What’s Good for Covid is Good for Climate
The Covid-19 global emergency response has been a great unprecedented success in surviving a global virus pandemic. In comparison, the worse-than-nothing response to the global climate emergency is an unprecedented policy and public health failure that humanity will not survive, if not corrected immediately.
Global Warming is Hitting 1.5°C Already — and Accelerating … Please, Just Say No to Fossil Fuels, for Our Children's Future
Lost in the Covid-19 pandemic news coverage is the current rapidly deteriorating state of the climate, which is more of an emergency than ever. This global threat to our survival is more real than ever. It will not go away by itself, we cannot make it go away, and our leaders, particularly the US Republican Trump government, are denying the threat. They are pouring more gasoline on the global warming fire.Read more
Why didn’t every American newspaper report this news? It should have made the front-page headlines. This is an enormous American and global — now unavoidable — climate catastrophe in the making.
In April 2020, the journal Science published “Large contribution from anthropogenic warming to an emerging North American megadrought” (by A. Park Williams and colleagues).
As usual for momentously bad research news on climate disruption, although it was reported, it would not have seen by the average reader as it did not feature under general science news.Read more
The not-for-profit Job One for Humanity organization is primarily a place focused on educating individuals and businesses on how to both survive and thrive through the soon-coming climate change, global warming catastrophes as well as the world's other 12 critical challenges.
Because of the newest research and analysis of our current global warming condition and the 12 other critical global challenges, threats, and risk levels, on May 18th, 2020 we changed our full slogan to:
How to Survive and Thrive Through Climate Change, the Global Warming Extinction Emergency, and the World's Other Critical Global Challenges
When we say extinction in our slogan above, we specifically mean total human extinction and not mass human extinction which is now all but inevitable within 30-50 years because of accelerating global warming and our other 12 critical global challenges. (See the reasons why mass extinction due to global warming alone within decades is all but inevitable here.)
Why this new Survive and Thrive slogan for Job One for Humanity in 2020?
"If you can't call a thing (or see) a thing for what it really is, it is highly unlikely you will be able to manage or fix it." Lawrence Wollersheim
The "Survive" part of our new slogan also reflects the most probable future reality for what is true about:
1. our current grossly insufficient efforts to reduce global fossil fuel use adequately to meet our last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and,
2. what we can still do about the accelerating global warming emergency.
3. how little progress we are making on the world's other 12 critical challenges.
Our new global warming reality also is that;
1. we can no longer avoid a global warming-caused mass extinction event. And,
2. after ignoring 35 years of scientific warmings, at this point, the best we can realistically hope for now is enough of us can survive it, to save and salvage as much of civilization as is possible, and to work toward preventing a total human extinction event from occurring.
This certainly is a lot very bad news for anyone to digest. It flies in the face of what we are told by our governments about current success in reducing global warming. Unfortunately, what our governments are telling us is not valid. The global warming emergency is much, much worse than we are being told.
When you read this difficult news page and our website, also please keep in mind that our government leaders have utterly failed to see the coming pain and suffering of the COVID-19 pandemic, nor did they adequately prepare for it. Similarily our government leaders are also not seeing or adequately preparing for the global warming extinction emergency, which is already happening and, will be far, far worse than COVID-19!
The global warming science says it all
In many places on our website, we have laid out the unbiased global warming science, which solidly indicates that we are already facing an unavoidable global warming-caused mass extinction event within our lifetimes. This coming mass extinction event could cause the deaths of as much as 70-90% of humanity within as little as the next 30-50 years. (Such a massive die-off will be due to these 20 combined future consequences of global warming particularly, mass starvation due to global crop failures of the most climate-sensitive crops as well as crossing the first three of four extinction-evoking global warming tipping points.)
One huge reason why this mass extinction event will occur is that we have ignored 35 years of scientific warnings. Over and over we missed the opportunities to fix global warming when we could have easily made the needed gradual changes to keep escalating global warming from reaching our current catastrophic point.
The already ongoing mass extinction event is also unavoidable because soon we will be unable to stop ourselves from crossing the four most dangerous global warming tipping points. We will be unable to stop ourselves because we will be unable to achieve the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets!
(If you do not believe that we are already in a mass extinction process, click the following unavoidable global warming-caused mass extinction event link. After you read that page, please read about the four major global warming-caused tipping points we will soon cross at this link. The second link will make our step-by-step unavoidable mass extinction process painfully clear!)
More regrettably is the fact that the mass extinction of a vast portion of humanity is not the worst global warming future consequence we are facing. If we do not make or come reasonably close to the radical 2025 global reduction targets for our global fossil fuel use, we will also face the very beginning stages of a painfully real total extinction.
Here is how a global warming total extinction event could eventually unfold if we do not act soon!
A total extinction event could begin in as early as 50-70 years in the form of very high temperature and very high atmospheric carbon levels, which support initiating the final runaway-global warming process, aka the runaway greenhouse effect. (Runaway global warming is also referred to as runaway greenhouse effect or extinction-level global warming. Run-away global warming describes the circumstances in which the climate destabilizes catastrophically and permanently from its original state—similar to what happened on Venus when the planet lost its atmosphere out into outer space. Runaway global warming is thought to have occurred to Venus 4 billion years ago, because of a very high carbon-rich atmosphere and exceptionally high average surface temperatures.)
Runaway global warming will create a literal Climageddon meltdown where nothing will survive because there will be no atmosphere. This total extinction event could enter its first phase as soon as our average global temperature rises above 6 degrees Celcius.
At a 5-6 degree Celcius increase in average global temperature, the massive additional tipping point releases of methane from coastal deposits and permafrost will skyrocket atmospheric carbon levels and average global temperatures. This will accelerate the earliest phases of runaway global warming.
Here is how this happens. At a 5-6 degree Celcius temperature increase, the costal deposit and permafrost "methane time bomb" goes off. This will take us from the 5-6 degree Celcius atmospheric carbon level of 500-600 parts per million (ppm) far too quickly to the atmospheric carbon levels of carbon 800 ppm, carbon 1,000 ppm, carbon 1,200 ppm and even to carbon 1,600 ppm and beyond. (For reference, our climate was stable for hundreds of thousands of years at about carbon 270 ppm. We are currently at about carbon 415 ppm. This carbon 270 to 415 ppm increase has occurred since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, which was power by burning fossil fuels.)
There is also another way we could enter into a global warming-caused total extinction event. That would be as global average temperatures reach a 3-6 degrees Celcius increase. At those temperature increase levels, there will be increasing mass starvation and a mass migration of desperate climagees (climate refugees.)
To survive, countries in the many unsafe zones will demand land and resources from countries in the safer zones. Regional and international conflicts and wars will break out over the safer land areas and remaining resources.
These wars will be of ultimate desperation and will undoubtedly include chemical, biological, and even nuclear weapons. Any weapons available will be used to force those governments in the global warming safer zones to open their borders to the billions of desperate climagees. Because there will not be enough resources available in the safer zones to support the billions of climagees, the most vicious wars the world has ever seen will likely be fought over the safest remaining areas on Earth in humanity's last fight for survival!
What is also essential to keep in mind when viewing our potential for a runaway global warming total extinction event beginning in about 50-70 years, is that a mass extinction event is already unfolding at an accelerating pace and, it will come to full realization throughout the next 30-50 years. But, we have only about 6 years left to reduce global fossil fuel enough (by coming as close as possible to the 2025 targets,) to prevent crossing the three most deadly global warming tipping points and bringing about the beginning phases of total extinction.
Preventing total extinction will also be very difficult for us to achieve. Therefore, because of the above as well as the fact that you must be able to call a thing what it actually is in order to deal with it, we have updated our slogan and mission statement to reflect the current reality that the best we will most likely be able to do is:
"to help the world adapt to unavoidable global warming mass extinction while still doing everything we can to prevent total extinction."
In other words, we must adapt to what we can no longer prevent!
We do not expect new visitors or individuals unfamiliar with the current global warming science or our current emergency to believe the above nearly-unbearable news of what they have just read. But, if they take the time to look at the documentation links in the copy above (and the links to follow,) we believe, that they too will come to understand that the mass extinction vs total extinction dilemma which humanity now finds itself in is 100% real!
The REAL crisis, challenge, and ultimate global warming question for our individual and collective futures is...
"How do we prevent a global warming-caused total extinction event from occurring, while we are simultaneously adapting to an unavoidable mass extinction event, which is already occurring?"
The above is the most important global warming question that no politician or global warming education organization is currently addressing! Yet, there is no more critical question for the survival of humanity that must be faced and managed or, there will be no more humanity!!
This is the central question at Job One for Humanity which we are facing and managing in an honest, adult manner. The truth of this question has forced us to update our slogan to "adapt to global warming extinction." This is also the question that forced us to add this slogan explanation page.
In facing the global warming emergency over the last 11 years, we have been continually forced to create and update a science-based adaptation and preparation plan that if honestly executed, even has a reasonable probability of preventing the total extinction of humanity.
This new plan is ultimately practical in that it also helps individuals make the critical emergency preparations and adaptions needed to deal with our steadily unfolding mass extinction process while also still forwarding and promoting all of the key actions and adaptations that must be done by our governments to prevent the total extinction of humanity.
The "Thrive" part of our new slogan also reflects the most probable future reality for what is true about:
The great news about our Job One Plan is that there is still much we can do to prevent total extinction if we can get our governments to act effectively on this emergency and come very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
Within the next six years we need to slow down global warming enough so that:
a. those of you who start preparing and adapting now should be able to survive and be more comfortable as a now unavoidable mass extinction event unfolds over the next 30-50 years. And at least,
b. some of humanity and civilization might be able to survive because we have done just enough, just in time to avoid a global warming-caused total extinction event.
Click here to overview the 4 Parts of the Job One for Humanity Plan to adapt to the global warming emergency and hopefully prevent a total extinction event from occurring. Here you can learn what you can do to adapt to protect your family, business, and nation during the unfolding mass extinction event while at the same time helping to execute the most effective governmental actions required to resolve our total extinction threat and emergency.
Here are several additional reasons for our slogan update
When you read our website's full version slogan "How to Survive and Thrive Through Climate Change, Global Warming Extinction Emergency and the World's Key global Challenges," we hope two additional important reactions take place.
1. You ask yourself, how do I survive total extinction? To most people, it will seem a bit illogical to try to survive the finality of extinction.
We also hope that the tremendous power of this cognitive dissonance and tension between the survive and extinction concepts will cause you to read more on our website to resolve this seeming inconsistency. We then hope this knowledge will motivate you to learn about what you can do to help prevent an unthinkable extinction reality, until or if it occurs. And yes, there are many, many things we can do to adapt while we are trying to prevent total extinction.
2. Most people will also see some hope of possible practical actions in the word adapt. They will imagine that we still have some way of avoiding a total extinction event. That hope is correct, but the challenge of it is the greatest humanity has ever faced.
A comment from a Job One for Humanity member on our 2020 slogan change:
"I appreciate how your organization is willing to do a more in-depth analysis of the global warming extinction emergency and the other key challenges facing the world. Job One is not afraid to tell us what our governments and the media will not simply because it is so frightening or because it benefits some vested interest. After I had considerable time to process these fears, I came to realize that they are legitimate and justified. These legitimate fears have now become a dominant positive force behind me, my family, and my business changing our budgets and lifestyles to begin to adapt to what is now unavoidable. Thank you for your work and your voice!" K.R.
One last thought
The Job One for Humanity organization is currently in the process of evaluating the best places above the 45 parallel north to migrate to for its offices and staff. We are making this migration move soon so that our organization, its staff, and their families have a more extended period of relative stability and normalcy in which to serve and help others adapt to what is coming from the accelerating and intensifying consequences of the global warming extinction emergency.
We are not alone in seeking a more stable future environment by any means. There are many climate scientists and climate researchers who also see the "writing on the wall" and have already quietly migrated or are soon planning their migration to global warming safer zones.
All over the world intelligent individuals and businesses are quietly beginning to adapt and migrate wherever necessary.
In this growing migration movement, we at Job One for Humanity are "walking our talk" and adapting to global warming extinction, which is our website slogan.
To learn more about sustainable prosperity click the image below.
Please also note: When we updated our slogan, we also had to update our mission
To see our full, newly upgraded 2020 mission and what our non-profit organization is dedicated to achieving, click here.
First world illustration by Jean Arnold
There is a lot to update you about on global warming emergency this month especially since we missed last month's update...
Global warming extinction emergency group members glue themselves to doorways to block members of Congress from attending evening vote.
We are in a global warming extinction emergency. In a state of emergency, one has little time left to act and fix the emergency. Therefore, we must operate at levels of urgency and direct intervention not utilized before which is commensurate with the larger danger to ensure this emergency will get resolved.
The Job One for Humanity organization has adapted to the new reality we are in a global warming extinction emergency. Accordingly, we have become a respectful disruptor of any individual, company, not-for-profit environmental group or any global warming educational peers who are unintentionally or intentionally presenting false, misleading, diminishing or significantly underestimated global warming information about the real dangers of our global warming extinction emergency.
What exactly do we mean by respectful disruptor?
A. Being a disruptor means that in peaceful and nonviolent ways, we will publicly challenge any organization or individual that presents false, significantly underestimated, diminishing or misleading global warming analysis, facts or solutions or, otherwise misrepresents, dummies down or "markets" global warming information in such a way that it becomes counter-productive to resolving the true urgency of the global warming extinction emergency.
We will disrupt this flow of false, underestimated, or misleading information wherever we find it to the best of our organization's abilities and resources. We are compelled to disrupt because our current global warming emergency is so great and the time to prevent a massive human, animal, and biological extinction event from occurring within our lifetimes is so short (only until 2025.)
B. Being a disruptor also means that we hold that no well-intended or global warming ill-informed organization or individual has the inherent right to forward false, underestimated, or misleading information unchallenged when their actions and ideas lessen either the urgency or the effective means of our global warming extinction emergency.
Our unwelcome role as a respectful disruptor is not just necessary, it is required! Any distress that we might cause by challenging an offending organization or individual is infinitely less when compared to the suffering, death, and damage that such unchallenged information could or will eventually cause to the world's efforts to reduce global warming in time to save humanity and the future.
What exactly do we mean by being respectful?
Being respectful means that we will respectfully challenge any organization or individual that presents false, underestimated, diminishing, or misleading global warming analysis or, facts counter-productive to resolving the global warming extinction emergency. We will act respectfully because most individuals, companies, and nonprofit organizations are composed of good people and have done many good things for global warming education. In some cases, these same entities may have made essential and significant contributions to the global warming educational movement over many years.
We also understand that in most cases, these organizations and individuals are probably not doing this awarely or intentionally. They are just doing the best they have with what they have.
We believe that when they have unintentionally presented false or underestimated global warming analysis or, facts or, that they have misrepresented other important global warming information, it is often because they have:
1. Failed to adequately challenge the existing "authority endorsed" paradigms of global warming climate models, analysis and interpretation for missing critical inputs, hidden political manipulation or manipulation by other hidden for-profit vested interests (the fossil fuel industry,) which have skewed or warped the integrity of other honest climate researchers results.
2. Failed to have any single individual or executive within their organization put in the tens of thousands of pages of challenging deep research reading with the requisite high IQ, complex adaptive system and systems theory analysis skills to have an adequate meta-systemic understanding of one of the most complicated issues of our time.
3. Listened to marketing advisors within their organizations, causing them to self-censor and treat their members like children who cannot be told or deal with the hard painful facts of the global warming extinction emergency.
We will be respectfully disruptive toward the incorrect facts, false beliefs, and ineffective global warming reduction plans of anyone presenting them. We do this only to call attention to more effective actions or more useful global warming facts and analysis.
When you read our website and see us enacting our respectful disruptor policy, please keep in mind that our government leaders have utterly failed to see the coming pain and suffering of the COVID-19 pandemic, nor did they adequately prepare for it! Our government leaders are also not seeing or adequately preparing for the global warming extinction emergency, which is already happening and, will be far, far worse than COVID-19! Because of this in-action by our governments, we must find a way to compensate for that failure.
We will provide useful and accurate information on the global warming state of emergency. This way, we can more quickly reduce global fossil fuel use by executing all of the prioritized and deadline-driven actions necessary to prevent a massive human, animal, and biological extinction event occurring within our lifetimes because:
a. The faster and more we reduce global fossil fuel use, the more people that will survive to carry on humanity.
b. The quicker and more we reduce global fossil fuel use, the less future generations will suffer from an ever-increasing sequence of escalating global warming catastrophes.
We believe that everyone has the right to their own opinion. We also believe that anyone can and should be publicly challenged if the result(s) of their unchallenged opinions will cause grave harm to others and the future of humanity and the biosphere!
Therefore, if anyone is forwarding false, underestimated, diminishing, or misleading ideas that will make it more difficult to slow or resolve the global warming extinction emergency, we will:
1. directly, indirectly, or tacitly recognize their legitimate accomplishments and we will first present them with the information on this website privately to help educate them to where they are in error. (By going to the individual or organization privately first we seek not to polarize, but educate. Only if they reject private education and changing their false, underestimated, diminishing, or misleading ideas do we result to step two below.)
2. recognize their legitimate accomplishments and if they continue to forward false, underestimated, diminishing or misleading ideas about the global warming extinction emergency we will publicly attack the errors in the information they are presenting the public forums that will provide the most correctional benefits and fully disrupt the status quo of their erroneous educational actions.
We do not seek to polarize or lessen the efforts of any individual or organization seeking to legitimately educate about global warming, but at the twelfth hour of this greatest of all human emergencies we can not and will not allow false, underestimated, diminishing, or misleading ideas about the global warming extinction emergency to go unchallenged.
If you have any doubt why this respectful disruption policy is so important with so little time left to solve the global warming emergency, please click here and see where we are on the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock.
The Job One for Humanity Team
Why will it be so hard to prevent mass human extinction without achieving the 2025 global warming fossil fuel reduction targets?
There are serious reasons for why we may not achieve the extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines. We may not even hit any fossil fuel reduction targets or deadlines for the next 30-50 years.
Climageddon Scenario Phases 2-6
(To see Climageddon Scenario Phase 1, click here. Please note that several sections below are repeated or similar to sections in earlier Climageddon phases either for necessary emphasis or because this page will be viewed separately in internet searches.)
The following contains members-only global warming extinction warning signs, countdown timetables, and consequence information that was difficult and expensive for us to acquire. Only logged in members can see this page.
The contents of this page are well beyond what was contained in the Amazon well-reviewed new Climageddon book. This page also completes the general public introduction to the Climageddon Scenario found on this page of our non-member public website.
Before you read this page, we strongly recommend that you have also reviewed the full Climageddon Scenario public introduction to this page found here. It is an important and essential introduction to this members-only page that contains much not on this page and that helps make the following much clearer!
The 5 other phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario and Countdown
Consider each consequence listed within the following five additional Climageddon phases as an increasing louder warning signal signaling the next step and level in our countdown to mass extinction. Treat these unfolding warning signs and timetables as deadlines for your survival timeframe planning!
With each of the 5 additional phases described below human suffering and death as well as desperation migration and great financial loss will not increase gradually but along a rapidly rising exponential curve. Also, please keep in mind that as each phase occurs and we cross more tipping points, our ability to manage and control or prevent the subsequent phase unfolding drops drastically.
This phase-by-phase ever-increasing loss of effective control helps to facilitate an ever-increasing chain reaction of more and more consequences and more and more crossed tipping points occurring faster and faster, leading eventually to the full extinction of humanity event described in detail in Phases 5 and 6 further below.
Assuming you have read the essential information on the major global warming consequences and tipping points you are properly prepared to explore the next 5 phases of the Climageddon Scenario described below to discover what is the "perfect storm of perfect storms."
And finally, never forget that if we reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by plus or minus 5 percent, we will avoid the worst consequences of the Climageddon Scenario and mass extinction! Life over the millennia has always found a way to solve its previous mass extinction challenges!
Climageddon Scenario Phase 2, beginning as soon as 2032-2050:
(Please note: Phase 1 of the Climageddon Scenario is located on this public access page.)
We have crossed significant points of no return, crossed the climate cliff, and more dangerous tipping points. Temperatures rise more and faster. Carbon hits 450-500 ppm
The end of Phase 1 leading into the beginning of Phase 2 is the beginning of irreversible climate destabilization lasting for centuries to thousands of years. It is most often associated with a measurement of atmospheric carbon in the range of about 425-450 ppm. Phase 2 can begin as early as carbon 425 ppm if we cross more tipping points between carbon 425-450 ppm.
Overall, when we reach this phase, things will go from bad to considerably worse at a much faster pace.
In Phase 2, if the carbon ppm increase averages only around 3 ppm per year, the average global temperature rises faster and in a less gradual (i.e., less linear) manner. In Phase 2, the global warming consequences continue to increase in severity, scale, and frequency, but also in a faster manner. It is important to appreciate the accelerating effect of global warming consequence processes and relationships interacting with each other as the CS phases unfold. As global warming continues, its consequences will not just become more frequent; they will also keep expanding and intensifying in the other dimensions of scale and severity.
Phase 2 locks in the process of irreversible climate destabilization for centuries to thousands of years. It is considered irreversible because the time scale to repair the damage goes far, far beyond human lifespans.
In this phase, the cost of a single instance, global warming-related disaster may average in the $100-$300 billion range.
Because of melting ice and permafrost and crossed tipping points in the Arctic, at the beginning of Phase 2 we are highly likely to cross more points of no return and tipping points in climate human and biological systems. The evidence we could soon enter Phase 2 is already found in the North and South polar regions as they are warming at about twice the speed as the rest of the world.
Rapidly increasing temperatures and changing polar currents have already demonstrated major effects on the weather all over the world. The significantly higher temperature range in the polar regions is a likely “hot spot” to trigger crossing many known and unknown points of no return in these regions.
In addition to our rapidly rising carbon ppm level, another powerful indicator that we are rapidly approaching Phase 2 is the melting and breaking off of the West Antarctic ice sheet. Scientists are now saying the ice sheet has passed its point of irreversibility, meaning it will not return within a time frame that would enable us to solve our situation.
The loss of the West Antarctic ice sheet is extremely dangerous because it has held back much more massive Antarctic ice fields from plunging into the sea. If this happens, sea levels will quickly rise 10-20 feet (3-6 meters) over a time frame that we will not be able to adapt to without massive financial losses and casualties.
If we are lucky and maintain an average carbon increase of 3 ppm per year and we do not cross more points of no return or tipping points, it will take about 16 to 33 years (about 2032-2050) to reach carbon 450 or 500 ppm. The eventual average global temperature increase range commonly associated with Phase 2’s climate destabilization is about 2.5° to 3.2° Celsius or 4.5° to 5.8° Fahrenheit. Please also note that phase 2 could also end as early as 2026 if fossil fuel burning goes radically up and/or we cross many more additional key global warming tipping points, but that is more unlikely.
In Phase 2, when more global warming points of no return and tipping points are crossed, the progression before you reach carbon 450 -500 ppm resembles what occurs when one changes from careening down a gradual slope into a steeper one. You are not yet rolling uncontrollably. You still have a tiny bit of time left to think about what is coming before you crash, but the steeper the hill’s incline, the less chance you have of stopping or controlling your momentum.
Once we cross the carbon 500 ppm level, roughly between 2042-2067 or as early as 2032-2050, ALL ice and ALL glaciers on Earth will begin the process of a complete meltdown! If ice shelves keep sliding off the land that they are currently sitting on into the oceans at faster and faster rates, cities like San Francisco could very well experience as much as a 10 foot 10-sea level rise sometime during this phase and period.
Crossing the carbon 500 ppm threshold has, in fact, happened repeatedly in Earth's geological history. When this has occurred, the sea level inevitably rose to the 70 meters (230 feet) range. At our current annual carbon ppm emission rates, we will reach this catastrophic carbon 500 ppm range without crossing any additional tipping points as early as 2032-2050.
If we cross that battle line and climate cliff bypassing the atmospheric carbon level of 500 parts per million (ppm), our average global temperature will soar to about 4°C (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit). At 4°C, a large portion of humanity (hundreds of millions) will begin to die of starvation (or of increased heat's other related consequences) and, many governments and societies will collapse in many areas of the world between the 35th parallel north and the 35th parallel south.
Even though it will take many centuries for the seas to rise 230 feet, there will still be sea level rise spurts within those centuries where sea level rise by 10 feet or more in just a few decades as it also has done repeatedly in Earth's past.
Take a moment to visualize the seas eventually rising 230 feet and what this will mean to the generations that follow us. Take a moment to visualize massive crop failures around the world because of the increased heat and the consequent mass suffering of slow starvation if we pass the carbon 500 ppm level (an average global temperature increase of 4°C [7.2 degrees Fahrenheit]).
In the later Phase 2, tens of millions of people will become climagees and migrate toward the northernmost countries. Hundreds of millions worldwide will die. We could reach the beginning of phase 2 as early as 2022-2026 if we continue at 2016’s carbon increase of 3-4 ppm per year and we cross more tipping points.
The probability of crossing from Phase 2 into Phase 3 is nearly inevitable because of the many reasons and factors described at the top of the following linked page, IS global warming uncontrollable for at least the next 30-50+ years.
We will no ability to control global warming in any way once it hits carbon 500 ppm.
The warning signs of phase 2 from 2032-2050
The following listing of positive feedback loops, points of no return, tipping points, consequences, and interactions with our other current global challenges should be considered as good warning signs we are both in phase 2 or moving rapidly through phase 2 into phase 3. Watch for information about these consequences and events occurring in the news.
Particularly watch to see if they're being described as worse than before or as breaking all previous records. Look carefully at what the consequence pattern and trend is moving toward. These are the best objective accelerating warning signs that individuals can see for themselves and that will motivate thoughtful individuals to act appropriately.
Phase 2: The most probable positive feedback loops, points of no return, and tipping points to occur or be crossed from 2032-2050 in order of priority are as follows:
Increased albedo from reduced snow cover and melting Arctic ice increasing the earth's heat, increased sea ice, and glacier melt resulting in additional sea-level rise, increased atmospheric water vapor increases resulting in more extreme weather, increased permafrost and tundra heating releasing more methane and which results in more heat.
Faster melting permafrost in tundra areas increasingly causes the probability of local and possibly regional pandemics caused by ancient viruses and bacteria being released from the permafrost.
From the above list of tipping points, shrinking sea ice will cause massive ice shelves in Antarctica and Greenland (that are held in place by the surrounding sea ice,) to quickly slide off the land they sit on and into the sea. This could be one of the two biggest sudden shocker tipping points that hit us far harder than we are planning for regarding our rising sea level.
This is because melting sea ice (icebergs) already floating in the sea does not raise sea level. But on the other hand, massive ice shelves currently sitting on land in Antarctica and Greenland which then slides into the sea can raise sea levels far faster as well as far more than we are prepared for.
Several times in earth's history massive ice shelves have quickly slid off Greenland because the melted floating sea ice which had previously buttressed it up had melted. This sudden sliding of the ice shelf into the sea raised sea level by as much as 3-10 feet in as little as a decade or two. Imagine what would happen to any coastal cities in the world with sea level rising 3 to 10 feet in as little as a decade or two. What kind of economic, political, and social chaos would result from such a sudden sea-level rise across all of our global coastal areas?
Right now the sea ice surrounding many of the largest ice shelves in the world is melting at unprecedented rates. At just our current carbon levels, the stability of the bellwether West Antarctic ice sheet has already been breached and this ice loss is now irreversible. This rapidly melting West Antarctic ice sheet is an excellent example of another great global warming consequence evolving into a global warming tipping point that the world has hurdled past far faster than anyone had predicted or foreseen.
There will also be plankton dying from massive ocean carbon absorption resulting in less future ocean carbon absorption and more heat as well as less oxygen production, all of which results in more heat speeding up the whole process of more positive feedback loops, crossing more points of no return and tipping points. (Click here to learn more about each item listed above.)
Forests that were a major stabilizing force absorbing up to 30% of atmospheric carbon, become more neutral in their carbon absorption and eventually begin to stop taking any carbon from the atmosphere. This is a very scary tipping point that is already beginning to happen in 2020 in some areas of Amazon forests. Losing this forest massive carbon removal system will push temperatures up much faster than we are even remotely prepared for.
Phase 2: The following general global warming consequences will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale from 2032-2050.
The global warming-related consequences that will occur and continue to increase in this phase from continuing to burn fossil fuels at anything close to the rates we are now are similar to the consequences in part 1:
1. atmospheric heating which increases average global temperature,
2. new disease outbreaks, epidemics, and more COVID-19 like pandemics in areas where they have never been before. (This is due to loss of natural animal habitat, eating more wild animals, additional melting of the permafrost, overcrowding, less resilient health systems, and mass migrations. Because of accelerating global warming consequences, we could be experiencing COVID-19 type pandemics every decade.)
3. shrinking sea ice and ice shelves, glaciers and snowpack,
4. extreme storms of all kinds, (hurricanes, tornadoes, rain bombs, bomb cyclones, etc,)
5. crop failures increasing mass starvation, and soaring food prices,
7. new disease outbreaks, epidemics, and pandemics in areas where they have never been before,
8. clean drinking water scarcity,
10. fires and wildfires,
12. toxic air pollution,
13. ocean acidification, (Ocean heating and ocean acidification from carbon from global warming will eventually kill off much of the oceans' oxygen-producing plankton. These plankton are responsible for as much as 50% of all oxygen produced on the planet.)
14. loss of biodiversity,
15. jet stream disruption, (disruption of seasonal weather patterns,)
15. mass human migrations,
16 animal and insect migrations,
17. forests that were a major stabilizing force absorbing carbon become neutral in their carbon absorption and stop taking carbon from the atmosphere. (Soon in later phases the forests will begin to release their vast stores of carbon pushing temperatures higher even faster.)
18. economic losses. (In this phase, most nations will spend 3-7 percent of their total gross domestic product (GDP) directly or indirectly paying for the consequences of the global warming emergency.)
19. accelerating reef collapses around the world, (which negatively affects fish spawning and feeding areas, which causes more collapse of global fish populations, which causes more human starvation around the world. This is because fish protein is a major source of food for the world's poorer populations.)
20. slowing continues in the Atlantic Current. This further destabilizes global weather.
In one way or another, directly or indirectly as the above list of heat-driven global warming consequences increase in severity, frequency, and scale the following things occur:
1. Overall, there will ever-increasing damage to our economic, social, and political systems. This will cause immense, even unthinkable human suffering.
2. The total human capacity to work or produce will go down significantly, causing more business and distribution interruptions, business, and personal uncertainty, and unemployment.
3. There will be less food available from crops and fish stocks due to many of the extreme climate consequences.
4. Food prices will rise.
5. More people will starve.
6. The costs for living, repair, maintenance, building, or rebuilding in global warming safer areas will continue to go up.
7. There will be increasing disease, epidemics, and pandemics.
8. There be increasing migrations of starving, sick, or unemployed people fleeing from climate consequences and unstable or collapsed economies or nations.
9. There will be ever-increasing criminality by larger and larger portions of the population who are starving, ill or unemployed, and desperately trying to survive by any means possible.
10. Because of the growing criminality and social and political chaos, governments will impose states of emergency and martial law resulting in increased restrictions, suffering, and the loss of many hard-won human rights.
11. As the social economic and political chaos spreads, there will be more regional, national, and international conflicts and more conventional (and even a great potential for limited nuclear wars) because of growing resource scarcity, global warming-safe land scarcity, and increasing unstoppable migrations.
12. When all of the above items are taken collectively, it will cause additional economies and nations that were less stable to collapse entirely. And finally,
13. Human suffering and global deaths will continue to increase exponentially. Human deaths will eventually reach mass extinction levels.
Also, during this phase, as the above consequences intensify, local governments will order more and more precautionary evacuations as a first step in limiting casualties and losses.
Phase 2: From 2032-2050, there will be continuous and critical inter-reactions of the global warming consequences with our 12 other global challenges.
Global warming is not taking place in a vacuum where the world is not also dealing with other major global crises. Once we go over the 2025 global warming climate cliff (carbon 425-450 ppm,) we will make humanity's other 12 critical global crises so much worse that, the survival of humankind beyond a few more decades is highly unlikely.
Here is a brief re-listing of these other 12 critical global challenges:
Global Challenge 1: Resolving the current COVID-19 global pandemic,
Global Challenge 2: increasing global economic instabilities,
Global Challenge 3: ever-rising over-population,
Global Challenge 4: rising global resource depletion,
Global Challenge 5: escalating pollution of lands, air, and waters.
Global Challenge 6: loss of biodiversity,
Global Challenge 7: growing economic inequality, social and racial injustice, hunger, and poverty.
Global Challenge 8: escalating regional and international terrorism, conflicts, and war,
Global Challenge 9: Mass migrations,
Global Challenge 10: New COVID-19 like pandemics as well as other new and old disease epidemics that will likely occur every decade.
Global Challenge 11: increasing political instability and collapsing governments, and
Global Challenge 12: Our failure to evolve effective global governance.
For most of humanity's 12 other critical global crises, climate change, and global warming are simultaneously the great disruptors of the 21st century as well as threat mega-multipliers.
The above 12 other non-global warming challenges will interact with each other and likely continue to worsen in this phase of the Climageddon Scenario. In some cases, these 12 challenges getting worse over time will also speed up economic, social, and political instability, uncertainty, and chaos caused by global warming within this particular Climageddon Scenario phase.
When you mix our accelerating global warming threat multiplier in with these 12 other expanding global challenges you create for yourself a converging cascade of endless catastrophes. This cascading interaction process will cross-intensify and worsen many of the global warming consequences of this phase as well as our 12 other global challenges. (See this page if you need to refresh yourself on the details and processes relating to our 12 other critical global warming challenges.)
Global Warming: the Keystone to the Global Collapse of Civilization
It is also essential to learn to think about accelerating global warming as the keystone of impending global collapse. This is because it will speed up the collapse of most of the other 12 global challenges.
If you have seen a Roman architectural arch, you already know a little about what a keystone is. It is the central, usually triangular-shaped stone at the top center of the curvature. It is also the critical supporting stone that holds all the other stones in place and maintains the integrity and strength of the arch. If you pull a keystone out of a Roman arch, the whole arch immediately crumbles and ultimately falls in on itself.
That is also what will figuratively happen with civilization if we let global warming get out of control.
Imagine a Roman arch made up of global warming (our climate) as its keystone and the other 12 global challenges as the remaining stones holding up the arch of our civilization. In this image, global warming is the keystone that when it crumbles (due to accelerating heat) will lead to the ultimate collapse of our global civilization.
Unfortunately, our accelerating global warming challenge will also facilitate the collapse of our global civilization in the quickest and surest way. The only global challenge that will lead to a quicker and more certain global civilization collapse is an immediate global nuclear war.
Additionally, do not forget that when the global warming keystone begins to collapse, it also forces the other 12 global challenges to have intensified consequences and themselves begin collapsing far faster than we can be prepared for or from which we can recover. If the global warming keystone collapses by crossing more and more of its internal tipping points (as described in the six Climageddon phases), every projected time frame relating to global warming's consequences and the world's 12 other global challenges would also radically change for the worse.
Outcomes that were predicted to be many decades away could now become just a few decades away. At the least, the consequences and timeframes indicated in the six Climageddon Scenario phases would be significantly speeded up!
Up until now, the focus of the Climageddon Scenario has been near exclusively on global warming. At this point, it is critical to also see the collapse of our civilization as a separate and far more significant issue hidden within the global warming emergency.
When accelerating global warming multiplies and amplifies the consequences of the 12 other global challenges, it becomes the hot, lit match that can rapidly expedite the adverse effects of the other 12 global challenges causing them to explode. This explosion of adverse consequences across our global challenges would result in the complete or near-complete collapse of our global civilization.
Worse yet, the multiplying and amplifying effect of accelerating global warming on the other 12 global warming challenges could shorten the Climageddon Scenario predicted time frames for the coming social, economic, and political consequences (with their resultant potentials for system collapse and chaos) by as much as 10-30 percent or more.
What happens when you mix escalating global warming consequences with the escalating consequences of the other 12 global challenges?
When you are thinking about the interacting collective and individual global warming and the 12 other global challenge impacts of this Climageddon phase, you must also take into account the expanding direct and indirect impacts upon human social, economic, and political systems and the tipping points within those unique human systems. For example, as we continue to experience more of the multiplying, amplifying and magnifying consequences mentioned above (that will also increase in frequency, severity, and scale,) we will also begin to experience even more random human system crashes and collapses which have previously only occurred when severe stresses had arisen within our social, economic and political human systems.
All of the previously mentioned consequences interacting, multiplying, or amplifying each other will then eventually push more of our human systems ever closer toward or over their own internal tipping points. This means that eventually, more of the weaker countries will collapse under the ever-increasing weight of these rising internal economic, political, and social climate-related catastrophes.
What also will begin to happen as we leave Phase 2 and enter Phase 3 is that more nuclear reactors, toxic chemical manufacturing plants and any chemical or biological weapons stockpiles in the weakest nations will become even more vulnerable to accidental meltdown, release or theft as the governments of weaker nations lose their remaining resources or manpower to keep these critical sites secure and operational.
As more of the world's weakest nations collapse from the mounting global warming, our other global challenges, they will create even more desperate climagees (in the tens then hundreds of millions.) As rising climagee migrations seeks to enter stronger or safer nations, the stronger nations will also begin to experience more severe local, regional and national breakdowns in law and order as they experience even greater stresses upon their own economic, social and political systems. At the end of Phase 2, a few of the world's strongest nations will also begin destabilizing from the weight of the accumulating consequences.
Warning signs that a tipping point may soon be crossed in biological, climate and human systems
Many times, just before a tipping point is crossed and crashes, it experiences a period of increasing oscillations, “flipping” more rapidly from one state to another. Not only does it oscillate from one state to another at a faster rate, but the severity of the oscillations also increases. Finally, the frequency of the oscillation swings also begins to accelerate and occur in closer time proximity.
Whenever you see this type of intensified oscillation pattern occurring, whether it's in climate or biological systems or the stock market, it is the harbinger of significant changes and often system crashes. Additionally, smaller systems and subsystems will move into a state of chaos or collapse more readily than larger systems and subsystems due to smaller systems and subsystems usually having less inertia to resist the change.
As you read about all of the coming consequences within the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario, please keep in mind the above illustration showing increasing ups and downs occurring over shorter and shorter periods before a system crash. Being aware of this pre-crash process will assist you from getting caught unprepared in most situations.
Risk and threat ratings
Phase 2 Torino impact rating:
Torino rating 9: The threat is highly certain for unprecedented localized regional and national destruction. Attention by the public and both national and international governments to contingency planning is critical if the event is less than 3 decades away. Click here and go to the section of the page called Action Plan Section 2 near the bottom of the page to learn what the governments must start doing immediately.
Phase 2 US military DEFCON rating:
DEFCON 3: Armed forces readiness increased above normal levels; Air Force ready to mobilize in 15 minutes.
Phase 2 US Homeland Security risk rating:
The hidden danger of Phase 2 is that it is a key transition phase within the scenario. From there on, with each new tipping point and point of no return crossed, the effects collide across climate, human, and biological systems, and we lose all control of our future control even faster and the global warming process itself deepens its irreversibility.
When global warming becomes irreversible, it is important to understand that it will remain irreversible beyond any meaningful time frame compared to a human lifespan. It will persist for hundreds or thousands of years. This phase-by-phase loss of meaningful and effective control is also not gradual or linear—it accelerates and steepens as each subsequent phase of the Climageddon Scenario is entered.
Congratulations! You have finished Phase 2 of the Climageddon Scenario. There are 4 more well-illustrated and soon-arriving Climageddon Scenario phases to review where, unfortunately, things get even worse as global warming worsens.
Because the Climageddon Scenario is already unfolding, please do not forget that if we do reach the last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by plus or minus 5 percent, we will avoid the worst consequences of the Climageddon Scenario and mass extinction! Life over the millennia always seems to find a way to solve its previous mass extinction challenges!
To help prevent the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario from unfolding there exists a deadline-prioritized, effective action plan to ensure we do not trigger the later mass extinction phases. Click here for a brief overview of this plan. Once we get the greatest disruptor and threat multiplier of the 21st-century (global warming,) under control by building truly sustainable lifestyles and livelihoods, we can then move on to some of the deeper social and economic causes of global warming by focusing more on the other non-global warming global challenges mentioned on this page.
Special July 2020 update: There is an important update to the preparation, adaptation, and migration timetables for surviving the Climageddon Scenario found here.
To see all of the Climageddon Scenario Phase 3, beginning as soon as 2030-2040, click here.
The following provides five essential facts to know about today's climate change and global warming emergency. These are the facts that most other environmental groups are afraid to tell you.
Once you understand them, you will be better prepared for what is happing now and what is coming. We are not asking you to blindly accept these five disruptive facts. We have also provided links to their scientific documentation and analysis found further down the page.
The five most important facts you should know about climate change and global warming:
Fact 1: Our world governments were not prepared for the COVID-19 pandemic. They are even more unprepared for the escalating global warming emergency. Our governments have also ignored 35 years of persuasive global warming warnings by our best scientists, just like many of them ignored our pandemic scientists' advice.
Fact 2: Our governments are not telling us the truth about how bad global warming is going to get. Many catastrophic global warming consequences are going to arrive far sooner than we are being told.
Some of the coming catastrophic global warming consequences are already unavoidable!
Fact 3: If we keep going the way we are now, our governments are about five years away (2025) from missing our last theoretical opportunity to reduce global warming enough to be able to control our global warming futures. This means that we will not be able to prevent the most catastrophic global warming outcomes from occurring over the next several decades.
We have also reached the point where only government-driven efforts by all nations can save us. It is far too late for individual actions to achieve the fossil fuel reductions needed to save us in time.
Fact 4: If we keep acting the way we are now, we will not meet our last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Despite the horrible odds of not hitting the 2025 global reduction targets, we still must do everything we can do to come as close to meeting these targets as is possible.
If we come close to these 2025 targets, we can at least slow down and delay a human, animal, and plant species mass extinction event, which will unfold over the next 30-50 years. (Click here to read about the four extinction-evoking global warming tipping points that we will cross when our average global temperature increases to the 2°C level. This temperature level will push us over the climate cliff into a mass extinction event within 3-5 decades.)
The great news here is that by just getting close to the 2025 targets and as well as dealing with these 12 other critical global challenges, we can still give ourselves the needed time to prevent a total human extinction event from occurring.
Part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan will show you how our governments can get this done and save us in time.
Fact 5: Because we are so far behind in reducing global warming to come close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and because we are failing to adequately deal with these 12 other critical global challenges, it is NOW the proper time for wise individuals to create their own Plan B.
Plan B is a global warming emergency preparation, adaptation, and survival plan. With this backup plan in place, you can still "keep working for the best outcomes after you have prepared for the worst."
This way, you also will have your Plan B ready and you won't be unprepared for the mass suffering and death from the rapidly escalating consequences of the global warming emergency interacting with these 12 other critical global challenges!
It is not just Job One for Humanity organization saying these scary things. Hundreds of climate scientists now feel we cannot keep global warming below a 2°C increase. This 2°C trigger point means that all we can do right now is prepare for and adapt to what's coming. (Click here to read about the four extinction-evoking global warming tipping points that we will cross when our average global temperature increases to the 2°C level.)
(If needed, click here to review the many reasons why it is highly unlikely we will reach our 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must begin preparing ourselves.)
Bonus Fact 1: At the end of this article to balance this negative and highly disruptive global warming news, you will find the good news of a comprehensive and useful four-part new plan for what you can do right now to help control the global warming emergency while we still have time left to do so!
Here is more documentation and science prooving the above 5 facts are accurate
We challenge you to decide their truth for yourself or to prove these five facts wrong. Please read the expanded explanations below for each above fact and then check out their deeper dive documentation links as needed.
Fact 1: Our governments were not prepared for the COVID-19 pandemic and they are equally not prepared for the global warming emergency. We are not being told the painful truth by our governments (or even by many of our most prominent environmental groups,) about how catastrophic global warming currently is or, how unbearable it's going to get. Their analysis, calculations, and consequence timetable predictions are grossly underestimated and are dead wrong by as much as 20-40%.
What has been hidden from you by our governments, the media and inadvertently by many our most prominent environmental groups
1. We have actually increased fossil fuel use more this century than in the last two decades of the 20th century. More than half of all fossil fuel emissions which have been released over the previous 25 years are now more than were released in ALL of recorded history before 1990.
2. We are about 67% higher in carbon emissions than the early 1990s. This is even though we have had over 21 international fossil fuel reduction conferences and treaties since 1993 pledging we would reduce worldwide global warming. (Atmospheric carbon emissions is probably the best way to measure future global warming.)
3. In 2018 carbon emissions increased another dramatic 2.7% and they are projected to rise once again in 2019. (Here is a graph that shows the rising carbon in the atmosphere to help you visualize that things are not just going bad. As of August 2019, we are now at about carbon 414 parts per million in our atmosphere [ppm.]
Carbon in our atmosphere is getting exponentially worse while you are being told we are doing better at reducing global carbon emissions. Worse yet, exponential increases in carbon emissions will likely also mean exponential increases in future global warming consequences.)
Yes, intentionally or through ignorance or, as part of intentional systemic deception our governments, the media, and most of the world's environmental groups have not been telling us the REAL facts about our REAL lack of any meaningful progress whatsoever in reducing the rate of fossil fuel use increases, much less the complete absence of any substantive reductions anywhere across the world in reducing atmospheric carbon.
The following links will also help you decide if our current grossly underestimated public information about global warming exists because of unintentional misrepresentation, innocent mistakes, or systemic, intentional deception by hidden vested interests.
1. We are not anywhere even close to where we should be in fossil fuel use reductions to save us from unthinkable climate catastrophes and extinction. Click here to read about how "made up" calculations were used to set our current national and international fossil fuel reduction targets. These made up calculations came from including untested new technologies which even they admit, will not be available until sometime after 2050, if ever!
2. Click here to review and verify the government-promoted 20-40% global warming underestimation errors. And,
3. If you don't believe we are telling you the facts about our dismal failure in reducing global warming over the last 35 years, click here. You can view a short video by climate Professor Kevin Anderson in a recent presentation to the Oxford University Climate Society.
Something to think about once you have read the above documentation links on the underestimation, and inappropriate or incomplete calculations:
a. Can you imagine what the reasons might be for why our governments would publically give us such grossly underestimated global warming consequence timetables, threat assessments, and inadequate solutions, especially when the actual threat is so much more severe?
b. Who (what types of individuals, corporations, or government departments) would most benefit by providing such false and grossly misleading global warming information to the public?
Click here to see the REAL global fossil fuel reduction levels we must hit by 2025. You will be stunned if not shocked!
Click here to review the intentionally inappropriate or incomplete global government-supported calculations used to create the false belief that things are far better than they really are.
Why the false global warming information is so dangerous
Having grossly underestimated global warming consequences and timetable information presented by "trusted" authorities creates a false sense of public safety and removes any urgency to resolve it. This incorrect global warming timetable information is extremely dangerous because if we had more accurate information, we would, without a doubt, experience a legitimate and appropriate fear.
These falsehoods about global warming will increasingly cause extreme suffering and loss to larger and larger percentages of humanity. In part, the above false statements exist because there have been numerous government underestimation errors and intentionally inappropriate and/or incomplete calculations. This is particularly true concerning the necessary national and international fossil fuel reduction targets now being given to the public.
There has been significant deception regarding the real consequences of the current escalating global warming. This government-financed and promoted inaccurate information creates the false belief and sense of security that things are far better than they really are.
This also makes us believe that we are making sufficient and steady progress in reducing global warming when the hard truth is we are not!
Fact 2: Our governments are not telling us the truth about how unbearable and how bad global warming is going to get. Many catastrophic global warming consequences are going to arrive far sooner than we are being told. Some of these coming catastrophic global warming consequences are already unavoidable!
The worst consequences of global warming will not be occurring around 2100 as we are now being told by our governments. The worst will start to occur as soon as the next 10 to 30 years in a continually worsening spiral.
Click here to review the 20 worst global warming consequences that will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale (area affected.)
Click here for the worst cataclysmic consequences, which are derived from crossing global warming tipping points that will also continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale. (Crossing more major global warming tipping points also produces additional, unique and hyper-intense extinction-evoking consequences.)
Click here to see the real time frames in which the many worst global warming consequences will be unfolding.
The terrifying thought that is completely real and critical for you to burn into your brain is that as much as 70 to 90% of humanity will suffer and die in as little as 30-50 years, but our ability to have any real or meaningful control over this looming emergency ends around about 2025 sometime after we enter the carbon 425-450 ppm range.
(At the very end of this document, you will find tips on how to emotionally deal with these new and painful facts of global warming.)
Fact 3: If we keep going the way we are now, and we continue to ignore the critical fossil fuel reduction science, we are about five years away (2025) from missing our last practical opportunity to reduce global warming enough to be able to control our global warming futures and prevent the most catastrophic of global warming outcomes from occurring. Additionally, it is far too late for individual fossil fuel reduction actions to make a significant difference. Only government-driven actions by all nations will save us in time.
In part, this is because the real facts and true urgency about the global warming crisis were hidden from us by our governments and the fossil fuel industry. We did not do what was necessary to resolve global warming over the last 35 years after we were informed about it by our scientists.
We have squandered valuable time. This valuable time could have been used while the "cure" was still easier and far more manageable.
Saddest of all, we are still trying to do "far too little far too late" to make any real difference. This far too little far too late is also occurring because we are still using fossil fuel reduction targets that are grossly incorrect for the emergency we really are in.
Had we started fixing global warming gradually and effectively 35 years ago, it would be far easier to control and manage now.
Being out of meaningful control of our global warming crisis means that average global temperatures will most probably continue increasing more rapidly for at least another 30-50 years. There will be a series of cataclysmic consequences.
More extinction-evoking tipping points will be crossed. And, unless we meet or get very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, this can not be avoided!
Below please find the best REAL estimates for time frames in which average global temperatures will continue to increase for at least another 30-50 years. The Climageddon Scenario (CS) mentioned below is a new and more complete climate model for how global warming's consequences will unfold over the next 50+ years.
Click here to see more about how the many global warming consequences and tipping points will unfold in the full Climageddon Scenario.
At this point, it is far too late for individual fossil fuel reduction actions to make a significant difference. Only government-driven actions by all nations will save us in time. Click here to see the needed effective government-driven actions.
Fact 4: If we keep acting the way we are now, we will not reach our last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. In spite of the horrible odds of not hitting the 2025 global reduction targets, we still must do everything we can do to come as close to meeting these targets as is possible. If we come close to these 2025 targets, we can at least can slow down a mass human, animal, and plant species extinction event, which will continue to unfold over the next 30-50 years.
Click here to read about the 4 extinction evoking global warming tipping points that we will cross in the next few decades that will push us over the cliff into a mass human extinction event. The good news is that by just getting very close to the 2025 targets, we can still give ourselves the needed time to prevent a total human extinction event from occurring. (Part 3 of our Job One for Humanity Plan will show you how you can help to do this. If needed, click here to review the horrible odds and the many reasons why it is highly unlikely we will reach our exact 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.)
Click here for the full timeline and consequence details for this climageddon extinction scenario and countdown and why mass die-offs and a climageddon-type global warming mass extinction event killing as much as 70-90% of humanity is a near-certainty within the next 30-50 years, but only if we miss the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
Theoretically, we can still hit the very challenging 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. But, hitting the 2025 targets is highly improbable as things stand now!
Reaching these 2025 targets (or, at the least, getting very close to them,) makes it possible to retain some remaining control of our global warming futures. It will also allow us to at least slow down the worst of the currently unavoidable global warming consequences long enough to protect and preserve ourselves for a while longer. It will also allow us more preparation time to get ready for those many global warming consequences we can no longer avoid.
Unfortunately, we have a real problem! We have squandered our last 35 years of global warming warnings with denial, inaction, or ineffective actions.
Because of this 35 year delay, we have crossed many global warming tipping points and we will soon begin the process of crossing the four extinction-evoking tipping points described here. This means that we can not stop every global warming consequence that is coming. Many horrible consequences are already locked into our climate system. But, if we are successful in reaching or coming very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, it will:
a. slow down some of the worst of the currently unavoidable global warming consequences and the mass human, animal, and biological extinction event occurring within our lifetimes. (This slowing down is very important because it means that we can prevent crossing at least some of these four extinction-evoking tipping points and more people will have more time left to prepare and adapt to the consequences we can no longer avoid.) And,
b. If we at least, get very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, there is still some reasonable hope we can avoid a total extinction event.
We can achieve both of the above goals and life-saving benefits by doing the following two steps:
Step A. immediately and radically reducing our fossil fuel use to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction target levels. The minimum amount that we need to reduce fossil fuel use to slow or prevent the processes of going extinct in the next few decades is as follows:
1. All industrially developed nations (including China and India,) must reduce their total fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025. This means that to hit the 75% reduction target by 2025, developed nations must reduce their annual total fossil fuel usage by about 25% per year to hit the 75% target in six years.
Once developed nations hit the 2025 reduction target, they then must continue reducing fossil fuel use to net-zero carbon emissions by 2035. (Net carbon zero emissions means that no additional fossil fuel emissions are going into the atmosphere that is not also simultaneously being removed from the atmosphere by natural means.)
Only about 20 mostly developed countries produce 70% or more of the world's carbon emissions. Think of developed nations like most members of the G 20 group; Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, China, and India.
2. All developing nations must maintain their total fossil fuel emission levels as they are at the beginning of 2019 and not allow them to go any higher. Then by 2045, all developing nations must also be at net-zero carbon emissions. This means all developing nations need to reduce their fossil fuel use by about 6% per year until 2045 to meet the net-zero target.
This allowance for developing nations to stay at the level they are now and gradually reduce down to net-zero carbon emissions at 6 % per year by 2045 is part of an essential justice and equity equation. The developed nations created their wealth by producing the majority of all carbon emissions in the atmosphere today. They have caused almost all of our current global warming extinction emergency.
On this page, you will also find all the necessary documentation and technical footnotes for the 2025 targets described briefly above.
If we don't hit the above 2025 targets above, here is the information on why and how a mass human, animal, and biological extinction event will occur within our lifetimes, (full detail on this page.)
Yes, it is still possible that we can still get very close to the very challenging global fossil fuel reductions by 2025. Even though preventing a mass extinction event is highly unlikely, it is still possible to prevent a total extinction event from beginning about 50-70 years from now!
To do this, we need to immediately get VERY busy and focus on the government-driven actions from the Job One Plan. (To learn what our governments must do to meet the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets, click here for part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan.) (To see how a global warming-caused total extinction event will begin about 50-70 years from now click the following link, run-a-way global warming.
Once you have read more about the 2025 targets here, also consider reading this page which explains why it will be unbelievably difficult and very near impossible for us to hit the 2025 targets. (This page provides great reasons on why it will be particularly important to do Part 1, your personal emergency preparation Plan B of the Job One Plan --- os even if we miss the 2025 targets your life will be less stressful and painful.
Step B. Execute a government-directed "in-case we fail backup plan." (With a government-directed emergency backup plan, we may still be able to save and salvage enough of humanity and civilization in case we again delay, deny and fail to reduce fossil fuel emissions adequately.)
Click here to see what the government directed emergency backup plan preparations must be.
Martin Luther King said something that is equally applicable today to the urgency of slowing down global warming enough so that at least some of humanity and civilization will go on.
"We are now faced with the fact that tomorrow is today. We are confronted with the fierce urgency of now. In this unfolding conundrum of life and history, there is such a thing as being too late. Procrastination is still the thief of time. We must move past indecision to immediate action."
At this point, we strongly recommend that you click here and watch this 4 Minute Global Warming Video by Greta Thunberg given at the United Nations on September 23, 2019. It may help you to understand and feel the real seriousness of the global warming-caused extinction emergency we now face.
(If you still do not believe that a mass human, animal, and biological extinction event caused by global warming is a high probability within your lifetime [30-50 years from now,] click here. This page will take you through how and when the four extinction-evoking global warming tipping points will rapidly be crossed if we miss the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets.)
Fact 5: All of the above also means that because we are so far behind in effectively reducing global warming and meeting the 2025 global targets, this is the proper time for wise individuals to create their own global warming emergency preparation, adaptation, and survival plans. This way you can still effectively "work for the best while you have prepared for the worst."
By having your personal Plan B in place, you will not be unprepared for the mass suffering and death of the rapidly escalating consequences of the global warming emergency like we largely were for the COVID-19 pandemic and emergency! These Plan B emergency strategies could also include migrating to areas that would be safer from the future effects of global warming.
As emergencies and crises all over the world have taught us, it is unwise to rely exclusively on our governments as this or any emergency worsens. Our governments like in the COVID19 pandemic will quickly run out of resources and never be able to reach and care for every citizen as things continue to worsen.
Having emergency preparations and adaptive strategies already in hand is how you will be able to save and salvage as much of your own life, family, and business as is possible. This backup plan prepare, adapt, migrate strategy is also critical because most individuals and companies are so grossly unprepared for the severity of the many global warming consequences that are arriving soon.
This emergency preparation and plan is particularly crucial if you also happen to live in one of the global warming unsafe zones.
(To learn about the location of safer and unsafe zones, click here.)
The time remaining in which to make these personal and business emergency preparations or to migrate to the limited global warming safe zones is exceedingly short. This shortness of time is real because of factors like immigration regulations in the global warming safer zones already becoming more restrictive. Additionally, future legal immigration will be all but shut down as the emergency reaches global catastrophe levels.
If you look closely, you can already see many global warming-related crisis areas developing in our overheating world. These are places that will soon initiate the greatest climagee migration in human history. (Climagees are global warming climate crisis-related refugees.)
Click here to learn about what to do for your personal emergency and adaptation preparations. This page will describe the factors behind the relatively short prepare and migrate timeframes for people living in global warming unsafe zones. These personal emergency preparations also include information on how you can physically, emotionally thrive and survive through the coming waves of economic, political, and social loss, suffering, and chaos.
What's important to remember on this page
1. We have been deceived by intentional falsehoods as well as commonly held illusions concerning the real dangers and facts about escalating global warming for over 35 years!
2. We now need to hit the REAL and required global fossil fuel reduction targets found here. Reaching these targets will keep us from crossing the hazardous atmospheric carbon level and climate cliff of 425 to 450 parts per million (ppm.) (We are at about carbon 414 ppm right now.)
3. Once we reach the carbon 425 to 450 ppm range, there will be so much climate system momentum from all of the previously emitted carbon and other greenhouse gases that this previous momentum alone will continue to propel us towards even higher temperatures. Worse yet, stopping this massive climate momentum moving us toward ever-higher temperatures will be like trying to stop a gigantic boulder from rolling faster and faster down a hill that keeps getting steeper and steeper.
4. There is a terrifying thought that is critical for you to burn into your mind. Much of humanity, as well as our animal species and biological species, will go extinct within as little as 30-50 years. While at the same time, our ability to have any meaningful control over this emergency ends around about 2025 just after we cross the carbon 425-450 ppm climate cliff.
5. A global warming-caused mass extinction event is already unavoidable within your lifetime but we do still have some reasonable hope of avoiding a total extinction event. We can avoid a global warming-caused mass extinction event only if we come very close to meeting the required 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
6. In case you still think technology will save us at the last minute, no new carbon removal technologies will be able to save us in time. In part, this is because those who are relying on this technology to save us are projecting it will not even be available until sometime after 2050. 2050 is long after irreversible damage is already done and long after anything can be done for the billions of people who will suffer and die! (Click here to learn more about the new technology will save us deception.)
7. It easy to see that we are in fact, already in a global warming extinction emergency (aka climate extinction emergency.) This emergency is still occurring in significant part because of the above new information as well as intentional falsehoods and commonly held illusions about our global warming crisis.
8. If we fail to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, it is as important to come as close as possible to achieving them. This way, more of us can live longer, and we can have more time to prepare, adapt, and migrate.
9. Our governments have once again failed us in preparing for and managing the global warming extinction emergency just like the failed us in preparing for and managing the COVID-19 pandemic before it became a worldwide catastrophe! Time to get your Plan B emergency survival preparations in place.
10. The core message of this website is simple and straightforward:
b. If we pass beyond global warming extinction-triggering tipping points, it will be because the forces of nature (the systems and subsystems of our climate, atmosphere, and ecosystems) have seized control. This loss of human control will happen because of the immutable laws of physics relating to our atmosphere's escalating fossil fuel carbon pollution levels.
c. If we fail to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and cross the extinction-triggering tipping points within decades, there will be an unavoidable mass human die-off (as much as 70-90% of humanity.)
d. If we get our governments to act immediately to achieve the 2025 global targets using the effective fossil fuel reduction steps (described here,) we still have time to adapt, save ourselves, and thrive!
e. Global warming is the greatest disruptor of the 21st century. It is also a threat mega-multiplier for these other 12 critical global challenges.
Other than avoiding nuclear war, the global warming extinction emergency has become the prime driver for having a future for humanity on Earth. If we allow global warming to go out of our control by missing the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, there is little hope we can avoid global warming mass extinction or control the escalating consequences of the world's other 12 other critical challenges.
The above is all you have to remember about global warming and your future. Many of the pages on our website will show you the exact science behind these five simple statements to verify what we are saying is true. You can start or continue that verification process here.
If you remember nothing else, remember this. We have only about 5 years left to reduce our global fossil fuel use enough to prevent a mass human extinction occurring over the next 30-50 years. This extinction will be far, far worse than our current COVID-19 pandemic. The mass human extinction is being caused by our going over deadly global warming tipping points!
Why we must succeed?
Because of the preceding, we genuinely have no rational alternative other than to never cross the super-dangerous transitional range and first climate cliff of the carbon 425-450 ppm range. In spite of all of the challenges and adverse outcomes that are possible in failing to hit our 2025 targets, what we can know with certainty about this extinction emergency is this:
a. We can still fix this global warming extinction emergency but only by getting our governments to execute the governmental actions on this page immediately. These effective governmental actions are designed to hit the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets successfully.
b. The highest truth for the best possible future global warming outcomes for humanity is that even if we miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by some amount, the faster and more we reduce our overall global fossil fuel use to come as close to these targets as possible:
1. the more people who will not suffer or die over the next 30 to 50 years in a mass extinction event,
2. future generations will suffer far less from an escalating chain of global warming consequences,
3. we will have more time to prepare for, adapt to, or migrate away from the many now unavoidable global warming consequences,
4. we may still be able to avoid a total extinction event caused by run-a-way global warming, and,
5. it will be much harder to impossible to get control of and manage these 12 other major global challenges.
The ultimate and still remaining global warming question for every person, business, religion, and the government on Earth
We were grossly unprepared for the COVID-19 pandemic despite repeated warnings by our scientists. We are woefully unprepared for the coming global warming extinction emergency and we have once again have ignored the warnings of our scientists.
If we continue to fail to act effectively, we face unavoidable mass human extinction for as much as 70-90% of humanity within as little as 30-50 years and total extinction within as little as 50-70 years.
We have already all but lost the battle to avoid global warming mass extinction by our being so far away from hitting the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
The ultimate remaining global warming question for every person, business, religion, and the government should be most concerned about at this time is:
"Will we, at least, come close enough to the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets so that humanity can avoid total extinction?"
Click here to see where we are today on the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock.
Some good news
With the information on this page and in the links above, you are now better...
The extra good news here is that no matter what and, in spite of how severe this emergency is or will become until we miss our 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets (and even afterward if we are close to reaching them,) we still have time left to cooperate in slowing it down its consequences. And, we can also still have enjoyable and meaningful lives while we face and overcome this challenge or its consequences.
Click here for what you can individually do to slow down global warming.
One simple action you can take to help resolve the global warming emergency in just 2 quick clicks.
Help us get the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction goals met by signing the global warming extinction emergency petition now!
Are you feeling sad, upset, depressed, angry or anxious about the global warming emergency?
There is a lot of horrible news to digest about global warming. Any person who realizes that our governments are not doing enough to save us from unthinkable suffering and loss will naturally experience sadness, anger, depression, or significant anxiety.
The Job One for Humanity staff also has had to digest all the dreadful global warming news. To get our team though it emotionally, we learned about something called the Kubler Ross model of change. This emotional management model helped our team deal with all of the challenging emotions that today's global warming news evokes.
We felt it would be irresponsible to leave our readers without some of these tools to manage the intense feelings that the global warming emergency can create. Accordingly, we are providing the following images and tools that should help you come to emotional terms with the new realities of global warming. Here's how these global warming caused emotional reactions, transitions, and healings usually look for most people:
1. If you're like most people, what you have learned about the global warming emergency will cause you to initially react with denial and shock.
2. If you have the tenacity to explore more concerning how bad our governments have let global warming become, you will likely also become frustrated and angry at "how could our politicians and governments ever allow this to happen.
3. If you continue examing the facts of the global warming emergency and its solutions, you will most likely then enter into a bargaining or experimenting phase to find some way to deal with such disturbing and disruptive information on your life and future.
4. If you continue verifying the facts of the global warming emergency as well as it's honest but difficult and painful solutions, you will most likely next enter into a transitional feeling of grief or depression.
5. As you work your way through your grief or depression, you will eventually come to a level of acceptance of what is scientifically accurate. (Even though it is currently is being suppressed by the fossil fuel industry, mass media, and the politicians owned by the fossil fuel industry.)
A bit more about the Kubler Ross Model emotional management model
The five primary emotional transition levels above are vital parts of the Kubler Ross model. Over time, this model is a useful tool to help you deal with the global warming denial, anger, fear, grief or anxiety that any healthy person would experience once they truly realize the current nature of our global warming emergency.
The Kubler Ross model is used to help people deal with the medical news that they are going to die. But, it still has powerful relevance here.
This is true because as you wrestle with the new global warming realities, you will most likely go through these five emotional phases over and over again. You will do this in numerous waves until you finally reach a profound and deeply stable state of acceptance, peace, and hopefully motivation to do whatever you can to reduce this threat.
When you finally realize how bad our global warming emergency is the challenging emotional effects is a real thing! If you don't believe us, please click here to read about a new report called, The Psychological Effects of Global Warming on the United States and Why the U.S. Mental Health Care System Is Not Adequately Prepared.
Reaching necessary emotional acceptance and getting into action
Once you reach a level of emotional acceptance for what you have learned about the global warming emergency, you will be more willing and ready to begin new ways to solve the global warming emergency. You also will find yourself being better prepared to make new decisions on how to adapt and integrate this critical information into your life and business.
You may begin even emergency preparations for the unavoidable coming global warming consequences. This way, you are better able to protect you, your family and business and wisely maximize the chances of staying out of harm's way.
Once one reaches the critical state of emotional acceptance of the reality of what one is facing, most mature adults do as they have done for millennia. They accept what they cannot change and start finding ways to adapt to it. (There are also many adaptation steps found in the Job One Plan.) They also accept the truth of the bad news, and they get busy working on whatever they can do to change and improve it. (In this case, the get active on the Job One Plan action steps.)
We at Job One have found that the best thing to help minimize the emotional pain and trauma is to get busy completing the action steps of the Job One Plan. This is true even if you have not fully reached the acceptance level of your emotional recovery. The Job One Plan's many action steps proactively focus your attention on what can still be done. This focus on the needed action also minimizes your available attention on the negatives (once they have served their purpose of redirecting you to action on the deeper truths of this emergency.)
Therapy or support groups also can help you work through having the painful realization that humanity is in the worst existential crisis on its history and, we do not have much time left (until 2025,) to effectively prevent mass extinction. Therapy or support groups can also help get you motivated to do whatever you can on the many action steps of the Job One Plan.
As you continue to understand the scale of our global warming emergency, you may also come to realize that our lives and our children's lives are going to be far shorter than we ever imagined. But that still can be changed if we immediately react to the challenge of radically reducing our global fossil fuel usage to meet the 2025 targets!
One last emotional recovery tip
Not everything about our global warming extinction emergency is emotionally disheartening. There are many surprising benefits to this emergency. Click here to read the single most read page on our website on these many benefits. At Job One we review this list regularly to maintain the mental well-being of our own staff. We also discovered that regular review of this good news and benefits list was critical to keeping our volunteers on-mission and maintaining their motivation as well.
What else to consider?
1. Some of you have already reviewed the supporting science and analysis links provided above. This information will likely motivate you to begin the fossil fuel reduction actions and other global warming solutions found within the links above. Well done! You will reap the benefits.
2. Some of you will not or, did not review the science and analysis verification links. This subtle avoidance may only provide a brief escape from the discomfort of knowing the problematic facts listed above are accurate or, acting appropriately using that information. Over time, as you watch the worsening news reports about our climate, the five facts above will begin to ring even more valid. Hopefully, at that time you will remember this page so that you, your family, and business can learn what to do next.
3. Click here to review the reasons why global warming might already be out of control and become a series of cataclysmic consequences and extinction-evoking tipping points, which may not be able to be avoided!
This above article covers much of the core message of our website.
The Job One for Humanity research team
Please click here and go to our Job One for Humanity home page from this splash page for the latest updates and articles.
To see the 12 other global challenges humanity has to deal with while it is dealing with the global warming emergency, click here.