the overall Job One for Humanity plan.
“No matter what we do, there will be very severe and unavoidable consequences, especially for the world’s regions, peoples, and ecosystems most vulnerable to a hotter climate. That requires a keen focus on preparing for and adapting to the changes that are now inevitable…” —David Spratt, Climate Reality Check.
Just as there are no guarantees in life, there is also no guarantee humanity will be able to prevent the current global warming emergency from moving into the later extinction level phases of the Climageddon Scenario. This is because it is highly unlikely for humanity and the governments of the world to make the needed fossil fuel cuts in time (and the other 12 reasons listed on this page.)
Here are the cuts we would have to make for you, your family and your small business to have a safe, stable or comfortable future:
All global carbon emissions would have to be cut in half by 2020, then cut in half again by 2030, and then cut in half again each decade out to 2050 to keep us safe. This means that In order for us to keep global temperature anywhere even close to levels where most of humanity can survive, fossil fuel emissions need to be slashed by about 75 percent by 2030, and by nearly 95 percent by 2050 to stay within a safe climate zone. (From a 2017 paper in Science lead-authored by Johan Rockström, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.) Therefore, prudence dictates having an emergency backup and migration survival plan at the ready.
If we enter the late second and third phases of the Climageddon Scenario within the next 20-50 years and reach the carbon 500 to 600 ppm levels, 70-90% of us will eventually and most likely suffer and die in the last Climageddon Scenario phases 4-6. Few areas of the planet will be safe or secure for very long if we enter the later Climageddon Scenario phases.
This means we must do everything we can to prevent entering the late second and third phase of the Climageddon Scenario. With good emergency preparation in place, smart adaptations, and early migration where applicable, you should be able to live far longer and more comfortably than those who are either unprepared or are denying global warming exists and what is coming.
Even if by some miracle we manage not to enter the later extinction phases (4-6) of the Climageddon Scenario, the following information on emergency preparedness and early adaptation will still be of great help to you. There are many other kinds of emergencies and natural disasters that the same preparation information below will apply.
The bad news is that no matter what we do now, there will be many terrible and escalating future global warming aggravated disasters that will collide with and then disrupt our human economic, political, and social systems. These disasters will cause severe disruption of normal food production and supply distribution (food, medical, etc.) along with ever-increasing local, regional and the national complete system collapses of the stability of our economic, political and social systems. (The illustrations of the Climageddon Scenario climate destabilization process on this page will help you visualize the meltdown of the many different kinds of consequences and crossed global warming tipping points that are coming.
Maybe you don't think a massive global catastrophe or extinction event could ever happen in modern times?
Looking back through history, you will also discover that 99.9% of every species that has ever lived on earth has gone extinct. To think that this could also not happen to humanity is betting against very strong historic odds.
If one does not know that in all of the past five major extinction events in Earth's history there were always survivors, it would be easy to despair. Even though 99.9% of every species that has ever lived is no longer here, the fact we are here now proves that something always has lived on.
The following emergency preparedness recommended by the Job One Plan is never wasted. This is because the Job One Plan not only assists individuals with strategies to survive the current global warming emergency, its emergency preparation steps also will help ensure you survive the other 7 major global challenges we also face in other areas.
In summary, the wisdom of having your emergency backup plan ready for the consequences of escalating global warming is simple:
1. It is always wise to prepare for any real and probable emergencies.
2. Once you have completed emergency backup plan preparations, you will be far more psychologically comfortable working on slowing this emergency down so that more of us will survive and thrive longer. (Part 2 of the Job One Plan is about thriving sustainably.)
Action Step 1: Build psychological and emotional resilience.
As things continue to get worse, one of the most important things for you to survive what is coming is for you to remain motivated. To stay motivated while you help to slow and lessen our global warming emergency and to survive the now unavoidable catastrophes, you will need to preserve your psychological and emotional resilience (the capacity to recover quickly from difficulties; toughness,) and build reserves in these areas.
You can build and preserve this resilience and maintain these critical reserves by taking time:
1. every day to do the normal things you enjoy and that renew you,
2. for cultivating and enjoying your relationships, (you will need strong relationships as things continue to get worse,)
3. each day to do and experience things you may have delayed, and
4. to draw strength and renewal from your faith and faith community, if you are of a spiritual nature.
As we move into greater global warming consequences and catastrophes, it is critical to take one day at a time and always make time to have fun, renewing experiences. The importance of taking one day at a time and doing whatever you can each day to fully enjoy the life that you have right now is that it will allow you to emotionally and physically survive, as well as effectively contribute toward the hopeful eventual resolution of the global warming emergency.
"The art of life is to know how to enjoy a little and to endure much." — William Hazlitt, English writer, philosopher, and critic
Never forget that the scope of the task before us is daunting and unprecedented. If one fully understands how much has to change in the world in so little time, one can get overwhelmed quickly. This is why it is important to embrace these perspectives of “one day at a time” and enjoy your normal life right now as one of the first emergency preparation actions you will need to do.
Because of the escalating harsh consequences looming before us and the fact that there are no guarantees we will resolve this emergency in time, another reason to enjoy each day now is that our current lives and conditions may, in fact, be the best they will ever be.
And finally, if you are a person of faith, you will need your faith and the strength of your faith and other relationships to help make sense of what we must now go through and to endure but psychological and emotional trauma that is coming. At this time, with the massive challenges and changes facing us, it is a good time to remember and practice the serenity prayer.
God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change,
Courage to change the things I can,
And wisdom to know the difference.
Action Step 2: Build your necessary backup emergency supplies and resilience for global warming disaster survival and recovery
a. Create an emergency Go-Bag that you can get to quickly in an emergency. Click here for all of the details on how to create your own emergency Go-Bag. You can also buy them premade on the Internet.
b. Create a 30-day emergency reserve (60-90 days would be much better as things get worse) of all necessary survival commodities (food, water, heat, energy, lights, communication devices, medicines, toiletries, self-defense, etc.).
Also build backup redundancies into your water, power, heating, sewage, and other critical systems. You can do this by having secondary and separate water purification systems, solar, or wind power backup systems, and multiple fuel types. It will be wise to acquire the tools and materials necessary to care for everyday needs, such as keeping warm, cooking, and managing waste with an old-fashioned latrine and safe garbage disposal. Water, sewage, and garbage-born diseases are major secondary death factors in an extended crisis. Prepare now so you and your loved ones will not suffer unnecessarily or die.
c. At the community, business, and national levels, building more resilience also means gathering emergency and essential non-emergency supplies and reserves as mentioned above for the many different consequences of escalating global warming.
Adequate emergency preparation on the community and national levels also gives people more information and time to prepare for local consequences. Without carefully planned resilience and emergency backups built into every level of our interconnected and interdependent economic, political and social systems and infrastructure, we face unnecessary and avoidable suffering and death.
d. When you're ready to begin your emergency preparedness plan, also go to http://www.ready.gov and click the navigation link. It will provide you detailed guidance for each area of emergency preparedness.
Action Step 3: Create a global warming emergency preparation cash or other valuable commodity reserve fund equal to 5%-10% of your monthly income.
A tradable cash, gold, silver, or other valuable emergency trading reserve helps you build financial resilience. Building up and storing an easily exchangeable commodity you can use or trade in the beginning phases of the emergency is also essential.
As escalating global warming continues, billions of climagees (climate refugees) will eventually need to migrate closer toward the poles to survive a bit longer. No current government, charity, or corporation is prepared for these massive human migrations and the unbearable economic, political, and social stresses these climagees will put on every climate, human, and biological system of our global existence.
As global warming escalates, the accelerating inadequacy of governmental or charity-based emergency assistance to protect you and your family dictates a need for radical individual responsibility and individual preparedness completed well in advance. This minimal 5%-10% tradable commodity reserve will help you cope with the many unpredictable consequences as our local systems go into severe stress, crisis, or an eventual collapse.
All communities and governments will also immediately need to work toward putting at least 5% of their total GDP into reserves each year. This level of tradable commodity reserve is essential if they hope to stay politically and financially stable while coping with the rapidly escalating global warming costs. (Please also see Climageddon Chapter 3 in Part 1, which explains and provides all the details for the unbearable financial consequences of escalating global warming.)
Because no community or government will be able to keep up with the continually rising costs of escalating global warming and its consequences, all businesses must also create similar 5%-10% reserves to help them cope with global warming-related supply, manufacturing, distribution, and labor disruptions. Furthermore, if you are an individual, business, community, or nation with considerable debt, reduce that debt as soon as possible. Having lots of debt in a growing unresolved crisis is likely to make you, your organization, or nation far less adaptable and resilient. High resource liquidity, mobility, and flexibility are a few of the most needed and most useful resiliency qualities in an ongoing or long-term crisis.
Additionally, post-emergency rebuilding and repair will dramatically increase food and insurance costs, emergency housing costs, emergency transportation costs, and other migration costs to temporarily or permanently get out of crisis zones. If you are in a river or lake floodplain, near a coast, in a wildfire, drought, or severe storm area, or near a southern national border, your individual costs will most likely be higher than the 5%-10% suggested reserve. In addition, losses in real estate and farmland values, etc., will rapidly consume your 5%-10% reserves as we cross more global warming tipping points.
Creating these emergency reserves will be difficult in today's debt-encouraging climate. In the United States, an estimated 62% of all families are one paycheck away from bankruptcy, and one-half of all U.S. households are just one emergency away from bankruptcy. Even though it may be difficult creating your emergency reserves, it is critical to surviving this emergency. (If you have trouble saving money for these reserves, we recommend that you get and apply the information in the book Your Money or Your Life by Joe Dominguez and Vicki Robin.)
And finally, a tradable commodity or cash emergency reserve can easily be used while cash is still being accepted. In the later emergency phases, when cash is no longer accepted or is greatly devalued, you will always need to have your five key survival items:
weapons, (Legally obtained, safely stored and wisely managed. If you have any doubt that you will need weapons to protect yourself and your loved ones from the chaos as order breaks down during the now unavoidable worsening levels of global warming, then be sure to read the two books by Octavia Butler described further down this page. )
small tradable silver coins or other tradable small high-value commodities like alcohol or cigarettes to survive in a new barter system, which will come into being out of necessity.
In the later Climageddon Scenario phases, as the world starts to unravel, your government will be stretched so thin that you will not be able to depend upon it for protection, water, food, medicine, or even a stable currency to acquire what you need. If you have not prepared for these contingencies long before they are needed, you and your loved ones will suffer far more than the growing number of individuals who are preparing for what's coming.
Action Step 4: Plan now for how you will adapt where you are and/or move critical resources, technology, and infrastructure to handle the escalating consequences of global warming.
Because we have already begun crossing global warming tipping points, individuals, as well as business planners, city planners, long-term corporate and governmental planners of all kinds need to begin restructuring their 5, 10, and 25-year plans, using the least optimistic global warming prediction scenarios (found here,) on how the consequences of escalating global warming will unfold and what infrastructure (medical, manufacturing, food production etc,) will be critical to their personal life, businesses or their employees personal lives and will need to be prepared, protected or relocated. (Moving or migrating people, resources and infrastructure is covered in action step 5 below.)
Here are several good reasons for using the least optimistic predictions:
2. The sudden, large-scale unpredictability which each additional crossed tipping point creates. (See this page.)
3. Technology won't save us at the last minute. (See this page.)
The amount of emergency adaptation work needed and the short amount of time available makes this adaptation and preparation step an immediate planning imperative. For example, in the San Francisco Bay Area, the headquarters of big tech corporations like Facebook, LinkedIn, and Apple, now have to re-adjust their long-term operational or relocation plans to deal with their low-lying international headquarters facing as much as 13 feet (3.9 meters) of sea level rise by 2100. (A worst case scenario of a possible 10-foot [3-meter] rise by 2050 was projected by James Hansen's newest research, with the additional 3-feet [0.9 meters] accounting for coincident king tides and storm surges.)
Adapting or moving critical resources, technology, and infrastructure can also mean moving them into the safer areas near or above the 45th parallel north or near or below the 45th parallel south. During this massive global warming emergency mobilization of critical people, supplies, and infrastructure, never forget that unless we considerable slow and lessen this mess now, survival in those areas will be very, very difficult at best because of poorer soils in general and less sunlight for growing food.
Action Step 5: Evaluate if you will need to migrate and if so, plan where and when you will migrate
You and your children are here today solely because your genetic ancestors were smart enough to see the early warning signs of a serious disaster that was going to hit them hard! They were smart enough to know when it was time to start preparing backup supplies. They were smart enough to know when it was finally time to move and migrate to get out of the way of what they could not prepare for or adapt to.
Currently, multinational corporations and the ultra-wealthy are secretly far ahead of the curve compared to the rest of us in global warming emergency preparation and migration plans and preparation. Their top risk and investment advisers, who can access privately created, ridiculously expensive, and confidential global warming and climate research have already aggressively warned them to prepare for the many escalating consequences of global warming described in the Climageddon Scenario. In fact, they are even being advised on how to profit from the global warming emergency and how it will dramatically affect things such as real estate and stock market values.
Many ultra-wealthy and very smart individuals, corporations, and nations (such as Saudi Arabia) have already quietly purchased vast amounts of arable and defendable land in the safest areas of Canada, Scandinavia, Russia, Ukraine, Alaska, the tip of South America, Greenland, Iceland, England, and the south island of New Zealand. This land is for their own high-security survival compounds.
If the wealthiest individuals, corporations, and nations are already preparing to protect themselves from the escalating global warming emergency mostly under the cover of secrecy, why aren't you doing the same? Why should only the ultra-wealthy and the very smart who are currently living in global warming unsafe locations have the necessary information and emergency resources in place to save themselves, their loved ones and their assets long before the rest of us?
Being unprepared for evolution’s periods of emergency, catastrophic mistakes, or natural disasters is dangerously unrealistic. Human history is littered with corpses from the natural, economic, political and social catastrophes that our smartest ancestors were prepared for and our less than observant unprepared ancestors were not. Do not ever forget the deep evolutionary truth:
your gene pool is here today solely because your smart ancestors saw the early warning signs and were prepared enough to survive or avoid the worst.
Shrewd individuals could argue convincingly that based on humanity’s extensive history of past large-scale challenges, humanity, in general, will not respond to this global warming emergency until it is too late, or the suffering and pain is so horribly severe that many of us will not survive to enjoy its eventual solution. History overflows with examples of individuals, families, businesses, and nations that did not adapt and change their behavior until the pain of going forward was less than the pain of staying where they were. Unfortunately, that was often too late to prevent widespread suffering or death or the collapse of the economic, political, or social systems of those times.
(If you're one of those individuals who has to know all of the historical facts and principles on the proven advance warning signs for when a society is going to collapse, we strongly recommend you read The Collapse of Complex Societies by professor Joseph A. Tainter. When you add those proven archeological warning signs of collapsed societies to the global warming emergency warning signs described on this Job One website or in the Climageddon book, there will be little remaining doubt about the wisdom of quickly getting you and your loved ones ready for the system collapses that will be inevitable as global warming continues to escalate.)
To migrate or not to migrate?
Ultimately, migration is a personal decision no matter what age you are. In the following section, we are not promoting or endorsing any form of illegal migration. If you take the following information to heart, and you qualify for the regulations of any of the global warming safe countries there still should be plenty of time left for you to legally migrate.
We strongly advise against any attempt to migrate illegally. The nations of the north are already tightening up their immigration laws and requirements, strengthening their border patrols and increasing the severity of penalties for any form of attempted illegal migration.
In addition to the many reasons discussed in this document, if you currently are in a global warming unsafe zone, you should think long and hard about migrating to a global warming safer zone, especially if you plan on helping us fight for the future of humanity and our civilization by working to get our governments to mandate immediate radical cuts in fossil fuel use. Here's why:
1. It's going to be a long battle to save the future and to go the distance. To be effective you'll need to be in a stable and safe place and become very sustainable for the duration of this "war."
2. If you're not in a relatively stable location and personally well prepared for the coming chain of global warming consequences and emergencies, which will be increasing in scale, severity, and frequency, it is unlikely you will be able to work consistently to help slow the fossil fuel use that will ultimately save us.
If this or anything else in this document applies to your situation and desires, then the time to begin planning your legal migration is now!
The following factors are some helpful things to consider if you are thinking about migrating to safer global warming zones.
1. Mobility will be a key life-saving capability during the worst aspects of the global warming emergency and the second and third Climageddon Scenario phases. Our crisis-surviving ancestors have repeatedly proven the validity and importance of the mobility principle.
The worst escalating global warming projections point to an average global temperature increase of 4°-6° Celsius (7.2°-10.8° Fahrenheit). This makes having a backup long-term migration plan a must for numerous reasons.
We're going to hit the middle Climageddon Scenario phases (3 and probably 4) no matter what we do. Therefore, planning to migrate to extend your life and its quality a little longer is an essential major life decision that should be carefully considered by evaluating one's current location, all of one's personal circumstances, and the best projections for how the global warming emergency will affect your particular location over the coming years. You can also stagger the steps and levels of this emergency migration plan to meet the speed of global temperature increases, sea level rises, the closing of national borders to climagees (climate migrants,) and the increases in severity, scale, and frequency of all of the other global warming consequences as they occur in your particular area.
Create a 30-day emergency migration plan and then extend it out to 60, 90, and 120 days or longer. Keep in mind that it is very difficult to migrate during the actual crisis when everyone else is trying to migrate as well. One can see examples of this in many of today’s war zone migrations.
It is essential to also include self-defense supplies in your emergency preparations supplies and in your migration plans. This is because as we proceed through the mid to later phases of the Climageddon Scenario (3-5) local, regional, and national governments and law and order will begin to break down and you will need to become fully self-reliant for your own physical protection. Having at least one firearm per adult with adequate ammunition (1,000 rounds) for extensive transitional periods of resource conflict and chaos will is essential in the highly unsafe mid to later phases of the Climageddon Scenario.
If you are under 30 and you and your family want to survive longer and safer in relative peace, you will want to move far north or far south long before the worst of this emergency hits and real estate prices crash in the unsafe zones and soar in the safe zones. If you are under 30, you will want to migrate from unsafe zones within the next 10 years or you will probably be priced out or locked out of climagee closed borders.
With 10 more years of ever-escalating global warming catastrophes even the deniers, the distracted and less aware members of society will know that what is occurring is not natural weather variance or 100-year storms, but something far more dangerous. Once the general population realizes how screwed they are because they waited too long to heed the growing warning signs there will be rush mass migration and unimaginable transitional chaos.
If you are over 30 without a family or, if you are older than 50, you may feel that because of your lack of dependents or shorter life expectancy, migration to extend either the quality, comfort or length of your life may not be practical or necessary, no matter how bad it gets. If you believe you will not migrate no matter what, read the two books by Octavia Butler mentioned further down this page. Most people have not yet realized that the single most dangerous human consequence of global warming is the violent transitional chaos of a sudden mass migration of unprepared and desperate starving climagees. This sudden and massive climagee migration alone will make the dystopian Mad Max world depicted in the movies look like a day at the beach.
2. In general, moving north of the 45th parallel or south of the 45th parallel should be the safest, but always check the most current and updated computer models and predictions because some areas above the 45 parallel north, particularly in Europe, will still be unsafe. “Safety” considerations always should include the availability of water and mass migration route defensibility. Some existing areas between the 45th parallel north and south will remain safe and viable longer because of unique localized changes in seasonal weather patterns, ocean currents, temperatures, and the jet stream. Use the map below to get a better idea of safe and unsafe zones.
Keep in mind that some areas near or above the 45th parallel north and south will not be safe and viable also because of unique localized changes in seasonal weather patterns, ocean currents, temperatures, and the jet stream affecting those areas as well. In general, you also do not want to live too much above the 55th parallel north or the 55th parallel south.
Above those areas, temperatures are rising about twice as fast which means the environment will be changing twice as fast and, the normal global warming worst consequences will be appearing twice as fast. Particularly worrisome is the tundra and permafrost releasing not only huge amounts of methane, but also lethal viruses and bacteria that have existed for hundreds of thousands of years before humans walked the earth, and for which, humanity has no immunities. Also trapped within the permafrost and tundra in rotting carcasses, are things like smallpox, anthrax and other diseases that's few in the far north or far south will be prepared for.
In general, the Goldilocks zone between the 45th and 55th parallel north and the 45th and 55th parallel south will likely be the safest areas to ride out the global warming emergency as long as we make the required radical fossil fuel cuts immediately. There are also other critical land purchase factors that we have written about in detail in the Six Rules of Real Estate Investment in the Age of Escalating Global Warming that also might make these generally safe far northern or far southern areas unsafe. (Be sure to read this article before buying any land you may want to use for migration!)
In general, predicting which areas will be most adversely affected can be difficult because of continuous global warming changes and the increasing variety of escalating global warming consequences. Many climate researchers and specialized big data research services are already trying to predict these safest zones for various investment banking houses, commodity traders, national governments and the ultra-wealthy.
Where ever you decide to go you will need a defensible or isolated position far from the most logical mass migration routes from south to north, lots of water availability, and the ability to grow all the food you will need during every season of the year. Within about 10 years crop failures will be at such a level that not only will food prices soar to a huge percentage of your budget, it is also likely that many food items will not be available at all at any price.
Anywhere between the two yellow lines in the map further above, in general, will be an unsafe zone as global warming escalates. There will, of course, be unique and rare microclimates between the two yellow 45th parallel north and 45th parallel south lines (above,) where there will be water and it will be naturally cooler because of elevation or location and where you will be more isolated and safe and off the major and dangerous northerly mass migration routes.
As long as the following countries have adequate fresh water supplies and you do not locate too to close to the sea coasts and they have the other critical qualities mentioned on this page, countries like Canada, Scandinavia, Russia, Iceland, Greenland, England, Switzerland, Northern France, Germany, Northern Ukraine, Northern Italy, Northern Herzegovina, Northern Serbia, Northern Bosnia, Northern Romania, Northern Kazakhstan, Northern Uzbekistan, Northern China, Mongolia, Northern Japan and the tip of South America and Alaska will most likely experience a warmer and longer growing season and improved weather conditions in the early stages of the global warming emergency. Other areas like Southern Tasmania and the South Island of New Zealand should also be safe far longer than other areas of the southern hemisphere.
In the United States only four of these states lie entirely or almost entirely north of the 45th parallel, they are Alaska, Washington, Montana, and North Dakota. Here are all of the states very near or at least partially above the 45th parallel. Remember they all offer different levels of migration safety depending primarily upon how well they do on all the other safe zone criteria mentioned on this page:
Wyoming Close to the Montana border,
Minnesota – above Minneapolis,
Wisconsin – above a line from Minneapolis to Green Bay,
Upper Peninsula Michigan,
Lower Peninsula Michigan above the 45th parallel,
Approximately 13 million Americans live north of the 45th parallel or 4% of our population. A reasonable population estimate for north of the 45th parallel elsewhere around the world is about 370 million in Europe, about 200 million in the former USSR and 30 million in Canada, for a total of 600 million, or 10% of the world's population.
North Korea, Japan, China, and India as well as the Central Asian republics are almost all to the south of 45th parallel except Mongolia. Unfortunately, Mongolia has a huge water shortage problem namely the Gobi desert. When you think that these areas north of the 45th parallel often have poor soils, shorter growing seasons and can only support limited additional populations, one can begin to see how this crisis will unfold as food shortages sweep the world and the Great Migration to the north accelerates.
As global warming escalates, the above listed global warming safe countries and locations will most likely become the richest and most powerful nations on earth because of their more climate-safe locations and new “friendly” warming. These countries will likely form new military alliances that will initially attempt to ensure that other global-warming-challenged nations will not be able to take their land and sovereignty. The global warming-challenged nations who may be locked out of the safer above or below the 45th parallel locations will eventually be motivated to extremely aggressive behavior because of starvation and chaos within their borders.
How soon do you really need to begin preparing, adapting and/or migrating at or from your current location?
(Please note that this section does not take into account how soon prices could soar in global warming safe zones as more people realize they must migrate to extend their lives or, how soon prices will crash in global warming unsafe areas as more people abandon them.)
How fast global warming gets significantly worse from where we are today and how much time we have left before the 20 worst global warming consequences as well as crossing more global warming tipping points begins to directly affect you, your family, business or nation depends completely on your current location and on how fast how many other people also realize we are on a sinking ship and they need to do something fast.
Some of you are already regularly experiencing many severe global warming consequences. If you currently live close to the seashores, (flooding,) forests (wildfires,) deserts or drier areas (drought,) or other areas that are experiencing severe heat waves, land and ocean 100-year and 1,000-year super-storms hurricanes and cyclones, rain bombs, severe seasonal or monsoon changes, droughts, crop failures, climate conflicts and early stage climate-related migrations, you are already experiencing a small part of what is yet to come!
As part of this phenomena, you may also already be experiencing precautionary evacuations in your area because of the above global warming-related consequences are becoming more frequent and the local authorities are trying to get ahead of the next crisis. The more individuals and businesses that experience either the above consequences or the precautionary evacuations that will grow more and more frequent because of these consequences, the more they will say enough is enough and this is no way to live a stable life or run the business. Once they come to that conclusion, it will not be long afterward that they begin the process of migration to safer global warming zones.
Unfortunately, consequence severity, scale, and frequency will increase more rapidly within the next 5-10 years in the areas between the 25th parallel north and the 25th parallel south. The earliest signs in these areas will be soaring food prices, failed crops and growing malnutrition and starvation not to mention soaring heat and the many other global warming-related consequences scaling up.
Within the next 10 to 15 years, the areas of increasing consequence severity, scale and frequency will also begin to expand rapidly throughout the areas between the 35th parallel north and the 35th parallel south. The consequences that will scale in these areas will be similar but will in general, scale up slower than the consequences occurring in the areas between the 25th parallel north and south.
Within 15 to 20 years, normal life will become much more unstable and chaotic for those unfortunate individuals and businesses still trying to live or operate not near or above the 45th parallel north or near or below the 45th parallel south. There are some early warning signs to particularly watch for in all three of the above zones. They are property values dropping rapidly in the unsafe global warming areas and insurance companies significantly raising rates or dropping coverage for properties and businesses in the ever-expanding unsafe global warming areas.
The important thing to remember is that depending upon where you are currently located, there still should be adequate time left to prepare, adapt and/or migrate. There is no reason to panic, but there is also no time left to procrastinate or delay in getting started to prepare for, adapt to and/or migrate away from the unavoidable consequences.
As you will soon see in all of the parts of the Job One Plan, there is much to be done before our current escalating global warming emergency creates a "hell on earth" as James Hansen says it will as our temperatures continue to rise.
Do not forget that delayed action or inaction could be very costly. Many of the world's wealthiest individuals have already purchased and stocked their global warming safe locations with everything they will need. Numerous climate scientists and climate researchers, as well as some of the smartest people in the world, have also already started and/or completed many of the actions steps below.
Do not forget that governments and nonprofit organizations will run out of money and won't be able to help their citizens recover or deal with the escalating catastrophes as soon as the mid phases (phases 3-4) of the Climageddon Scenario are reached. Long before the truth about how bad global warming has become (or will become,) is publicly known or acknowledged by our government officials and the military, they and their families will have already secretly prepared and fully stocked their own special and secure safe haven locations.
The saving of the key politicians and the military first will always be done for the good of preserving the respective nation because these individuals will be deemed "essential personnel for the future." The rest of us nonessential citizens who have not also prepared or migrated to safe zones will, of course, be left out in the heat, and on our own to fend for ourselves in the ensuing chaos.
To make matters worse as things continue breaking down in society, the politicians and military will always "requisition" the involving safest locations and best resources for themselves from anywhere they can get them! This includes whatever you have prepared or stored no matter where you end up finally located unless you are extremely isolated or invisible.
The following steps will help you both plan and begin your time-critical preparation, adaptation and/or migration actions so you don't get caught unprepared, unaware or vulnerable.
a. Depending on your current and ultimate location, financial loss and death tolls from global warming-related catastrophes will continue to rise steadily until we reached what we call the last phases of the Climageddon Scenario. These are the phases where as much as 70-90% of the world's total population will begin dying within as little as 30-50 years. This will occur primarily because of more crossed tipping points (carbon 500 ppm and carbon 600 ppm,) as well as starvation, migration wars, civil unrest and many of the other 20 worst global warming consequences.
Please keep in mind that during this remaining time window to prepare, adapt, or migrate, we will still have control of a good portion of our lives, far longer than those individuals who deny, ignore, or are unaware of the new reality that global warming has become out of meaningful control for at least the next 30-50 years.
If you choose to migrate, the good news is that depending on your current location, most of us will have at least 5-10 more years to migrate before:
1. We cross the carbon 425-450 ppm level where we cross more global warming tipping points at an even faster rate and where entering late phase 2 and then phase 3 of the Climageddon Scenario is highly probable. (Once we cross into those Climageddon Scenario phases, first millions then eventually tens if not hundreds of millions of informed and prudent individuals across the world will be highly motivated migrate to save their loved ones and businesses and to stay ahead of the ever-escalating catastrophe curve. This also means the prices for safe land will skyrocket and less and less safe land will be available. It will also mean that land and real estate prices in unsafe areas will begin to tumble.)
2. Temporarily safer areas and countries will begin charging millions of dollars per person to migrate legally or buy adequate safe land or, they will otherwise restrict or completely close their borders to the ever-escalating masses of new climagees.
Depending upon your current location, trying to migrate to one of these temporarily safer areas after we breach the carbon 425-450 ppm boundary (in as little as 5-10 years,) is a plan that will be plagued with avoidable hardship and suffering. It is not that the worst consequences of global warming will all be upon us in just 5-10 years, it is that by that time the wealthiest or smartest early adopters all over the world will more clearly see what is coming and will be highly motivated to move.
Even if the wealthiest or smartest early adopters and migrators are initially only 1 or 2 % of the earth's population, that is still 70-140 million climagees migrating nearly at once. If you think that the advice of not getting caught migrating too late is bad advice or an overstatement, consider just the hundreds of thousands of drought, economic or political migrants from Africa and the Middle East who have been struggling and dying in recent years trying to get into Europe, Scandinavia, Germany, or England.
One thing you can count on. As global warming worsens and more people recognize how bad it is, the country with the safest land will continue to increase border restrictions until borders finally close. These countries will be forced to deal with the reality that they will have only so much decent land that will grow only so much food that will feed only a limited number of people. Once their populations reach the point where the land will not support adequate food production all borders will close.
Please further note that if you think you may be subject to any kind of religious, racial, or ethnic bias trying to immigrate to a safe zone, migrating sooner may be critical because many additional immigration restrictions will be imposed quickly as safe zone nations realize that they are experiencing a mass climagee migration for which they are wholly not prepared.
You will also need to be highly certain that the rain, water sources, soils, and growing seasons will be adequate in the area you want to migrate to.
Carefully consider issues like wildfires, sea level rise, floodplains of rivers and lakes, as well as how defensible and safe your new location or nation will be as desperate climagees seek safety in the later phases of the Climageddon Scenario. Additionally, if you are considering migrating out of your home country, you will need to evaluate how your new country will receive, treat, and protect you as a new immigrant. Unfortunately, in many countries, immigrants are often treated as second-class citizens.
Essential to any decision regarding whether to migrate or not and when is also to evaluate if the new location you select will also work for your long-term future—even if there were not a global warming emergency. In other words, if you have changed your life profoundly by migrating to this new location, will you still be ok living there if we were to slow and lessen the global warming emergency enough to not go over the climate cliff into near extinction.
If possible ahead of time, if you were seriously thinking about migrating to some area, it is recommended to go to that area and spend an extended amount of time there. This way you will also get to know the local culture, local economics, the social and political attitudes of the people towards newcomers, and the local weather variations. One season of the year may be beautiful, but the other three seasons may be nearly unbearable for a variety of reasons such as heat, humidity, rainfall, high wind, low sunlight, extreme cold, or even insect infestations.
b. Find a final migration location that is as far away from the most probable northerly migration routes. The most probable migration routes around the world will be those routes closest to coastal areas (through boat access,) or where there are large highways and other forms of easy-to-access transportation which can rapidly move people away from danger zones toward safer zones. For example, mountainous terrain, dense forests or deserts as well as areas without good roads or easy transportation will not have as many climagees passing through them because of the increased difficulties in passing through these areas.
What most people do not realize is that once this soon to be greatest migration in human history begins to accelerate, and as many more people realize how bad things really are, most people will be leaving unsafe stones with very little or no assets. This is because they waited too long to migrate and their land values and other assets will have radically dropped in value in those areas where food cannot be dependably grown, where droughts and wildfires are rampant, and where temperatures will become too high to sustain anything like normal life, commerce or social stability.
Climagees without assets or few assets will be desperate to feed themselves any way they have to! This means that crime and other forms of escalating social chaos will follow these waves of unfortunate late-arriving climagees wherever they go. As the Great Global Warming Migration continues, nonprofit organizations and government aid will never be able to keep up with the skyrocketing demands of the hundreds of millions then billions of desperate migrating climagees.
c. Your successful access to global warming safe zones by winning the desperate last hope migration lottery.
If you do not legally migrate to global warming safer zones while prices are still low enough to buy something or, the borders have not been closed or otherwise tightly restricted, you will have to be insanely lucky and enter what we call the coming last hope desperation lottery.
The last hope lottery is what the global warming safer nations of the world most likely are already working on in secret. (Do you really think the intelligence agencies of the most developed nations of the world do not understand what is coming and are not already preparing for it in secret?)
The design of the last hope lottery will be to give a very small number of individuals from global warming unsafe zones (about one-thousandth to one ten-thousandth of one percent of the population in global warming unsafe zones,) the legal right to migrate to the global warming safer zones. The governments in the safer zones will not specify how many or what percentage of individuals will become winners in this last hope lottery because that would ultimately defeat the purpose of maintaining the appropriate numbers mystery to keep the hope factor alive.
This lottery will have no requirements other than entering it and will most likely only include the right for the immediate family (parents and children only,) of the winner to migrate with them.
The whole purpose all the last chance lottery is to provide a sliver of hope that, if you just stay where you are while things keep getting worse, you still have a chance at salvation through this last hope lottery.
This ridiculously low probability lottery is at best a cynical attempt by the nations in global warming safer zones to do everything possible to prevent mass panic and desperate mass migration as greater and greater portions of the population finally realize that the escalating global warming emergency is not just some random bad weather. It is more like a near planet-killing asteroid that will hit on a given schedule and at a given location and if you're in the wrong location at the wrong time, game over!
d. Finally, ask yourself if your new chosen location includes enjoyable and/or suitable work opportunities available for your knowledge, experience, or skill set.
Not everyone who migrates will have sufficient financial reserves to survive without working some job in the new location. Be sure to carefully investigate potential employment opportunities which match your job skills in the area you are seeking to migrate to, long before you pack up everything!
If you are seriously considering migration as a solution to extend the length and quality of your life, take the time to carefully consider ALL possible positive and negative factors before choosing any particular migration location.
For more information on short and long-term migration to cities in North America, click here.
All of the above global warming emergency preparedness information can seem a little scary or overwhelming unless you view it from a bigger perspective. Here are a few key points to remember about preparedness in general:
1. The history of emergency relief efforts during Hurricane Katrina, or Hurricanes Harvey, Irma or Maria in Puerto Rico and other climate catastrophes around the world has demonstrated most people will not have either the resources or time to create an emergency recovery program during the actual emergency. Just before or during the emergency, everything you will need to be safe will be long gone off the shelves, not working, or unavailable as others desperately struggle to quickly find what they need to survive. As a rule, if you're not well prepared long before the emergency, you're out of luck.
2. Emergency relief history has also shown people will initially be kind and share their resources up to the point they realize the essential life-sustaining resources have become scarce. Then they usually switch over to the Darwinian “do whatever you have to do to survive” hoarding or stealing mode.
3. No government or charity will have the ongoing capacity to respond to the ever-increasing global demands for more emergency resources and services as the costs and other consequences of escalating global warming increase in frequency, scale, and severity with each degree of temperature increase.
4. Being physically and psychologically prepared for emergencies is the most basic form of insurance. It existed long before we ever began paying premiums to today’s insurance companies.
5. Being prepared for emergencies, catastrophic miscalculations, and future uncertainties by creating emergency plans, physical reserves, and backup system resilience is as old as humanity itself.
If you do consider migrating, please tell every when you love and can with an open mind about the coming global warming meltdown so that they may consider migration to safer areas and more comfortable lives as well.
If you are still thinking about staying where you are in an unsafe global warming zone and riding out what is coming
Please get and read at least 2 of the 4 books listed below to try to grasp on a deeply personal, emotional and detailed way what your life will really be like if you do not migrate and if you are currently in a high-risk area. The first three spellbinding books on the personalized effects of global warming and attempted migration after it really is too late are:
On Vestige Way by David Spielberg just arrived at Amazon.
Octavia Butler is an Award winning and fabulous fiction writer. On Vestige Way is an emotion-packed novel about how global warming adversely affects the future, the fate of the world’s Millennials, generation Z, big corporations and today's political alliances. These three books are absolute must-reads to viscerally see the day-to-day ordinary and extraordinary suffering that our current out of control global warming will impose upon our all those individuals, families, businesses that refuse to leave the high-risk zones.
The fourth book is Climageddon, the Global Warming Emergency and How to Survive It by Lawrence Wollersheim. Click here to learn more about why this book is also useful for those of you may still think you can ride out the coming catastrophes.
Action Step 6: Get as personally sustainable as possible, as quickly as possible, and create renewable long-term food supplies that you can manage.
Part 2 of the Job One Plan will help you become sustainable as soon as is possible as well as help you radically cut your individual fossil fuel use. One important part of Part 2 of the Job One Plan recommends that you create an urban home or community organic garden if you are in an urban area or, an organic country garden if you are in a rural area.
As escalating global warming worsens within the next 10 years, more reduced or failed crops, soaring food prices, and growing starvation will be amongst the first wave of major consequences to shake populations all over the earth. To survive any length of time as the emergency deepens, you will need to be able to create and manage your own food supply far beyond your initial 90-120 day emergency backup supplies mentioned above.
Garden creation, as well as other kinds of personal food producing activities, is absolutely essential! Get started as soon as possible learning all the skills and resources you will need to create your organic sustainability garden and other food supplies wherever you live. You will not be able to rely upon normal food distribution as the emergency worsens.
Depending upon your location, within 10 to 15 years if you are not producing most of your food, you will have very undependable, expensive or non-existent supply and distribution of food. Watch food prices begin to rise steadily and eventually exponentially requiring more and more of your total budget as global warming worsens. This is because the five major grains all will have massive problems dealing with temperatures over 100° for more than 10 days during their growing season, rain bombs occurring at random times during their growing seasons as well as Random and severe droughts and insect infestations due to massive insect migrations.
Action Step 7: Find or create an “eco-prepper” community and have a community also helping to protect you and your loved ones
This will be essential in phases 3, 4 and 5 of the Climageddon Scenario. For those of you who may not know, a “prepper” is someone who prepares ahead of time for the possibility of future catastrophes. An eco-prepper is someone preparing, in particular, for coming ecological catastrophes, seeking survival through sustainable prosperity practices, and other important social and economic principles and practices.
Most eco-preppers also see themselves as evolutioneers, (someone that consciously helps evolve a better world, in part, through the example of sustainable living through and after an ecological catastrophe like the escalating global warming emergency.) Eco-preppers also see themselves as those leaders (and communities) who quickly learn from and do not repeat the same mistakes that caused the ecological catastrophe.
Whether you create or join an eco-prepper community in your current location or in the location you seek to migrate to, there are a few important things to be aware of.
A.) Because billions of people will eventually need to migrate near, or above the 45th parallel north or near or below the 45th parallel south (see illustration above,) trying to survive alone no matter where you migrate to is a recipe for eventual disaster. Here is why.
1. When increasing numbers of desperate climagees surge north or south, chaos will eventually ensue, needed supplies will grow short, and a survival-at-any-cost, lawless, Mad Max post-apocalyptic environment will soon follow. These climagees will be escaping massive crop failures and droughts, wildfires, flooding, and superstorms continually increasing in frequency, severity, and scale. It is hard to underestimate what desperate people will do to survive and feed their loved ones. If you are caught alone in an unsafe zone, it is unlikely you will survive and you will suffer unbelievable deprivations as well.
2. Although the Job One for Humanity website and the new book Climageddon both express a broad and useful overview of the many severe consequences global warming will bring into our lives, both do not adequately portray the immense emotional and physical suffering that people will go through every day as they live in or migrate through these worsening danger zones. Luckily, as mentioned earlier, there are several must-read books by an award-winning writer that will humanize the intimate details of the approaching climagee social, economic, and political meltdown. Once again, these two spellbinding books on the effects of global warming migration after it is too late are:
Butler, Octavia E. Parable of the Sower. Four Walls Eight Windows, 1993. This is part one of the two sequential novels. It is set in 2024.
Butler, Octavia E. Parable of the Talents. Seven Stories Press, 1998. This is part of two of the Parable duology. It is set in 2032
Octavia Butler is a fabulous fiction writer and these two books are absolute must-reads to see the day-to-day ordinary and extraordinary suffering that escalating global warming will impose upon our future. These two books are emergency preparation must-reads even if you have no doubts about eco-prepping or being part of a smart and strong eco-prepped community. They will educate you in detailed ways we have not been able to due to our lack of powerful phase-by-phase emotional insight into what happens to real people and families in deep crisis.
Franky, we are baffled as to how Octavia Butler was able to so accurately depict the tortuous lives of individuals who waited too long to migrate and suffered the consequences. She skillfully compels the reader along scene by scene as a brilliantly-written cast of families migrates up the California coast through crisis after crisis. It is impossible not to be drawn into the painful personal details of what happens to these decent, regular families when societies break down at every level because of the consequences of late-stage global warming.
There is now a third book we strongly recommend. For those of you who do not like reading a lot of science and want to be entertained about this difficult subject. Get On Vestige Way by David Spielberg just arrived at Amazon. It is an emotion-packed novel about how global warming effects the future and fate of the world’s Millennials, generation Z, corporations and the political alliances we take for granted.
Get it for anyone you know who doesn’t like to struggle through global warming science as in books like Climageddon and, who would rather be entertained and educated without ever even knowing that they are being educated. It is so hard to put down you will be missing work and sleep wondering what happens next to the story’s heroes and heroines struggling with the very real future climate challenges the younger generations will face most of all.
Not only is it exceptionally well-written with compelling characters and elegant descriptions that seamlessly take you in and through every fast-changing scene, quite surprisingly, it also follows real global warming science more honestly than you will find almost anywhere else except in the newest global warming science books such as Climageddon.
B.) In addition to the general admonition above, it is important to understand that not all eco-prepped communities are as strong as others.
Eco-prepper communities with a strong, deep, and healthy spiritual or philosophical central core are much more likely to survive than communities that do not. This is because the tragedy, suffering, and shock of what is going to happen as global warming escalates towards the later of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario, is far beyond the scope or scale of any mass crisis that humanity has ever faced in the past.
Eco-communities based on deep and time-tested spiritual or philosophic values and meanings will have “roots” deep enough to withstand the storms of chaos that will pass wave by wave through them. To give you a good example and model of an eco-prepped community established on deep and time-tested scientific, spiritual, and philosophic values and meanings, click here, then read this online booklet about the Universe Community. (Please note, some pages in this booklet have been viewed online almost 20,000 times.)
C.) There is a vast amount of information on the Internet about “preppers” in general. Much of it is very helpful, but be very careful who or which organizations you get involved with.
There is a subsection of the prepper movement that includes many wild conspiracy-based survivalists groups, as well as imbalanced and unhealthy religious, social, political, and UFO cults permeating some of the prepper web pages. You definitely want to steer clear of these type of groups, and you definitely want to be very secretive and careful about what you tell people about your survival or migration plans. (Here is an interesting online page from the Universe Community describing good reasons and ideas for eco-preppers and setting themselves apart from the aforementioned extreme survivalists and other unhealthy groups.) There are videos on the more healthy and balanced internet prepper web pages that will warn you about this as well.
One last thing to think about: many of the traditional preppers who will want you to join their group have unfortunately already set up their communities in the global warming unsafe danger zones, which will be quite useless as the global warming emergency expands.
Here are a few other useful eco-prepping resources for inspiration:
Rich, Nathaniel. Odds Against Tomorrow. Farrah, Strauss and Giroux, 2013. This is a fictional novel based on a global warming catastrophe in New York City. An entertaining and easy read. Not as detailed as Olivia E. Butler's books, but a definite contribution to humanizing and emotionalizing the effects of global warming.
Newitz, Annalee. Scatter, Adapt, and Remember: How Humans Will Survive a Mass Extinction. Doubleday, 2013. If you have any doubts about the need to migrate as things get worse, this well-written easy to read book will get you back to basics quickly.
LaConte, Ellen. Life Rules: Nature's Blueprint for Surviving Economic & Environmental Collapse. New Society Publishers, 2012. This book goes a little deeper on the general principles of surviving what is coming.
Before you go on to the last absolutely critical action step, we have to tell you the bitter reality of the migration solution super-shocker!
Having said everything we have said above, we are sorry for this additional bad news, but it is essential to know ALL of the facts about the emergency we all face in order to make the best choices for you, your family and business as well as the future of humanity. Here is that bitter reality check.
Unless we make the required radical and immediate fossil fuel cuts shown below, migrating above the 45th parallel north and below the 45th parallel south is only a temporary survival solution partially insulating you from the earliest phases of the Climageddon Scenario. It will be a bitter or temporary solution if we do not make the following minimum fossil fuel reductions.
In order to prepare you for the shocking REAL fossil fuel reductions that now must be made, it is first necessary to see just how poorly our previous fossil fuel reduction agreements and actions have fared since we were first notified about the global warming extinction danger by our scientists over 35 years ago.
What has been hidden from you
1. We have actually increased fossil fuel use more this century than in the last two decades of the 20th century. To make this point alarmingly clear, more than half of all fossil fuel emissions that have been released in the last 25 years and parked in the atmosphere are more than were released in all of recorded history before 1990.
2. Even though we have had over 20 international conferences on fossil fuel use reduction, and we had international treaties since at least 1993 pledging we would reduce global warming, worldwide we still are about 67% higher in carbon emissions than the early 1990s. (Atmospheric carbon emissions is probably the best way to measure future global warming.)
3. In 2018 carbon emissions increased another dramatic 2.7% and they are projected to increase once again in 2019.
Yes, intentionally or through ignorance, our governments, the media, and most of the world's environmental groups have not been telling us the REAL facts about how what our REAL lack of any progress whatsoever in reducing the rate of fossil fuel use increases, much less the complete absence of any substantive reductions anywhere across the world in reducing atmospheric carbon.
Keeping the preceding horrific failure of any appreciable efforts to take seriously fossil fuel reductions, or even reducing the rates of increases, now please explore the REAL fossil fuel reductions that must be made to save our future. (If you don't believe we are telling you the facts about our dismal failure in reducing global warming over the last 35 years, click here to view a short video by climate Professor Kevin Anderson in a recent presentation to the Oxford University Climate Society.)
(If you do not understand how fossil fuel emissions of carbon into the atmosphere creates global warming, please click here for a set of simple illustrations and then continue reading...
What must be done
The absolute minimum total fossil fuel reductions that must occur to prevent the likelihood of going extinct within the next few decades are:
a. All industrially developed nations must reduce their total fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025 and then continue reducing fossil fuel use to net zero carbon emissions by 2035. Net carbon zero emissions in this solution means that no additional fossil fuel emissions are going into the atmosphere that are not also simultaneously being removed from the atmosphere by natural means. (Only about 20 countries produce 70% or more of the world's carbon emissions.)
Think of developed nations like most members of the G 20 group; Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, China, and India. (See technical note 1 near the end of this page for why China and India had to be included in the list of developed countries.)
b. All developing nations must maintain their total fossil fuel emission levels as they are at the beginning of 2019 and not allow them to go any higher. Then by 2045, all developing nations must also be at net zero carbon emissions. This allowance for developing nations to stay at the level they are now and gradually reduce down to net zero carbon emissions by 2045 is part of an essential justice and equity equation. The developed nations created their wealth by producing the far greatest majority of all carbon emissions in the atmosphere today, thus causing almost all of our current global warming emergency. (See technical note 2 near the end of this page for more about justice and equity allowances.)
There is much more information including the technical footnotes that will help explain the severity of the above fossil fuel reductions in detail and what our individual, business and national annual targets would be on this page. We strongly suggest you go to this page of technical footnotes for all of the qualifications and factors legitimizing the above-required fossil fuel reduction amounts and time frames. Especially if you're a techie or researcher, please read all the relevant calculation information on these absolutely essential minimum fossil fuel usage reductions before continuing on...
Unfortunately, we are not making anything even close to these required levels of fossil fuel cuts. This means that as the global warming emergency spirals further out of control into the last phases of the Climageddon Scenario, it will be the end of everything—no matter where you are located or how wealthy you are. Yes, you read it right! We do mean the end of humanity and civilization no matter where you are located.
Without in any way diminishing the tremendous value of every person wanting to extend their and their children’s time and quality of life for as long as is possible, it is also critical to realize that even if we are very lucky, your long-term quality of life and survival for much more than 30-50 years will not be possible even in the Goldilocks global warming safer zones between the 45th and 55th parallel north and the 45th And 55th parallel south. It is likely that long before 30 to 50 years from now the many spillover consequences of even the earliest phases of the Climageddon Scenario will significantly destabilize your day-to-day lives as you try to deal with a world turning upside down.
The only way to reverse the current global warming emergency is to radically and suddenly reduce all fossil fuel burning to the required levels mentioned above. Doing this quickly enough will most certainly lead us to a global economic recession or depression. Additionally, enforcing the required level of immediate global economic hardship from these required cuts is nearly impossible.
Making these fossil fuel cuts will require massive cutbacks in the current methods of our mass production global agriculture. This is because agriculture depends so heavily on fossil fuels for its fertilizing and pest prevention chemicals as well as in its food growing, processing and transportation areas. This means as we do make the needed fossil fuel cuts, there will be the social chaos of mass starvation as well.
If you are in a developed country, to help you grasp how difficult these massive global fossil fuel cuts will be, imagine that in the next six years you personally will have to cut all of your home, auto, travel, business and national uses of fossil fuels by 75%, then cut another 10% from that point each year for the next 10 years. Citizens of the world who did not fully understand both the urgency and critical importance of why they needed to make these radical, immediate and painful sacrifices would literally throw any politician out of office or would even overthrow any government that tried to enforce these kinds of radical energy and fossil fuel usage cuts to their comfortable or even subsistence level lifestyles and livelihoods.
But there are even worse reasons why migration is only a temporary solution!
In Phase 3 or 4 of the Climageddon Scenario, the greatest mass migration of climagees in human history will be well underway, and vast amounts of land between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south will be all but abandoned. People will migrate because of unbearable heat, mass starvation, the global warming cluster of consequences, crashing economies, failing governments, scarce resources as well as a Mad Max-like social chaos in the most adversely affected areas.
These adversely affected areas will be ruled by warlords and criminals as governments fail. Those forced by poverty or other circumstances to remain between the 45th parallel north and south will find a future of unbearable suffering or death.
As those vast dead zones between the 45th parallel north and south are abandoned, the highly skilled technicians who oversaw the ongoing safety of the many nuclear power plants (Think of (Chernobyl and the Fukushima meltdowns,) and hazardous chemical plants will no longer be there to prevent meltdowns or toxic chemical spills. Governments will also no longer function, providing the security necessary to prevent nuclear reactor meltdowns, toxic chemical spills or the remaining desperate individuals from raiding military weapons storage facilities and biological, chemical, or nuclear weapons development centers in the unsafe zones.
While the damage from toxic chemical spills or conventional military weaponry will initially be limited, it will be only a matter of time before hundreds of water-cooled nuclear power plants in the global warming unsafe zones meltdown. Like Chernobyl and Fukushima, they will spew their unsurvivable levels of toxic radiation around the world. Worse yet, this accumulating and intensifying radiation from dozens then hundreds of nuclear reactors which have gone into meltdown will remain in our atmosphere for hundreds to thousands of years, far past the survival capabilities of any underground shelter ever constructed.
This massive amount of toxic nuclear radiation means that eventually there will be no survivors. It will not matter how well the ultra-wealthy individuals, corporations, or nations stock their underground shelters in the far north or far south.
This is because we do not currently have any self-sustaining and continuously repairable energy generation, mechanical, or oxygen-creation technologies that could run continuously underground for hundreds to thousands of years. There are no current technologies that could meet all of the continuous needs for any underground survival group. (There is even a book about an eventual global warming-caused extinction because of abandoned nuclear reactors melting down. It is called Going Dark by Guy McPherson, Professor Emeritus of Natural Resources and Ecology & Evolutionary Biology at the University of Arizona.)
The nuclear power plant meltdown threat and the military weapons seizures in the global warming unsafe zones do not even include the threat from all of the chemical and biological weapons manufacturing sites that will also deteriorate and leak out their toxins into the environment. If we do not fix this global warming emergency now, it is hard to imagine a worse hell on earth for those unlucky enough to survive.
Additionally, the actions of well-armed angry climagees will eventually overcome any national border defense strategy. Any mined and reinforced border walls or other attempts to secure borders from the hundreds of millions of soon-arriving climagees will not hold, no matter how well-defended.
Conventional weapons caches as well as biological, chemical, and nuclear weapon caches from abandoned, broken or desperate nations located between the 45th parallels north and south will be used against any wall or fortified border area. Desperate mobs and armies of climagees will do anything to get themselves and their families into these temporarily safer zones (once they too realize what is really going on with global warming.)
Once these climagees get through the last border defenses, they will quickly locate any underground survival bunkers and force them open one way or the other for the critical resources inside. (In most cases, all they need to do is find and seal off the above-ground air intakes until those inside are forced to flee or suffocate.)
If massive amounts of unsurvivable toxic radiation circulating the Earth for hundreds to thousands of years and hordes of vengeance-seeking climagees are not enough to convince you that escalating global warming emergency is not survivable, here are additional survival facts about the situation we will face:
1. A drastically reduced population will also not have enough genetic diversity to survive the onslaught of continuous new bacteria and viruses being released from the melting permafrost or from the northerly and southerly migrating diseases that will flourish in the global warming-created wastelands between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south.
2. Gradual starvation. It is currently estimated that lands above the 45th parallel north and below the 45th parallel south, because of poorer soils and reduced hours of sunlight will be capable of producing enough food for only 200 to 800 million people.
In this future hell, things will be particularly bad for the ultra-wealthy individuals, corporations, or nations who did little or nothing to prevent the global warming emergency other than secure themselves a place in the temporarily safer far north or far south. Angry climagees will seek those out who had the power to make a difference and did not, and they will be subject them to the worst punishments of public justice.
Even though wealthy individuals, corporations and some nations are already secretly buying and/or preparing land in the global warming safe zones at an accelerating pace, (much like smart rats that are always first to leave a sinking ship,) this will not be a better solution for them. In fact it could be worse. (Click here to read about how many of the world's wealthiest individuals are rapidly buying up land in global warming safe zones.)
As mentioned earlier, mass migrations of desperate, aggressive, and armed climagees (climate refugees) and national armies will eventually overrun any and all border security measures, angrily take their fair share of what's left, and severely punish anyone who they even remotely believe had any significant part in letting this horrific global warming meltdown and catastrophe occur either by commission or omission. This means that ultra-wealthy individuals, corporations and nations who did nothing but protect themselves will be at the highest risk.
Eventually, even the hired private security companies of the ultra-wealthy corporations and individuals will eventually turn against their affluent bosses in their security compounds, realizing that they now live in a late-phase Climageddon Scenario world where only firepower and military-style personal training determine survival, final ownership, and safety. Worse yet, and well worth repeating, the climagee survivors of the most painful and devastating catastrophe in human history will be so angry and traumatized they will seek a horrible vengeance on everyone and anyone they hold responsible for causing or contributing to the catastrophe, or for failing to act when they reasonably could have slowed or prevented the worst of it.
In their unimaginable anger and pain, some of the remaining climagee survivors who desperately fight their way into the remaining temporarily safe zones, like some survivors of the Holocaust, will relentlessly hunt down and bring to justice anyone who they believe knew about the escalating global warming emergency and had the influence or resources to fix it, but did not. Those individuals, corporations, and nations of great wealth will most certainly lose all of their power and all of their resources in the massive global backlash of anger and legal punishments that will be directed toward them.
There will be no place on earth or Swiss bank that will be able to save them and their assets from what will be viewed by the survivors as justifiable legal punishment for their gross and unconscionable global warming crimes of commission and omission against the survival of the whole of humanity.
What all of the preceding means that every person, corporation, and nation must do now
There really is no high success probability long-term backup migration plan or Plan B that is a workable and sustainable alternative survival plan for longer than 30 to 50 years to the unbelievably difficult task of ending the global warming emergency. If we do not radically reduce fossil fuel use immediately, even in the global warming safe zones, risk is simply too high that you and your group or nation will not survive.
This means we must do two things very well prepare ourselves to adapt to what is now on avoidable while at the same time radically reducing fossil fuel use to the required levels. If we are very lucky and we do these things passionately, we have some reasonable chance of saving a significant portion of the human species and our civilization up to about 50%. Therefore, the only remaining rational and viable plan to resolve the global warming emergency is to enact the required radical fossil fuel cuts described earlier and execute the critical action steps of Part 3 of the Job One Plan.
Because the required critical fossil fuel cuts are currently not even close to being met and the horrific consequences that will happen to us in the last phases of the Climageddon Scenario (if we allow them to occur,) we are now left with the key global warming fact central to all of the educational efforts of the Job One for humanity mission and organization:
The one and only way for any of us or our children to survive long term is to solve the nearly impossible task in front of us. And, for that to realistically happen, progressive thinking individuals must prepare to survive as long as possible in order to keep working as effectively as possible on parts 3 and 4 of the Job One Plan. (Part 3 of the Job One Plan has the best chance of slowing and lessening global warming enough so that we do not cross the final catastrophic tipping point of carbon 600 ppm and humanity and civilization goes extinct!)
Luckily, when there truly is only one way to solve an impossible task, we almost always choose that way. In part, this is because we are fully motivated and fully focused. We know the truth that there is only one way out!
There is a story from an ancient Chinese military manual called the Art of War by Sun Tzu that reinforces the idea that, even though the task is nearly impossible, when you are fully motivated, focused, and committed to a single remaining course of action, you will often surprisingly succeed.
In this story, a wise Chinese general was cornered at the banks of a large river by an opposing army many times larger than his own. His only means of escape was to get his army across the river before they were attacked. This general had also previously placed enough boats on the bank of the river for escape with his army should that need arise.
As the larger army approached, pushing the smaller army closer to the river, this general gave the order to his most trusted lieutenants to rush to the boats and burn them. When his army saw their only means of escape was being destroyed, they became wildly angry and charged toward the general. The army demanded to know why their trusted general had burned their escape boats and condemned all of them to certain death at the hands of a vastly superior army.
The general calmly said, “We will win this battle or we will die. There is no other alternative and no escape.”
His army now knew their only option was victory or death. Filled with such clarity and single-mindedness of purpose, they fought with such reckless intensity, they defeated the opposing army many times their size.
Now that you truly understand the rapidly approaching endgame consequences of our global warming emergency, you too should no longer retain any illusion of long-term escape for you or your family business or nation. What you may not have realized yet is that our 30 plus year failure to control the escalating global warming emergency and its many consequences means that we too have, in effect, already burned our escape boats.
This is the perilous point that we have come to. If we are lucky, we have 3 to 6 years left to exercise some control over the accelerating emergency and make the required critical fossil fuel cuts.
What do you have to lose and what rational alternative do you have than to act now by getting prepared (parts 1 and 2 of the Job One Plan,) and help us make these cuts by executing parts 3 and 4 of the Job One Plan?
By doing nothing, even if we fail, your inaction will only shorten the critical time frame necessary to move people, technology, and infrastructure to the far north or far south so that you or those you love can be temporarily safe and live a little bit longer with less suffering.
Most people would agree that living for a temporarily longer period with a better quality of life is far better than suffering more and dying soon. Better yet, if we act wisely together to radically cut fossil fuel use now and we are lucky, humanity and civilization will continue. In the end, we either cooperate and work together or we all die together.
Action Step 8: Work together passionately and wisely to slow and lessen the avoidable pain, suffering, and death that is and will be caused by escalating global warming
Once you have prepared and done what you can on parts one and two of the Job One Plan it is critical to warn other progressive thinking individuals who either believe that global warming is real or who actually understand the dynamics of the global warming emergency about the content of this website in the Climageddon book.
You will need as many of these progressive thinking individuals as possible on your team and/or in your migrating new eco-communities both to survive yourself and to be effective on the most critical steps three and four of the Job One Plan.
Once you have expanded the team of individuals willing to acknowledge and deal with the reality of our out of control global warming, if we want to survive, what we absolutely have to do for a permanent solution is resolve the burning of fossil fuels problem once and for all before it triggers the mass extinction phases 4 and 5 of the Climageddon Scenario.
A single simple and constant survival truth to never forget
What we do know is, that no matter what, and in spite of all of the challenges and bad outcomes that are possible, the single constant truth for the best possible global warming outcome is that the faster and more we reduce global fossil fuel use:
a. the more people we will survive to carry on our civilization, and
b. that future generations will suffer less from the ever-increasing sequence of global warming consequences (as described fully in what is called the Climageddon Scenario.)
Every effective action to rein in global warming that we enact in enforcible law will help slow or lessen the suffering and death to come! The key here is to focus on only the most effective actions in a prioritized and critical deadline-driven order so that more of us will survive longer and live better lives.
To see a quick overview of the Job One Plan, click here.
Because of what you are reading on this website and the extremely limited time remaining to save humanity from likely extinction, each of us must "work for the best" (to radically reduce fossil fuel usage,) while also having wisely "prepared for the worst" possible outcomes to protect ourselves, families and businesses from now unavoidable consequences. Once we have prepared for those worst possible outcomes, we must then forget about those preparations and focus ALL of our attention and efforts toward meeting the fossil fuel cuts that need to occur for humanity and civilization to go on.
Just as there are no guarantees in life, there is also no guarantees humanity will be able to resolve the escalating global warming emergency before it moves into the later phases of the Climageddon Scenario. Therefore, prudence dictates having an emergency survival plan for yourselves and loved ones, as well as having our businesses, community, and nation at the ready long before it will be needed.
From the preceding, you can see that there are many steps to getting ready for what is coming. If you have decided to migrate, it is essential that as many other individuals who also believe in sustainable practices and progressive values migrate north as well. No matter how well-prepared you are you will not be able to survive alone. You will also need a community of similar values and vision to survive what is coming!
Additionally, the more individuals who do believe in sustainability and progressive values that move north, the more likely that the social and political situation in these northern areas will also forward these activities and values. If we do survive, this is also very good because those are the kind of values which will be essential to:
a. learning the necessary lessons of the global warming emergency for adapting in the future, and
b. creating a just and peaceful future if humanity and our civilization do survive.
It is truly unfortunate that many groups of religious fundamentalists and political conservatives who do not believe that global warming is real. They will be trapped by their own ideologies which will blind them to the escalating warning signs until it will be too late. They will stay too long in the unsafe areas and the value of their business, homes, and investments will eventually crash.
Making matters worse, when they finally do try to migrate to the safe zones too late in the mass migration process, they will find the most suitable land already occupied and even the least suitable land selling at prices they could not afford even if they did still have their previous assets fully intact. No one deserves this fate, but unfortunately many will continue to deny the global warming realities and will not hear about the Job One Plan in time and will suffer needlessly for it.
The ultimate bitter truth here for us all is that:
a. humanity will be very, very lucky if it keeps from crossing the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point and into the final Climageddon Scenario phases.
b. those who migrate wherever necessary and then organize themselves into strong and sustainable eco-communities will have the best chance of surviving as long as possible and being as comfortable as possible through the worst of the coming times.
c. While we work toward achieving the best possible outcomes, we must also prepare and adapt so we can still salvage as much as is possible of humanity and civilization for the future and future generations.
Here are a few other quick summary ideas from the document above to keep in mind:
Build resilience into your existing personal, community, and national systems. To establish your basic personal recovery resilience, create at least a 30-day reserve of all necessary survival commodities (food, water, heat, energy, lights, toiletries, communication devices, maps, medicines, and self-defense, etc.).
Build backup redundancies into your water, power, heating, sewage, and other critical systems. Do this now so you and your loved ones will not be unprepared, suffer unnecessarily, or die.
Emergency cash or tradeable commodity reserve helps you build early phase financial resilience by building up and storing an easily exchangeable commodity now that you can easily use later when needed. In the later Climageddon Scenario phases, when cash may be no longer accepted or is devalued, you will need to have food, water, medicine, weapons, and maybe small silver coins or other in-demand tradeable commodities to survive in a barter system that will surely evolve.
Mobility will be a key life-saving capability during the worst phases of the global warming emergency and mid-to-late Climageddon Scenario phases. Our crisis-surviving ancestors have repeatedly proven the validity and importance of this mobility (migration) principle.
No government or charity will be able to respond to the ever-increasing global demands for more emergency resources and services as the costs and other consequences of escalating global warming increase in frequency, scale, and severity with each degree of temperature increase.
Being physically and psychologically prepared for emergencies is the most basic form of insurance. It existed long before we ever began paying premiums to today’s insurance companies.
The more people who know when and where to migrate, the more people who will have a better quality of life for a longer period of time.
In addition to the necessary physical emergency preparations, to survive and thrive while dealing with what's coming, you will need to build and preserve your psychological and emotional resilience.
The emergency climate preparedness recommended in the Job One Plan is never wasted. The Job One Plan not only assists individuals with strategies to survive the current global warming emergencies and catastrophes but also helps ensure you survive our many other major global challenges and emergencies.
If we do enter the later phases of the Climageddon Scenario, we are in a no-win situation. No areas of the planet will be safe or secure other than on a temporary basis.
Individuals who prepare to survive ecological catastrophes like our out of control global warming are known as eco-preppers. There is an extensive network of Prepper websites dedicated to different survival and preparedness strategies and philosophies.
Because we have already begun crossing global warming tipping points, business planners, city planners, long-term corporate and governmental planners of all kinds need to immediately begin restructuring their 5, 10, and 25-year plans, always using the least optimistic climate prediction scenarios for how the consequences of escalating global warming will unfold. We will be very lucky if the worst we get is anything even close to the IPCC’s current least optimistic projections! (See the new book Climageddon for more accurate prediction scenarios for our global warming future.)
Never forget, it's not just any land in the north that will be safe. It is fertile land with abundant water that will not destabilize in escalating forest fires, droughts, rain bombs and that is isolated or protected enough so you can survive the marauding hordes desperate and destitute climagees who themselves waited too long to migrate.
What we do know is, that no matter what, and in spite of all of the challenges and bad outcomes that are possible, the single constant truth for the best possible global warming outcome is that the faster and more we reduce global fossil fuel use:
a. the more people we will survive to carry on our civilization, and
b. that future generations will suffer less from the ever-increasing sequence of global warming consequences (as described fully in what is called the Climageddon Scenario.)
To help you keep track of the 4 critical global warming deadlines mentioned above, please see this blog post.
What is Next?
Be sure to also start Part 2 of the Job One Plan. In part two you will take actions to make your lifestyle and livelihood more sustainable. The critical reasons you will be working to make your life and lifestyle more sustainable are:
1. Part 2 tells you how to reduce your individual fossil fuel use to the required minimum levels described above.
2. You will need to institute all of these sustainability practices to help you survive massive global food crop failures and the lack of production and distribution of other essential items due to global warming consequences and side effects.
Click here for Part 2 of the Job One Plan on the best individual actions to help slow the unavoidable 20 worst coming consequences and make yourself more sustainable.
Click here to read an article about smart millennials planning to migrate because of escalating global warming consequences from a New York Times article.
Click here for Part 3 of the Job One Plan for the critical government-driven actions we must get done to have a legitimate hope to slow down the now unavoidable consequences and extinction. Click here for Part 4 of the Job One Plan on how we can get the critical actions of Part 3 of the Job One plan done.