What’s Good for Covid is Good for Climate

The Covid-19 global emergency response has been a great unprecedented success in surviving a global virus pandemic. In comparison, the worse-than-nothing response to the global climate emergency is an unprecedented policy and public health failure that humanity will not survive, if not corrected immediately.

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Lost in the Covid-19 pandemic news coverage is the current rapidly deteriorating state of the climate, which is more of an emergency than ever. This global threat to our survival is more real than ever. It will not go away by itself, we cannot make it go away, and our leaders, particularly the US Republican Trump government, are denying the threat. They are pouring more gasoline on the global warming fire.  

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Why didn’t every American newspaper report this news? It should have made the front-page headlines. This is an enormous American and global — now unavoidable — climate catastrophe in the making.

In April 2020, the journal Science published “Large contribution from anthropogenic warming to an emerging North American megadrought” (by A. Park Williams and colleagues). 

As usual for momentously bad research news on climate disruption, although it was reported, it would not have seen by the average reader as it did not feature under general science news.

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There is a lot to update you about on global warming emergency this month especially since we missed last month's update...

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Global warming extinction emergency group members glue themselves to doorways to block members of Congress from attending evening vote.

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There are serious reasons for why we may not achieve the extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines. We may not even hit any fossil fuel reduction targets or deadlines for the next 30-50 years.

Here's why...

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Last Updated 11.15.25

Job One for Humanity, founded in 2008, is a non-profit, 100% publicly funded, independent climate change think tank. It provides a holistic "big picture" climate overview and uncensored dialectical meta-systemic analysis of the inter-connected and inter-dependent climate systems and sub-systems creating our current climate change and runaway global heating emergency. 

Job One For Humanity is also active in researching climate change justice issues, particularly concerning helping victims of climate change get financial restitution from the global fossil fuel cartel perpetrators of the climate change emergency. Job One also maintains a list of worldwide law firms and lawsuits filed against the global fossil fuel cartel members for climate change damages.

Our organization supplies research-grounded climate change consequence analysis, timeframes, risk assessment, and solutions to educational, climate, and environmental organizations worldwide without charge. We also provide a fee-based climate analysis risk assessment and solutions service to insurance companies, governments, and businesses affected by climate change emergencies.

 

 

Prologue

According to Google statistics and other traffic tracking tools, over 5 million individuals have visited our climate change think tank over the last five years to review our uncensored, unbiased, and non-politicized climate change analysis and research. Scores of Internet climate newsgroups also regularly display, like, and comment upon our original climate analysis posts.

This welcome page will quickly familiarize you with our main types of audiences, members, and volunteers, as well as what we do and how we do it. At the end of this page is a link that will take you to your recommended action steps for managing and fixing our accelerating climate change emergency.

While there is a lot of difficult news about our current climate change condition on our website, please do not think that we have given up hope in this challenging task, or that there are few amazing benefits that we will receive when we fix climate change. When you're done reading this page, be sure to read the following link first, then read this link, which will help you maintain the realistic hope and balance we will all need to get through the climate challenge together. (The second article has been read by several million people.)

 

What Types of Individuals and Organizations Will Most Benefit from Our Nonprofit, Fully Independent, Climate Change Think Tank Analysis and Educational Website?

 

 

Are you or your organization on this list below?

1. Fellow climate change researchers and scientists.

2. Smart individuals who have few problems reading climate science and who usually see major problems long before others and plan wisely to avoid them. They hate suffering unnecessarily, particularly the same consequences as those far less observant. (Unfortunately, these individuals are only a tiny portion of the population (about 2-5%.) Most people learn to get out of the way of harmful future consequences only after suffering through them because they did not anticipate or plan for them.)

3. Individuals who were already caught unprepared in previous climate change disasters and have suffered significant personal and financial loss. They want to know more about the accelerating and worsening climate change emergency so they do not get caught unprepared again. 

4. Observant, intelligent, or open-minded individuals that are both aware and brave enough to acknowledge that things in the world are not going well (i.e., accelerating climate change, ecological disasters, resource shortages, pollution, social inequity, etc.) They know these global challenges will likely worsen before they improve, which will be very bad for society and their personal future if they are NOT well-informed and prepared.

5. Individuals also know that as things worsen, they want to be around others with similar values and goals who are well-prepared. (Click here to see our building sustainable new climate change-resilient communities project called ClimateSafe Villages, which are communities designed to survive the worst of accelerating climate change.)

6. Individuals looking for information because they are considering relocation or migration to global warming safer areas because of the accelerating consequences of the climate change emergency.

7. Eco-Preppers, progressive preppers, climate change preppers, and traditional Preppers interested in managing the growing effects of global warming and our 11 other global crises. These individuals already know or sense hard climate times are coming. They sense they must begin (or continue) preparing and adapting for even worse climate consequences.

8. Individuals who already can see the many post-climate change emergency benefits to society and the future (even a possible new Great Global Rebirth) once we finally get the global warming emergency under control, and finally,

9. Individuals who are not in denial about the climate change emergency and who already see in climate science how bad global heating consequences are going to get.

10. Climate activists and climate change educational organizations such as Greta Thunberg, Extinction Rebellion, Fridays for the Future, Climate Mobilization, etc. 

11. Insurance companies and other corporations whose future profits depend upon reducing losses from climate change-related primary and secondary consequences. (We do not accept any consulting work from any fossil fuel-related corporations due to their long history of greenwashing and co-opting or diluting the fossil fuel use reduction activities of nonprofit or for-profit organizations in which they become involved.

12. Individuals who may not be science people but whose generally reliable intuition is quietly nagging them about the climate emergency. They sense that they will soon need to make some changes to prepare for and adapt to an accelerating climate change emergency.

13. Individuals who know, believe, or sense that the long overdue climate change bill has come due and that this means many unavoidable and catastrophic climate change consequences.

14. Individuals who want to learn the facts about climate change and find an effective plan to reduce climate change.

15. sustainability advocates, environmentalists,

16. cultural or spiritual progressives, individuals who see themselves as global citizens, and the climate emergency as a crisis that must be fixed from a global perspective.

Even if you are not one of the individuals described above, it doesn't matter if it was luck or a personal referral that caused you to find our website. Reviewing the climate information on it will help make your future more secure and safe and help reduce the anxiety that you may feel about the future. 

Our website was designed to help those individuals who are both open and wise enough to learn about major catastrophes before they happen. They want to be prepared, adapt, or get out of the way. Our website and mission is to work with those individuals and organizations that are cooperative, supportive, and effectively seek to win the climate change emergency.

For example, imagine you were a Jew and living in Germany before Hitler rose to power. You somehow also learned about what was about to happen with the Final Solution. You wisely then prepared and migrated out of Europe before the Holocaust occurred. Like those people and organizations who warned the Jews before the Nazi Holocaust so they should get prepared, adapt, or migrate, Job One for Humanity also serves to warn you about the many global climate change-related primary and secondary consequences arriving soon. 

 

 

Who is not our audience?

Our website was not intended or designed for individuals under 13 years old. We believe that the grave nature of the climate change extinction emergency information on our website is not for children under 13 years pld. We believe that children under 13 should not have to deal with extinction-level climate change issues that they cannot change. This adult and young adult information would only disturb the peace and happiness normal and natural to their childhood with no obvious benefits.

 

Our role and your role at Job One for Humanity, the natural division of climate change solution labor  

Our role as a non-profit educational climate think tank is to provide unpoliticized, uncensored, and accurate climate research information and analysis. We are not information marketing people, in-the-street climate protestors, activists, or for profit business managers. We are climate researchers, analysts, and educators only. 

Our limited climate research and analysis role means that ALL website visitors, members, and volunteers must share the climate information and analysis they discover on our website for us! If they do not, our uncensored climate information will not reach enough people to make a difference before it is too late. 

Without the hundreds of thousands of our annual visitors taking up their survival-critical role in distributing our climate information and analysis, there is little hope Humanity can avoid soon-arriving, near-total extinction climate catastrophes. So please do your part! 

Actively and aggressively share and spread the climate information and analysis found oil our website and, where appropriate, become climate activists helping us to create honest climate solutions. 

 

An Important Update to our Mission and Goals

Our overall mission strategy is always based on the principle of focusing on working wholeheartedly toward the best possible climate outcomes while also simultaneously being aware of and preparing for the worst possible climate outcomes.

In March of 2022, Job One For Humanity once again reviewed the climate science and updated its position on climate change and the runaway global heating emergency. It concluded that:

As the result of ignoring 60 years of valid scientific warnings and our not resolving the climate change and rising global heating emergency, we have already locked ourselves into the beginning phase of runaway global warming and the unavoidable extinction of about half of humanity by mid-century. Mass human extinction is now inevitable and unavoidable because we have already gone over the runaway global heating climate cliff when we reached the carbon 386 ppm level. Unfortunately, at our current carbon 420+ ppm level, we are making our extinction occur faster because we will cross even more climate tipping points and amplify climate feedback loops at faster rates. 

The good news is that we can still save much of the other half of humanity, but only if we get close to reaching the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets as soon as possible. The even better news is that when we finally fix runaway global heating, there will be many positive benefits and possibly a Great Global Rebirth. 

(The above is also our core message.)

This first mass extinction-level event of about half of humanity by mid-century will result primarily from mass starvation due to climate change-related crop failures, low crop yields, and soaring food prices. It will also be caused by growing resource shortages and increasing regional and national conflicts as tens of millions of starving climate refugees seek to find new homes.

If humanity does not get close to making the required and radical 2025 global fossil fuel use reductions (as described in detail on this global targets page,) humanity will also face an even worse second extinction-level of near-total extinction beginning as soon as 2070. (Click here to discover why total human extinction is not realistic or probable, and the worst humanity could possibly experience is near-total extinction (about 50 to 90+% of humanity going extinct.)

Accordingly, we have had to update our prior mission and goals because of the preceding and the increasingly severe global climate change and global heating consequences. Because the likelihood of coming close to the 2025 global targets for fossil fuel reduction is currently so low, part of our mission upgrade was to create a new Plan B for the runaway global heating extinction emergency. 

With our new Plan B, while we are still working diligently on preventing near-total extinction, we have shifted a significant amount of our mission focus to also helping individuals, families, and businesses to become aware that they now need to start preparing themselves physically, emotionally, and psychologically for what can no longer be avoided; the extinction of about half of humanity by mid-century.

We are actively helping them adapt and build climate resilience (and other kinds of resilience) both in their homes and businesses and in essential local, regional, and national systems. Our new Plan B reflects our upgraded mission and focuses on maximizing all the possible human, biological and ecological good within our extremely difficult and painful current climate position by:

A. preparing for, adapting to, and building enhanced human and biological resilience to survive climate change's ongoing catastrophic or unavoidable consequences while time remains to do so.  This getting prepared step also means that it is time to educate and prepare humanity for the many huge sacrifices we have to make to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. And it is also time to start preparing humanity for the unimaginable and unavoidable, soon-arriving suffering.  

while simultaneously working to prevent the worst consequences by,

B. pressing our governments hard and continuously to enforce radically cutting global fossil fuel use to get close to the 2025 global targets to slow down runaway global heating sufficiently so that we can avoid near-total human and biological extinction and more of humanity can live a little longer and more securely. (We can no longer save half of humanity, but we still have a chance to save much of the rest of humanity.)

C. pressing our governments for the creation of effective global climate governance that has the power to make effective global climate law with the ability to verify, enforce, and punish violators. Without effective global climate governance, we will never be able to at least:

1. slow down the current climate-driven extinction and collapse,

2. manage the coming and now unavoidable climate-driven population collapse and sudden global decline, and 

3. wisely and equitably create and manage the post-global heating collapse recovery processes.  

But first and foremost, we must quickly force our governments to create effective global climate governance that has the power to make effective global climate law AND the ability to verify, enforce, and punish violators! Without this empowered global governance mechanism, we can not adequately reduce the climate risks and threats to minimize the effects of near-total extinction.

Runaway global heating is a global emergency that only can be fixed globally. If we do not get this global climate governance working soon, humanity will suffer far more than ever needed and worse than can be imagined.  

D. And, if we do not get close to the survival-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, with the hope that a good portion of the human population will survive we:

1. help younger individuals and families migrate from high-risk global heating areas to safer areas before it is too late to make these moves, (We forward the position that younger generations (X.Y Z, and A) who did not create or ignore the runaway global heating extinction nightmare have a far greater right to occupy the remaining global heating safest lands and to survive longer.)

2. support building urban, rural and virtual new ecologically sustainable communities worldwide for our younger generations that we call ClimateSafe Villages that:

a. might also allow at least some small part of our younger generations to survive where they are currently living, through the coming climate-change-propelled global collapse, extinction, and possible rebirth process and cycle, 

b. might learn from and apply the many hard lessons of runaway global heating and the other ecological, economic, and political consequences which will happen to us because of the ultimate consequences of our current overconsuming, highly unsustainable, and inequitable lives.

For the survivors in these ClimateSafe Villages eco-communities and their eco-communities to serve as "beacons of light" modeling the critical new ideas, values, new behaviors to eventually facilitate a Great Global Rebirth. To see what these new ideas, new values, and new behaviors for a better future might look like, click here and look at Benefit 2.

Click here for more information on the new ClimateSafe Villages Project.

(Please be aware that the continuous pain and suffering any survivors will go through is so immense and unimaginable that many survivors will wish they had died in the Great Global Collapse. For most, survival will be closer to a subsistence existence. Because surviving runaway global heating will be a living hell, we must lessen that hell for survivors by getting as close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets as is possible.)

3. help our governments develop crisis plans for managing the sudden and massive loss of life and unfolding social and economic chaos from now until mid-century from the unavoidable runaway global heating consequences. Click here for those plans.

Because of our 60 years of inaction and ineffective action on the global heating emergency, the informative creative destruction that will occur as half the human population unavoidably goes extinct is unconscionable and the greatest horror in human history. Yet, it is also an equally powerful opportunity to create a better world and even a great global rebirth. (To learn more about the many benefits, improvements, and new societal values that could emerge for humanity from this unsought-after evolutionary challenge and opportunity, click here.)

 

 

The Climate and Humanity's Future

Humanity's future depends on how fast we can slow and lessen the worst effects of the runaway global heating extinction emergency. Our next 3 to 9 years will determine humanity's future viability and survival. (If you would like to see the analysis of many factors that bought us to the realization that, at best, climate change is only 3-9 years away (2025-2031) from going out of our control for centuries to millennia, click here.)

We understand that the above is a distressing and problematic climate update. But, the good news is, if our governments mass mobilize and get us close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we still will be able to save as much as half of humanity! We will also be able to save many of our beautiful planet's plant and animal species and other living systems. 

So, let's get busy and work together to save and salvage what we need to survive and what we dearly love.

(Please note: The above climate and runaway global heating facts are currently being censored or altered by the actions of powerful fossil fuel industry lobbyists upon the media and our governments. Yet, widely visible climate and runaway global heating consequences and current climate science-based predictions support the above statements as accurate.)

The above-updated mission means that our primary organizational focus is to support and work with individuals and groups that are bravely facing our many unavoidable and severe global warming and environmental consequences, while at the same time, some of which are working to slow and lessen those consequences so we still have time to save and salvage as much of humanity and our civilization as we can. 

Things are going so bad in global efforts to slow accelerating climate change that our nonprofit organization has recently focused our mission on serving those individuals and groups who want to adapt to, survive and thrive through the coming Great Global Collapse and the extinction of much of humanity.

The higher purpose for trying to adapt to and survive what is coming (beyond survival itself) is to take the painful lessons learned from the causes of the Great Die-off and the Great Global Collapse and use that wisdom to create a Great Global Rebirth for humanity's survivors. We are dedicated to doing everything we can to help individuals, groups, and their children survive this long-term climate nightmare so they may eventually birth a sustainable, just, and equitable global society.

Since 2008, the Job One for Humanity nonprofit organization has been educating about the global warming extinction emergency. Some websites believe you are too weak to deal with the increasingly bad global warming news, or they dummy down their information so much that it is nearly useless. They act like if they did tell you the disheartening new research concerning the global warming emergency, you will not stick around to help, volunteer, or donate.

We will never do that. Our nonprofit global warming educational organization will tell you what few other global warming websites will tell you.

We will always give you the most accurate and current science available, no matter how painful.

We will make it understandable with lots of illustrations. 

We will always treat you as an adult who can deal with and manage the truth about our current global warming emergency. And,

We believe that once you do understand the science of this emergency, you will do your part to help us fix or adapt to it.

Our website is loaded with easy-to-understand illustrations, descriptions, and documentation. Our website illuminates the "big picture" physics and math-determined interactions of the climate's many complex adaptive systems. 

 

 

More About Job One for Humanity does its climate analysis and projections

Job One for Humanity, founded in 2008, is a non-profit and independent climate change think tank that provides a "big picture" holistic view and analysis of the inter-connected and inter-dependent climate systems creating our current climate change emergency.

While we do not do in-house original climate research, we use the published research papers of independent and respected climate scientists and climate research from organizations like the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA.) 

Many climate research papers and summary materials reviewed or used by this organization in its analysis, prediction, or recommendations are also found listed:

1. in this extensive but still partial master list of these related or relevant climate research papers and summaries.
2. in many available video presentations by the climate scientists or researchers describing their own research. Click here to see an example in the video of the renowned climate scientist Kevin Anderson presenting the climate emergency at Oxford.
3. in the body of many of our web pages, in the links on those pages, or in the end notes or technical notes found at the end of many pages.

We provide our climate and global heating educational information for individuals and organizations with the understanding that they will independently evaluate it and decide upon its usefulness and accuracy based on the best climate science and analysis currently available.

As an organization, we speak climate truth to power, and we always treat our visitors and members as adults who can process often painful facts. We candidly speak climate truth to power also because there is no time left to hide or sugar-cote the facts surrounding the runaway global heating emergency.

Our website pages offer an appropriate, proportional, and rational hope that we can still fix the climate and save humanity from the climate's worst possible extinction possibilities. We base this measured hope solely upon current climate science and advanced dialectical metasystemic analysis processes. 

We are the only non-profit think tank telling the whole and unvarnished truth on how bad the runaway global warming extinction emergency will become and preparing individuals, businesses, and nations for the unavoidable, soon-arriving climate and global heating consequences.

All the runaway global heating and climate change remedial actions we recommend are provided on a self-motivated, self-organized, and self-directed, Do-It-Yourself (DIY) basis. Although we will answer climate questions and provide encouragement through our member support system, you are responsible for spreading the word and telling others about this website's climate information and tools. Responsibility for the preparations, adaptations, and global heating remedial actions necessary to protect yourself, your loved ones, and your business from what is coming remains as it should exclusively with you.

 

 

How Our Research, Review, and Dialectical Meta-Systemic Analysis Processes are Unique 

Using the principles of system theory and dialectical meta-systemic thinking applied to the climate and global warming as a complex adaptive system composed of many systems and subsustems (ocean temperature and acidification, forests, soils, atmosphere, glaciers, sea ice, and ice shelves, ocean currents and the jet stream, tundra and snowpack conditions), we review and then analyze current and past climate change research and public climate summaries for:

1. errors, 

2. omissions, 

3. previously unrecognized positive connections or negative patterns in or between climate studies and the climate's systems and subsystems,

4. unseen interconnections or consequence connections within and between climate studies, and the climate's systems and subsystems,

5. the unseen or hidden politicization, censorship, or the watering down of climate science by governmental agencies or other types of agents or lobbyists in public climate summary reports. 

The problems in 1-5 above can significantly affect the validity of current and future statements or positions concerning climate consequence timetables or the frequency, severity, and scale of climate consequences. Using system theory and dialectical metasystemic thinking applied to the climate as a complex adaptive system, we also review research papers and public statements on the climate for:

1. discernable or hidden biases, and

2. undeclared financial or other conflicts of interest.

The above two problems have become more prevalent and have resulted in significantly underestimated negative climate consequences in public climate summaries and statements. Climate think tanks, individuals or groups operating as unknown fossil fuel lobbyists, and climate researchers funded by the fossil fuel-related industries have become the biggest offenders in this area. 

Instead of our analyzing only one area of specialized climate studies like the oceans, glaciers, ice and snow packs, planetary temperature history, water vapor, soils, forests, or greenhouse gas factors on temperature and the atmosphere, we analyze climate research on how it holistically applies and interrelates to all different areas within and between the climate's interrelated, interconnected, and interdependent systems and subsystems. 

Using the tools of dialectical metasystemic thinking, we examine climate studies, their positions, and the related interactions of the climate system and subsystems through 28 different dialectical analysis perspectives and lenses. This allows us also to see, consider and value natural or human counteractions that may occur in response to the various primary and secondary consequences of climate change and global heating.

After that extensive analysis, we make climate consequence severity and time frame predictions and remedial recommendations for the correct global fossil fuel reduction amounts to minimize human loss and suffering. Our final analysis, forecasts, and recommendations always include all needed adjustments to compensate for any problems, errors, omissions, underestimation, or politicization which we discover in current climate research or summaries. Click here to see the many errors, underestimation, and politicization we found in a major recognized source of global climate research and recommendations. 

Unlike many other climate change think tanks, we do provide prioritized, critical-path, and deadline-driven solutions to the climate change emergency. These solutions are based upon accurate global fossil fuel reduction targets and avoiding the most dangerous climate tipping points and climate feedbacks deadlines that we currently face. 

Job One for Humanity is currently helping expose the current intense politicization of climate science. This intense politicization of science by the media, governments, and even the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) acts to critically underestimate our actual and current climate consequences, timeframes, remedies, and condition.

Unexpectedly, our independent climate change analysis has turned us into reluctant whistleblowers exposing how popular and politicized climate data has been distorted to serve the hidden interests of those who gain financially (or in other ways) from the ongoing global use of fossil fuels and hiding the real danger the public faces from the runaway global heating extinction emergency.

Please note that our education materials, because of their serious and adult nature, are not meant for adolescents under 16! 

 

We are here to help you prepare, adapt, survive, and thrive!

 

We have an honest plan to fix the climate. Based on a careful and continuous meta-systemic analysis of the global warming emergency and its real urgency, we have also created and continually updated 4 part plan for dealing with the contingencies of this emergency, utilizing a critical, prioritized, and deadline-driven strategy quite unlike any other global warming and fossil fuel reduction plan.

Our meta-systemic analysis and evaluation results have also produced a set of prioritized and practical, urgently needed global warming and fossil fuel reduction solutions to the global warming extinction emergency in the form of the Job One for Humanity Plan. (Click on the image below for a quick overview the four parts of the upgraded Job One for Humanity Plan B.)

 

 

Your next steps for learning about climate change and what you can do about it

If you have not do so already, we invite you to start reading our website by clicking here. It will take you to the most important things to learn and do on our website.

After starting on this page, then go anywhere your interest carries you. 

Sincerely,

The staff and volunteers of Job One for Humanity

Critical positive reading to balance out the all the terrible climate change and global warming news above

We can still maintain the perseverance needed to succeed in this monumental task by regularly reviewing the many benefits which will occur as we work successfully on this project together. Although we are now in what could be called a Great Global Collapse process triggered by accelerating global warming, this collapse process will eventually offer equal to (or even greater than) long-term benefits in the form of a potential Great Rebirth beyond the coming suffering and loss.

First on this page (that has been read almost 2 million times) and then this other critical global warming benefit page, you will find the many often hidden surprise benefits of the global warming challenge. You also will find a framework and the possibilities for what could be called a post-collapse Great Rebirth, no matter how bad the collapse process gets.

Other Helpful Information

Our mission in a nutshell is currently educating individuals and businesses on preparing for adapting to the climate consequences we can no longer avoid! Our focus is to support and work with those individuals, businesses, and groups that are bravely facing our many unavoidable, severe climate change consequences. At the same time, those groups are also encouraged to work to slow and lessen those consequences so we still have time to save and salvage as much of humanity and our civilization as we can. We will do everything we can to help individuals, businesses, and groups survive this long-term nightmare so they might eventually birth a sustainable, just, and equitable global society, what we call the Great Global Rebirth.

 

 

About our all-volunteer organization is very rare these days. Our volunteers are independent, self-organizing individuals who are passionate about fixing climate change before it is too late. 

Our organization's core is composed of think tank climate analysts and researchers who have volunteered their time. In many ways, one could also think of us as a unique and partially crowdsourced think tank. 

Our volunteers self-organize to handle our social media, marketing, research, events, and even accounting. In addition, our volunteers do all of the Climate Change Blog postings as they have done for years. Click here or on the volunteer image above to learn more about volunteering at Job One for Humanity. It is all of our responsibility to get the runaway global warming emergency under control.

 

Our Advisory Board

 

If you want to understand the climate science and analysis procedures we used to present the above information, click here for a technical explanation of our climate research process.

For answers to all of your remaining questions about climate change and global warming, click here for our new climate change FAQ. It has over one hundred of the most asked questions and answers about climate change.

 

Last updated 7.11.25. (G)

 

Executive Directors' note: This website is for intelligent, mature, and rational individuals who rely on good science and accurate data to manage their lives and businesses. This website counterbalances and corrects the tremendous disinformation and misinformation campaign carried on by the global fossil fuel cartel over the last five decades concerning accurate climate change data. You will find this notice only on website pages that can be especially upsetting concerning current climate change facts, consequences, and timetables.

Our organization is currently focused on educating people about climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, resilience building, and, where necessary, migration. This is because many serious consequences of climate change are now unavoidable due to a 60-year delay in resolving this emergency. Reading the rest of this page will inform you as to how serious those consequences are and how short the timelines have become.

If you are unsure about the causes of climate change, we suggest starting with Learn pull-down top link called, What Climate Change Is and Does" rather than the materials below. The climate change facts below are uncensored as compared to what you have been hearing from your government, the media, and even many environmental groups.

Job One for Humanity is a nonprofit climate change think tank and risk assessment organization founded in 2008. It is nonpartisan, 100% publicly funded, and uncensored by any government, corporation, or entity.

 

Prologue

Our accelerating climate change and global heating (also known as global warming) emergency is what energizes climate marchers, climate protestors, climate conference attendees, and climate summit participants to keep going, no matter what the odds.

We ask that you read the following and form your own opinion after verifying the facts presented below. At the bottom of this page is a link to effective global warming and climate emergency solutions.)

At the end of this article, to counterbalance these highly disruptive global warming facts, you will find a link to a comprehensive four-part plan outlining actions you can take to help manage the climate change emergency. You will also find a link to the many surprising and significant benefits that you and humanity will gain as we resolve the global warming challenge, an opportunity, and an adventure. We must not forget "that our greatest challenges are also our greatest opportunities." 

Although our website highlights the difficult news about our current climate change condition, please do not think that we have given up hope on this challenging task, or that there are few benefits to be gained when we address climate change. When you're done reading this page, be sure to read the following link first, then proceed to the next link, which will help you maintain the realistic hope and balance we will all need to navigate the climate challenge together. (The second article has been read by several million people.)

 

Introduction:

We are unfortunately facing a mass to total extinction event within our lifetimes (the next 30-50 years). It is being caused by the many escalating consequences of the global warming and climate change emergency. The following will help you understand the definition of the climate change emergency and why it is real, even though you have likely heard little to nothing about this from our media or governments.

Quick Climate Change and Global Heating Emergency Overview:

• • Life on Earth has flourished best when atmospheric carbon levels were in a range of 200-270 ppm ( this is what they were in the pre-industrial age).

• • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has failed to properly educate global leaders and has significantly underestimated timetables, which in turn has dangerously diminished awareness of the real climate change emergency we are in.

  • The battle to keep global warming below 2° Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) has already been lost.

• • Carbon parts per million (ppm) in the atmosphere will likely rise beyond the 550 ppm total, which translates to a 3° to 4 ° Celsius increase (5.4° to 7.2 ° Fahrenheit) in average global temperature. This level of temperature increase would create a "Hell on Earth."

  • A 6 °C (10.8°F) increase at 600 ppm is also a realistic projection, and it will occur long before 2100 if we do not radically cut global fossil fuel use immediately to these levels. (Click here to discover the details concerning what soon crossing the carbon 500 and carbon 600 ppm will mean to your survival.)

• • When we resolve the climate change emergency, numerous benefits will be realized. We will also create a new and green Third Industrial Revolution. This will, directly and indirectly, create millions of new green energy-related jobs worldwide, replacing millions of lost fossil fuel industry-related jobs.

Welcome to a not-so-happy summary of the global heating and climate change emergency...

On the following pages, you will discover the uncomfortable facts and science that define what the climate change emergency is and how rapidly global warming is actually escalating. You will also discover the many additional reasons why we are now in an undeclared but climate change extinction emergency. 

While reading this candid briefing, keep in mind that if we act wisely, together, and with urgency, we can still mitigate the catastrophic consequences of global warming that are unfolding. But, before we can wisely survive global warming, it is necessary to honestly face exactly the facts on where we are starting from.

 

Why 60 plus years of climate change and global heating reduction failure?

In spite of 60 years of warnings by credible scientists and the work of the environmental movement, plus a preponderance of collaborating scientific evidence, as well as numerous conferences (21 to date,) and previous treaties, the carbon dioxide and methane pollution of the atmosphere, has not stopped, slowed, or even leveled off. On the contrary, it is getting worse faster than ever before! (See atmospheric carbon graph in parts per million below.)

Leading climate scientists, such as James Hansen, who originally warned us about the global warming danger 35 years ago, say we would remain safe if carbon in the atmosphere did not exceed 350 parts per million (ppm).

 

 

As of February 2024, the carbon dioxide level was 427 ppm and is now increasing at approximately 2-3 ppm per year in a near-exponential progression.

When you combine the heating effect of carbon with the other greenhouse gases, it is referred to as the CO2e ppm rating. CO2e, or carbon dioxide equivalent. CO2e is a standard unit for measuring all greenhouse gases in terms of the amount of warming they create compared to CO2. Carbon footprints are also measured in this unit.

When you include atmospheric methane and other greenhouse gas pollutants, our current adjusted CO2e rating has already risen to a shocking level of 430 ppmv of CO2e. Worse yet, we will reach a carbon level of 450 ppm in 10 years or less, when we include atmospheric methane in our calculations.

To put this in a time-lapse perspective, from 1850 to about 1950, the increase in carbon pollution was steady at about 1 ppm per year. From 1950 to 2000, the increase rose to 2 ppm per year. Currently, on its exponential curve, it is at about 3 ppm per year and is rising rapidly toward 3-4 ppm per year. If carbon continues to rise in this exponential, nonlinear way, virtually unchecked by our ineffective previous actions, the increase could easily reach a level of 4 ppm per year by 2025.

 

Image via Stephen Stoft at zfacts.com

 

According to James Hansen, one of the world's most renowned climate researchers, a carbon level of 450 ppm would eventually correspond to and lead to an average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) this century, ending human civilization as we know it. Based on carbon ppm levels already in the system and reaching the 450 mark, this also means that at least another 2.7 °C (4.9°F) global temperature increase beyond our current level is the eventual and inescapable future reality.

This 2.7 °C increase would also be the most realistic minimal temperature increase to predict as part of any future planning over the next 10-30 years. Bear in mind that even this scenario applies only if everything goes perfectly and we cross no additional global warming tipping points.

Unfortunately, it is highly probable that because of our ongoing denial and delay in addressing escalating global warming, atmospheric carbon parts per million will most likely continue to rapidly rise beyond the carbon 450-550 ppm total, which translates to a 3° to 4° Celsius increase (5.4° to 7.2°+ Fahrenheit) up to as much as a 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) increase in average global temperature. (A 4° Celsius increase [7.2° Fahrenheit] in average global temperature would become “Hell on Earth” as Mark Lynas, author of Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet, has stated.)

Hansen’s projections for “ending human civilization as we know it” is not the same as mass human extinction as we approach the 5° or 6° Celsius (9° to 10.8° Fahrenheit) temperature levels. With Hansen’s 6° Celsius rise, which is expected to occur after eventually crossing the 450 ppm carbon mark, what would be considered normal, comfortable, or predictable daily life in developed nations will be severely impaired. In undeveloped nations, a level of chaos and breakdown will rapidly render most of these nations politically and economically unsustainable. As it is already occurring, the chaos in less-developed nations, destabilized by factors such as war and the climate change emergency, will affect more developed and stable nations far beyond the current massive migrations of those escaping suffering.

Despite all the media hype, 21 UN/IPCC international climate conferences, and endless warnings from credible scientists over the last 30 years, as well as national reduction pledges and treaties, the situation is worsening in a nearly exponential progression (2, 4, 8, 16, etc.). There is no denying that we are not only losing the escalating battle against global warming. Unfortunately, we are also losing it at a progressively faster rate so now global warming is close to being out of our meaningful control for the next 30-50 years. (For the precise definition of out-of-control global warming and how and why this happened, click here.)

Instead of enacting the necessary changes when they would have been far easier, more gradual, and less costly, we must now take radical, painful, and costly measures to save the future. The changes that would have been inconvenient 30 years ago will now become nearly unbearable.

 

 

Some of today’s most disturbing global heating and climate change emergency facts

1. We are not receiving accurate information about the severity of global warming, either now or in the future. The heavy fossil fuel lobbied major media conglomerates politely decline to alarm us about the real dangers of our out-of-control climate change emergency in order to allow the fossil fuel industry to continue business as usual.

2. The current atmospheric carbon ppm values related to fossil fuel burning are now approximately 427. This is higher than at any other time in the last 1 million years (possibly higher than at any time in the last 25 million years). This new carbon pollution record represents an increase of 88 ppm in carbon dioxide in the 55 years since David Keeling began making his revolutionary atmospheric carbon dioxide measurements at Mauna Loa. (See graphs in this document.)

3. Carbon pollution accumulating in the atmosphere has been increasing at an even faster rate over the last few decades. It is now nearly certain that if we refuse to take immediate and effective measures to address global warming, future increases will occur at even faster rates.

4. Global average temperatures have the potential to rise far faster than what we normally experience. For example, around 9600 BC, during the Boreal climatic phase, global temperatures rose by 7 °C (12.6°F) in less than a decade, prompting the rapid collapse of the ice sheets and a surge in sea levels. (Ice sheets are already beginning to collapse 

Our 40-year inability to control the climate change emergency and global heating emergency is due in part to:

1. 1. The lack of national and international verifiable and enforceable international laws that would make continued large-scale carbon and methane pollution of the atmosphere a strongly punished activity or crime.

   2. The physical time lags in developing and deploying the necessary infrastructure for new green energy technologies are significant. As we progress, it will likely take another 30 to 50 years. 

   3. Click here to see more key reasons for what has caused our current out-of-control global warming and climate change emergency.

If everyone and every government simultaneously agreed to scale up green energy generation immediately and there were no budgetary or resource restrictions in completing this life-critical project, it would still take hundreds of years to put that infrastructure in place. (See this MIT study for the details in this 400-year estimate.)

If escalating global warming and its consequent climate destabilization proceed to the levels currently being predicted, it will eventually cost the global society hundreds of trillions of dollars in disaster recovery, as well as soaring insurance rates, massive real estate losses and depreciation, and massive coastal and other infrastructure losses, in addition to the vast amount of human suffering and death.

Currently, most nations are struggling with debt, and their economies are experiencing anemic annual growth. How many of these nations, particularly the weakest ones, will remain politically or financially viable, stable, or even continue to exist if another 5% or more of their total GDP (the Stern Review) is drained off each year into the continually escalating costs of global warming-caused climate destabilization? Current estimates from a book called Climate Shock project that all global warming consequences will cost 10 percent, and possibly far more, of the world’s total GDP by 2100. In the latter phases of out-of-control or irreversible global warming, as described in Climageddon, the book estimates that it will require 30% of the world's GDP to keep up with the rebuilding and other costs.

The climate change emergency is already here! It's superstorms, flooding, seasonal disruptions, wildfires, heat waves, migrating insect infestations, and droughts will continue increasing in magnitude, frequency, and scale. According to a recent analysis from scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR),  "[t]he worst-case projections for global warming may be the most likely.”

The next battle now lies in preventing our near-out-of-control global warming from escalating to an extinction-level event, where human-caused carbon dioxide and methane levels in the atmosphere push global temperature increases to 4°-6° Celsius (7.2°-10.8° Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels and beyond.

An already “baked-in” future of mass extinction higher temperatures, no matter what we do

A 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) increase in global average temperature by the year 2100 has been the official estimate of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). But it is way too low and overly optimistic. This 2° Celsius IPCC estimate is based on the operating premise that everything happening in the very complex and highly interconnected climate system will always work perfectly as predicted, in our favor, and no more known or unknown climate tipping points will be crossed.

Planning for everything to go perfectly is a recipe for failure, and a dangerous global warming shocker is hidden within these low-temperature estimates. The first wave of escalating global warming superstorms, or "millennial storms" (storm severity levels that have not been seen for thousands or tens of thousands of years), will arrive much sooner than we are currently planning for. When you include crossing more of the critical global warming tipping points and adjust projections in evaluating the current climate data, it suggests all types of extreme weather such as millennial superstorms, super droughts, super floods, and super wildfires could begin replacing our current waves of extreme weather in as little as 15 to 30 years.

 

 

Unfortunately, there's more bad news. Even if we stopped emitting all carbon dioxide and methane greenhouse gases today, we face considerably more global warming than the IPCC has publicly stated. According to Michael Mann, Distinguished Professor of Meteorology at the University of Pennsylvania, we are already on track for a total rise in temperature of 1.7 °C (about 3°F) in the Northern Hemisphere, regardless of what we do to slow or stop global warming. In part, this is because future global warming is already “baked into” the warming pipeline.

This is what it is called “committed warming.” Committed warming is inevitable, delayed only by the lag time for the oceans to heat up, owing to the slow ocean warming response to greenhouse gases.

The temperature increase of 1.7 °C (3°F) is already committed. This is baked-in global warming, and it is really bad news.

Worse yet, the computer modeling used to create the 1.7 °C Celsius prediction also does not account for the possibility that we have already unconsciously crossed or could soon cross additional global warming tipping points. If that happens or is likely to happen soon, the calculation for already committed global warming could be significantly above 1.7° Celsius. We could rapidly move through an increase of 2° or 3 °C (3.6°F to 5.4°F) and beyond.   

Additionally, after all of the atmospheric fossil fuel-related soot is gone, global temperatures are estimated to go up an additional .2 to .5° Celsius (0.36°-1° Fahrenheit), depending upon the atmospheric soot levels in your area of the world. 

This additional calculation, which estimates how the average global temperature will increase as we rapidly reduce the aerosol soot created by fossil fuel burning, is significant. This implies that planning your personal or business future using only 1.7 °C (3°F) of already committed and “baked-in” average global warming is also a faulty and dangerous assumption for future planning.

It would be far wiser to assume an increase in average global temperature of 1.9° to 2.2 °C (about 3.4° to 4°F) as a long-term planning starting point. While 1.9° to 2.2 °C is more realistic, it is still not as effective as the most realistic 2.7 °C increase for longer-term planning. This is because the previous temperature planning starting point of 1.7° to 2.2 °C (3° to 4°F) also does not include any calculations regarding crossing more global warming and climate system or subsystem tipping points, which are highly likely to happen.

To put this already committed, non-tipping point inclusive temperature range increase of 1.7° to 2.2° Celsius into another comparative perspective, the IPCC, at the last Paris conference in December 2015, still pushed hard, promoting that global warming should not rise above 1.5° Celsius (2.7° Fahrenheit). This is because they already know a 1.5° Celsius increase heralds an unending chain of horrific disasters for many of the world’s poorest countries. Why the IPPC promoted a global temperature target that was below the already known baked-in increase is hard to comprehend, and it will be indirectly explained here.

According to Professor Mann, when we hit 405 parts per million (ppm) of carbon in the atmosphere, we have now committed ourselves to a 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) increase in global temperature. Now add the fact that none of the above global warming calculations, except the 2.7°C (4.9°F) projection, include any possibility that we have already unknowingly crossed or will cross additional global warming tipping points. We are in deep trouble already!

From the preceding, it would be unrealistic to continue promoting the idea that we can realistically keep the average global temperature increase below 2 °C. Yet, that is exactly what the IPCC promoted to the world’s nations at its 2015 Paris conference, in addition to promoting its lower 1.5 °C (2.7°F) target.

It is time to face bitter facts. The battle to keep warming from rising less than 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) has been lost!

In reality, if we include crossing more tipping points, we face a baked-in 2.7 °C (4.9°F) average global temperature rise as we approach carbon levels of 425 to 450 ppm. We need to begin preparing for these severe temperature increases immediately, while we still have time.

It is also important to be aware that, even though the 2.7 °C temperature is already baked in and committed, due to the previously mentioned momentum and inertia issues, it does not mean these higher temperatures will occur immediately. It could take a decade or more for these baked-in temperature rises to be fully realized.

 

 

Additionally, when we extrapolate from the IPCC’s own current worst-case projections using what you have learned so far, a 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) increase occurring much sooner than 2100 becomes a real probability. This eventual 6° Celsius temperature increase prediction is based on these highly probable assumptions:

1. We continue business as usual, increasing the carbon pollution of the atmosphere at our current exponentially rising levels of carbon 3-4+ ppm per year,

2. Methane continues rising as it has over the last several decades because of the fracking boom, big agribusiness, and other factors, and

3. We have unknowingly already crossed or will soon cross more known or unknown global warming tipping points within any of the critical systems or subsystems of the climate system. For example, in May 2014, we crossed another critical climate tipping point when scientists discovered that the West Antarctic Ice Shelf had entered an irreversible and escalating melt phase.

According to the climate author Mark Lynas, if we let our planet’s temperature increase by 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit), “it would cause a mass extinction of almost all life and probably reduce humanity to a few struggling groups of embattled survivors clinging to life near the poles.” 

In order for humanity to endure, we now have no other prudent choice but to do whatever we can to mitigate and slow the long-term impact of this emergency, so that global warming does not lead to our extinction. We may still have enough time to prepare families, businesses, nations, and ourselves for the tremendous stress that escalating global warming will cause—but only if we begin preparing for it now!

 

Putting only a 2° Celsius temperature rise in perspective using carbon levels and temperature fluctuations from Earth’s past

Seeing the climate change emergency from as many perspectives as possible will help you better grasp the depth and seriousness of the emergency we are in. For example, the Earth’s geologic past not only verifies that specific outcomes of global warming have occurred, but also provides us with vital information about what similar consequences will likely occur as we replicate the carbon dioxide levels, atmospheric temperatures, and other conditions of our distant and not-so-distant past. 

According to a 2015 paper in Science, about three million years ago:

1. The average global temperature was approximately 1.7°-2.7 °C (3°-5°F) warmer than it is today.

2. The Arctic regions of the planet were about 7° Celsius (12.6° Fahrenheit) warmer. 

3. Carbon dioxide levels were about as high as today.

4. Sea levels stood at least 20 feet (6-7 meters) above today’s level.

In our more recent geological past, around 400,000 to 125,000 years ago, average global temperatures were approximately 2 °C (3.6°F) and 1 °C (1.8°F) above pre-industrial times. During those two separate time periods, the upper bounds for sea-level rise were estimated to be up to 42 feet higher (13 meters) than the present. As you can imagine, at those temperatures, either of the sea level rises (20 feet or 42 feet) would be a nightmare for world shorelines and their populations if they were to occur today.

Unfortunately, that is exactly what we are racing toward—and beyond. According to the same Science article, even if we managed to limit average global warming to just 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit), sea levels may still eventually rise at least 20 feet (6 meters) above their current levels. 

The illustration below will be useful for mid-range planning (the next 10-15 years) for any industry, individual, or nation whose future plans will be affected by the previously discussed consequences of escalating global warming. Keep in mind, this illustration with its estimated time frames does not include crossing any additional tipping points.

 

 

Why this climate change and global heating State of Emergency isn’t being discussed by our political leaders

To help you understand where and why we are currently losing the battle to mitigate global warming, we have provided the following Keeling-style graphs for atmospheric carbon level data in various sections of this document.     

                                                                                                                           

Image via Robert A. Rohdes, Wikimedia Commons.

 

The graph above shows variations in the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere over the last 400,000 years. It also helps illustrate the progression of carbon pollution data from the Industrial Revolution of the 1880s to the present day. Other data also show the carbon ppm levels for the last several hundred thousand to millions of years. This way, you can see the modern spike in today's carbon pollution emergency in a historical context, especially post-industrial.

 

More carbon in the atmosphere equals more heat

It is important to notice in the graph above that the long-term average carbon parts per million (ppm) never rose much above 270 ppm until the Industrial Revolution. For hundreds of thousands of years, carbon ppm remained in a general range significantly below its current level. Only hundreds of millions of years ago were carbon ppm levels much higher, during Earth's turbulent developmental and volcanic periods.

Something has radically changed in carbon ppm atmospheric levels since the beginning of the fossil fuel-powered Industrial Revolution of the 1880s. For the first time in hundreds of thousands of years, we have now crossed the unprecedented carbon 400 ppm level. Today's carbon ppm level of 413+ is now nearly double the carbon 200-270 ppm range it held consistently for hundreds of thousands of years. This radical change in such a short period of geological time can and will have serious consequences!

Even if we do not cross any other global warming tipping points, which avoidance is highly unlikely, simply by extrapolating the current exponential rise per year and cumulative carbon levels, we could reach 550 ppm in carbon in 30-40 years...or sooner. If we hit carbon 550 ppm, which translates to a temperature increase range of about 3° to 4°+ Celsius increase (5.4° to 7.2°+ Fahrenheit), as it appears we will, this "seals the deal" on destructive changes for most life on Earth (as described in Phase 3 of the Climageddon Scenario).

Extrapolating from the carbon ppm and average global temperature graph shown below, it appears that despite all the efforts we are making now to slow the escalation of global warming, the current global average temperature is increasing by approximately 0.5 degrees for every 25 additional parts per million of carbon entering the atmosphere.

 

Image via Stephen Stoft at zfacts.com

 

The graph above provides evidence that CO2 is a contributing factor to global warming. This ongoing or increasing use of fossil fuels will increase carbon ppm, which in turn increases the average global temperature. The increased or decreased carbon ppm in the atmosphere appears to have a direct or near-direct relationship with rising and falling temperatures, dating back to Earth's earliest times.

 

Image via Robert A. Rhodes, Wikimedia Commons.

 

In the next graph below, one can see carbon pollution levels hundreds of millions of years into our past. As you can extrapolate from the carbon ppm range disclosed near the bottom of the far lower left of the graph, modern life forms as we know them today appear to exist and function best when atmospheric carbon levels are quite low in about the 200-270 ppm range.  Life on Earth was much different from the higher carbon levels seen hundreds of millions of years ago.

 

How human systems contribute to the climate change and global heating State of Emergency

It would not be fair to discuss over 30 years of continuous global warming warnings without also describing some of the problems of inertia within our human systems. Inertia is defined as the resistance of any physical object to any change in its current state of motion (including changes to its speed, direction, or state of rest or motion).

Our current global society is locked into the grip of almost a century and a half of change resistance (inertia) that favors using more and more fossil fuel. Part of the reason for this resistance is that fossil fuel use is directly or indirectly responsible for about one-third of the world's gross domestic product (GDP).

The fossil fuel industry fosters a powerful human system of resistance to change that we must overcome in order to successfully transition to green energy generation systems. The fossil fuel industry is constantly fighting the necessary evolution of our energy generation systems. However, even if we were to end all fossil fuel use today, it is estimated that it would take 30 to 50 years to replace all of the current fossil fuel generation and distribution infrastructure.

Unfortunately, there is nothing close to a unanimous agreement to act now, and we don't have another 30 to 50 years to fight the resistance of various fossil-fueled nations and fossil fuel-related corporations. Therefore, it is completely fair to say that the fossil fuel industry resistance and inertia are significant factors explaining why, after 30 years of warnings, global warming is actually getting worse and not better!

In addition to the inertia and resistance of the fossil fuel industry working against efforts to end the use of polluting fossil fuels, there are other significant human system resistance (inertia) factors for why global warming is escalating faster than ever before in spite of all previous warnings:

1) Human evolutionary psychology: We are designed to react to immediate and obvious threats with the fight-or-flight response. Escalating global warming is slow, almost invisible, and it is generally believed to be far off in the future. Also, for many individuals, it is so complex that it can't be comprehended as the single most serious international security threat of the 21st century. 

2) Human political evolution: Human society has not yet evolved a global government with transnational enforcement and verification powers over all the member nations of our world. Global warming is a transnational problem that has to have a transnational solution.

3) Human legal evolution: Humanity has not evolved viable global courts to work out the inherent international justice issues relating to the developed countries that caused the pollution and will likely benefit from it in the short term. We really have no international justice process for dealing with the fact that undeveloped countries that didn't cause the pollution are expected to suffer nearly equally in the costs and efforts of resolving it.

4) Global political evolution: The designated world authority, the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC), failing to properly educate global leaders on all critical global warming risks, along with providing significantly underestimated timetables, has dangerously diminished a global sense of collective urgency and public awareness. This has significantly reduced the demand for change even though strong warnings were initiated over 30 years ago.

There are other reasons why we have failed for 30 years and still face a daunting challenge to end the climate change emergency, which will be covered in detail here. 

 

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A difficult climate change truth

Before facing a difficult truth, it is important to review the definitions of climate and weather. Climate is the statistics of weather, usually over a 30-year interval. It is measured by assessing the patterns of variation in temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, wind, precipitation, atmospheric particle count, and other meteorological variables in a given region over long periods of time. Climate differs from weather in that weather only describes the short-term conditions of these variables in a given region. (From Wikipedia.)

Fossil fuel lobbyists often intentionally confuse us by directing our attention to the far shorter time cycles of climate and weather. In contrast, global warming cycles occur over far longer time periods (as seen in the graphs depicting hundreds, thousands, and millions of years). When we compare the current global warming cycle and temperature range to past global warming cycles and temperature ranges, rather than tiny 30-year climate cycles, we can see what's really happening and how dangerous global warming is to our future.

From the preceding, it is not difficult for any rational person to see that we are dealing with far more than garden-variety seasonal changes in the weather or the normal 30-year climate cycle. We are dealing with a full-blown and yet undeclared climate change emergency.

In truth, we have wasted over 30 years of valid warnings, and now there is no time left to make the gradual changes that we should have begun over 30 years ago. Immediate, radical, and painful changes must happen now. Our global warming emergency is not something that will occur in the future 25, 50, or 100 years from now, as you have been led to believe. Our global warming emergency is now.

Here are the critical additional links to review to gain a deeper understanding of our current mass extinction event threat, its solutions, climate, and the soon-arriving four extinction-provoking tipping points related to global warming.

Once you have read the following critical additional materials to this article, you will understand the full spectrum of extinction dangers we face, and you will be one of the most informed individuals regarding the honest nature and scope of our global warming extinction emergency.

First, click here to learn about our last practical and realistic opportunity to control our global warming futures and prevent extinction by achieving the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. These global targets are not at all what you have been told by our fossil fuel-influenced media. This article will also provide you with detailed information about what happens when we cross the three extinction-evoking tipping points of carbon at 425 ppm, 500 ppm, and 600 ppm.

Click here for a quick overview of how the currently unavoidable global warming mass extinction threat has now been eclipsed by the very real threat of total extinction as we quickly pass through the three major global warming tipping points within the next 30-30 years. 

And finally, click here to review and select from the solution action options available to you to prepare for, adapt to, and manage this emergency in the Job One for Humanity Plan. This way, you will be able to prepare and adapt wisely so that you survive and thrive through what is now unavoidable in the global warming consequences.

If you understand enough about this emergency, please sign the petition to declare a Climate Change and Global Warming Extinction Emergency and then start the Job One Plan to resolve this mess as best we can. 

Climate Change and Global Heating Emergency Summary:

• In the above graphs of this document, the predictions for increased carbon ppm levels and temperature, unfortunately, does not also include: the continued likelihood that more carbon ppm (about 3-4 ppm per year,) will enter the atmosphere each year due to increasing population and fossil fuel use, causing an ever-faster rate of average global temperature increase, or the effects of the additional methane going into the atmosphere because of existing and new natural gas fracking, all of the existing leaks in methane storage and transportation systems, and big agribusiness, or calculations for more climate tipping points that will be crossed as the atmosphere heats up in a vicious self-reinforcing cycle and a positive feedback loop. 

• Despite 35 years of warnings from credible scientists and compelling scientific evidence, atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane pollution have continued to worsen.

• We are already in an unacknowledged state of global warming emergency.

• • Do not be fooled by what you read about global warming reduction progress or fossil fuel reduction commitments in fossil fuel-lobbied and influenced mainstream media. The fossil fuel industry wants to keep making money and polluting our atmosphere without charge.

  • In a nutshell, the climate change emergency is due to:

    • Today’s carbon ppm level of about 427 ppm is doubling from the carbon 200-270 range it held consistently for hundreds of thousands of years,
    • Carbon ppm levels are rising exponentially at the greatest levels since the Industrial Revolution, and
    • We are poised to cross more global warming tipping points, moving us ever closer to the extinction phases of the Climageddon Scenario. In effect, our climate change emergency should be more accurately described as our climate change extinction emergency or the global warming extinction emergency.

  • According to James Hansen, even a carbon 450 ppm level (which will occur in about 10-15 years at present carbon pollution rates) would eventually correspond to an average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) in this century and the end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it.

  • Our current global warming extinction emergency marks the end of the climate stability that has allowed humanity and humanity’s ancestors to flourish for hundreds of thousands of years.

  • We need to get busy reaching the last chance  2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
  • If we do not reach or come very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we not only will suffer a global warming-caused mass extinction event within the next 30-50 years, we also will trigger a total extinction event within the next 50-70 years.
  • To reach or come close to the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we must prepare and adapt in order to survive and thrive. The most effective way to do this is to initiate the Job One for Humanity Plan to address the climate change emergency.
  • Click here to see where we are today on the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock.

 

The essential positive perspective on the above disruptive global heating and climate change news

Despite the numerous types of challenging consequences of global warming and past mistakes in reducing fossil fuel emissions that we now face, we can still learn from their feedback and adapt and evolve to make life as good and as happy as possible. No matter how severe the consequences of global warming may become, if we wisely play the remaining cards that have been dealt to us, we can still achieve the best possible outcomes. 

We can still make a significant difference in reducing global fossil fuel use to stabilize and save the future of humanity by implementing a comprehensive reduction and survival plan, such as the Job One for Humanity global warming action plan. 

We can still maintain the perseverance needed to succeed in this monumental task by regularly reviewing the many benefits that will occur as we work successfully on this project together. Although we are now in what could be called a Great Global Collapse process triggered by accelerating global warming, this collapse process will eventually offer equal to (or even greater than) long-term benefits in the form of a potential Great Rebirth beyond the coming suffering and loss.

First on this page (that has been read almost 2 million times) and then on this other critical global warming benefit page, you will find the many often hidden surprise benefits of the global warming challenge. You will also find a framework and possibilities for what could be called a post-collapse Great Rebirth, regardless of how severe the collapse process becomes.

We can persevere through this time of emergency. We just need to remember that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our greatest opportunities.

We are engaged in nothing less than the most critical and meaningful evolutionary opportunity, challenge, and adventure in human history! It is our last opportunity to slow down the mass human extinction threat by getting close to these 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Only reaching these targets will fully remove the total extinction threat. In reaching these targets, we also significantly improve many of the world's other 12 major challenges.

Get started today on the Job One for Humanity global warming reduction and survival plan. Help save and salvage as much of humanity and our beautiful civilization as is possible.

 

 

Key Recommended Additional Reading

1. Today's 10 most important climate change and global warming facts.

2. What are the 10 most dangerous things most people do not understand about the climate change emergency?

Are You Still Feeling Sad, Angry, or Anxious About Climate Change and Global Warming? Here is what to do.

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Start feeling better with the tips that keep us from feeling overwhelmed.

It is entirely appropriate to feel sad or angry about what you have just read and its implications for your future.

 

A still deeper dive into the science

This is optional reading.

• • 1. To help you better visualize the risks associated with the global warming tipping point, as well as why we are not effectively acting to mitigate the extreme risks of the global warming State of Emergency, we strongly recommend viewing "The Most Terrifying Video You'll Ever See 2." It has been watched almost 7 million times. Click here to watch that video now.

    2. If you are still not convinced that we are in a state of global warming emergency, or if you would like to see more detailed science on this issue, please click here.

Ask them why they are not adequately managing the greatest threat multiplier and global problem amplifier of the 21st century by enacting the governmental steps described here!

 

(This page is derived substantially from the 2016 book, Climageddon, The Global Warming Emergency and How to Survive It. It has been updated with new climate research since 2016 as applicable. Climageddon is Available on Amazon.)

 

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(Please Note: This page defines the climate change emergency and global warming emergency (aka climate emergency, climate extinction emergency, global warming extinction emergency, Holocene extinction, sixth mass extinction event, and the climate crisis. 

 

 

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Last updated 12.9.25. (G)

Please note that our most up-to-date climate change consequence forecasts and timetables are always found on this page. If you are curious about (or doubt) the consequence severity, time frames, or solutions in any of our climate change forecasts, which are often about 30 to 60% worse than what you are hearing from your government, the media, or the United Nations IPCC, please click here for the science.

 

Prologue

Job One for Humanity is a nonprofit climate change think tank and risk assessment organization founded in 2008. It is nonpartisan, 100% publicly funded, and uncensored by any government, corporation, or entity.

This website is for intelligent, mature, and rational individuals who rely on good science and accurate data to manage their lives and businesses. This website counterbalances and corrects the tremendous disinformation and misinformation campaign carried on by the global fossil fuel cartel over the last five decades concerning accurate climate change data. 

Our organization is currently focused on educating people about climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, resilience building, and, where necessary, migration, while also supporting all actions aimed at reducing global climate change. Our new focus on preparation, adaptation, and resilience-building stems from the fact that many of the serious consequences of climate change are now unavoidable due to a 60-year delay in addressing this emergency. Reading the rest of this page will inform you of the seriousness of those consequences and the short timelines involved.

"It is hard to admit or face, but humanity is already in the second phase of irreversible global warming, and humanity has already lost a major battle against climate change! It is now highly uncertain that we will be able to stabilize the climate for many decades to centuries and secure a safe, stable future for current and future generations. Losing this battle against climate change does not mean giving up or that we have lost the climate change war. There are many things we still need to do to adapt and save as much as possible.

Accordingly, it is now imperative that both individuals and businesses immediately begin their PLAN B climate change-related emergency preparations, adaptations, and climate change resilience-building, (or in some cases, start migrating, relocating, and executing what is being called by politicians a "Managed Retreat.") This way, regular citizens and businesses will have nearly the same chance to survive what is coming as the privileged ultra-wealthy billionaires, top executives of the multinational mega-corporations, and the political elite." Lawrence Wollersheim

 

Recent and repeated hacing and denial-of-service attacks on our non-profit educational organization

Our organization has repeatedly been under persistent hacking and spamming attacks, aimed at disrupting service to the thousands of people who visit our website daily. To to keep our members and visitors safe and to counter persistent hacking and spamming, our organization has implemented some of the strictest security measures currently in use, both on our website and on our personal computers. Over a short period of time in late 2025 we had 1.8 million attempts to compromise our site and 9.5 million actions on our webpages designed to deny services to legitimate individuals looking for climate change information.

The goal of these hackers and spammers is to prevent you from accessing our uncensored climate change analysis and forecasts. Our climate change analysis and forecasts are disastrous for the income of fossil fuel-producing nations and the $30 trillion a year global fossil fuel cartel. 

Please note that our most up-to-date forecasts and timetables for climate change consequences are always available on this page.

 

 

Introduction

Job One presents independent, uncensored climate change facts, analysis, solutions, and timeframes for consequences to the world's citizens at no cost. It is part of a 30-year-old US IRS-recognized tax-exempt nonprofit organization.

While our website presents a wealth of information and a comprehensive, uncensored, and accurate view of our current climate change situation (including facts, consequences, timelines, and solutions), please do not think we have given up hope on this challenging task. There are numerous significant benefits that we can expect to receive when we address climate change. When you're done reading this page, be sure to read the following link first, then proceed to the next link, which will help you maintain the realistic hope and balance we will all need to overcome the climate challenge together. (The second article has been read by several million people.)

Our mission is to protect the cycle of life for future generations by preparing the world with uncensored data for a highly probable climate change-driven series of global catastrophes leading to the extinction of as much as 50% of humanity by 2050.

If we don't stop denying the actual and dire consequences of the world's governments' unconscionable 60-plus-year total failure to reverse accelerating climate change, we will miss our narrowing remaining opportunity to prepare for and mitigate these catastrophes. (Please note this is a powerful and painful forecast. If you have any doubts about its reasonableness or scientific backing, please read this full analysis of why that 2050 forecast is valid.)

 

 

Job One's most accurate and fundamental message for the world today about our inability to "fix" climate change and secure the future for as much of humanity as possible, therefore, we must begin to prepare for what we can no longer avoid:

1. Due to the massive accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere since the beginning of the industrial revolution, we have now reached the point where the immutable laws of physics and mathematics will push the accumulated total of greenhouse gases to continue to heat Earth's atmosphere over the next 2 1/2 decades and beyond. Due to this ever-increasing heat and the unavoidable consequences of the accumulating and rising heat on all Earth and human systems, it is unfortunately already too late to save about half of humanity, which will perish by about 2050.

2. Due to these now unavoidable consequences of extinction-level climate change, humanity must immediately begin global emergency preparations, adaptation, and resilience-building and migration where possible to save as many people as possible after 2050.

3. Immediate and aggressive government action is also now mandatory to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to save as much as possible of post-2050 humanity, or there will be as little as 15 to 5% of humanity left alive by about 2070. 

If we do not get our politicians and governments to understand that "we have to immediately reverse the accelerating climate change emergency by radically reducing global fossil use, while we prepare for and adapt to the climate consequences we can no longer avoid, most of us and our civilization will not be around soon after 2050 to 2070.

The biggest remaining political question is, how much more motivation do our politicians need before they make the required changes today to save the tomorrows of the future?

Job One promises will always tell you the complete and uncensored truth about our current climate and what many often do not want to hear about our climate change emergency. Unfortunately, this climate information IS the same painful climate change information you need to protect yourself and your future.  

If you haven't done so already, please read our most up-to-date climate change current conditions page here. It will help you understand why our mission is what it is and the urgency of our mission, as described below.

 

More about What We Do at Job One for Humanity

Job One for Humanity educates about climate change, climate emergency preparedness, intelligent climate change adaptation, resilience-building, and identifying remaining locations for safer relocation due to climate change, including "managed retreat" and migration. Job One for Humanity also helps forward and support climate emergency preparation, adaptation, and resilience-building in co-founding the ClimateSafevillages.org organization and through the Universe One project.

At Job One, we promise our 100% publicly funded independent climate change think tank will always tell you the complete and uncensored climate truth and what many often do not want to hear about our current climate change emergency. Unfortunately, this climate information is the same painful climate change information you need to protect yourself and your future.  

Job One provides a "big picture" (holistic) climate change overview and an uncensored DMAP (dialectical metasystemic analysis) for the many interconnected and interdependent climate systems and subsystems that contribute to our current climate change emergency. When proposing climate change solutions, the central principle is, "Are these solutions effective, practical, and good for the common well-being?"

Job One For Humanity is also active in researching climate change justice issues, particularly concerning helping victims of climate change get financial restitution from the global fossil fuel cartel perpetrators of the climate change emergency. Job One also maintains a list of worldwide law firms and lawsuits filed against the global fossil fuel cartel members for climate change damages.

Job One researches and presents mostly free, uncensored climate change information, analysis, solutions, and timeframes to the world's citizens. Job One for Humanity never accepts funding or donations from fossil fuel-related industries or businesses.

  

 

We believe every global citizen deserves access to the same uncensored information on climate change threats and risks, as developed by major national intelligence agencies. Every citizen should have access to the same climate information purchased at great expense by wealthy hedge funds, investment banks, and billionaires from specialty risk-analysis firms, but only at a cost that is affordable to anyone of average income! (Job One also provides special scholarship programs for those individuals  living at their national poverty level and cannot afford access to our climate information.)

Our climate analysis ensures that every citizen can protect themselves, their families, and their businesses equally, as well as those with the privileges of high-security governmental positions or great wealth. Unrestricted, un-politicized, and uncensored climate change risk and threat knowledge is critical for citizens to understand their real challenges and wisely initiate survival-related emergency preparations, adaptations, or relocations for the coming avoidable and unavoidable climate catastrophes wherever needed.

Our climate articles and climate emergency analysis are completely uninfluenced and uncensored by any political agenda, political party, or other financial or fossil fuel lobbyist intervention. Unlike other climate and environmental nonprofit educational organizations, we refuse to knowingly accept donations from fossil fuel lobbyists, producers, or industries that rely on fossil fuels, to ensure that there are no possible conflicts of interest or even the appearance of a conflict of interest. 

Job One has received the highest Platinum trust rating for financial transparency from Guidestar, an independent organization that examines nonprofit organizations' financial and other actions.

Job One for Humanity provides science-grounded climate change consequence analysis, timeframes, risk assessment, and solutions to executives at educational, climate, and environmental organizations worldwide at no charge. For insurance companies, governments, and businesses affected by climate change emergencies, we provide a fee-based climate analysis, risk assessment, and solutions service.

Job One For Humanity is an all-volunteer organization, meaning administrators, bookkeepers, climate change researchers, and analysts all volunteer their work to protect the cycle of life for future generations. Unresolved climate change is the mega-disruptor of the 21st century that can not only alter the possibility of having successful future generations, but it can and will alter life for existing generations, making life on earth unbearable or impossible.

Click here to see why our climate change forecasts are more accurate than those of other climate forecasting institutions.

 

Our Relationship with the Universe Institute Think Tank

We have been in a collaborative relationship with the Universe Institute for over a decade on climate change issues. We are deeply grateful to the Universe Institute for introducing us to DMAP, the new dialectical metasystemic analysis and problem-solving methodology. Without the assistance of the Universe Institute and our use of the DMAP breakthrough, the uncensored climate change analysis, forecasts, and solutions you find on the Job One website would not have been possible.

 

Why uncensored climate change facts are so important in this time of ecological, social, political, and economic transition and turmoil

The Job One for Humanity climate think tank is one of the few places where you will get uncensored climate change facts. This is more important today than ever.

We are in the age when governments and corporations (or the media they control) that profit directly or indirectly from fossil fuels are using every means necessary to censor or block climate change data that could reduce their profits or power. Climate change scientists and researchers worldwide who have in the past spoken out with the actual facts of the climate change emergency have been vilified, doxed, harassed, fired, demoted, defunded, had their tenure removed, or sued into silence. These relentless attacks on honest individual climate change scientists and researchers who speak out have had a massive chilling effect on these individuals worldwide.

Worse yet, because of the billions of dollars spent on disinformation and manipulation of climate facts, most of humanity now believes the climate change fairytales being told by our governments and mass media that we are safe until 2100, that we are making progress, that climate change isn't a major problem, etc.

This means it's more important than ever that uncensored voices continue to speak the truth about climate change to power and anyone willing to listen. Job One is never censored by any government or corporation because we receive no funding from them. We are 100% funded by the public, with an average donation of around $25.

Another reason we continue to provide uncensored climate data to you is that you have the same right to this information as the privileged billionaires, the top executives of multinational megacorporations, and the political elite who are already building survival bunkers or planning how they will save their loved ones and wealth from the accelerating global nightmare of climate change. Why should their wealth give them privileged and exclusive access to survival-critical risk assessment information you can not afford?

At Job One, we provide nearly all of the same climate change risk assessment information for free, and some for the cost of a small, tax-deductible donation, which helps keep us independent and 100% publicly funded. The good news is that our uncensored climate change information can help you, your family, and your business avoid unnecessary suffering and loss.

 

Our Climate Change Think Tank's 2025 Mission

The simplest and honest mission message Job One has for the world today about our ability to "fix" climate change and our climate future is:

"We are out of time! Our governments missed the last window of opportunity to control our climate change future without mass die-offs due to ongoing dirty tricks by the fossil fuel cartel, decades of gross underestimation of climate change consequences and timetables by the IPCC, Garrett's Climate Change Dilemma, and about 30 additional reasons (found here).

It is now too late to save about half of humanity for more than another few decades. All we can do now is prepare well, radically cut global fossil fuel use one way or another, and hope we can save the other half of humanity before we lose even that option."

The following sums up our mission in a more expanded way:

Despite what you hear in the media and from the government, climate change is currently out of our effective control. We are currently in a state of irreversible global warming despite the media and your governments hiding this dangerous fact from you, your family, and your business.

The horrible consequences of climate change will persist for many decades to centuries due to its already baked-in consequences and the momentum of global heating. It is highly probable that about 50% of humanity will perish by 2050 due to the escalating consequences of climate change.

Therefore, the primary focus of our mission must be educating the public about:

a. our uncensored current climate change condition and our most probable climate change future consequences.

b. why our governments must meet 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, or hardly anyone or anything will be left of humanity and our civilization by 2070.

c. climate change emergency preparation for the coming unavoidable consequences. 

d. climate change adaptation strategies, and

e. climate change resilience-building. (This resilience-building would also include preserving everything we can of the best of human civilization for the post-climate change emergency and post-global collapse times.)

f. the need for the world to rapidly evolve effective global governance to handle humanity's critical transnational crises like climate change. Here is a 16-minute, brilliant video that lucidly explains why some form of global governance is indispensable for humanity to resolve its many current crises, such as accelerating climate change and war. It also explains why the world's well-intended nonprofits may be winning many small environmental or social issue battles, but they are horribly losing the war for the future survival of the planet.

The video is titled "The Forgotten History of the Idea of Global Democracy." Click here to view this powerful and well-thought-out video. It also illuminates why the Job One for Humanity has been educating about evolving some form of global governance as part of its core mission for decades.

The above preparation, adaptation, and resilience-building new 2025 mission focus is solely because resolving the accelerating climate change emergency for the foreseeable future has become highly improbable (for these 30 reasons), and catastrophic, soon-arriving change consequences are now unavoidable.

From Job One's executive director and DMAP senior analyst:

"When you realize that our governments have totally failed to control climate change (when it was still controllable,) and you understand accelerating global warming is now beyond our near-term control for centuries and --- that it is time to prepare for the many coming climate change catastrophes to minimize suffering and loss, Job One for Humanity (and our sister organization ClimateSafe Villages) is and will be there for you.

At Job One, you will find the necessary information for climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, resilience-building, and recovery. At Job One, we never apologize for our uncensored, often painful, climate change facts and analysis. The stakes are far too high not to speak the truth about what is now being hidden from the global public." Lawrence Wollersheim

Click here for the year-by-year and decade-by-decade details on how the climate change emergency will worsen into an unavoidable, widespread global catastrophe and mass extinction event.

 

About Job One for Humanity and the Global Fossil Fuel Cartel

We have already experienced several attempts to infiltrate and undermine our organization and mission by agent provocateurs seeking to hinder the organization's progress in achieving its mission. The global fossil fuel conglomerate is the world's largest single industry, producing approximately one-third of the Earth's total gross domestic product, amounting to around $30 trillion annually.

They are very unhappy with us publishing uncensored climate change research and analysis, not to mention the required honest global fossil fuel reduction targets found here and the special Climate Justice Now section of our website that helps individuals get the support and connections they need to successfully sue fossil fuel companies for the climate change damages they have suffered.

The widespread and uncensored distribution of this climate analysis and solutions has led many individuals, organizations, and governments to realize that they have been misled by previously fossil fuel-influenced climate information. As an independent and uncensored climate change think tank funded 100% by the public, and with our climate analysis and research solutions distributed worldwide, we believe we have recently reached the top of the fossil fuel industry's most disliked organizations. We consider that to be an honor.

 

What Job One for Humanity Does

We work to achieve the best possible climate change outcomes while preparing for its worst possible consequences. To do this, Job One offers information to understand the climate change emergency, how to prepare, adapt, and build resilience for it, and how to effectively fix it by providing:

Priority 1. Education on effective climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, and resilience-building solutions. Our climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, and resilience-building solutions will help individuals prepare for and lessen the impacts of many of our other 11 major global crises.

One important way we educate and promote emergency preparation, climate change adaptation, and resilience-building is through ClimateSafe Villages, a nonprofit organization we helped co-found that partners with us in this work. Click here to learn more about ClimateSafe Villages.

Priority 2. Science-grounded, uncensored, and unpoliticized climate change causes, facts, tools, and analysis. (Click here for the most current climate facts.)

Priority 3. A science-grounded, realistic hope for our climate change future based on honestly facing our current conditions and using effective, prioritized, and deadline-driven remedial actions. 

Priority 4: Education on climate change justice and restitution for the victims of climate change by bringing effective lawsuits against the creators of the climate change emergency in what we call our Climate Justice Now program. This is the program we believe will be the most effective in saving as many people as possible.

Click here for a full explanation of our Climate Justice Now program, who is creating the climate change emergency, and how to best get climate justice for climate change-related deaths and financial losses.

The widespread sharing of our uncensored climate analysis and solutions will help slow and ultimately prevent a near-total human extinction event. Individuals who discover and utilize our information will also need to take the following steps to preserve and protect as much human and biological life as possible from the primary and secondary consequences of climate change. They will need to:

1. create a widespread and uncensored awareness of the current climate change emergency,

2. create a widespread willingness to engage in immediate and effective climate change remedial action plan within individuals, groups, businesses, and nations (our PLAN B.)

2a. This would also include educating about effective climate change justice and restitution for the victims of climate change by bringing lawsuits against the creators of the climate change emergency. (Click here for a full explanation of who is creating the climate change emergency and how to best get climate justice for climate change victims.)

3. work toward minimizing climate change-related suffering and death while simultaneously maximizing the well-being of all human, biological, and ecological systems that we can do within our harsh current and future climate change conditions.

 

Our Audience

Our climate change materials are designed for other climate change researchers, environmental writers, and individuals with moderate to high knowledge of climate change. Climate change is a highly complex area because the climate is a complex adaptive system.

Individuals who lack training in system theory and complex adaptive systems, or DMAP (the dialectical metasystemic analysis and problem-solving methodology), and who struggle with complex, detailed information and following multiple consequence chains, may find it challenging to read our materials. Individuals who are poorly educated or unfamiliar with the basic principles of climate change will face the greatest difficulties in understanding the materials on our website. 

As of January 2025, our organization's mission focuses on empowering intelligent and informed individuals who can recognize the steadily worsening patterns in the climate and who want to avoid unnecessary climate change consequences.

Our organization does not attempt to convert climate deniers or educate individuals who are currently unaware of the worsening consequences of climate change. By the time climate deniers and those individuals not paying attention to the climate catastrophes occurring right in front of them finally realize the climate change emergency, it will most likely be too late for them to prepare for the emergency or adapt to it.

With limited resources, we must be practical and focus primarily on those who are already well-informed, ready to hear our message, and willing to take action to protect themselves and others.

 

Our think tank's leaning, position, or "bias"

All think tanks have open or hidden leanings, positions, or biases. These biases or leanings are almost always based directly upon who is funding them with the biggest donations or subsidies.

There are conservative-leaning think tanks, progressive-leaning think tanks, evangelical-leaning think tanks, Jewish-leaning think tanks, and industry-specific think tanks. No matter what they publicly profess, think tanks always openly or secretly represent the interests of those funding them.

Because of this avoidable funding conflict of interest, all think tanks should be treated as highly biased toward their funders' needs and interests. Unethical think tanks have even been known to regularly alter or misrepresent facts to further their funders' financial, political, or religious interests.

100% public funding makes the Job One for Humanity think tank different from almost all other think tanks. Because we are 100% publicly funded, our biased leaning or position is always that of protecting the universal best interests of the common well-being and common good of all humanity. This means you will find our uncensored climate change analysis, forecasts, and facts considerably different (and usually far worse) than those of other climate change, environmental, or other political or industrial think tanks with transparent or hidden special interest significant donor funding. (The average donation to Job One is about $15 US.)

In Job One, we protect only one special interest: humanity's well-being, good, and survival from and through the climate change emergency.

 

Our prioritized educational and action goals for 2025 and beyond

A. Educating about preparing for, adapting to, and building enhanced human and biological resilience to survive climate change's ongoing catastrophic or unavoidable consequences while time remains to do so.

This preparation step also means it is time to educate and prepare humanity for the significant sacrifices we must make to come close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. It is also time to start preparing humankind for the unimaginable and unavoidable suffering that is soon to arrive. (The new ClimateSafe Villages will be especially helpful in completing this action step.)

while simultaneously working to prevent the worst consequences by educating individuals who will,

 

B. And if we do not get close to the survival-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, with the hope that a good portion of the human population will survive, we will educate:

1. to help younger individuals and families migrate from high-risk global heating areas to safer areas before it is too late to make these moves, (We forward the position that younger generations (X.Y Z, and A) who did not create or ignore the rreversible global warming extinction nightmare have a far greater right to occupy the remaining global heating safest lands and to survive longer.)

2. to help support building the Universe One CSV and many urban, rural, and virtual new ClimateSafe Villages (ecologically sustainable communities) worldwide for our younger generations that:

a. might also allow at least some small part of our younger generations to survive where they are currently living, through the coming climate-change-propelled global collapse, extinction, and possible rebirth process and cycle, 

b. might learn from and apply the many hard lessons of irreversible global warming and the other ecological, economic, and political consequences that will happen to us because of the ultimate consequences of our current overconsuming, highly unsustainable, and inequitable lives. 

If survivors exist in these eco-communities, they and their eco-communities would serve as "beacons of light," modeling critical new ideas, values, and behaviors for an eventual Great Global Rebirth. To see what these new ideas, values, and behaviors might look like, click here and see Benefit 1.

(Please be aware that the continuous pain and suffering any survivors will go through is so immense and unimaginable that many survivors will wish they had died in the Great Global Collapse. For most, survival will be closer to a subsistence existence. Because surviving irreversible global warming will be a living hell, so we must lessen that hell for survivors by getting as close to the 2025 global reduction targets as possible.)

3. to help our governments develop Plan B climate crisis management plans for handling the sudden and massive loss of life and unfolding social and economic chaos from now until mid-century from the unavoidable irreversible global warming consequences. 

Because of our 60 years of inaction and ineffective action on the global heating emergency, the informative creative destruction that will occur as half the human population unavoidably goes extinct is unconscionable and the greatest horror in human history. Yet, it is also an equally powerful opportunity to create a better world and even a great global rebirth. (To learn more about the many benefits, improvements, and new societal values that could emerge for humanity from this unsought-after evolutionary challenge and opportunity, click here.)

 

C. compel our governments hard and continuously to enforce radically cutting global fossil fuel use to get close to the 2025 global targets to slow down irreversible global warming sufficiently so that we can avoid near-total human and biological extinction, and more of humanity can live a little longer and more securely. (We can no longer save half of humanity, but still have a chance to save much of humanity.) 

 

D. Educate about effective climate change justice and restitution for the victims of climate change by bringing lawsuits against the creators of the climate change emergency. (Click here for a full explanation of who is creating the climate change emergency and how to best get climate justice for climate change victims.)

 

 

Humanity's future depends on how quickly we can mitigate and minimize the worst effects of the irreversible global warming extinction emergency. The next 3 to 6 years will determine the future viability and survival rates of humanity. (If you would like to see the analysis of many factors that brought us to the realization that, at best, climate change is only 3-6 years away (2025-2031) from going out of our control for centuries to millennia, click here.)

We understand that the above is a distressing and problematic climate update. However, the good news is that if our governments mass-mobilize and bring us close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we will still be able to save as much as half of humanity. We will also be able to save many of our planet's beautiful plant and animal species, as well as other living systems. 

So, let's get busy and work together to save and salvage what we need to survive and what we dearly love.

(Please note: The above climate and global heating facts are currently being censored or altered by the actions of powerful fossil fuel industry lobbyists upon the media and our governments. Yet, widely visible climate and global heating consequences and current climate science-based predictions support the above statements as accurate.)

 

 

An Important Explanation for Our Updated Mission and Goals

Our overall mission strategy is always based on working wholeheartedly toward the best possible climate outcomes while simultaneously being aware of and preparing for the worst possible climate outcomes.

In March of 2022, Job One For Humanity again reviewed climate science and updated its position on climate change and the irreversible global warming emergency. It concluded that:

As a result of ignoring 60 years of valid scientific warnings and not resolving the climate change and rising global heating emergency, we have already locked ourselves into the beginning phase of irreversible global warming and the unavoidable extinction of about half of humanity by mid-century. Mass human extinction is now inevitable and unavoidable because we have already gone over the irreversible global warming climate cliff when we reached the carbon 386 ppm level. Unfortunately, at our current carbon level of 420+ ppm, we are accelerating our own extinction because we will cross even more climate tipping points and amplify climate feedback loops more rapidly. 

The good news is that we can still save much of the other half of humanity, but only if we get close to reaching the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets as soon as possible. The even better news is that when we finally fix global heating, there will be many positive benefits and possibly a Great Global Rebirth. 

(The above is also our core message.)

The first mass extinction-level event, which is expected to affect approximately half of humanity by mid-century, will primarily result from mass starvation caused by climate change-related crop failures, low crop yields, and soaring food prices. It will also be caused by growing resource shortages and increasing regional and national conflicts as tens of millions of starving climate refugees seek new homes.

If humanity does not get close to making the required and radical 2025 global fossil fuel use reductions (as described in detail on this global targets page), humanity will also face an even worse second extinction-level of near-total extinction beginning as soon as 2070. (Click here to discover why total human extinction is not realistic or probable, and the worst humanity could experience is near-total extinction (about 50 to 90+% of humanity going extinct.)

Accordingly, we have had to update our prior mission and goals due to the preceding and increasingly severe consequences of global climate change and global warming. Because the likelihood of coming close to the 2025 global targets for fossil fuel reduction is so low, part of our mission upgrade was to create a new Plan B for the irreversible global warming extinction emergency. 

With our new Plan B, while we are still working diligently on preventing near-total extinction, we have shifted a significant amount of our mission focus to also helping individuals, families, and businesses to become aware that they now need to start preparing themselves physically, emotionally, and psychologically for what can no longer be avoided; the extinction of about half of humanity by mid-century.

We are educating them on how to adapt to and build climate resilience (and other kinds of resilience) in their homes, businesses, and essential local, regional, and national systems. Our new Plan B reflects our upgraded mission and focuses on maximizing all possible human, biological, and ecological benefits within our current challenging and painful climate position.

 

Please also consider becoming an annual member by clicking here and exploring the valuable information and benefits you will receive. We guarantee that you will receive more than you give when you become a proud funder of our 100% publicly funded, not-for-profit climate change think tank.

 

What Job One for Humanity has to educate about to achieve the above goals for 2025 and beyond

1. Help everyone understand the principle of accelerating extinction risk related to climate tipping points and amplifying feedback loops. A 2.0 °C global temperature rise is not merely a slight increase over 1.5 °C; it is exponentially worse.

2. Help everyone to understand that because of our six decades of ineffective climate action and climate inaction, the death of about 1/2 of humanity by mid-century is already unavoidable because of accelerating climate-related consequences by mid-century

3. Help everyone understand that if we are very lucky, global warming will remain at a stage and level where we may still be able to prevent a near-total human extinction, if only for the next 3 to 6 years.

4. Help today's youth, environmental activists, and the world's citizens understand they need to force their governments to act now to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and produce 10, 20, and 50-year plans that have enough detail that they know how to manage accelerating climate consequences and other critical resource collapses. 

5. Help activist leaders and governments understand how to address HOW the world will humanely deal with, prepare for, and adapt to colossal population crashes and manage the many consequences of the accelerating global warming decline process. We want to help them develop their climate change emergency Plan B.

 

How we measure our educational success numerically

1. by creating more global heating-educated Job One members, subscribers, and citizens,

2. by creating more global heating educator-activists.

3. by preparing more people for the many soon-arriving and unavoidable global heating consequences.

4. by eventually helping to develop more climate resilience and sustainability-building hubs in every major city and town worldwide. (These hubs will facilitate where generations X, Y, Z, and A can meet and build their climate-resilient and equitable futures.)

5. by saving more generations X, Y, Z, and A from the climate-driven extinction and collapse cycle.

6. By building new (or upgrading older intentional sustainable communities that can survive the extinction and collapse cycle.

Additional reasons why we do what we do

Job One for Humanity, founded in 2008, is a non-profit, independent, and 100% publicly funded climate change think tank that provides an uncensored "big picture" holistic view and analysis of the many interconnected and interdependent climate systems creating our current climate change emergency and irreversible global warming.

We believe that every global citizen deserves the same climate change future threat and risk information as is given to our national intelligence agencies. Every citizen should also have access to the same climate information that hedge funds, investment banks, and billionaires purchase at great expense from their specialty risk analysis firms. 

Unrestricted and uncensored climate change risk knowledge is critical for all citizens to make informed decisions about initiating appropriate survival-related emergency preparations, adaptations, or relocations for the coming avoidable and unavoidable climate catastrophes. Furthermore, our free climate change facts and analysis ensure that every global citizen can protect themselves, their families, and their businesses, as well as those with political privilege, high-security governmental positions, or great wealth.

Our climate articles and climate emergency analysis are completely uninfluenced and uncensored by any political agenda, political party, or other political force. Unlike many other climate and environmental nonprofit educational organizations, we refuse to knowingly accept donations from fossil fuel lobbyists, producers, or industries that rely on fossil fuels, to ensure that there are no possible conflicts of interest or even the appearance of a conflict of interest. 

We promise that our fully independent climate change think tank will always tell you the full climate truth, including what many often do not want to hear about our current climate change emergency. Unfortunately, this IS the painful same climate change information you need to protect yourself and your future.  

More About the Job One for Humanity Organization

Job One for Humanity is an independent climate change think tank that provides a "big picture" holistic view and analysis of the interconnected and interdependent climate systems creating our current climate change emergency.

We conduct climate change analyses based on existing climate research. While we do not conduct in-house original climate research, we utilize published peer-reviewed research papers from independent and respected climate scientists, as well as climate research from organizations such as the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). 

This organization reviews and utilizes numerous climate research papers and summary materials in its climate analysis, prediction, and recommendations.  

They are found listed:

1. in this extensive but still partial master list of these related or relevant climate research papers and summaries.
2. in many available video presentations by the climate scientists or researchers describing their own research. Click here to see an example in the video of the renowned climate scientist Kevin Anderson presenting the climate emergency at Oxford.
3. in the body of many of our web pages, in the links on those pages, or in the endnotes or technical notes found at the end of many pages.

We provide our climate and global heating educational information to individuals and organizations, understanding that they will independently evaluate it and decide upon its usefulness and accuracy based on the best climate science and analysis currently available.

As an organization, we speak climate truth to power, and we always treat our visitors and members as adults who can process often painful facts. We candidly speak climate truth to power also because there is no time left to hide or sugar-cote the facts surrounding the irreversible global warming emergency.

iOur website pages offer an appropriate, proportional, and rational hope that we can still fix the climate and save humanity from the climate's worst possible extinction possibilities. We base this measured hope solely upon current climate science and advanced dialectical metasystemic analysis processes. 

All the global heating and climate change remedial actions we recommend are provided on a self-motivated, self-organized, and self-directed, Do-It-Yourself (DIY) basis. Although we will answer climate questions and provide limited encouragement through our online member support system, you are responsible for spreading the word and telling others about this website's climate information and tools. Responsibility for the preparations, adaptations, and global heating remedial actions necessary to protect yourself, your loved ones, and your business from what is coming remains as it should, exclusively with you.

More About Our Climate Change Research, Review, and Analysis Processes 

Using the principles of system theory and dialectical metasystemic thinking applied to the climate as a complex adaptive system, we review and then analyze current and past climate change research and public climate summaries for:

1. errors, 

2. omissions, 

3. previously unrecognized positive or negative patterns in or between climate studies,

4. unseen interconnections or consequence connections within and between climate studies, and 

5. the unseen and hidden politicization, censorship, or the watering down of climate science by governmental agencies or other types of agents in public climate summary reports. 

The problems in 1-5 above can significantly affect the validity of current and future statements or positions concerning climate consequence timetables or the frequency, severity, and scale of climate consequences. Using system theory and dialectical metasystemic thinking applied to the climate as a complex adaptive system, we also review research papers and public statements on the climate for:

1. discernable or hidden biases, and

2. undeclared financial or other conflicts of interest.

The above two problems have recently become far more prevalent and have significantly underestimated negative climate consequences in public climate summaries and statements. Climate think tanks, individuals or groups operating as unknown fossil fuel lobbyists, and climate researchers funded by the fossil fuel-related industries have become the biggest offenders in this area. 

Instead of our analyzing only one area of specialized climate study like the oceans, glaciers, ice and snow packs, planetary temperature history, water vapor, soils, forests, or greenhouse gas factors on temperature and the atmosphere, we analyze climate research on how it holistically applies and interrelates to all different areas within and between the climate's interrelated, interconnected, and interdependent systems and subsystems. 

Using the tools of dialectical metasystemic thinking, we examine climate studies, their positions, and the related interactions of the climate system and subsystems through 28 different dialectical analysis perspectives and lenses. This allows us also to see, consider and value natural or human counteractions that may occur in response to the various primary and secondary consequences of climate change and global heating.

After that extensive analysis, we make climate consequence severity and time frame predictions and remedial recommendations for the correct global fossil fuel reduction amounts to minimize human loss and suffering. Our final analysis, forecasts, and recommendations always include all needed adjustments to compensate for any problems, errors, omissions, underestimation, or politicization which we discover in current climate research or summaries. Click here to see the many errors, underestimation, and politicization we found in a major recognized source of global climate research and recommendations. 

Unlike many other climate change think tanks, we do provide prioritized, critical-path, and deadline-driven solutions to the climate change emergency. These solutions are based upon accurate global fossil fuel reduction targets and avoiding the most dangerous climate tipping points and feedbacks deadlines that we currently face. 

Job One for Humanity is currently helping expose the current intense politicization of climate science. This intense politicization of science by the media, governments, and even the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) acts to forward a gross underestimation of our actual and current climate consequences, timeframes, remedies, and condition.

Unexpectedly, our independent climate change analysis has turned us into reluctant whistleblowers exposing how popular and politicized climate data has been distorted to serve the hidden interests of those who gain financially (or in other ways) from the ongoing global use of fossil fuels and hiding the real danger the public faces from the rreversible global warming extinction emergency.

Please note that our education materials, because of their serious and adult nature are not meant for adolescents under 16!

 

We are an all-volunteer organization, which is very rare these days. Our volunteers are independent, self-organizing individuals who have a passion for fixing climate change before it is too late. 

The core of our organization is made up of think tank climate analysts and researchers who have volunteered their time. One could also think of us as a unique and partially crowdsourced think tank in many ways. 

Our volunteers self-organize to handle our social media, marketing, research, events, and even accounting. In addition, our volunteers do all of the Climate Change Blog postings as they have done for years. Click here to see a profile of our members, volunteers, and the audience of curious visitors who will most benefit from our website.

According to Google statistics, as of March 5, 2022, 4.5 million unique visitors have come to our website to review our independent and non-politicized climate change analysis and research over the last five years. Additionally, scores of Facebook climate change newsgroups regularly display, like, and comment upon our original climate analysis and articles.

Our website has easy-to-understand illustrations, descriptions, and documentation. Our website illuminates the "big picture" physics and math-determined interactions of the climate's many complex adaptive systems. 

Our mission is currently educating individuals and businesses on preparing for adapting to the climate consequences we can no longer avoid! Our focus is to support and work with those individuals, businesses, and groups that are bravely facing our many unavoidable, severe climate change consequences. At the same time, those groups are also encouraged to work to slow and lessen those consequences so we still have time to save and salvage as much of humanity and our civilization as we can.

We will do everything we can to help individuals, businesses, and groups survive this long-term nightmare so they might eventually birth a sustainable, just, and equitable global society, what we call the Great Global Rebirth.

Our Advisory Board

 

Please donate any amount to help keep our 100% publicly funded nonprofit think tank free for everyone! Help us to keep providing uncensored climate change forecasts, facts, and solutions to the public.

With every donation of any amount, you will get amazing gifts! Click the donate image below and also see what these gifts are.

 

 

 

Our Previous pre-2023 Goals and Mission (for Historical Purposes)

(The sections below will help you to see how our goals and mission have evolved since 2009 up until 2023. They will help you see back into our evolution and gain a deeper understanding of our history. They will also give you a good overview of the policies we have set for ourselves for how we will achieve our goals and mission.)

Due to the rapid worsening of the world's major global crises, our deteriorating environment, and the further acceleration of the climate change emergency, our organization was compelled to update its mission once again on March 15, 2022. We have refocused our mission to serve individuals, businesses, and groups who want to survive the impending Great Global Collapse and the potential extinction of much of humanity. The higher purpose of trying to survive what is coming (beyond mere survival itself) is to learn the painful lessons from the many intertwined causes of the Great Global Collapse and use that wisdom to create a Great Global Rebirth for humanity's survivors.

The prioritized educational goals of the Job One for Humanity non-profit organization are:

One: To help individuals and businesses decide on one of the four critical climate change choices and personal action or inaction options found on this page.

Until there is a clear decision about how to address climate change, there is inaction or confusion for both individuals and businesses. This brief page is essential for helping individuals and businesses make informed decisions about climate change, tailored to their specific circumstances and available resources. This page is the must-do starting point to help all individuals and businesses successfully support those who come to us for information and assistance related to the climate change emergency. 

Two: Get far more individuals and businesses prepared for and adapting to climate change's escalating primary and secondary economic, ecological, social, and political consequences. (How to prepare for them is found in Part One, and how to adapt to them is found in Part Two of the Job One for Humanity Climate and Global Crisis Resilience Plan.)  

Three: Work to Prevent a climate change-triggered near-total human extinction event from occurring. The climate change-triggered extinction process is, unfortunately, well underway. Moreover, near-total extinction is now a growing probability because of a series of current and coming climate change consequences worsening most of the world's 11 other major global crises. 

Near-total extinction is also accurate because we have waited far too long to reduce our global fossil fuel use to safe levels. Because of our 60-year global fossil fuel reduction failure, we now face an unavoidable mass die-off of about half or more of humanity by mid-century! (If such a mass die-off is not possible or pausable to you, please read this page now, which takes you through the detailed steps of the climate-triggered mass extinction process.)

At this point, we must get our governments working together to avoid near-total human extinction, which could begin as soon as 2070 or sooner. 

We only prevent near-total extinction from occurring by successfully compelling our politicians and world governments to slow down the accelerating climate change and global warming nightmare before it is too late! Because of climate consequences time lags, our governments must mass-mobilize NOW. They must immediately enforce the correct extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (The precise steps of what our governments must do are found in Part Three of the Job One Plan.)

We are running out of time! In 2022, we must compel the world's governments to begin enforcing the needed 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. How to get those who do have the required real, immediate, and direct influence over the world's politicians (the 1% wealthiest individuals, corporations, and celebrities) is found in Part 4 of the Job One Plan. (With so little time left until 2025, only the 1% of wealthiest individuals, corporations, and celebrities can get the politicians to act before it is too late!

Four: Support the creation of new eco-communities of Evolutioneers in climate change safer locations. We will provide critical information needed to prepare for, adapt to, and survive the rapidly accelerating climate change emergency and the steady worsening of our 11 other major global crises.

Building sustainable new eco-communities is so essential because our governments are still failing to come even close to the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Building many new eco-communities worldwide is so essential because individuals, small family groups, or clans will not be large enough or able to provide or make enough critical resources or defense necessary to make it through the later dark age-like stages of the Great Global Collapse.

These sustainable new eco-communities are essential if we are ever to experience a Great Global Rebirth!

Only those sustainable eco-communities that are well-prepared, well-defended, and have the deepest emotional, philosophical, and shared spiritual ties will possess the physical, psychological, and spiritual resilience necessary to survive the horrors and difficult daily survival decisions they will face.

Both Job One for Humanity and its sister website Universe Spirit will help to provide critical physical, psychological, and universalized spiritual information these new eco-communities need. This information will help give these new Great Global Rebirth communities the best chance to survive the Great Global Collapse and build a better world from the painful lessons learned. (Job One will focus on the physical and emotional aspects of being well prepared and adapting to what is coming, and Universe Spirit will focus on the possible philosophical and universal spiritual common ties and vision needed in these new communities. 

Job One for Humanity will provide critical information to help you understand the multi-threat global emergency we all now face due to global warming worsening with the world's other 11 major global crises. Hopefully, many individuals and businesses will use our warnings and information to help slow global warming and prepare for and adapt to it so they can survive and learn from the coming harsh lessons.

If the hard and painful evolutionary lessons of the Great Global Collapse are learned, those lessons can become the new foundation of a new and Great Global Rebirth. (Job One and Universe Spirit are both also focused on forwarding the possibilities of the Great Global Rebirth.

(See this link for more about our eco-community vision.) 

Five: Collect, envision, and promote the structures, processes, and policies needed to support and maintain the post-collapse Great Global Rebirth. These will be the structures, processes, and policies required for the new surviving population level to be sustainable and always limited by and to the Earth's carrying capacity. Click here to start discovering some of those structures, processes, and policies of the new sustainable prosperity the survivors will create from the painful lessons learned from the Great Global Collapse.

The Great Global Rebirth would eventually include evolving a new form of a global country for ALL of humanity or an empowered global or world federalist-style government that would always first work for the collective wellbeing of ALL world citizens. If we already had a valid, empowered, and working global government, the global warming emergency and the other 11 global crises causing the Great coming Global Collapse would be far easier and more likely to be resolved. 

The Great Global Rebirth would also include evolving new forms of economics. This new form of economics would allow all working citizens to have a living wage and not concentrate dangerous, excessive, or extreme levels of power or wealth in the hands of any individual or company. 

Six: As a last resort, educate more governments worldwide to begin the steps and parts of the Job One Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan B options.

We must also have a Plan B backup plan in motion because our governments might fail to meet the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. In that case, we must have a national Plan B in process with the needed nationwide emergency preparation, adaptation, and migration actions. Governmental level Plan B actions will be required to save and salvage whatever we can of humanity and civilization before it is too late. 

If we successfully execute the Job One Climate and Global Crisis Resilience Plan B, there is a chance that some of humanity will survive. If some of humanity survives the Great Global Collapse and learns from its mistakes, humanity will have a new opportunity to usher in a Great Global Rebirth. 

Having a Plan B in place directly deals with the harsh reality that humanity faces a highly probable near-total extinction, and there are no guarantees our governments act in time! 

In summary of these short term goals, our initial and primary focus is to support the preparation and adaptation work of those individuals and groups that are bravely facing our many unavoidable and severe global warming and our 11 other environmental and social global crises, while at the same time, they are working to slow and lessen those consequences so we still have time to save and salvage as much of humanity and our civilization as we can. We will do everything we can to help individuals, groups, and their children survive this long-term nightmare so they may eventually birth a sustainable, just, and equitable global society. 

To achieve the above goals our mission must inform and inspire individuals and businesses to:

1. make their decision on one of the four critical climate change choice options found on this page.

2. work to prevent a global warming-caused near-total extinction event. This means getting the world's governments to mass mobilize and radically slow down global fossil fuel use and get close to the real and honest 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets so that, even though we currently can't avoid a mass extinction event by mid-century, at least, we can avoid near-total extinction." (Click here to see how we must and can slow down the global use of fossil fuels to prevent the complete extinction of humanity.)

In 2022. the key way we will try to get the governments of the world to enforce the needed 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets is described in Part 4 of the Job One Plan.

And while you also do your best to,

3. prepare for and adapt to the now unavoidable global warming-related consequences and a global warming-triggered mass extinction of much of humanity by mid-century.

(Because global warming consequences are getting worse so fast we have shifted much of our focus to this step. The prepare and adapt actions found within the Job One for Humanity Climate and Global Crisis Resilience Plan also will help you prepare for and adapt to the growing consequences from the world's other 11 most critical challenges.) 

The above needs to be done while you simultaneously 

4. work to save and salvage as much of humanity and our civilization as you can for as long as you can. (This "save and salvage" survival action is necessary as a backup plan because as it looks now, our odds are all but impossible for successfully managing the accelerating global warming challenge to avoid the mass die-off of much of humanity by mid-century.

Even though much of humanity will be lost and the road ahead will be painful beyond anything humanity has ever endured, avoiding near-total extinction and saving and salvaging some of humanity and our civilization is far better than saving and salvaging none of humanity and our civilization! To meet this avoid near-total extinction and save and salvage something for the future goal, we must at least come close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.) 

5. learn and enact the principles of Sustainable Prosperity in your lifestyle and livelihood. While we work collectively using the Job One Plan to slow down accelerating global warming and the worsening of the other 11 global crises as much as possible, we also need to build a thriving and sustainable future for those who do survive. (Click here to see what you can do to live more sustainably. This also includes creating new eco-communities where you live now or in new safer locations.)

And finally, if we survive the mess we have created for ourselves,

6. evolve effective global governance with the needed legislative, judicial, and enforceable executive powers to solve all of the global challenges that cross national borders. If you think about it deeply, you will discover that this critical evolutionary failure of not having yet developed effective global governance is a core structural cause of why most of our current 12 biggest global crises have not been resolved, and they continue to worsen. 

Even though it looks like someone is managing the well-being of the planet as a whole from the United Nations or our international treaties, this is an illusion! No one governing body is effectively or responsibly driving our global "car," and this collective "car is speeding toward a cliff without any single and empowered organization in the driver's seat. 

Our organization will provide knowledge and as much support as possible, but it is you who will need to put in the hard work to turn your part of this mess around! 

And finally, all is not bleak, bad, and lost, just starting the process of working on fixing our mess we will also receive many surprise benefits as we work toward success and creating a Great Global Rebirth. (Please click here at some point to read The Surprise Benefits of Global Warming, the most-read page on our website.) 

"We can no longer avoid many of the worse consequences of global warming interacting with the 11 other major global crises. Therefore, our goal for dealing with the accelerating near-total extinction threat must be to save as many people and as much of our civilization as we possibly can---while we still can!" Lawrence Wollersheim 

More About the Global Warming Extinction Emergency

The global warming emergency is taking place within a larger context of 11 other serious global crises. We focus on the global warming because accelerating global warming represents the greatest imminent extinction threat other than a nuclear war.

Global warming IS also the greatest multiplier, disrupter, and threat amplifyer for most of our 11 other global crises. 

We also focus on global warming because of the principle of "first things first." 

If the statement that we are already in a process of a global collapse fueled by accelerating global warming converging with and amplyfing our other 11 other serious global crises seems untrue to you, please click here. This page will discuss the most dangerous global crises we currently face and how they are worsening. 

The great news is that the steps of the Job One Plan for resolving the global warming emergency will also help slow down or mitigate many of the world's 11 other growing global challenges. 

The harsh reality is --- if we do not resolve the global warming extinction threat on a "highest-priority first" basis, we will not be able to fix it later, much less resolve the world's other 11 worsening global crises which also are fueling the global collapse process.

At Job One for Humanity, we will show you how to survive and thrive through the global warming extinction emergency and many of the other 11 global crises.

 

 

Welcome to the greatest evolutionary challenge and opportunity in human history; how to prevent or survive the Great Global Collapse!

Simply stated, our collective challenge is:

1. how well can humanity manage the accelerating global warming extinction emergency and our other 11 major global challenges at the same time, and,

2. how can we save and salvage as much of humanity and the best of our civilization before it is too late. This is the bitter reality because we have waited too long to reduce global fossil fuel use. (A die-off of much of humanity by mid-century is now all but unavoidable.) 

The good news here is that if we are successful with our survival-critical global warming reduction tasks and we act as one human family, we also will be able to eventually create a thriving, sustainable, and equitable future for all."

Resolving the global warming emergency while the world's other 11 critical crises are also getting worse will be difficult and painful to the extreme, but in doing so, it also will be tremendously rewarding. This is because engaging in this great challenge will also increase the meaning, purpose, and joy of our lives. Also by getting accelerating global warming under control, we also will significantly improve many of our other 11 other global crises.

More About How we will achieve our mission, (Part 1)

Within another 3-6 years of 2019, we will, unfortunately, cross the carbon 425-450 parts per million (ppm) climate cliff. This is the first critical extinction-evoking global warming tipping point. This climate cliff will occur without fail when we miss or do not come very close to reaching the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

It is a matter of simple math and physics. The cycle of more fossil fuel carbon going into the atmosphere equals more heat, which equals continually escalating global warming consequences. (Click here to learn about those escalating consequences.) 

When that happens, we will rapidly pass the next two extinction-evoking carbon 500 and 600 ppm tipping points with all of their additional unthinkable and unavoidable consequences.

Logically, what our organization must now do is to promote actions that will help us survive the consequences of crossing those three extinction-evoking tipping points and the coming mass human, animal, and biological extinction event for as long as is possible. The way some of us will survive this traumatic outcome is for Job One for Humanity to successfully achieve the following additional objectives:

a. promote the highest level of national and international cooperation and mass mobilization in human history to combat global warming. We either cooperate at the highest levels and scale, or most of us will eventually die together. If we die together, it will be in an ever-worsening meltdown of global warming consequences and crossed tipping points. (As volunteers and resources allow.)

b. shock politicians awake to the global warming extinction emergency and the new threat of near-total extinction with the scientific evidence that global warming is far, far worse than they have been told. (As volunteers and resources allow.)

c. warn society they must start preparing and adapting to survive the current out-of-control state of global warming (for as long as the next 30-50 years.) Our governments must start adapting to and preparing for what is coming and immediately reduce fossil fuel use to achieve or come very close to the 2025 targets. 

 

 

d. respectfully disrupt any politicians, individuals, or organizations that do not educate or create effective policies and programs about the real global warming extinction emergency. This policy of disruption is especially valid for those individuals or organizations that present false or misleading information as to the accurate targets and deadlines needed for global fossil fuel reduction. (After focusing on politicians, this disruption would also include disrupting some of the world's most prestigious environmental organizations. If we can't get the world's leading environmental organizations working as one focusing on the correct fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines, there is scant hope that humanity will make the correct fossil fuel reduction targets and survive. (Click here to see our respectful disruption policy.) (As volunteers and resources allow.)

e. Utilize this crisis and emergency as a great opportunity to build a smarter, better world, however, and whenever we get through this mass extinction emergency. (See this link for all the good that can still come out of our current horrible global warming situation.)

f. work to restore the carbon ppm level in the atmosphere (now at about carbon 414 ppm,) back to its original preindustrial human-safe level of about carbon 250 to 270 parts per million. This return to carbon 250-270 ppm is only possible if we can meet or get very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. and then begin a secondary program to make the additional global fossil fuel reductions to bring atmospheric carbon levels all the way back down to carbon 250-270. (As volunteers and resources allow.)

 

 

How we will achieve our mission (Part 2)

We utilize the most current and advanced climate science available.

We strive to achieve our mission in a manner that embodies cooperation, empathy, and justice. 

We promote honesty and realistic expectations regarding global warming. That hope is that there is a real opportunity for a part of humanity and civilization to survive, learn from our mistakes, and build a much better and more equitable world. However, this new world is only possible if we cooperate and prevent a long delay in crossing the carbon 600 ppm extinction-level tipping point. 

We strongly advocate that there is no alternative to survival in the near-total extinction emergency unless we come together immediately and work together. (As one human family, we must reach or come very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction goals.) 

We promote a global mass mobilization and governmental actions for radically increasing green energy generation. This mass mobilization will not solve the fossil fuel problem, but it will help mitigate the coming consequences a bit more, saving more individuals.

We promote prioritizing deadlines and effectiveness, and only in the proper sequence, to save as much of humanity and civilization as possible. (See the Job One Plan here.)

We provide honest global warming consequence prediction timetables and a new model called the Climageddon Scenario. (This is critical and continually updated prediction information will keep you from being surprised so that you have adequate time to prepare for and better adapt to the unavoidable coming consequences.

We utilize the new Job One Plan to help individuals mitigate and cope with the unavoidable consequences of climate change, create emergency preparedness, and adapt effectively to a highly uncertain future. 

We will do everything we can to get every organization, business, or nation to promote reaching the 2025 targets and the sacrifices we must now make.

We foster tapping into your deepest philosophical and spiritual reserves. These foundations will help you endure, make sense of and transform the tremendous suffering and sacrifice ahead of us to the betterment of humanity and future generations.

We promote utilizing this unprecedented, urgent, and challenging situation to enhance and expand the meaning and purpose of our lives, and to help us develop and broaden our character.

We promote maintaining a positive perspective throughout all of the coming hardships. Click here to see a summary of the 16 surprise positive perspectives on things that can happen in this emergency that might help you sustain a positive outlook.

We actively promote enjoying your life to the fullest today. This policy is in place because there are no guarantees, and we cannot guarantee success. Today may be the best it will ever be for a long time.

We practice that there is no one to blame for this out-of-control global warming extinction emergency. For the last three decades, our current government systems have either protected or incentivized fossil fuel use, as well as ever-increasing commercialism and waste, making it all but impossible to curb. Additionally, the climate is so complex that only a handful of individuals had the intellectual bandwidth and the climate expertise to fully grasp how global warming could become out of control so fast. Those few individuals who knew did not have sufficient governmental influence to prevent global warming from going out of control. The last thing we need to do in this extinction emergency is to polarize and waste resources in energy-depleting blame.

Our organization, which normally focuses solely on climate change and global warming, has recently expanded its educational blog posts to cover other critical challenges and crises facing the world today. Recently, we have covered the pandemics of COVID-19 and racial injustice. When covering the wisdom or inappropriateness of the actions and policies of any politician or political party mentioned in a post on our website, we neither endorse that politician or political party nor make a statement about what a voter should do in relation to that politician or political party.

The substeps to achieving our full mission for individuals

1. to help individuals understand and then predict and adapt to the next wave of global warming-aggravated disasters that almost all of us will inevitably experience. We will provide updated warning signs. Click here for that information.
2. to educate individuals and groups on how to create lifestyles and livelihoods of real Sustainable Prosperity.  This sustainability, along with crucial primary collective actions by our governments will, in turn, also help slow and lessen the speed of this rapidly unfolding catastrophe. 

More About Why We Upgraded Our Mission in 2021

"You cannot be called an alarmist if there really is something to be alarmed about." Unknown

Job One for Humanity is primarily a nonprofit organization focused on research and analysis of global warming. It utilizes well-researched materials and analysis from this website and other reliable climate sources.

Because of these years of research, many of our staff, members, and visitors have already come to the conclusion that unless we make the required massive and extremely difficult 2025 global fossil fuel use reduction targets, a major portion of humanity is on its way to immense suffering and a mass extinction event unfolding by mid-century. Many are also aware that this imminent die-off threat arises from the accelerating global warming emergency, which is crashing directly into and further exacerbating most of the other major global crises currently facing humanity.

Many (if not most) of our staff, members, and visitors have also realized that the battle to prevent a global warming-caused mass extinction event from unfolding within our lifetimes has most likely already been lost. This is due to our wasting the last 35 years of valid warnings, crossing more and more critical global warming tipping points, and the extremely high probability that we will be unable to meet the required 2025 global fossil fuel use reduction targets for these many disturbing reasons.

Worse yet, if we do not come at least very close to reaching the 2025 global fossil fuel use reduction targets, near-total extinction and the end of civilization are also on the table for our long-term future. Yes, we do mean that global warming-induced mass extinction is now virtually unavoidable; however, we still have some time left to act and avoid near-total extinction.

When you read our website and the often shocking facts we present, please keep in mind that our government leaders have utterly failed to see the coming pain and suffering of the COVID-19 pandemic, nor did they adequately prepare for it! Our government leaders are also not adequately addressing or preparing for the global warming extinction emergency, which is already underway and will be far worse than COVID-19.

Because of this life-critical inaction by our governments, we must find a way to compensate for that failure. Our new mission focus is our way of compensating. 

(If you still believe the battle to prevent a global warming-caused mass extinction event within our lifetimes is realistically probable, please read the following two links in the order given. You will discover why the Job One organization, as well as most of our staff, many members, and visitors, have now been forced to deal with the bitter new reality of a global warming-caused mass extinction event occurring within the next 30-50 years.

1. https://www.joboneforhumanity.org/today_s_real_annual_fossil_fuel_reduction_targets and,

2. https://www.joboneforhumanity.org/irreversible_global_warming_is_here_now )

But, far more importantly, because of the above new 1ireversible global warming mass extinction reality, there is a critical new battle we must fight:

1. This battle is to prepare, adapt, migrate (where necessary,) and become far more sustainable while we still have time. And,

2. While we are doing this, we also do whatever we can "to help slow down global warming enough so we can save and salvage what we can, while we still have time to prevent a near-total extinction event."

This is the current state of the global warming debate as we see it now. Success in this new battle is still potentially achievable, but only if the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets are fully embraced and acted upon immediately! 

When you are ready to begin it, here is a quick overview of our detailed four-part Job One for Humanity Plan to achieve the updated mission below. Click the image below after reading the rest of this page.

 

 

Additional Mission-Related Reading:

Our new mission statement upgrade above requires that we update our current Job One for Humanity global warming plan in a priority, as shown below: 

a. help individuals understand we are already facing an unavoidable global warming-caused human, animal, and biological species mass extinction event already unfolding and reaching its peak over the next 30-50 years. Our governments have once again failed us in preparing for and managing the global warming extinction emergency, just like they failed us in preparing for and managing the COVID-19 pandemic before it became a worldwide catastrophe!

We can no longer avoid the consequences of mass extinctions, but at least we can prepare for them, adapt to them, become more individually sustainable, and, where necessary, migrate away from them, potentially slowing the global warming emergency if we act quickly and wisely. It is also time for us to get our Plan B emergency survival preparations in place. And lastly,

b. however, and whenever we get through this extinction emergency, if we get through it, help build a more sustainable, smarter, and more equitable world. We will also help people see that this greatest of all emergencies in human history is also the greatest of all opportunities for whoever can and will survive it. (See this link for all of the good that can still come out of this catastrophic situation.)

If we have the staff and resources at a later date, we may also: 

c. offer tools and information to help individuals deal with and process the tremendous emotions of anger, anxiety, and depression once they fully realize the already unfolding extinction emergency and dilemma that we have created for ourselves. (See this link for more on this.) Also, see our UniverseSpirit.org website, and

d. help to educate other environmental groups on what they can do to slow down and ultimately prevent the unfolding of a near-total extinction event (see Job One Plan Part 3 and Part 4). (Preventing near-total extinction can only be achieved by coming very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel use reduction targets!) 

The above mission primarily means that today is also the day to begin your Plan B for addressing the global warming extinction emergency, preparing, adapting, or migrating to save and salvage whatever you can while you still have the time to do so.

It also means that the combined efforts of the world's environmental groups must slow down global warming enough (by getting sufficiently close to the 2025 global fossil fuel use reduction targets,) fast enough to have enough time for humanity to prepare for, adapt to, or migrate to survive what is coming and to avoid near-total extinction.

Never lose sight of the fact that if we get very close to reaching the 2025 targets, more of humanity will survive longer and more comfortably, and that we can still prevent a near-total extinction event so that some of humanity and civilization might survive.

Please see the Job One for Humanity Global Warming Extinction Adaptation Plan here for the specifics on how we will achieve our mission.

(Please note: In its most abbreviated form on our website, we shorten our new mission statement to the slogan; To Prevent Global Warming Extinction. 

A mini-summary of good news!

If we can slow global warming down to at least come close to the 2025 global fossil fuel use reduction targets and we get prepared and adapt:

a. more individuals will survive longer and more comfortably and, 

b. some part of humanity and our civilization may continue to exist.

Here is our Most Detailed Version of Our Mission Statement (Part 2)

The following full and expanded mission action steps are done in the given priority order (or simultaneously if enough staffing and financial resources allow.)

Our primary mission actions:

A. Help individuals prepare for and adapt to surviving in a world where most of humanity will suffer and die by mid-century from crop failures, starvation, resource shortage wars, and the many other horrible global warming consequences within our lifetimes, while simultaneously working to prevent near-total extinction and runaway global warming.

At this point, we have to face the fact that all we may be able to do in response to our accelerating global warming is to save and salvage whatever we can to prevent the complete extinction of humanity and the end of civilization. (Information on how to prepare and adapt so more of us live longer and suffer less is contained in Part 1 of the Job One Plan and Part 2 of the Job One Plan.) 

 

 

B. Motivate our politicians (and their governments) to slow down global warming enough to come as close as possible to the 2025 targets to allow us more time to prepare and adapt so we can save and salvage more of humanity and civilization for a bit longer. These actions could also help prevent near-total extinction from runaway global warming. (Job One is primarily a global warming research analysis and global warming solutions-engineering organization.)

This is achieved by getting very close to the 2025 targets. To achieve the 2025 targets, our politicians must create and enforce new global fossil fuel reduction laws promptly. (See Parts three and four of the Job One plan for the government-driven actions needed to do this. This action is a secondary action because Job One's few resources do not give us much political influence.)

 

 

C. Help individuals or groups create sustainable lifestyles and new eco-communities in global warming-safe locations so some of humanity and civilization survive. 

This would help ensure that enough of these new eco-communities are established and prepared to survive the escalating onslaught of unavoidable global warming catastrophes.

These experimental eco-communities will also be essential in helping to carry forward the survival of humanity, human culture, and civilization. Please see the Universe Community sections of our sister website for the information on why these new eco-communities are essential to our future. You will also find the information you will need to create a sustainable eco-community in a global warming-safe zone.

 

 

D. Do what we can to support a government-driven migration, infrastructure transfer, and emergency backup a "Plan B" for the world.

We need to begin saving, salvaging, and protecting whatever we can of humanity, civilization, and animal and biological diversity by transferring as much of it as possible to safer zones from global warming. We need to put a "Plan BP into place immediately. Click here to see our current Plan B. (Also see Part 3 of the Job One Plan in Section 2 for details on these government-driven actions. See the heading called, "How to Prevent Mass Human Extinction: The World's Emergency Backup Plan." This action is a secondary action because Job One's few resources do not give us much influence in this area.)

 

 

E. Once (or if) we have survived this extinction emergency and we have learned the painful lessons it will teach us, Job One and the new eco-communities mentioned above will promote a new survival-proven understanding of equitable and sustainable living to all the mass extinction event remaining survivors.

These new eco-communities will also help transform the trauma and unthinkable losses of the coming Great Collapse and Great Die-off into a springboard for the Great Rebuilding and for a better-informed, more sustainable, and equitable world. 

This temporary evolutionary regression and later Great Rebuilding experience, as described above, will also create a better and more equitable world for all, one that could thrive for hundreds of more generations. If the Great Collapse and Great Die-off are inevitable because we continue to refuse to alter our unsustainable fossil fuel and other behaviors, then at least, the Great Collapse and Great Die-Off can be used as a launching pad for a new, better beginning for those parts of humanity that survive. (Click here to learn about the new ideas of a Sustainable Prosperity for all.) 

F. To help slow down the global warming extinction emergency, get governments, NGOs, and other environmental groups educated that they need to stop using the United Nations' incorrect global fossil fuel targets and deadlines, and get them to start using the correct 2025 targets to help prevent near-total extinction.

The UN is still using the incorrect global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines established by its own Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (The IPCC is considered the world's leading authority on global warming and what should be done about climate change.) 

IPCC's current incorrect target and deadlines for global fossil fuel reduction are as follows: we need to make a 40% reduction in total global fossil fuel use by 2030 and then reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. The colossal danger with the IPCC's incorrect targets is that these flawed deadlines and targets are now being used to establish the corrective global warming strategies for the world's governments, NGOs, and the largest non-profit environmental groups.

These wrong targets make it impossible to come close to reaching the 2025 legitimate targets because our governments, NGOs, and environmental groups are aiming at the wrong target destinations and deadlines. Click here to read the simple science for what makes the IPCC's current global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines so dangerously wrong!

The IPPC's current targets and deadlines, as mentioned above, are entirely inadequate and will not save us from a global warming-caused mass extinction event in time. Worse yet, when incorrect global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines are forwarded by recognized authorities, it hinders and delays humanity's ability to understand or execute the correct fossil fuel reduction targets. 

Ironically, if we cannot get the world's governments, NGO's and environmental groups to promote the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines, realistically, how likely is it that we will ever achieve the life-critical 2025 reductions? If we can slow down the occurrence of the predicted mass extinction event by somehow getting close to meeting the 2025 targets, we will, at least, have more time to prepare for, adapt to or migrate as needed. (For the specific government-driven actions that need to be done to at least come close to reaching the 2025 targets, see Part 3 of the Job One Plan.

G. Help people move through anger, anxiety, and depression once they realize that the extinction emergency we have created for ourselves is real and that it is our current global warming reality. 

We provide healing and encouraging information for processing the difficult emotions associated with global warming, as found on this page. Where staffing and resources permit, we also organize group discussion sessions in various locations for the same purpose.

Most importantly, we have learned that the fastest healing occurs after one accepts the correct facts as they are and then begins the process of adapting to those facts as best as possible. Adapting to our current emergency can occur quickly once one becomes active on the proven Job One For Humanity Plan for managing, slowing, and surviving the consequences of global warming.

Our Best Hope to prevent near-total extinction

The best news of the Job One for Humanity mission is that our crossing of the carbon 600 parts per million (ppm) extinction-level tipping point can still be slowed down just enough so that some smaller portion of humanity can still survive. This life-critical slowing can only be achieved by immediately enacting the greatest government-driven mass mobilization of our civilization's resources toward the singular goal of radically cutting global fossil fuel use to at least, get very close to the 2025 targets. (See Job One Plan, Part 3.) 

If we fail to prevent crossing the 600 ppm carbon level, we will enter the later phases of runaway global warming.

Unfortunately, most of our world is presently locked into some form of global warming denial, global warming ignorance, or intentional deception. Most of the world isn't even close to realizing how bad global warming already is nor, how bad it's going to get.

Most of the world still believes the distorted and incorrect IPCC global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines, which will fast-track us to global catastrophe and Climageddon! Most of the world also has no idea things are going to get very rough far sooner than anyone's telling us (except for this organization.)

Because of the rapidly unfolding global warming mass extinction scenario, our collective Job One is to prepare ourselves, our families, and our businesses for what is coming. Our second job is to do our best to slow down global warming enough so that a least a few of us survive. Our third job is to enlighten those few brave and bright individuals who also will soon see, feel, or understand what is coming.

The future will not be easy.

Our world will undergo dramatic changes in the coming decades.

We at Job One for Humanity will do our best to help inform and support those who are ready to adapt to and navigate this uncertain and dangerous future, which has now become a banquet of unavoidable and unthinkable consequences. 

A helpful and healing perspective on the global warming extinction emergency

Many individuals who use this website have also come to realize that humanity has entered a temporary evolutionary regression period, as it has done many times in the past. During this temporary regression, life as we usually know it will deteriorate for a while before it improves. 

In this period of temporary regression, humanity will learn the necessary hard new lessons about the real price of fossil fuel pollution, poor international cooperation, and the importance of maintaining healthy ecological systems. The great news here during this temporary regression is that, if we are smart and work together, we can still lead full, meaningful, and enjoyable lives while we work to restore the critical climate balance to our life-supporting Earth systems and build a better world for when we emerge from this challenge. 

We can maintain the perseverance needed to succeed in this monumental task by regularly reviewing the numerous benefits that will result from working successfully on this project together. Although we are now in what could be called a Great Global Collapse process triggered by accelerating global warming, this collapse process will eventually offer equal to (or even greater than) long-term benefits in the form of a potential Great Rebirth beyond the coming suffering and loss.

First on this page (that has been read almost 2 million times) and then on this other critical global warming benefit page, you will find the many often hidden surprise benefits of the global warming challenge. You also will find a framework and the possibilities for what could be called a post-collapse Great Rebirth, no matter how bad the collapse process gets.

Now that you know more about our mission, become a Job One member and supporter. Our information will be critical to protecting yourself, your family, and future generations.

Please click the secure tax-deductible donation link below or the transparency logo. Your tax-deductible donations are easy to make by clicking here.

(Job One for Humanity is part of the 25-year-old 501 (c) (3), IRS-recognized, and Guidestar Bronze Star-recognized tax-deductible nonprofit organization called Factnet.)

Additional Mission-Related Reading

Our members and web visitors appreciate Job One because we tell the hard truths and we treat them with respect as adults. Those harsh new facts and additional whys behind our mission are:

a. Global warming extinction is no longer a remote possibility coming sometime after 2100, as we have been lulled into believing by our government's inaction and the false and incomplete climate analysis by the IPCC. A massive human, animal, and biological extinction event will be arriving in many areas of the world as soon as the next 30 to 50 years. Again, this is because it is highly improbable that we will make or even come close to the required 2025 radical global fossil fuel cuts. 

b. We are already in an undeclared global warming extinction emergency. (Click here to see why.)

c. Global warming will be out of our meaningful control as long as another 30-50 years or longer (when we miss or do not get very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.) 

 

 

d. Many of global warming's very worst consequences are already unavoidable, no matter what we do right now!

e. A global warming-caused mass extinction event and die-off will be unfolding and worsening over the next 30-50 years if we miss coming very close to the 2025 targets, as it now appears we will do.

f. If we do not come very close to the 2025 targets, we will also be facing a near-total extinction event.

The ultimate question for every person, business, religion, and government on Earth to answer regarding global warming is...

We were grossly unprepared for the COVID-19 pandemic despite repeated warnings by our scientists. We are woefully unprepared for the coming global warming extinction emergency, and we have once again ignored the warnings of our scientists.

If we continue to fail to act effectively, we face unavoidable mass human extinction for most of humanity by mid-century and near-total extinction within as little as 50-70 years.

We have already lost the battle to avoid global warming and mass extinction, as we are far from meeting the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

The ultimate remaining global warming question for every person, business, religion, and the government should be most concerned about at this time is:

"Will we, at least, come close enough to the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets so that humanity can avoid near-total extinction?"

How to keep the problematic and disruptive facts on this page in a balanced and optimistic perspective

Some consequences of global warming can be avoided or delayed, while others are unavoidable due to factors such as ignorance, incompetence, inaction, or selfishness. We can learn from their feedback and make adjustments accordingly. Regardless of what we face, we can continue working toward achieving the best possible outcomes. 

Executing the comprehensive Job One for Humanity global warming action plan can significantly stabilize the situation and save the future. By regularly reviewing the many benefits that will unfold as we work together successfully, we can maintain the perseverance needed to succeed.

While we persevere, we must never forget that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our most significant opportunities. We must continually realize that we are engaged in human history's most critical and meaningful evolutionary adventure! This adventure involves nothing less than mitigating the global warming extinction threat and, in the process, indirectly addressing most of the world's other major challenges.

In Summary of our Mission

 

If you feel our mission is vital to your future and you want to support it and see it succeed:

Click here to make a fast, easy, tax-deductible online donation.

Our think tank's leaning, position, or "bias"

All think tanks have open or hidden leanings, positions, or biases. These biases or leanings are almost always based on who funds them with the biggest donations or subsidies.

There are conservative-leaning think tanks, progressive-leaning think tanks, evangelical-leaning think tanks, Jewish-leaning think tanks, and industry-specific think tanks. No matter what they publicly profess, think tanks always openly or secretly represent the interests of those funding them.

Because of this easily avoidable funding conflict of interest, all think tanks should be treated as highly biased toward their funder's needs and interests. Unethical think tanks have even been known to regularly alter or misrepresent facts to further their funders' financial, political, or religious interests.

100% public funding makes the Job One for Humanity think tank different from almost all other think tanks. Because we are 100% publicly funded, our bias or position is always that of protecting the universal best interests of the common well-being and common good of all humanity. This means you will find our uncensored climate change analysis, forecasts, and facts to be considerably different (and usually far worse) than those of other climate change, environmental, political, or industrial think tanks with transparent or hidden special interest funding from big donors. (The average donation to Job One is about $15 US.)

As Job One, we protect only one special interest: humanity's well-being, good, and survival from and through the climate change emergency.

 

Please donate any amount to help keep our 100% publicly funded nonprofit think tank accessible to everyone. Please help us continue to provide the public with uncensored climate change forecasts, facts, and solutions.

With every donation of any amount, you will receive amazing gifts! Click the "Donate" image below to view the details of these gifts.

 

Please consider becoming an annual member by clicking here and exploring the valuable information and benefits you will receive. We guarantee that you will receive more than you give when you become a proud funder of our 100% publicly funded, not-for-profit climate change think tank.

Last updated 7.13..25. (G)

Prologue

Although our website features a lot of difficult news about our current climate change condition, please don't think we've given up hope on this challenging task or that we won't reap many amazing benefits from fixing climate change. When you're done reading this page, be sure to read the following link first, then read this link, which will help you maintain the realistic hope and balance we will all need to get through the climate challenge together. (The second article has been read by several million people.)

Overview

This page contains everything you need to know about climate change and global warming tipping points.

It contains the following information and sections:

1. Why climate change and global warming tipping points are important to your future.

2. What is a climate change or global warming tipping point?

3. Tipping Points Also Have Points of No Return.

4. The 11 major climate change and global warming tipping points within the climate, human, and biological systems.

5. Why is understanding climate change and global warming tipping points critical to your future survival?

6. What is a keystone climate change and global warming tipping point?

7. Warning signs that a climate change or global warming tipping point may soon be crossed.

8. Which climate change and global warming tipping points are most likely to be crossed soon?

9. What is the most likely major climate change and global warming tipping point to be crossed?

10. What are the atmospheric carbon levels that we should be most concerned about that will most affect crossing more climate change tipping points?

11. Which additional global warming tipping points are most likely to be crossed in the near future?

12, The sequence of how climate change and global warming tipping points are unfolding.

13. The special atmospheric carbon ppm zone that acts as a tipping point.

14. Our exponential risk and threat exposure and vulnerability as we cross more climate change and global warming tipping points.

15. Our estimated total risk and threat level for going over more climate change and global warming tipping points.

16. Why and how we could go extinct. The four most critical levels of climate change and global warming tipping points that we will cross in the near future. 

17. There are also "outside" non-global warming global challenges and contextual factors that directly or indirectly will interact with the climate change and global warming tipping points to significantly worsen or accelerate them.

18. An essential positive perspective on the above disruptive climate change and global warming tipping points and climate change news.

19. Summary.

 

Prologue

The not-for-profit Job One for Humanity organization provides a unique "big picture" and holistic view of the many interconnected and interdependent climate systems creating our current global warming emergency. Unlike other climate change educational organizations, we do provide prioritized, critical-path solutions to the climate change emergency built upon the most accurate global fossil fuel reduction targets and the most dangerous global warming tipping point deadlines we currently face. 

Our website focuses on educating individuals and businesses on adapting to what we can no longer avoid! It will help you and your business survive and thrive through the many soon-arriving climate change crises.

Our website illuminates the "big picture" physics and math-determined interactions of the climate's many complex systems in easy-to-understand illustrations, descriptions, and documentation. We know no other website that so candidly presents such a comprehensive window into viewing our global warming future.

If you do not understand the basics of what global warming and climate change are or how they work, we strongly advise you to click here first to view some basic illustrations that explain them. If you are not familiar with the 20 major and worst consequences of global warming we strongly recommend you review this page next, as it will deepen your understanding of how the following climate change tipping points can interact with these other climate change consequences to create a global warming-fueled mass human, animal, and biological extinction scenario [aka the climate extinction emergency, Holocene extinction, sixth mass extinction event, climate crisis, climate emergency, run-away global warming,] within our lifetimes.

This page also explains the basics of tipping point theory that can apply to almost any other complex adaptive system or area.

 

Introduction

"Crossing a negative tipping point is a mega-consequence that will usually crash an area so thoroughly that it will be nearly impossible to reestablish the pre-crash level. If you are eventually able to recover from a crossed tipping point crash, it will be so expensive, difficult, and slow --- you will curse the day you let any area go beyond its tipping point." Lawrence Wollersheim

While you are learning about key global warming tipping points, it is critically important to understand that no compensatory calculations for the effects of any global warming tipping points being crossed were ever included in the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) calculations for precisely how much we have to reduce our global fossil fuel use to save ourselves from extinction. This is important because the IPCC's global fossil fuel reduction calculations are currently being used by all of the member governments of the United Nations (about 190 countries,) for setting their own internal national fossil fuel reduction programs.

This horrific failure to include crossing any global warming tipping points in our current global and national fossil fuel reduction calculations is also true for the world's most recent 2015 Paris Climate Agreement. As you will soon discover this omission of including proper calculations for crossing global warming tipping points as the world continues to warm is the recipe for mutually assured destruction.

Yes, this failure to include allowance calculations for crossed tipping points also means that the national fossil fuel reduction programs of every member of the United Nations using the Paris Climate Agreement targets are also based on incomplete and inaccurate calculations. In other words, our current global fossil fuel reduction calculations are based on the inconceivable belief that "everything will work perfectly within our rapidly warming climate systems all of the time and we will never cross any key global warming tipping points." Unfortunately, the immutable laws of mathematics and physics also do not work that way, particularly as we simultaneously continue to add massively more carbon and methane to our atmosphere each year. 

We all know how "everything always goes perfectly as planned all of the time," so there's nothing really to worry about here or, is there? As you explore the key global warming tipping points described below, the shocking implications for your future well-being will become clear: our government's failure to account for these tipping points in their calculations for reducing global and national fossil fuel use to prevent extinction will become apparent.

Why climate change and global warming tipping points are important to your future:

• • If we can determine where the global warming tipping points are, we can better predict system collapses and future catastrophes and prepare for them, as well as locate other interconnected tipping points.
    
    
  • Tipping points can create highly dangerous positive feedback loops. Positive feedback loops—endless, self-reinforcing cycles can speed a global warming process so much that it will jump from a gradual, linear progression to a very steep, exponential progression or a falling off a cliff progression or complete system collapse, which can lead to mass human extinction within our lifetimes.
  • The global warming tipping point information disclosed below presents a grave extinction threat for humanity as well as animal and biological species.
  • To avoid triggering extinction-producing climate tipping points, we will have to reduce our global fossil fuel use to the levels described on this important page for our future!

 

 

Receive Free Climate Change & Global Warming Info!

 

 

What is a climate change and global warming tipping point?

Tipping points do not occur only within the climate. They can and will occur in almost any area of life, causing large and unexpected changes. Knowing when they're coming is essential if you do not want to be blindsided by catastrophic global warming consequences.

This document contains everything you need to know about global warming-related tipping points. Because of the complexity of tipping points and their initiating processes, this document may be more challenging, but you do not have to understand everything about tipping points perfectly!

By the time you finish this, you will have gleaned enough about the critical and dangerous role of global warming tipping points to understand their high potential impacts both on your present-day life and your future. To make this document a bit more manageable, the most complex science has been placed just before the end, along with a humorous 11-minute animation link to help you visualize important tipping points and principles.

Although this page is science-filled, it is essential reading to understand the depth of our current climate change emergency and the Climageddon Extinction Scenario global warming prediction model.

 

The simple definition of a global warming tipping point is:

The point where some process or new stimulus causes a sudden and significant change in the status of the ongoing process or system, causing it to jump from one state to a new, significantly different state. This sudden change is not only significant; it is often extreme!

As an example of a sudden and significant change, imagine a wine glass tipping over and going from the state of being full to empty. After the tipping point of the wine glass has been passed, a transition to a new state quickly occurs.

Like the falling of a wine glass, tipping points can often lead to the sudden collapse of a process. If you think about a tipping point on a graph causing a steep slope change, you will understand why knowing when tipping points will occur is so important. (See the Tipping Points Have Points of No Return graph below for what a tipping point does to the slope of a graph line.)

Tipping points are often also irreversible, comparable to wine spilling from the glass. No matter how hard you try, standing up the wine glass will not put the wine back into it. Similarly, many global warming tipping points are also irreversible or almost irreversible in any time frame relative to a human lifespan!

For example, the West Antarctic ice shelf appears to have passed its tipping point and is now in an irreversible melting process. Once escalating global warming is finally ended, it may take tens of thousands of years to restore that ice shelf—if it ever could even happen.

 

Tipping Points Also Have Points of No Return

Before a tipping point is reached, there is another key milestone in the process. It is the point of irreversible process momentum toward that tipping point, or what is commonly known as the point of no return. In simple mechanical systems like in the wine glass example, the point of no return can occur very close to the actual tipping point. Even though the point of no return may be close to its tipping point, the two are separate parts of the tipping point process.

In complex climate, human, biological, or geological systems, the point of no return can occur long before the actual tipping point. This is because global warming and our climate are complex adaptive systems. The developmental processes that eventually trigger a tipping point usually involve many factors and many processes beyond a single mechanical balance point or a simple mechanical falling process, as in the wine glass spilling example. (If you're curious, at the end of this document, you will find a section that provides more information about the complex qualities and nature of complex adaptive systems.)

 

 

In the wine glass example, the point of no return is the moment of directional motion and momentum where the forward-falling glass is no longer able to teeter backward and maintain or return to its original upright position and stability. In the wine glass tipping scenario, the point of no return is quite visible. Once it falls past this last balancing point of still reversible direction and momentum and crosses its point of no return, it can no longer stop itself from falling further and crossing the wine glass’s last balancing point, thus irreversibly tipping and spilling the wine out of the glass.

By contrast, global warming points of no return tend to be largely invisible—i.e., irreversible fates are set in motion before we know they are happening. However, if you can determine the point of no return for any global warming tipping point, you can “buy” yourself critical forecasting capabilities that can give you some warning for approximately when that tipping point will be crossed. Being aware of global warming process points of no return will be extremely useful in preparing for and predicting global warming tipping points and catastrophes.

"Tipping points are so dangerous because if you pass them, the climate is out of humanity's control: if an ice sheet disintegrates and starts to slide into the ocean, there's nothing we can do about that." —James Hansen

Contrary to what many people believe, tipping points are not just rare, high-impact events. Understanding global warming, climate, human, and biological tipping points, including their occurrence and timing, is crucial for future planning as global warming intensifies and our global climate continues to destabilize.

 

The 11 major climate change and global warming tipping points within the climate, human, and biological systems

"You cannot be called an alarmist if there really is something to be alarmed about." Unknown

There are many global warming system and subsystem tipping points within the climate, human, and biological systems. The key process that directly or indirectly causes the global warming tipping points to be crossed is increasing heat, as is implied in the term global warming.

 

When global warming tipping points are crossed, one or more of them can trigger processes leading to:

• • Sudden large-scale catastrophes in climate, human, and biological systems,
    
    
  • Irreversible global warming,
    
    
  • Irreversible climate destabilization, and/or
    
    
  • Extinction-level climate destabilization.

To be clear, irreversible global warming, climate change, or climate destabilization means that we will not be able to get the dangerous levels of excess greenhouse gases (like carbon) out of our atmosphere and back down to a normal and human-safe pre-industrial level for hundreds to thousands of years. (As of July 2023, We are currently at the insane atmospheric carbon level of 420 ppm. We will soon enter the generally considered irreversible and second phase of runaway global heating sometime between 2025-2031. This is when we enter into the carbon 425-450 ppm range.)

 

The major global warming tipping points (other than increasing temperature) within the interacting climate, human, and biological systems are:

1. 1. The total amount of water vapor in the atmosphere. Water vapor is the gaseous state of water. It is the most important natural greenhouse gas. When it condenses onto a surface, a net warming occurs on that surface. In the atmosphere, water vapor increases as heat increases. Increased heat evaporates more water from oceans, lakes, and rivers, which creates more water vapor and heat in an endless self-reinforcing cycle—another positive feedback loop. At some point, this positive feedback loop triggers a tipping point, and the process goes from a gradual linear heat-producing progression into a steeper exponential progression. The result is that the average global temperature increases even faster. Humans cannot survive if the air is too moist and hot, which would happen for the majority of human populations if global temperatures rise by 11–12 °C, as landmasses warm faster than the global average.
   2. The total amount of melting ice. Increased heat melts more sea ice, ice shelves, and glaciers, resulting in more water flowing into our oceans and increasing sea levels. This process repeats with each increase in temperature in an endless, self-reinforcing cycle—a positive feedback loop. At some point, this positive feedback loop triggers a tipping point, and the increased heat and ice melting process can go from a gradual linear progression (1, 2, 3 ,4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10) to a far steeper exponential progression (2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256, 512, 1,024, 2,048, 4,096, 8,192, 16,384).
      
      
   3. The albedo effect. The whiteness of polar ice reflects heat away from the planet. This is called the albedo effect. As the polar ice melts, significant areas darken and, therefore, absorb more heat rather than reflecting it outward. At some point in this melting process, a self-reinforcing positive feedback loop occurs, which again reduces the albedo effect’s total heat-reflecting capabilities. This, in turn, further increases global warming. As before, this self-reinforcing cycle of loss of reflectivity and increasing heat will eventually move from a gradual linear progression to a steep exponential heat-increasing progression.
      
      
   4. The release of methane from the warming of polar permafrost and tundra. As the temperature continues to increase, a self-reinforcing positive feedback loop triggers a permafrost and tundra methane release tipping point, eventually leading to the exponential progression mentioned before. This could be a very critical tipping point because methane produces 20 to 100 times the heat-creating effect in the atmosphere as compared to carbon dioxide. This increased methane within our atmosphere will also remain there for 20 years to decades before it decays back into simple carbon. To emphasize how dangerous this is for our future, in February 2013, scientists using radiometric dating techniques on Russian cave formations to measure melting rates warned that a 1.5° Celsius (2.7° Fahrenheit) global rise in temperature compared to pre-industrial levels was enough to start a general permafrost melt. (From David Spratt’s Climate Reality Check). We are almost at 1.5° Celsius right now, and even higher temperatures are inevitable. Please also note that melting permafrost in tundra also has the potential to cause local and global pandemics caused by ancient viruses and bacteria being released from the permafrost. Already in Siberia, they have had anthrax and smallpox outbreaks because of melting permafrost and tundra.
      
      
   5. The die-offs of carbon-eating and oxygen-producing sea plankton are caused by the warming, carbonization, and acidification of the oceans. As this continues to intensify, it also creates a self-reinforcing positive feedback loop, which triggers a tipping point, and the die-off process goes from a gradual linear progression into a steeper exponential progression. This results in sudden and rapidly increasing die-offs in the ocean fish populations that live on this plankton, as well as sudden and rapid drops in the ocean’s oxygen-producing capabilities. (Oxygen-producing plankton are critical to our future. They produce 50% - 80% of the world’s total oxygen supply).
      
      
   6. The ever-increasing atmospheric heat is captured and stored by the oceans and sent to lower levels of the ocean. These captured and stored masses of deep, warm water can suddenly rise to the surface again. This will release a massive amount of additional heat directly into the atmosphere and quickly spike the average global temperature.
      
      
   7. The loss of the atmospheric carbon-eating forests because of heat, drought, wildfires, and timber-harvesting or agriculture-related clear-cutting. As temperatures rise and droughts, heat, forest fires, and clear-cutting kill trees, we lose our essential carbon-eating forests, which increases the carbon and heat in the atmosphere. This process eventually triggers a tipping point, and the forests’ loss of carbon-eating capabilities goes from a gradual linear progression into a steep exponential progression of forest loss and escalating carbon in the atmosphere. This results in a sudden additional spike upward in average global temperature.
   8. Soils that normally absorb carbon begin releasing it back into the atmosphere from their previously stored or inherent carbon because of the escalating heat. This increasing heat-induced release of carbon by the soils creates a self-reinforcing positive feedback loop. This triggers a soil carbon release tipping point, and the process goes into a more exponential progression. This also results in a rapid increase in average global temperature.
   9. The changes in major ocean currents help to stabilize our weather and seasons. Research is now expanding on how increasing heat will affect currents like the North Atlantic current. Because of global warming, if the North Atlantic current were slowed down or diverted from its presently established pathway, it would create very significant changes in weather patterns, which would affect growing seasons, rain, snowfall, and temperature—all of which have strong effects on vital crop yields.
   10. The global warming-caused pandemic potential. When ancient ice, glaciers, permafrost, or frozen tundra melts, it releases still-living bacteria and viruses never seen before. This means we could soon be unleashing the ultimate global pandemic. So many different types of new bacteria and viruses could be released at once that even our best scientists would not be able to create and distribute the vaccines needed in time to contain disease outbreaks or a growing global pandemic.
   11. The total weight of rising seas and melting ice is shifting. Although research is sparse in this area, it has been posited that the total massive weight change from all ice melt areas (where ice covers land masses), and the heating, expanding, and shifting weight effect on seas caused by global warming, can move existing tectonic plates. This plate motion could cause earthquakes and volcanic eruptions at an unprecedented scale. If the shifting of these tectonic plates causes numerous or massive volcanic eruptions around the planet, we could also go into a volcanic winter. If the shifting of tectonic plates triggers a supervolcano-like eruption, the years that the sun would be blocked could kill off most of the human population.

 

There are many other known and unknown tipping points in both climate and biological systems not mentioned above. The 11 above are only the ones that are the most important and the ones we know the most about.

When considering the collective and individual impacts of the above 11 tipping points, it is essential to also account for their effects on human social, economic, and political systems, as well as the tipping points within these unique systems. For example, as we continue to cross more of the 11 tipping points mentioned above, we will first experience the severe system crashes that normally occur when the tipping point is crossed, and then our social, economic, and political human systems will begin experiencing extreme stress. This will then also push them over their own internal tipping points.

One way this could happen is as follows. As crops fail from droughts, rain bombs, and extreme temperatures, food prices will skyrocket, populations will riot, and then, law and order will break down as more people die. Eventually, the weaker countries will collapse under the weight of these internal climate catastrophes and resource conflicts.

Next, as the weaker nations collapse, they will create more desperate climate migrants (those rushing into the stronger nations). As this happens, the strongest nations will also experience a breakdown in law and order, and, in the later phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario, they, too, will experience a complete social and political breakdown.

Why is understanding climate change and global warming tipping points critical to your future survival?

To demonstrate why understanding tipping points is so important, it is necessary to also understand the many dangers found within the complex interactions, processes, and consequences of the global warming tipping points. When you understand these additional dangers, you will also understand how the phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario build upon each other.

Overview of the biggest dangers of global warming tipping points:

1. Exponential expansion: Once a tipping point is crossed, its consequences will cease progressing in a steady, gradual, and linear way (1, 2. 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10) and will typically shift into a steep, nonlinear, exponential progression (2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256, 512, 1024). Notably, one of the hardest things for individuals to do is visualize real-life scenarios of the difference in results between a linear and an exponential progression. Using the sample above, in just the ten linear steps, the last linear progression number noted is 10. That is about 100 times less than the last and 10th step of the above exponential sample.
   
   
2. Crossed tipping points create more crossed tipping points: As the average global temperature continues to rise, we will cross more of the global warming tipping points. When any interconnected or interdependent global warming tipping point within the system or subsystems is crossed, it makes it significantly more likely that more tipping points will inevitably also be crossed in other interconnected or interdependent systems or subsystems. Once this domino-like process starts, we could eventually cross many of the global warming tipping points. (See the lighted match Keystone Tipping Point illustration below).
   
   
3. Colliding multiple tipping points can accelerate us into the last phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario. When multiple tipping points collide, each one’s vulnerability is also subject to the powerful triggering influence of other crossed tipping points. Tipping points crashing into other interconnected or interdependent areas can quickly trigger other tipping points, creating a cascading meltdown across both climate and human system tipping points. Crossing more global warming tipping points may collectively be enough to throw us into irreversible climate destabilization or even extinction-level climate destabilization. (See Climageddon Extinction Scenario.)
   
   
4. Crossed global warming tipping points will accelerate the crossing of vulnerable human and biological system tipping points: Crossed global warming tipping points within the numerous global warming climate systems or subsystems can also unpredictably collide back and forth to create a system-wide, cascading chain reaction of numerous self-reinforcing positive feedback loops. Once this cascading meltdown process begins, crossing more tipping points occurs at a faster and faster rate, and it will eventually accelerate crossing over into our many vulnerable human and biological system tipping points (economy, politics, society, war, and conflict, etc.).
   
   
5. Quick collapse and slow recovery: The greatest dangers of crossing tipping points are that they can suddenly cause severe, unpredictable, and irreversible changes, even complete system collapses. In most cases, if the system or subsystem crashes or collapses, recovery from these crashes or collapses is very slow and difficult, if not impossible!
   
   If recovery is possible, not only will it be slow and difficult, but there is also a much higher likelihood that it will not be adequate to restore the original stability, range, or level of the collapsed system (or subsystem). This difficult recovery leads instead to some new stability range—a level that will likely be significantly different. After we cross one or more tipping points, this could mean that when our temperature eventually restabilizes, it could be at a range or level either unfriendly to life as we know it, or completely incompatible.
   
   
6. Crossed tipping points can have both linear cause-and-effect relationships as well as dangerous and currently unpredictable nonlinear cause-and-effect relationships. These nonlinear relationships can occur between global warming tipping points and human and biological system tipping points (economy, politics, mass species die-offs, war, and conflict) as well as within and between any other part of the climate system and its subsystems. The presence of counter-intuitive, nonlinear tipping points and system relationships means that causes and effects within the climate and global warming systems and subsystems are sometimes not logically connected, clear, or predictable. This means that within a complex adaptive system like global warming and the climate, an area that happens to be a part of its system or its subsystems can create an effect in some other completely different system or subsystem where there seems to be no apparent cause-and-effect relationship between the two systems or subsystems. The huge danger here is that if a global warming tipping point triggers a nonlinear reaction in another climate or human system or subsystem, we could quickly find ourselves caught in a catastrophic situation without ever being able to predict it or prepare for it.
7. 
   
   

8. A complex adaptive system, such as the climate, reacts with its subsystems in both predictable and unpredictable ways. In the illustration above, an action X in system A causes the obvious linear effect Y in system B, but it can also cause a seemingly unconnected nonlinear XY reaction in system C. It is this nonlinear unpredictability in other interconnected and interdependent systems that also should cause us great concern as we add more fossil fuel carbon to the atmosphere

9. Hidden points of no return can occur long before tipping points are crossed: A major factor working against the resolution of the global warming emergency is that with each degree of temperature increase, developmental momentum within the processes of that particular global warming area will push relevant tipping points toward their points of no return, which makes the crossing of such tipping points inevitable.

In the case of global warming systems and subsystems, these points of no return are often hidden, sometimes occurring long before the actual tipping point is crossed. Generally, they are even less researched and understood. Unfortunately, if we want to avoid the global warming tipping points, we not only have to do more research on the actual tipping points, but we also have to do more research on these points of no return.

A good example of the dangers of crossing any point of no return is found within the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Recent research has shown that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet has already entered the irreversible collapse process. This was caused first by warmer water and, secondly, by the melting of its ice shelves from above and below because of warmer air temperatures.

At some point, as the warmer water and the warmer air melted the massive ice sheet, the ice sheet’s point of no return was crossed. This then set up the final scenario leading to the tipping point of irreversible melting.

This crossed tipping point is a huge problem because this particular ice sheet and its shelves contain enough ice to raise sea levels by another 10-13 feet (roughly 3-4 meters). Even worse, these ice sheets and shelves act as essential flying buttresses, keeping the rest of Antarctica’s massive ice stores locked on land instead of sliding off and melting into the sea and passing their own point of no return, which, if it occurred, would spike sea levels massively higher.

10. Invisible momentum and inertia factors: It's important to understand the technical meaning of momentum and inertia to understand their important relationship to global warming tipping points. In classical mechanics, momentum is the product of the mass and velocity of an object. For example, a heavy truck moving rapidly has momentum—it takes a large or prolonged force (generally an engine and fuel) to get the truck up to speed, and it also takes a large or prolonged force to bring it to a stop afterward (brakes). If the truck were lighter or moving more slowly, it would have less momentum, and it would take less force to get it moving or to stop it.

Inertia is defined as the resistance of any physical object to any change in its state of motion (this includes changes to its speed, direction, or state of rest). It is the tendency of objects to keep moving in a straight line at a constant velocity or to stay in the state they are in.

Global warming tipping points can have inherent momentum and/or inertia factors within their processes. These two factors can cause either a time accelerator—pushing a process over a tipping point faster, or a time delay—helping to prevent a process from going over a tipping point.

Including both momentum and inertia factors is critical to the accurate prediction of global warming, climate, human, and biological systems outcomes. For example, the momentum or inertia factors in global warming tipping points for ocean heat capture or release are regulated by atmospheric heat. Oceans take up and release atmospheric heat very slowly, and they pass that heat to deep ocean layers slowly. There is an inertia-related time lag due to that slow absorption rate. This is due to the ocean’s pre-existing water temperature. It also has an inertia-related time lag as it seeks to maintain its current temperature by changing slowly.

There is also a momentum factor for how the ocean eventually releases its previously captured atmospheric heat back into the atmosphere, which would once again spike average global temperatures. It appears that once deep, warm water is released, it builds its own momentum, eventually rising to the surface and then quickly releasing its heat. Once a certain temperature or set of conditions is triggered, nothing will stop this inherent momentum from the rising of the warmer water from deep ocean layers.

11. Crossing multiple tipping points will lead to the later phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario. In addition to increasing unpredictability and leading us into the later phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario, crossing multiple tipping points can create a dramatic acceleration of consequence time frames. It will drastically increase the scale, severity, and frequency of the consequences within the related global warming systems and subsystems involved.

12. No compensatory calculations for the effects of any global warming tipping points being crossed were ever included in the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) calculations for precisely how much we have to reduce our global fossil fuel use to save ourselves from extinction. This is important because the IPCC's global fossil fuel reduction calculations are currently being used by all of the member governments of the United Nations (about 190 countries) for setting their own internal national fossil fuel reduction programs. This failure to include allowance calculations for crossed tipping points also means that the critical national fossil fuel reduction programs of every member of the United Nations using the Paris Climate Agreement targets are also based on incomplete and inaccurate calculations. This means we are using the wrong needed fossil fuel reduction calculations to save us from extinction within our lifetimes.

 

Now that you understand what the main tipping points are and their dangers to our future, there are other essential facts about tipping points important to know.

 

 

What is a keystone climate change and global warming tipping point?

There is a uniquely important type of tipping point relevant to global warming and the climate. It is called a keystone tipping point.

If you have seen a Roman architectural arch, you already know a little about what a keystone is. It is the central, usually triangular-shaped stone at the top center of the arch. It is also the critical supporting stone that holds all the other stones in place and maintains the integrity and strength of the arch.

If you pull a keystone out of a Roman arch, the whole arch immediately crumbles and completely falls in on itself. Like the keystone in the Roman arch, if we cross any keystone global warming tipping point, all dependent or interconnected global warming systems and subsystems can also begin collapsing faster than we can be prepared for or recover from. If we cross any currently unknown or known keystone tipping point, every projected time frame relating to global warming consequences would suddenly and radically change for the worse. Consequences that were predicted to be many decades away could now become just one or two decades away or less.

You're probably curious about which of the previously mentioned global warming tipping points are keystone tipping points. The difficult truth is that increasing heat itself, as well as all of the previously mentioned tipping points (except the pandemic tipping point caused by melting ice and permafrost), could become keystone tipping points. The painful truth is that if the conditions surrounding any global warming tipping point worsen enough, it could act as and become a keystone tipping point, which could ignite a cascading meltdown and trigger multiple other tipping points, leading to sudden and catastrophic results.

 

A keystone tipping point will also be the most likely trigger and/or deepen the irreversible global warming process

Irreversible global warming (aka runaway climate change or the runaway greenhouse effect) is defined by its processes and what will happen after we cross any keystone tipping point (or we cross multiple important tipping points, which will cumulatively act as a keystone tipping point). The crossed irreversible global warming tipping point then causes the global climate to dramatically change—this is the climate destabilization process in action. But keep in mind that irreversible climate destabilization and irreversible global warming are different things. Irreversible global warming can also be caused by many other factors working together as discussed here.

 

Warning signs that a climate change or global warming tipping point may soon be crossed

Many times, just before a tipping point is crossed and crashes, it experiences a period of increasing oscillations, “flipping” more rapidly from one state to another. Not only does it oscillate from one state to another at an increasing rate, but the severity of the oscillations also increases. Finally, the frequency of the oscillation swings also begins to accelerate in close time proximity.

We are already seeing these pre-tipping-point oscillation warnings occurring in our more frequent and severe weather swings over larger and larger areas—going from cold to warm, summer-to-winter-like conditions, and from droughts to deluges. Whenever you see this intensified oscillation pattern occurring, whether it's in climate system, biological systems, or the stock market, it is the harbinger of big changes.

In general, the further up the local, regional, national, or global climate that climate, human, or biological systems or subsystems are:

1. 1. Oscillating,
      
      
   2. Tipping points are being crossed, or
      
      
   3. Extreme weather problems are expanding,

The more trouble we are in! If the global climate is oscillating more frequently and severely, we are in a lot more trouble than if it is only our local climate that is oscillating similarly. Additionally, smaller systems and subsystems will move to a state of chaos more readily than larger systems and subsystems due to smaller systems and subsystems usually having less inertia to resist the change.

 

 

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Which climate change and global warming tipping points are most likely to be crossed soon?

While it is difficult to set specific dates for crossing a tipping point, in general, the melting of sea and glacial ice around the world—particularly in the polar regions—appears to be the tipping point area of greatest immediacy and concern. There are a few key reasons for this:

• • At the far north and far south, global warming has seen double the temperature increases as compared to increased temperatures elsewhere on the planet.
    
    
  • Ice melting directly or indirectly links to other critical tipping points: the albedo effect, methane releases from melting permafrost and tundra, changes in ocean currents, deep and surface-level ocean temperature increases, die-offs in ocean life, and potential pandemics caused by ancient viruses and bacteria being released from the permafrost.

From the above list of tipping points, shrinking sea ice will cause massive ice shelves in Antarctica and Greenland (that are held in place by the surrounding sea ice) to quickly slide off the land they sit on and into the sea. This could be one of the two biggest sudden shocker tipping points that hit us far harder than we are planning for regarding our rising sea level.

 

 

This is because melting sea ice (icebergs) already floating in the sea does not raise the sea level. But on the other hand, massive ice shelves currently sitting on land in Antarctica and Greenland, which then slide into the sea, can raise sea levels far faster as well as far more than we are prepared for.

Several times in Earth's history, massive ice shelves have quickly slid off Greenland because the melted floating sea ice that had previously buttressed them had melted. This sudden sliding of the ice shelf into the sea raised the sea level by as much as 3-10 feet in as little as a decade or two. Imagine what would happen to any coastal city in the world if the sea level rose 3 to 10 feet in as little as a decade or two. What kind of economic, political, and social chaos would result from such a sudden sea-level rise across all of our global coastal areas?

Right now, the sea ice surrounding many of the largest ice shelves in the world is melting at unprecedented rates. At just our current carbon levels, the stability of the bellwether West Antarctic ice sheet has already been breached and this ice loss is now irreversible. This rapidly melting West Antarctic ice sheet is an excellent example of another great global warming consequence evolving into a global warming tipping point that the world has hurdled past far faster than anyone had predicted or foreseen.

 

What is the most likely major climate change and global warming tipping point to be crossed?

There is a tipping point area that is the most likely first candidate to significantly accelerate the beginning of the end of humanity. It is the increased melting of summer and year-round arctic polar ice due to global warming.

It will have profound effects not only on worldwide weather but, more importantly, on lowering global crop yields and increasing global crop failures. This will cause an accelerating massive global starvation, which will then also destabilize national economies, politics, and societies.

In the summer, when Arctic ice melts, there is less cooling of all of the growing season areas affected by arctic weather. As polar ice melts each year, the cooling effect decreases, allowing more heat to enter these critical growing season areas. 

To make matters worse, food crops are more sensitive to heat during droughts, and they are also more susceptible to heat waves, rain bombs, and cold spells when they are just beginning to grow. Unfortunately, as the Arctic Ocean continues to lose ice mass almost every summer and keep it melted longer, we are losing critical cooling for our vital food crop growing season. 

The five major food grains are the largest source of the world's food supply. They are corn, wheat, rice, soybeans, and sorghum.

All of these grains have upper and lower temperature limits. Most of them cannot survive more than ten days during their growing season over 100° Fahrenheit, particularly if this heat comes early in their growing season or when their soils are drought-dry. 

Because of the continually increasing loss of the cooling effect on growing regions below the Arctic due to the continually diminishing Arctic ice, the number of growing season days with temperatures over 100° will continue increasing steadily as more and more Arctic ice melts and remains melted longer throughout the year.

This means that the world will experience more and larger crop reductions and failures as more polar ice melts and stays melted longer. To make matters even worse, corn is one of the largest food staples for humanity, and it is also one of the most sensitive crops to increasing 100-degree-plus temperatures and drought.

Reduced polar ice also reduces the albedo effect, which means that white snow or ice reflects heat back away from the Earth and out into the atmosphere, keeping the Earth cooler. As more Arctic polar ice is melted, the darker polar oceans absorb the heat and then heat up more; this, once again, causes more global warming.

Already in the growing belt of the United States, we are seeing increased and record-breaking heat, droughts, rain bombs, and other extreme seasonal weather that is having a direct effect on reducing crop yields and crop failures in the most vulnerable areas. This pattern of greater crop yield reductions and crop failures will continue to increase as long as more polar ice disappears and the Arctic remains relatively ice-free into longer and longer summers. 

The following is from Wikipedia:

“Since 1979, the minimum annual area of sea ice in the Arctic has dropped by about 40%, as measured each September. From sea ice models and recent satellite images, it can be expected that a sea ice-free summer will come before 2020. Models that best match historical trends project a nearly ice-free Arctic in the summer by the 2030s. However, these models do tend to underestimate the rate of sea ice loss since 2007.” (If you would like to see a video of how more polar ice is melting each summer as the years go by, click here for this NASA video.)

The increasing melting of Arctic polar ice is a clear warning sign of increasing global warming and future serious reductions in major crop yields, as well as serious increases in future crop failures. This means not only higher prices but also ever-increasing food scarcity and increasing global starvation.

This is not something far off in the future. It is already happening in many areas of the world.

It is also already causing major migrations. This expanding and increasing polar ice melting is a major “canary in the coal mine” for increasing future mass starvation, not way off in 2100, as we have been told, but in the near years and the next few decades to follow.

As the process of massive crop reductions and failures expands and continues, mass starvation will begin to destabilize all of our other economic, social, and political systems. In general, if temperatures continue rising, the time frames in which we will cross more of the tipping points listed above will get shorter. But that will not be the only significant effect of melting Arctic ice due to global warming.

Because melting Arctic ice also affects and disrupts the jet stream and ocean currents like the Gulf Stream, you will also have radical and unseasonable cold spells appearing during the prime crop growing seasons worldwide. This will also reduce food yields and produce more crop failures during the fragile growing season. Paradoxically, according to new studies, you will also have more extreme cold and heavier snow during the US winters because of ongoing disruptions caused by the continual annual expansion of the melting of Arctic polar ice. 

Regarding the above two sections, this melting-ice-related cluster of interconnected and interdependent tipping points alone and of itself can usher in the end of humanity or hell on Earth. The next group of tipping points to monitor would be the total global water vapor levels and the carbon-releasing and carbon-eating conditions of trees and soils. The last and slowest developing risk will be from increased earthquakes and volcanoes due to changing glacier-related weight over the Earth's tectonic plates.

More detailed time estimates on when we will cross more climate, human, and biological systems tipping points will be found in the Climageddon Extinction Scenario by clicking here. Estimates for exactly when we will cross the many global warming tipping points will continuously evolve as new research is released.

In general, if temperatures continue rising, the time frames in which we will be crossing more tipping points will get shorter. (There is an easy way to educate yourself about this as new global warming research comes out that can and will affect you, your business, and your nation. If you have not done so already, sign up for the free Global Warming Blog by clicking here. By doing so, you will automatically receive a monthly email update with the latest news on national and international global warming reduction successes and losses.)

 

What are the atmospheric carbon levels that we should be most concerned about that will most affect crossing more climate change tipping points?

Above and beyond keystone tipping points, there is another important danger level. It exists as a collection of crossed tipping points.

        Monthly Keeling Curving Carbon (CO2) graph courtesy of NASA and Show. Earth⁵⁶

 

 

A dangerous collective juncture of several crossed tipping points from different areas of the climate system interacting with each other is highly probable once we reach the carbon 425-450 ppm level. This danger level aligns with climate researcher James Hansen’s statements that even a carbon 450 ppm level (which will occur in about 10-15 years at present carbon pollution rates) would eventually correspond to an average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) in this century and the end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it.⁵⁷

 

Which additional global warming tipping points are most likely to be crossed in the near future?

New research and evidence suggest that more systems and subsystems within the interconnected and interdependent climate system may be heading toward global warming tipping points or experiencing worrisome qualitative change toward their points of no return. These global warming-related climate systems include:

1. 1. Accelerating ice mass loss from Antarctic ice shelves and the vulnerability of East Antarctic glaciers;
      
      
   2. The vulnerability of Arctic permafrost exemplified in part by the proliferation of Siberian methane craters;
      
      
   3. Declining carbon efficiency of the Amazon forests and other carbon sinks (oceans, soils etc;) and
      
      
   4. The slowing of the major sea current known as the Atlantic conveyor, likely as a result of cumulative and significantly increased global warming.

In late 2015, a chilling report⁵⁸ released by the International Cryosphere Climate Initiative warned that the 2015 Paris commitments from the IPCC conference:

“... will not prevent our ‘crossing into the zone of irreversible thresholds’ in our polar and mountain glacier regions, and that crossing these boundaries may result in processes that cannot be halted unless temperatures return to levels below pre-industrial.”

And in a similar vein, the Climate Reality Check stated:

“To put it most bluntly, only a new ‘Little Ice Age’ may re-establish some of today’s mountain glaciers and their reliable water resources for millions of people or halt melting polar ice sheets that, once started, irrevocably would set the world on course to an ultimate sea-level rise of between 4–10 meters or more...some of these cryosphere thresholds, including potential fisheries and ecosystem loss from polar ocean acidification, cannot be reversed at all.” —From David Spratt’s Climate Reality Check.⁵⁹

Crossing more global warming tipping points will not happen far off in the future. It is happening right now!

 

The sequence of how climate change and global warming tipping points are unfolding

What we do know is that:

1. 1. We are already crossing important tipping points in the Arctic and Antarctic regions.
      
      
   2. As we rapidly approach the carbon 425 to 450 ppm levels, crossing more tipping points and points of no return in global warming systems and subsystems is both inevitable and it will accelerate.
      
      
   3. Unknowingly, we may have already crossed key global warming tipping points or points of no return.
      
      
   4. In general, with each new global warming tipping point crossed, the momentum increases toward more global warming tipping points being crossed in other climate, human, and biological systems and subsystems. This is the reality of a dangerous tipping point momentum condition we are continuing to allow to happen at our extreme peril.

What we do not know:

1. 1. At this time, no exact sequential order has been researched to show the order in which each global warming tipping point will be crossed, other than what has been said previously on this page.
      
      
   2. Which specific global warming tipping point will act as the keystone tipping point that will trigger many other tipping points, deepen other already out-of-control global warming processes, and set off the critical end-of-the-world Climageddon Extinction Scenario's last phases?

The special atmospheric carbon ppm zone that acts as a tipping point

Steadily rising temperatures will feed and accelerate the processes of crossing more points of no return, positive feedback loops, and global warming, climate, human, and biological system tipping points, pushing us ever closer to the dangerous carbon 425 to 450 ppm range. This range is found in later phase 1 of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario.

The probability of maintaining only a gradually increasing average global temperature after reaching this carbon PPM range without random tipping point-related temperature spikes is highly unlikely (less than 10-20%.) This is because as the tempeature goes up, the probability of crossing more tipping points also increases.

It is important to keep in mind that as we continue crossing more global warming tipping points, the 20 worst global warming consequences and the consequences of the tipping points themselves will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale. This is again in summary because:

1. The points of no return before a tipping point is crossed as well as the crossed tipping point itself, create "slippery" conditions where it becomes far easier for that condition or consequence to worsen far more quickly and at a far steeper gradient.

2. tipping points when crossed, create sudden and extremely difficult to recover from steep drop-offs or complete system crashes,

3. any positive feedback loop contained within the tipping point processes will also significantly amplify either the positive or negative consequences of that tipping point and 

4. a crossed tipping point within a system or subsystem tends to push other tipping points over their tipping points in the subsystems or systems associated with or interconnected to the original tipping point.

Unless we make the required radical global fossil fuel reductions found here, it is also unlikely that:

1. we can maintain the previous average annual increase of only carbon three ppm. (In part, it will probably go higher because of the Earth's population soaring to 9 billion, causing our estimated energy needs to skyrocket by 40% as more of the world’s population enters the middle class.) And, most importantly

2.) because of our fossil fuel burning momentum and human system inertias, once we hit the 425 to 450 carbon PPM range, we will not be able to keep from rapidly sliding down a much steeper and even more slippery slope into and through the other 5 following Climageddon Extinction Scenario phases. 

At the 425 to 450 carbon ppm range, there will be so much climate system momentum from previously committed carbon and other greenhouse gas pollution of our atmosphere towards moving quickly to even higher temperatures that stopping this momentum will be like trying to stop a gigantic boulder from rolling faster and faster down a hill that keeps getting steeper and steeper.

The terrifying thought that is completely real and critical for you to burn into your brain is that most of humanity will die by mid-century, but our ability to have any real or meaningful control over this looming emergency ends around 2025, sometime after we enter the carbon 425-450 ppm range. But this will only occur if we fail to successfully execute these global fossil fuel reductions. 

And in case you're still thinking technology will save us at the last minute, no new carbon removal technologies (that we call magical carbon-sucking unicorns) will be able to save us in time because even those who believe they might save us are projecting that they will not even be available at the earliest until sometime after 2050. This will be long after the damage is done and long after anything can be done for the billions of people who will suffer and die!

Given the preceding, we have no other rational alternative but to prevent ever crossing into this highly dangerous transitional carbon 425-450 ppm range and tipping point, at which our current rate of greenhouse gas pollution will begin sometime around 2025. 

Do you still have doubts about whether the 425 to 450 carbon ppm range is safe? Here is some other research that, while we feel that it still suffers from politicizing underestimation errors and lack of factoring in the crossing of any tipping points, is still worth reviewing, so you know it is not just us warning you how bad this threshold is.  

“The OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050: Key Findings on Climate Change” summarizes predictions by climate scientists’ models: we have a 50% chance of stabilizing the average global temperature at a 2°C increase over the pre-industrial period if we keep concentrations of CO₂ under 450 ppm. A November 2013 report by PwC, Busting the Carbon Budget, says that at our current rate of fossil fuel usage in the global economy, we will exceed that limit by 2034.

Click here to learn more about how another 10 climate scientists view the serious dangers of crossing the 425 to 450 carbon ppm range.

(Special Update on the carbon 425 ppm Climate Cliff because of new climate research: Click here to see the horrible news that the global warming Climate Cliff does not occur in 2025 at carbon 425 ppm. We already went over the climate cliff in 2015 because the temper target was changed.)

 

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Our exponential risk and threat exposure and vulnerability as we cross more climate change and global warming tipping points

Crossing any global warming tipping point creates extreme vulnerability and exposure because the danger is neither singular nor constant. It is not a singular threat because, at a minimum, many tipping points and points of no return reside within the climate, human, and biological systems and subsystems—any of which could be crossed and feedback into other interconnected systems or subsystems, triggering a cascading meltdown of more crossed global warming tipping points across more and more systems.

There is not just the threat of a single keystone tipping point. There are potentially many tipping points that, if collectively crossed, could act as a keystone tipping point and lead to the final phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario. Crossing tipping points is also not a linear, steady threat. With each rising degree of average global temperature, the threat, vulnerability, and exposure boils and rises exponentially! See the boiling pot illustration below.

 

 

Our estimated total risk and threat level for going over more climate change and global warming tipping points

To better evaluate risk, let’s first put the scope and intensity of the irreversible global warming risk in a comparative context. From the standpoint of total cumulative harm to be wreaked, consider that a 40% risk for a series of global warming millennial superstorms costing $1 trillion each actually presents a comparatively smaller risk of harm than a 1/100th of 1% risk of irreversible global warming with its end-of-the-world consequences. Yes, this means that a 40% risk of millennial superstorms poses far less of a risk of destructive consequences than a 1/100th of 1% risk of irreversible global warming.

We’ve already experienced global warming-related extreme storms and know the damage and havoc they leave in their wake. What we are seeing now pales in comparison to irreversible global warming’s full potential for global destruction and chaos. This helps put the enormity of risk into a comparative perspective, which helps drive home how utterly serious and urgent the climate change emergency is.

To further help quantify this global warming tipping point risk level, now consider that one of our most respected climate scientists, Michael Mann, has estimated the current risk level for going over a global warming tipping point at not 1/100th of 1%, not 1%, but at approximately 10%!⁶⁰ If one of our best climate scientists has set a 10% risk level for us crossing more global warming tipping points, how should you begin to think about this level of risk to your future? (Keep in mind that any global warming tipping point also has the potential to become a keystone tipping point).

It’s reasonable to suppose the nations of the world would not allow even a fraction of 1% of a risk level for global thermonuclear war to go less than 100% managed and controlled. So, how should we be managing our tipping point risks? How can we rationally continue to allow a 10% risk level of crossing more global warming tipping points to still go unmanaged when it can quickly lead directly to the extinction of humanity and the end of civilization?

Because of the difficulty of quantifying known and unknown factors involved within developing points of no return and tipping points themselves, the risk of going over more global warming tipping points is likely much higher than 10%.

Understanding the many unique dangers of global warming and crossing its tipping points is critical to your future quality of life. Once you understand tipping point risks are real and how they work, you are hopefully more likely to use the information in this document for managing them.

 

More about out-of-control global warming, climate destabilization, and tipping points

Global warming causes climate destabilization, but climate destabilization can also cause global warming. These processes can work both ways. For example, already destabilized burned forests and acidified oceans can’t absorb as much carbon. Because they cannot absorb as much carbon, more carbon stays in the atmosphere, causing more global warming heat.

There are also hopeful transition points between the processes of deepening irreversible global warming and the levels of climate destabilization. Climate destabilization transforms into irreversible warming only if a cascading meltdown of many tipping points occurs or a keystone tipping point is crossed.

 

Why and how we could go extinct. The four most critical levels of climate change and global warming tipping points that we will cross in the near future. 

Below are the four most important global warming tipping point levels within our complex climate system, which involve interacting climate, biological, and human systems and subsystems. Those four tipping point levels are:

1. The carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point level. (This tipping point initiates the beginning of a runaway process for triggering more and more global warming tipping points at faster and faster rates.)

2. The extinction-critical runaway global ice melting tipping point level. (ALL ice and ALL glaciers on Earth will enter a near-unstoppable process of a complete meltdown! (Sea levels could rise up to 10 feet over decades and up to 220 feet over several centuries.)

3. The extinction-accelerating runaway massive methane release tipping point level. (Massive amounts of methane gas start being released from ocean coastal shelves and the world's permafrost.) And,

4. The runaway rising global warming temperature level. (This final global warming tipping point level leads to a near-total extinction event. This is because of our average global temperatures rising so high that Earth's atmosphere is ripped off into space and everything dies.)

(Click here to discover why total human extinction is not realistic or probable and the worst humanity will experience is near-total extinction (50 to 90+% of humanity going extinct.)

You now have a very good understanding of tipping points, but there is one more very important thing to know about how they will unfold and when. Before you continue to read the following tipping point conclusion sections on this page, we strongly recommend first reading our four most important global warming tipping point levels page. As you read about these four major global warming tipping point levels and when they will occur, our current extreme extinction threat will become far more vividly true, frighteningly real, and fully understandable to you. 

This critical tipping point levels page also contains the four most critical reasons why we have only about 6 years left (until about 2025,) to slow down a now unavoidable mass extinction process as well as our crossing the near-total extinction-accelerating global warming tipping points.

(This tipping point levels page is the single most important and regularly updated page on our website! You will not regret taking the time to read it now before continuing.)

 

Your preparedness, survival, and the speed of crossing more global warming tipping points

Something important to remember is that as we cross more and more global warming tipping points, the worst global warming consequences will increase faster and faster. They will not grow gradually and linearly. They will grow exponentially over time. (In the graph below the red line is an example of a linear gradual growth trajectory.  (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.)

The green line is an example of an exponential growth curve and trajectory. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)

 

 

The exponential growth of global warming consequences after we cross the four levels of tipping points discussed above means that few people or governments will be able to keep up with these escalating consequences for very long, but only if we do not come very close to hitting the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. It also means that unless you have made emergency preparations and adaptations, and/or have migrated (where necessary) well before these four levels of tipping points are crossed, you will probably not have the time to do so later as things get worse faster and faster.

This is because the social, economic, and political systems will become increasingly unstable and chaotic, accelerating as we cross more global warming tipping points, which pushes us into a steeper and steeper exponential curve (the green line above) of increasing severity, frequency, and scale in our global warming consequences. If you have not prepared well in advance for what is coming, you will find yourself in a living hell!

 

One more tipping point super-shocker

You will be shocked by how dangerously global warming tipping points are being mishandled and consequently hidden by the world’s recognized authority on the climate. Click here for more information on this.

 

What to never forget about the danger of crossing climate change and global warming tipping points

As we continue crossing more global warming tipping points, the 20 worst global warming consequences and the consequences of the tipping points themselves will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale. This is because:

1. The points of no return before a tipping point is crossed, as well as the crossed tipping point itself, create "slippery" conditions where it becomes far easier for that condition or consequence to worsen far more quickly and at a far steeper gradient.

2. Tipping points when crossed create sudden and extremely difficult to recover from steep drop-offs or complete system crashes,

3. Any positive feedback loop contained within the tipping point processes will also significantly amplify either the positive or negative consequences of that tipping point, and 

4. A crossed tipping point within a system or subsystem tends to push other tipping points beyond their tipping points in the subsystems or systems associated with or interconnected to the original tipping point.

 

There are also "outside" non-global warming global challenges and contextual factors that directly or indirectly will interact with the climate change and global warming tipping points to significantly worsen or accelerate them

The many tipping points of global warming do not take place in a vacuum. They take place within a global context in which there are also 12 other critical global challenges with major consequences that are already occurring.

These 12 critical global challenges will directly or indirectly interact with and collide with global warming tipping points. The additional interactions with the 12 other critical global challenges will exacerbate our lives and worsen our global warming tipping points.

Now that you have a better idea of the volatile and dangerous context of other current global challenges in which the global warming tipping points will take place, you are now ready to review the other 12 major global challenges. Each of them also has many tipping points within its systems and subsystems. Click here to review the 12 other critical global challenges. 

(For a great video by a famous English professor with clear illustrations that explain the 12 other critical global challenges and the coming "Great Convergence" and chain of catastrophes, please click here.)

Click here to see where we are today on the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock.

 

An essential positive perspective on the above disruptive climate change and global warming tipping points, and climate change news

Despite the numerous challenges posed by global warming and past mistakes in reducing fossil fuels, we can still learn from their feedback and adapt to make life as good and happy as possible. No matter how severe the coming global warming consequences might become, if we wisely play the remaining cards that we have been dealt with, we can still achieve the best remaining possible outcomes. 

We can still make a significant difference in reducing global fossil fuel use to stabilize and save the future of humanity by implementing a comprehensive plan, such as the Job One for Humanity global warming action plan. 

We can still maintain the perseverance needed to succeed in this monumental task by regularly reviewing the many benefits that will occur as we work successfully on this project together. Although we are now in what could be called a Great Global Collapse process triggered by accelerating global warming, this collapse process will eventually offer equal to (or even greater than) long-term benefits in the form of a potential Great Rebirth beyond the coming suffering and loss.

First on this page (that has been read almost 2 million times) and then on this other critical global warming benefit page, you will find the many often hidden surprise benefits of the global warming challenge. You will also find a framework and the possibilities for what could be called a post-collapse Great Rebirth, no matter how bad the collapse process gets.

We can persevere through this time of emergency. We just need to remember that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our greatest opportunities.

We are engaged in nothing less than the most critical and meaningful evolutionary opportunity, challenge, and adventure in human history! It is our last opportunity to slow down the mass human extinction threat by getting close to these 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Only reaching these targets will fully remove the near-total extinction threat. In reaching these targets, we also significantly improve many of the world's other 12 major challenges.

Get started today on the Job One for Humanity global warming reduction and survival plan. Help save and salvage as much of humanity and our beautiful civilization as is possible.

Click here if you are a victim of climate change damage or loss and you want to get financial and other forms of restitution for the damages you have suffered.

 

 

A humorous 11-minute tipping point animation

Once you have finished this document, take 11 minutes to watch Wake Up, Freak Out - Then Get a Grip.⁶¹ Pay particular attention to the animation's excellent explanation of the various critical global warming tipping points. This video has been viewed over 1 million times and has been translated into 22 different languages. One note: this video gives temperature degrees in Celsius. A rough Fahrenheit temperature conversion is double the Celsius amount. Near its end, the video presents a somewhat polarized viewpoint. Though the informational and tipping point content is good, the Job One for Humanity organization that is publishing this document puts a higher priority on collaborative approaches in lieu of polarized ones.

 

A deeper perspective into the science of exponential progressions

We are facing an exponentially rising threat. If you are not fully grasping the critical difference between linear progressions and exponential progressions, it is highly recommended to view this YouTube video⁶² on the nature of exponential progressions. It has been watched 5 million times. It should help you better visualize what “exponential” means in relation to the potential of the coming drastic rise in the magnitude of the global warming consequences.

 

A deeper perspective on climate science, when seen as a complex system that is adaptive

The following presents some basics of systems theory and complex systems that are adaptive (also known as complex adaptive systems) for those who want a deeper understanding of:

1. 1. The nature of the global climate,
      
      
   2. The processes of climate destabilization,
      
      
   3. How human, climate, and biological systems might react, and
      
      
   4. Global warming is a complex adaptive system.

Envisioning how complex adaptive systems interact with each other through their many interconnections, interdependencies, nonlinear processes, contexts, relationships, and transformations is indeed challenging.

To illustrate this challenge, imagine each global warming subsystem within the master climate system as a tangle of cooked spaghetti. Now imagine several such tangles of spaghetti interconnected by most of their strands. Sorting out what the connections are would be quite the challenge, yes?

 

Although that's not the best image for the overall complexity and interconnectedness of global warming, the climate, and our human and biological systems and subsystems, it will at least open the door to envisioning the research and prediction challenges climate scientists face. In spite of this inherent complexity, it is well worth the extra effort to understand the context and principles behind these relationships, processes, and transformations within global warming processes, the climate, and our human and biological systems and subsystems.

To better grasp the nature of this “spaghetti,” it is useful to understand global warming, the climate, and human and biological systems as complex adaptive systems.

Complex adaptive systems by nature:

1. 1. Are complex (multifaceted, multilayered, etc.)
      
      
   2. Are self-organizing (can organize themselves into new states or make changes without involvement or actions from outside the system. Self-organization occurs in response to some change in the environment or mutation. This also dramatically increases the unpredictability potential of the system.
      
      
   3. Evolve and adapt (they can respond with both reactive and adaptive changes as needed to maintain internal balance, system integrity, and stability).
      
      
   4. Contain elements of spontaneous emergence (something coming into being that was not predicted or completely unpredictable).
      
      
   5. Can contain tipping points (points of sudden significant change or collapse).
      
      
   6. Can contain points of no return (where the momentum of some process will sooner or later trigger the tipping point).
      
      
   7. Contain linear and nonlinear cause-and-effect relationships between the various parts of the system and its subsystems.
      
      
   8. Can change rapidly and are highly unpredictable.

In summary, complex adaptive systems, like global warming, the climate, and our human and biological systems, are highly unpredictable, self-organizing, and often include spontaneous or nonlinear unexpected outcomes. Sometimes they also contain high-impact, nonlinear relationships and tipping points, causing radical, sudden, and completely unforeseen consequences.

The presence of these often counter-intuitive, linear, and nonlinear relationships and processes as described above means that causes and effects within climate, global warming, human, and biological systems and subsystems are sometimes not logically connected, clear, or predictable. Within a complex adaptive system like global warming, the climate, and our human and biological systems, one area can affect a completely different system or subsystem, where there seems to be no apparent, direct, or connected cause and effect relationship between these numerous interacting and interrelated systems or subsystems.

(We also recommend you read the following page from Wikipedia on global warming tipping points.)

 

A big-picture perspective on the challenge before us

The escalating global warming crisis has become the greatest adaptive challenge and evolutionary adventure in human history. Paradoxically, while it is the greatest current challenge, if one steps back and looks at this crisis from the long evolutionary sweep of human history, it is just another evolutionary challenge, like the many we have overcome in the past.

The following Great Bottleneck story should help you better frame the difficult challenge in front of us.

The human species has almost gone extinct at least once before. This occurred approximately 72,000 years ago, an event known as the Great Evolutionary Bottleneck.

A supervolcano called Toba erupted and blocked the sun for about 6 years. It also covered the Earth with 6 inches of ash. Because of this supervolcano eruption and the resultant volcanic ash blocking the sunlight, the global temperature was dramatically lowered. This volcano-related temperature lowering occurred on top of an already existing Ice Age.

Under the cold and darkened skies, humanity as a whole was reduced to as few as 1,000 mating pairs. Some research suggests even fewer survivors. Maybe as few as 200 mating pairs were all that survived of humanity.

This supervolcano eruption has been called an evolutionary bottleneck because during this time the total early global human population fell from an estimated 18-26,000 individuals with reproductive capabilities to 1,000 or fewer reproducing pairs. That was roughly a 90% reduction in the total global population. If some other catastrophe had also occurred at the same time, humanity itself might have gone extinct.

Up until now, the Toba eruption has been the single greatest adaptive challenge to the survival of the whole of the human species. Unfortunately, today we are facing a new and far greater adaptive challenge.

This second great bottleneck is different, yet in some ways similar to the first great evolutionary bottleneck. This second bottleneck contains a global warming threat opposite to that of the colder temperatures of the first great evolutionary bottleneck. Unlike the first great bottleneck, which was caused by nature, the second is human-caused due to increasing carbon and methane atmospheric pollution and the steadily rising average global temperature.

This increasing global warming is causing a destabilization of our climate from its previously fairly stable temperature range level. This increasing destabilization will lead to a higher temperature range that may not be suitable for the survival of a majority of the 7 billion-plus people alive today. It may not be suitable for preserving any of the human species over time.

This means that together as a single human species, we are facing a new great adaptive challenge in the form of the second great evolutionary bottleneck. If we are going to come through this second evolutionary bottleneck, more will need to be done faster with more people cooperating on greater levels than has ever been achieved in human history.

Whenever you feel overwhelmed by the global warming challenge in front of us, never forget that humanity made it through the first great evolutionary bottleneck with far less cooperation, technology, and resources. Yes, today’s challenge will still be more difficult than any humanity has previously overcome. But, in the process of overcoming it, we will not only ensure our own future, but our effort will also provide each of us, both young and old, the opportunity to participate in the greatest evolutionary adventure in human history. Participating in such a challenge and adventure will create a deeply meaningful and purpose-filled life.

“The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.”

— Martin Luther King, Jr., American civil rights leader

"There can be no margin of error whenever there is a real and imminent threat of total human extinction." Lawrence Wollersheim

 

How to keep the difficult and disruptive facts on this page in a balanced and positive perspective

We will be able to avoid or delay some of the coming global warming consequences, while other consequences are unavoidable due to our ignorance, incompetence, inaction, or selfishness. Despite the types of consequences we now face, we can learn from their feedback and adapt and evolve. No matter what we face, we can keep working toward achieving the best possible remaining outcomes. 

We can make a significant difference and stabilize the future by executing the comprehensive Job One for Humanity global warming action plan. We can also maintain the perseverance needed to succeed by regularly reviewing the many benefits that will unfold as we work successfully together on this.

While we persevere, we must never forget that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our greatest opportunities. We must continually realize that we are engaged in the most critical and meaningful evolutionary adventure in human history! This adventure is nothing less than removing the global warming extinction threat and, in so doing, indirectly improving most of the world's 12 other major challenges.

 

If you still have doubts about what you are reading...

For many visitors to our uncensored climate change think tank's website, their biggest question after reading our climate change consequences and timetable forecasts is, "Why are your climate change forecasts so much worse than almost everything I hear in the media from my government, the educational environmental and climate change organizations, or the former world's leading authority on climate change, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC)? Click here for the five critical reasons that will fully answer your "why are our forecasts so much worse" question.

 

Summary

• Crossed tipping points can cause sudden and unpredictable severe changes and immediate or complete system crashes or collapses.
  
  
• Crossing global warming tipping points is not as rare as the fossil fuel industry would like you to believe. We have already crossed several global warming tipping points and it is likely we will cross more.
  
  
• In general, when a tipping point is crossed, unpredictability increases along with the speed of change. Our ability to control the disruption of a tipping point and reverse it drops radically as the system tumbles towards collapse.
  
  
• Once a point of no return is crossed, it is just a matter of time before its tipping point is crossed.
  
  
• Because the climate and global warming are complex adaptive systems, when any global warming tipping point is crossed, it makes it significantly more likely that more tipping points will also be crossed in interconnected or interdependent systems or subsystems.
  
  
• Because of inherent pre-existing momentum or inertia factors within one or more of the global warming tipping points, and the possibility that points of no return have already been crossed, we may have already crossed more of the global warming tipping points and be inevitably locked into crossing even more tipping points no matter what we do.
  
  
• At this point, at the least, what we must do is prevent our crossing any keystone tipping point, which would deepen irreversible global warming and the later stages of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario.
  
  
• Any global warming remedial plan based on everything going perfectly will become the perfect plan for failure.
  
  
• The most important process that directly or indirectly causes global warming tipping points to be crossed is increasing heat.
  
  
• Humanity successfully survived the first great evolutionary bottleneck. We have many more advantages today, which should be of help in getting us through the current emergency we are facing.
• Understanding the 11 major global warming tipping points, along with the Climageddon Extinction Scenario, is absolutely essential to understanding how and why most of humanity will die by mid-century if we fail to hit the absolutely critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
• No compensatory calculations for the effects of any global warming tipping points being crossed were ever included in the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) calculations for precisely how much we have to reduce our global fossil fuel use to save ourselves from extinction. This is important because the IPCC's global fossil fuel reduction calculations are currently being used by all of the member governments of the United Nations (about 190 countries) for setting their own internal national fossil fuel reduction programs. This failure to include allowance calculations for crossed tipping points also means that the critical national fossil fuel reduction programs of every member of the United Nations using the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement targets is also based on incomplete and inaccurate calculations. This means we are using the wrong needed fossil fuel reduction calculations to save us from extinction within our lifetimes.
• We need to execute the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to save humanity from mass extinction before it is too late.
• Keep in mind that our government leaders have utterly failed to see the coming pain and suffering of the COVID-19 pandemic, nor did they adequately prepare for it. They were not able to manage it or its tipping points. Our government leaders are failing to recognize the global warming tipping points or adequately prepare for the extinction emergency that is already unfolding and will be far worse than COVID-19.
• Special Update on the carbon 425 ppm Climate Cliff because of new climate research: Click here to see the horrible news that the global warming Climate Cliff does not occur in 2025 at carbon 425 ppm. We already went over the climate cliff in 2015!

What You Can Do Now!

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Footnotes:

⁵⁶ Show. Earth. "Keeling Curve Monthly CO2 Widget." ProOxygen. Accessed January 17, 2017 from https://www.show.earth/kc-monthly-co2-widget

⁵⁷ Hansen, James, et al. "Target atmospheric CO2: Where should humanity aim?"The Open Atmospheric Science Journal 2, no. 1 (2008): 217-231. DOI: 10.2174/1874282300802010217

⁵⁸ International Cryosphere Climate Initiative. Thresholds and Closing Windows.ICCI.org. December 2015. http://iccinet.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/ICCI_thresholds_v6b_151203_high_res.pdf

⁵⁹ David Spratt. "Climate Reality Check." Breakthrough - National Centre for Climate Restoration. March 2016.http://media.wix.com/ugd/148cb0_4868352168ba49d89358a8a01bc5f80f.pdf

⁶⁰ Micheal E. Mann. "The fat tail of climate change risk." Huffington Post. September 11, 2015. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-e-mann/the-fat-tail-of-climate-change-risk_b_8116264.html (In this article, professor Mann uses the terminology “fat tail” to describe global warming tipping point events.)

⁶¹ "Wake Up, Freak Out - then Get a Grip." Vimeo video. 11:34, posted by "Leo Murray," September 11, 2008. http://vimeo.com/1709110

⁶² "The Most IMPORTANT Video You'll Ever See." YouTube video. 9:17, posted by "wonderingmind42," June 16, 2007. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-QA2rkpBSY

If you are interested in understanding the climate science and analysis procedures we used to present the above information, click here for a technical explanation of our climate research process