It is been all over the news lately that Amazon is looking for a new headquarters for as many as 50,000 of its new and old employees. In this effort, Jeff Bezos and the Amazon location selection team deserve the highest kudos for their farsightedness and brilliance...
Unlike many high tech multinationals who have built their headquarters in global warming unsafe zones like silicon valley (which will regularly flood because of rising sea level, concurrent king tides and storm surges as soon as the 2050’s,) Amazon appears to have wisely taken into account the bleak reality of escalating global warming.
In this age of global warming dominated extreme weather events, any rational company would not want to move their headquarters to a location that will be regularly disabled by global warming aggravated catastrophes like the hurricanes of Harvey, Irma and Marie or the wildfires of northern California and the west coast. Unlike many of our climate denying politicians, Amazon and a rising number of other companies appears to understand that businesses must plan future infrastructure only where the consequences of the global warming emergency will be minimized.
One could say that global warming has already become the greatest disrupter of the 21st-century and that failing to plan for the escalating consequences of global warming is a plan to fail. Because global warming is this great disruptor, the minimal new due diligence criteria for all long term infrastructure investments are:
Do not locate in any millennial floodplains. Millennial floodplains are the newly calculated floodplain maps that many insurance agencies are rapidly creating and adapting to replace the no longer useful 100 year floodplain maps. We are now looking at new super storms and flooding and other severe weather events and anomalies that used to occur only several times per thousand years, which will now occur numerous times every decade. This means that insurance companies will be raising rates for many of their expanded millennial floodplain customers or canceling others altogether. These new millennial floodplain maps will also radically affect real estate property values once they become public.
2.) Do not locate in areas projected for global warming-intensified extended droughts because of stifling heat, water shortages and crop failures.
3.) Do not locate in areas with extensive and near surrounding forests because of increasing wildfire and smoke danger due to the escalating temperatures and atmospheric turbulence (higher winds,) of global warming.
4.) Do not locate in areas projected to have regular “rain bombing” where a month’s or week’s worth of rain falls in a single day or several days and seriously floods inland areas never previously flooded this way.
5.) Do not locate less than 25 feet above sea level. This will take a little explaining.
The carbon level in our atmosphere in parts per million is the best way to tell if we are making progress in reducing or slowing global warming. Currently we are at 409 carbon parts (particles) per million (ppm) with an average increase of 4 more carbon ppm each year. As you can see in the graph things are getting worse at a near exponentially rising rate by trend line!
At our current 409 carbon ppm level, the stability of the massive West Antarctic ice sheet has already been breached and is now irreversible. At the carbon 425-450 ppm threshold which we will hit in about 4-10 years, we will continue crossing more critical global warming tipping pointswithin the climate’s many systems and subsystems, but now at an even faster rate.
Moreover, once we cross the carbon 500 ppm threshold projected about 23 years or less from now, ALL ice and ALL glaciers on Earth will go into completemeltdown and the oceans will eventually rise by 70 meters (230 feet) because of this. This has happened repeatedly in Earth's geological history whenever carbon levels crossed this critical carbon 500 ppm threshold.
When were-calculate sea level rise, which now will also include crossing critical global warming tipping points, these new calculations and allowances predict as much as a 3 meter (10 foot,) sea level rise by 2050. This is not the projected three-foot sea level rise by 2100 put out by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Unfortunately, the IPCC has repeatedly underestimated global warming impacts by 20 to 40% and has utterly failed to properly include calculations for crossing any of the significant global warming tipping points now in play.
This means that if you are planning any piece of infrastructure near sea level that you want it to last longer than 2050, for the minimum level of safety, it would need to be at 10 feet above sea level, plus the height of the king tides and storm surges normal to that area, plus an extra safety measure to insure your infrastructure will be around for more than 50 years. (It is important to also note that several times in Earth’s geologic history after significant climate tipping points were crossed, sea levels have risen by 10 feet or more in as little as two decades.)
The following graph will help you see our currently rising carbon dioxide and carbon ppm levels in the atmosphere from a historic perspective of hundreds of thousands of years. As you can see in the last part of the graph, which has been broken out to better illustrate the last 1,000 years, it clearly shows that we have entered a whole new range of increased atmospheric carbon risk and threat exposure far beyond anything we have experienced for millennia.
For hundreds of thousands of years, we stayed below about 275 carbon ppmv. But since the beginning of our extensive use of fossil fuels in the Industrial Revolution, atmospheric carbon levels and average global temperatures have soared to levels we have not seen for millions of years.
Image via Robert A. Rohdes, Wikimedia commons.(Parts per million by volume (ppmv) includes other pollutants and trace greenhouse gases, such as methane.)
6.) Do not fail to locate significant infrastructure investments in areas near or above the 45th parallel north. Ever increasing heat, security and other global warming consequences will continue to occur creating an eventual mass “climagee” (climate refugee,) migration from the expanding global warming crisis zones below the 45th parallel north.
These migrations are predicted to begin in earnest from 2027 through 2040 and involving first hundreds of millions then billions of individuals as the catastrophic reality of escalating global warming sets in, wreaks havoc and becomes undeniable. Any company that locates in zones that will be inundated with hundreds of millions of desperate climagees will not be able to maintain the minimum safe environment for their employees, production, or distribution activities.
The escalating global warming emergency has forced the creation a new set of criteria for the intelligent location of all future infrastructure. Forward thinking companies like Amazon are among the first to utilize what will be soon accepted as the new minimal criteria for the due diligence planning of any successful future infrastructure. Additionally, do not be surprised to see these same new global warming safe location criteria (mentioned above,) also being quickly adopted in the areas of real estate development, financial investment and commodity and stock market analysis.
Many long-range infrastructure planners from local contractors to local zoning departments to multinational corporate and national government planners as well as insurance risk analysts and the largest banks and investment bankers are also beginning to take note of the broader total economic impacts of escalating global warming on their nation’s GDP (gross domestic product) and conversely, on their own furure risks, markets, and bottom lines. The predictions for how high the total annual global warming-related costs to nations around the world will rise ranges from 5% of totalgross domestic product (in theStern report) to 10% of the total GDP (from the bookClimate Shock) to up to 30% of the total GDP in global warming’s later near-extinction phases as described in the Climageddon Scenario in the new book Climageddon, The Global Warming Emergency and How to Survive It. It is also not unreasonable to project that these same GDP cost/loss percentages will also eventually apply to the net incomes of individuals, families, or small businesses in high risk zones who have not prepared or planned ahead for how to adapt to these increasing impacts.
Jeff Bezos and the Amazon headquarters location selection team really do deserve the highest kudos for their awareness that few talented individuals are going to want to relocate, work, build, or buy homes in any of the rapidly enlarging global warming unsafe zones. They also have most likely anticipated the new reality of escalating global warming soon crashing or soaring real estate prices depending upon what zone you are in and when you buy or sell. Global warming is quickly evolving the real estate adage “location, location, location” to --- be sure your real estate investments are located in a global warming safelocation, location, location.
Don't be surprised if Vancouver’s version of silicon valley or even another location within Canada becomes Amazon’s top selection for their new headquarters. As global warming continues escalating the way it is now, Canada will become one of the safest, most desirable, water-rich and population dense locations in the world, ideal for establishing or relocating future or existing multinational headquarters, manufacturing, and distribution facilities near or above the 45 parallel north.
If global warming keeps escalating unchecked the way it is now (as shown on the carbon ppm graphs above,) soon smart and highly skilled potential employees in global warming unsafe zones who understand what is coming, will actively seek and value relocations with global warming enlightened employers near or above the 45 parallel north…
Welcome to the new world of endless chains of global warming aggravated disasters continually increasing in frequency, severity, scale and cost.
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