This global warming current condition statement below is updated every two weeks to consider the latest research, projections, and alerts. It is critical that the following information gets to as many members of generations X, Y, and Z as soon as possible. This generation X, Y, and Z heads-up is because they are the ones who will bear the worst of the global warming emergency.
The following is not meant to shock but to awaken those who do not know to the real, imminent, and catastrophic threats we all now face. It was last updated on 11.5.2021.
These ten facts below are what most other global warming education and environmental groups are afraid to tell you. Once you understand them, you will be better prepared for what is happening now and in the near future.
Maybe we should have titled this article the 10 most important facts about today's global warming emergency that generations X, Y, and Z must know to have a survivable future.
Here is a quick overview of the ten most important facts about global warming. The complete documentation and explanation for each fact are further down in this article.
The ten facts:
Fact 1: We have lost four decades when we could have gradually and easily reduced our global fossil fuel use to avoid the current global catastrophe.
Fact 2: Because we have wasted decades in ineffective climate actions, we are now in a state of runaway global warming. It is too late to prevent the extinction of half of humanity by 2050.
Fact 3: Our governments are less than five years away (2025) from missing our last realistic chance to reduce global fossil fuel use sufficiently to at least, slow down the die-off of half of humanity by 2050.
Fact 4: Missing the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by a lot means we go over the first extinction-evoking tipping point. That greatly accelerates the immutable laws of climate physics toward climate consequence catastrophe and total extinction.
Fact 5: We need to execute a government-driven and government-enforced global mass mobilization immediately! If our governments get us close to the 2025 targets, we can at least, slow down (but not stop) the die-off of half of humanity by mid-century.
Fact 6: Only by getting close to the global 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets and managing most of the other 11 non-global warming global crises will we give ourselves the needed time to prevent the near-total or total extinction of humanity from occurring from 2070 to about 2100.
Fact 7: Our governments continue to grossly underestimate and hide the real and accelerating consequences of global warming, and they seek to pacify us with false or ineffective but hopeful-sounding global warming solutions.
Fact 8: The severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences occurring will soon start rising exponentially!
Fact 9: We are so far behind where we need to be to reduce global fossil fuel use to get even close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets; wise individuals and businesses should already be executing their climate change catastrophe, Plan B.
Fact 10: It is critical to know the remaining timeframes for preparing for global warming consequences and catastrophes.
All the information you need to explain or better understand each of the above statements is below.
The 10 most important facts about today's global warming emergency illuminated
Here are the ten most essential facts to know about global warming and climate change based on today's most current science. These ten facts are what most other global warming education and environmental groups are afraid to tell you.
Once you understand them, you will be better prepared for what is happening now and coming.
We are not asking you to accept these disruptive facts blindly. Instead, we have provided links to their scientific documentation and analysis.
We also will not leave you stuck in this painful news without a solution and balancing positive perspectives. At the end of this article, you will find a link to a comprehensive four-part plan for what you can do to help manage global warming and many of the other 11 major global crises we currently face. To further counterbalance these disruptive facts, you will also find a link to a long list of the many surprising benefits that you will experience as we work toward resolving this challenge and evolutionary opportunity.
Because psychologists say it is better to get the bad news out of the way before the good news, here are essential but difficult facts you must know about today's climate change and global warming emergency:
Fact 1: We have lost four valuable global fossil fuel reduction decades when we could have gradually and easily reduced our global fossil fuel use to avoid the current global catastrophe. (Our governments have ignored more than 40 years of global warming warnings by our best climate scientists.
To save ourselves from the extinction of half of humanity by mid-century, global fossil fuel reductions will have to be radical, painful, immediate, and almost impossible.
Be warned! Our governments ignoring repeated and valid scientific warnings is far from rare. They repeatedly ignored the warnings by the world's best pandemic scientists. Despite many pandemic warnings, almost all of our governments were not still prepared for the COVID-19 pandemic, acted too slow at its onset and, it got out of control --- exactly as pandemic scientists predicted!
Our well-warned governments are grossly unprepared for the global warming-fueled extinction emergency and its many primary and secondary consequences. In the illustration below you see just a few of only the primary global warming consequences.
Fact 2: Because we have wasted decades in ineffective climate actions, we are now in a state of runaway global warming and, it is too late to prevent the extinction of half of humanity by 2050. But, we still can prevent our total extinction. Isn't that worth striving for?
Runaway global warming means that global warming will increase on a runaway course. Runaway global warming occurs because we have crossed critical global warming tipping points. Imagine a train going down a hill with no functional brakes, and you have a good concept of it! However, the scariest thing about runaway global warming is that it will continue, of, and by and of itself with no few practical ways to slow, stop or control it.
With runaway global warming, the average global temperature will continue to get warmer and warmer. This unstoppable temperature rise will be due to our crossing additional climate tipping points and many other climate factors. Once we increase the average global temperature by four degrees Celcius, adapting to global warming consequences is no longer possible!
It is now far too late for individual actions alone to stop runaway global warming and achieve the 2025 global fossil fuel reductions needed to save us from accelerating global warming-driven catastrophe and the die-off of half of humanity by mid-century. At this 11th hour, only a worldwide government-driven mass mobilization (similar in scope to the mass mobilization that occurred before World War II) can save us from total extinction. (See Part 3 of our Job One for Humanity Plan will show you how our governments can complete the required mass mobilization and the now required levels of global fossil fuel reduction to save us.)
Click here to discover all of the details on how we have created our own runaway global warming dilemma and this climate nightmare.
Fact 3: Our governments are less than five years away (2025) from missing our last realistic chance to reduce global fossil fuel use sufficiently to at least, slow down the die-off of half of humanity by 2050. It is only by getting close to these 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets that we maintain any realistic control of our global warming futures and can prevent the total extinction of humanity around or before 2100. (Unfortunately, there is nothing we can do at this point other than to slow down the die-off of half of humanity by mid-century. We have waited and ignored the warnings of climate scientists for too long.)
What are these critical, required 2025 global fossil fuel use reductions? The 2025 targets will require most developed nations to reduce their total global fossil fuel use by a shocking 75% by 2025. This 75% global fossil fuel reduction means that all developed countries (including China and India) must reduce all auto, train, shipping, airline, industrial, agricultural, and home uses of all fossil fuels by 75% by 2025 to meet the life-critical 2025 targets!
These national fossil fuel reduction targets also mean the citizens of those nations must reduce all auto, train, shipping, airline, industrial, agricultural, and home uses of all fossil fuels by 75% by 2025. Now you have a realistic idea of how challenging this reduction task is and how painful it will be to save the future for all of us. (Click here to see full details and the year-by-year 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Also, please keep in mind that, if we fail to come close to these 2025 targets, it will take centuries to millennia for the planet to recover. )
The illustration below will help you visualize how the die-off of half of humanity will unfold. Review the following global warming cascading meltdown illustration starting from the bottom up! Starting from the bottom, this illustration reflects the unfolding natural progression of ever-worsening and interacting consequences and tipping point processes that will occur as global warming continues to escalate pushing us toward our extinction.
For now just get a general idea of all the global warming consequences, tipping points, and human system factors that will be interacting and colliding as well as amplifying and multiplying each other as what we call the Climageddon extinction scenario unfolds in phases and waves.
Remember to start reviewing this illustration from the bottom up beginning with the heating of global warming escalating!
The above illustration help to illuminate how it will affect everyone in its path In one way or another, directly or indirectly, as the above list of heat-driven global warming-related consequences increase in severity, frequency, and scale. (Full explanations of each tipping point and consequence are found here, the 11 key global warming tipping points and, here the 20 worst global warming consequences.)
Fact 4: Missing the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by a lot means we go over the first extinction-evoking tipping point, and that greatly accelerates the immutable laws of climate physics toward climate consequence catastrophe and total extinction. Going over this first critical tipping point will also quickly trigger crossing more even worse global warming extinction-accelerating tipping points faster and faster.
If we fail to meet the 2025 targets, it will produce accelerating temperatures, drought, rain bombs, flooding, and global warming's many other consequences and forms of extreme weather.
If we cross this first extinction-evoking tipping point, we will not be able to prevent the widespread collapse of global agriculture. If we allow global agriculture's widespread failure, the human population will quickly starve, and today's population will soon collapse. (See this critical page for the detailed sequence of the unfolding primary and secondary global warming consequences.)
The above is not even the worse consequence of missing the 2025 targets by a lot. If we do not get very close to these 2025 targets, a result called runaway global warming will eventually render our beautiful Planet Earth completely uninhabitable for our species and many others!
The good news about runaway global warming is that can only happen if we significantly miss the 2025 global reduction targets. If that happens, we cannot stop ourselves from going over the first extinction-evoking global warming tipping point. If that happens, we will then soon cross the two other extinction-accelerating global warming tipping points. (Click here to read about how and when these additional critical extinction-accelerating tipping points will unfold over the next few decades.)
Fact 5: Despite horrible odds for getting close to the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, it is still technically possible to do so. But we immediately need to execute a government-driven and government-enforced global mass mobilization. If our governments get us close to the 2025 targets, we can at least slow down (but not stop) the die-off of half of humanity by mid-century.
Fact 6: Only by getting close to the global 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets and managing most of these other 11 non-global warming global crises will we give ourselves the needed time to prevent the near-total or total extinction of humanity from occurring from 2070 to about 2100.
Here are the 11 other global crises we also have to manage while we push to reach the 2025 targets. If you still think that either the extinction of half of humanity by mid-century or humanity's total extinction beginning around 2070 are overstated, please read this page first, then this page, and then please see this recent scientific summary by respected climate scientists.
Fact 7: Our governments continue to grossly underestimate and hide the real and accelerating consequences of global warming, and they seek to pacify us with false or ineffective but hopeful-sounding global warming solutions
Here is how they do this:
a. They intentionally underestimate how bad global warming will get to keep the public pacified about this growing emergency (Click here to see this history of underestimation.)
b. They hide how soon global warming will worsen exponentially (click here to see when global warming consequences will go from rising gradually (and linearly) to rising exponentially!)
c. Whenever you hear national politicians promise carbon net-zero by 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, or 2070, know that it too equals mass human extinction occurring over the next several decades.
(Click here for a full explanation of the trendy yet grossly ineffective net-zero carbon reduction programs loved by the media, fossil fuel producers, and related fossil fuel-related industries.)
Once one realizes that net-zero carbon programs have more holes in them than swiss cheese, and they will not save us from extinction in time, they are ready to discover what will save us in time. So here are the honest and correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets which are critically needed to save us from the die-off of half of humanity by mid-century.
The world's governments have grossly under-estimated the above three areas because in part, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of the United Nations has cleverly "falsified" global fossil fuel reduction calculations. These "falsified" fossil fuel reduction target calculations also contribute to the accuracy of global warming consequence timetables and predictions.
These global fossil fuel reduction target calculations are vitally important because the IPCC is the treated as world's leading research authority on global warming. All governments rely upon their reduction calculations for their nation's part of the global fossil fuel use reduction targets. Unfortunately, because of this IPCC "falsification" of the needed global fossil fuel reduction calculations, the world now falsely believes it is somewhat close to its needed reduction targets and will be safe for decades to come. Nothing could be farther from the truth! (Click here to discover how the IPCC "falsified" essential global fossil fuel reduction calculations and targets. It is a fascinating, easy read.)
Because of delays in managing global warming honestly, the world is now facing an accelerating extinction emergency. We must now make drastic global fossil fuel reductions before the end of 2025 or, we can't stop ourselves from going over our last chance, extinction-evoking tipping point. Unfortunately, because of many decades of IPCC consequence under-estimation and "falsified" reduction calculations, many global warming consequences are also now unavoidable!
If you still do not believe that we are being told the wrong survival-critical global fossil fuel reduction targets, click the following link and decide for yourself if the incorrect IPCC calculations are intentional or just honest mistakes? (Click here to see the other global fossil fuel reduction target manipulations and politicization problems from within the IPCC.)
Fact 8: The severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences occurring will soon start rising exponentially.
Many of the primary and secondary consequences of global warming will soon stop rising gradually and linearly as they are occurring now! As global warming continues we will cross many more of the 11 key climate tipping points. As we cross more climate tipping points, global warming consequences will not continue to gradually increase in frequency, severity, and scale. Many of the global warming consequences will soon start growing exponentially, (Within the next 3-9 years from 2025-2031.)
In the graph below, the red line is an example of a linear, somewhat steady, predictable, and gradual global warming consequence growth trajectory. (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.) The green line below is an example of a sudden, exponential, and highly unpredictable global warming consequence growth trajectory. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)
The sudden green line exponential growth in the severity, frequency, and scale of global warming-related or triggered consequences will also eventually produce a sudden and abrupt massive global collapse that will be all but impossible to recover from for most nations. (When we use the terms sudden and abrupt, we are speaking in geological timeframes where 3-5 decades is barely a blink of the eye.)
Never forget that the most dangerous exponential growth of global warming consequences will begin within the next 3-9 years (about 2025-2031. This exponential transition also corresponds to when we cross the carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point threshold level. Unfortunately, the exponential growth in global warming consequences will continue worsening after we cross the carbon 425 to 450 threshold level as well!
This exponential growth in the severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences also means that few, if any, NGOs, corporations, or governments will ever be able to either manage or recover from these accelerating consequences for long. Exponential growth also means that unless you have made your emergency preparations long before these consequences begin rising exponentially, you won't have enough time to do so later.
This rising danger of getting caught unprepared exists because our social, economic, and political systems also will become exponentially more unpredictable, unstable, and chaotic. This system instability will happen sometime after global warming consequences enter their exponential curves (the green line above.)
If you have not prepared for exponentially rising global warming consequence growth long before it is needed (2025-2031), you will find yourself in a living hell! (Our Plan B for Climate Change Resilience will provide many ideas on how to get well-prepared for what is coming and what is now unavoidable because of climate system momentum and human system inertia. Unfortunately, getting correctly prepared will take most people and organizations several years!)
Fact 9: We are so far behind where we need to be in reducing global fossil fuel use to get even close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets wise individuals and businesses should already be executing their climate change catastrophe, Plan B.
In addition to our accelerating global warming emergency, we have also failed miserably to manage most of these other 11 critical global challenges to our severe detriment. The amplifying, accelerating, and interacting of these 12 major global crises with each other will soon begin causing a widespread accelerated or abrupt collapse of the critical food production, economic, ecological, and social systems first in weaker nations, but eventually even in the strongest.
Below, you see the complete and utter failure of the IPCC and our governments in doing anything effective to reduce global fossil fuel-related greenhouse gases, which has caused our accelerating global warming, particularly over the last 40 years. The graph below shows the 3 most dangerous greenhouse gasses in atmospheric parts per billion (ppb).
Now is the time for wise individuals and businesses also to create their own Plan B emergency backup survival plans. Plan B is simply an emergency preparation, adaptation, and survival plan. It might even include migration or relocation to safer areas away from the worst of accelerating global warming and the worsening 11 other major global threats.
It is no longer reasonable to rely solely upon our limited-resourced governments to save you, your family, or your business from the rapidly accelerating global warming extinction emergency interacting with our 11 other major global crises. With your Plan B firmly in place, you can keep working with all the rest of us to help slow down global warming and achieve the best remaining possible outcomes after you have prepared your family and business for its worst outcomes and soon-arriving unavoidable consequences. And, if we eventually do get through this extinction emergency, you will have preserved your future opportunity to create a better life from the painful lessons you and all of us will be learning.
Click here to see the Job One for Humanity Plan B. Plan B also includes saving and salvaging as half of our global civilization as we can for as long as we can so; it will be there for us in the post-collapse future.)
(Click here to see the many best possible remaining positive outcomes if our governments mass mobilize and act in time.)
Fact 10: Critical timeframes for getting global warming catastrophe prepared. Depending on your current location, you should still have time left to prepare for and adapt to the myriad of now unavoidable global warming-related primary and secondary consequences. To help you determine how much time you have to prepare, adapt, or relocate, we have provided the global warming and interrelated global crisis timetable below.
Keep in mind that this timetable significantly depends on your current location's safety and global warming risk level. If you are in a higher-risk area, the timeframes are shorter. Also, please keep in mind that while you are preparing and adapting keep pushing our governments to radically reduce global fossil fuel use so that some of humanity will be able to survive mass extinction or near-total extinction even though the current odds are terrible.
In general, the higher global warming risk areas will be between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south. The highest risks will be between the 30th parallel north and the 30th parallel south.
Most global warming consequence-related deaths will occur within the poor and undeveloped countries between the 40th parallel north and the 4Oth parallel south. In the image below, the red line marks the 40th parallel north. The yellow line marks the 40th parallel south.
Here are the critical survival and location-relevant deadlines and timeframes to know and use for your personal and business survival:
a. The 5-year deadline: (From now until the end of 2025.) At this time, it is appropriate to admit it is all but impossible for us to fully meet the total 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets! But, we still do have enough time left to slow down (but not avoid) a mid-century mass extinction event for half of humanity by getting close to them. Thus, although we have passed the point of avoiding the die-off of half of humanity, we still can maintain some level of control of our global warming future. And most importantly, we can still prevent total extinction by getting very close to the 2025 targets!
This total extinction danger also means we have to educate the world about the extinction-evoking global warming tipping point deadlines after preparing our survival provisions and after creating safe and sustainable community cooperatives or sanctuaries. (See this Plan B emergency plan page, which discusses how to prepare in the safest locations and what are the least safe places to ride out the global warming extinction emergency.)
b. The 5-10-year deadline: (This assumes we will miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and did not get close to them.) From 2020 to 2027, global warming consequences will steadily worsen in a rising but steeper linear progression. More people will wisely migrate to safer areas. Millions will die because of climate-related food shortages and other global warming-related catastrophes.
If you have prepared, adapted, and if applicable, are in a global warming safer location before 2027, and you have a good Plan B in place, depending upon your location, relative stability and security for family and business are probable until about 2030 to 2040. (See this Plan B emergency plan page, which discusses how to prepare in the safest locations and what are the least safe places to ride out the global warming extinction emergency.)
c. The 10-15 year deadline: (This assumes we will miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and we did not get close to the 2025 targets.) After 2030-2035 many other climate, human, ecological, political, and economic tipping points will be crossed due to accelerating global warming consequences and global warming amplifying the consequences of most of these 11 other critical global challenges.
The stability and security of even the safest and best prepared global warming safer locations will lessen and become increasingly challenging. Those individuals in supportive cooperatives or sustainable communities should be significantly safer and better adapted than those who are not. (See this Plan B emergency plan page, which discusses how to prepare in the safest locations and what are the least safe places to ride out the global warming extinction emergency.)
d. The 15-25 year deadline: (This assumes we will miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and we did not get close to meeting these targets.) Beginning around 2030, the frequency, severity, and size of the 20 worst global warming consequences will move from a steeply rising linear progression into an exponential progression. As a result, stability and security for even the best prepared, safer global warming locations, cooperatives, and sustainable communities will become far more complex and dangerous. (See this Plan B emergency plan page, which discusses how to prepare in the safest locations and what are the least safe places to ride out the global warming extinction emergency.)
e. The 25-30-year deadline: (This assumes we will miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and at least, we got close to them or compensated for these targets somewhere over this period.) By mid-century, extinction for half of humanity will still be unavoidable. From 2030-2050 will be the riskiest period to survive for much to most of society. Generally, things will be better in safer global warming locations, special cooperatives, and sustainable communities. But even there, survival is far from guaranteed without the highest preparation, adaptation, and cooperation levels. (See this Plan B emergency plan page, which discusses how to prepare in the safest locations and what are the least safe places to ride out the global warming extinction emergency.)
f. The 50-year deadline: (This assumes we will miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and unfortunately, we did not even get close to them.) In this case, we will face the worst consequences of runaway global warming. We will be heading toward the beginning of the runaway greenhouse gas effect, which ripped the atmosphere off Venus. Because of this escalating runaway global warming reality and not getting close to the 2025 reduction targets, humanity will, unfortunately, finally face a total extinction event beginning as soon as 2070-2100. We call this the Climageddon Scenario.
At this dangerous juncture in the evolution of humanity, it is also wholly appropriate to feel fear because of the many known consequences of accelerating global warming and the worsening of these 11 other global crises. While generalized fear or panic often paralyzes, there are positive evolutionary reasons for fear's emotion. The positive use of fear exists for those rare times when there are REAL threats to your survival. Positive fear mobilizes the observant and wise to act before it is too late!
So, here is some good timeline news. If we at least get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we can still prevent total human extinction. If we do not, we begin crossing too many additional extinction-triggering tipping points. This happens far too fast to prevent the worst consequences of runaway global warming multiplying the worsening effects of the other 11 major global crises. (Highly relevant additional emergency preparation, adaptation, and other location/relocation safety and risk level information useful for wisely using the timetable above begins on this page.)
One Last Mini-Fact: The Common False Belief that New Carbon Removal Technology Will Save Us Just in Time
Many people falsely believe that geoengineering, carbon capture, or some other new miracle technology will ride in like a knight on a white horse at the last minute to save humanity from the natural consequences of its previous bad climate decisions, actions, inactions, and mistakes.
(Click here to read about why this fairy tale carbon capture technology is not going to happen or will be "too little too late" to save us.)
(Click here to read how challenging it will be to reach the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets.)
The Ten Facts Summary:
1. The IPCC has deceived our governments about the true global fossil fuel reduction targets and how bad and fast global warming catastrophe and mass extinction are coming.
2. Our governments are failing horribly in achieving the real 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. This will push the world over critical global warming extinction triggering tipping points and bring about the unavoidable extinction of half of humanity and widespread social collapse by mid-century.
3. The battle to prevent the extinction of half of humanity by mid-century is over. The fight to prevent total extinction has begun. It is now the last chance for our governments to mass mobilize and act together with the correct actions to prevent global social collapse and humanity's total extinction.
4. While we try to get our governments to mass mobilize and come close to the 2025 targets, it IS also time for individuals and businesses to execute their emergency Plan B. Plan B consists of preparing for and adapting to the soon-arriving climate mega-catastrophes, widespread social collapse, and the inevitable mass extinction of half of humanity by mid-century. (To see precisely how widespread social collapse will occur due to the accelerating global warming emergency, please read the secondary consequences on this page.)
5. The comprehensive Job One Climate Resilience Plan offers honest, reality-based hope for surviving and thriving throughout the uncertain future. It covers:
a. the real 2025 fossil fuel targets,
b. the correct actions our governments need to do slow down mass extinction and prevent total extinction, and
c. what we as individuals, businesses, and governments must do to have the proper emergency backup Plan B in place to ride out what is coming.
6. The Job One for Humanity Plan is based on the simple logic that, if we do not come close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, when faced with unavoidable mass extinction and a highly probable total extinction event, it is best to use your remaining time and energy wisely. This wise use of remaining time and energy would include:
a.) making your remaining time as fulfilling, meaningful, and comfortable as possible for as long as you can (Parts 1 and 2 of the Job One Plan.)
b.) doing everything within your power to save and salvage whatever you can of humanity and civilization for as long as you can instead of doing nothing and losing everything! (Parts 3 and 4 of the Job One Plan.)
Unfortunately, to delay the required painful global fossil fuel reductions to save us from total extinction, our governments and politicians will continue to deny the above facts under the guise of preventing public panic. At this time, too many governments and environmental groups have been compromised by the money and influence of fossil fuel-producing nations, fossil fuel-related industries, and their lobbyists.
To keep the public calm and ignorant of the imminent extinction dangers described above, it is very likely our governments will continue to issue false or misleading global warming reduction progress reports. Our governments will likely seek to distract us with false hope solutions like the many existing and illusionary carbon capture and new geoengineering schemes.
For humanity to survive and thrive, we must go where science and the facts lead us and face the cold and bitter reality of the real threat of our current extinction emergency. We must continue to speak truth to power no matter how uncomfortable those facts might be.
The above ten facts about our global warming future are well known within the appropriate intelligence agency departments and by selected political leaders within most developed nations. Moreover, those informed individuals are already preparing themselves, their families and secretly instituting the necessary governmental preparation and control projects to deal with these future extinction-level threats.
At Job One, we feel that ordinary people worldwide also have the absolute right to have this critical information. Having it, they too can prepare in advance for what is coming. They, too, can readjust their lives while relative stability still exists. They, too, have the right to find meaning and enjoyment in the diverse relationships of their remaining lives.
The Single Most Important Summary Fact for Your and Your Family's Survival
Our failed Plan A for climate change was having our governments try to gradually reduce global fossil fuel use over the last 40 years. If we were even remotely successful with Plan A, the planet would not be rapidly overheating, we would not be on the edge of an unavoidable extinction of half of humanity by mid-century, and we also would not be staring down the high probability of total human extinction by as soon as 2070 or sooner.
Unfortunately, the history of our 40-year Plan A was a complete failure. In fact, it did not even come close to occurring for the 28+ reasons listed on this page. Accordingly, it is now long past the time for wise individuals, businesses, and nations to begin an effective emergency backup and adaptation Plan B before it is too late to slow down what we can no longer avoid! Click here to start your personal Plan B!
What we can still control
Because global warming is already in a runaway state and primarily out of our control, it is good to be clear about the two things that we can still control:
1. We can slow down some unavoidable global warming consequences by getting our governments to execute Part 3 of the Job One Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan (aka Plan B.)
2. We can prepare to survive accelerating global warming consequences for as long and as comfortably as possible. At the same time, we can hope that this crisis does not turn into total extinction and that our wise preparation helps us make it through the now unavoidable death of half of humanity by mid-century.
Now that you know the most important facts about climate change and global warming please also see the 9 facts about climate change that most people misunderstand.
Please share the above critical ten global warming facts with everyone you can and, please sign the:
And, if you read nothing else from the many links above, read this page!
Please also see the latest global warming and climate change predictions for 2021.
About the organization presenting the above information
The not-for-profit Job One for Humanity organization provides a unique, holistic analysis and systems-level, big picture overview of the many inter-connected and inter-dependent climate systems creating our current global warming emergency.
Unlike other climate change educational organizations, we do provide prioritized, critical-path solutions to the global warming emergency built upon unpoliticized and science-accurate global fossil fuel reduction targets, and the most dangerous global warming tipping point deadlines we currently face.
Our organization focuses on educating individuals and businesses on how to adapt to what we can no longer avoid! It will help you and your business survive and thrive through the many soon-arriving climate change catastrophes.
The pages on our website will illuminate the physics and math-determined interactions of the climate's many complex systems in easy-to-understand illustrations, descriptions, and documentation. We know no other website that so candidly presents such a comprehensive systems-level overviewing window into our global warming future.
The essential positive perspectives on the above disruptive global warming and climate change news
Despite the many types of unavoidable challenging global warming consequences and past fossil fuel reduction mistakes that we now face, we can still learn from their feedback, and we can adapt and evolve to make life as good and as happy as is possible. No matter how severe the coming global warming consequences might become, if we wisely play the remaining cards that we have been dealt with, we can still achieve the best remaining possible outcomes.
We can make a significant difference in reducing global fossil fuel use to stabilize and save some parts of humanity's future. We can execute a comprehensive fossil fuel reduction and survival plan like the Job One for Humanity Plan.
We can still maintain the perseverance needed to succeed in this monumental task by regularly reviewing the many benefits which will occur as we work successfully on this project together. Although we are now in what could be called a Great Global Collapse process triggered by accelerating global warming, this collapse process will eventually offer equal to (or greater than) long-term benefits beyond the coming suffering and loss.
On this page that has been read almost 2 million times and then this other critical global warming benefit page, you will find the many often hidden surprise benefits of global warming. You also will find a framework for what could be called a post-collapse Great Rebirth, no matter how bad the collapse process gets.
We can persevere through this temporary time of emergency. To do so, we need to remember that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our greatest evolutionary opportunities. We can also never forget that we are engaged in nothing less than the most critical and meaningful evolutionary challenge, opportunity, and adventure in human history!
This is our last opportunity to slow down the accelerating mass human extinction threat by getting close to these 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
Only by reaching these targets will we be able to remove the even worse threat of total extinction.
So, get started on the Job One for Humanity Survive and Thrive plan today. Help save and salvage much of humanity and our beautiful civilization as is possible.
If you are either curious or need some extra motivation to get into action, we then strongly recommend also reading this popular page. It describes the above major consequences unfolding in a detailed step-by-step process as well as the complete scope and breadth of the extinction emergency that we are all now facing on many consequence fronts.
A quick summary of all of the above
There is just one immediate fact to know and focus upon concerning our climate change and global warming future. If we get this one right, most of the other problems will take care of themselves.
If our world governments do not immediately execute a mass mobilization of the necessary resources to come close to reducing global fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025, half of humanity will be dead by mid-century and if we miss those targets by too much, humanity faces the beginnings of total extinction in the second half of the 21st century or sooner.
That is all you really need to remember and focus on. If you do not believe what we have said above is accurate, click here to see precisely how this global warming nightmare will unfold.
Here is more related documentation and science prooving the above 10 facts are accurate
We challenge you to decide their truth for yourself or to prove these facts wrong. Please read the expanded explanations below for each above fact and then check out their deeper dive documentation links as needed.
Our governments were not prepared for the COVID-19 pandemic and they are equally not prepared for the global warming emergency.
We are not being told the painful truth by our governments (or even by many of our most prominent environmental groups,) about how catastrophic global warming currently is or, how unbearable it's going to get. Their analysis, calculations, and consequence timetable predictions are grossly underestimated and are dead wrong by as much as 20-40%.
What has been hidden from you by our governments, the media, and inadvertently by many of our most prominent environmental groups
1. We have actually increased fossil fuel use more this century than in the last two decades of the 20th century. More than half of all fossil fuel emissions which have been released over the previous 25 years are now more than were released in ALL of recorded history before 1990.
2. We are about 67% higher in carbon emissions than the early 1990s. This is even though we have had over 21 international fossil fuel reduction conferences and treaties since 1993 pledging we would reduce worldwide global warming. (Atmospheric carbon emissions is probably the best way to measure future global warming.)
3. In 2018 carbon emissions increased another dramatic 2.7% and they are projected to rise once again in 2019. (Here is a graph that shows the rising carbon in the atmosphere to help you visualize that things are not just going bad. As of August 2019, we are now at about carbon 414 parts per million in our atmosphere [ppm.]
Carbon in our atmosphere is getting exponentially worse while you are being told we are doing better at reducing global carbon emissions. Worse yet, exponential increases in carbon emissions will likely also mean exponential increases in future global warming consequences.)
Yes, intentionally or through ignorance or, as part of intentional systemic deception our governments, the media, and most of the world's environmental groups have not been telling us the REAL facts about our REAL lack of any meaningful progress whatsoever in reducing the rate of fossil fuel use increases, much less the complete absence of any substantive reductions anywhere across the world in reducing atmospheric carbon.
The following links will also help you decide if our current grossly underestimated public information about global warming exists because of unintentional misrepresentation, innocent mistakes, or systemic, intentional deception by hidden vested interests.
1. We are not anywhere even close to where we should be in fossil fuel use reductions to save us from unthinkable climate catastrophes and extinction. Click here to read about how "made up" calculations were used to set our current national and international fossil fuel reduction targets. These made up calculations came from including untested new technologies which even they admit, will not be available until sometime after 2050, if ever!
2. Click here to review and verify the government-promoted 20-40% global warming underestimation errors. And,
3. If you don't believe we are telling you the facts about our dismal failure in reducing global warming over the last 35 years, click here. You can view a short video by climate Professor Kevin Anderson in a recent presentation to the Oxford University Climate Society.
Something to think about once you have read the above documentation links on the underestimation, and inappropriate or incomplete calculations:
a. Can you imagine what the reasons might be for why our governments would publically give us such grossly underestimated global warming consequence timetables, threat assessments, and inadequate solutions, especially when the actual threat is so much more severe?
b. Who (what types of individuals, corporations, or government departments) would most benefit by providing such false and grossly misleading global warming information to the public?
Click here to see the REAL global fossil fuel reduction levels we must hit by 2025. You will be stunned if not shocked!
Click here to review the intentionally inappropriate or incomplete global government-supported calculations used to create the false belief that things are far better than they really are.
Why the false global warming information is so dangerous
Having grossly underestimated global warming consequences and timetable information presented by "trusted" authorities creates a false sense of public safety and removes any urgency to resolve it. This incorrect global warming timetable information is extremely dangerous because if we had more accurate information, we would, without a doubt, experience a legitimate and appropriate fear.
These falsehoods about global warming will increasingly cause extreme suffering and loss to larger and larger percentages of humanity. In part, the above false statements exist because there have been numerous government underestimation errors and intentionally inappropriate and/or incomplete calculations. This is particularly true concerning the necessary national and international fossil fuel reduction targets now being given to the public.
There has been significant deception regarding the real consequences of the current escalating global warming. This government-financed and promoted inaccurate information creates the false belief and sense of security that things are far better than they really are.
This also makes us believe that we are making sufficient and steady progress in reducing global warming when the hard truth is we are not!
Our governments are not telling us the truth about how unbearable and how bad global warming is going to get.
Many catastrophic global warming consequences are going to arrive far sooner than we are being told. Some of these coming catastrophic global warming consequences are already unavoidable!
The worst consequences of global warming will not be occurring around 2100 as we are now being told by our governments. The worst will start to occur as soon as the next 10 to 30 years in a continually worsening spiral.
Click here to review the 20 worst global warming consequences that will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale (area affected.)
Click here for the worst cataclysmic consequences, which are derived from crossing global warming tipping points that will also continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale. (Crossing more major global warming tipping points also produces additional, unique and hyper-intense extinction-evoking consequences.)
Click here to see the real time frames in which the many worst global warming consequences will be unfolding.
The terrifying thought that is completely real and critical for you to burn into your brain is that most of humanity will die by mid-century, but our ability to have any real or meaningful control over this looming emergency ends around about 2025 sometime after we enter the carbon 425-450 ppm range.
(At the very end of this document, you will find tips on how to emotionally deal with these new and painful facts of global warming.)
If we keep going the way we are now, and we continue to ignore the critical fossil fuel reduction science, we are about five years away (2025) from missing our last practical opportunity to reduce global warming enough to be able to control our global warming futures and prevent the most catastrophic of global warming outcomes from occurring.
Additionally, it is far too late for individual fossil fuel reduction actions to make a significant difference. Only government-driven actions by all nations will save us in time.
In part, this is because the real facts and true urgency about the global warming crisis were hidden from us by our governments and the fossil fuel industry. We did not do what was necessary to resolve global warming over the last 35 years after we were informed about it by our scientists.
We have squandered valuable time. This valuable time could have been used while the "cure" was still easier and far more manageable.
Saddest of all, we are still trying to do "far too little far too late" to make any real difference. This far too little far too late is also occurring because we are still using fossil fuel reduction targets that are grossly incorrect for the emergency we really are in.
Had we started fixing global warming gradually and effectively 35 years ago, it would be far easier to control and manage now.
Being out of meaningful control of our global warming crisis means that average global temperatures will most probably continue increasing more rapidly for at least another 30-50 years. There will be a series of cataclysmic consequences.
More extinction-evoking tipping points will be crossed. And, unless we meet or get very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, this can not be avoided!
Below please find the best REAL estimates for time frames in which average global temperatures will continue to increase for at least another 30-50 years. The Climageddon Scenario (CS) mentioned below is a new and more complete climate model for how global warming's consequences will unfold over the next 50+ years.
Click here to see more about how the many global warming consequences and tipping points will unfold in the full Climageddon Scenario.
At this point, it is far too late for individual fossil fuel reduction actions to make a significant difference. Only government-driven actions by all nations will save us in time. Click here to see the needed effective government-driven actions.
If we keep acting the way we are now, we will not reach our last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
In spite of the horrible odds of not hitting the 2025 global reduction targets, we still must do everything we can do to come as close to meeting these targets as is possible. If we come close to these 2025 targets, we can at least can slow down a mass human, animal, and plant species extinction event, which will continue to unfold over the next 30-50 years.
Click here to read about the 4 extinction evoking global warming tipping points that we will cross in the next few decades that will push us over the cliff into a mass human extinction event. The good news is that by just getting very close to the 2025 targets, we can still give ourselves the needed time to prevent a total human extinction event from occurring. (Part 3 of our Job One for Humanity Plan will show you how you can help to do this. If needed, click here to review the horrible odds and the many reasons why it is highly unlikely we will reach our exact 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.)
Click here for the full timeline and consequence details for this climageddon extinction scenario and countdown and why mass die-offs and a climageddon-type global warming mass extinction event killing most of humanity by mid-century, but only if we miss the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
Theoretically, we can still hit the very challenging 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. But, hitting the 2025 targets is highly improbable as things stand now!
Reaching these 2025 targets (or, at the least, getting very close to them,) makes it possible to retain some remaining control of our global warming futures. It will also allow us to at least slow down the worst of the currently unavoidable global warming consequences long enough to protect and preserve ourselves for a while longer. It will also allow us more preparation time to get ready for those many global warming consequences we can no longer avoid.
Unfortunately, we have a real problem! We have squandered our last 35 years of global warming warnings with denial, inaction, or ineffective actions.
Because of this 35 year delay, we have crossed many global warming tipping points and we will soon begin the process of crossing the four extinction-evoking tipping points described here. This means that we can not stop every global warming consequence that is coming. Many horrible consequences are already locked into our climate system. But, if we are successful in reaching or coming very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, it will:
a. slow down some of the worst of the currently unavoidable global warming consequences and the mass human, animal, and biological extinction event occurring within our lifetimes. (This slowing down is very important because it means that we can prevent crossing at least some of these four extinction-evoking tipping points and more people will have more time left to prepare and adapt to the consequences we can no longer avoid.) And,
b. If we at least, get very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, there is still some reasonable hope we can avoid a total extinction event.
We can achieve both of the above goals and life-saving benefits by doing the following two steps:
Step A. immediately and radically reducing our fossil fuel use to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction target levels. The minimum amount that we need to reduce fossil fuel use to slow or prevent the processes of going extinct in the next few decades is as follows:
1. All industrially developed nations (including China and India,) must reduce their total fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025. This means that to hit the 75% reduction target by 2025, developed nations must reduce their annual total fossil fuel usage by about 25% per year to hit the 75% target in six years.
Once developed nations hit the 2025 reduction target, they then must continue reducing fossil fuel use to net-zero carbon emissions by 2035. (Net carbon zero emissions means that no additional fossil fuel emissions are going into the atmosphere that is not also simultaneously being removed from the atmosphere by natural means.)
Only about 20 mostly developed countries produce 70% or more of the world's carbon emissions. Think of developed nations like most members of the G 20 group; Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, China, and India.
2. All developing nations must maintain their total fossil fuel emission levels as they are at the beginning of 2019 and not allow them to go any higher. Then by 2045, all developing nations must also be at net-zero carbon emissions. This means all developing nations need to reduce their fossil fuel use by about 6% per year until 2045 to meet the net-zero target.
This allowance for developing nations to stay at the level they are now and gradually reduce down to net-zero carbon emissions at 6 % per year by 2045 is part of an essential justice and equity equation. The developed nations created their wealth by producing the majority of all carbon emissions in the atmosphere today. They have caused almost all of our current global warming extinction emergency.
On this page, you will also find all the necessary documentation and technical footnotes for the 2025 targets described briefly above.
If we don't hit the above 2025 targets above, here is the information on why and how a mass human, animal, and biological extinction event will occur within our lifetimes, (full detail on this page.)
Yes, it is still possible that we can still get very close to the very challenging global fossil fuel reductions by 2025. Even though preventing a mass extinction event is highly unlikely, it is still possible to prevent a total extinction event from beginning about 50-70 years from now!
To do this, we need to immediately get VERY busy and focus on the government-driven actions from the Job One Plan. (To learn what our governments must do to meet the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets, click here for part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan.) (To see how a global warming-caused total extinction event will begin about 50-70 years from now click the following link, run-a-way global warming.
Once you have read more about the 2025 targets here, also consider reading this page which explains why it will be unbelievably difficult and very near impossible for us to hit the 2025 targets. (This page provides great reasons on why it will be particularly important to do Part 1, your personal emergency preparation Plan B of the Job One Plan --- os even if we miss the 2025 targets your life will be less stressful and painful.
We need to execute a government-directed "in case we fail backup plan."
With a government-directed emergency backup plan, we may still be able to save and salvage enough of humanity and civilization in case we again delay, deny, and fail to reduce fossil fuel emissions adequately.
Click here to see what the government-directed emergency backup plan preparations must be.
Martin Luther King said something that is equally applicable today to the urgency of slowing down global warming enough so that at least some of humanity and civilization will go on.
"We are now faced with the fact that tomorrow is today. We are confronted with the fierce urgency of now. In this unfolding conundrum of life and history, there is such a thing as being too late. Procrastination is still the thief of time. We must move past indecision to immediate action."
At this point, we strongly recommend that you click here and watch this 4 Minute Global Warming Video by Greta Thunberg given at the United Nations on September 23, 2019. It may help you to understand and feel the real seriousness of the global warming-caused extinction emergency we now face.
(If you still do not believe that a mass human, animal, and biological extinction event caused by global warming is a high probability within your lifetime [30-50 years from now,] click here. This page will take you through how and when the four extinction-evoking global warming tipping points will rapidly be crossed if we miss the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets.)
All of the above also means that because we are so far behind in effectively reducing global warming and meeting the 2025 global targets, this is the proper time for wise individuals to create their own global warming emergency preparation, adaptation, and survival plans.
This way you can still effectively "work for the best while you have prepared for the worst."
By having your personal Plan B in place, you will not be unprepared for the mass suffering and death of the rapidly escalating consequences of the global warming emergency like we largely were for the COVID-19 pandemic and emergency! These Plan B emergency strategies could also include migrating to areas that would be safer from the future effects of global warming.
As emergencies and crises all over the world have taught us, it is unwise to rely exclusively on our governments as this or any emergency worsens. Our governments like in the COVID19 pandemic will quickly run out of resources and never be able to reach and care for every citizen as things continue to worsen.
Having emergency preparations and adaptive strategies already in hand is how you will be able to save and salvage as much of your own life, family, and business as is possible. This backup plan prepare, adapt, migrate strategy is also critical because most individuals and companies are so grossly unprepared for the severity of the many global warming consequences that are arriving soon.
This emergency preparation and plan is particularly crucial if you also happen to live in one of the global warming unsafe zones.
(To learn about the location of safer and unsafe zones, click here.)
The time remaining in which to make these personal and business emergency preparations or to migrate to the limited global warming safe zones is exceedingly short. This shortness of time is real because of factors like immigration regulations in the global warming safer zones already becoming more restrictive. Additionally, future legal immigration will be all but shut down as the emergency reaches global catastrophe levels.
If you look closely, you can already see many global warming-related crisis areas developing in our overheating world. These are places that will soon initiate the greatest climagee migration in human history. (Climagees are global warming climate crisis-related refugees.)
Click here to learn about what to do for your personal emergency and adaptation preparations. This page will describe the factors behind the relatively short prepare and migrate timeframes for people living in global warming unsafe zones. These personal emergency preparations also include information on how you can physically, emotionally thrive and survive through the coming waves of economic, political, and social loss, suffering, and chaos.
What else is important to remember on this page
1. We have been deceived by intentional falsehoods as well as commonly held illusions concerning the real dangers and facts about escalating global warming for over 35 years!
2. We now need to hit the REAL and required global fossil fuel reduction targets found here. Reaching these targets will keep us from crossing the even more hazardous atmospheric carbon level of 425 to 450 parts per million (ppm.) (We are at about carbon 414 ppm right now.)
3. Once we reach the carbon 425 to 450 ppm range, there will be so much climate system momentum from all of the previously emitted carbon and other greenhouse gases that this previous momentum alone will continue to propel us towards even higher temperatures. Worse yet, stopping this massive climate momentum from moving us toward ever-higher temperatures will be like trying to stop a gigantic boulder from rolling faster and faster down a hill that keeps getting steeper and steeper.
4. There is a terrifying thought that is critical for you to burn into your mind. Half of humanity, as well as our animal species and biological species, will go extinct within as little as 30-50 years. While at the same time, our ability to have any meaningful control over this emergency ends around about 2025 just after we cross the carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point level.
5. A global warming-caused mass extinction event is already unavoidable within your lifetime but we do still have some reasonable hope of avoiding a total extinction event. We can avoid a global warming-caused mass extinction event only if we come very close to meeting the required 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
6. In case you still think technology will save us at the last minute, no new carbon removal technologies will be able to save us in time. In part, this is because those who are relying on this technology to save us are projecting it will not even be available until sometime after 2050. 2050 is long after irreversible damage is already done and long after anything can be done for the billions of people who will suffer and die! (Click here to learn more about the new technology will save us deception.)
7. It easy to see that we are in fact, already in a global warming extinction emergency (aka climate extinction emergency.) This emergency is still occurring in significant part because of the above new information as well as intentional falsehoods and commonly held illusions about our global warming crisis.
8. If we fail to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, it is as important to come as close as possible to achieving them. This way, more of us can live longer, and we can have more time to prepare, adapt, and migrate.
9. Our governments have once again failed us in preparing for and managing the global warming extinction emergency just like the failed us in preparing for and managing the COVID-19 pandemic before it became a worldwide catastrophe! Time to get your Plan B emergency survival preparations in place.
The above is all you have to remember about global warming and your future. Many of the pages on our website will show you the exact science behind these statements to verify what we are saying is true. You can start or continue that verification process here.
If you remember nothing else, remember this. We have only about 5 years left to reduce our global fossil fuel use enough to prevent a mass human extinction of most of humanity by mid-century. This extinction will be far, far worse than our current COVID-19 pandemic. The mass human extinction is being caused by our going over deadly global warming tipping points!
Why we must succeed?
Because of the preceding, we genuinely have no rational alternative other than to never cross the super-dangerous transitional range and the extinction forwarding tipping point of the carbon 425-450 ppm range. In spite of all of the challenges and adverse outcomes that are possible in failing to hit our 2025 targets, what we can know with certainty about this extinction emergency is this:
a. We can still fix this global warming extinction emergency but only by getting our governments to execute the governmental actions on this page immediately. These effective governmental actions are designed to hit the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets successfully.
b. The highest truth for the best possible future global warming outcomes for humanity is that even if we miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by some amount, the faster and more we reduce our overall global fossil fuel use to come as close to these targets as possible:
1. the more people who will not suffer or die over the next 30 to 50 years in a mass extinction event,
2. future generations will suffer far less from an escalating chain of global warming consequences,
3. we will have more time to prepare for, adapt to, or migrate away from the many now unavoidable global warming consequences,
4. we may still be able to avoid a total extinction event caused by run-a-way global warming, and,
5. it will be much harder to impossible to get control of and manage these 12 other major global challenges.
The ultimate and still remaining global warming question for every person, business, religion, and the government on Earth
We were grossly unprepared for the COVID-19 pandemic despite repeated warnings by our scientists. We are woefully unprepared for the coming global warming extinction emergency and we have once again have ignored the warnings of our scientists.
If we continue to fail to act effectively, we face unavoidable mass human extinction for most of humanity by mid-century and total extinction within as little as 50-70 years.
We have already all but lost the battle to avoid global warming mass extinction by our being so far away from hitting the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
The ultimate remaining global warming question for every person, business, religion, and the government should be most concerned about at this time is:
"Will we, at least, come close enough to the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets so that humanity can avoid total extinction?"
Click here to see where we are today on the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock.
Some good news
With the information on this page and in the links above, you are now better...
The extra good news here is that no matter what and, in spite of how severe this emergency is or will become until we miss our 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets (and even afterward if we are close to reaching them,) we still have time left to cooperate in slowing it down its consequences. And, we can also still have enjoyable and meaningful lives while we face and overcome this challenge or its consequences.
Click here for what you can individually do to slow down global warming.
One simple action you can take to help resolve the global warming emergency in just 2 quick clicks.
Help us get the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction goals met by signing the global warming extinction emergency petition now!
Despite Everything Disheartening that You Have Read Above, the Job One For Humanity organization is NOT an End-of-the-World, all-is-lost organization
Please click here to read our recently updated balanced, positive approach toward the monumental challenges we face to avoid extinction and the widespread collapse of our global systems.
Are you feeling sad, upset, depressed, angry, or anxious about the global warming emergency?
There is a lot of horrible news to digest about global warming. Any person who realizes that our governments are not doing enough to save us from unthinkable suffering and loss will naturally experience sadness, anger, depression, or significant anxiety.
The Job One for Humanity staff also has had to digest all the dreadful global warming news. To get our team though it emotionally, we learned about something called the Kubler Ross model of change. This emotional management model helped our team deal with all of the challenging emotions that today's global warming news evokes.
We felt it would be irresponsible to leave our readers without some of these tools to manage the intense feelings that the global warming emergency can create. Accordingly, we are providing the following images and tools that should help you come to emotional terms with the new realities of global warming. Here's how these global warming caused emotional reactions, transitions, and healings usually look for most people:
1. If you're like most people, what you have learned about the global warming emergency will cause you to initially react with denial and shock.
2. If you have the tenacity to explore more concerning how bad our governments have let global warming become, you will likely also become frustrated and angry at "how could our politicians and governments ever allow this to happen.
3. If you continue examing the facts of the global warming emergency and its solutions, you will most likely then enter into a bargaining or experimenting phase to find some way to deal with such disturbing and disruptive information on your life and future.
4. If you continue verifying the facts of the global warming emergency as well as it's honest but difficult and painful solutions, you will most likely next enter into a transitional feeling of grief or depression.
5. As you work your way through your grief or depression, you will eventually come to a level of acceptance of what is scientifically accurate. (Even though it is currently is being suppressed by the fossil fuel industry, mass media, and the politicians owned by the fossil fuel industry.)
A bit more about the Kubler Ross Model emotional management model
The five primary emotional transition levels above are vital parts of the Kubler Ross model. Over time, this model is a useful tool to help you deal with the global warming denial, anger, fear, grief or anxiety that any healthy person would experience once they truly realize the current nature of our global warming emergency.
The Kubler Ross model is used to help people deal with the medical news that they are going to die. But, it still has powerful relevance here.
This is true because as you wrestle with the new global warming realities, you will most likely go through these five emotional phases over and over again. You will do this in numerous waves until you finally reach a profound and deeply stable state of acceptance, peace, and hopefully motivation to do whatever you can to reduce this threat.
When you finally realize how bad our global warming emergency is the challenging emotional effects is a real thing! If you don't believe us, please click here to read about a new report called, The Psychological Effects of Global Warming on the United States and Why the U.S. Mental Health Care System Is Not Adequately Prepared.
Reaching necessary emotional acceptance and getting into action
Once you reach a level of emotional acceptance for what you have learned about the global warming emergency, you will be more willing and ready to begin new ways to solve the global warming emergency. You also will find yourself being better prepared to make new decisions on how to adapt and integrate this critical information into your life and business.
You may begin even emergency preparations for the unavoidable coming global warming consequences. This way, you are better able to protect you, your family and business and wisely maximize the chances of staying out of harm's way.
Once one reaches the critical state of emotional acceptance of the reality of what one is facing, most mature adults do as they have done for millennia. They accept what they cannot change and start finding ways to adapt to it. (There are also many adaptation steps found in the Job One Plan.) They also accept the truth of the bad news, and they get busy working on whatever they can do to change and improve it. (In this case, the get active on the Job One Plan action steps.)
We at Job One have found that the best thing to help minimize the emotional pain and trauma is to get busy completing the action steps of the Job One Plan. This is true even if you have not fully reached the acceptance level of your emotional recovery. The Job One Plan's many action steps proactively focus your attention on what can still be done. This focus on the needed action also minimizes your available attention on the negatives (once they have served their purpose of redirecting you to action on the deeper truths of this emergency.)
Therapy or support groups also can help you work through having the painful realization that humanity is in the worst existential crisis on its history and, we do not have much time left (until 2025,) to effectively prevent mass extinction. Therapy or support groups can also help get you motivated to do whatever you can on the many action steps of the Job One Plan.
As you continue to understand the scale of our global warming emergency, you may also come to realize that our lives and our children's lives are going to be far shorter than we ever imagined. But that still can be changed if we immediately react to the challenge of radically reducing our global fossil fuel usage to meet the 2025 targets!
One last emotional recovery tip
Not everything about our global warming extinction emergency is emotionally disheartening. There are many surprising benefits to this emergency. Click here to read the single most read page on our website on these many benefits. At Job One we review this list regularly to maintain the mental well-being of our own staff. We also discovered that regular review of this good news and benefits list was critical to keeping our volunteers on-mission and maintaining their motivation as well.
What else to consider?
1. Some of you have already reviewed the supporting science and analysis links provided above. This information will likely motivate you to begin the fossil fuel reduction actions and other global warming solutions found within the links above. Well done! You will reap the benefits.
2. Some of you will not or, did not review the science and analysis verification links. This subtle avoidance may only provide a brief escape from the discomfort of knowing the problematic facts listed above are accurate or, acting appropriately using that information. Over time, as you watch the worsening news reports about our climate, the facts above will begin to ring even more valid. Hopefully, at that time you will remember this page so that you, your family, and business can learn what to do next.
3. Click here to review the reasons why global warming might already be out of control and become a series of cataclysmic consequences and extinction-evoking tipping points, which may not be able to be avoided!
This above article covers much of the core message of our website.
The Job One for Humanity research team
Please click here and go to our Job One for Humanity home page from this splash page for the latest updates and articles.
To see the 12 other global challenges humanity has to deal with while it is dealing with the global warming emergency, click here.
(Special Update of 11.1.2020: Because it is now a virtual mathematical and political impossibility to reach (or even come close) to our last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, our organization has modified our action plans to deal with this new reality. The main consequence of this new reality is that all we can do now is slow down this mass extinction process, but not avoid it.
Click here to see our appropriately modified and updated "new reality" Job One for Humanity global warming action plan.
Click here to see all of the reasons why this mass extinction event is mathematically, economically, and politically unavoidable.)
(Please Note: This page defines the climate emergency and global warming emergency (aka climate emergency, climate extinction emergency, global warming extinction emergency, Holocene extinction, sixth mass extinction event and the climate crisis. At the end of this article, you will find a link to a comprehensive four-part plan for what you can do to help manage global warming. To counterbalance these disruptive facts, in this article, you will also find a link to the many surprising benefits that you will experience as we work toward resolving this great challenge, opportunity, and evolutionary adventure.)
This accelerating climate emergency is what energizes climate marchers, climate protestors, and climate conferences, and climate summit attendees to keep going no matter what the odds.
We ask you to read the following and make up your own mind after verifying the facts we present below. At the bottom of this page is a link to effective global warming and climate emergency solutions.)
At the end of this article, to counterbalance these highly disruptive global warming facts, you will find a link to a comprehensive four-part plan for what you can do to help manage the global warming emergency! You will also find a link to the many surprising and significant benefits that you and humanity will acquire as we resolve the global warming challenge, opportunity, and adventure. We must not forget "that our greatest challenges are also our greatest opportunities."
We are unfortunately facing a mass extinction event within our lifetimes (the next 30-50 years.) It is being caused by the many escalating consequences of the global warming and climate emergency. The following will help you understand the definition of then climate emergency and why this is real even though most likely, you have heard little to anything about this from our media or governments.
In the following article, you will discover many facts about how fast global warming is escalating and how it has become the climate emergency in which we now find ourselves.
To help you process the following uncomfortable news, at the end of this article, we also have provided some great news! You will find a capable, self-directed plan for what you can do now to resolve the global warming and climate emergency while we still have the time to do so.
If you do not understand the basics of what global warming is or how it works, we strongly advise you click here first to view illustrations of global warming basics and then continue with the rest of this document.
Our not-for-profit Job One for Humanity organization is primarily a place focused on educating individuals and businesses on how to both survive and thrive through the series of soon-coming climate change and global warming consequences and catastrophes. Our Job One for Humanity Plan will also show you how to reduce global warming.
Quick Global Warming and Climate Emergency Overview:
Life on Earth has flourished best when atmospheric carbon levels were in a range of 200-270 ppm ( this is what they were in the pre-industrial age).
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has failed to properly educate global leaders and has significantly underestimated timetables, which in turn has dangerously diminished awareness of the real global warming emergency we are in.
- The battle to keep global warming less than 2° Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) has already been lost.
It is highly probable carbon parts per million (ppm) in the atmosphere will rise beyond the carbon 550 ppm total, which translates to a 3° to 4°+ Celsius increase (5.4° to 7.2°+ Fahrenheit) in average global temperature. This level of temperature increase would create a "Hell on Earth." A 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) increase at carbon 600 ppm is also a realistic projection, and it will occur long before 2100 if we do not radically cut global fossil fuel use immediately to these levels. (Click here to discover the details concerning what soon crossing the carbon 500 and carbon 600 ppm will mean to your survival.)
When we resolve the global warming emergency, we will also create a new and green Third Industrial Revolution. This will, directly and indirectly, create millions of new green energy-related jobs worldwide to replace millions of lost fossil fuel industry-related jobs.
Welcome to a not-so-happy summary of the global warming and climate emergency...
On the following pages, you will discover the uncomfortable facts and science defining what the global warming extinction emergency is and how fast global warming is really escalating. You will also discover the many additional reasons why we are now in an undeclared but global warming extinction emergency.
While reading this candid briefing, keep in mind that if we act wisely, together and with urgency, we can still slow the catastrophic global warming consequences that are coming. But, before we can wisely survive global warming, it is necessary to honestly face exactly the facts on where we are starting from.
Why 40 plus years of climate change and global warming reduction failure?
In spite of 40 years of warnings by credible scientists and the work of the environmental movement, plus a preponderance of collaborating scientific evidence, as well as numerous conferences (21 to date,) and previous treaties, the carbon dioxide and methane pollution of the atmosphere, has not stopped, slowed, or even leveled off. On the contrary, it is getting worse faster than ever before! (See atmospheric carbon graph in parts per million below.)
Leading climate scientists like James Hansen, who originally warned us about the global warming danger 35 years ago, say we would remain safe if carbon in the atmosphere did not go over 350 parts per million (ppm). As of June 2019, carbon was near 420 ppm and increasing at about 3-4 ppm per year in a near exponential progression.
When you combine the heating effect of carbon with the other greenhouse gases, it is called the CO2e ppm rating. CO2e, or carbon dioxide equivalent. CO2e is a standard unit for measuring all greenhouse gases in terms of the amount of warming they create compared to CO2.carbon footprints.
When you include atmospheric methane and the other greenhouse gas pollutants, our current adjusted CO2e rating has already risen to the shocking level of 430 ppmv of CO2e! Worse yet, we will be at carbon 450 ppm in 10 years or less when we include atmospheric methane in our calculations.
To put this in a time-lapse perspective, from 1850 to about 1950, the increase in carbon pollution was steady at about 1 ppm per year. From 1950 to 2000, the increase rose to 2 ppm per year, and now in its current exponential curve, it is at about 3 ppm per year and rising rapidly toward 3-4 ppm per year. If carbon continues to rise in this exponential, nonlinear way, virtually unchecked by our ineffective previous actions, the increase could easily reach a level of 4 plus ppm per year by 2025.
Image via Stephen Stoft at zfacts.com
According to James Hansen one of the world's most important climate researchers, a carbon 450 ppm level would eventually correspond and develop into an average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) in this century and the end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it. Based on carbon ppm levels already in the system and reaching the 450 mark, this also means at least another 2.7° Celsius (4.9° Fahrenheit) global temperature increase beyond where we are now is the eventual and inescapable future reality.
This 2.7° Celsius would also be the most realistic minimal temperature increase to predict as part of any future planning over the next 10-30 years. Bear in mind that even this scenario applies only if everything goes perfectly and we cross no additional global warming tipping points.
Unfortunately, it is highly probable that because of our ongoing denial and delay in addressing escalating global warming, atmospheric carbon parts per million will most likely continue to rapidly rise beyond the carbon 450-550 ppm total, which translates to a 3° to 4° Celsius increase (5.4° to 7.2°+ Fahrenheit) up to as much as a 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) increase in average global temperature. (A 4° Celsius increase [7.2° Fahrenheit] in average global temperature would become “Hell on earth” as Mark Lynas, author of Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet, has stated.)
Hansen’s projections for “ending human civilization as we know it” are not the same as mass human extinction as we approach the 5° or 6° Celsius (9° to 10.8° Fahrenheit) temperature levels. In Hansen’s 6° Celsius rise coming from eventually crossing the carbon 450 ppm mark, what would be considered normal, comfortable, or predictable daily life in developed nations will be severely impaired. In undeveloped nations, there will be a level of chaos and breakdown that will rapidly render most of these nations politically and economically unsustainable. As it is already occurring, the chaos of existing less-developed nations destabilized by factors such as war and the global warming emergency will affect the more developed and stable nations far beyond just the current massive migrations of those escaping the suffering.
In spite of all the media PR, 21 UN / IPCC international climate conferences, endless warnings from credible scientists over the last 30 years, and national reduction pledges and treaties, things are worsening in a nearly exponential progression (2,4,8,16, etc.). There is no way to deny we are not only losing the escalating global warming battle. Unfortunately, we are also losing it at a progressively faster rate so that now global warming is close to being out of our meaningful control for the next 30-50 years. (For the precise definition of out of control global warming and how and why this happened, click here.)
Instead of enacting the needed changes when they were far easier, more gradual, and far less costly, we must now take radical, painful, and costly tough medicine if we are going to save the future. The changes that would have been inconvenient 30 years ago will now become nearly unbearable.
Some of today’s most disturbing global warming and climate emergency facts
We are not receiving adequate accurate facts about how bad escalating global warming is now, or how bad it will become. The heavy fossil fuel lobbied major media conglomerates politely decline to alarm us about the real dangers of our out of control global warming emergency in order to allow the fossil fuel industry to continue business as usual.
Current atmospheric fossil fuel burning-related carbon ppm values are now at about 415. This is higher than at any other time in the last 1 million years (possibly higher than at any time in the last 25 million years). This new carbon pollution record represents an increase of 88 carbon ppm in the 55 years since David Keeling began making his revolutionary atmospheric carbon pollution measurements at Mauna Loa. (See graphs in this document.)
Carbon pollution accumulating in the atmosphere has been increasing even faster over the last few decades. It is now nearly certain that if we refuse to take immediate, effective measures to resolve global warming, future increases will happen at even faster rates.
Global average temperatures have the potential to rise far faster than what we normally experience. For example, about 9600 BC, in the Boreal climatic phase, global temperatures rose 7° C (12.6° F) in less than a decade, pushing the ice sheets into rapid collapse and sending sea levels soaring. (Ice sheets are already beginning to collapse
Our 40-year inability to control the global warming emergency and climate change emeergency is due in part to:
The lack of national and international verifiable and enforceable international laws that would make continued large-scale carbon and methane pollution of the atmosphere a strongly punished activity or crime.
The physical time lags in developing and deploying the infrastructure needed for the new green energy technologies. As we are progressing now, it will likely take another 30-50 years.
- Click here to see more key reasons for what has caused our current out of control global warming and global warming emergency.
If everyone and every government simultaneously agreed to scale up green energy generation immediately and there were no budgetary or resource restrictions in completing this life-critical project, it would still take hundreds of years to put that infrastructure in place. (See this MIT stud for the details in this 400-year estimate.)
If escalating global warming and its consequent climate destabilization proceed to the levels currently being predicted, it will eventually cost the global society hundreds of trillions of dollars in disaster recovery, as well as soaring insurance rates, massive real estate losses and depreciation, and massive coastal and other infrastructure losses, in addition to the vast amount of human suffering and death.
Right now, most nations are struggling with debt and their economies are in trouble with anemic annual growth. How will many of these nations, particularly the weakest ones, remain politically or financially viable, stable, or even continue to exist if another 5% or more of their total GDP (the Stern Review) is drained off each year into the continually escalating costs of global warming-caused climate destabilization? Current estimates from a book called Climate Shock project all global warming consequences will cost 10 percent and maybe far more of the world’s total GDP by 2100. In the latter phases of out of control or irreversible global warming described in Climageddon, the book estimates it will require 30% of the world's GDP to stay up with the re-building and other costs.
The global warming emergency is already here! Its superstorms, flooding, seasonal disruptions, wildfires, heat waves, migrating insect infestations, and droughts will continue increasing in magnitude, frequency scale. According to a recent analysis from scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), "[t]he worst-case projections for global warming may be the most likely.”
The next battle now lies in keeping our near out of control global warming from rising to an extinction-level event where human-caused carbon dioxide and methane levels in the atmosphere push the global temperature increases to 4°-6° Celsius (7.2°-10.8° Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels and beyond.
An already “baked-in” future of higher temperatures no matter what we do
A 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) increase in global average temperature by the year 2100 has been the official estimate of the Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC). But it is way too low and overly optimistic. This 2° Celsius IPCC estimate is based on the operating premise that everything happening in the very complex and highly interconnected climate system will always work perfectly as predicted, in our favor, and no more known or unknown climate tipping points will be crossed.
Planning for everything to go perfectly is the perfect plan for failure, and there's a dangerous global warming shocker hidden within these low-temperature estimates. The first wave of escalating global warming superstorms or "millennial storms" (storm severity levels that have not been seen for thousands or tens of thousands of years) will be coming much sooner than we are planning for. When you include crossing more of the critical global warming tipping points and adjust projections in evaluating the current climate data, it suggests all types of extreme weather such as millennial superstorms, super droughts, super floods, and super wildfires could begin replacing our current waves of extreme weather in as little as 15 to 30 years.
Unfortunately, there's more bad news. Even if we stopped emitting all carbon dioxide and methane greenhouse gases today, we face considerably more global warming than the IPCC has publicly stated. According to Michael Mann, Distinguished Professor of Meteorology at the University of Pennsylvania State, we are already on track for a total rise in temperature of 1.7° Celsius (about 3° Fahrenheit) in the northern hemisphere, no matter what we now do to slow or stop global warming. In part, this is because there is future global warming already “baked into” the warming pipeline.
This is what it is called “committed warming.” Committed warming is inevitable, delayed only by the lag time for the oceans to heat up, owing to the slow ocean warming response to greenhouse gases.
The temperature increase of 1.7° Celsius (3° Fahrenheit) is already committed. This is baked-in global warming and it is really bad news.
Worse yet, the computer modeling used to create the 1.7° Celsius prediction also does not include the possibility that we have unconsciously already crossed or could very soon cross more global warming tipping points. If that has happened or will happen soon, the calculation for already committed global warming could be significantly above 1.7° Celsius. We could rapidly move through an increase of 2° or 3° Celsius (3.6° to 5.4° Fahrenheit) and beyond.
Additionally, after all of the atmospheric fossil fuel-related soot is gone, global temperatures are estimated to go up an additional .2 to .5° Celsius (0.36°-1° Fahrenheit), depending upon the atmospheric soot levels in your area of the world.
This additional calculation for how the average global temperature will go up as we rapidly shut down the aerosol soot created by fossil fuel burning is significant. This implies that planning your personal or business future using only 1.7° Celsius (3° Fahrenheit) of already committed and “baked-in” average global warming is also a faulty and dangerous future planning assumption.
It would be far wiser to assume an increase in average global temperature of 1.9° to 2.2° Celsius (about 3.4° to 4° Fahrenheit) as a long-term planning starting point. While 1.9° to 2.2° Celsius is more realistic, it is still not as good as the most realistic 2.7° Celsius increase for longer-term planning. This is because the 1.7° to 2.2° Celsius (3° to 4° Fahrenheit) previous temperature planning starting point also does not include any calculations regarding crossing more global warming and climate system or subsystem tipping points, which is highly likely to happen.
To put this already committed, non-tipping point inclusive temperature range increase of 1.7° to 2.2° Celsius into another comparative perspective, the IPCC at the last Paris conference in December 2015 still pushed hard promoting that global warming should not rise above 1.5° Celsius (2.7° Fahrenheit). This is because they already know a 1.5° Celsius increase heralds an unending chain of horrific disasters for many of the world’s poorest countries. Why the IPPC promoted a global temperature target that was below the already known baked-in increase is hard to comprehend, and it will be indirectly explained here.
According to Professor Mann, when we hit 405 parts per million (ppm) of carbon in the atmosphere, we have now committed ourselves to a 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) increase in global temperature. Now add in the fact that none of the above already committed global warming calculations except the 2.7°C (4.9° Fahrenheit) projection include any possibility that we have already unknowingly crossed or will cross more global warming tipping points. We are in deep trouble already!
From the preceding, it would be unrealistic to keep promoting that we can realistically keep the average global temperature increase below 2° Celsius. Yet, that is exactly what the IPCC promoted to world’s nations at its 2015 Paris conference in addition to promoting its lower 1.5° Celsius (2.7° Fahrenheit) target.
It is time to face bitter facts. The battle to keep warming from rising less than 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) has been lost!
In reality, if we include crossing more tipping points we face a baked-in 2.7° degrees Celsius (4.9° Fahrenheit) average global temperature rise as we approach carbon 425 to 450 ppm. We need to immediately begin preparing for these severe temperature increases while we still have time!
It is also important to be aware that even though the 2.7° degrees Celsius temperature is already baked in and committed also because of previously mentioned momentum and inertia issues, it does not mean these higher temperatures will occur immediately. It could take a decade or more for these baked-in temperature rises to be fully realized.
Additionally, when we extrapolate from the IPCC’s own current worst-case projections using what you have learned so far, a 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) increase occurring much sooner than 2100 becomes a real probability. This eventual 6° Celsius temperature increase prediction is based on these highly probable assumptions:
We continue business as usual, increasing the carbon pollution of the atmosphere at our current exponentially rising levels of carbon 3-4+ ppm per year,
Methane continues rising as it has over the last several decades because of the fracking boom, big agribusiness, and other factors, and
We have unknowingly already crossed or will soon cross more known or unknown global warming tipping points within any of the critical systems or subsystems of the climate system. For example, in May of 2014, we crossed another dangerous climate tipping point when scientists discovered that the West Antarctic Ice Shelf has gone into an irreversible and escalating melt.
According to the climate author Mark Lynas, if we let our planet’s temperature increase by 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit), “it would cause a mass extinction of almost all life and probably reduce humanity to a few struggling groups of embattled survivors clinging to life near the poles.”
In order for humanity to endure, we now have no other prudent choice but to do whatever we can to try to lessen and slow the long-term pain of this emergency so that global warming does not make us extinct. We may still have enough time to prepare families, businesses, nations, and ourselves for the tremendous stress that escalating global warming will cause—but only if we begin preparing for it now!
Putting only a 2° Celsius temperature rise in perspective using carbon levels and temperature fluctuations from Earth’s past
Seeing the global warming emergency from as many perspectives as possible will help you better grasp the depth and seriousness of the emergency we are in. For example, the Earth’s geologic past not only verifies that specific outcomes of global warming have occurred, but also gives us vital information about what similar consequences will likely occur as we duplicate the carbon dioxide levels, atmospheric temperatures, and other conditions of our distant and not-so-distant past.
According to a 2015 paper in Science, about three million years ago:
The average global temperature was about 1.7°-2.7° Celsius (3°-5° Fahrenheit) warmer than today.
The Arctic regions of the planet were about 7° Celsius (12.6° Fahrenheit) warmer.
Carbon dioxide levels were about as high as today.
Sea levels stood at least 20 feet (6-7 meters) above today’s level.
In our more recent geological past, around 400,000 and 125,000 years ago, average global temperatures were respectively about 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) and about 1° Celsius (1.8° Fahrenheit) above pre-Industrial times. During those two separate time periods, the upper bounds for sea-level rise were estimated to be up to 42 feet higher (13 meters) than the present. As you can imagine, at those temperatures either of the sea level rises (20-foot or 42-foot) would be a nightmare for world shorelines and their populations if they were to occur today.
Unfortunately, that is exactly what we are racing toward—and beyond. According to the same Science article, even if we managed to limit average global warming to just 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit), sea levels may still eventually rise at least 20 feet (6 meters) above their current levels.
The illustration below will be useful for mid-range planning (the next 10-15 years) for any industry, individual, or nation whose future plans will be affected by the previously discussed consequences of escalating global warming. Keep in mind, this illustration with its estimated time frames does not include crossing any additional tipping points.
Why the climate change and global warming State of Emergency isn’t being discussed by our political leaders
To help you see where and why we are currently in a losing battle to end global warming, we have provided the following Keeling-styled graphs for the atmospheric carbon level data in different parts of this document.
Image via Robert A. Rohdes, Wikimedia commons.
The above graph shows variations in the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere during the last 400 thousand years. It also helps to illustrate the carbon pollution data progressing from the Industrial Revolution of the 1880s to the present day. Other data also show the carbon ppm levels for the last several hundred thousand to millions of years. This way, you can see the modern spike in today's carbon pollution emergency in a historical, and especially post-Industrial, context.
More carbon in the atmosphere equals more heat
It is important to notice in the graph above that the long-term average carbon parts per million (ppm) never rose much above 270 ppm until the Industrial Revolution. For hundreds of thousands of years, carbon ppm stayed in a general range significantly below where it is today. Only hundreds of millions of years ago were carbon ppm levels much higher, during Earth's turbulent developmental and volcanic periods.
Something has radically changed in carbon ppm atmospheric levels since the beginning of the fossil fuel-powered Industrial Revolution of the 1880s. For the first time in hundreds of thousands of years, we have now crossed the unprecedented carbon 400 ppm level. Today's carbon ppm 413+ level is now nearly double the carbon 200-270 ppm range it held consistently for hundreds of thousands of years. This radical change in such a short period of geological time can and will have serious consequences!
Even if we do not cross any other global warming tipping points, which avoidance is highly unlikely, just by extrapolation using the current exponential rise per year and cumulative carbon levels, we could be at carbon 550 ppm in 30-40 years...or sooner. If we hit carbon 550 ppm, which translates to a temperature increase range of about 3° to 4°+ Celsius increase (5.4° to 7.2°+ Fahrenheit), as it appears we will, this "seals the deal" on destructive changes for most life on Earth (as described in Phase 3 of the Climageddon Scenario).
Extrapolating from the carbon ppm and average global temperature graph shown below, it appears that in spite of everything that we are doing now to slow escalating global warming, the current global average temperature is increasing by approximately 1/2 degree for about every 25 additional parts per million of carbon going into the atmosphere.
Image via Stephen Stoft at zfacts.com
The above graph provides evidence that CO2 is a contributing cause of global warming. This ongoing or increasing fossil fuel use will increase carbon ppm, which then increases the average global temperature. This increased or decreased carbon ppm in the atmosphere appears to have a direct or near direct relationship to rising and falling temperature all the way back to
Earth's earliest times.
Image via Robert A. Rhodes, Wikimedia Commons.
In the next graph below, one can see carbon pollution levels hundreds of millions of years into our past. As you can extrapolate from the carbon ppm range disclosed near the bottom of the far lower left of the graph, modern life forms as we know them today appear to exist and function best when atmospheric carbon levels are quite low in about the 200-270 ppm range. Life on Earth was much different with the higher carbon levels seen hundreds of millions of years ago.
How human systems contribute to the global warming and climate change State of Emergency
It would not be fair to discuss over 30 years of continuous global warming warnings without also describing some of the problems of inertia within our human systems. Inertia is defined as the resistance of any physical object to any change in its current state of motion (including changes to its speed, direction or state of rest or motion).
Our current global society is locked into the grip of almost a century and a half of change resistance (inertia) that favors using more and more fossil fuel. Part of the reason for this resistance is that fossil fuel use directly or indirectly is also responsible for about one-third of the world's gross domestic product (GDP).
The fossil fuel industry engenders a powerful human system resistance to change that we will have to overcome in order to successfully change over to green energy generation systems. The fossil fuel industry is constantly fighting the needed evolution of our energy generation systems. But even if we ended all fossil fuel use today, it is estimated that it would take 30 to 50 years to replace all of the current fossil fuel generation and distribution infrastructure.
Unfortunately, there is nothing close to unanimous agreement to act now, and we don't have another 30 to 50 years to fight the resistance of various fossil-fueled nations and fossil fuel-related corporations. Therefore, it is completely fair to say that the fossil fuel industry resistance and inertia are significant factors explaining why after 30 years of warnings, global warming is actually getting worse and not better!
In addition to the inertia and resistance of the fossil fuel industry working against efforts to end the use of polluting fossil fuels, there is other significant human system resistance (inertia) factors for why global warming is escalating faster than ever before in spite of all previous warnings:
1) Human evolutionary psychology: We are designed to react to immediate and obvious threats with the flight or fight response. Escalating global warming is slow, almost invisible, and it is generally believed to be far off in the future. Also, for many individuals, it is so complex that it can't be comprehended as the single most serious international security threat of the 21st century.
2) Human political evolution: Human society has not yet evolved a global government with transnational enforcement and verification powers over all the member nations of our world. Global warming is a transnational problem that has to have a transnational solution.
3) Human legal evolution: Humanity has not evolved viable global courts to work out the inherent international justice issues relating to the developed countries that caused the pollution and will likely benefit from it in the short term. We really have no international justice process for dealing with the fact that undeveloped countries that didn't cause the pollution are expected to suffer nearly equally in the costs and efforts of resolving it.
4) Global political evolution: The designated world authority, the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC), failing to properly educate global leaders on all critical global warming risks, along with providing significantly underestimated timetables, has dangerously diminished a global sense of collective urgency and public awareness. This has significantly reduced the demand for change even though strong warnings were initiated over 30 years ago.
There are other reasons why we have failed for 30 years and still face a daunting challenge to end the global warming emergency, which will be covered in detail here.
A difficult truth
Before facing a difficult truth, it is important to review the definitions of climate and weather. Climate is the statistics of weather, usually over a 30-year interval. It is measured by assessing the patterns of variation in temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, wind, precipitation, atmospheric particle count, and other meteorological variables in a given region over long periods of time. Climate differs from weather, in that weather only describes the short-term conditions of these variables in a given region. (From Wikipedia.)
Fossil fuel lobbyists like to intentionally confuse us by directing our attention to the far shorter time cycles of climate and weather, whereas global warming cycles occur over far longer time cycles (as seen in the graphs depicting hundreds, thousands, and millions of years.) When we compare the current global warming cycle and temperature range to past global warming cycles and temperature ranges rather than tiny 30-year climate cycles, we can see what's really happening and how dangerous global warming is to our future.
From the preceding, it is not difficult for any rational person to see that we are dealing with far more than garden-variety seasonal changes in the weather or the normal 30-year climate cycle. We are dealing with a full-blown and yet undeclared global warming emergency.
In truth, we have wasted over 30 years of valid warnings, and now there is no time left to make the gradual changes that we should have begun over 30 years ago. Immediate, radical, and painful change must happen now. Our global warming emergency is not off in the future 25, 50, or 100 years from now as you have been deceived into believing. Our global warming emergency is now.
Here are the critical additional links to review to understand more about our current mass extinction event threat, its solutions, and climate change and global warming's soon-arriving four extinction-provoking tipping points.
Once you have read the following critical additional materials to this article, you will understand the full spectrum of extinction dangers we are facing and you will be one of the most informed individuals concerning the honest nature and scope of our global warming extinction emergency.
First, click here for what you will need to know about our last practical and realistic chance to control our global warming futures and prevent extinction by achieving the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. These global targets are not at all what you have been told by our fossil fuel influenced media. This article will also give you detailed information about what happens when we cross the three extinction-evoking tipping points of carbon 425 ppm, carbon 500 ppm, and carbon 600 ppm.
Click here for a quick overview of how the currently unavoidable global warming mass extinction threat has now been eclipsed by the very real threat of total extinction as we quickly pass through the three major global warming tipping points within the next 30-30 years.
And finally, click here to overview and select from the solution action options available to you to prepare for, adapt to, and manage this emergency in the Job One for Humanity Plan. This way you will be able to prepare and adapt wisely so that you survive and thrive through what is now unavoidable in global warming consequences.
If you understand enough about this emergency, please sign the petition to declare a Climate Change and Global Warming Extinction Emergency and then start the Job One Plan to resolve this mess as best we can.
Climate emergency Summary:
In the above graphs of this document, the predictions for increased carbon ppm levels and temperature, unfortunately, does not also include: the continued likelihood that more carbon ppm (about 3-4 ppm per year,) will enter the atmosphere each year due to increasing population and fossil fuel use, causing an ever-faster rate of average global temperature increase, or the effects of the additional methane going into the atmosphere because of existing and new natural gas fracking, all of the existing leaks in methane storage and transportation systems, and big agribusiness, or calculations for more climate tipping points that will be crossed as the atmosphere heats up in a vicious self-reinforcing cycle and a positive feedback loop.
Despite 35 years of warnings from credible scientists and compelling scientific evidence, atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane pollution have only worsened.
We are already in an unacknowledged global warming State of Emergency.
Do not be fooled by what you read about global warming reduction progress or fossil fuel reduction commitments in fossil fuel-lobbied and influenced mainstream media. The fossil fuel industry wants to keep making money and polluting our atmosphere without charge.
In a nutshell, the global warming emergency is due to:
- today’s carbon ppm level of about 413 ppm doubling from the carbon 200-270 range it held consistently for hundreds of thousands of years,
- carbon ppm levels rising exponentially at the greatest levels since the Industrial Revolution, and
- we are poised to cross more global warming tipping points, moving us ever closer to the extinction phases of the Climageddon Scenario. In effect, our global warming emergency should really be called our global warming extinction emergency.
According to James Hansen, even a carbon 450 ppm level (which will occur in about 10-15 years at present carbon pollution rates) would eventually correspond to an average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) in this century and the end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it.
Our current global warming extinction emergency marks the end of the climate stability that has allowed humanity and humanity’s ancestors to flourish for hundreds of thousands of years.
- We need to get busy reaching the last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
- If we do not reach or come very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we not only will suffer a global warming-caused mass extinction event within the next 30-50 years, we also will trigger a total extinction event within the next 50-70 years.
- To reach or come close to the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we must prepare and adapt in order to survive and thrive. The most effective way to do that is to begin the Job One for Humanity Plan to manage the global warming emergency.
- Click here to see where we are today on the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock.
The essential positive perspective on the above disruptive global warming and climate change news
Despite the many types of challenging global warming consequences and past fossil fuel reduction mistakes that we now face, we can still learn from their feedback, and we can adapt and evolve to make life as good and as happy as is possible. No matter how severe the coming global warming consequences might become, if we wisely play the remaining cards that we have been dealt with, we can still achieve the best remaining possible outcomes.
We can yet make a significant difference to reduce global fossil fuel use to stabilize and save the future of humanity by executing a comprehensive reduction and survival plan like the Job One for Humanity global warming action plan.
We can still maintain the perseverance needed to succeed in this monumental task by regularly reviewing the many benefits which will occur as we work successfully on this project together. Although we are now in what could be called a Great Global Collapse process triggered by accelerating global warming, this collapse process will eventually offer equal to (or even greater than) long-term benefits in the form of a potential Great Rebirth beyond the coming suffering and loss.
First on this page (that has been read almost 2 million times,) and then this other critical global warming benefit page, you will find the many often hidden surprise benefits of the global warming challenge. You also will find a framework and the possibilities for what could be called a post-collapse Great Rebirth, no matter how bad the collapse process gets.
We can persevere through this time of emergency. We just need to remember that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our greatest opportunities.
We are engaged in nothing less than the most critical and meaningful evolutionary opportunity, challenge, and adventure in human history! It is our last opportunity to slow down the mass human extinction threat by getting close to these 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Only reaching these targets will fully remove the total extinction threat. In reaching these targets, we also significantly improve many of the world's other 12 major challenges.
Get started today on the Job One for Humanity global warming reduction and survival plan. Help save and salvage as much of humanity and our beautiful civilization as is possible.
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A deeper dive into the science
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In order to help you better visualize the global warming tipping point risks, as well as why we are not effectively acting to end the extreme risks of the global warming State of Emergency, we strongly recommend you view The Most Terrifying Video You'll Ever See 2. It has been watched almost 7 million times. Click here to watch that video now.
If you are still not yet convinced we are really in a global warming state of emergency, or you want to see more detailed science on this issue, please click here.
Please send this article to politicians and social media all over the world. Ask your politicians what they are doing to prevent the coming mass extinction of most of humanity by mid-century?
Ask them why they are not adequately managing the greatest threat multiplier and global problem amplifier of the 21st century by enacting the governmental steps described here!
(This page is derived substantially from the 2016 book, Climageddon, The Global Warming Emergency and How to Survive It. It has been updated with new climate research since 2016 as applicable. Climageddon is Available on Amazon.)Sign up