Global Warming Now Irreversible!

You have seen the news in 2017 about global warming-aggravated weather, like hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Marie, the horrible wildfires and mud slides in northern California and along the U.S. west coast, the super storms in India and the rain bombs all over the world where weeks or months worth of rain falls in a few hours or a few days. 

Over the years, our organization has repeatedly provided credible scientific data which proves that until we reverse our suicidal fossil fuel burning habits, the 20 worst global warming-aggravated climate consequences will continue to increase in frequency, severity, and scale. We are now compelled to inform you of a new reality about global warming that you will hear first from our organization and a few other courageous global warming educational organizations. 

(If you do not understand what global warming is or how greenhouse gasses cause it, please click here for a short illustrated explanation.)

In our new book Climageddon, it was stated that if we were very, very lucky, global warming may not become irreversible before about 2025. But we now know differently, due to these continually accumulating or increasing factors as follows:

  1. new climate research,
  2. gross miscalculations by our global warming authorities,
  3. the continued increase in average global warming temperature,
  4. the exponential trend of increases in total fossil fuel carbon particles in our atmosphere since the 1950s,
  5. the rise in new releases of methane into the atmosphere from fracking, acclerating melting of permafrost and leaking natural gas lines. (Leaked methane in the atmosphere is about 86 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas than carbon.) 
  6. the recent and projected future crossing of multiple bellwether global warming tipping points,
  7. the soon to be crossed critical trigger levels of greenhouse gasses,
  8. the projected length of total time it will take to technologically move from global fossil fuel energy generation and use and to scale up green energy generation and use to replace it. This is estimated to take at least 35-50 more years to acomplish, but only if there was a complete global commitment and mass mobilization to do this starting immediately! (This one fact alone means that heat increasing carbon and methane particles per million levels will continue to rise in the atmosphere for another 35 to 50 years or more and, we do not even have anything close to universal agreement to begin to shut down all fossil fuel use at the current time. It may take many decades more to get such international agreement.)

Because of the above and other factors discussed below, global warming in practical terms of its ultimate consequences upon humanity has in fact, already entered a dangerous state of irreversibility that will last for hundreds to thousands of years. 

Please also keep in mind that irreversible global warming does not mean everything is hopeless and there is nothing we can do to ensure a better future.

As you continue reading you will learn more about exactly what our current state of irreversible global warming is and exactly what it means to your future. At the bottom of this page, we will provide a link to additional detailed information on how you can protect your family, assets, business and nation from the even greater global warming catastrophes that will be soon arriving. But, first we are obligated to put the horrible news that we have already entered a state of irreversible global warming into a more appropriate context to help you understand and respond to it.

A positive perspective and context is necessary for dealing with the following bad news

Even though global warming has now reached irreversibility, we still have a significant amount of time left (about 10 years) to make emergency preparations, adapt where possible, and possibly migrate to save most of humanity and our civilization. We still have lots of time to live meaningful and enjoyable lives if we are knowledgeable about what is coming.

In about 10 to 15 years, the escalating 20 major consequences of global warming, the accumulating mass migrations of climagees (climate migrants), and the global warming aggravated economic, political, and societal effects will have increasingly severe and destabilizing impacts in almost all areas of the world. Most importantly, if we are smart and move quickly, we can also still reduce or slow some of the worst of the 20 major coming consequences to reduce global warming aggravated or caused suffering, financial losses, and death.

During this 10 to 15 year window to prepare, adapt, or migrate, we will still have control of a good portion of our lives, far longer than those individuals who deny, ignore, or are unaware of the new reality that global warming has become irreversible and a nearly endless chain of unavoidable catastrophes is coming far sooner than we are being told. You are now ready to learn about exactly what irreversible global warming is and means as well as how it will adversely affect your future, family, and finances, and what you can still do about it. (At the end of this document you will find more surprise benefits that help frame and put a positive context to the incredibly difficult situation we find ourselves in now that global warming has become irreversible.) 

What is irreversible global warming and what does it mean for your future?

Irreversible global warming describes the process of the earth’s average global temperature continuing to increase over periods of time longer than a human lifespan or multiple human lifespans due to the increase in heat created by greenhouse gasses.  It is a distinct new climate state created by the combination of:

  1. increasing average global temperatures,
  2. crossed global warming tipping points,
  3. the many global warming caused consequences interacting among themselves and,
  4. multiple climate system and sub system self-reinforcingpositive feedback loops. (If you are not sure of what a positive feedback loop mentioned above is and why it will be so bad for your climate future, please take the time to explore this link.)

These factors collectively cause the global climate to change until it reaches a new, higher temperature that is irreversible in time scales far longer than the human lifespan. In fact, once global warming becomes irreversible, it is very difficult to reverse in part because it takes so long (centuries at the least) to get the carbon particles which is the main heat increasing greenhouse gas out of the atmosphere. 

The initial temperature range for triggering the beginning of irreversible global warming varies between 2.2° to 4° Celsius (4°-7.2° Fahrenheit) which unfortunately, is where we are at now when you also add in and compensate for all other already committed and “baked in” temperature increasing factors.

Committed global warming simply means that we are already unavoidably committed to reach a certain temperature level in the near future (one or more decades) because of what has happened in the past or is happening now. Committed or "baked in" global warming occurs due to complex climate processes, including numerous climate system and subsystem momentums and inertias which are fully described in the new Climageddon book.

Measuring the fossil fuel burning carbon pollution (Co2) of our atmosphere to accurately track our global warming reduction progress

While understanding committed global warming is complex and difficult, it is quite simple to see what is happening with our global warming today or see the current trend of future global warming. This is because of the unchangable laws of physics, which informs us that:

the more carbon particles and greenhouse gasses we add to our atmosphere from burning fossil fuels, the more heat (average global temperature) will increase in the future.

Viewing the carbon pollution level currently and previously present in the atmosphere in parts per million ({ppm} as in the illustration below,) is the most reliable way to see our current global warming reduction progress or see our most probable future global warming trends. 

kc-monthly-0350.png

As you can see from the graph above (and the carbon graph further below,) despite what you hear in the media, we are not making any real progress in reducing carbon in the atmospheric! In fact, we are in fact adding more and more carbon in parts per million each year, which will result in even more future global warming and soaring temperatures.

The coming key critical parts per million trigger levels for carbon, methane and other greenhouse gases

As of Jan 2018, we have 408 ppm of carbon in our atmosphere. On the average over the last 6 decades we are adding about an increase of 3 + new carbon ppm in the atmosphere each year. If you look at the trendline on the graph above, you can clearly see we are in serious trouble!

There are minor monthly variations in carbon ppm levels from year to year, as well cyclical weather variations due to things like El Nino or La Nina. In spite of such carbon ppm variations, the clearly dominant trend shown above for the last 70 years is carbon ppm rising faster and faster.

At these current carbon levels, the stability of the bellwether West Antarctic ice sheet has already been breached and is now also irreversible. (The West Antarctic ice sheet is an excellent example of another critical global warming tipping point the world has hurdled past faster than anyone had predicted or foreseen.)

At the current carbon level and as it rises we will continue crossing more of the 11 critical global warming tipping points within the climate’s many systems and subsystems, but now at an even faster rate. Once we cross the carbon 500 ppm level, ALL ice and ALL glaciers on Earth will go into complete meltdown.

Crossing the carbon 500 ppm threshold has in fact happened repeatedly in Earth's geological history. When this has occurred, the sea level inevitably rose to the 70 meters (230 feet) range. At our current annual carbon ppm emission rates, we will reach this catastrophic carbon 500 ppm range by 2042.

If we cross that final battle line by passing the atmospheric carbon level of 500 parts per million (ppm), our average global temperature will soar to 4°C (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit). At 4°C, a large portion of humanity will die of starvation (or of increased heat's other related consequences) and, governments and society will collapse in most areas of the world.

If we cross the carbon 500 ppm battle line, it is highly probable we will quickly reach carbon 600 ppm within another 25-30 years. The carbon 600 ppm level will raise the average global temperature to 5°C (9 degrees Fahrenheit) and bring about additional massive methane releases from ocean coastal shelves and permafrost. Because methane is 86 times more potent than carbon as a greenhouse gas, this will once again rapidly spike average global temperatures and bring about the extinction of most of humanity and the end of civilization as we know it. 

When we reach carbon 500 ppm in about another 20 years or carbon 600 ppm about 25 to 30 years after that, we will greatly accelerate the process of crossing more global warming tipping points. This will further spike average global temperature. As we reach the carbon 500 ppm and carbon 600 ppm levels, we will also cross into the later and most dangerous phases of the Climageddon Scenario with all of its related unconscionable consequences.

Viewing the dangerous rise of human caused atmospheric carbon in parts per million (ppm) from a historical perspective

The following graph will help illustrate what will happen to our carbon ppm levels in the future from a perspective of hundreds of thousands of years. As you can see in the last part of the graph, which has been broken out in the smaller yellow box to better illustrate the last 1,000 years, it clearly shows we have entered a whole new much higher range of increased atmospheric carbon risk and threat exposure. We have deviated from Ice Age long term cyclical carbon ppm highs of about carbon 275 ppm to over carbon 400 ppm. (Today in January 2018 we are at about carbon 408 ppm.)

CO2_400kyr.png

Image via Robert A. Rohdes, Wikimedia commons.(Parts per million by volume [ppmv] includes other pollutants and trace greenhouse gases, such as methane.)

For hundreds of thousands of years, we always stayed below 275 carbon parts per million by volume (ppmv)--the range conducive for human life. But with the advent of the Industrial Revolution and fossil fuel use, average global temperatures and carbon ppm have soared to levels unseen for millions of years (about 1.5° to about 2.7° Celsius.

This is very bad for our future and our civilization because carbon 425 to 450 ppm is roughly double the previous civilization safe highest Ice Age cyclical average point of about carbon 275 ppm for the last 400,000 years. At this 425-450 ppm level, we will be crossing more global warming tipping points at a faster and faster rate.

How long will it take for irreversible global warming to become reversible

At the minimum, the relative time frame for removing (sequestering) the carbon ppm particles we are currently adding to our atmosphere is centuries to thousands of years. This means that long, long after we stop polluting our atmosphere with fossil fuels, the 20 most deadly consequences of those actions will last for many, many generations.

Even if the world was currently fully committed to focusing every resource on the global warming emergency in the greatest mobilization in human history, it would still take at least 35 to 50 years or more to replace our current fossil fuel energy generation infrastructure with green energy generation infrastructure. Unfortunately, we do not have any where close to the commitment needed to immediately end the use of fossil fuels.

By 2047-2067, we will have reached the carbon 500 ppm level and all ice on earth will have begun melting. By the time all the nations of the world finally all agree to radically reduce all fossil fuel use to almost nothing, it will add at least another 30+ years to the 35-50 years or more process of converting to green energy generation taking us up to carbon 600 ppm level by about 2077-2097 and a temperature increase of 5° Celsius.

Keep in mind that in our geologic past once our the average global temperature increased by 5° Celsius, the oceans warmed enough to release methane from the methane clathrate crystals found on most of the coastal ocean shelves around the world. When this methane was suddenly released, temperatures skyrocketed, resulting in a true global extinction event. Past extinction events possibly linked in this way to sudden methane clathrate releases are the Permian-Triassic extinction event and the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. This is exactly where we are heading at full speed in a world that does not understand the real dangers of its fossil fuel addiction.

Keep in mind that as temperature continues to rise, we will always cross more tipping points faster and faster, which will result in faster and faster even spiking increases in average global temperatures and a cascading climate meltdown, which the planet will be unable to recover from for thousands of years, if ever. (Please see the new book Climageddon for all the details on exact Climageddon Scenario meltdown.)

The preceding overview means that it is highly likely that even if we halted all fossil fuel use in 35 to 50 years, (but more likely 80 years) various climate systems and subsystems will still continue in a positive feedback loop of ever-increasing average global temperature. Consequently, because of all of the factors discussed above this point we are, in fact, already in a cycle of irreversible global warming with more unavoidable catastrophes coming soon that will occur at a greater severity, frequency and scale no matter what we do!

All that's left is to prepare, adapt, and migrate while doing our best to slow and lessen as best we can what is coming.

Click here to learn what you can do to protect yourself as much as possible from what is coming.

Will escalating global warming ever end?

In case you're wondering, to lower the world's average global temperature and carbon levels to the relatively safe levels (from carbon 270-350 ppm), one or more of the following things must happen:

  1. While we scale up green energy generation, we must radically cut fossil fuel use by 90 to 95% so there are only a few remaining minor essential medical and chemical uses for fossil fuels. Getting to net carbon neutral (no additional carbon going into the atmosphere each year) by itself will not work because of committed warming. There is so much carbon already in the atmosphere that even when we finally take this extinction level threat seriously and radically cut all global fossil fuel use, we will still be at unsafe levels.
  2. If we can't scale up green energy generation fast enough to replace fossil fuel energy generation, we will have to allow the world's economy to go into a steep recession, depression, and possible total collapse as a last resort to save humanity and the future. Fossil fuel use is directly linked to economic productivity in our existing global infrastructure. If the economy crashes, there will be much less fossil fuel use. (This is called the Garret paradox and is also covered in Climageddon.)
  3. If we do not successfully accomplish either of these two painful and costly options, the other most probable way that we will curtail our fossil for use is through a massive die-off of 70 to 90% of the human population. This will occur in part due to massive crop failures and starvation linked to soaring global warming temperatures. As billions die of starvation, fossil fuel use will drop radically in what may be “the last resort” that saves us in the end. But remember: even if this happens, it will still take centuries to thousands of years before the planet recovers from what we have done to it.

If we have any hope of survival for ourselves and our children, there is simply no avoiding the immediate, painful, and costly process of radically reducing our fossil fuel use.

Why there is no way to fix our current global warming situation for hundreds to thousands of years --- there are only ways to slow, lessen and try to survive it

At the present time, we are in the beginning stages of irreversible global warming because carbon ppm levels will continue to rise at about 3-4 ppm or more per year. This process cannot currently be stopped.

This is due in part to the amount of carbon already in the atmosphere (committed warming). Carbon ppm will continue to rise at this rate for at least another 35 - 50 years (more likely 60-90 years).

To better understand why we are already committed to irreversible global warming, it is important to look a bit deeper into the term committed global warming. It means there is an already "baked-in" average global temperature increase between about 2.2° and 2.7° Celsius which the Earth has or will soon hit, and that too will not change for centuries no matter what we do.

This is due in significant part to:

  1. the existing and rising momentum of carbon ppm already in the atmosphere
  2. the existing total amount of carbon ppm already in the atmosphere,
  3. the new carbon ppm per year that we will inevitably and invariably keep adding over the following 3-8 decades,
  4. the already existing ocean warming,
  5. the unknown crossed or soon to be crossed new global warming tipping points.

For much more on the factors and description of committed global warming see the book Climageddon.

In summary

When the public takes into account all of the above facts concerning the causes and conditions behind the new irreversible global warming reality, particularly that we are already doomed to cross the carbon 500 ppm level which will trigger a complete loss of ALL ice and glaciers on the planet and many more global warming tipping points being crossed, critical-thinking individuals and organizations will agree that we have, in fact, already entered a new and highly dangerous state of irreversible global warming.

Even more unfortunately, that also condemns us to endless chains of crossing more global warming tipping points and catastrophic or extinction potential consequences growing in frequency, severity, and scale across climate, human, and ecological systems...

How did this gross misinformation of the general public and our state of irreversible global warming happen?

Click here for the full story.

Want critical information on how you can protect your family, business and nation from the ongoing global warming catastrophes?

Click here now.

Please keep this difficult news in perspective with these additional surprise benefits of irreversible global warming

In spite of all the above bad news about global warming, keep in mind that if we are able to honestly face this new degree of threat and act now, we should still have time to prepare, adapt, and save most of humanity and its achievements. Moreover, we can also continue to live meaningful and enjoyable lives for many years to come if we are wise and act now to prepare and plan for what is now unavoidable!

There are also other important surprising "benefits" as we work through this emergency. Click here to read about these surprise "benefits." You may even begin to see that humanity's greatest challenge may also become humanity's greatest opportunity.

This surprise benefits page is one of the most read pages on our website! It is also continually being upgraded with new global warming benefits as they are discovered or they are shared with us.

All of the preceding, and far more information about the escalating warming emergency can be found in the Climageddon book.

To get the temporarily free complete ebook version of the new Climageddon book, click here.

To purchase the printed version of Climageddon at Amazon, click here. (The printed version $12.95.)
Each purchase of Climageddon helps support the Job One for Humanity nonprofit organization and our Job One plan to help you and the world survive global warming. 

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