There is a lot to update you about on global warming emergency this month especially since we missed last month's update...
We are in a global warming extinction emergency. In a state of emergency, one has little time left to act and fix the emergency. Therefore, we must operate at levels of urgency and direct intervention not utilized before which is commensurate with the larger danger to ensure this emergency will get resolved.
The Job One for Humanity organization has adapted to the new reality we are in a global warming extinction emergency. Accordingly, we have become a respectful disruptor of any individual, company, not-for-profit environmental group or any global warming educational peers who are unintentionally or intentionally presenting false, misleading, diminishing or significantly underestimated global warming information about the real dangers of our global warming extinction emergency.
What exactly do we mean by respectful disruptor?
A. Being a disruptor means that in peaceful and nonviolent ways, we will publicly challenge any organization or individual that presents false, significantly underestimated, diminishing or misleading global warming analysis, facts or solutions or, otherwise misrepresents, dummies down or "markets" global warming information in such a way that it becomes counter-productive to resolving the true urgency of the global warming extinction emergency.
We will disrupt this flow of false, underestimated, or misleading information wherever we find it to the best of our organization's abilities and resources. We are compelled to disrupt because our current global warming emergency is so great and the time to prevent a massive human, animal, and biological extinction event from occurring within our lifetimes is so short (only until 2025.)
B. Being a disruptor also means that we hold that no well-intended or global warming ill-informed organization or individual has the inherent right to forward false, underestimated, or misleading information unchallenged when their actions and ideas lessen either the urgency or the effective means of our global warming extinction emergency.
Our unwelcome role as a respectful disruptor is not just necessary, it is required! Any distress that we might cause by challenging an offending organization or individual is infinitely less when compared to the suffering, death, and damage that such unchallenged information could or will eventually cause to the world's efforts to reduce global warming in time to save humanity and the future.
What exactly do we mean by being respectful?
Being respectful means that we will respectfully challenge any organization or individual that presents false, underestimated, diminishing, or misleading global warming analysis or, facts counter-productive to resolving the global warming extinction emergency. We will act respectfully because most individuals, companies, and nonprofit organizations are composed of good people and have done many good things for global warming education. In some cases, these same entities may have made essential and significant contributions to the global warming educational movement over many years.
We also understand that in most cases, these organizations and individuals are probably not doing this awarely or intentionally. They are just doing the best they have with what they have.
We believe that when they have unintentionally presented false or underestimated global warming analysis or, facts or, that they have misrepresented other important global warming information, it is often because they have:
1. Failed to adequately challenge the existing "authority endorsed" paradigms of global warming climate models, analysis and interpretation for missing critical inputs, hidden political manipulation or manipulation by other hidden for-profit vested interests (the fossil fuel industry,) which have skewed or warped the integrity of other honest climate researchers results.
2. Failed to have any single individual or executive within their organization put in the tens of thousands of pages of challenging deep research reading with the requisite high IQ, complex adaptive system and systems theory analysis skills to have an adequate meta-systemic understanding of one of the most complicated issues of our time.
3. Listened to marketing advisors within their organizations, causing them to self-censor and treat their members like children who cannot be told or deal with the hard painful facts of the global warming extinction emergency.
We will be respectfully disruptive toward the incorrect facts, false beliefs, and ineffective global warming reduction plans of anyone presenting them. We do this only to call attention to more effective actions or more useful global warming facts and analysis.
When you read our website and see us enacting our respectful disruptor policy, please keep in mind that our government leaders have utterly failed to see the coming pain and suffering of the COVID-19 pandemic, nor did they adequately prepare for it! Our government leaders are also not seeing or adequately preparing for the global warming extinction emergency, which is already happening and, will be far, far worse than COVID-19! Because of this in-action by our governments, we must find a way to compensate for that failure.
We will provide useful and accurate information on the global warming state of emergency. This way, we can more quickly reduce global fossil fuel use by executing all of the prioritized and deadline-driven actions necessary to prevent a massive human, animal, and biological extinction event occurring within our lifetimes because:
a. The faster and more we reduce global fossil fuel use, the more people that will survive to carry on humanity.
b. The quicker and more we reduce global fossil fuel use, the less future generations will suffer from an ever-increasing sequence of escalating global warming catastrophes.
We believe that everyone has the right to their own opinion. We also believe that anyone can and should be publicly challenged if the result(s) of their unchallenged opinions will cause grave harm to others and the future of humanity and the biosphere!
Therefore, if anyone is forwarding false, underestimated, diminishing, or misleading ideas that will make it more difficult to slow or resolve the global warming extinction emergency, we will:
1. directly, indirectly, or tacitly recognize their legitimate accomplishments and we will first present them with the information on this website privately to help educate them to where they are in error. (By going to the individual or organization privately first we seek not to polarize, but educate. Only if they reject private education and changing their false, underestimated, diminishing, or misleading ideas do we result to step two below.)
2. recognize their legitimate accomplishments and if they continue to forward false, underestimated, diminishing or misleading ideas about the global warming extinction emergency we will publicly attack the errors in the information they are presenting the public forums that will provide the most correctional benefits and fully disrupt the status quo of their erroneous educational actions.
We do not seek to polarize or lessen the efforts of any individual or organization seeking to legitimately educate about global warming, but at the twelfth hour of this greatest of all human emergencies we can not and will not allow false, underestimated, diminishing, or misleading ideas about the global warming extinction emergency to go unchallenged.
If you have any doubt why this respectful disruption policy is so important with so little time left to solve the global warming emergency, please click here and see where we are on the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock.
The Job One for Humanity Team
Why will it be so hard to prevent mass human extinction without achieving the 2025 global warming fossil fuel reduction targets?
There are serious reasons for why we may not achieve the extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines. We may not even hit any fossil fuel reduction targets or deadlines for the next 30-50 years.
Climageddon Scenario Phases 2-6
(To see Climageddon Scenario Phase 1, click here. Please note that several sections below are repeated or similar to sections in earlier Climageddon phases either for necessary emphasis or because this page will be viewed separately in internet searches.)
The following contains members-only global warming extinction warning signs, countdown timetables, and consequence information that was difficult and expensive for us to acquire. Only logged in members can see this page.
The contents of this page are well beyond what was contained in the Amazon well-reviewed new Climageddon book. This page also completes the general public introduction to the Climageddon Scenario found on this page of our non-member public website.
Before you read this page, we strongly recommend that you have also reviewed the full Climageddon Scenario public introduction to this page found here. It is an important and essential introduction to this members-only page that contains much not on this page and that helps make the following much clearer!
The 5 other phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario and Countdown
Consider each consequence listed within the following five additional Climageddon phases as an increasing louder warning signal signaling the next step and level in our countdown to mass extinction. Treat these unfolding warning signs and timetables as deadlines for your survival timeframe planning!
With each of the 5 additional phases described below human suffering and death as well as desperation migration and great financial loss will not increase gradually but along a rapidly rising exponential curve. Also, please keep in mind that as each phase occurs and we cross more tipping points, our ability to manage and control or prevent the subsequent phase unfolding drops drastically.
This phase-by-phase ever-increasing loss of effective control helps to facilitate an ever-increasing chain reaction of more and more consequences and more and more crossed tipping points occurring faster and faster, leading eventually to the full extinction of humanity event described in detail in Phases 5 and 6 further below.
Assuming you have read the essential information on the major global warming consequences and tipping points you are properly prepared to explore the next 5 phases of the Climageddon Scenario described below to discover what is the "perfect storm of perfect storms."
And finally, never forget that if we reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by plus or minus 5 percent, we will avoid the worst consequences of the Climageddon Scenario and mass extinction! Life over the millennia has always found a way to solve its previous mass extinction challenges!
Climageddon Scenario Phase 2, beginning as soon as 2032-2050:
(Please note: Phase 1 of the Climageddon Scenario is located on this public access page.)
We have crossed significant points of no return, crossed the climate cliff, and more dangerous tipping points. Temperatures rise more and faster. Carbon hits 450-500 ppm
The end of Phase 1 leading into the beginning of Phase 2 is the beginning of irreversible climate destabilization lasting for centuries to thousands of years. It is most often associated with a measurement of atmospheric carbon in the range of about 425-450 ppm. Phase 2 can begin as early as carbon 425 ppm if we cross more tipping points between carbon 425-450 ppm.
Overall, when we reach this phase, things will go from bad to considerably worse at a much faster pace.
In Phase 2, if the carbon ppm increase averages only around 3 ppm per year, the average global temperature rises faster and in a less gradual (i.e., less linear) manner. In Phase 2, the global warming consequences continue to increase in severity, scale, and frequency, but also in a faster manner. It is important to appreciate the accelerating effect of global warming consequence processes and relationships interacting with each other as the CS phases unfold. As global warming continues, its consequences will not just become more frequent; they will also keep expanding and intensifying in the other dimensions of scale and severity.
Phase 2 locks in the process of irreversible climate destabilization for centuries to thousands of years. It is considered irreversible because the time scale to repair the damage goes far, far beyond human lifespans.
In this phase, the cost of a single instance, global warming-related disaster may average in the $100-$300 billion range.
Because of melting ice and permafrost and crossed tipping points in the Arctic, at the beginning of Phase 2 we are highly likely to cross more points of no return and tipping points in climate human and biological systems. The evidence we could soon enter Phase 2 is already found in the North and South polar regions as they are warming at about twice the speed as the rest of the world.
Rapidly increasing temperatures and changing polar currents have already demonstrated major effects on the weather all over the world. The significantly higher temperature range in the polar regions is a likely “hot spot” to trigger crossing many known and unknown points of no return in these regions.
In addition to our rapidly rising carbon ppm level, another powerful indicator that we are rapidly approaching Phase 2 is the melting and breaking off of the West Antarctic ice sheet. Scientists are now saying the ice sheet has passed its point of irreversibility, meaning it will not return within a time frame that would enable us to solve our situation.
The loss of the West Antarctic ice sheet is extremely dangerous because it has held back much more massive Antarctic ice fields from plunging into the sea. If this happens, sea levels will quickly rise 10-20 feet (3-6 meters) over a time frame that we will not be able to adapt to without massive financial losses and casualties.
If we are lucky and maintain an average carbon increase of 3 ppm per year and we do not cross more points of no return or tipping points, it will take about 16 to 33 years (about 2032-2050) to reach carbon 450 or 500 ppm. The eventual average global temperature increase range commonly associated with Phase 2’s climate destabilization is about 2.5° to 3.2° Celsius or 4.5° to 5.8° Fahrenheit. Please also note that phase 2 could also end as early as 2026 if fossil fuel burning goes radically up and/or we cross many more additional key global warming tipping points, but that is more unlikely.
In Phase 2, when more global warming points of no return and tipping points are crossed, the progression before you reach carbon 450 -500 ppm resembles what occurs when one changes from careening down a gradual slope into a steeper one. You are not yet rolling uncontrollably. You still have a tiny bit of time left to think about what is coming before you crash, but the steeper the hill’s incline, the less chance you have of stopping or controlling your momentum.
Once we cross the carbon 500 ppm level, roughly between 2042-2067 or as early as 2032-2050, ALL ice and ALL glaciers on Earth will begin the process of a complete meltdown! If ice shelves keep sliding off the land that they are currently sitting on into the oceans at faster and faster rates, cities like San Francisco could very well experience as much as a 10 foot 10-sea level rise sometime during this phase and period.
Crossing the carbon 500 ppm threshold has, in fact, happened repeatedly in Earth's geological history. When this has occurred, the sea level inevitably rose to the 70 meters (230 feet) range. At our current annual carbon ppm emission rates, we will reach this catastrophic carbon 500 ppm range without crossing any additional tipping points as early as 2032-2050.
If we cross that battle line and climate cliff bypassing the atmospheric carbon level of 500 parts per million (ppm), our average global temperature will soar to about 4°C (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit). At 4°C, a large portion of humanity (hundreds of millions) will begin to die of starvation (or of increased heat's other related consequences) and, many governments and societies will collapse in many areas of the world between the 35th parallel north and the 35th parallel south.
Even though it will take many centuries for the seas to rise 230 feet, there will still be sea level rise spurts within those centuries where sea level rise by 10 feet or more in just a few decades as it also has done repeatedly in Earth's past.
Take a moment to visualize the seas eventually rising 230 feet and what this will mean to the generations that follow us. Take a moment to visualize massive crop failures around the world because of the increased heat and the consequent mass suffering of slow starvation if we pass the carbon 500 ppm level (an average global temperature increase of 4°C [7.2 degrees Fahrenheit]).
In the later Phase 2, tens of millions of people will become climagees and migrate toward the northernmost countries. Hundreds of millions worldwide will die. We could reach the beginning of phase 2 as early as 2022-2026 if we continue at 2016’s carbon increase of 3-4 ppm per year and we cross more tipping points.
The probability of crossing from Phase 2 into Phase 3 is nearly inevitable because of the many reasons and factors described at the top of the following linked page, IS global warming uncontrollable for at least the next 30-50+ years.
We will no ability to control global warming in any way once it hits carbon 500 ppm.
The warning signs of phase 2 from 2032-2050
The following listing of positive feedback loops, points of no return, tipping points, consequences, and interactions with our other current global challenges should be considered as good warning signs we are both in phase 2 or moving rapidly through phase 2 into phase 3. Watch for information about these consequences and events occurring in the news.
Particularly watch to see if they're being described as worse than before or as breaking all previous records. Look carefully at what the consequence pattern and trend is moving toward. These are the best objective accelerating warning signs that individuals can see for themselves and that will motivate thoughtful individuals to act appropriately.
Phase 2: The most probable positive feedback loops, points of no return, and tipping points to occur or be crossed from 2032-2050 in order of priority are as follows:
Increased albedo from reduced snow cover and melting Arctic ice increasing the earth's heat, increased sea ice, and glacier melt resulting in additional sea-level rise, increased atmospheric water vapor increases resulting in more extreme weather, increased permafrost and tundra heating releasing more methane and which results in more heat.
Faster melting permafrost in tundra areas increasingly causes the probability of local and possibly regional pandemics caused by ancient viruses and bacteria being released from the permafrost.
From the above list of tipping points, shrinking sea ice will cause massive ice shelves in Antarctica and Greenland (that are held in place by the surrounding sea ice,) to quickly slide off the land they sit on and into the sea. This could be one of the two biggest sudden shocker tipping points that hit us far harder than we are planning for regarding our rising sea level.
This is because melting sea ice (icebergs) already floating in the sea does not raise sea level. But on the other hand, massive ice shelves currently sitting on land in Antarctica and Greenland which then slides into the sea can raise sea levels far faster as well as far more than we are prepared for.
Several times in earth's history massive ice shelves have quickly slid off Greenland because the melted floating sea ice which had previously buttressed it up had melted. This sudden sliding of the ice shelf into the sea raised sea level by as much as 3-10 feet in as little as a decade or two. Imagine what would happen to any coastal cities in the world with sea level rising 3 to 10 feet in as little as a decade or two. What kind of economic, political, and social chaos would result from such a sudden sea-level rise across all of our global coastal areas?
Right now the sea ice surrounding many of the largest ice shelves in the world is melting at unprecedented rates. At just our current carbon levels, the stability of the bellwether West Antarctic ice sheet has already been breached and this ice loss is now irreversible. This rapidly melting West Antarctic ice sheet is an excellent example of another great global warming consequence evolving into a global warming tipping point that the world has hurdled past far faster than anyone had predicted or foreseen.
There will also be plankton dying from massive ocean carbon absorption resulting in less future ocean carbon absorption and more heat as well as less oxygen production, all of which results in more heat speeding up the whole process of more positive feedback loops, crossing more points of no return and tipping points. (Click here to learn more about each item listed above.)
Forests that were a major stabilizing force absorbing up to 30% of atmospheric carbon, become more neutral in their carbon absorption and eventually begin to stop taking any carbon from the atmosphere. This is a very scary tipping point that is already beginning to happen in 2020 in some areas of Amazon forests. Losing this forest massive carbon removal system will push temperatures up much faster than we are even remotely prepared for.
Phase 2: The following general global warming consequences will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale from 2032-2050.
The global warming-related consequences that will occur and continue to increase in this phase from continuing to burn fossil fuels at anything close to the rates we are now are similar to the consequences in part 1:
1. atmospheric heating which increases average global temperature,
2. new disease outbreaks, epidemics, and more COVID-19 like pandemics in areas where they have never been before. (This is due to loss of natural animal habitat, eating more wild animals, additional melting of the permafrost, overcrowding, less resilient health systems, and mass migrations. Because of accelerating global warming consequences, we could be experiencing COVID-19 type pandemics every decade.)
3. shrinking sea ice and ice shelves, glaciers and snowpack,
4. extreme storms of all kinds, (hurricanes, tornadoes, rain bombs, bomb cyclones, etc,)
5. crop failures increasing mass starvation, and soaring food prices,
7. new disease outbreaks, epidemics, and pandemics in areas where they have never been before,
8. clean drinking water scarcity,
10. fires and wildfires,
12. toxic air pollution,
13. ocean acidification, (Ocean heating and ocean acidification from carbon from global warming will eventually kill off much of the oceans' oxygen-producing plankton. These plankton are responsible for as much as 50% of all oxygen produced on the planet.)
14. loss of biodiversity,
15. jet stream disruption, (disruption of seasonal weather patterns,)
15. mass human migrations,
16 animal and insect migrations,
17. forests that were a major stabilizing force absorbing carbon become neutral in their carbon absorption and stop taking carbon from the atmosphere. (Soon in later phases the forests will begin to release their vast stores of carbon pushing temperatures higher even faster.)
18. economic losses. (In this phase, most nations will spend 3-7 percent of their total gross domestic product (GDP) directly or indirectly paying for the consequences of the global warming emergency.)
19. accelerating reef collapses around the world, (which negatively affects fish spawning and feeding areas, which causes more collapse of global fish populations, which causes more human starvation around the world. This is because fish protein is a major source of food for the world's poorer populations.)
20. slowing continues in the Atlantic Current. This further destabilizes global weather.
In one way or another, directly or indirectly as the above list of heat-driven global warming consequences increase in severity, frequency, and scale the following things occur:
1. Overall, there will ever-increasing damage to our economic, social, and political systems. This will cause immense, even unthinkable human suffering.
2. The total human capacity to work or produce will go down significantly, causing more business and distribution interruptions, business, and personal uncertainty, and unemployment.
3. There will be less food available from crops and fish stocks due to many of the extreme climate consequences.
4. Food prices will rise.
5. More people will starve.
6. The costs for living, repair, maintenance, building, or rebuilding in global warming safer areas will continue to go up.
7. There will be increasing disease, epidemics, and pandemics.
8. There be increasing migrations of starving, sick, or unemployed people fleeing from climate consequences and unstable or collapsed economies or nations.
9. There will be ever-increasing criminality by larger and larger portions of the population who are starving, ill or unemployed, and desperately trying to survive by any means possible.
10. Because of the growing criminality and social and political chaos, governments will impose states of emergency and martial law resulting in increased restrictions, suffering, and the loss of many hard-won human rights.
11. As the social economic and political chaos spreads, there will be more regional, national, and international conflicts and more conventional (and even a great potential for limited nuclear wars) because of growing resource scarcity, global warming-safe land scarcity, and increasing unstoppable migrations.
12. When all of the above items are taken collectively, it will cause additional economies and nations that were less stable to collapse entirely. And finally,
13. Human suffering and global deaths will continue to increase exponentially. Human deaths will eventually reach mass extinction levels.
Also, during this phase, as the above consequences intensify, local governments will order more and more precautionary evacuations as a first step in limiting casualties and losses.
Phase 2: From 2032-2050, there will be continuous and critical inter-reactions of the global warming consequences with our 12 other global challenges.
Global warming is not taking place in a vacuum where the world is not also dealing with other major global crises. Once we go over the 2025 global warming climate cliff (carbon 425-450 ppm,) we will make humanity's other 12 critical global crises so much worse that, the survival of humankind beyond a few more decades is highly unlikely.
Here is a brief re-listing of these other 12 critical global challenges:
Global Challenge 1: Resolving the current COVID-19 global pandemic,
Global Challenge 2: increasing global economic instabilities,
Global Challenge 3: ever-rising over-population,
Global Challenge 4: rising global resource depletion,
Global Challenge 5: escalating pollution of lands, air, and waters.
Global Challenge 6: loss of biodiversity,
Global Challenge 7: growing economic inequality, social and racial injustice, hunger, and poverty.
Global Challenge 8: escalating regional and international terrorism, conflicts, and war,
Global Challenge 9: Mass migrations,
Global Challenge 10: New COVID-19 like pandemics as well as other new and old disease epidemics that will likely occur every decade.
Global Challenge 11: increasing political instability and collapsing governments, and
Global Challenge 12: Our failure to evolve effective global governance.
For most of humanity's 12 other critical global crises, climate change, and global warming are simultaneously the great disruptors of the 21st century as well as threat mega-multipliers.
The above 12 other non-global warming challenges will interact with each other and likely continue to worsen in this phase of the Climageddon Scenario. In some cases, these 12 challenges getting worse over time will also speed up economic, social, and political instability, uncertainty, and chaos caused by global warming within this particular Climageddon Scenario phase.
When you mix our accelerating global warming threat multiplier in with these 12 other expanding global challenges you create for yourself a converging cascade of endless catastrophes. This cascading interaction process will cross-intensify and worsen many of the global warming consequences of this phase as well as our 12 other global challenges. (See this page if you need to refresh yourself on the details and processes relating to our 12 other critical global warming challenges.)
Global Warming: the Keystone to the Global Collapse of Civilization
It is also essential to learn to think about accelerating global warming as the keystone of impending global collapse. This is because it will speed up the collapse of most of the other 12 global challenges.
If you have seen a Roman architectural arch, you already know a little about what a keystone is. It is the central, usually triangular-shaped stone at the top center of the curvature. It is also the critical supporting stone that holds all the other stones in place and maintains the integrity and strength of the arch. If you pull a keystone out of a Roman arch, the whole arch immediately crumbles and ultimately falls in on itself.
That is also what will figuratively happen with civilization if we let global warming get out of control.
Imagine a Roman arch made up of global warming (our climate) as its keystone and the other 12 global challenges as the remaining stones holding up the arch of our civilization. In this image, global warming is the keystone that when it crumbles (due to accelerating heat) will lead to the ultimate collapse of our global civilization.
Unfortunately, our accelerating global warming challenge will also facilitate the collapse of our global civilization in the quickest and surest way. The only global challenge that will lead to a quicker and more certain global civilization collapse is an immediate global nuclear war.
Additionally, do not forget that when the global warming keystone begins to collapse, it also forces the other 12 global challenges to have intensified consequences and themselves begin collapsing far faster than we can be prepared for or from which we can recover. If the global warming keystone collapses by crossing more and more of its internal tipping points (as described in the six Climageddon phases), every projected time frame relating to global warming's consequences and the world's 12 other global challenges would also radically change for the worse.
Outcomes that were predicted to be many decades away could now become just a few decades away. At the least, the consequences and timeframes indicated in the six Climageddon Scenario phases would be significantly speeded up!
Up until now, the focus of the Climageddon Scenario has been near exclusively on global warming. At this point, it is critical to also see the collapse of our civilization as a separate and far more significant issue hidden within the global warming emergency.
When accelerating global warming multiplies and amplifies the consequences of the 12 other global challenges, it becomes the hot, lit match that can rapidly expedite the adverse effects of the other 12 global challenges causing them to explode. This explosion of adverse consequences across our global challenges would result in the complete or near-complete collapse of our global civilization.
Worse yet, the multiplying and amplifying effect of accelerating global warming on the other 12 global warming challenges could shorten the Climageddon Scenario predicted time frames for the coming social, economic, and political consequences (with their resultant potentials for system collapse and chaos) by as much as 10-30 percent or more.
What happens when you mix escalating global warming consequences with the escalating consequences of the other 12 global challenges?
When you are thinking about the interacting collective and individual global warming and the 12 other global challenge impacts of this Climageddon phase, you must also take into account the expanding direct and indirect impacts upon human social, economic, and political systems and the tipping points within those unique human systems. For example, as we continue to experience more of the multiplying, amplifying and magnifying consequences mentioned above (that will also increase in frequency, severity, and scale,) we will also begin to experience even more random human system crashes and collapses which have previously only occurred when severe stresses had arisen within our social, economic and political human systems.
All of the previously mentioned consequences interacting, multiplying, or amplifying each other will then eventually push more of our human systems ever closer toward or over their own internal tipping points. This means that eventually, more of the weaker countries will collapse under the ever-increasing weight of these rising internal economic, political, and social climate-related catastrophes.
What also will begin to happen as we leave Phase 2 and enter Phase 3 is that more nuclear reactors, toxic chemical manufacturing plants and any chemical or biological weapons stockpiles in the weakest nations will become even more vulnerable to accidental meltdown, release or theft as the governments of weaker nations lose their remaining resources or manpower to keep these critical sites secure and operational.
As more of the world's weakest nations collapse from the mounting global warming, our other global challenges, they will create even more desperate climagees (in the tens then hundreds of millions.) As rising climagee migrations seeks to enter stronger or safer nations, the stronger nations will also begin to experience more severe local, regional and national breakdowns in law and order as they experience even greater stresses upon their own economic, social and political systems. At the end of Phase 2, a few of the world's strongest nations will also begin destabilizing from the weight of the accumulating consequences.
Warning signs that a tipping point may soon be crossed in biological, climate and human systems
Many times, just before a tipping point is crossed and crashes, it experiences a period of increasing oscillations, “flipping” more rapidly from one state to another. Not only does it oscillate from one state to another at a faster rate, but the severity of the oscillations also increases. Finally, the frequency of the oscillation swings also begins to accelerate and occur in closer time proximity.
Whenever you see this type of intensified oscillation pattern occurring, whether it's in climate or biological systems or the stock market, it is the harbinger of significant changes and often system crashes. Additionally, smaller systems and subsystems will move into a state of chaos or collapse more readily than larger systems and subsystems due to smaller systems and subsystems usually having less inertia to resist the change.
As you read about all of the coming consequences within the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario, please keep in mind the above illustration showing increasing ups and downs occurring over shorter and shorter periods before a system crash. Being aware of this pre-crash process will assist you from getting caught unprepared in most situations.
Risk and threat ratings
Phase 2 Torino impact rating:
Torino rating 9: The threat is highly certain for unprecedented localized regional and national destruction. Attention by the public and both national and international governments to contingency planning is critical if the event is less than 3 decades away. Click here and go to the section of the page called Action Plan Section 2 near the bottom of the page to learn what the governments must start doing immediately.
Phase 2 US military DEFCON rating:
DEFCON 3: Armed forces readiness increased above normal levels; Air Force ready to mobilize in 15 minutes.
Phase 2 US Homeland Security risk rating:
The hidden danger of Phase 2 is that it is a key transition phase within the scenario. From there on, with each new tipping point and point of no return crossed, the effects collide across climate, human, and biological systems, and we lose all control of our future control even faster and the global warming process itself deepens its irreversibility.
When global warming becomes irreversible, it is important to understand that it will remain irreversible beyond any meaningful time frame compared to a human lifespan. It will persist for hundreds or thousands of years. This phase-by-phase loss of meaningful and effective control is also not gradual or linear—it accelerates and steepens as each subsequent phase of the Climageddon Scenario is entered.
Congratulations! You have finished Phase 2 of the Climageddon Scenario. There are 4 more well-illustrated and soon-arriving Climageddon Scenario phases to review where, unfortunately, things get even worse as global warming worsens.
Because the Climageddon Scenario is already unfolding, please do not forget that if we do reach the last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by plus or minus 5 percent, we will avoid the worst consequences of the Climageddon Scenario and mass extinction! Life over the millennia always seems to find a way to solve its previous mass extinction challenges!
To help prevent the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario from unfolding there exists a deadline-prioritized, effective action plan to ensure we do not trigger the later mass extinction phases. Click here for a brief overview of this plan. Once we get the greatest disruptor and threat multiplier of the 21st-century (global warming,) under control by building truly sustainable lifestyles and livelihoods, we can then move on to some of the deeper social and economic causes of global warming by focusing more on the other non-global warming global challenges mentioned on this page.
The July 2020 Special Update on changing preparation and adaption timeframes for the global warming emergency: Please click here and go to our member's area critical timeframe update on these issues as soon as possible. This update is vital if you want to prepare your family or business for what is now unavoidable!
To see all of the Climageddon Scenario Phase 3, beginning as soon as 2030-2040, click here.
Let's start with a few of today’s most concerning global warming facts:
In spite of all the media PR, all the 21 climate conferences over the last 30 years, and all the national reduction pledges, things are not just getting gradually worse in a linear progression (1,2,3,4, etc.), they're getting worse in an exponential progression (2,4,8,16, etc.)! When we measure current rates of toxic carbon and methane pollution going into the atmosphere, there is now no way to deny it; we are not winning the escalating global warming battle!
In spite of 30 years of warnings by credible scientists, the environmental movement and an increasing body of compelling scientific evidence (now agreed to by almost all of the scientists qualified in climate science), the toxic carbon and methane pollution of the atmosphere has not slowed or even leveled off.
Leading climate scientists like James Hansen (former head of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies who also originally warned us about the global warming danger 30 years ago) say that we would remain safe if carbon in the atmosphere did not go over 350 parts per million (ppm). As of February of 2016, carbon ppm was near 405.35 ppm and increasing at about 2-3+ ppm per year in a nonlinear, exponential progression.
Worse yet, if you include atmospheric methane and other greenhouse gas pollutants, our current adjusted carbon ppm is already near 430 ppm or 430 ppm of CO2e! (When you combine the global warming heating effect of carbon with other greenhouse gases it is called the CO2e ppm rating. Also see the rapidly rising carbon only ppm graph curve farther below. It does not show atmospheric methane included.)
See the rapidly rising carbon ppm graph curve just below. Please note that It does not include and show atmospheric methane pollution. If it did, it would be at a effect-combined level of about 430 ppm.
We will be at carbon 450 ppm in 10 years or less if we include atmospheric methane in our calculations. To put this in a time-lapse perspective, from 1850 to about 1950, carbon pollution was steady at about a 1 ppm per year increase. From 1950 to 2000, the increase rose to 2 ppm per year, and now in its current exponential curve it is at 2.75 ppm per year and rising rapidly toward 3+ ppm per year in possibly just a few more years. If carbon continues to rise in this exponentially and nonlinear way and continues virtually unchecked by our ineffective actions as it appears it may, after the year 2025 the increase will reach a possible level of 3-4+ ppm per year from its current level of about 2.7 ppm per year.
According to James Hansen, carbon 450 ppm would correspond to an average global temperature increase of 6 degrees Fahrenheit in this century and “the end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it.” Based on carbon ppm levels already in the system and soon reaching the 450 mark, this means that a 2.7-degree Celsius global temperature increase (6 plus degrees Fahrenheit) may already be an inescapable reality.
Unfortunately, it gets much worse! It is also highly probable that because of our denial and delay in facing and addressing the escalating global warming emergency with honest and effective measures, carbon parts per million in the atmosphere will most likely continue to rapidly rise to and beyond carbon 550 ppm, which translates to a 3-4+ degree Celsius increase (6-8+ degrees Fahrenheit) in average global temperature. For every degree of Celsius temperature increase, global food production will drop 10% in many southern areas while the human population will continue to soar toward 9 billion. Climate scientists who are normally guarded in their language call a 4 degree Celsius increase (6-8 degrees Fahrenheit) in average global temperature "Hell on Earth."
More "big picture" global warming facts:
We the general public are not being honestly told how bad escalating global warming actually is right now, or how bad it will become if we continue as we are now. The fossil fuel heavily lobbied or owned global media are telling us what will not alarm us to the real dangers and will allow the fossil fuel industry to continue “business as usual.” Current fossil fuel use values for toxic carbon air pollution are more than 404 parts per million (ppm.) This is higher than at any other time in the last 1 million years (and maybe higher than any time in the last 25 million years.) This new carbon pollution record represents an increase of 85 carbon ppm in the 55 years since David Keeling began making his revolutionary atmospheric carbon pollution measurements at Mauna Loa. (See graphs one and four below.)
Even more disturbing than the historic magnitude of this change is the fact that the rate of toxic carbon pollution accumulating in the atmosphere has been rapidly increasing over the last few decades. If we keep doing only what we have been doing to resolve global warming, this also means that future increases will happen even faster. (See graphs one and two below.)
When averaged over 55 years, the increase in toxic carbon pollution has been about 1.55 ppm per year. However, the most recent data suggest that the annual increase is more than 2.75 ppm of carbon pollution per year. Carbon pollution of our atmosphere is getting worse not better! We are not making progress in reducing our fossil fuel burning addiction.
Our 30-year inability to get the global warming emergency under control is in part due to:
- The lack of national and international verifiable and enforceable international laws making large-scale toxic carbon and methane pollution of the atmosphere a strongly punished crime against both current society members and future generations.
The physical time lags in developing and deploying the infrastructure needed for the new green energy technologies (10-15 years if everyone on the planet and every government all agreed to do this immediately and there were no budgetary or resource restrictions in completing this life-critical project).
The existing carbon pollution momentum already in the atmosphere. It will take numerous decades if not the rest of this century to eliminate it if we could immediately get our carbon 430 ppm level back down to carbon 350 to 325 ppm.
If the escalating global warming emergency and its consequent climate destabilization proceeds to the levels currently being predicted, it will eventually cost the global society hundreds of trillions of dollars in crisis recovery as well as soaring insurance rates, massive real estate depreciation, and massive coastal and other infrastructure losses, in addition to the vast amount of human suffering and death. The Stern Review estimated that the costs of catastrophic climate destabilization will eventually grow to consume as much as 5% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of every nation on earth—and that is not even at climate destabilization's latter, or worse, stages! (The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change is a 700-page report released for the British government. The report discusses the effect of global warming on the world economy.)
Right now most nations are struggling with over-indebtedness and their economies are in trouble with anemic annual growth. How will many of these nations, particularly the weakest ones, remain politically or financially viable, stable, or even in existence if another 5% or more of their total GDP is drained off each year into the continually escalating costs of climate destabilization?
The global warming emergency and its consequent climate destabilization is already here! Its super storms, flooding, wildfires, heat waves, migrating insect infestations, and droughts will continue increasing in scale, severity, and frequency.
In fact, we are already in a state of irreversible global warming that will last at least another 50 years. We are now facing an extinction-level event where human-caused carbon and methane pollution levels in the atmosphere push the global temperature increases to 5-6 degrees Celsius (8-12 degrees Fahrenheit) and beyond.
Please Go to the next page in this special briefing called: Future global warming - unfortunately it gets worse.
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Sign the Petition to Declare a Global Warming State of Emergency and Help Prevent a Human, Animal and Ecological Mass Extinction Process within Our Lifetimes
We, the citizens of our nation and of our Earth, are endowed with certain rights, powers, and obligations, which demand we act to preserve and protect the future of humanity as well as Earth's other animal and biological life.
Based on abundant scientific evidence, we recognize that our global climate is rapidly warming and becoming increasingly unstable due to human-caused atmospheric carbon pollution primarily at this time from the burning of fossil fuels.
We also recognize that in spite of 35 years of credible scientific warnings, global warming is still rising and is now at dangerous levels!
We have already seen global warming-aggravated weather, like record-breaking floods, hurricanes, and wildfires. We have witnessed the "worst in centuries" droughts and dust storms. We have experienced alternating unseasonably cold then warm winters, extreme storms, bomb cyclones, and rain bombs where weeks or months' worth of rain falls in a few hours or a few days.
With our own eyes, we see that something very abnormal is happening to the previous stability of our normal weather and seasonal patterns. We have also noticed that global warming connected consequences (like those just mentioned,) are becoming more frequent, more severe, and are affecting larger and larger areas!
We recognize that if we do not immediately and radically reduce our global fossil fuel burning behaviors before additional global warming tipping points are crossed, the destabilization of our global climate will continue at even faster rates causing among other things, unprecedented crop failures and unthinkable mass starvation.
Our brightest climate scientists have determined that if we do not meet or come very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets (found here,) we will face a massive extinction event where as much as 70-90% of humanity will die in as little as the next 30-50 years. Unsurprisingly, escalating global warming will not only affect humanity's survival possibilities. It also presents an equally grave and ever-increasing extinction threat to animals and other biological species as well.
Rising global warming has already become the 21st century's single greatest disruptor of economic, political, social, and biological stability. It will also act to amplify our other largest global problems.
No one is ultimately safe from this global warming extinction emergency. Global warming consequences are already affecting millions in many areas of the world. Many individuals and businesses are already being forced to deal with escalating catastrophes, food and resource depletion, and the mass migration of desperate climagees (climate migrants.) In the not too distant future, global warming catastrophes will be affecting hundreds of millions then billions of individuals everywhere on Earth!
We now face a world in which rising global warming can cause mass human extinction and create increasing social, economic, and political chaos, not sometime near 2100, but as soon as the next 3-5 decades.
Worse yet, as our average global temperatures continue to rise, the world's other major and critical social, economic and political challenges (see * list below) will also worsen, amplify each other and cross-react with each other and the 11 critical global warming tipping points (found here.)
Our largest global challenges (other than the global warming consequences and immediate global nuclear war or nuclear or biological terrorism) that will both interact with each other and likely continue to worsen as global warming gets worse are:
1. global economic instabilities are leading to reoccurring national and global recessions or depressions. (These are fueled by existing economic weaknesses, lack of financial reserves and resilience, and unexpected major unexpected shocks or events (like COVID-19,) hitting the global markets and financial systems.
2. an ever-rising over-population (Earth has the carrying capacity for about 1 1/2 - 2 billion people. (Please click this carrying capacity link to understand why this overpopulation challenge is so big and bad.) Currently, we are near 8 billion people adding about 130 million additional people each year racing to 9.4 billion by or before 2050.
Over the next 30 years, our population is projected to rise as high as 10-13 billion. One could also ultimately say that overpopulation and its inherent over-consumption beyond our carrying capacity is the major cause behind today's global warming emergency and most of the world's other critical global challenges.
3. rising global resource depletion; caused by overpopulation, toxic pollution of water, lands, and air, crop failures, overfishing, topsoil loss, resource distribution injustice, and the massive overconsumption and waste of finite resources. Global resource depletion will significantly increase food shortages and soaring food prices leading to more starvation and mass migrations. If you do not believe that massive resource depletion and overshoot is a huge soon-arriving problem? Watch this fantastic overshoot video with great graphics and global resource depletion amounts and time frames in simple illustrations by Hugh Montgomery, a noted English professor. (We strongly recommend you watch this video for all of the food and non-food resources that are in accelerating depletion peril. [Forward the video to the 10 minutes and 30-second mark to begin watching Hugh Montgomery's compelling graphic presentation.])
4. escalating pollution of all kinds; ongoing and accelerating pollution kills crops, fish stocks, and poisons our air creating and accelerating all types of global health, social, and economic problems.
5. loss of biodiversity, (due to ongoing and accelerating loss of natural habitat due to overpopulation, global warming, pollution, etc.)
6. growing economic inequality, injustice, and poverty. (This also will significantly increase food shortages and soaring food prices leading to more starvation and migrations. Today less than 1% of the world's population owns more than 50% of all wealth. Over for the last several decades, this ownership percentage continues to grow continually in favor of the wealthy.)
7. escalating regional and international terrorism, conflicts, and war. These conflicts are caused by global warming, and most of the other global challenges listed here getting worse. While COVID-19 has temporarily slowed global conflicts, expect these conflicts to increase in intensity, frequency, and scale once COVID-19 is brought under control. The world then still faces all of the other nonglobal warming challenges on this page getting worse and being mostly unresolved.
8. Escalating mass migrations. Global warming, political and economic instability, increasing terrorism, conflicts, and war plus many of these other listed global challenges will both create and expand sudden, massive migrations of millions, then billions of people. Before 2030 the world will see hundreds of millions of climagees.
9. a rising new COVID-19 like pandemic probability reoccurring every decade along with other disease epidemics (due to the melting of the permafrost, loss of natural animal habitat, eating more wild animals, overcrowding, less resilient health systems, the other challenges and consequences listed on this page, like mass migrations,)
10. political instability and collapse, fueled by existing internal and external conflicts, deficits, and the failed global challenges listed on this page. Poorly managed nations with weak economies will fall first. In 2020 we already see many countries on the verge of economic or political collapse.
11. Failing to evolve effective global governance with the needed legislative, judicial, and enforceable executive powers to solve the global challenges that cross national borders. If you think about it carefully, you will discover that the critical evolutionary failure of having no truly effective global governance IS the single biggest reason and core structural cause for why most of our other global challenges have not been resolved or continue to exist. The evolutionary absence of valid global governance alone acts to facilitate, escalate, and enable almost all of the other global challenges that we currently face.
And finally, never forget that rising global warming can further increase the severity, frequency, and scale (size) of the above other global challenges we all now face, making them even harder to resolve!
Despite 35 years of scientific reports as well as 21 International conferences about the near-certain extinction effects of the carbon (and methane,) pollution of our atmosphere, global warming temperatures have both continued to rise and have accelerated to levels that have passed dangerous tipping points.
There is true urgency to this global warming extinction emergency!
Our average global temperature and atmospheric carbon levels are far too close to crossing the near-extinction tipping points.
If we fail to make or get very close to the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets, this extinction emergency becomes a no-win game for everyone, no matter how much money or power they might have and, no matter where they might try to escape to!
Our current global warming extinction emergency can only be resolved by immediately reducing the human-caused production of carbon and other key greenhouse gases produced directly and indirectly from the global burning of fossil fuels.
At this "it is almost already too little too late" moment in history, the necessary fossil fuel use reductions needed to save us can only be achieved by successfully meeting our last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets enforced by our governments!
Please also keep in mind that our government leaders have utterly failed to see the coming pain and suffering of the COVID-19 pandemic, nor did they adequately prepare for it.
Once again, our government leaders are also not seeing or adequately preparing for the global warming extinction emergency, which is already happening and, will be far, far worse than the COVID-19 global pandemic!
Therefore, as global citizens of every nation on Earth, we demand that our national political leaders act now before it is too late to prevent mass human, animal, and biological extinction within our lifetimes and untold suffering!
We demand that our government leaders:
1. Meet immediately to formally declare both a national and international Global Warming Extinction Emergency.
2. Pass enforceable and verifiable national and international laws that would successfully achieve the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets or, at least get us very close to them. (Even getting close to the 2025 targets allow us to slow down what is coming so we can be better prepared.) And,
3. Call for the immediate mass mobilization of ALL the necessary resources and personnel to execute ALL critical actions required to fully resolve our current global warming extinction emergency. (See Part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan for a complete list of all critical government-driven actions needed to save the future.)
By electronically signing this petition (in the box below,) I am personally and officially notifying my national politicians of this demand to immediately meet and take all required actions described in this emergency petition in order to protect, preserve, and advance the continuing evolution of humanity and life on Earth.
Furthermore, realizing that most of the worst global warming consequences will take centuries to thousands of years to repair, which will create an unthinkable nightmare for any surviving future generations, I further pledge to continue to act to help resolve this extinction threat and emergency until it is over.
If you have any hesitation about signing this petition, please see this page which discusses the four extinction-evoking global warming tipping points soon arriving!
Learn more about the story behind this nonprofit organization's mission and why this petition must go worldwide and be presented to politicians all over the world by clicking here.
When you sign the petition, you are also giving the Job One for Humanity Organization permission to send you critical global warming extinction emergency progress updates about once a month.
(If necessary, see this page for additional proof that all of the statements of this petition are true.)