The 5 most important facts (and illusions,) concerning global warming

There are only 5 critical facts that everyone needs to know about global warming to live a longer, more stable and healthy life.

Introduction

This article not only sums up the 5 most important things to know about global warming, it also simplifies much of the core message of our website. It is intended to assist mature and intelligent individuals to both review difficult but accurate global warming facts and cut through commonly held global warming illusions and falsehoods so that they may better adapt and adjust their lives accordingly.

For many individuals, the 5 most important facts about global warming will dramatically challenge their current beliefs about our success and current strategies for managing global warming.

You will soon learn that there are many critical actions that must immediately be done by our governments concerning global warming which are not being done. Luckily, there are still important things that you as an individual can do to protect yourself and your loved ones. (This will be described near the end of this article.)

That is good news, that we can still cooperate to slow global warming down and we can still have rich and meaningful lives while we do our best to manage global warming while we still can.

Please do not believe that we are asking you to blindly believe the following 5 facts without also reviewing the provided links to the science and analysis which supports the validity of each fact.

We also ask you to review the expanded explanations for each fact (found just below the bullet point summary of 5 most important facts,) and then come to your own conclusions.

A quick summary of the 5 most important and shocking global warming facts: 

Fact 1: We are not being told the painful truth by our governments, our intelligence agencies or even our biggest environmental groups about how bad global warming currently is and, how bad it's going to get in the near future

Fact 2: Because of our long 35-year delay in fixing this climate crisis, many global warming consequences are not only going to be far worse than we are being told, they also are coming far sooner than we are being told.

Fact 3: Because of our long 35-year delay in effectively reducing global warming, we may have already missed our last chance "window of opportunity" to effectively manage global warming to prevent its very worst consequences and crossed tipping points from occurring. Many of the worst consequences are now unavoidable and near-certainly out of our meaningful control for as long as the next 30-50 years. 

Fact 4: If we act correctly and immediately to radically reduce global fossil fuel use, we may still have a small amount of time (until about 2025,) to slow down (delay) the worst of these now unavoidable global warming consequences just enough to protect ourselves and maximize our collective chances of avoiding extinction. If we make the required radical global fossil fuel reductions by 2025, it is still possible to prevent most of humanity (as much as 70-90%,) suffering and dying (in as little as 30-50 years.

Fact 5: Because there is no guarantee that we will act any differently to slow down global warming sufficiently to prevent a fast track to extinction, it is time for rational and mature individuals to begin creating emergency backup plans and start adapting to the consequences that are now unavoidable. These emergency preparation and adaptation strategies could even include migrating to areas that would be safer from the effects of global warming.

If you do not think or believe that mass human extinction caused by global warming is a high probability within your lifetime (30-50- years from now,) click here. This page will take you through how three extinction-activating global warming tipping points will quickly occur, but again only if we miss the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets.

(At the very end of this document, you will also find both positive news and important tips on how to better emotionally digest these new realities of global warming.

The expanded 5 most important global warming facts with their verification and action links

Fact 1: We are not being told the painful truth by our governments, our intelligence agencies or even our biggest environmental groups about how bad global warming currently is and more importantly, how bad it's going to get in the near future. 

These falsehoods about global warming will increasingly cause extreme suffering and loss to larger and larger percentages of humanity. In part, these false statements exist because there have been numerous government underestimation errors and intentionally inappropriate and/or incomplete calculations concerning the necessary national and international fossil fuel reduction targets given to the public.

There has also been significant deception regarding the real consequences of the current escalating global warming. This government-sponsored inaccurate information creates the false belief that things are better than they really are.

This also makes us believe that we are making sufficient and steady progress in reducing global warming when the hard truth is we are not. 

What has been hidden from you by our governments 

1. We have actually increased fossil fuel use more this century than in the last two decades of the 20th century. To make this point alarmingly clear, more than half of all fossil fuel emissions that have been released in the last 25 years and parked in the atmosphere are more than were released in all of recorded history before 1990. 

2. Even though we have had over 20 international conferences on fossil fuel use reduction, and we had international treaties since at least 1993 pledging we would reduce global warming, worldwide we still are about 67% higher in carbon emissions than the early 1990s. (Atmospheric carbon emissions is probably the best way to measure future global warming.)

3. In 2018 carbon emissions increased another dramatic 2.7% and they are projected to increase once again in 2019. (Here is a graph that shows the rising carbon in the atmosphere from burning fossil fuels to help you visualize that it is not just going bad, it is getting exponentially worse while at the same time you are being told we are doing better at reducing carbon emissions. Worse yet, exponential increases in carbon emissions can also mean exponential increases in future global warming consequences.)

Yes, intentionally or through ignorance, our governments, the media, and most of the world's environmental groups have not been telling us the REAL facts about our REAL lack of any meaningful progress whatsoever in reducing the rate of fossil fuel use increases, much less the complete absence of any substantive reductions anywhere across the world in reducing atmospheric carbon. (If you don't believe we are telling you the facts about our dismal failure in reducing global warming over the last 35 years, click here to view a short video by climate Professor Kevin Anderson in a recent presentation to the Oxford University Climate Society.)

We are not anywhere even close to where we should be in fossil fuel use reductions to save us from unthinkable climate catastrophes and extinction.

Click here to review and verify the global government supported global warming underestimation errors.

Click here to review the intentional inappropriate or incomplete global government supported calculations used to create the false belief that things are far better than they really are.

 

Something to think about once you have read the above documentation links on the underestimation, and inappropriate or incomplete calculations:

a. Can you imagine what the reasons might be for why our governments and their intelligence agencies would publically give us and support such grossly underestimated global warming threat assessments and inadequate solutions when the actual threat is so much more severe?

b. Who (what types of individuals, government departments and corporations,) would benefit most by providing such false and grossly misleading information to the public?

Click here to see the REAL global fossil fuel reduction levels we must hit by 2025. You will be stunned!

Fact 2: Because of our long delay in fixing this crisis, many global warming consequences are not only going to be far worse than we are being told, they also are coming far sooner than we are being told.

The worst consequences of global warming will not be occurring around 2100 as we are now being told by our governments. They will be starting to occur as soon as the next 10 to 30 years in a continually worsening cycle.

Click here to review the 20 worst global warming consequences that will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale (area affected.)

Click here for the worst cataclysmic consequences derived from global warming tipping points that will also continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale. (Crossing more major global warming tipping points also produces additional, unique and hyper-intense extinction-evoking consequences.)

Click here to see the real-time frames in which the many worst global warming consequences will be unfolding.

Fact 3: Because of this long delay, we may have already missed our last chance "window of opportunity" to effectively manage global warming to prevent most of its worst consequences and crossed tipping points from occurring. (Many of the worst consequences are now unavoidable and near-certainly out of our meaningful control for as long as the next 30-50 years.)

In part, this is because the real facts and true urgency was hidden from us about the global warming crisis by our governments and the fossil fuel industry. We did not do what was necessary to resolve global warming over the last 35 years after we were informed about it by our scientists. We have squandered the time that could have been used while the cure was still manageable.

Saddest of all, we are still trying to do "far too little far too late" to make a real difference. Had we started fixing global warming gradually and effectively 35 years ago, we would still have had a good chance of doing so now. 

In part, what out of meaningful control means is that average global temperatures will continue increasing for at least another 30-50 years and there will be a series of cataclysmic consequences and more extinction-evoking global warming tipping points will be crossed that can not be stopped or avoided! 

Click here to see review the many reasons why global warming may already be out of control for at least the next 30-50 years and a series of cataclysmic consequences and extinction-evoking tipping points cannot at this point be stopped or avoided! 

Below please find the best estimates for time frames in which average global temperatures will continue to increase for at least another 30-50 years. The Climageddon Scenario is a new more accurate model for how global warming's consequences will unfold over the next 50+ years.

Climageddon_Scenario_Phases.png

Click here to see how the many global warming consequences and tipping points will unfold in what's called the Climageddon Scenario.

Fact 4: If we act correctly and immediately to radically reduce global fossil fuel use, we may still have a small amount of time (until about 2025,) to slow down (delay) the worst of these unavoidable global warming consequences just enough to protect ourselves and maximize our collective chances of avoiding extinction.

If we make the required radical global fossil fuel reductions by 2025, it is still possible to prevent most of humanity (as much as 70-90%,) suffering and dying (in as little as 30-50 years. 

Because we have squandered our last 35 years of warnings with denial, inaction, and ineffective action we can't stop what is coming and what is already locked into our climate system. But luckily, we can still aggressively try to slow down the now unavoidable consequences so that, at least we can salvage whatever we can.

We slow down what is coming and prepare for it by:

A. immediately and radically reducing our fossil fuel use to the correct reduction levels. 

The absolute minimum amount we need to reduce fossil fuel use to slow and prevent the processes of likely going extinct in the next few decades is as follows:

a. All industrially developed nations must reduce their total fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025 and then continue reducing fossil fuel use to net zero carbon emissions by 2035.  Net carbon zero emissions in this solution means that no additional fossil fuel emissions are going into the atmosphere that are not also simultaneously being removed from the atmosphere by natural means. (Only about 20 countries produce 70% or more of the world's carbon emissions.)

Think of developed nations like most members of the G 20 group; Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, China, and India. (See technical note 1 near the end of this page for why China and India had to be included in the list of developed countries.) 

b. All developing nations must maintain their total fossil fuel emission levels as they are at the beginning of 2019 and not allow them to go any higher. Then by 2045, all developing nations must also be at net zero carbon emissions. This allowance for developing nations to stay at the level they are now and gradually reduce down to net zero carbon emissions by 2045 is part of an essential justice and equity equation. The developed nations created their wealth by producing the far greatest majority of all carbon emissions in the atmosphere today, thus causing almost all of our current global warming extinction emergency. (See technical note 2 near the end of this page for more about justice and equity allowances.)

There is much more information including what our individual, business and national annual targets would be, what will happen if we don't hit these targets, and the technical footnotes that will help explain the severity of these fossil fuel reductions in detail. We strongly suggest you go to this page and read all the information on these absolutely essential fossil fuel cuts before continuing on. 

B. instituting a government-directed "in-case we fail" backup plan. (With this government-directed failsafe and backup plan we may still be able to save and salvage enough of humanity and civilization in case we once again delay and deny and fail to reduce fossil fuel emissions adequately.)

Click here to see what exactly what those radical fossil fuel reductions entail and what the government directed failsafe backup plan preparations must be.

Martin Luther King said something that is equally applicable today to the urgency of slowing down global warming enough so that at least some of humanity and civilization will go on.

“We are now faced with the fact that tomorrow is today. We are confronted with the fierce urgency of now. In this unfolding conundrum of life and history, there is such a thing as being too late. Procrastination is still the thief of time... We must move past indecision to [immediate] action.” 

If you do not think or believe that mass human extinction caused by global warming is a high probability within your lifetime (30-50- years from now,) click here. This page will take you through how three extinction-activating global warming tipping points will quickly occur, but only if we miss the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets. 

Fact 5: Because there is no guarantee that we will act any differently to slow down global warming sufficiently to prevent a fast track to extinction, it is time for rational and mature individuals to begin creating emergency backup plans and start adapting to the consequences that are now unavoidable. These emergency preparation and adaptation strategies could even include migrating to areas that would be far safer from the effects of global warming.

It is unwise to rely exclusively or primarily on our governments as this emergency worsens. They will never be able to reach and care for every citizen.

Having a personal plan, emergency preparations and adaptive strategies is how you will be able to save and salvage as much of your personal life and your loved ones as is possible. This plan, prepare and adapt action strategy is critical because most individuals and businesses are currently nowhere even close to being prepared for the severity of the unavoidable catastrophic consequences that are arriving soon.

 

Additionally, because of the high probability of as much as 70 to 90 percent of humanity suffering and dying within the global warming unsafe zones within as little as the next 30 to 50 years, it is critical to begin now to prepare your own personal Plan B and an emergency backup and adaptation plan.

This emergency plan is particularly important if you also happen to live in one of the global warming unsafe zones. If so, your personal back up plan would also have to include migration from global warming unsafe zones to global warming safer zones before it is too late. 

The time remaining in which to make these personal emergency preparations or to migrate to the limited global warming safe zones is exceedingly short because of factors like immigration regulations in the global warming safe zones already becoming more restricted as well as future legal immigration becoming all but impossible as the emergency worsens. If you look closely, you can already see many areas of our overheating world where what will soon be called the greatest migration in human history of climagees has already begun. (Global warming climate crisis-related refugees are called climagees.)

Click here to learn about your needed personal emergency preparations and the factors behind the short timeframes for people living in global warming unsafe zones to assemble their emergency plan B preparations and migrate to safer zones. These Plan B personal emergency preparations will also include information on how you can physically, emotionally thrive and survive through the waves of economic, social and political trauma as well as the physical loss, and suffering that is coming.

Because of all of the above information about the commonly held illusions and falsehoods about global warming as well as the new facts presented, it is easy to see that we are in fact, already in a global warming extinction emergency and climate crisis.

A bit of good news

The good news here is that no matter what, even in spite of how difficult this emergency is and will become until we miss our 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we can still cooperate to slow it down and have good and meaningful lives for as long as is possible.

Click here for what you can still do individually to slow down global warming.

Click here if you are of a faith-based person or of a spiritual nature for a positive and helpful framework for how to make the best of this emergency. It will take you to our sister website that deals with the global warming extinction emergency more from a philosophic and spiritual perspective.

With the information in the links above, you are now better...

What's really important to remember

We have been decieved by commonly held delusions or fasehoods concerning the real dangers and facts about escalating global warming for over 35 years!

We absolutely need to hit the REAL and required global fossil fuel reduction targets found here, because they will also keep us from breaking through the very dangerous atmospheric carbon level and range of 425 to 450 parts per million (ppm.) We are at about carbon 411 ppm right now.

Once we reach the carbon 425 to 450 ppm range, there will be so much climate system heating momentum from all of the previously emitted carbon and other greenhouse gas that this will propel us towards moving quickly to even higher temperatures. Stopping this momentum will be like trying to stop a gigantic boulder from rolling faster and faster down a hill that keeps getting steeper and steeper.

The terrifying thought that is completely real and critical for you to burn into your mind is that, as much as 70 to 90% of humanity will suffer and die in as little as 30-50 years, but our ability to have any real or meaningful control over this looming emergency ends around about 2025 sometime after we enter the carbon 425-450 ppm range. But once again, this will only occur if we fail to successfully execute the now required global fossil fuel use reductions. 

And in case you're still thinking technology will save us at the last minute, no new carbon removal technologies (what we call magical carbon sucking unicorns,) will be able to save us in time because, even those who believe this technology might save us are projecting that they will not even be available at the earliest until sometime after 2050. This will be long after the damage is done and long after anything can be done for the billions of people who will suffer and die!

Because of all of the above information about the commonly held illusions and falsehoods about global warming as well as the new facts presented, it is easy to see that we are in fact, already in a global warming extinction emergency and climate crisis.

Because of the preceding, we truly have no other rational alternative other than to never cross over into the dangerous transitional range and the tipping point of carbon 425-450 ppm. What we do know with certainty is this.

In spite of all of the challenges and bad outcomes that are possible and in spite of the possibility of failing to hit our 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets, no matter what, the single constant and greatest truth for the best possible global warming outcomes for humanity in the future is that --- the faster and more we reduce global fossil fuel use:

a. the larger the percentage of people will be that will not suffer horribly or die over the next 30 to 50 years, and

b. surviving future generations will suffer far less from an escalating chain of escalating global warming consequences. (This is described fully in what is called the Climageddon extinction scenario and countdown.)

We can still fix this global warming extinction emergency if we hit the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by getting our governments to immediately execute the actions on this page.


What's next to consider?

1. Be sure to check out the 4 most important and scariest deadlines of the global warming extinction emergency by clicking here.

2. Some of you have already reviewed the supporting science and analysis links provided above and you will soon begin the fossil fuel reduction actions and other solution options also found within the links above. Well done! You will reap the benefits. 

3. Some of you will not or did not review the science and analysis verification links. This avoidance may only provide a brief escape from the discomfort of knowing the difficult facts listed above are true as well as acting appropriately using this information. Over time, as you watch the worsening news reports about the destabilization of our climate, the five facts above will begin to ring true and hopefully, you will remember this page so that you and your loved ones will know what to do.

If you're feeling fearful, upset, in denial, angry or anxious about what you have read

We have given you a lot of horrible news to digest. When we discovered this information at Job One for Humanity our staff also had to digest this horrible news. By necessity, we learned about something called the Kubler Ross model of change to help us deal with all of the strong emotions the above news evokes.

Because we Felt it would be irresponsible to leave you without tools to manage the feelings that the proceeding facts create, we are also leaving you the following images and ideas that should stage by stage help you come to terms with the new reality of global warming. Here's how these emotional transitions normally look.

1. Even if you are a wise, mature and healthy individual, if you're like most people, what you just read will cause you to react with shock and denial and other difficult emotions. 

 

2. If you have the tenacity to keep learning more concerning the validity of the 5 facts described above, you will likely next become frustrated and angry at "how could we (our politicians and governments,) ever allow this to happen."

3. If you still continue processing the facts above, you will most likely then enter into a bargaining or experimenting phase to find some kind of a way to deal with such disturbing and disruptive information.

4. If you still continue researching and verifying what you read, you will most likely next enter into a transitional feeling of grief or depression. 

5. As you work your way through your grief or depression, you will eventually come to a level of acceptance of what is scientifically accurate, but currently is being widely suppressed by the fossil fuel industry, mass media, and the many politicians around the world owned by the fossil fuel industry.

Once you finally reach the level of acceptance for what you have read above, you may likely begin the process of experimenting with new ways to live more sustainably and you will likely begin making new decisions to adapt and integrate this critical information into your life and businesses in other ways. You may also begin emergency preparations for the unavoidable and unconscionable global warming consequences described in the links above so that you are better able to protect yourself and maximize the chances of staying out of harm's way.

The 5 main emotional transition levels above are key parts of the Kubler Ross model. Over time, it will help you understand and deal with the global warming denial, anger, fear, grief or anxiety any healthy person would experience once they truly realize the truth of what we are saying and how dire our current situation really is.

Even though the Kubler Ross model is the emotional model commonly being used to help people deal with news from their doctor that they are going to die over some known time period. It still has relevance. This is because you will likely go through these emotional phases over and over again as you wrestle with this unbearable burden of global warming knowledge.

Once you truly grasp the true scale and seriousness of our rapidly escalating global warming extinction emergency by working through your emotional reaction to it, you too will realize that our lives and our children's lives are clearly going to be far more time-limited than we ever imagined unless we act immediately to radically reduce fossil fuel use.

Sincerely,

The Job One for Humanity research team

PS The links above will lead you to the most important pages on the Job One for Humanity website.

Help us get the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction goals met by signing the global warming extinction emergency petition now.


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