Job One for Humanity Executive Director

The honest climate change analysis it provides free will help save many lives.


  • published Astounding Climate Breakthrough in Blog 2021-11-23 17:02:52 -0800

    Biden's Astounding New Climate Breakthrough: The Way to Reduce Global Fossil Fuel Use is Actually to Increase Global Fossil Fuel Use!

    Wait what?       Joe Biden and the John Kerry Climate Clowns are forwarding this new way to reduce the global warming emergency. And it gets even better...

    Read more

  • The Four Major Climate Change Emergency Choice and Strategy Options

    COP 26 has just failed magnificently like the previous 25 climate conferences. So what choices and strategies do you have left?

     

    Read more

  • published Our Accomplishments in 2023 in Us 2021-11-11 16:00:22 -0800

    The Job One for Humanity 2023 Mission Accomplishments

    Last Updated 11.24.23

    At or near the end of every year, our climate change think tank shares what we have done together for a better global warming future. 

    What is most remarkable about the following list of 2023 accomplishments is that we have no paid staff! We do it all on a humble annual budget.

    Yes, everything was done by Job One volunteers (or a rare temporary independent contractor with critical skills that no one on our all-volunteer team has.) 

    Here are just a few of our many 2023 education and action accomplishments as of November 20, 2023:

    1. According to Google:

    a. More than 414,000 unique visits have occurred at our climate change facts and solutions website as of this date.

    b. More than 3,900 hours of free online education on the global warming emergency and what we must do for sustainable lifestyles and livelihoods.

    2. We have had double the shares, likes, and comments on our posts and original articles on 30 Facebook and Internet climate change and environmental newsgroups and our websites!

    3. Total Memberships in 2023 have reached over 7,000.

    4. I've launched the ClimateSafe Villages Movement with about 400 plus people joining up in its first few months.

     

    5. We are just about to launch our new Climate Justice NOW program. It supports victims of climate change worldwide getting their just climate damage restitution in the legal system from the global fossil fuel cartel. Click here to see one part of it.

    6. Guidstar, the non-profit monitoring service, awarded us its highest financial transparency Platinium rating.

    7. We have continuously updated our detailed cutting-edge analysis of new climate research and worsening climate conditions. Click here to see our continuously updated climate change condition and consequence information.

    8. More individuals than ever are working through the preparation, adaptation, and other critical action steps of the highly relevant and effective Job One for Humanity Climate Change Emergency and Resilience Plan

    As global warming consequences accelerate, these steps make their lives and businesses far safer and more stable.

    9. We are serving more individuals than ever before!

    10. Our independent climate change think tank's uncensored dialectical meta-systemic analysis of the climate's many complex adaptive systems steadily influences the leadership of other climate change and environmental organizations.

    We can see the growing influence of our detailed climate analysis work in the changes in their global warming terminology and their new discussions about its most serious global warming consequences. Click here for the master list of primary and secondary global warming consequences.

    11. We have many more new volunteers, increased our membership, and now have over 8,000 global warming emergency petition signatures.

     

     

    12. We extensively upgraded our website software (which now costs about $4000 a year). Using the new system, we set up new online support systems to help our members and volunteers stay motivated and get more done to help get our climate change nightmare under control.

     

     

    13. Many more Job One-educated individuals are now working through their climate change and global warming emergency preparation, adaptation, and other critical personal and collective fossil fuel reduction action steps found in the Job One for Humanity Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan

    14We have continued the bi-weekly to monthly updating of our ongoing team analysis of our worsening climate conditions. These updates are based on the newest research and current fossil fuel reduction activity or inactivity. (Click here to see that continuously updated climate consequence information.)

     

     

    15. Because of our candid climate education, many more individuals have become activists and have realized the seriousness of the global warming emergency and value the many effective action recommendations found within our Job One Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan. 

     

     

    As global warming consequences continue to accelerate, the regularly updated Job One Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan makes the lives and businesses of those using it far safer and more stable!

     

    16. We have been actively pushing for declaring a worldwide Global Warming State of Emergency since 2010. We are nearing the 10,000 signatures level in 2022.

     

     

    17. We have created more alliances with other climate and environmental organizations.

     

     

    18. Because we are educating and motivating far more individuals and executing our mission, we have had far more new donors and more donation support than any other year since 2009! 

    Last but not least,

    Together, we have done a lot this year! To help us do even more in 2024, we invite you to help keep this work going and be an essential part of the global warming solution by supporting our mission. So, if you can afford it, please become either a one-time donor or an annual member!

     

     

    If you can make a tax-deductible donation, you also will get wonderful gifts and a whole lot more! 

    To make a secure one-time online donation, click this donation link. 

    To make a reoccurring monthly donation, click here. 

    Yours for our children and the future,

     

       

      

    Lawrence Wollersheim

    Executive Director

    Job One for Humanity & Universe Spirit

    PS: If you would like to see how we will wisely and frugally use your donations in 2024, click here. 

    Click here to see a profile of our members and the audience of visitors who will most benefit from our website.

    PSS: Go here to see this special membership promotion and everything that is included!

    We always are profoundly grateful for any size donation! 

    Job One for Humanity is part of the 30-year-old 501c(3), IRS-recognized, US tax-deductible not-for-profit organization called Factnet. Guidestar (the respected guide to ethical nonprofits) recognizes us for our financial transparency with their highest Platinum rating.

    For answers to all of your remaining questions about climate change and global warming, click here for our new climate change FAQ. It has over one hundred of the most asked questions and answers about climate change.

     


  • The Horrible History of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Errors and Failures

    Below you will find the five big reasons why the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its 25 previous global climate conferences have fallen into public disrepute. Near the end of the page, you will also find links to decades of different IPCC summary report accuracy problems entirely laid out. 

    Below you will discover for yourself the many climate illusions and delusions that surround and are promoted by the IPCC and its climate conferences:

    1. create a false sense of safety to allow the climate fossil fuel reduction status quo to continue pretty much as is, 

    2. steal the actual public demand and urgency to act and, in their cumulative effect,

    3. are dangerous to the risk and threat assessments needed to protect the future of humanity. 

     

    In this article, you also will discover why the above climate conference and IPCC characterizations are fair and accurate, but first, we have to separate the innocent from the guilty.

    When talking about the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences, we are not talking about the hundreds of honorable climate scientists who volunteer their time and submit their climate studies to the IPCC for evaluation or these conferences. Instead, we are talking about the IPCC and its climate administrators and organizers.

    We are not saying that the IPCC and its 25 previous climate conferences have not done some good over their decades of existence. Of course, they have, but the harms they are doing now and the illusions they are perpetuating are so significant and critical to our future survival, we are obligated to disclose them for the well-being of all humanity. 

    In this article, you will learn how these administrators and organizers take climate research from volunteer scientists and politicize and twist its analysis in ways that definitely do not serve the overall wellbeing of the world's citizens or the many underdeveloped nations of the world. At the end of this article, you will also find a call to action for what you can do to help fix what you will find below.

    For a quick overview of the article here are its sections:

    1. The three big reasons the IPCC's climate conferences should be panned then ignored by you and the world's media,

    2. The BIG takeaways from reviewing decades of well-documented climate conference and IPCC results,

    3. An additional critical fourth reason the many IPCC global climate conferences and climate agreements have not reduced global fossil fuel emissions but have only worsened them, the net-zero carbon neutral illusion and smokescreen

    4. Are the IPCC and its climate conferences trying to help us by hiding a lost cause from us?

    5. What you won't be hearing from the climate conference final reports,

    6. What you most likely will be hearing from the climate conference final reports,

    7. Should the setting of global fossil-fuel reduction targets and predicting the timetables of global warming consequences now be removed from the IPCC and its climate conferences?

    8.  Concluding and summarizing thoughts,

    9. What you can do about the IPCC and climate conference false information nightmare.

    We believe that by the time you finish reading this article and its documentation, you too will adopt the general rule of thumb that whatever the IPCC tells you about the coming climate consequences, timeframes, and remedies will always be underestimated by at least 20-40%. 

    The five big dangerous reasons The IPCC and its climate conferences should be panned then ignored 

    Reason One: The IPCC and the many previous climate conferences are doing the same failed actions over and over again and expecting a different result. 

    Doing the same thing over and over and then expecting a different result is the textbook definition of insanity! Yet, if you look at the IPCC's climate conference result graphs below, you will see this collective insanity in all its haunting splendor.

    The first graph shows atmospheric carbon (CO2) in parts per million (the jagged red line below.) Atmospheric carbon is one of the single best measurements for how we are doing in reducing global fossil fuel use. (Atmospheric carbon is measured annually in atmospheric parts per million [ppm] at Mauna Loa, Hawaii.) 

    As you can see below, atmospheric carbon is not slowing down or stopping. Instead, it is accelerating at an even faster rate as the steepness of the jagged red line increases. The carbon graph below embarrassingly shows the net result of fifty years of climate warnings, thirty-three climate conferences, and half a dozen international agreements to reduce the global warming causing carbon in the atmosphere! 

     

     

    But there is more.

    The next graph below includes the other atmospheric greenhouse gasses like methane and nitrous dioxide as well as carbon. The orange line shows all of the greenhouse gases in what is called the CO2 equivalent (also in parts per million.) 

    The blue line in the graph below shows the total amount of carbon still going up into our atmosphere in gigatons. A gigaton is vastly more than a normal ton! (One gigaton of carbon in the atmosphere is equal to 109 tonnes of carbon which written out is 1,000,000,000 tons of carbon or 1012 kg.) Take a moment and try to get your mind around the insane amount of new carbon we are still putting into our atmosphere each year!

    Under the blue line are listed various climate conferences and our earliest warnings that global warming was a real extinction threat.

    Even beyond the massive environmental damage caused by global warming consequences, with this much carbon going into the atmosphere, there is little wonder why ten million individuals are dying every year from the diseases and other health effects of toxic air pollution caused by burning fossil fuels and the immense amounts of carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gasses we are adding to our atmosphere.

    The next graph also shows the direct results of all of the climate conferences. If you look closely at the light gray dotted lines (below) rising from left to right, you will see that the average annual additional parts per million increases for atmospheric carbon is now growing exponentially. It should be going down! 

     

     

    What is illuminated in the light five gray lines on the graph above is critical additional proof of just how bad the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences are doing in lowering global fossil fuel use. In the 1960s, you can see we were adding .9 more carbon ppm per year. In the 1970s, we were adding 1.3 more carbon ppm per year. In the 1980s and 1990s, we were adding 1.5 more carbon ppm per year. In the 2000s, we were adding 2.0 more carbon ppm per year. And in the 2010s, we were adding 2.4 more carbon ppm per year. Although not in the graph below, in the 2020s, we are adding about 3.0 more carbon ppm per year and we are currently at about the carbon 420 ppm level.

    As you can see, despite all the IPPC's actions and climate conferences (listed above the red line), the amount of additional carbon ppm going into the atmosphere on an annual basis has tripled and risen exponentially since the 1970s. This unconscionable triple acceleration of more and more carbon being released each year is now pushing us into out-of-control climate change and a new and extreme future climate.

    Unfortunately, there is still more. The utter failure of the IPCC and its two dozen-plus climate conferences is further illuminated by the atmospheric methane CH4 graph below. When viewing this methane graph, keep in mind that atmospheric methane is about 80 times more effective than atmospheric carbon in increasing global warming. (The atmospheric methane graph below is in parts per billion [ppb].) 

     

     

    One odd thing to keep in mind about methane is that the fossil fuel lobby has successfully prevented the US government from measuring or tracking atmospheric methane in the US. Can you imagine why the fossil fuel industry does not want you to know how much atmospheric methane they release?

    Looking at all four graphs and their unique measurements above does clearly show the success or failure of previous climate conferences, climate agreements, and the IPCC. As you have discovered, not only are carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gases not slowing down or stopping, they are increasing. Worse yet, most of them are not growing gradually; they have begun to increase exponentially!

    This begs a key question to be resolved. How could one explain such continuous failure or incompetence over decades unless there are other possible hidden factors at work? 

    Reason Two: The IPCC and its climate conference's global fossil fuel reduction targets have been politicized for the benefit of the 28 trillion dollars a year oil-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries

    There are several easy-to-understand examples of how the fossil fuel producers and fossil fuel industries might have compromised the IPCC and the climate conference results. The first example is how the IPCC's global fossil fuel reduction target calculations were cleverly manipulated to allow the fossil fuel industry to keep selling even more of its toxic product. 

    Example One: The "cooking of the fossil fuel reduction books" was done by the administrators and bureaucrats of the IPCC. Their current global fossil fuel reduction calculations make massive allowances for the existence of carbon-sucking unicorns (aka carbon capture technology), which by their estimates, would not even be effective until about 2050, if ever! 

    This 2050 "miracle" new technology was supposed to quickly suck hundreds of gigatons of carbon out of the atmosphere and save us from extinction at the very last minute. Yet, when they did the calculations to create the current global fossil fuel reduction targets for the years leading up to 2050, they already knew that no carbon capture and removal technology had yet to be proven:

    a. at anything even close to the enormous scale that would be needed to remove hundreds of gigatons of atmospheric carbon to save us in time,

    b. at any tolerable economic efficiency to do anything even close to removing the hundreds of gigatons of atmospheric carbon at the last minute to save us from extinction, and

    c. not to have even worse unintended side effects on the climate and the world. (This unproven technology could have side effects that could cause severe, unpredictable droughts or other climate catastrophes in many parts of the world. Moreover, nations starving and suffering from these unforeseen side effects could respond with a  conventional attack or a nuclear counterattack creating WWIII.)

    There are many other details to the magical carbon-sucking unicorn story, which further removes legitimacy from the IPCC's current global warming fossil fuel reduction targets. (All of the verification and documentation for the magical carbon-sucking unicorn story can be found here.)

    Example Two: Because of its politicization, the IPCC and its conferences also grossly underestimate the consequences and timelines of global warming so much that it allows them to further lower the real global fossil fuel reduction targets that are needed. This politicization and underestimation issue has gone on for decades and is well documented on this page. But, before you read the IPCC underestimation documentation page, here is a little teaser that describes the bureaucratic research, analysis, and summary approval process at the IPCC that should outline this problem.

    What surprises many individuals is that the IPCC itself does not do original global warming research. Instead, working as unpaid volunteers, thousands of scientists from around the globe sift through the most current scientific literature on global warming and the climate. After completing this review, these unpaid scientists identify trends, write a draft report, and submit it to the IPCC.

    Next, the IPCC reviews the submitted research from these scientists. This review typically takes five to seven years to complete. Then, in a tediously slow and bureaucratic process, the IPCC creates comprehensive reports and assessments, including global warming prediction scenarios. Then, in the near to last step, other scientists take the assembled draft again and review and revise it as needed.

    Finally, a summary for national politicians and policymakers is written. This additional review condenses the science even further. This new and final public summary report is then subjected to a line-by-line review and possible revision by non-scientist national representatives from more than 100 world governments. These non-scientist national representatives must each approve the final summary document before it is signed and presented to the public.

    Example Three: The IPCC and its climate conferences have repeatedly failed to include calculations and allowances for few if any of the hundreds of essential climate system and subsystem tipping points. This absence is dangerous because a crossed climate tipping point is usually followed by a sudden and drastic change in that area or a complete area collapse. Furthermore, a crossed tipping point in one area of the climate system also often triggers crossing more tipping points in other areas of our intimately connected climate system. Thus, one crossed climate tipping point in the right place can create a tipping point feedback loop of more and more tipping points being crossed.

    Once a climate tipping point is crossed, it is far more time-consuming and difficult for that area to recover and re-establish its original condition. Yet, in their predictions, it seems the IPCC and its climate conferences want you to believe that either climate tipping points do not exist or that we will not cross them. This is because they rarely, if ever, appear as a part of their global warming scenario calculations. (For more information about the climates 11 major tipping points and how these tipping points are already unfolding, click here.)

    A big takeaway here is that because of the three examples above, the IPCC and its climate conference's current global fossil fuel reduction targets are so underestimated and corrupted that they are not only useless, they are dangerous to use! Moreover, if we use these underestimated targets, much of humanity will be dead by 2050, and the rest of us will go extinct over the following decades. (If you are interested, the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets that can save humanity from extinction are found on this page.)

    At some point, we still recommend reading the detailed IPCC history of underestimation, which is on this page. We also strongly recommend you watch this video by Peter Carter. It covers more about the sad history of the IPCC, its many conferences, and its continuous global fossil fuel reduction failures.

    Reason Three: The IPCC and its climate conferences operate under the irrational and impossible to achieve principle that "society's emergency transformation away from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not ever hurt national or global economies"

    The IPCC and its climate conferences appear to always forward solutions that "will not or must not" harm the economies of the most powerful UN members. But, this principle that transforming fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not hurt the world's economies is an incorrect and insane handicap that cripples legitimate and effective solutions.

    There are several reasons for this economic principle being wrong in the case of our extinction emergency

    Reason One: We have wasted 50 years of global warming extinction warnings when we could have made gradual fossil fuel use reductions that could have allowed a more gradual transfer to green energy generation with minimal economic damage.

    That time has long passed! Our current extinction danger demands that neither the profits of a few corporations nor the wellbeing of any economy has any true priority over the survival-critical need to immediately avert a soon-arriving mass extinction. 

    Reason Two: The most important economic factor that we should be facing concerning moving from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation is that a mass human die-off will unfold until much of humanity is dead by mid-century. This is because if we do not fix this extinction emergency by getting close to the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, the global economy will most certainly be economically ruined far beyond any crash or disaster that has ever occurred in history. 

    There will be massive job loss beyond anything ever imagined simply because so much of humanity will be dead. The real estate, stock, and commodity markets will also crash for similar reasons, lack of living customers, and social chaos.

    Reason Three: If your nation was under attack and its very survival was a stake, your military generals would naturally want to launch an immediate defense and counter-attack. In this case, no one would ever tell them that they could do that because it would hurt the national economy. 

    This example is no different from the global warming extinction emergency. All of humanity is now under global warming attack. 

    All of humanity's survival is at stake if we do not act immediately to get close to the 2025 targets. Therefore, no sane or financially uncompromised individual (or group) has any legitimate right to demand that "the only way we can take the critical actions to survive (our global warming defenses and counter-attack) is to make sure that these actions do not harm or affect the economy. 

    In other words, the correct economic principle must now be "we must fix the global warming extinction emergency because of its imminent extinction threat, even if it harms economies temporarily! If we do not follow this critical humanity-saving new economic principle, the global economy will eventually and definitely crash, taking all nations with it and, our global warming future will go wildly out of our control.

    The BIG takeaways from reviewing the above decades of well-documented climate conference and IPCC results

    There are several key takeaways from the information above:

    1. If you have thought about the above information, you probably wonder how the intentions, will, and wellbeing of billions of people worldwide could be so ignored and thwarted decade after decade by the IPCC and its scores of conferences? Billions of people want safe air to breathe and a future free of the unthinkable destruction of accelerating global warming consequences.

    To thwart the intentions of billions of individuals for a safe future and health over a five-decade period would take nothing less than an extraordinary, continuous, and even stronger counter intention. We at Job One for Humanity believe the evidence points to the hidden hand of fossil fuel-producing nations and the fossil fuel-related industries. (This is not unreasonable because the fossil fuel industry wields the financial power of 1/3 of the world's total gross domestic product [GDP.]) 

    What you see in the above graphs is not mere incompetence or honest mistakes. You see the decades-long hidden corruption and co-opting of the IPCC and its climate conferences by fossil fuel interests and their financial resources. 

    To put this statement into scale and a pausable perspective, all one has to do is recall that in the US, the far smaller cigarette industry thwarted almost all regulation and hazardous product warmings through false research studies, lobbyists, and large donations to favorably politicians, etc. for 50 years! 

    2. The popular media worldwide has also played an essential part in promoting and maintaining this decades-long charade of false hope and underestimated global warming reduction targets. This is partly because in many cases, the big media companies are wholly or partially owned by the fossil fuel-related industries. With the fossil fuel industries having such a large financial influence over the major media companies, it is easy to understand why the media has not exposed this tragic and ongoing dangerous fraud. And,

    3. An old saying is that, if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it's a duck! The same could be said for the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences. If it looks like it's protecting the fossil fuel industry profits and has in fact protected fossil fuel earnings with bogus reduction targets, it has been corrupted by the fossil fuel industry.

    Reason 4: Why the many IPCC global climate conferences and climate agreements have not reduced global fossil fuel emissions but have only worsened them, the net-zero, carbon-neutral illusion and smokescreen

    Honest, independent, and non-politicized climate researchers have been trying to tell the world for over 50 years humanity is facing extinction. These researchers have been begging us to begin immediate global fossil fuel use reductions to come as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to survive the extinction threat. 

    The 2025 global reduction targets are not anything like the fossil fuel industry-sponsored national net-zero carbon neutral targets, which nations are saying they will reach by 2070, 2060, 2050, 2040, or even 2030! For instance, India has pledged it will be net-zero by 2070, and China promised it will be net-zero by 2060. With much theatrical media coverage, Saudi Arabia also announced it will become net-zero emission by 2060. (Including the US at net zero by 2050, India and China make up the world's three largest carbon emitters.)

    But, there are big secrets concerning the net-zero carbon-neutral pledges. They, too, are feel-good illusions that do not produce anything even close to what is being promised. 

    These net-zero pledges are based predominantly on carbon offsetting. A carbon offset is supposed to reduce global carbon dioxide emissions or other greenhouse gases by compensating with emissions produced elsewhere. Unfortunately, carbon offsets are very difficult to verify, have considerable incentives for fraud, and are easy to fake by both purchasers and the suppliers of such carbon offsets. Additionally, carbon offsets have either no penalties or weak penalties for fraud. 

    James Hansen, the first climate scientist who warned us unchecked global warming would lead to our extinction, has described carbon offsets as "modern-day indulgences, sold to an increasingly carbon-conscious public to absolve their climate sins." Carbon offsets may also be interpreted as greenwashing. This is especially true in the case of most corporate commitments, which do not include actionable goals and schedules that implicate that their 'net-zero' emission goals are anything more than good publicity.

    Theoretically, carbon offsets were meant to support projects that reduce the emission of greenhouse gases in the short or long term. A common offset project type is renewable energy, such as wind farms, biomass energy, biogas digesters, or hydroelectric dams. Other offsets include:

    • Energy efficiency projects like efficient cookstoves.
    • The destruction of industrial pollutants or agricultural byproducts.
    • The destruction of landfill methane.
    • Forestry projects.

    But, that is not what is really happening. Instead, carbon offsets have become another clever way for nations to make fabulous public net-zero pledges, which facilitate hiding their lack of actual fossil fuel reduction from their citizens and the world. 

    In addition to the fraud-friendly carbon offset issue, most net-zero carbon neutral pledges are back-end loaded, meaning most of the cuts are to come well after 2025. (Our last chance fossil fuel reduction target for keeping global warming under our control.) 

    Most of these "emperors' new clothes" pledges also assume steady major technological advances in currently non-existent or unproven technologies or outright revolutionary tech breakthroughs that will somehow reach the required levels of development and scale to save us at the last moment. These net-zero carbon-neutral pledges are just another form of illusion keeping us from making the real and hard choices. These pledges also specifically exclude all fossil fuel exports from figuring into the national accounting and calculations for the net-zero pledge goals. As you can see, net-zero carbon-neutral pledges have more loopholes than a swiss cheese has holes. 

    Unfortunately, there is yet more to the net-zero carbon neutral illusion:

    a. Tracing the history of illusions in climate policy from 1988 to 2021, climate scientists James Dyke, Robert Watson, and Wolfgang Knorr "[arrive] at the painful realization that the idea of net-zero has licensed a recklessly cavalier "burn now, pay later" approach which has seen carbon emissions continue to soar!

    b. In his 16-page report, Dangerous Distractions, economist Marc Lee states that "'Net-zero" has the potential to be a dangerous distraction that reduces the political pressure to achieve actual emission reduction." "A net-zero target means less incentive to get to 'real zero' emissions from fossil fuels, an escape hatch that perpetuates business as usual and delays more meaningful climate action." 

    c. Current net-zero policies will not keep warming within the UN's 1.5°C temperature rise target because they were never intended to. They were and still are driven by a need to protect business as usual, not the climate. If we want to keep people safe, then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen now. The time for wishful thinking is over.

    d. In March 2021, Tzeporah Berman, chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, argued that the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty would be a more genuine and realistic way to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement than the "Net-zero" approach. She claimed the net-zero approach is "delusional and based on bad science." 

    (The above four statements were found on Wikipedia.)

    The current net-zero pledges by the world's top fossil fuel users and producers are telling and sadly funny. If we keep going as we are now, by 2050 - 2070, there will be few, if any, of us left to see if any nation even fulfilled its ridiculously "far too little, far too late" net-zero pledges. 

    The toothless, unenforceable, and vague net-zero pledges should be seen as nothing more than media bla, bla, bla. They are great theatrics for the pledging nations on the world stage. 

    The nations loudly promoting their net-zero pledges also helps hide the truth that the world's top 20 carbon emitters have made no commitments to directly and immediately cut their national fossil fuel use! 

    The correct 2025 targets now need to be enacted to compensate for 50 years of inaction. They will require tremendous sacrifice, suffering, and hardship for all the world's people, industries, and nations. 

    These 2025 global targets require that the world's developed nations enforce and come close to a 75% total reduction in ALL global fossil fuel use by 2025. In addition, these 2025 targets include lesser climate justice-adjusted targets for undeveloped countries, which did not play a major role in creating the global warming emergency. These 2025 national fossil fuel reductions of 75%  include China and India.

    Are the IPCC and its climate conferences trying to help us by hiding a lost cause from us?

    If we attribute the most positive intentions to the IPCC and the attendees of its global climate conferences, one could easily believe that the IPCC, our governments, and even the fossil fuel-related industries were actually trying to prevent a worldwide loss of hope to prevent a global panic. So, if we do attribute the most positive intentions to the fossil fuel industry, the fossil fuel industry was forced to corrupt and co-opt the IPCC and its climate conferences to save humanity from the painful truth that much of humanity will be dead by 2050.

    It is reasonable to believe that they believed the climate truth and future would create widespread global panic if it were known by the general public ahead of time. Therefore making everyone think we are safe with a big lie about the global warming emergency would be a necessary and "good" thing in the mind of those who do not believe in the resilience of humanity.

    Panic is defined as "a hurried frenzy to do something." If panic helps get something done that is life-critical, then panic is the appropriate evolutionary emotion that needs to be used!

    What the IPCC (and its fossil fuel industry handlers) have underestimated concerning public panic is that there are still years left for the public to get prepared and start adapting to the radical climate catastrophes that are coming. They have also failed to understand that society's wisest individuals and businesses are already preparing resilience backup plans. And, the rest of society will start doing the same sometime after they watch global conditions deteriorate a bit further.

    What the IPCC, its fossil fuel industry handlers, and these climate conferences attendees do not apparently value is that to prevent a panic where panic is the appropriate and needed response to an impending catastrophe, it is far more dangerous and destructive to hide the valid reasons why the world's citizens should be at the highest alertness and action level concerning this accelerating global warming catastrophe.

    On the other hand, if you apply the principle of Occam's Razor that the simplest and most obvious explanation is often the best explanation, the fossil fuel industry has corrupted and co-opted the IPCC and its climate conferences simply because it wanted to continue to maintain its profits for as long as possible. 

    So here is what we now still face. We have to get close to the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. if we don't, We will lose much of humanity (more than 50%) by mid-century.

    Worse yet, we will also cross tipping points into uncontrollable runaway global warming and near-total extinction just a few decades after mid-century. (If you still believe that much of humanity dying off by mid-century is not possible or probable, please read this amazing page. It will explain in great detail all of the primary and secondary global warming-related consequences which will lead us close to inevitable extinction.) 

    Based on what we have been discussing, it's time to have some fun with what could or should be happening next.

    What you will not hear from the IPCC or in its climate conference final reports

    The following is what you should hear based on objective, non-politicized climate science. And yes, there is no chance that we will hear the following from any official statement at the end of any climate conference.

    Here is what they should be saying.  

    We, the IPCC and previous climate conference attendeesformally apologize to generations X, Y, and Z, all older world citizens, and the most at-risk underdeveloped nations for:

    a. failing to get the world's governments to declare a national and international global warming state of emergency. (This would greatly facilitate those governments allocating all necessary personnel and resources to ensure the correct actions needed to get them close to their 2025 national fossil fuel reduction targets.)

    b. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments and getting them to understand that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, much (51% or more) of humanity will be dead by mid-century. We also should have made it painfully clear that most of these global warming-related deaths will occur within the poor and undeveloped countries between the 40th parallel north and the 4Oth parallel south.

    In the image below, the red line marks the 40th parallel north. The yellow line marks the 40th parallel south.

     

     

    We have repeatedly hidden these facts and failed to make the world and the world's politicians understand that escalating global warming is an imminent extinction threat. It will not be much different in total human deaths, suffering, and many other consequences than if a planet killer asteroid hit the earth about mid-century. (Imagine what happened in the Hollywood movies Deep Impact or Greenland). 

    (To learn why it is critical to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, please go to this page which explains the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points which we will rapidly cross if we do not get close to reaching the 2025 targets.)

    c. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, there also is a high probability humanity will suffer near-total extinction beginning by about 2070. (To learn about how this near-total global warming extinction process will occur, please see the primary and secondary warming-related consequences.)

    d. failing to educate and prepare the world's citizens for the many severe and unavoidable consequences of our 50 years of climate inaction or ineffective action. We must now endure painful sacrifice and immense suffering as we radically cut global fossil fuel use to come close to the 2025 targets to save a liveable future for some of humanity and their children.

    e. repeatedly failing to state the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets while simultaneously, making the public falsely believe in the illusion that if we simply reached net-zero emissions by 2040, 2050, or some other date far beyond 2025, humanity would be safe from extinction.

    f. manipulating and "cooking" the global fossil fuel reduction target calculations by including inappropriate compensatory calculations involving unproven carbon capture technologies. We knew that carbon capture was not proven at scale, was not even remotely economically possible, or tested for possible even worse side effects. Yet, we still included carbon capture compensatory calculations for our global fossil fuel reduction targets even though we knew carbon capture would not be a viable solution in time to save us from the worst extinction level consequences of global warming. This carbon capture scheme was another one of the many geoengineering type illusions we have promoted to help create a false sense of progress, future safety, and that some new technology breakthrough will save us at the last minute from extinction.

    g. promoting other carbon capture schemes to achieve net-zero emissions like Cap-and-Trade, which also create an illusion of safety and will not work in time to save us from global warming's worst consequences! We have failed to adequately disclose to the public that natural, technical, and economic carbon capture schemes are difficult to get up to scale up, verify, or enforce, and they are far too easy to cheat on. 

    h. failing to repeatedly state that the most direct and honest way to make the critically needed global fossil fuel reductions to the required levels in time to save us, is, to simply and immediately drastically reduce fossil fuel use! This now requires enforcing national targets to come close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction target levels.

    i. repeatedly failing to push the world's governments to agree to enforce these 2025 targets and agree that if they fail to enforce their national targets, they acknowledge they will be punished economically by the world community on an escalating basis until they do meet their agreed-to national fossil fuel reduction targets. 

    j. making world citizens believe that we were making progress in reducing global fossil fuel use when it was actually getting worse, much worse!

    k. wasting decades of legitimate scientific warnings when global fossil fuel reductions could still have been gradual and far more manageable.

    l. hiding the true urgency and severity of the current global warming extinction emergency. 

    m. unfairly creating recommendations, fossil fuel reduction targets, and policies that favor the wealthiest nations over the poorer nations and act to ignore or minimize climate justice concerns and principles. And finally,

    n. being corrupted and co-opted by the fossil fuel industry to invisibly serve its profit-maintenance goals rather than the wellbeing of all current world citizens, all nations, and future generations.

    If by chance, there was a rebellion at any climate conference, and they could seize control away from the invisible, hidden hand of the fossil fuel industry and the wealthiest nations, the above list would be a perfect climate conference closing summary statement and apology to the world.

    What you most likely will continue to hear from in highly politicized climate conference final reports

    .The hidden hand of the fossil fuel industry will still be influencing global fossil fuel reduction amounts at current and future climate conferences. We will hear more of the same; "if we only reach net-zero by 2050 or we reach net-zero by 2040 or 2030," we will still be able "to have our cake and eat it too."

    Ultimately, the IPCC and these conferences will still be trying to feed us that we can reduce global fossil fuel use just enough to maintain a growing economy without drastic reductions or the painful sacrifices of our fossil fuel-linked comforts. And that is delusional thinking at its worst!

    We will also hear about geoengineering as a great new solution to global warming that will again allow us to keep all of our current fossil fuel comforts and do little to reduce our current fossil fuel use. We will be fed other tech solutions that simply won't work with the limited amount of time we have left (until 2025.) We will hear about many other bright and shiny new solutions that simply can't overcome the laws of physics and mathematics behind the growing hundreds of gigatons of carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gases that we have already put into our atmosphere.

    You also will hear a litany of highly theatrical yet toothless net-zero pledges by the representatives of the world's nations promising this time they really will reduce their nation's total fossil fuel use. These pledges will, of course, be without any practical method of verification, enforcement, or punishment if that particular government fails to meet its commitment.

    If you have been paying attention to this farse, you will see that our global "car for a safe future" is racing towards a cliff with no one driving with adequate control. You will see the current and future climate conference attendees meekly sitting in the back seat re-arranging the deck chairs on the Titanic as we are racing toward the iceberg and going over the climate cliff to extinction.

    Should setting global fossil-fuel reduction targets and predicting the timetables of global warming consequences now be removed from the IPCC and its conferences? 

    Just for the sake of argument, suppose that the IPCC and its climate conferences have not been corrupted and co-opted by the insatiable profit needs of the gigantic global fossil fuel industry. Even in this case, the IPCC and the climate conferences should still be panned and ignored.

    The reason is simple. IPCC and the climate conferences are the wrong sources from which proposed regulation for the fossil fuel industry should be made. This wrong source concept is valid because of basic common sense and the long-standing conflict of interest regulatory principle.

    This principle states you never have individuals or organizations regulating or overseeing the same industries they are paid by because of the inherent conflict of interest. In the case of the IPCC and its climate conferences, their operational funding comes in significant part from the wealthiest oil-producing nations and indirectly from the fossil fuel-related industries. But, what should we now do about this proposed wrong source for fossil fuel industry regulation?

    We believe that the world should begin exploring other options for honest predictions and honest global fossil fuel reduction targets wherever there are not such glaring conflicts of interest. One possibility is to have independent, non-political think tanks funded by the world's citizens take over the tasks of analyzing and summarizing the research of the current volunteer climate scientists. This way, we might get an honest climate analysis and the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets that will help us avoid mass extinction.

    Everything is at stake here! If we do not get the global warming extinction emergency under control, the extinction of humanity and the collapse of global civilization is a rapidly approaching reality. This extinction level of importance and responsibility is far, far beyond the IPCC's compromised and co-opted bureaucrats, administrators, and climate attendees. That is why we now need to consider alternative analysis and recommendation sources for the future.

    Reason 5: The world's leading authority on climate change, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC,] is not accurately telling our governments what they need to know to save us from total extinction because of the IPCC's "Perfect Day" problem.

    Our governments are in serious climate risk analysis trouble because they rely upon the IPCC's "authoritative" climate consequence scenario projections and remedies. Moreover, the world's military, intelligence agencies, hedge funds, investment banks (like Goldman Sachs,) stock and commodity markets, foundations, think tanks, national and international reserve banks, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the World Economic Forum all use the same IPCC climate research, predictions, and remedies for their climate risk analysis.

    All of the previously mentioned entities are being dangerously weakened by what is known as the IPCC's climate computer modeling "Perfect Day" problem. 

    The Perfect Day problem and how it works 

    The IPCC uses computer modeling to predict future climate consequences and calculate how much fossil fuel we must reduce globally to keep ourselves safe. Every 3 to 5 years, the IPCC creates 4-7 updated best to worst climate prediction scenarios and what we must do to prevent them from occurring. 

    The governments, organizations, corporations, and individuals that rely upon these IPCC climate scenarios to create their internal climate risk analyses are being told by the IPCC and their governments these climate scenarios are reasonably accurate projections of probable future climate conditions. But, unfortunately, the truth is they are far from it.

     

    The IPCC's climate computer models actually reflect "Perfect Day" climate scenarios far more than they reflect more probable climate scenarios. The IPCC's climate computer models are plagued with this "Perfect Day" problem because they seldom include most of the following critical climate modeling factors. These are the critical climate-related but missing factors that regularly and routinely occur both within and between the complex adaptive systems within our climate's multiple systems and subsystems. 

    The IPPC's climate computer models and multiple predictive scenarios still fail to capture:

    a. almost all of the primary and secondary tipping points within and between the climate system and its subsystems. 

    b. most of the powerful self-reinforcing feedback loops within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. 

    c. most of the non-linear cause and effect relationships within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. (Non-linear cause and effect relationships are a regular aspect of the behavior of complex adaptive systems.)

    d. many of the cause and effect interconnections and critical interdependencies within and between the climate system and its subsystems. And,

    e. many critical points of no return within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. (These crucial points of no return help signal and predict coming tipping points and most often dangerous system crashes and collapses that occur after a tipping point is crossed.)

    The result of omitting the essential a-e factors above from climate computer models is what you get is more like a Perfect Day prediction scenario, where either none or far too few of the a-e factors are accounted for within the computer-modeled climate predictions. 

    The crucial thing to know about items a - e above is that they embrace thousands of essential and utterly unaccounted-for climate factors that are also at play in creating reliable and probable climate predictions and risk assessments. Moreover, many of the climate factors listed in a-e above are so powerful that just omitting a single one can radically alter the trajectory and usefulness of any of the IPCC's current climate prediction scenarios or suggested remedies.

    For example, suppose the IPCC has predicted that the average global temperature will rise to 2 degrees Celcius above pre-industrial levels by 2040 in one of their multiple prediction scenarios. Now factor in that they did not add to that computer model essential tipping points, feedback loops, or other non-linear cause and effect factors within the climate system and its subsystems. In that case, this a-e omission could quickly move their predicted average global temperature rise of 2 degrees Celsius by 2040 (with all of its associated risks and consequences) to far more than 2 degrees Celsius far sooner than 2040!  

    Worse yet, the world's political, corporate and the leaders of the other organizations mentioned earlier do not know about the Perfect day issue, which is that the IPCC predictions and their remedial climate recommendations do not reliably computer model the contexts, relationships, processes, and many ongoing transformations within the interacting climate, human and biological systems, and subsystems. 

    This "Perfect Day" problem means that the REAL climate risk and threat probabilities for humanity's climate future are being grossly underestimated! Unfortunately, this also means that our governments, largest corporations, and the leaders of the other organizations mentioned earlier are ALL currently operating on grossly inadequate climate risk assessments. As a result, within these organizations, our current climate condition's actual risk and threat levels and its fundamental uncertainties are far higher than what they understand and what we are being told. Consequently, we are currently not managing or preparing for our actual climate risks and uncertainties. 

    At Job One, we estimate that if you take all of the factors in a-e above (and all the IPCC's many other political, prediction modeling, and summary report problems described in the additional links at the end of this page), we should treat the IPCC's current predictions and climate remedies as being underestimated on the average by about 20-40%. This means we are underestimating both the severity and frequency of climate consequences and when these climate consequences will arrive by about 20-40%. 

    If one makes these 20-40% reasonable allowances for non-perfect day climate items in a-e above and the other IPPC problems linked at the end of this page, the world's governments and corporations should be panicking.

    On the other hand, if they were making appropriate allowances for the many a-e missing climate factors and risks, the corporations listed previously would demand our governments immediately declare an international climate extinction emergency. They would also demand that our governments cooperate globally to enforce the fossil fuel reductions needed to at least save some small portion of humanity. (If you would like to see the horrific chain of climate consequences with adjusted timelines when making allowances for the IPPC's problems, click here.)

    But, here is the really bad news about the climate system factors listed in a-e above. As the climate continues to heat, the climate and its subsystems will become more interactive, agitated, and unstable, and you will see many more of the a-e climate system factors occurring causing greater and greater climate disruption. 

    Imagine these a-e climate system factors interacting within the climate and churning and boiling like the water in a pressure cooker as you turn up the heat. Unfortunately, as our temperatures continue to rise, the a-e climate factors above will also occur at ever faster rates. This escalating rise in temperature will also create significantly more future climate predictive uncertainty. This will then lessen our ability to develop helpful risk analysis as the climate worsens.

    Knowing about this inherent dilemma of diminishing predictive power as temperatures rise helps let us know that we must prevent the climate system from EVER crossing this first extinction-triggering tipping point. If we cross this extinction-triggering tipping point, global warming will move into a runaway mode where reliable climate consequence predictions and timeframes will be all but impossible to construct.  

    Because of the Perfect Day problem and so much missing from the IPCC's computer climate modeling, any organization that uses the IPCC's data must immediately reevaluate their climate risks and adjust them at least, 20-40% to the negative. With this new modeling problem information, these organizations will then be able to create a far more realistic climate risk analysis for their specific operations and conditions. 

    The biggest danger of the IPCC Perfect Day problem

    The real climate change risk and threat level to all entities listed above is far beyond what they believe and are telling themselves, their citizens, or their clients. This serious risk analysis problem is not just dangerous. It will not only be very costly over time, but it also will likely turn into a serious legal liability for those entities as their citizens and clients discover the climate risk levels they were advised about were grossly underestimated. 

    The Perfect Day problem is also crippling our ability to find and use the correct collective climate change management strategies needed to save humanity itself. Because of the IPCC's Perfect Day problem, we are not dealing with the actual climate change risks appropriately and rationally.

    As a result, we are operating on incorrect climate change risk and threat assessments far below what they genuinely are. And, that will be the final recipe for a soon-arriving collective mass extinction.

    The climate change risk analysis the world is operating on from the IPCC makes the world think it still has many decades left to fix the climate change emergency and prevent extinction when at best, it only has about another 3-9 years. Yet, the IPCC continues to sell the world their grossly incomplete "Perfect Day" climate change prediction and remedy computer models and scenarios as reliable and probable representations of our climate future when they are grossly inadequate and underestimated!

    We believe that when the entities listed above redo their climate risk analysis using the information on this website and other websites critical of IPCC climate work, and which also includes the climate factors listed in a -e above, they will discover the following:

    1. We are currently at a level of extreme climate change risk. We passed high climate risk decades ago.
    2. When we cross the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 425 to 450 parts per million (ppm), we have entered the climate risk zone of unavoidable extinction for much of humanity by 2050. 
    3.  When we cross the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 450 to 500 ppm, we have entered the climate risk zone of near-total to total human extinction beginning as soon as 2070 or sooner.

     

    As you can see from the illustration above, for the last 65 years, atmospheric carbon levels have been getting worse even faster. As a result, we are about 3-9 years away from moving into the climate risk zone of unavoidable extinction for much of humanity by 2050.

    Building a plan, a risk analysis, or a climate scenario on everything going perfectly has always been the perfect plan for failure. Unfortunately, because of the above, our world is in a far deeper climate change extinction emergency than it believes it is in.

    And finally, there is another way to grasp the dire danger of the IPCC's Perfect Day problem. Ask yourself, when was the last time everything went perfectly according to your projected perfect plan?

    What can you do about the Perfect Day problem which is drastically impeding our progress on executing effective climate solutions?

    1. If you have any contacts with power at any of the organizations listed on this page, you can email them a copy of this article. It would help if you also referred them to this page. This page makes considerably better (but still not perfect) allowances for the IPCC's Perfect Day problem by more realistically adjusting climate consequence scenarios and timeframes to include and make allowances for more of the above a-e factors.

    Here are the key organizations to reach out to so they can update their internal critical climate risk analysis, so they become a better reflection of today's actual climate reality. You will be doing them a favor! Unfortunately, operating on the IPCC's flawed climate prediction scenarios for their internal climate risk analysis will eventually embarrass them. It could also expose them to severe legal liability for incorrect actions or incorrect advice.

    This risk updating process may also assist them in doing what is logical and necessary to help better manage our climate extinction emergency. There may be other entities you will think of as well: 

    World governments, the world's military, intelligence agencies, hedge funds, investment banks (like Goldman Sachs,) stock and commodity markets, foundations, think tanks, national and international reserve banks, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the World Economic Forum and corporations dealing with essential commodities and infrastructure needed for the future.

    2. Get started with the Job One for Humanity Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan.

    Other critical IPCC consequence prediction and timetable problems that rapidly need to be adjusted for in future government and corporate climate risk analysis 

    1. Click here to see the four most crucial extinction-triggering tipping points that must be factored into every adjusted future climate risk analysis.

    2. Click here to see how the accelerating primary and secondary consequences of climate change interact with and worsen humanity's 11 other major global crises.

    3. Click here to see the risk analysis adjusted 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    4. In addition to the "Perfect Day" problem previously described, below you will find essential additional links on the checkered history of the IPCC climate consequence predictions and research problems. These links will provide a valuable context for the relationships, processes, and climate research transformations going on within the IPPC.

    You will learn precisely how the IPCC constructs and calculates its climate consequence risk scenarios and recommended climate change remedies. Unfortunately, you also will discover that there are many other serious calculation and process problems going on within the IPCC in addition to the Perfect Day problem. The additional problems below further call into question the reliability and risk analysis usefulness of the IPCC's current prediction scenarios and climate remedies.

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the four key reasons why the IPCC's 26 global climate conferences have failed to produce results or legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Click here to see the IPCC's huge atmospheric methane calculation problem.

    Click here to see the latest 2022 IPCC climate change summary report on the critical climate sensitivity error. Because of only this ongoing climate sensitivity error, the IPCC's newest climate consequence predictions, timeframes, and remedial action information will be underestimated by as much as 25% or more. (This 25% does not include the effect of the other IPCC errors described in the links just above.) 

    Click here to see a new study showing that the IPCC does not include many critical climate system factors in its computer climate modeling. Those missing factors equal wrong and distorted results. This Feb 2022 paper strongly refutes the absurd IPCC claim that the Arctic sea ice melt-decline is reversible. It is not reversible, and that is a monster problem for humanity's weather, seasonal climate, and future!

    All of the above linked decades of IPCC error, calculation, and polarization problems mean that the IPCC is an unreliable partner for truthful and accurate climate change information. Their climate consequence predictions, timeframes, and remedial action information are grossly underestimated by 25 - 50 %+ and possibly more!

    From the above, one could also reasonably conclude that the 28 trillion dollar-a-year fossil fuel industry and its lobbyists have corrupted the IPCC beyond any possible credibility repair. These lobbyists have done this in addition to eroding the media's ability or our governments to give us accurate climate change information. 

    There is now a growing belief that the fossil fuel industry has even co-opted and corrupted many of the world's largest environmental organizations through making unprecedented multimillion-dollar donations. To get these large donations from the fossil fuel industry lobbyists, the lobbyists demand the placement of highly-paid fossil fuel-friendly executives on their boards and in their management who will favorably "partner" with fossil fuel interests. To keep this dark money cycle of influence going, these highly paid executives must get more huge donations from the fossil fuel industry and meet its next "partnering" demands to keep getting their lucrative salaries.

    Reason 6: The IPCC is improperly and inadequately calculating methane in the atmosphere.

    Click here to read the article on this problem.

    Concluding and summarizing thoughts

    a. Despite all the IPPC's decades of actions and scores of climate conferences, the amount of additional atmospheric carbon in parts per million on an annual basis has tripled. Since the 1970s, it has been rising exponentially!

    b. Because of the many facts presented above, individuals, environmental groups, informed corporations, and concerned nations should pan, ignore and not support the IPCC and its climate conferences. We will not hear anything new from this new climate theatre that will reverse decades of increasing global fossil fuel use.

    c. The IPCC and its climate conferences create and promote dangerous illusions which perpetuate false hopes. These illusions and false hopes deny the correct urgency on the proper actions and falsely calm the general public. They continually act in a way that makes the public falsely believe progress is being made, their future will be safe, and some new technology or geoengineering (like carbon capture, etc.) will save them one second before the clock strikes midnight on our extinction.

    Organizations that intentionally or unintentionally create illusions about current progress or the correct solutions are the most counterproductive! Because of those illusions, a society, group, or individual believing the illusion may try to solve the wrong problem or enact the wrong solutions without ever realizing they are on the wrong course. 

    Creating illusionary solutions is particularly dangerous not only because it denies the correct solutions to the right problem, but also because it makes it near-impossible to avert passing real deadlines and crossing real tipping points. Moreover, when illusions block seeing a painful reality for what it is, it is far harder to make any changes that would be appropriate to improve that reality.

    d. The IPCC and its climate conferences continue to forward incorrect and incomplete climate analysis and gross consequence underestimation. Key areas of their reports and recommendations suffer from the continuous politicization of the analysis and recommendation process by fossil fuel producers, related fossil fuel industries, and their lobbyists.

    e. We now need to resoundingly reject the IPCC and its climate conferences' unreasonable demand that our transfer from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not harm global or national economies. Instead, we must replace this irrational barrier to resolving the global warming emergency with these realistic and correct principles:

    i. Principle one: "for the long-term wellbeing of our global economies we must fix the global warming extinction emergency. This is because there will be no remaining stable stock, commodity, or real estate markets or, economies in a global warming consequence fueled chaos as much of humanity dies off by mid-century.

    ii. Principle two: "the world's citizens must be taught that:

    1. We need to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets now to save humanity from extinction within a few decades. 

    2. The most direct and certain way to save humanity from extinction is to cut just global fossil fuel use immediately and ensure we get close to the real 2025 targets. And,

    3. To make the necessary fossil fuel cuts, we will have to make huge sacrifices of our everyday comforts. We also need to be willing to endure tremendous suffering to save humanity and the future." (To understand why this must be done by 2025click here.

    f. Because of the failures of the IPCC and its 25 previous conferences, we now face the IPCC's own worst projections for global temperature rise and related adverse consequences. Climate physics and its mathematics confirms we have a only small remaining window (until about 2025) to retain some reasonable control of our global warming future.

    g. It is time to publically and loudly call out the IPCC and its ineffective climate conferences for the fossil fuel industry co-opted failures they are! It is time for an honest broker for climate change analysis and global warming reduction global targets, consequences, and timetables.

    h. The continuous failures of the IPCC and its conferences beg the question. "Is it finally time to make an organizational climate change summary and analysis change?" The IPCC and its climate conferences have let the wolf into the hen house, and this hungry wolf, being what it is, will not stop eating until every "chicken" is dead. 

    i. We urgently need a non-political, genuinely independent, and qualified group of climate scientists to take over all the responsibilities and actions of the co-opted IPCC and its climate conferences. Just maybe with this change, we are almost out of time. Hopefully, we won't keep doing the same thing over and over, expecting a different result.

    Because of all of the above, it is now time for all of us to become disruptors! The necessity for disruption is obligatory when the scale of damage is so large and severe that one must disrupt the activities causing the genuine threat once they are understood. For example, if there were an understood real and probable threat that would cause the imminent extinction of humanity or destroy the biological or climate systems upon which humanity depends for its survival, one would be obligated to disrupt any organization and its policies or actions causing that threat. 

    You should now understand why the global warming extinction emergency or anything that speeds it up or illusions that prevent us from seeing it honestly to resolve it, requires our continual creative disruption. (To learn more about the policy of necessary or obligatory disruption including what to do and ethically how to do it, click here.)

    What you can do about this nightmare!

    We are in a battle for the survival of humanity. We have both an ethical and moral duty to call out offenders and act! Unfortunately, we also have squandered away five decades of inaction when the needed changes could have been gradual and more manageable. 

    There is no more time to wait or remain inactive. To work our way out of this rapidly accelerating nightmare, we must act immediately. Here is a list of ethical disruptive and necessary actions to begin to do your critical part before it is too late. Please help us get thousands of copies of this blog post flying all over the Internet, reaching every place and person where it should be to help reverse the ongoing UN climate conference tragic farse.

    a. Share this article everywhere you think it should go!

    b. Sign the global warming extinction emergency petition for our politicians. It is fast and easy. Click here to sign it.

    c. We need your help with emails and calls to get this article to everywhere it needs to go. Personalized calls and emails are always more effective than non-personalized calls and emails. If you are not calling or emailing this information to the people mentioned on the list below, and you want to print it and snail mail it, be sure to include the original post link here ( https://www.joboneforhumanity.org/why_the_results_of_the_glasgow ). 

    Here is how to make phone calls to your politicians:

    1. If you are a US citizen, find your congressperson here. If you are not a US citizen, you will need to look up the phone number of your political representatives.

    2. If you are a US citizen, call the US Capitol switchboard (202) 224-3121 to leave your representative a message.  

    3. Then use this or your script: "Hi my name is ___, and I'm calling from ____. I do not support our government using the current United Nations global fossil fuel reduction targets. They are incorrect and far too small! These fossil fuel reduction targets will result in the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century. I am counting on you to use your influence to get our nation to use the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. We cannot continue using the net-zero by 2050, 2040, or 2030 currently promoted targets, or we will fail and many of us will die."

    If you are emailing to people on the lists below: 

    i. Email this post to politicians worldwide, especially before all climate change conferences. Particularly email US politicians and their support staff. Please forward it to US politicians like John Kerry (the Climate Czar,) Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and other members of the US progressive Squad. Please also send this post to any other global politicians you think should see it as well.

    ii. Email this post to all of the delegates, officials, and corporate sponsors of the IPCC's climate conferences. Maybe some of them will finally stand up against manipulating their climate research work or using their names to continue to protect the profits of oil-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries. In general, corporate sponsors do not normally want to be associated with failures, unless they are somehow secretly profiting from those failures.

    Be certain to get this post to the delegations from those mostly underdeveloped nations who are suffering the most from global warming and also have done the least to create it. Maybe collectively, these endangered nations can act to stop the ongoing climate conference fossil fuel reduction target lies.

    iii. Email this post to ecological and global warming educational groups, such as 350.org, Climate Central, Climate Mobilization, Climate Emergency Fund, Sunrise Movement, Sierra Club, World Wildlife Fund, Green Peace, etc. Please send it to any other regional or local environmental and global warming educational groups you think should see it as well.

    iv. Send this article to local regional or national media in your area where you think there might be a news person who is going to do the deep research and analysis and not just accept what is being fed to them by the fossil fuel industry lobbyists, the IPCC, and climate conference attendees. 

    We also strongly encourage you to publically call out and shame any media that does lazy research or promotes fossil fuel industry-shilled or false climate stories. But, please never shame individuals, only the organizations or institutions in which they work! The peaceful public shaming of corporations or organizations is a long-accepted and legitimate social protest action and necessary disruption strategy.

    d. Start to accept the terrible reality of our current global warming extinction emergency. This new reality means that you and I will need to sacrifice and endure the loss of many of our fossil fuel-derived comforts to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (For more on what our governments and we need to do to reach the 2025 reduction targets, click here. Please note that individual actions alone will not reverse the global warming extinction emergency at this late stage. At this late stage, only these government-enforced actions will do that.)

    e. Don't forget to begin your personal or business resilience plans because the worst consequences of global warming are no longer avoidable due to our five decades of inaction. This resilience plan contains critical information for living within the Earth's carrying capacity, preparing for what is coming, and adapting your lifestyle and livelihood to become a part of the energy reduction solutions needed for this emergency. Remember, no government, corporation, or NGO will ever be able to keep up with ever-escalating damages and costs of the consequences of global warming.

    f. We strongly recommend getting the book Overshoot by Willian Catton. It will explain the Earth's carrying capacity crisis that underlies the global warming emergency, the many false economic solutions now being forward by the IPCC and its climate conferences, and many of our other 11 major global crises.

    g. At the minimum, we hope that by the time you complete this article and its documentation, you too will adopt the general rule of thumb that, whatever the IPCC tells you about the coming climate change consequences, timeframes, and remedies will be underestimated by at least 20-40%! 

    Feel free to translate and quote this post as needed.

    Here are three things to start talking about with friends:

    1. Demand a national carbon Fee and Dividend program, which would immediately price toxic fossil fuel carbon and methane pollution, hopefully at about $150 a ton. (For a complete description of a fair Fee and Dividend program that would not punish the poor, please click here and Scan down the page for the Fee and Dividend section.)

    2. Demand the immediate termination of all fossil fuel industry-related government or taxpayer subsidies. (Currently about 6 trillion dollars a year globally.)

    3. Demand that the fossil fuel industry and its executives be held legally and financially responsible for the 10 million deaths a year they cause through toxic carbon and methane pollution of our atmosphere and all of the related other damages they are doing to our homes, cities, and the environment. 

    References

    The following links will assist curious individuals in getting up to speed on the current global warming analysis.

    Reference Topic 1: Why you can't believe the current IPCC issued global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    Click here to see the latest 2022 IPCC climate change summary report on the critical climate sensitivity error. Because of only this ongoing climate sensitivity error, the IPCC's newest climate consequence predictions, timeframes, and remedial action information will be underestimated by as much as 25% or more. (This 25% does not include the effect of the other IPCC errors described in the links just above.) 

    All of the above linked decades of IPCC error, calculation, and polarization problems mean that the IPCC is an unreliable partner for truthful and accurate climate change information. Their climate consequence predictions, timeframes, and remedial action information are grossly underestimated by 25 - 50 %+ and possibly more!

    It is time to find new more reliable sources for climate change prediction and management information.    

    To see the many mass mobilization actions our governments must now take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total extinction, click here.

    Reference Topic 2: How can the probability (or even the possibility) of a soon-arriving near-total human extinction be accurate? 

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" catastrophic meltdown of our global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions with our other 11 major global crises will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four major global warming extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to crossing them. 

    Reference Topic 3: What governments must do

    It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas emissions and pollution. 

    Click here to learn more about the carbon pricing and other actions our governments and corporations must immediately take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Reference Topic 4: The deep causes of this whole mess

    To understand the most profound reasons behind our current global warming emergency and our 11 other most dangerous global crises, please get the book Overshoot. In it, you can learn about the concept of the Earth's carrying capacity (the land and sea acreage available and needed for a given population's needs.) 

    Reference Topic 5: Miscellaneous 

    Click here and read our Job One for Humanity policy on the necessary disruption of all false or dangerous global warming and environmental acts or ideas.

    Please continue to educate yourself about these life-critical climate issues by exploring the documentation and analysis found on this website.

     

    This article has been created in our humble opinion,

    by

    The Global Warming Research Team of the Job One for Humanity Non-profit Organization

     

    PS If we get the global warming extinction emergency under control in time, click here to see the many surprising benefits we can create in a Great Global Rebirth. If you can, we also ask that you support the research and candid climate analysis done by making a tax-deductible donation to the Job One for Humanity nonprofit organization. 


  • What are the most dangerous things people do not understand about the climate change emergency?

    Last Updated 11.30.23

    Overview

    Unfortunately, some of the most dangerous facts of global warming are also the least understood by most of humanity. In this case, what we do not understand, if left unmanaged, will eventually kill almost everything!

    The documentation for the following misunderstood facts is in their full explanations further down this article. Here is a quick overview of the most misunderstood and dangerous facts about climate change:

    1. Whenever you hear national politicians promise net-zero by 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, or 2070, know that it equals mass human extinction occurring by mid-century or sooner,

    2. We are already in a state of runaway global warming because we have wasted four decades when we could have prevented this. Climate tipping points and climate feedback loops are "stacking up" on each other, multiplying our climate risks and peril levels.

    3. The severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences occurring within 3-9 years will start rising exponentially,

    4. Survival-critical climate and global warming tipping points are already being crossed, 

    5. Crossed climate tipping points can have both linear predictable cause-and-effect relationships and dangerous and currently unpredictable nonlinear cause-and-effect relationships.

    6. If we do not come close to the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets in time to slow down our climate change emergency, without fail, Mother Nature will do it for us by painfully taking us beyond mass human extinction into total extinction!

    7. In regards to fixing the climate extinction emergency, we are currently acting much like the experimental frogs who boil themselves to death floating in a slowly heating pot that they could easily escape. 

    8. We are long past the point of individual actions alone, saving us. Only worldwide governmental action and mass mobilization to enforce immediate, radical, and painful fossil fuel cuts can save us from extinction.

    9. The current global warming emergency and its future are far worse than the government, the media or the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] are telling us. The world's leading authority on climate change, the IPCC, is not telling the governments or us what we need to know to save ourselves from total extinction because of the many political, prediction modeling, and summary report problems within the IPCC itself. Among the IPCC's many and most serious climate prediction problems is the climate computer modeling "Perfect Day" problem.

    10. The climate change momentum and human inertia paradoxes and dilemmas. Anything we do now to reduce fossil fuel use will not show much of a benefit for 20-30 years, and people are impatient for results. Because the climate system has so much accumulated momentum and inertia within it already (about 20-30 years worth), we are rapidly running out of the little remaining time we have left to save ourselves.

    Two bonus misunderstood facts:

    11. How accelerating climate change consequences will affect worldwide democracies and progressive nations.

    12. The most significant and most dangerous climate tipping point and global catastrophe is the Thwaites "doomsday glacier" collapse. It is just about to happen. When it does happen, it changes everything for humanity's future in an instant.

     

     

    Here is the full explanation and documentation for why these highly misunderstood facts are true and vital for your future climate change planning

    Fact 1: Whenever you hear national politicians promise carbon net-zero by 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, or 2070, know that it equals mass human extinction occurring over the next several decades

    Net-zero carbon emissions means that we are not adding any more carbon to the atmosphere than we are taking out of it. However, it does not mean that we are reducing our current global levels of carbon emissions beyond where they are today.

    Net-zero carbon dioxide emissions theoretically can be achieved by balancing the local, regional, national, or global carbon dioxide emissions with its removal. This net-zero process is conducted in two ways:

    a. by directly eliminating and removing those carbon emissions from society (the most successful and proven method) or,

    b. by what is called carbon offsetting. (Carbon offsetting can be done in numerous ways, but as you will read below, it is currently the least effective way to resolve the global warming emergency. It is the method most often proposed by politicians because it is so vague, difficult to verify, and can be falsely manipulated in many ways to produce little to nothing. It is a colossal understatement is to say that using carbon offsetting as the primary focus to achieve net-zero carbon emissions is a massive danger for society.)

    Honest, independent, and non-politicized climate researchers have been trying to tell the world for over 50 years humanity is facing extinction. These researchers have been begging us to begin immediate global fossil fuel use reductions to come as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to survive the coming extinction threat. 

    The 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets are not anything like or close to the fossil fuel industry-sponsored national net-zero carbon neutral targets, which nations are saying they will reach by 2070, 2060, 2050, 2040, or even 2030! For instance, India has pledged it will be net-zero by 2070, and China promised it will be net-zero by 2060. With much theatrical media coverage, Saudi Arabia also announced it will become net-zero emission by 2060. (Including the US at net zero by 2050, India and China make up the world's three largest carbon emitters.)

    But, there are big secrets concerning the net-zero carbon-neutral pledges. They, too, are feel-good illusions that do not produce anything even close to what is being promised. 

    These net-zero pledges are based predominantly on carbon offsetting. A carbon offset is supposed to reduce global carbon dioxide emissions or other greenhouse gases by compensating for emissions produced elsewhere. Unfortunately, carbon offsets are very difficult to verify, have considerable incentives for fraud, and are easy to fake by both purchasers and the suppliers of such carbon offsets. Additionally, carbon offsets have either no penalties or weak penalties for fraud. 

    James Hansen, the first climate scientist who warned us unchecked global warming would lead to our extinction, has described carbon offsets as "modern-day indulgences, sold to an increasingly carbon-conscious public to absolve their climate sins." Carbon offsets may also be interpreted as greenwashing. This is especially true in the case of most corporate commitments, which do not include actionable goals and schedules that implicate that their 'net-zero' emission goals are anything more than good publicity.

     

    Theoretically, carbon offsets were meant to support projects that reduce the emission of greenhouse gases in the short or long term. A common offset project type is renewable energy, such as wind farms, biomass energy, biogas digesters, or hydroelectric dams. Other offsets include:

    • Energy efficiency projects like efficient cookstoves.
    • The destruction of industrial pollutants or agricultural byproducts.
    • The destruction of landfill methane.
    • Forestry projects.

    But that is not what is really happening. Instead, carbon offsets have become another clever way for nations to make fabulous public net-zero pledges, which facilitate hiding their lack of actual fossil fuel reduction from their citizens and the world. 

    In addition to the fraud-friendly carbon offset issue, most net-zero carbon-neutral pledges are back-end loaded, meaning most of the cuts are to come well after 2025. (Our last chance fossil fuel reduction target for keeping global warming under our control.) 

    Most of these "emperors' new clothes" pledges also assume steady major technological advances in currently non-existent or unproven technologies or outright revolutionary tech breakthroughs that will somehow reach the required levels of development and scale to save us at the last moment. These net-zero carbon-neutral pledges are just another form of illusion keeping us from making the real and hard choices. These pledges also specifically exclude all fossil fuel exports from figuring into the national accounting and calculations for the net-zero pledge goals. As you can see, net-zero carbon-neutral pledges have more loopholes than a Swiss cheese has holes. 

    Unfortunately, there is yet more to the net-zero carbon-neutral illusion:

    a. Tracing the history of illusions in climate policy from 1988 to 2021, climate scientists James Dyke, Robert Watson, and Wolfgang Knorr "[arrive] at the painful realization that the idea of net-zero has licensed a recklessly cavalier "burn now, pay later" approach which has seen carbon emissions continue to soar!

    b. In his 16-page report, Dangerous Distractions, economist Marc Lee states that "'Net-zero" has the potential to be a dangerous distraction that reduces the political pressure to achieve actual emission reduction." "A net-zero target means less incentive to get to 'real zero' emissions from fossil fuels, an escape hatch that perpetuates business as usual and delays more meaningful climate action." 

    c. Current net-zero policies will not keep warming within the UN's 1.5°C temperature rise target because they were never intended to. They were and still are driven by a need to protect business as usual, not the climate. If we want to keep people safe, then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen now. The time for wishful thinking is over.

    d. In March 2021, Tzeporah Berman, chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, argued that the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty would be a more genuine and realistic way to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement than the "Net-zero" approach. She claimed the net-zero approach is "delusional and based on bad science." 

    (The above four statements were found on Wikipedia.)

    The current net-zero pledges by the world's top fossil fuel users and producers are telling and sadly funny. If we keep going as we are now, by 2050 - 2070, there will be few, if any, of us left to see if any nation even fulfilled its ridiculously "far too little, far too late" net-zero pledges. 

    The toothless, unenforceable, and vague net-zero pledges should be seen as nothing more than media bla, bla, bla. They are great theatrics for the pledging nations on the world stage. 

    The nations loudly promoting their net-zero pledges also helps hide the truth that the world's top 20 carbon emitters have made no commitments to directly and immediately cut their national fossil fuel use! 

    The correct 2025 targets now need to be enacted to compensate for 50 years of inaction. They will require tremendous sacrifice, suffering, and hardship for all the world's people, industries, and nations. 

    These 2025 global targets require that the world's developed nations enforce and come close to a 75% total reduction in ALL global fossil fuel use by 2025. In addition, these 2025 targets include lesser climate justice-adjusted targets for undeveloped countries, which did not play a major role in creating the global warming emergency. These 2025 national fossil fuel reductions of 75%  include China and India.

    To understand more about why government-driven and corporate-driven carbon net-zero programs are so dangerous to your near-term future survival, first read about what happens as we cross the first global warming extinction tipping point in the next 3-9 years, then read about the primary and secondary consequences of crossing this extinction-evoking tipping point.

    If you want to review additional climate science on why about half of humanity will go extinct by mid-century, click here. We want you to have all of the science and analysis behind our half of humanity going extinct by mid-century statements. Hence, you will know that the many painful and difficult changes you will soon need to make are genuinely warranted.

    If you learn best through videos

    Here are two funny and informative net-zero and climate conference failure videos that are entertaining and powerful yet, still underestimate the rapidly approaching extinction dangers we all now face:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1FqXTCvDLeo

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QIyKmqEdgR4&t=57s

    Aiming for net-zero carbon using carbon offsets is also much like the funny, powerful, and massively shared article by an Australian drinker who promises to get to net-zero alcohol intake by 2050. Click here to see this five short paragraph, highly relevant article that also ties together much of what is being said above.  


    Receive Free Global Warming Info!

    Fact 2. Because we have wasted decades in ineffective climate actions, we are now in a state of runaway global heating and it is now too late to prevent the extinction of half of humanity by 2050. But we can still prevent our total extinction.

    Climate tipping points and climate feedback loops are "stacking up" on each other, multiplying our climate risks and peril levels.

    Click here to see the science to understand why the term runaway global heating is painfully accurate.

    If you want to review additional climate science on why about half of humanity will go extinct by mid-century, click here. We want you to have all of the science and analysis behind our half of humanity going extinct by mid-century statements. Hence, you will know that the many painful and difficult changes you will soon need to make are genuinely warranted.

     

    Fact 3: The severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences occurring will soon start rising exponentially starting in about 3-9 years (2025-2031.)

    Click here to see the science to understand why we only have 3 to 9 years left to control global heating, but only if we are very, very lucky. 

     

    Fact 4: Now that critical global warming tipping points are already being crossed, many climate-related systems (like the Arctic sea ice, melting glaciers, oxygen-producing plankton, etc.) will also collapse quickly (usually completely or near completely!)

    Click here to see all 11 of the major climate tipping points.

     

    Fact 5: Crossed tipping points can have both linear cause-and-effect relationships as well as dangerous and currently unpredictable nonlinear cause-and-effect relationships.

    These nonlinear relationships can occur between global warming tipping points and human and biological system tipping points (economy, politics, mass species die-offs, war, and conflict) as well as within and between any other part of the climate system and its subsystems. The presence of counter-intuitive, nonlinear tipping point and system relationships mean that causes and effects within the climate systems and subsystems are sometimes not logically connected, clear, or predictable. 

    This means that within a complex adaptive system like the climate, an area that happens to be a part of its system or its subsystems can create an effect in some other completely different climate system or subsystem where there seems to be no apparent cause and effect relationship between the two climate systems or subsystems. The huge danger here is that if a global warming tipping point triggers a nonlinear reaction in another climate or human system or subsystem, we could quickly find ourselves caught in a gigantic and uncontrollable catastrophic situation without ever being able to predict or prepare for it.

    Never forget that a complex adaptive system such as the climate reacts with its subsystems in both predictable and unpredictable ways. In the illustration below, an action X in climate system A causes the obvious linear effect Y in climate system B, but it can also cause a seemingly unconnected nonlinear XY reaction in climate system C. It is this nonlinear unpredictability in other interconnected and interdependent climate systems which also should cause us great concern as we add more fossil fuel carbon to the atmosphere.

     


    Chapter_4_Unpredictable_Nonlinear_Reactions.png

     

    Fact 6: If we do not make the required 2025 global fossil fuel reductions in time to fix the global warming extinction emergency, without fail, Mother Nature will painfully do it for us!

    Right now, no matter what we do, much of humanity (51% or more) will die by mid-century because currently, we are ridiculously far from meeting the critical 2025 global targets. (This has been explained on this page and this page.)

    Worse yet, if we do not get close to the 2025 targets, Mother Nature will take over and keep raising the global temperature until most or all of humanity (50 to 90+ percent) goes extinct and the Earth is back to its optimal human carrying capacity. 

    Please keep in mind that if we miss the last-chance 2025 fossil fuel reduction opportunity, Mother Nature will execute her immutable physics and mathematics climate laws to take the dominant control of our global warming future. Humanity will then be thrown into the back seat of a planetary "car," rapidly accelerating towards the cliff to Climageddon. 

    If we fail to get close to the 2025 global reduction targets, and Mother Nature is forced to create a painful global warming solution for our unconscionable failures; hopefully, she will leave a few of us alive so that we can learn the harsh lessons needed to rebuild a new world more in balance with nature. (Click here to read the interesting way how Mother Nature will save us from ourselves and prevent total human extinction.)

    (Click here to see the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points that will be the main tools used by Mother Nature to solve global warming for us if we do not do it for ourselves.)

     

     

    Fact 7: We are much like the experimental frogs who boil to death floating in a slowly heating pot that they could easily escape. 

    Our ape ancestors have left us with mental and emotional hardwiring that does not recognize or respond well to distant, complex, or slow-moving threats. Will enough of us understand the heating pot we have put ourselves into, in time to still do something about it? We will know soon; either by 2025 or soon after we have passed the atmospheric carbon level of 425-450 parts per million.

    To help illustrate how dangerous our current climate situation is, please review the atmospheric carbon CO2 graph in parts per million below. We also are currently adding an additional 3 carbon parts per million to our atmosphere each year. So, you do not have to be Albert Einstein to do the simple math to see how bad things are right now for us soon crossing the carbon 425-450 tipping point!

    At this point, we strongly recommend that you watch this video by a respected climate researcher on runaway climate change. It will help illustrate how everything above fits together.  This video has many clear and helpful slides.

     

    Fact 8: We are long past the point of individual actions alone saving us. Only worldwide governmental action and mass mobilization to enforce immediate, radical, and painful fossil fuel cuts can save us from extinction.

    (Click here to see what our governments need to do. What limited actions we can take as individuals or businesses is found at the bottom of this page.) 

     


    Receive Free Global Warming Info!

     

     

    Fact 9: The world's leading authority on climate change, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC,] is not accurately telling our governments what they need to know to save us from total extinction because of the IPCC's "Perfect Day" problem.

    Our governments are in serious climate risk analysis trouble because they rely upon the IPCC's "authoritative" climate consequence scenario projections and remedies. Moreover, the world's military, intelligence agencies, hedge funds, investment banks (like Goldman Sachs,) stock and commodity markets, foundations, think tanks, national and international reserve banks, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the World Economic Forum all use the same IPCC climate research, predictions, and remedies for their climate risk analysis.

    All of the previously mentioned entities are being dangerously weakened by what is known as the IPCC's climate computer modeling "Perfect Day" problem. 

    The Perfect Day problem and how it works 

    The IPCC uses computer modeling to predict future climate consequences and calculate how much fossil fuel we must reduce globally to keep ourselves safe. Every 3 to 5 years, the IPCC creates 4-7 updated best to worst climate prediction scenarios and what we must do to prevent them from occurring. 

    The governments, organizations, corporations, and individuals that rely upon these IPCC climate scenarios to create their internal climate risk analyses are being told by the IPCC and their governments these climate scenarios are reasonably accurate projections of probable future climate conditions. But, unfortunately, the truth is they are far from it.

     

    The IPCC's climate computer models actually reflect "Perfect Day" climate scenarios far more than they reflect more probable climate scenarios. The IPCC's climate computer models are plagued with this "Perfect Day" problem because they seldom include most of the following critical climate modeling factors. These are the critical climate-related but missing factors that regularly and routinely occur both within and between the complex adaptive systems within our climate's multiple systems and subsystems. 

    The IPPC's climate computer models and multiple predictive scenarios still fail to capture:

    a. almost all of the primary and secondary tipping points within and between the climate system and its subsystems. 

    b. most of the powerful self-reinforcing feedback loops within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. 

    c. most of the non-linear cause and effect relationships within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. (Non-linear cause and effect relationships are a regular aspect of the behavior of complex adaptive systems.)

    d. many of the cause and effect interconnections and critical interdependencies within and between the climate system and its subsystems. And,

    e. many critical points of no return within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. (These crucial points of no return help signal and predict coming tipping points, and most often, dangerous system crashes and collapses that occur after a tipping point is crossed.)

    The result of omitting the essential a-e factors above from climate computer models is what you get is more like a Perfect Day prediction scenario, where either none or far too few of the a-e factors are accounted for within the computer-modeled climate predictions. 

    The crucial thing to know about items a - e above is that they embrace thousands of essential and utterly unaccounted-for climate factors that are also at play in creating reliable and probable climate predictions and risk assessments. Moreover, many of the climate factors listed in a-e above are so powerful that just omitting a single one can radically alter the trajectory and usefulness of any of the IPCC's current climate prediction scenarios or suggested remedies.

    For example, suppose the IPCC has predicted that the average global temperature will rise to 2 degrees Celcius above pre-industrial levels by 2040 in one of their multiple prediction scenarios. Now factor in that they did not add to that computer model essential tipping points, feedback loops, or other non-linear cause and effect factors within the climate system and its subsystems. In that case, this a-e omission could quickly move their predicted average global temperature rise of 2 degrees Celsius by 2040 (with all of its associated risks and consequences) to far more than 2 degrees Celsius far sooner than 2040!  

    Worse yet, the world's political, corporate, and the leaders of the other organizations mentioned earlier do not know about the Perfect day issue, which is that the IPCC predictions and their remedial climate recommendations do not reliably computer model the contexts, relationships, processes, and many ongoing transformations within the interacting climate, human and biological systems, and subsystems. 

    This "Perfect Day" problem means that the REAL climate risk and threat probabilities for humanity's climate future are being grossly underestimated! Unfortunately, this also means that our governments, largest corporations, and the leaders of the other organizations mentioned earlier are ALL currently operating on grossly inadequate climate risk assessments. As a result, within these organizations, our current climate condition's actual risk and threat levels and its fundamental uncertainties are far higher than what they understand and what we are being told. Consequently, we are currently not managing or preparing for our actual climate risks and uncertainties. 

    At Job One, we estimate that if you take all of the factors in a-e above (and all the IPCC's many other political, prediction modeling, and summary report problems described in the additional links at the end of this page), we should treat the IPCC's current predictions and climate remedies as being underestimated on the average by about 30-60%. This means we are underestimating both the severity and frequency of climate consequences and when these climate consequences will arrive by about 30-60%. 

    If one makes these 30-60% reasonable allowances for non-perfect day climate items in a-e above and the other IPPC problems linked at the end of this page, the world's governments and corporations should be panicking.

    On the other hand, if they were making appropriate allowances for the many a-e missing climate factors and risks, the corporations listed previously would demand our governments immediately declare an international climate extinction emergency. They would also demand that our governments cooperate globally to enforce the fossil fuel reductions needed to at least save some small portion of humanity. (If you would like to see the horrific chain of climate consequences with adjusted timelines when making allowances for the IPPC's problems, click here.)

    But, here is the really bad news about the climate system factors listed in a-e above. As the climate continues to heat, the climate and its subsystems will become more interactive, agitated, and unstable, and you will see many more of the a-e climate system factors occurring, causing greater and greater climate disruption. 

    Imagine these a-e climate system factors interacting within the climate and churning and boiling like the water in a pressure cooker as you turn up the heat. Unfortunately, as our temperatures continue to rise, the a-e climate factors above will also occur at ever faster rates. This escalating rise in temperature will also create significantly more future climate predictive uncertainty. This will then lessen our ability to develop helpful risk analysis as the climate worsens.

    Knowing about this inherent dilemma of diminishing predictive power as temperatures rise helps let us know that we must prevent the climate system from EVER crossing this first extinction-triggering tipping point. If we cross this extinction-triggering tipping point, global warming will move into a runaway mode where reliable climate consequence predictions and timeframes will be all but impossible to construct.  

    Because of the Perfect Day problem and so much missing from the IPCC's computer climate modeling, any organization that uses the IPCC's data must immediately reevaluate their climate risks and adjust them at least 30-60% to the negative. With this new modeling problem information, these organizations will then be able to create a far more realistic climate risk analysis for their specific operations and conditions. 

    The biggest danger of the IPCC Perfect Day problem

    The real climate change risk and threat level to all entities listed above is far beyond what they believe and are telling themselves, their citizens, or their clients. This serious risk analysis problem is not just dangerous. It will not only be very costly over time, but it also will likely turn into a serious legal liability for those entities as their citizens and clients discover the climate risk levels they were advised about were grossly underestimated. 

    The Perfect Day problem is also crippling our ability to find and use the correct collective climate change management strategies needed to save humanity itself. Because of the IPCC's Perfect Day problem, we are not dealing with the actual climate change risks appropriately and rationally.

    As a result, we are operating on incorrect climate change risk and threat assessments far below what they genuinely are. And that will be the final recipe for a soon-arriving collective mass extinction.

    The climate change risk analysis the world is operating on from the IPCC makes the world think it still has many decades left to fix the climate change emergency and prevent extinction when at best, it only has about another 3-9 years. Yet, the IPCC continues to sell the world their grossly incomplete "Perfect Day" climate change prediction and remedy computer models and scenarios as reliable and probable representations of our climate future when they are grossly inadequate and underestimated!

    We believe that when the entities listed above redo their climate risk analysis using the information on this website and other websites critical of IPCC climate work, and which also includes the climate factors listed in a -e above, they will discover the following:

    1. We are currently at a level of extreme climate change risk. We passed high climate risk decades ago.
    2. When we cross the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 425 to 450 parts per million (ppm), we have entered the climate risk zone of unavoidable extinction for much of humanity by 2050. 
    3.  When we cross the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 450 to 500 ppm, we have entered the climate risk zone of near-total to total human extinction beginning as soon as 2070 or sooner(Click here to discover why total human extinction is not realistic or probable, and the worst humanity will experience is near-total extinction (50 to 90+% of humanity going extinct.)

       

     

     

    As you can see from the illustration above, for the last 65 years, atmospheric carbon levels have been getting worse even faster. As a result, we are about 3-9 years away from moving into the climate risk zone of unavoidable extinction for much of humanity by 2050.

    Building a plan, a risk analysis, or a climate scenario on everything going perfectly has always been the perfect plan for failure. Unfortunately, because of the above, our world is in a far deeper climate change extinction emergency than it believes it is in.

    And finally, there is another way to grasp the dire danger of the IPCC's Perfect Day problem. Ask yourself, when was the last time everything went perfectly according to your projected perfect plan?

    What can you do about the Perfect Day problem which is drastically impeding our progress on executing effective climate solutions?

    1. If you have any contacts with power at any of the organizations listed on this page, you can email them a copy of this article. It would help if you also referred them to this page. This page makes considerably better (but still not perfect) allowances for the IPCC's Perfect Day problem by more realistically adjusting climate consequence scenarios and timeframes to include and make allowances for more of the above a-e factors.

    Here are the key organizations to reach out to so they can update their internal critical climate risk analysis, so they become a better reflection of today's actual climate reality. You will be doing them a favor! Unfortunately, operating on the IPCC's flawed climate prediction scenarios for their internal climate risk analysis will eventually embarrass them. It could also expose them to severe legal liability for incorrect actions or incorrect advice.

    This risk updating process may also assist them in doing what is logical and necessary to help better manage our climate extinction emergency. There may be other entities you will think of as well: 

    World governments, the world's military, intelligence agencies, hedge funds, investment banks (like Goldman Sachs,) stock and commodity markets, foundations, think tanks, national and international reserve banks, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the World Economic Forum and corporations dealing with essential commodities and infrastructure needed for the future.

    2. Get started with the Job One for Humanity Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan.

    Other critical IPCC consequence prediction and timetable problems that rapidly need to be adjusted for in future government and corporate climate risk analysis 

    1. Click here to see the four most crucial extinction-triggering tipping points that must be factored into every adjusted future climate risk analysis.

    2. Click here to see how the accelerating primary and secondary consequences of climate change interact with and worsen humanity's 11 other major global crises.

    3. Click here to see the risk analysis adjusted 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    4. In addition to the "Perfect Day" problem previously described, you will find additional essential links on the checkered history of the IPCC climate consequence predictions and research problems below. These links will provide a valuable context for the relationships, processes, and climate research transformations going on within the IPPC.

    You will learn precisely how the IPCC constructs and calculates its climate consequence risk scenarios and recommended climate change remedies. Unfortunately, you will also discover that there are many other serious calculation and process problems within the IPCC in addition to the Perfect Day problem. The additional problems below further call into question the reliability and risk analysis usefulness of the IPCC's current prediction scenarios and climate remedies.

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the four key reasons why the IPCC's 26 global climate conferences have failed to produce results or legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    The global warming emergency and its future are far worse than the government, the media, or the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] are telling us.

    (Click here to see just how much worse things will become and how fast.) 

     

    Fact 10: The climate change momentum and human inertia paradoxes and dilemmas. Anything we do now to reduce fossil fuel use will not show much of a benefit for 20-30 years, and people are impatient for results. 

    Because the climate system has so much of both intrinsic heat-building momentum and human inertial (resistance to getting off fossil fuels) within it already (about 20-30 years worth), we are stuck with the current global heating level that was created 20-30 years ago. This is equally true for those who live 20-30 years from now. They will experience the global heating we have caused because of the levels of greenhouse gasses we have added to the atmosphere.

    This long time lag for seeing results makes it even more challenging to convince people why they have to make painful, radical sacrifices today to reduce our global fossil fuel levels to get as close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets as is possible to prevent a mass human extinction 20-30 years from now.

    Most people do not understand the tremendous heat and cooling inertia already locked into the climate system because they also do not understand the physics of inertia.

    They do not understand that because of climate inertia, whatever fossil fuel reductions we make today, the positive consequences of those reductions will not show up for 20-30 years. The same holds true for any radical increase in fossil fuel use we make today. Those negative consequences will also take 20-30 years to manifest.

    There is a 20-30-year buffer of powerful climate inertia that will continue to act as a slowing brake on the accelerating climate change consequences until that breaking effect of this climate inertia is finally overwhelmed by the increasing temperatures, crossed climate tipping points, and feedbacks. From 2024 onward, the consequences of climate change will unfold steadily and then increase dramatically, even near exponentially, in speed, intensity, and frequency as the next 2-3 decades pass.

    When someone tells you that global climate collapse will happen in the next few years, they are boldly telling you that they do not understand climate change inertia.

     

    As you can see from the illustration above, we are already in deep trouble. We need to reduce global fossil fuel use and greenhouse gases now and radically.

    Measuring the most dangerous greenhouse gases of atmospheric carbon [CO2,] methane [C4,] and nitrous dioxide [No2] are the best ways to measure the increasing threat level of global heating consequences. These measurements are also one of the best ways to predict future global heating and temperature levels. 

    In the illustration below, on the left vertical axis are atmospheric measuring levels for both carbon and nitrous dioxide in parts per million [ppm.] On the right vertical axis, you see the measuring level for atmospheric methane in parts per billion [ppb.] Across the bottom of the illustration is the last 2,000+ years. 

    The red, blue, and black lines moving from left to right across the illustration tell the painful story of human history and the pollution of our atmosphere. The illustration clearly shows what happened when humanity began the fossil fuel-powered industrial revolution in the late 1700s to early 1800s.

     

     

    For more information on the processes of climate change and global heating, click here.

     

    Fact 11. What our accelerating climate consequences will do to democracies and progressive nations

    Most people are not prepared for how our many intensifying global warming consequences will devolve our political systems to more primitive forms.

     

    As the climate consequences and the climate emergency continues to worsen, almost all governments worldwide will eventually have to declare martial law. The human rights many of us take for granted will have to be rescinded because of what the swift action of the accelerating emergency will demand and require. 

    Our democracies will declare martial law and become more autocratic (dictatorial) because their population will be stressed out and in fear as more climate consequences shatter and scatter their lives. This regression has happened many times before in history. Fearful people (as in pre-Nazi Germany) will accept and even demand dictatorial strong-man leaders, solutions, and behaviors they would never accept under normal -non-emergency living conditions.

    This devolution can occur because the core nature of progressive democracy requires:

    a. abundant and adequate resources for a large portion of their population and 

    b. a high degree of relative economic, social and political stability for a democracy to even exist. 

    Under the continuing stresses from escalating climate consequences, democracies will rapidly be forced to devolve into authoritarian nations. As global warming consequences worsen, critical resources will dwindle, and you will not have anything like previous normal social, economic, or political stability. 

    The constantly worsening climate disasters, mass migrations, and many other climate consequences will also intensify or cause new conflicts and destroy anything that looks like current normal democratic stability. (Because of escalating climate consequences, many current non-democratic states may devolve even further into warring clans or gangs.) 

    How can we expect democracies not to devolve into authoritarian nations? When survival is at stake in an emergency, drastic immediate action must be taken. We must sacrifice our individual rights and freedoms for the practicalities needed for the survival of the collective. 

    You can trust that our global democracies, just like existing dictatorships, will also take all the extreme measures needed to preserve their power and do whatever is necessary to maintain law and order in the coming climate chaos. 

    A terrifying part of this climate devolution is that existing right-wing nationalist and conservative political movements (as well as existing dictatorships) may intentionally ignore fixing the climate emergency for as long as possible. They will ignore fixing the climate to help create the deteriorating conditions within the nation that will eventually propel their rise to more power and influence. 

    Eventually, a fearful population will call upon almost anyone the believe to be a leader for their particular brand of simplistic quick solutions to the climate emergency. Those people will then willingly surrender their human rights and freedoms just in the hope they can feel safe again. 

    The harsh reality of the probable climate emergency-driven devolution of democracies means that to maintain the world's democracies, we must find a way to resolve the runaway global warming extinction emergency. And, we must do it before it creates more authoritarian dictatorships where centuries of hard-won human rights will be lost. 

    So, if you want to eventually live in a police state under emergency draconian martial law, do little or nothing to fix our current runaway global heating extinction emergency. You will eventually get your police state in the next phase of global climate destabilization and collapse. 

    Worse yet, as more authoritarian governments are created from climate devolution, it is doubtful they will ever be able to affect the minimal international cooperation required to prevent humanity's near-total extinction from runaway global heating consequences. Click here to see how this climate destabilization and collapse will take place.

    Click here for how to get busy to protect your democracy and progressive government from devolving into an emergency-driven authoritarian government and police state because of the runaway global heating extinction emergency.

    Fact 12. The most significant and most dangerous climate tipping point and global catastrophe is the Thwaites "doomsday glacier" collapse. It is just about to happen. When it does happen, it changes everything for humanity's future in an instant.

    Click here to read how the Thwaites "doomsday glacier" collapse will change the world instantly.

     

    In Summary of the Most Misunderstood Climate Facts

    Because global warming is already in a runaway state and primarily out of our control, it is good to be clear about the two things that we can still control:

    1. We can slow down some unavoidable global warming consequences for you and others by getting our governments to execute Part 3 of the Job One Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan (aka Plan B.)

    2. We can prepare to survive accelerating global warming consequences for as long and as comfortably as possible. At the same time, we can hope that this crisis does not turn into total extinction and that our wise preparation helps us make it through the now unavoidable death of half of humanity by mid-century.

    What you can do today about the climate change and global warming emergency because we are running out of time!

    1. We do need your help in getting this post to everywhere it needs to go!

    a. Would you please help email this post to more politicians worldwide before the COP26 International climate change conference. Particularly these US politicians because it is doubtful they and their climate staff also understand these issues. Please forward it to US politicians like John Kerry (the Climate Czar,) Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and other members of the US progressive Squad. Please also send it to all other global politicians you think should see it as well.

    b. Kindly email this post to the delegates, officials, and sponsors of the United Nations' next international climate conference (COP26), November 1-12, 2021. It is time the next climate conference stops watering down the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets needed to prevent our mass extinction. 

    Furthermore, it is time for COP26 to stop setting any global warming reduction targets based on carbon removal technology that does not exist. It is time for COP26 to tell the people of the world exactly how unlivable our global warming future will be because if they fail to mobilize government action again, there will be no time left to reach the correct global fossil fuel reductions. (Click here to learn how the IPCC is distorting carbon capture technology calculations to allow fossil fuel-producing nations and the fossil fuel industry to maintain production and profits and keep global fossil fuel reduction targets far below where they should be. 

    c. Please email this post to the ecological and global warming educational groups and their staff mentioned in this post, such as 350.org, Climate Central, Climate Mobilization, Climate Emergency Fund, the Sunrise Movement, Sierra Club, World Wildlife Fund, etc. Please also send it to ALL other environmental and global warming educational groups you think should see it as well.

    2. Sign this global warming emergency petition to our politicians.

    3. Get started with your personal and business Plan B for Climate Change Resilience today. It also contains information on how to live within our carrying capacity limits, prepare for what is coming, and how to adapt and simplify both your lifestyle and livelihood, so you become part of the energy solution to this emergency.

    Please note that at this late stage, individual actions alone will not reverse the global warming extinction emergency. Only government actions will do that.

    Please help support the research and candid, comprehensive climate change analysis done by the Job One for Humanity organization. Make a tax-deductible donation here.

    More documentation

    1. To now learn about the most critical current facts on climate change, click here.

    2. To learn how difficult it will be to get close to the extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, click here.

    3. Please note that this older 2 C limit calculation by the United Nations IPCC did not include adequate tipping point calculations. But, it did wrongly include magical compensatory carbon capture calculations for technology that might not exist for thirty years. It also did not include many other critical calculation factors described here.

    4. If you want to understand the climate science and analysis procedures we used to present the above information, click here for a technical explanation of our climate research process.

     


    Receive Free Global Warming Info!

     

    For answers to all of your remaining questions about climate change and global warming, click here for our new climate change FAQ. It has over one hundred of the most asked questions and answers about climate change.


  • Today's monstrous Joe Biden Gaff at the Glasgow COP26 climate conference

    It was so obvious that no one in real political power will even see it! 

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  • published Job One Advisory Board in Our Team 2021-10-20 14:36:50 -0700

    Advisory Board to Job One for Humanity

    Our Current Advisory Board

    Peter Carter:

    Peter was an expert reviewer for the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) fifth climate change assessment (AR5, 2014) and the IPCC’s 2018 Special Report on 1.5ºC. In 2018, he published Unprecedented Crime: Climate Science Denial and Game Changers for Survival, which he co-authored with Elizabeth Woodworth. He is published on climate change, biodiversity, and environmental health.

    Peter has been synthesizing global warming and climate change research since 1988. His approach to assessing climate change is based on environmental health and human rights protection. Peter’s mission now is to spread the full truth about the extreme risks and magnitude of the global climate and ocean disruption emergency and the emergency response required.

    Peter was a founding director of CAPE (Canadian Association of Physicians for the Environment) and, more recently, founder of the Climate Emergency Institute. Peter Carter, M.D. currently is a retired family and emergency medicine physician, with a background in environmental health protection policy.

    (We strongly recommend everyone watch this video by Peter Carter. It covers more about the sad history of the IPCC, its many conferences, and its continuous global fossil fuel reduction failures.)

    To see a list of climate presentations or published papers by Peter Carter, click here. His list is about 3/4 down the page.

    Wilford H. Welch: 

    For the past two decades, Wilford has devoted his considerable energies to the impacts the global sustainability, global warming, and global climate change crises are having on the peoples of this earth and the earth itself – and what we all must do to be part of the solution, not the problem. 

    He is the author of the 2021 book In Our Hands – A Handbook for Intergenerational Actions to Solve the Climate Crisis. The book is the primary text, and he is the lead teacher in two courses that he co-created with and now teaches at the Presidio Graduate School. (Click this link and click “Courses” https://k12.presidio.edu/climate/

    Following degrees at Yale, Harvard, and the University of California at Berkeley, Wilford was a U.S. diplomat in Asia during the Johnson and Nixon administrations. For many years thereafter he was an international business consultant at Arthur D. Little International based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

    Alvin (Al) Urquhart: 

    Alvin is an Emeritus Professor of Geography and was a founder and director of the Environmental Studies Program at the University of Oregon. With three degrees from the University of California, Berkeley, he was trained in anthropology, soil science, ecology, and geomorphology, as well as in his home department, geography. 

    Although his early teaching specialism was as a geomorphologist, after field studies in Jamaica, Angola and Nigeria, he became focused on the alteration of landscapes by cultural groups. Since the early 1970s, his primary interests have been the relations between humans and the natural world.

    As a teacher, he developed courses in the ways in which cultural landscapes were created, the disruption of ecological systems in the building of these landscapes, and the history of environmental ideas. Many of his thoughts were published in Nature & Culture: A Personal Crisis,  Eco-Justice Press; Eugene; 2013; 201 pp.  It contains the ideas underlying his thinking process, an extensive autobiography, and thoughts on the predicament in which humanity now finds itself. Many of the presentations he has made appear in his environmental blog: alurquhart.com. Now in his tenth decade, Al continues his landscape and environmental interest, mainly on a local scale.

    Other Job One for Humanity Team Members

    To learn about other Job One for Humanity team members, click here.

    Click here to see a profile of our members, subscribers, and the audience of visitors who will most benefit from our website.

    Millions of visitors and thousands of subscribers

    According to Google statistics as of March 5, 2022, over the last 5 years, 4.5 million unique visitors have come to our website to review our candid and non-politicized climate change analysis and research. Additionally, scores of climate newsgroups regularly display, like, and comment upon our climate articles.

     

    For answers to all of your remaining questions about climate change and global warming, click here for our new climate change FAQ. It has over one hundred of the most asked questions and answers about climate change.

     


  • What are the 10 most dangerous things people do not know about climate change

    Overview

    Unfortunately, the 10 most dangerous facts of global warming are the least understood by most of humanity. And, what we do not understand if left unmanaged will kill almost everything!

     

     

     

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  • published Sept 2021 Newsletter in Blog 2021-09-29 08:35:04 -0700

    Survival-Critical Global Warming Timeframes and Our September Climate Change Newsletter

    Knowing the real deadlines of the global warming emergency is essential for your ongoing peace of mind. It is also vital for planning the correct timed responses for your family and business.

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  • Microsoft, Uber, Procter & Gamble, Visa, Heineken, Verizon, PepsiCo, Unilever, Twitter, Salesforce, and Others Join Amazon in bogus Climate Pledges that Will Support the Die-Off of Much of Humanity by Mid-Century

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  • The new economic laws of the Triple Bottom Line (people, planet, profit,) and Full Cost Full-Cycle Accounting for All Businesses

    Sustainable Prosperity through these new principles of sustainable economics is created by all businesses and organizations embracing fair and appropriate exchange, the Triple Bottom Line Principle as well as product and production Full Cost Full-Cycle Accounting in managing and determining economic profitability. Full cycle accounting prevents individuals, businesses, or nations from exporting and externalizing ANY costs (including particularly all forms of pollution or other harms to society from things like the costs of alcohol, cigarette, or gambling addiction,) related to the full production and safe disposal cycle of their product to any other entity, including taxpayers. 

    Full cost accounting enforces full consequence capture onto those who have created the consequence. The Triple Bottom Line also redefines profit in terms of a sustainability, which involves fair and appropriate exchanges, the profit of the stakeholders (investors and employees,) of the organization, and the community/nation and environment the organization exists within. 

    Profitability that makes profit for the organization and then unfairly exports costs and harms to the individual, community,  environment, bio-systems or even the nation is not sustainable or based on fair-exchange profitability. The Triple Bottom Line accounting would show all such costs and help to ensure such costs were recaptured fully by the source of such costs. 

    The triple bottom line when applied to all nations and businesses equally creates a level and fair playing field and it clearly helps to show at an environmental level which companies are truly profitable and which companies or nations are stealing from their communities their nations and other nations by failing to capture the full environmental and community costs of their production. A great example of the triple bottom line factor at work to have the polluter capture all of the costs of their pollution is the carbon pollution fee and 100% direct dividend to the public plan.

    To learn more about Sustainable Prosperity in this online booklet click the next link to the bottom right. 


  • New Amazon Bezos Climate Pledge to Reduce Fossil Fuel Use is a Twisted Joke that Will Actually Support the Die-Off of Much of Humanity by 2050

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  • commented on Can we still solve global warming in time? 2021-09-15 15:48:54 -0700
    Job One just received this in an email from a knowledgeable climate researcher regarding the issues within this post and felt we needed to add it to the post’s comments immediately.

    Over many years, the past UN Secretary-General, Ban Ki-moon, and the present S-G, António Guterres, have repeatedly warned governments of catastrophic climate impacts to the human population if global emissions are not put into decline. Over the past year when they had a chance to do so, instead, governments have poured our money into the fossil fuel industry, resulting in coal production today being higher than its 2019 peak, oil near peak production, and a near-record increase in global CO2 emissions (IEA 2021).
    They have done this when today’s global surface temperature, cumulative CO2 emissions, atmospheric CO2 equivalent concentration, ocean heating, ocean acidification and ocean deoxygenation are increasing faster than ever and tracking the very worst-case climate change scenario.

    The global temperature of the last decade is the hottest in the past 120,000 years (IPCC 2021 AR6 WG1). Atmospheric CO2 today is the highest in 15 million years (IPCC AR6 WG1), and increasing at the fastest rate in the past 40 million years (WMO 2017).
    The land carbon sink will reach saturation (start to fail) by 2030 and become a net carbon emitter with a large boost in heating and ocean acidification. It will be declining fast by 2050 — another huge boost (IPCC AR6 WG1).
    Ocean acidification is the highest in 2 million years and its rate of increase is the highest in 300 million years (IPCC AR6 WG1).
    The increase in heatwaves will accelerate in increasing frequency, extent, severity, and duration (IPCC), making growing food — and life — impossible.
    Governments have done this when all the enormous sources of feedback emissions have been triggered and are emitting all three GHGs (methane, CO2, and nitrous oxide), which is a hothouse Earth climate chaos runaway situation.
    Government inaction is no doubt based on the false rationale that the climate and oceans can be geoengineered back to a habitable condition, which is obviously absolutely impossible.

    Despite decades of recommendations and urging from all sources, there has been no progress from governments on the termination of planet-destroying fossil fuel subsidies, nor on a global price on corporate carbon pollution.

    We hold today’s governments, multinational fossil fuel companies, and bank/financing corporations responsible for driving up greenhouse gas emissions to levels that will lead to the future annihilation of most species and life on Earth, including the human race.

    They have done this when the IPCC says that unless there are immediate, rapid, and large-scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, limiting warming to close to 1.5°C or even 2°C will be out of reach (IPCC 2021 AR6 WG1), and that global emissions must drop 50% by 2030 from 2020 (IPCC 2018 1.5C report). The IPCC 2014 5th assessment showed global emissions had to be declining fast by 2020 to limit heating to 2°C by 2100, which is over 3°C by 2300.

    Current government policies — and even their UN promises — do not put emissions into effective decline by 2030 (they only achieve 2% lower than 2017 by 2030) (2021 UN Climate Secretariat). Instead of boosting renewable energy, government post-Covid economic recovery plans provide only 2% of recovery funds to the clean renewable energy industry. This strategy is a global death sentence, which humanity cannot survive. Industrial civilization has brought about the 6th extinction — biological annihilation of life on Earth (G. Ceballos, 2017), so the issue today is Will some of the forests, mammals, insects, and ocean animals be allowed to survive? Will today’s children and youth be allowed any hope for a future?

    It is not too late for the governments and corporations to act immediately for today’s children and the survival of life on Earth — or will today’s youth live through the coming hellscape on Earth only to learn their lives were written off?

    We call for governments at the 2021 COP26 to commit to reversing their post-Covid fossil fuel-based economic recovery to a 100% clean energy investment recovery, commit to the immediate termination of planet-destroying fossil fuel subsidies, and put a global price on corporate carbon pollution. We urge them to call for a UN planetary emergency declaration and response. Governments can at least try to prevent planetary catastrophe.

    Peter Carter
    Climate Emergency Institute
    14 September 2021

  • Feeling emotionally upset about global warming and our deteriorating environment? Here is a super-powerful new YouTube video support tool!

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  • Your 5 Climate Change Emergency Action Choice Options

    Last updated 10.24.23

    It is time to choose what you will do about the climate change emergency. Below are the five most common choices and courses of action that individuals eventually make, either consciously or unconsciously! 

    Prologue

    This page assumes you have read the ten critical facts about climate change and the runaway global heating emergency found here. Once you have read that ten climate facts summary page, you are ready to make the best possible informed decision about what you want to do about the climate change emergency. 

    Everyone (including our staff and volunteers) eventually weighs out and then consciously or unconsciously chooses upon one or more of the five decision and action options listed below. 

    "Denial is what we add to pain to make it last longer and hurt more." Errol Strieder

     

     

    The five most common choices individuals make about what they will do about the climate change emergency

    Because of the life-and-death seriousness of our climate change nightmare, our organization does not blame or judge any individual, group, or organization choosing any of the five decision-action options below.

    Click the link below in the action choice you are most interested in exploring first: 

    Action 1: Force our governments to ACT to save us before it is too late. To do this effectively with the little time we have left to prevent mass extinction, you would need to have already some direct and significant influence with politicians or government agencies besides your basic vote. If you do not have this kind of influence, keep voting for politicians who will reduce fossil fuel use and look over the other options.

    Action 2: Start the needed emergency preparations and adaptations to survive as long and as comfortably as possible. You chose this because our governments continue to fail to enforce the required global fossil fuel reductions with little evidence this will change in time to save us from near-endless climate change catastrophes and disasters.

    Action 3: Accept the eventual mass extinction probability of the climate change emergency and do nothing. Enjoy your life as previously planned and the rapidly worsening climate stability for as long as possible. 

    Action 4: In your own way, mix, match, and combine the best elements from all five of the decision-action strategies.

    Action 5: Use Job One for Humanity's carefully researched, prioritized, and deadline-driven list of effective action recommendations by clicking here.

     


  • commented on New UN Climate Report Dire, But Still Hiding Much From the Public 2021-08-12 09:07:51 -0700
    Well said Ed! We certainly are facing humanity’s greatest evolutionary challenge.