Before we tell you why atmospheric carbon capture technology (NETs which means negative emission technologies, and which is a proposed new technology designed to suck carbon particles out of our atmosphere,) will not save us in time. it would be helpful to tell you a short story to provide a context for what the following materials could mean to your life. (If you do not understand the role of carbon causing the greenhouse gas effect raising global temperatures, click here for a quick illustration.)
Here is the story:
Imagine you are addicted to some dangerous drug that will continue to ruin your life and is almost certain to cause your death within the next 10 years unless you quit completely or at the minimum radically cut back on your usage. You go to the world's leading authority on addiction for help and he says to you, "I know that will be difficult for you to cut down or completely stop using the drug you are on but don't worry. You really don't have to radically reduce your drug usage or quit. I have heard from colleagues that in about 30 years or so there is a promising new technology being developed that should be able to stop you from taking any more of this drug and it will also remove most if not all of the damage that those drugs caused to your body."
It's hard not to imagine that you would not feel betrayed by the advice that this expert is giving you particularly because your life would continue to be seriously harmed by your continued drug use and you probably would suffer horribly and likely die within the next 10 years. As hard as it is to believe, that is exactly what's happening with what our fossil fuel authorities are trying to tell us in the most elusive of ways. And, there are other other important parallels from this story to what you about to read about the effects of not heavily reducing fossil fuel use immediately.
With the above story in mind, here are the details on why carbon capture technology will not save us in time from our 200-year-old vwery serious addiction to fossil fuel use...
Instead of being honest with the public and telling us we needed to immediately make radical, difficult and costly fossil fuel use reductions as well as make critically necessary sacrifices for ourselves, children and future generations, the world's leading global warming authorities at the November 2015 Paris Climate Conference took the cowardly and easy way out. Additionally, in the United States, you will be hearing a lot about a Green New Deal that the democratic party is putting into its 2020 political platform. This Green New Deal also suffers the same fatal flaw that is being used by the world's leading authorities on global warming to keep us from facing the following painful and difficult reality:
the only thing that will save us now from unconscionable global warming consequences for most of humanity is immediate and radical fossil fuel reductions! (Further below you'll see just how radical these reductions need to be.)
Here's how this intentional fossil fuel reduction deception works. Like many things, the devil is in the details.
As the essential part of their calculations to prevent the world reaching a 2°C increase in average global temperature before 2100, and as a critical part of their authorized and "allowable" reductions for ongoing fossil fuel carbon pollution in our atmosphere, our global warming authorities (and everyone else using their calculations like the US Democratic Party,) have included and relied upon the projected effects of a currently non-existing atmospheric carbon removing technology (or as we prefer to call them for very good reason, magical carbon sucking unicorns.)
"Inventing" this atmospheric carbon removal "miracle cure" which will be somehow created sometime after 2050 was the only way to literally force their current publicized atmospheric carbon reduction calculations to work to keep global warming at or below the acknowledged dangerous 2° Celsius level and not require us to make the extremely difficult fossil fuel reductions we actually need to make. (See Jason Hickel. “The Paris climate deal won’t save us – our future depends on de-growth.” The Guardian. July 3, 2017.
These “miracle cure” calculations based upon the reliance of future magical carbon sucking unicorns also allowed the Paris Climate Conference authorities to tell us all to be comfortable and go on as we are now without making of the critical fossil fuel reduction changes or sacrifices now required. Not only will these magical carbon sucking unicorns be unable to keep the average global temperature increase below 2°C they will also be unable to meet the required reductions needed to keep humanity alive and safe long before 2100. (By the way and just for the record, we would have to be extremely lucky the way things are going now to keep below 4 or 5°C by as soon 2060 or 2070.)
These “miracle cure” calculations based on some new technology that will be invented and perfected sometime after 2050 were easy to pass, politically expeditious, and allowed the world's global warming authorities to make everyone believe the most dangerous falsehood possible about our future.
We are currently safe and we are making the necessary fossil fuel reduction progress to prevent the extinction of humanity Long before 2100...
We do not know for sure, but we at Job One for Humanity believe that brilliant fossil fuel industry lobbyists are the true originators of the idea of skewing the calculations in their favor by relying upon nonexistent NETs (magical carbon sucking unicorns,) as opposed to what really needs to be done to effectively reduce fossil fuel use so that we do meet our 2°C targets and we prevent crossing the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point. (For detail information on this carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point that is projected for as little as 50 to 60 years from now as well as the other massive consequences that will be hitting us if we allow the magical carbon sucking unicorn delusion to go unchallenged, click here.)
The obvious advantage to the fossil fuel Industry is that if everyone believes that we only have to reduce our fossil fuel use gradually and a fraction of what we actually have to reduce it, then everyone will go on blissfully and incorrectly using lots and lots of fossil fuel. This allows the fossil fuel industry to get decades more high profits and every ounce of fossil fuels out of the ground at the expense of the health and well being of you and your loved ones.
These “miracle cure” NET calculations were fully relied upon for our current reduction planning in spite of these new carbon sucking technologies:
- not currently existing in any way that could truly be called effective, (More will be said about this in point 2 just below.)
being all but impossible to scale up adequately in time for removing the needed massive amounts of atmospheric carbon, which are conservatively currently estimated at about 100 gigatons just to keep us below a 2-degree Celsius temperature rise. (1 Gigatonne or metric gigaton (unit of mass) is equal to 1,000,000,000 metric tons. 100 gigatons would equal 100 billion metric tons or 100,000,000,000 metric tons.)
As of 2018, the three experimental carbon capture plants currently operating are capable of pulling 500,000 metric tons of carbon out of the atmosphere per year. Unfortunately, the amount of additional fossil fuel energy that it takes to do this creates enormous amounts of additional carbon going into the atmosphere so that the net benefit is grossly inadequate. But far worse than that, to remove the necessary 100 gigatons of carbon from the atmosphere to save us in time, just to keep up with what we are adding in new carbon every year and to get back down to safe levels, we would have to create about 200,000 more carbon capture plants similar to the ones currently operating unsuccessfully.
- potentially having so many catastrophic projected side effects that would make their desperate use to save us at the last minute far worse than the original problem they were intended to solve! (This page has more about the issue of potential side effects.)
The near-complete reliance upon these non-existent new technologies by the world's global warming authorities to miraculously save us at the last moment is both irresponsible and irrational beyond belief! It is delusion at the level of the Emperor's New Clothes parable.
These projections and reality-unproven calculations are especially unconscionable because the very future survival of humanity is held in the balance by the validity of these calculations because, these calculations are determining the fossil fuel reductions your governments are asking (or demanding,) you to make both now and in the future.
Worse yet, these unconscionable groupthink illusionary and delusionary calculations have given the public a false sense of safety.
They have stolen the necessary accurate sense of appropriate urgency about the real dangers that are here today and over the next several decades, not sometime far off in the second half of the 21st century. Without the correct sense of urgency, the public has been prevented from both understanding and making the critical and radical fossil fuel cuts that should have been made and demanded decades ago to prevent the current global warming emergency.
Because of the above and other factors such as additional miscalculations by the world’s leading global warming authorities underestimating by about 20-40% how fast and severe the consequences of global warming will be as well as the failure to include any of the 11 most dangerous global warming tipping points in their global warming consequence prediction timetables, global warming has now become out of meaningful control for at least the next 50 years.
Here are a few additional questions for future investigation regarding the global warming "carbon sucking unicorns" calculation and analysis anomaly:
1. Is this nonexisting equipment calculation for magical carbon sucking unicorns that the whole world has bought into the most clever way the fossil fuel lobbyists induced lazy politicians and timid climate experts to avoid and put off demanding the critical fossil fuel cuts we should've begun decades ago?
2. Was it an ingenious and near invisible way to delude us all into thinking that we don't have to cut fossil fuel use by anything but gradual and painless steps in the present when the exact opposite is true?
3. Was this an absolutely brilliant way for the fossil fuel industry to trick and co-opt the efforts of environmental organizations and honest global warming fossil fuel reduction calculations and continue to make record profits when in fact, the fossil fuel industry should be moving towards far, far lower production and/or closing?
4. Have the big environmental groups bought into this delusion and false calculation because they also consciously or unconsciously, did not believe that they could ever "sell" the real radical and painful cuts to fossil fuel use that are now necessary to their members?
When you look at the real fossil fuel usage cuts that we should be making for humanity survive (as shown below,) you can't help but wonder if the fossil fuel industry lobbyists are far more powerful and smart than any of us has previously recognized!
Here are the actual fossil fuel reductions we should be making:
To slow and prevent the process of crossing the carbon 600 ppm extinction level tipping point, here is what is needed to happen. The absolute minimum amount we need to reduce fossil fuel use to prevent ourselves from being very likely to go extinct is as follows:
a. All developed nations must reduce their fossil fuel use by 75 percent by 2025 and then continue reducing fossil fuel use to zero by 2035. This means that all individuals and businesses within the developing nations of the world must meet these reduction goals.
b. All developing nations must maintain their fossil fuel use levels as they are at the beginning of 2019 and not allow them to go any higher.
c. Part of this reduction equation requires that both China and India no longer be considered developing nations but are immediately transferred into the column for fossil fuel reduction requirements for all other developed nations. This shockingly large and radical amount of fossil fuel use reduction is now needed because our past and current gradual and painless reductions are not even close to what is needed to get close to where we need to be at net zero carbon. To grasp how difficult these cuts will be, imagine that if you live in the developed world in the next 6 years you personally will have to cut all of your home, auto, and business uses of fossil fuels by 75% then cut down to no fossil fuel use within 10 years after this.
To help you grasp how difficult these massive global fossil fuel cuts will be, imagine that in the next six years you personally will have to cut all of your home, auto, and business uses of fossil fuels by 75%, then cut them down to zero over the next 10 years. Those are the real numbers that we are facing and the real cuts we need to make to prevent the likelihood of extinction!
What this all means is that magical carbon sucking unicorns (Carbon Capture Technology, NET's) will not save us in time and that, any reliance on them being discovered, scalable or usable without horrendous side effects miraculously some time after 2050 is not only foolish planning (when the very survival of humanity is at stake,) but it is also extremely harmful in that it makes us think the grossly inadequate gradual reductions we are making now will save us from horrendous, soon-arriving consequences when, in fact, the exact opposite is true.
What this all ultimately means is that we have to face and correctly manage the real cause of escalating global warming, which can only be fixed at this ridiculously late stage of the game by radically reducing fossil fuel use!
For more information on the magical carbon sucking unicorns the fossil fuel industry wants you to believe in so you don't radically reduce your fossil fuel use also see:
Abby Rabinowitz and Amanda Simson. “The Dirty Secret of the World’s Plan to Avert Climate Disaster.” Wired. December 10, 2017.
Climate scientist Kevin Anderson explain the non-viability of these carbon capture assumptions by the Paris conference Agreement. In a more recent Climate Change Leadership Lecture, Anderson further elaborates on Paris’s shortfall, saying we should focus on urgent and deep fossil fuel use reductions now!
Delusions and Contradictions This free ebook explains and elaborates in great detail on the carbon capture technology delusion.
The new Climageddon book published by Job One for Humanity. It describes all of the major dangerous miscalculations, groupthink illusions or delusions currently held by the world's leading global warming authorities as well as the 11 major global warming tipping points.
Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage, Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia.
All of the preceding, and far more information about the escalating warming emergency can be found in the Climageddon book.