There is a lot to update you about on global warming emergency this month especially since we missed last month's update...
We are in an undeclared global warming extinction emergency. In a state of emergency, usually one has little time left to fix the emergency. Therefore, one must act accordingly and operate at new levels of direct intervention commensurate with the danger and ensuring the crisis will get resolved.
Our organization has adapted to this new reality of the global warming extinction emergency. We have become a respectful disruptor of any individuals, companies, and some not-for-profit environmental and global warming peers who are unintentionally or intentionally presenting false or misleading global warming information.
But what exactly do we mean by respectful disruptor?
A. Being a disruptor means that in peaceful and nonviolent ways, we will publicly challenge any organization or individual that presents false or underestimated global warming analysis or facts or, otherwise misrepresents, dummies down or "markets" global warming information in such a way that it becomes counter-productive to resolving the global warming extinction emergency.
We will disrupt any flow of false and misleading information where ever we find it to the best of our organization's abilities and resources.
We are compelled to disrupt wherever necessary. This new disruption policy is because our current global warming emergency is so great and the time to prevent mass human, animal, and biological extinction is so short (only until 2025.)
We further hold that no well-intended or ill-informed organization or individual has the inherent right to do such things unchallenged when their actions and ideas lessen either the urgency or the means of resolving our current global warming extinction emergency.
Our unwelcome role as a disruptor is required. Any distress that we might cause by challenging an offending organization or individual is infinitely less when compared to the suffering, death, and damage that such unchallenged information will eventually cause to the world's efforts to reduce global warming in time to save the future.
B. Being respectful means that we will respectfully challenge any organization or individual that presents false or underestimated global warming analysis or, facts counter-productive to resolving the global warming extinction emergency.
We will do it respectfully because most individuals, companies, and nonprofit organizations are composed of good people and have done many good things. In some cases, they may have made essential contributions to the global warming educational movement.
We also understand that in most cases, these organizations and individuals are probably not doing this awarely or intentionally. They are just doing the best they have with what they have.
We believe that when they have unintentionally presented false or underestimated global warming analysis or, facts or, that they have misrepresented other important global warming information, it is often because they have:
1. Failed to adequately challenge the existing paradigms of global warming climate models, analysis and interpretation for missing critical inputs, hidden political manipulation or manipulation by other hidden for-profit vested interests which have skewed or warped the integrity of other honest climate researchers results.
2. Listened to marketing advisors within their organizations, causing them to self-censor and treat their members like children who cannot deal with the hard facts of the global warming extinction emergency.
3. Failed to have any single individual or executive within their organization put in the tens of thousands of pages of research reading with the requisite analysis skills to have an adequate meta-systemic understanding of one of the most complicated issues of our time.
We will be respectfully disruptive of the incorrect facts, false beliefs, and ineffective global warming reduction plans of anyone presenting them. We do this to call attention to more effective actions or more useful global warming analysis (found on this website.)
We will provide useful and accurate information on this state of emergency. This way, we can more quickly reduce global fossil fuel use by executing all of the actions necessary to prevent mass human, animal, and biological extinction within our lifetimes because:
a. The faster and more we reduce global fossil fuel use, the more people that will survive to carry on humanity.
b. The quicker and more we reduce global fossil fuel use, the less future generations will suffer from an ever-increasing sequence of escalating global warming catastrophes.
We believe that everyone has the right to their own opinion. We also believe that anyone can and should be publicly challenged if the result(s) of their unchallenged opinions will cause grave harm to others.
Therefore, if anyone is forwarding ideas that will make it more difficult to slow ro resolve the global warming extinction emergency, we will present them with the information on this website in public or private disruptive of status quo actions.
The Job One for Humanity Team
Why will it be so hard to prevent mass human extinction without achieving the 2025 global warming fossil fuel reduction targets?
There are serious reasons for why we may not achieve the extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines.
"You cannot be called an alarmist if there really is something to be alarmed about." Unknown
You are about to read more alarming facts about our current global warming extinction emergency. We trust that you to make up your own mind about what to do after thinking carefully about the challenging circumstances that we are now facing.
We have learned that not everyone decides to take the same remedial, protective, or preparatory actions once they process the shock of what they are about to read. Because of this, we provide the Job One for Humanity global warming recovery plan, which contains numerous options for different individual or collective responses to the global warming emergency.
While reading this article keep in mind that to help you process the following uncomfortable news, at the end of this article, we have provided some great news! You will find a capable, self-directed plan for what you can do how to resolve the global warming emergency while we still have the time to do so.
Climageddon is a new word that combines the words climate and Armageddon. Armageddon is the word that is often used to refer to any end-of-the-world scenario.
Climageddon describes a global warming end-of-the-world process in a year-by-year consequence countdown that could easily occur within our lifetimes. We call this complete global warming extinction process the Climageddon Extinction Scenario and Countdown (CESC,) or for short the Climageddon Scenario (CS,) or the Climageddon Countdown (CC.)
The Climageddon Extinction Scenario also describes a new global warming prediction model to help individuals visualize the six distinct waves of coming global warming consequences. These waves of consequences if allowed to occur, will lead us to the near-complete extinction of humanity within about 50-70 years.
In part, the Climageddon Extinction Scenario is based in upon our crossing additional global warming tipping points. It illuminates the complete series of escalating global warming consequences and catastrophes, eventually resulting in a predictable mass human die-off. Fortunately, this extinction process will only run its course if we do not achieve the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and we go into the latter of the six Climageddon phases and waves.
a. an interconnected and interdependent whole, and
b. one continually evolving collection of climate, human, and biological systems and processes.
When you think about the Climageddon Extinction Scenario, realize that extinction emergency and global cataclysm are entirely appropriate terms to use. The unfolding global warming extinction processes are happening shockingly fast. They are developing most destructively over the next 30-50 years and could take as little as a century to fully manifest.
This is a shockingly shorter timeframe when compared with the far longer geological time frames which were needed to evolve Earth's five earlier mass extinction events. Humanity's five previous mass extinction events evolved over hundreds of thousands to millions of years.
If you have not read the following two articles in the links below, we strongly recommend doing so before continuing. They will help you to understand critical global warming consequence and tipping point details and key nuances. Particularly those factors relating to the Climageddon Extinction Scenario will utilize, amplify and accelerate global warming's worse consequences and key tipping points to create humanity's ultimate and final nightmare.
(Please note: The processes of global warming extinction are sometimes also called runaway global warming, irreversible global warming or, out of control global warming.)
How a movie story and an asteroid metaphor will help you understand the Climageddon Scenario and the massive global warming catastrophes that are coming...
A very good metaphor and way to think about the 6 phases of the unfolding Climageddon Scenario (described below,) is to imagine numerous waves of larger and larger asteroids crashing into the earth over shorter and shorter periods of time between the next wave of asteroids. For the sake of the metaphor accuracy, imagine these waves of asteroids have already begun and will continue throughout 10-60 years.
(Please see the illustration below which will provide a quick but necessary minimal overview of the many consequences of 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario for the sake of the asteroid story. The temperatures listed below in both Celsius and Fahrenheit are the predicted increases in average global temperature that will most probably occur at each of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario due to increasing global warming consequences.)
Now that you can see that temperatures (consequences,) will continue to rise at each new Climageddon Scenario phase, you are ready to continue with the asteroid story and metaphor.
At first, the asteroid waves are made of smaller asteroids and the waves will be farther apart. In the earlier asteroid waves, the asteroid impact consequences grow in a slower, gradual and linear manner. In later waves, the asteroids grow larger and the waves now grow closer and closer together in time. Unfortunately, in the later larger waves, the asteroid consequences will grow faster and exponentially.
Next, imagine that each new wave of the asteroids almost always hits the earth in the illustration below between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south (between the two yellow/mustard colored lines.)
These would be the most asteroid-unsafe areas to live in in the future.
And finally, imagine the last wave of “planet-killing” and largest asteroids also hit the earth between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south.
To help you envision what will likely happen to society and your life during this unfolding asteroid cataclysm story and metaphor, it is useful to look to another story, the 1998 Hollywood science fiction disaster film called Deep Impact. This movie depicted humanity’s combined efforts to prepare for and destroy a 7-mile (11 km) wide planet-killer asteroid set to collide with Earth and cause a mass extinction.
In this movie, to prevent the asteroid from reaching Earth, Russia and the United States send a spacecraft with nuclear weapons to destroy it before it reaches the critical minimal distance from Earth. The spaceship reaches the proper critical distance in time, but the nuclear weapons’ first attempt fails and instead splits the comet into two smaller masses, both still heading directly for Earth.
After the U.S. President announces the failure to prevent the asteroid catastrophe, he declares martial law and reveals that in anticipation of this possible failure, governments worldwide have been secretly building underground shelters in what they believe will be the safest areas to ride out the impact. The U.S. government then conducts an emergency lottery and randomly selects 800,000 Americans under age 50. The government has also chosen 200,000 secretly pre-selected individuals to also enter the survival shelters bypassing the lottery. Not surprisingly, they are top government officials, top military brass, key scientists, and powerful corporate elites.
Around the world, the lucky and the pre-selected few go to the underground shelters, which also contain seeds for every species of plant, important viable animals, as well as massive food supplies for the would-be shelter survivors.
The first asteroid mass impacts Cape Hatteras in the Atlantic Ocean, causing a tsunami up to 3,500 feet (1,100 meters) high. The second mass is due to impact western Canada, creating a cloud of dust that will block out the sun for two years, killing all unsheltered life on Earth in a matter of weeks.
At the last minute, the damaged spacecraft carrying the remaining nuclear weapons hits the larger second mass in a suicide mission, breaking it up so that most of it burns up in the atmosphere or misses the planet completely.
After the survivors finally come out of their shelters, the President speaks to a large crowd, telling them they've been blessed with a second chance to call Earth their home...
Here's what's important about this story and metaphor in relation to its similarities to the unfolding Climageddon Scenario. In the preceding metaphor and story, the most obvious parallels to the escalating global warming emergency and the Climageddon Scenario are:
1. Just as they are in the asteroid wave metaphor, our global warming consequences will come faster and faster and grow larger and larger with each new phase of the six Climageddon Scenario phases. (Worse yet, in the mid to later phases of the Climageddon Scenario our consequences (which you will be reading about soon,) will begin growing exponentially.)
2. As we move through the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario there will be many of the other unthinkable consequences that occur within our social, economic and political systems just as in the movie when humanity faces its end. Some of those are rare and noble sacrifices, others widespread panic, chaos, looting, crime, cruelty, and loss of basic human rights.
2 As global warming consequences continue to worsen in the later phases of the Climageddon Scenario, governments will be forced to declare martial law, and there will be lotteries and secret pre-selection and quotas for who still will be able to move to the global warming safer zones near or above the 45th parallel north or near or below the 45th parallel south to escape the chaos occurring within that middle highest danger zone a little longer.
3. If we keep going as we are now without radically reducing global fossil fuel use to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reductions targets and we somehow survive the coming global warming consequences, most of humanity will die and there will have to be a massive, difficult, and costly rebuilding of civilization by the few remaining survivors if there are any survivors.
As you continue to think about the many kinds of facts in the Climageddon Scenario article, please keep in mind the Deep Impact end-of-the-world asteroid movie story because its unfolding process is a good metaphor for how the Climageddon Scenario’s most serious consequences will also grow worse, closer and closer, and faster and faster over time. Also, please don't forget we still do have a last chance for humanity and civilization to survive, but only if we successfully reach the challenging 2025 global fossil fuel reductions targets.
Who most needs to understand how the Climageddon Scenario Extinction Countdown unfolds
Understanding the rapidly unfolding progression of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Countdown scenario is critical for every individual, business, or nation that wants to thrive or survive over the next 5, 10, 20, 30 or more years and takes planning for their or financial, physical and political future security seriously.
Understanding the Climageddon Scenario is crucial information for anyone involved in:
- personal, financial or security short or mid- to long-range planning,
city, corporate, or national mid- to long-range planning,
- the threat, hazard, and business or insurance risk assessment, and
- planning, financing, or building mid- to long-term infrastructures such as highways, water treatment or sewage plants, power plants, power transfer stations, power lines, hospitals, government buildings, manufacturing facilities, distribution centers, military bases, corporate headquarters, real estate developments, and telecommunications facilities.
An Illustrated Quick Overview of the Climageddon Global Warming Extinction Scenario Processes
The Climageddon extinction scenario process illustrated just below will get you started and help you to understand global warming's many levels of processes as a holistic gestalt. A gestalt in holism is the idea that the properties and processes of natural systems and subsystems should also be viewed as having a synergy process and as an interconnected and unified whole, not simply as collections of, or summations of, separate and individual non-inter-dependent or inter-connected parts or actions.
Review the following Climageddon Scenario illustration starting from the bottom up! Starting from the bottom, this illustration reflects the unfolding natural progression of ever-worsening and interacting consequences and tipping point processes that will occur as global warming continues to escalate toward our extinction.
The top of the illustration below shows you the later Climageddon Scenario consequences the bottom shows you the earlier consequences. For now just get a general idea of all the global warming consequences, tipping points, and human system factors will be both interacting and colliding as well as amplifying and multiplying as the Climageddon extinction scenario unfolds in phases and waves. The illustration below will be explained in much more detail later in this document. (Full explanations of each tipping point and consequence are found here, the 11 key global warming tipping points and, here the 20 worst global warming consequences.)
1. Please keep in mind that the temperature, carbon ppm, and loss or cost levels for each of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario described below are not hard and rigid boundaries. They may be modified by future research.
2. ll temperature amounts in this document or any other document on our website are always displayed as the Celsius or Fahrenheit increase from preindustrial average global temperatures.
3. The severity, frequency, and scale of the many consequences listed below will not always occur in a steadily increasing linear line, curve or pattern. There will be intermittent periods of relatively stable levels of consequences and EVEN periods of lessening consequences before the next phase and wave of consequences continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale to the next level.
More about the Climageddon Extinction Scenario and Countdown
It is far more than just a summary listing of the individual global warming consequences and tipping points. In its intertwined unfolding phases, it becomes easier to see the continually heat-intensified individual consequences and tipping points churning into something far more dangerous than just the individual summation of these things. Collectively, all of these moving parts of our global warming emergency synergize and accelerate the intensity and speed of the more deadly later stages of the Climageddon extinction scenario.
When you begin to see the Climageddon extinction scenario model as an integrated climate, human, and biological super system, you will discover:
- new critical relationships and processes occurring between the climate, human, and biological systems,
new qualifying and conditioning climate, human, and biological contexts, and finally,
- new phase-by-phase interactions and magnifying transformations of the interconnected and interdependent climate, human, and biological system consequences that will both suddenly and dramatically worsen our lives.
To help you get this "big picture" perspective, you will find many illustrations like the one below showing the major tipping points and other global warming consequences colliding with our financial, social and political systems, which in this illustration below could easily also lead to a nuclear or horrible regional war as we desperately compete over resources and very limited safer global warming areas.
The Climageddon Scenario was first discussed in the new book Climageddon. It is already taking place. And, if we do not take immediate action to radically cut fossil fuel use, it will fully unfold into humanity's near-total or total extinction.
"Because of its, scores of variables, complexity and constantly evolving and emerging new tipping points and synergies, one of the hardest things to grasp about the Climageddon extinction prediction model is that it is a unique viewing gestalt for our probable future relating to almost every level of our current existence." Lawrence Wollersheim
Assigning accurate risk evaluation levels to each the 6 phases of the Climageddon extinction scenario
To help you put into perspective the serious implications of the consequences unfolding at each level of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario, we use three recognized risk, threat, and hazard alert scales.
Those three risk evaluation scales are:
1. The Torino Impact Hazard 0-10 Scale used to quantify the many risks and hazards of asteroids of different sizes hitting the earth.
2. The DEFCON 5-1 levels used by the U.S. government and military regarding preparedness for nuclear or conventional war. And,
3. The current US Homeland Security Advisory System.
Here are the three risk analysis and how they are used to rate the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario:
1. The Torino Impact Hazard 0-10 Scale used to quantify the many risks and hazards of asteroids of different sizes hitting the earth. (The Torino Scale goes from 0 to 10, where a 0 rating is no hazard or threat and a 10 is “a collision is certain, capable of causing a global climatic catastrophe that may threaten the future of civilization as we know it, whether impacting land or ocean.”)
There is a good reason to use the Torino Impact Hazard Scale with the Climageddon Scenario. Depending upon what phase of the scenario we enter, how we adapt to the threat may be uncannily similar to how we might adapt to survive impacts of ever-increasing asteroid sizes hitting the earth in repeated waves.
For example, if we knew well in advance that a small, survivable asteroid would hit the earth, using the Torino scale threat level 3 advisories could provide enough time to relocate almost everyone from the local hazardous area of impact. If a larger but still survivable asteroid were to hit, once again using the Torino scale threat level 4 advisory, we could have time to relocate almost everyone from the larger regional area of impact.
Similar to these asteroid impact scenarios, as the escalating global warming emergency continues through the 6 Climageddon Scenario phases, it will also eventually force us to relocate first millions, then billions of people. We will relocate them first locally, then regionally, nationally, and eventually internationally to the far north or far south. But, we may be able to move only as much of the total human population as can survive in the poorer soils and shorter growing seasons of the northernmost and southernmost countries of the world (above the 45th parallel north to Canada, Russia, Scandinavia, Alaska, Iceland, and Greenland etc), and also below the 45th parallel south like some areas on south island of New Zealand or at the tip of South America.
2. The DEFCON 5-1 levels used by the U.S. government and military regarding preparedness for nuclear or conventional war. (The DEFCON rating system goes from 5 to 1. DEFCON 5 is normal peacetime military readiness, and 1 is the highest military alert, such as imminent nuclear war. As the climate continues to destabilize, at some point the nations of the world will have to declare emergency regulations and martial law to deal with the escalating crisis and the internal and external instability it creates. Using this scale is appropriate because if left unchecked, global warming will parallel and eventually exceed the destructiveness of all non-nuclear world wars.)
3. The current US Homeland Security Advisory System. (The Homeland Security Advisory System is a color-coded terrorism threat advisory scale. The different levels trigger specific actions by federal agencies and state and local governments, and they affect the level of security at some airports and other public facilities. Although this is a terrorist threat risk system, it is also useful for climate crises. In the mid-to-later phases of the Climageddon Scenario, as our political, economic, and social systems break down, the nations of the world will react similarly to how they would react to a high-level terrorist threat or an actual attack. Martial law and other restrictive emergency measures with curfews, new regulations, loss of civil rights, and normal legal protections will be enacted.)
There are also other "outside" challenges and contextual factors that will interact directly or indirectly to worsen the MAIN consequences described in the Climageddon Extinction Scenario below
The Climageddon Scenario and global warming extinction model does not take place in a contextual vacuum. It takes place in a global context in which other major global challenges and consequences are already occurring and getting worse.
These 6 other major global challenges and consequences will directly or indirectly interact with and collide into the unfolding 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario global warming extinction model. These additional Climageddon Scenario interactions with the global challenges below will, unfortunately, make our lives and the other global warming consequences much worse.
Please keep the in mind the following other contextualizing and evolving global challenges as you read the 6 phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario:
Global Challenge 1: Overpopulation, the Earth may have only the resource carrying capacity for about 2 billion people or less. (Please click the brief carrying capacity link and the brief overshoot link for a full understanding on why this overpopulation challenge is so bad.)
We are near 8 billion people racing to 9.4 billion by or before 2050. We are way over sustainable population levels and future and current generations will suffer dearly because we failed to manage ourselves in this area by itself.
Global Challenge 2: Resource depletion fueled by overpopulation, toxic pollution, and escalating global warming.
We already have increasing food shortages (1 billion people are hungry.) Ocean fish stocks are already suffering from catastrophic losses from pollution and overfishing. We are rapidly depleting our many kinds of quantity-limited, nonrenewable, and even renewable resources to unsustainable levels. This resource depletion also increases global poverty by making those essential resources more expensive.
To make matters worse, many of our current key resources will run out at nearly the same time! Paradoxical to making the necessary fossil fuel reductions and moving to green energy generation, we will also soon be facing fossil fuel shortages caused by the early attainment of peak oil.
Global Challenge 3: Global economic instability.
There is no doubt that the mix of the Climageddon Scenario consequences will increase the already existing global poverty, economic instability, economic inequality (conflicts between rich and poor) and rising national deficits. Imagine a global financial depression or crisis occurring as we also try to solve the global warming emergency and all of our other global challenges at the same time. In the next global financial crisis or global depression, there will be even less resiliency and fewer resources to solve all of these challenges.
Global Challenge 4: Political instability first in countries with low management capabilities or low resource resilience or high deficits.
Many nations of the world are weaker than we are allowing ourselves to realize. Global warming and these other global challenges will greatly increase political instability which acts to further increase the likelihood of more wars, terrorism, and political injustice in all low, medium, and high resilience nations. This global challenge plus escalating global warming and the other global challenges will create sudden and massive migrations of millions then billions of people that even the richest nations will not be able to absorb.
Global Challenge 5: Global Pandemic.
As all of the above 4 resilience-reducing global challenges get worse and the earth warms, this increases the probability of a global pandemic which is not caused by the global warming pandemic enhancing consequence of melting tundra and permafrost. This is specifically a separate high risk due to existing or new diseases being poorly treated, the mobility and migration of world populations and the overall deterioration of global health services as the stew of all of the global challenges listed above come to a global warming amplified boil.
Global Challenge 6: Failing to evolve a single global government with legislative, judicial, and enforceable executive powers.
If you think about it carefully, you will discover that this last and most often invisible global challenge IS itself the single biggest reason and core structural cause for why our main global challenges including global warming have not yet been resolved. The lack of the existence of a single global government with legislative, judicial and executive verification, enforcement and punishment powers having common global laws allows humanity's biggest global challenges to either:
a. exist at all,
b. continue to exist or,
c. to remain perpetually unresolved and/or,
d. continually worsening as many of them are now.
In other words, the mere absence of a true global government of itself alone acts to facilitate, escalate and enable all of the global challenges that we currently face.
What we are facing with the above other 6 global challenges (above) interacting with the 7th global challenge (global warming and its Climageddon Scenario below,) is certain to become the greatest convergence of catastrophes and cataclysms in human history. For an amazing video by a famous English university professor with wonderful illustrations that explain most of the above global 6 challenges and the coming Great Convergence of catastrophes and cataclysms please click here.
Now that you have a better idea of the highly volatile and dangerous context in which the following Climageddon Scenario global warming extinction model is occurring, you are now ready to review its 6 phases and the consequences and time tables for each phase.
Here are the 6 phases of the Climageddon Countdown Extinction Scenario illustrated and in detail
The next section describes the 6 phases of the Climageddon Countdown Extinction Scenario in phase by phase detail. It also contains many more illustrations and charts (like the one below) as well as decade-by-decade global warming consequence information that was difficult and expensive for our organization to acquire.
This detailed year-by-year information is invaluable is to any individual, business or nation attempting to plan for how the escalating global warming emergency will directly affect their future life quality, finances and security. This next section on the detailed consequences for each of the 6 phases is contained only in the Member's section of this website on this page Climageddon Scenario Consequence Timetables. Much of it is not found in the Climageddon book.
To read the rest of this critical document on what happen within each of the six Climageddon Extinction Scenario phases:
If you are a member and you are logged in, click the Members link on the top menu bar on the far right side of the page. Then click the link called Climageddon Scenario Consequence Timetables.
If you are not already a member, you also can see this critical information and the rest of this Climagageddon Scenario document by becoming a member by clicking here.)
Let's start with a few of today’s most concerning global warming facts:
In spite of all the media PR, all the 21 climate conferences over the last 30 years, and all the national reduction pledges, things are not just getting gradually worse in a linear progression (1,2,3,4, etc.), they're getting worse in an exponential progression (2,4,8,16, etc.)! When we measure current rates of toxic carbon and methane pollution going into the atmosphere, there is now no way to deny it; we are not winning the escalating global warming battle!
In spite of 30 years of warnings by credible scientists, the environmental movement and an increasing body of compelling scientific evidence (now agreed to by almost all of the scientists qualified in climate science), the toxic carbon and methane pollution of the atmosphere has not slowed or even leveled off.
Leading climate scientists like James Hansen (former head of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies who also originally warned us about the global warming danger 30 years ago) say that we would remain safe if carbon in the atmosphere did not go over 350 parts per million (ppm). As of February of 2016, carbon ppm was near 405.35 ppm and increasing at about 2-3+ ppm per year in a nonlinear, exponential progression.
Worse yet, if you include atmospheric methane and other greenhouse gas pollutants, our current adjusted carbon ppm is already near 430 ppm or 430 ppm of CO2e! (When you combine the global warming heating effect of carbon with other greenhouse gases it is called the CO2e ppm rating. Also see the rapidly rising carbon only ppm graph curve farther below. It does not show atmospheric methane included.)
See the rapidly rising carbon ppm graph curve just below. Please note that It does not include and show atmospheric methane pollution. If it did, it would be at a effect-combined level of about 430 ppm.
We will be at carbon 450 ppm in 10 years or less if we include atmospheric methane in our calculations. To put this in a time-lapse perspective, from 1850 to about 1950, carbon pollution was steady at about a 1 ppm per year increase. From 1950 to 2000, the increase rose to 2 ppm per year, and now in its current exponential curve it is at 2.75 ppm per year and rising rapidly toward 3+ ppm per year in possibly just a few more years. If carbon continues to rise in this exponentially and nonlinear way and continues virtually unchecked by our ineffective actions as it appears it may, after the year 2025 the increase will reach a possible level of 3-4+ ppm per year from its current level of about 2.7 ppm per year.
According to James Hansen, carbon 450 ppm would correspond to an average global temperature increase of 6 degrees Fahrenheit in this century and “the end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it.” Based on carbon ppm levels already in the system and soon reaching the 450 mark, this means that a 2.7-degree Celsius global temperature increase (6 plus degrees Fahrenheit) may already be an inescapable reality.
Unfortunately, it gets much worse! It is also highly probable that because of our denial and delay in facing and addressing the escalating global warming emergency with honest and effective measures, carbon parts per million in the atmosphere will most likely continue to rapidly rise to and beyond carbon 550 ppm, which translates to a 3-4+ degree Celsius increase (6-8+ degrees Fahrenheit) in average global temperature. For every degree of Celsius temperature increase, global food production will drop 10% in many southern areas while the human population will continue to soar toward 9 billion. Climate scientists who are normally guarded in their language call a 4 degree Celsius increase (6-8 degrees Fahrenheit) in average global temperature "Hell on Earth."
More "big picture" global warming facts:
We the general public are not being honestly told how bad escalating global warming actually is right now, or how bad it will become if we continue as we are now. The fossil fuel heavily lobbied or owned global media are telling us what will not alarm us to the real dangers and will allow the fossil fuel industry to continue “business as usual.” Current fossil fuel use values for toxic carbon air pollution are more than 404 parts per million (ppm.) This is higher than at any other time in the last 1 million years (and maybe higher than any time in the last 25 million years.) This new carbon pollution record represents an increase of 85 carbon ppm in the 55 years since David Keeling began making his revolutionary atmospheric carbon pollution measurements at Mauna Loa. (See graphs one and four below.)
Even more disturbing than the historic magnitude of this change is the fact that the rate of toxic carbon pollution accumulating in the atmosphere has been rapidly increasing over the last few decades. If we keep doing only what we have been doing to resolve global warming, this also means that future increases will happen even faster. (See graphs one and two below.)
When averaged over 55 years, the increase in toxic carbon pollution has been about 1.55 ppm per year. However, the most recent data suggest that the annual increase is more than 2.75 ppm of carbon pollution per year. Carbon pollution of our atmosphere is getting worse not better! We are not making progress in reducing our fossil fuel burning addiction.
Our 30-year inability to get the global warming emergency under control is in part due to:
- The lack of national and international verifiable and enforceable international laws making large-scale toxic carbon and methane pollution of the atmosphere a strongly punished crime against both current society members and future generations.
The physical time lags in developing and deploying the infrastructure needed for the new green energy technologies (10-15 years if everyone on the planet and every government all agreed to do this immediately and there were no budgetary or resource restrictions in completing this life-critical project).
The existing carbon pollution momentum already in the atmosphere. It will take numerous decades if not the rest of this century to eliminate it if we could immediately get our carbon 430 ppm level back down to carbon 350 to 325 ppm.
If the escalating global warming emergency and its consequent climate destabilization proceeds to the levels currently being predicted, it will eventually cost the global society hundreds of trillions of dollars in crisis recovery as well as soaring insurance rates, massive real estate depreciation, and massive coastal and other infrastructure losses, in addition to the vast amount of human suffering and death. The Stern Review estimated that the costs of catastrophic climate destabilization will eventually grow to consume as much as 5% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of every nation on earth—and that is not even at climate destabilization's latter, or worse, stages! (The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change is a 700-page report released for the British government. The report discusses the effect of global warming on the world economy.)
Right now most nations are struggling with over-indebtedness and their economies are in trouble with anemic annual growth. How will many of these nations, particularly the weakest ones, remain politically or financially viable, stable, or even in existence if another 5% or more of their total GDP is drained off each year into the continually escalating costs of climate destabilization?
The global warming emergency and its consequent climate destabilization is already here! Its super storms, flooding, wildfires, heat waves, migrating insect infestations, and droughts will continue increasing in scale, severity, and frequency.
In fact, we are already in a state of irreversible global warming that will last at least another 50 years. We are now facing an extinction-level event where human-caused carbon and methane pollution levels in the atmosphere push the global temperature increases to 5-6 degrees Celsius (8-12 degrees Fahrenheit) and beyond.
Please Go to the next page in this special briefing called: Future global warming - unfortunately it gets worse.
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The Global Warming Solution: Our Plan for Preventing Mass Human, Animal and Biological Extinction within Our Lifetimes
"You cannot be called an alarmist if there really is something to be alarmed about." (Author Unknown.)
There is a lot of difficult news about the global warming emergency on this website. There is also much good news for the future as you will also soon discover.
The new Job One for Humanity Plan to resolve the global warming emergency exists because, over the last 35 years, we have not successfully resolved it (aka the climate change emergency.) Our Plan also exists because we are at our last chance opportunity (from now until 2025,) to fix it or, we will face mass human, animal, and biological extinction within our lifetimes.
If you do not believe or understand how our global warming situation has become so dangerous or, you have arrived at this page from somewhere else on the Internet, please read this quick global warming condition summary page before continuing with this Job One Plan overview and getting started guide.
The great news about the global warming emergency is...
the Job One for Humanity global warming plan and solution is effective and has something meaningful that everyone can do.
The Job One for humanity 4 part plan of global warming solutions (aka climate change solutions) will:
1. show you the action steps and solutions designed to fit with your current conditions and circumstances. You can begin them immediately and help slow and lessen the escalating global warming emergency.
2. provide you emergency preparation and adaptation action steps that you can begin to protect your self, family, and business from global warming's many now unavoidable consequences as well as its most disruptive global warming tipping points.
3. show you the most critical actions and solutions our governments must immediately begin executing to prevent mass human extinction within our lifetimes.
What an honest, practical and effective plan and solution for preventing global warming extinction must do
It must do the following:
a. It must honestly face the real conditions currently present at the time and location at which you find yourself,
b. It must diligently locate all of the critical barriers that will keep you from reaching your objective, and
c. It must use a systematic and comprehensive approach to prioritize all of the critical path actions needed to resolve those barriers before critical deadlines are crossed to get you to your objective.
More good news
Unlike so many other global warming reduction plans, the Job One Plan does all of the above.
1. It starts out by honestly confronting the harsh new reality on just how bad global warming crisis currently is. (See this page for that reality check.)
2. It then honestly defines the barriers that must be overcome. (See this page for that reality check.)
3. It then provides a prioritized and effective plan for all critical path individual and collective actions that need to be taken to manage our current global warming extinction emergency and meet critical deadlines (described below.) And,
4. You get to make up your own mind about what parts of the Job One Plan to do in what order after you review the facts and options below. Not everyone decides to take the same protective, preparatory, or remedial actions once they have had time to process the current global warming research.
5. You are urgently needed, and you can make a meaningful difference! Everyone can find something meaningful to contribute and do in the many action steps of the four parts of the Job One Plan.
The Job One for Humanity Plan: Only the critical action steps and global warming solutions that we need to take ASAP
These critical action steps are:
a. have our governments enforce radical and immediately cuts to our escalating global fossil fuel usage (which is the prime cause of our global warming extinction emergency,)
b. to make individual and business emergency preparations for the many now unavoidable consequences of global warming, and
c. to rapidly adapt our families, businesses, and nations to the harsh realities of the many unavoidable, soon-arriving, and worst global warming consequences. By doing so, more of us will survive as long as and as best we can.
The above three categories of critical actions successfully completed will prevent the worse consequences of global warming from continuing to increase in frequency, severity, and scale. These actions can still prevent us from crossing the key global warming extinction-level tipping point of carbon 600 ppm, which will ultimately bring about mass human, animal and biological extinction within our lifetimes.
Yes, there is still time left, but not much (until 2025.) We do still have a last chance to reduce global fossil fuel usage adequately. We still have time to prepare, adapt and make things as good as is possible for our future but, only if we radically and immediately reduce our global fossil fuels use as directed by and enforced by our governments!
We can no longer continue with business as usual. The gradual fossil fuel usage reductions currently being proposed by many governmental "authorities" simply will not work. (Exactly what this radical fossil fuel use reduction is will be fully explained in Part 3 of the Job One Plan.)
Where should I start?
All that is left to do is to select what part (or parts) of the Job One Plan to begin first. The following quick overview of each of the 4 Job One parts will help you make that where to start decision.
The Job One Plan Action Steps and Solutions for Individuals, Families and Small Businesses
For most individuals, Part 1 and Part 2 of the Job One Plan are the areas we generally recommend most people to do first. We strongly recommend that you start with Part 1 or 2 if:
1. you do not have direct connections of real influence on government politicians or,
2. you do not have indirect connections of real influence upon politicians through celebrities, ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, ultra-wealthy individuals or national intelligence agencies. But,
3. If you do have direct or indirect connections of real influence upon politicians, we strongly recommend you begin Job One Part 3 while also actively working on Part 1. We have so little time to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and prevent mass human, animal, and biological extinction within our lifetimes that, we really have to get the politicians to get the action steps of Part 3 of The Job One Plandone immediately!)
Parts 1 and 2 of the Job One Plan contain what you can do individually, as a family or as a small business to prepare yourself as well as adapt and learn the new practices that will keep you, your family's and your small business's future safer. Part 2 of the Job One Plan focuses on the many strategies you can use to lower your fossil fuel use.
For Part 1 of the Job one Plan click here.
You will learn how to best prepare yourself, family and small business for the soon-arriving and unavoidable 20 worst consequences of global warming. Everyone now needs to have basic emergency preparation in place to survive the worst of the continually arriving new levels of global warming consequences while they also work on and through the other three Job One steps as described below. This is the single most important step to begin first! You may work on the other steps well you are working on the steps of Part 1.
For Part 2 of the Job One Plan Click here.
You will learn the best individual actions to adapt to what global warming consequences are now unavoidable as well as how to become more sustainable to help do your individual part to slow and lessen the 20 worse consequences of global warming. This step will also help you use far fewer fossil fuels.
This step with all of its sub-steps will take some time to complete, but while you are working on it you can work on other action steps of Part 1 as well. By itself, Part 2 will not save us from the harshest and now unavoidable consequences of our past actions and inactions, but it will help to slow and lessen global warming hopefully just enough that more of us can be comfortable and survive a bit longer.
Parts 1 and 2 of the Job One Plan (immediately above,) are the individual actions you can take but please note, these individual actions alone are nowhere close to enough to ultimately save us from the coming worse consequences of global warming and likely extinction.
The Job One Plan Action Steps and Solutions for Politicians, Celebrities, Ultra-wealthy Corporations, Philanthropies, and Individuals, and Intelligence Agencies
If you already have connections of direct real influence on government politicians or, you do have indirect connections of real influence on politicians through celebrities, ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, or ultra-wealthy individuals or national intelligence agencies, Part 3 is the area we recommend you do while you are doing Part 1 at the same time so that you are working for the best while you also prepare for the worst.
This information for politicians, ultra-wealthy corporations and individuals, philanthropies, and national intelligence agencies is found only in Parts 3 and 4 of the Job One Plan. It contains what absolutely must be done immediately by those entities if we are going to have any real chance of saving humanity from the likely extinction of as much as 70-90% of humanity within as little as the next 30-50 years. This does not even cover what will happen to all animals and other biological life.
Unfortunately, it is only the politicians, intelligence agencies and ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, and individuals that currently have sufficient direct power or influence to enact the government-driven actions described in Part 3 of the Job One Plan. Only their actions will work to reduce greenhouse gases down to carbon neutrality and net zero in time to save the future. Additionally, it is only Part 3 of the Job One Plan executed successfully that will eventually return us to safe atmospheric carbon levels of carbon 350- 270 parts per million, [ppm]. (We are at about carbon 413 ppm now.)
The action steps described below are not actions that can be successfully achieved by common citizens who have little direct or influence on politicians, intelligence agencies and ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, and individuals.
For Part 3 of the Job One Plan, click here
It focuses exclusively upon a single, painful and dominant global warming extinction emergency reality. We must make immediate, radical and costly reductions in our fossil fuel energy generation and use that will be achievable only through government-driven, government-enforced, and government-penalized new laws and actions. This is the single most important part of the Job One Plan.
If we do not successfully execute this step without any further delays, there is no practical hope we can prevent escalating global warming from reaching the mass human extinction level. Please also keep in mind that Part 4 of the Job One plan contains essential reading for individuals who do have a direct influence on their politicians — particularly on why many wealthy individuals, corporations etc will want to help us solve this emergency!
For Part 4 of the Job One Plan, click here
Part 4 contains creative ideas on how individuals without direct influence on politicians can have indirect influence on politicians, intelligence agencies and ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, and individuals to help get the must-do critical actions found in Part 3 done. Part 4 also contains essential reading for individuals who do have a direct influence on their politicians — particularly on why many wealthy individuals and corporations will want to help us solve this emergency.
Getting the governments of the world to act or work together is a Herculean task. Saving our future will require nothing less than a massive mobilization of our politicians and the major governments of the world and their resources.
Part 4 offers indirect influence strategies, bypasses, and creative workarounds that if enough of us do them, can help influence the politicians, intelligence agencies and ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, and individuals that do have the influence to enact the critical government-driven actions described in Part 3 of the Job One Plan.
The good news is that, if we successfully execute the 4 parts of the Job One Plan, humanity and most other species will survive the global warming extinction emergency.
You now have all you need to select where to start your own Job One Plan and begin. We really need your help and creativity to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction goals, and to prepare for the next wave of more severe and more extensive global warming consequences.
We are an all volunteer organization. If you do not self organize your available resources, the emergency will become mass extinction.
After you have started the Job One Plan please...
send us an email at manage@JobOneforHumanity and, let us know how you are doing. What you say may be used to support and encourage others in our monthly newsletter.
Other Helpful Information
If you still think the statement that we may already be in a state of out of meaningful control global warming is an exaggeration, after you finish reading this short overview please also read this detailed explanation of how we may have already arrived at this most unfortunate state of out of meaningful control of global warming for as much as the next 30-50 years, and what this will mean to your future!
About our organization
We are an organization of respectful disruptors. We do this by being a respectful disruptor when we challenge any organization or individual that presents false or misleading analysis or information about our current global warming extinction emergency or, that minimizes or diminishes its real threat or, what we must do to save humanity in time. (Click here for precisely what we mean when we say we are respectful disruptors.)
On our website, you will read many accurate, but alarming facts about global warming (aka climate change), as well as the likelihood of global warming, caused mass human, animal and biological extinction within our lifetimes.
How the deadline and reality-driven Job One Plan of global warming solutions came about
For over 10 years the Job One for Humanity organization has been creating a continually updated meta-systemic overview and analysis of all relevant global warming research. (The meta-systemic analysis used for global warming examines the systems and subsystems involved in global warming from a meta-perspective that considers them both as stand-alone and individual systems as well as being interconnected and interdependent with and upon each other. The meta-systemic analysis involves detailed analysis of processes, contexts, relationships, and the continuous transformations occurring among and between interconnected and interdependent systems and subsystems within the selected area of analysis.)
This meta-systemic overview and analysis process creates a highly useful "big picture" as well as a Hegelian dialectical systems model of the coming global warming consequences, counter-consequences, and timetables.
This ongoing an original analysis of the most reliable global warming science has produced the current set of prioritized and practical global warming solutions found in the form of the four-part Job One for Humanity Plan.
(We will also soon have a new downloadable PDF file that includes all 4 parts of the recently upgraded Job One Plan in one easy free download. We will notify all website subscribers and members when it goes up.)
Sign the Petition to Declare a Global Warming State of Emergency and Help Prevent Mass Human, Animal and Biological Extinction within Our Lifetimes
We, the citizens of our nation and of our Earth, are endowed with certain rights, powers, and obligations, which demand we act to preserve and protect the future of humanity as well as Earth's other animal and biological life.
Based on abundant scientific evidence, we recognize that our global climate is rapidly warming and becoming increasingly unstable due to human-caused atmospheric carbon pollution from the burning of fossil fuels. We also recognize that in spite of 35 years of credible scientific warnings, global warming is still rising and is now at dangerous levels!
We have already seen global warming-aggravated weather, like record-breaking floods, hurricanes, and wildfires. We have witnessed the "worst in centuries" droughts and dust storms. We have experienced alternating unseasonably cold then warm winters, extreme storms, bomb cyclones and rain bombs where weeks or months worth of rain falls in a few hours or a few days.
With our own eyes, we see that something very abnormal is happening to the previous stability of our normal weather and seasons and that global warming connected consequences (like those just mentioned,) are becoming more frequent, more severe and are affecting larger and larger areas!
We recognize that if we do not immediately and radically reduce our global fossil fuel burning behaviors before additional global warming tipping points are crossed, the destabilization of our global climate will continue at even faster rates causing among other things, unprecedented crop failures and unthinkable mass starvation.
Our brightest climate scientists have determined that if we do not meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we will face mass human extinction where as much as 70-90% of humanity will die in as little as the next 30-50 years. Unsurprisingly, escalating global warming will not only affect humanity's survival possibilities. It also presents an equally grave and ever-increasing extinction threat to our animal and other biological species as well.
Rising global warming will soon be the 21st century's single greatest disruptor of economic, political, social and biological stability. It will also act to amplify our other largest global problems.
No one is ultimately safe from this global warming extinction emergency. Global warming consequences are already affecting millions in many areas of the world. Many individuals and businesses are already being forced to deal with escalating catastrophes, food and resource depletion, and the mass migration of desperate climagees (climate migrants.) In the not too distant future, global warming catastrophes will be affecting hundreds of millions then billions of individuals everywhere on Earth!
We now face a world in which rising global warming can cause mass human extinction and create increasing social, economic and political chaos, not sometime near 2100, but as soon as the next few decades.
Worse yet, as our average global temperatures continue to rise, the world's six other major social, economic and political problems (see * list below) will also worsen, amplify each other and cross-react with each other and the 11 key global warming tipping points (found here.)
Our other largest global problems (other than immediate global nuclear war or nuclear biological or biological terrorism) are:
- Conventional war and regional conflicts*
- Food and resource depletion*
- Political instability and injustice*
- Growing economic inequity, poverty, and instability*
- Water pollution, water table loss, and other pollution*
- Increasing droughts, floods, and wildfires
- Increasing desertification and deforestation
- Loss of biodiversity
- Ocean fish stock depletion
- Rising sea levels
- Increasing potential for pandemics and other global health crises
This will further increase the severity, frequency, and scale (size) of the above other largest global problems we all now face, making them even harder to resolve!
Despite 35 years of scientific reports as well as 21 International conferences about the near-certain extinction effects of the carbon (and methane,) pollution of our atmosphere, global warming temperatures have both continued to rise and have accelerated to levels that have passed dangerous tipping points.
There is true urgency to this global warming extinction emergency!
Our average global temperature and atmospheric carbon levels are far too close to crossing the near-extinction and final extinction tipping points. If we fail to make the 2025 reduction targets, this extinction emergency becomes a no-win game for everyone, no matter how much money or power they might have and, no matter where they might try to escape to!
Our current global warming extinction emergency can only be resolved by immediately reducing the human-caused production of carbon and other key greenhouse gases produced directly and indirectly from the global burning of fossil fuels.
At this "it is almost already too little too late" moment in history, the necessary fossil fuel use reductions needed to save us can only be achieved by successfully meeting our last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets enforced by our governments!
Therefore, as global citizens of every nation on Earth, we demand that our national political leaders act now before it is too late to prevent mass human, animal and biological extinction within our lifetimes!
We demand that they:
1. Meet immediately to formally declare both a national and international Global Warming Extinction Emergency.
2. Pass enforceable and verifiable national and international laws that would successfully achieve the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. And,
3. Call for the immediate mass mobilization and allocation of ALL the necessary resources and personnel to execute ALL critical actions required to fully resolve our current global warming extinction emergency. (See Part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan for a complete list of all critical government-driven actions needed to save the future.)
By electronically signing this petition (in the box below,) I am personally and officially notifying my national politicians of this demand to immediately meet and take all required actions described in this emergency petition in order to protect, preserve, and advance the continuing evolution of humanity and life on Earth.
Furthermore, realizing that most of the worst global warming consequences will take centuries to thousands of years to repair, which will create an unthinkable nightmare for any surviving future generations, I further pledge to continue to act to help resolve this extinction threat and emergency until it is over.
Learn more about the story behind this nonprofit organization's mission and why this petition must go worldwide and be presented to politicians all over the world by clicking here.
When you sign the petition, you are also giving the Job One for Humanity Organization permission to send you critical global warming extinction emergency progress updates about once a month.
(If necessary, see this page for additional proof that all of the statements of this petition are true.)
(Special readers note: You are about to read some very alarming facts about our current global warming extinction emergency. We trust you will make up your own mind about what to do after thinking carefully about the facts that we are presenting.
We have learned that not everyone decides to take the same remedial or protective actions once they get over the initial shock of what they are about to read. Because we all are different and have differenct circumstances, we have provided the new Job One for Humanity Global Warming Reduction Plan which contains many options for very different kinds of individual or collective responses to our current global warming emergency.
And finally, if you do not at all understand what global warming is or how it works, we strongly advise you click here first and then continue with the rest of this document.)
"You cannot be called an alarmist if there really is something to be alarmed about." Unknown
Welcome to a not-so-happy summary of the current global warming extinction emergency which we all now face within our lifetimes. Before you read the global warming details provided below, it is critical to first read this critical new article which fully explains:
1. why we are already in an undeclared state of a global warming extinction emergency and,
2. what we must now do.
Once you have read the above new article, in the rest of this article you will discover additional stark facts and science about how fast global warming is escalating.
While reading all of these disturbing materials, keep calm and keep in mind that if we act wisely, together and with urgency, there is still a remaining window of opportunity (up until 2025.) in which we can slow down the global warming extinction emergency enough, so that far more of us will be able to survive it.
Why 35 years of global warming and fossil fuel reduction failure?
In spite of almost 35 years of warnings by credible scientists and the work of the environmental movement, plus a preponderance of collaborating scientific evidence, as well as numerous conferences and previous treaties, the carbon dioxide and methane pollution of our atmosphere, has not stopped, slowed, or even leveled off. On the contrary, it is getting worse faster than ever before!
As you can see, we are not doing very well.
Leading climate scientists like James Hansen, who originally warned us about the global warming danger 35 years ago, say we would remain safe if carbon in the atmosphere did not go over 350 parts per million (ppm). As of June of 2019 we are at about carbon 414 ppm and increasing at about 3 ppm per year in a near exponential progression.
When you combine the heating effect of carbon with the other greenhouse gases, it is called the CO2e ppm rating. CO2e, or carbon dioxide equivalent. CO2e is a standard unit for measuring all greenhouse gases in terms of the amount of warming they create compared to CO2.carbon footprints.
When you include atmospheric methane and the other greenhouse gas pollutants, our current adjusted CO2e rating has already risen to the shocking level of 430 ppmv of CO2e! Worse yet, we will be at carbon 450 ppm in 10 years or less when we include atmospheric methane in our calculations.
To put this in a time-lapse perspective, from 1850 to about 1950, the increase in carbon pollution was steady at about 1 ppm per year. From 1950 to 2000, the increase rose to 2 ppm per year, and now in its current exponential curve, it is at about 3 ppm per year and rising rapidly toward 3-4 ppm per year. If carbon continues to rise in this exponential, nonlinear way, virtually unchecked by our ineffective previous actions, the increase could easily reach a level of 4-5 ppm per year by 2025.
As you can see below, carbon has been rising since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution in England.
Image via Stephen Stoft at zfacts.com
According to James Hansen, a carbon 450 ppm level would eventually correspond and develop into an average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) in this century and the end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it. Based on carbon ppm levels already in the system and reaching the 450 mark, this also means at least another 2.7° Celsius (4.9° Fahrenheit) global temperature increase beyond where we are now is the eventual and inescapable future reality.
This 2.7° Celsius would also be the most realistic minimal temperature increase to project as part of any future planning over the next 10-30 years. Bear in mind that even this scenario applies only if everything goes perfectly and we cross no additional global warming tipping points.
Unfortunately, it is already certain that because of our ongoing denial and delay in addressing escalating global warming, atmospheric carbon in parts per million will most likely continue to rapidly rise beyond the carbon 450-550 ppm total, which translates to a 3° to 4° plus Celsius increase (5.4° to 7.2°+ Fahrenheit) up to as much as a 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) increase in average global temperature. (A 4° Celsius increase [7.2° Fahrenheit] in average global temperature would become “Hell on earth” as Mark Lynas, author of Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet, has stated. Additionally, anything at or above a 4°Celcius increase in average global temperature would be incompatible with an organized global society and would be beyond adaptation!)
Hansen’s projections for “ending human civilization as we know it” are not the same as mass human extinction (as much as 70-90 % of humanity dying in as little as 30-50 years,) as we approach carbon 500 ppm and carbon 600 ppm which turn into the the 5° or 6° Celsius (10.8° to about 12° Fahrenheit) temperature levels. In Hansen’s 6° Celsius rise coming from eventually crossing the carbon 450 ppm mark, what would be considered normal, stable, comfortable, or predictable daily life in developed nations will become severely impaired and dysfunctional to say the least.
In undeveloped nations, there will be a high and consistent level of chaos and breakdown that will rapidly render most of these nations politically and economically unsustainable. As it is already occurring, the chaos of existing less-developed nations destabilized by factors such as war and the global warming extinction emergency will then affect the more developed and stable nations far beyond just the current massive migrations of climagees escaping the suffering and heat.
In spite of all the media PR, 21 United Nations climate conferences, endless warnings from credible scientists over the last 30 + years, and national reduction pledges and treaties, things are worsening in a nearly exponential progression (2,4,8,16, etc.). There is no way to deny we are not only losing the escalating global warming battle, and we are losing it at a progressively faster rate!
Instead of enacting the needed changes when they were far easier, more gradual, and far less costly, we must now take radical, painful, and costly tough medicine if we are going to save the future. The changes that would have been merely inconvenient 35 years ago will now become nearly unbearable.
Some of today’s most disturbing global warming facts
We are not receiving adequate accurate facts about how bad global warming is now, or how bad it will REALLY become. The heavily lobbied global media decline to alarm us to the real dangers in order to allow the fossil fuel industry to continue business as usual. Click here to see how bad we are actually doing in reducing fossil fuel use globally.
Current atmospheric fossil fuel burning-related carbon ppm values are now at 413. This is higher than at any other time in the last 1 million years (possibly higher than at any time in the last 25 million years). This new carbon pollution record represents an increase of 85 carbon ppm in the 55 years since David Keeling began making his revolutionary atmospheric carbon pollution measurements at Mauna Loa. (See graphs in this and previous chapters).
Carbon pollution accumulating in the atmosphere has been increasing even faster over the last few decades. It is now nearly certain that if we refuse to take immediate, effective measures to resolve global warming, future increases will happen at even faster rates.
Global average temperatures have the potential to rise far faster than what we normally experience. For example, about 9600 BC, in the Boreal climatic phase, global temperatures rose 7° C (12.6° F) in less than a decade, pushing the ice sheets into rapid collapse and sending sea levels soaring.
Our 35-year inability to control the global warming extinction emergency is due in part to:
The lack of national and international verifiable and enforceable international laws that would make continued large-scale carbon and methane pollution of the atmosphere a strongly punished activity or crime.
The physical time lags in developing and deploying the infrastructure needed for the new green energy technologies. As we are progressing now, it will likely take another 30-50 years.
But, if everyone on the planet and every government simultaneously agreed to scale up green energy generation immediately and there were no budgetary or resource restrictions in completing this life-critical project, it would still take many many decades to put that infrastructure in place.
If escalating global warming and its consequent climate destabilization proceed to the levels currently being predicted, it will eventually cost the global society hundreds of trillions of dollars in crisis recovery, as well as soaring insurance rates, massive real estate losses and depreciation, and massive coastal and other infrastructure losses, in addition to the vast amount of human suffering and death.
Right now, most nations are struggling with debt and their economies are in trouble with anemic annual growth. How will many of these nations, particularly the weakest ones, remain politically or financially viable, stable, or even continue to exist if another 5% or more of their total GDP (the Stern Review) is drained off each year into the continually escalating costs of global warming-caused climate destabilization? Current estimates from a book called Climate Shock project all global warming consequences will cost 10 percent and maybe far more of the world’s total GDP by 2100.
The global warming extinction emergency is already here! Its superstorms, flooding, seasonal disruptions, wildfires, heat waves, migrating insect infestations, and droughts will continue increasing in magnitude and frequency. According to a recent analysis from scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), "[t]he worst-case projections for global warming may be the most likely.”
The next battle now lies in keeping global warming from rising to an extinction-level event where human-caused carbon dioxide and methane levels in the atmosphere push the global temperature increases to 4°-6° Celsius (7.2°-10.8° Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels and beyond. How we can survive and fix this is found in the new Job One for Humanity Plan found on this website.
The following Illustration is From the new Climageddon book:
There is far more information about the escalating warming emergency in the new Climageddon book.
In this new book, you will find out why anything at or above a 4°Celcius increase in average global temperature would be incompatible with an organized global society and would be beyond our ability to adapt to it!