10 Facts on How Intensifying Climate Change Will Affect Your Near Future

Last Updated on 9.14.23. (The ten climate change facts below are not for individuals under 16 years old.)

Introduction 

The following summarizes the current climate change condition quickly and honestly. It is published by Job One for Humanity, founded in 2008.

Job One is a non-profit, 100% publicly funded, independent climate change think tank that provides uncensored research-grounded climate change consequence analysis, timeframes, risk assessment, and solutions to educational, climate, and environmental organizations worldwide without charge. We also provide a fee-based climate analysis risk assessment and solutions service to insurance companies, governments, and businesses affected by climate change consequences and emergencies.

The climate facts below tell the uncensored and unpoliticized story of the science behind climate change, global heating, its consequences, and our global fossil fuel reduction challenge.

 

 

The Critical Pre-Fact that Frames and Contextualizes All Ten Climate Change Facts Below

The global fossil fuel cartel is the invisible and dominant hand that distorts, underestimates, and unduly influences the climate change information you have been and are receiving from:

a. the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC).

b. your government,

c. the media, and unfortunately, 

c. most environmental groups which are still using the IPCC's climate change summary reports.

The hidden global fossil fuel cartel's climate censorship facilitating actions are the main reason our governments have not fixed the climate change emergency over the last sixty-plus years. 

To open your mind to begin to clearly see the hidden and invisible fossil fuel cartel's hand that censors and distorts almost all climate change information you are receiving, it is useful to cover some history that everyone already knows to be true. The global cigarette industry has a proven record of ten decades of successful misinformation, disinformation, false cigarette health risk studies, and funding of "independent" think tanks to produce questionable research saying smoking was not dangerous. The cigarette industry also has an extensive public record of engaging in many undue influence and government regulation delaying tactics. 

Like the cigarette industry's tactics, the far better-funded global fossil fuel cartel's disinformation, regulation-delaying practices, and other tactics have successfully kept uncensored climate change facts and solutions from you, our governments, and the media for over six decades! 

Does that statement seem not possible? For decades, the global cigarette industry convinced the world's politicians and citizens that cigarettes did not cause lung cancer, health problems, or death with only a fraction of the global fossil fuel cartel's 28 trillion dollar-a-year income. 

The fossil fuel cartel's lavishly-funded climate censorship actions are as follows:

  1. Global disinformation campaigns to make you believe we are making progress in fixing climate change when we are not.
  2. Global misinformation campaigns by funding think tanks and others to continuously create and spread clever new false doubts or confusion about the causes, consequences, progress, and solutions surrounding climate change and the damages the fossil fuel cartel's products produce (without looking like this false information is coming from the fossil fuel industry.)
  3. Successfully delaying or killing government-level regulations designed to reduce fossil fuel usage or make the fossil fuel industry pay for the deadly pollution and other dangerous, costly consequences its products cause.
  4. Using climate change distortion tactics like creating false hopes that new technologies like carbon capture (or old technologies like the increased use of "cleaner" propane) will protect us now, save us at the last minute, or that we do not need to radically reduce our fossil fuel use immediately. The insidious purpose for creating these false hope and false progress distortion campaigns is to make you feel safe and secure when you are not and make you believe we are making the needed steady progress in fixing climate change when we are not. If you think there is no dire problem, you will do nothing to demand your politicians act to fix it. 

The global fossil fuel cartel is using the above tactics for one major reason, trillions of dollars in profits are at stake. Additionally, they are doing it because if the world's citizens knew the real climate change facts (found on this website) and understood that the global fossil fuel cartel had deliberately deceived them for decades, they would angrily demand that their politicians radically cut global fossil fuel use immediately. 

If you still think what we say about the global fossil fuel cartel distorting, censoring, and unduly influencing our governments, the media, and the climate summary work and climate solutions of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC) is untrue. Click here to see the hundreds of well-documented articles about the many ways and tactics the global fossil fuel cartel uses to ensure that our governments, the media, the United Nations, and the world's citizens do not ever demand reduced global fossil fuel use to the required levels to save their own lives and the lives of their children. If you are a science person, click here for a deep dive into how the global fossil fuel cartel has corrupted and censored most of what you hear today about climate change.

It is bitterly painful when you, too, finally realize that the global fossil fuel cartel is entirely willing to sacrifice the assets (and lives) of billions of people and your children to satisfy their unquenchable greed for more profit (more super-yachts, more palaces, and more ridiculously luxurious lifestyles for key fossil fuel cartel owners, executives, and investors, etc.)

As you read the ten climate change facts below, it will help to ease the shock by being aware that the powerful hidden influence of the global fossil fuel cartel's censorship actions has caused almost everything you hear from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change in their commonly accepted climate change summary reports to be underestimated by about 20-40% or more. Your government, the global media, and most environmental groups rely on the IPCC's climate change summary reports for everything they tell you about climate change consequences, timeframes, and solutions.

 

 

Two Relevant Factors Before You Review the 10 Uncensored Climate Change Facts that have been Hidden from You

1. We do not expect you to believe the following ten climate facts blindly. Below the 10-facts summary, you will find an expanded version of each fact with more details and links to the climate science and analysis.

The ultimate proof of these ten climate facts below will be you watching or experiencing the worldwide climate change consequences discussed below. Nothing can be more convincing than personally witnessing or experiencing a climate change consequence or a record-breaking extreme weather event (which 90% of the world has already done.) 

2. Do you already know enough about climate change? If you do understand climate change basics, you already know:

a. climate change is dangerous and deadly air pollution caused by humanity burning fossil fuels. (Continuing to burn additional fossil fuels creates an ever thicker blanket of carbon and other greenhouse gas pollution (methane and nitrous oxide) in our atmosphere, trapping ever-increasing levels of heat on Earth.) 

b. this fossil fuel burning air pollution then, directly or indirectly, causes record-breaking; heatwaves, heat domes, droughts, hurricanes, cyclones, tornados, floods and flooding, rain bombs, wind storms [Derechos], dust storms, wildfires, wildfire smoke events, unseasonable cold spells, and other abnormal and unseasonal weather.

c. some heat-increasing polluting greenhouse gases, like carbon, the largest one, remain in our atmosphere for centuries to thousands of years. This long-term persistence of carbon in our atmosphere means that the relatively stable weather you experienced when you were younger is now gone forever, or at least until all of the additional fossil fuel-burning carbon, which we have been polluting our atmosphere with since the beginning of the industrial revolution has been removed (hundreds to thousands of years from now.) And, 

d. not only is the relative stability of the climate of your younger memories gone forever, every day, as humanity burns more fossil fuels (which adds even more greenhouse gas pollution to our atmosphere,) we will continue to break new records and make today's existing climate change problems and weather much worse for our own future and for the future four children and future generations. 

If you do understand the four general climate facts above, skip to the next section.

If you do not understand the four basic climate facts above or what is causing today's climate change, click here to get a quick understanding of how climate change happens.

And finally, we understand how disturbing it may be for you to review the uncensored climate change facts below. Accordingly, we have also provided links to practical solutions tailored to the climate change remedies and resilience-building actions with the time left that you can personalize to maximize your local situation and resources. 

 

 

Ten uncensored, unpoliticized climate change facts that everyone needs to know before it is too late to fix the climate change emergency 

Here are the ten crucial facts about the climate change emergency that the global fossil fuel cartel never wants you to see. The ten facts below best define our current climate change emergency. 

Our think tank challenges you or any climate change scientist or researcher to prove any of the following climate facts wrong: 

Fact 1: Because of the ongoing climate change disinformation campaigns and the undue influence of the global fossil fuel cartel on our politicians and government leaders, our governments have completely failed to fix the climate change emergency over the last six decades. Our governments are not making any effective progress or the required progress on lowering greenhouse gases that could save humanity from eventual mass extinction.

It is a horrible shock to hear that our governments have not made any effective or the required progress when the news, most environmental groups, and our politicians keep telling us climate change progress is being made. What our politicians and leaders are not telling us is that what they are actually doing is:

a. rearranging the deck chairs on the climate change Titanic, 

b. not steering away from the iceberg with mass extinction looming directly in front of them, and then,

c. calling their hectic, obvious deck chair dance real climate change progress. 

Here is the simple proof that we are not making ANY climate change reduction progress, which the global fossil fuel cartel never wants you to see.

Measuring atmospheric greenhouse gas levels is the most accurate measure of real climate change reduction progress. The graph below shows the story of the three major fossil fuel-burning atmospheric greenhouse gases, carbon (CO2), methane (CH4), and Nitrous Oxide (N2O). The numbers at the bottom of the illustration are the AD dates in history. The IPCC is the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. AR6 is the IPCC's climate summary report. NOAA is the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. PPB is parts per billion. PPM is parts per million.

Please notice how fast greenhouse gases have risen in the gray vertical rectangle on the right. Also, at around 1800 AD, greenhouse gases increase far beyond any earlier levels. About 1800 AD was the beginning of the fossil fuel-burning industrial revolution.

 

 

As you can see from above, our governments have failed to make any real progress that reduces global fossil fuel use, (as shown in the actual reduction of the three biggest and most dangerous greenhouse gases.) If our governments had made real progress, the lines on the greenhouse gases graph above would go down and not up at even faster and steeper rates.

Yes, the global fossil fuel cartel's wealth and undue influence tactics have caused our politicians worldwide to block the critical fossil fuel reduction regulations that would reduce global fossil fuel use to the levels required to save humanity and our future. The global fossil fuel cartel has also compromised the world's climate media coverage and the UN's IPCC climate change summary reports so that the media and the IPCC consistently censor and significantly underestimate:

a. the coming severity of climate consequences, 

b. the timetables for the most severe climate consequences, and 

c. the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to avoid an endless chain of ever-worsening climate change catastrophes. 

It is time to call out the single greatest force preventing our governments from ending the climate change emergency for what it is. Our governments and the media have been compromised and victimized by the biggest corporate fraud in history.

Below is a graph with a shorter timeline for atmospheric carbon (C02.) As you can see, it has risen steadily for the last 60 years. This graph once again highlights the horrifying truth that despite what you hear in the media, your government, and every ill-informed environmental group or not wanting to discourage its donors, there has been no real progress in reducing the dominant cause of the climate change emergency, which is rising greenhouse gases.

 

 

It is time to hold the global fossil fuel cartel criminally and financially responsible for the damages caused by their products and actions, namely massive property damage and property loss, escalating crop failures, worldwide starvation and malnutrition, and continually increasing tens of millions of annual deaths. The direct or indirect primary and secondary consequences of fossil fuel-induced and accelerating climate change cause these growing financial losses and deaths.

 

Fact 2: By 2025-2031, the severity, frequency, and scale of climate change-driven extreme weather events will increase radically and far beyond where it is today! Climate change-driven extreme weather events are defined,in part, as heatwaves, heat domes, droughts, wildfires, hurricanes, cyclones, tornados, floods, flooding, sea level rise, rain bombs, wind storms [Derechos], dust storms, wildfire smoke events, unseasonable cold spells, and other abnormal, unseasonal, or record-breaking weather related to rapidly accelerating climate change.

This sudden 2025-2031 radical increase in climate consequences is primarily due to the synergetic and accumulating atmospheric greenhouse gas pollution effects from over 150 years of fossil fuel burning and our crossing major climate change tipping points and climate feedback loops during that period. 

 

Fact 3: Today's legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets require all developed countries and governments (including China and India) to compel their citizens and businesses to reduce ALL fossil fuel use by about 75% by 2025. The 2025 legitimate global fossil fuel reduction target is so high today because our governments wasted sixty years delaying global fossil fuel reductions when the required fossil fuel reductions could have been far more gradual and manageable. 

They are dead wrong when politicians, our governments, or the media tell you we must reduce global fossil fuel use only by 30- 40% or 50% by 2030, 2040, or 2050. If we continue to use the global fossil fuel cartels unduly influenced and grossly underestimated global reduction targets, billions of us will die far sooner than you could imagine. 

(If we are very lucky and our governments act today, we may still have until 2031 to reach that 75% level of global fossil fuel reduction, but that most likely will not happen for many of the same 30 reasons that has prevented it from happening over the last sixty years.) 

 

Fact 4: Significantly missing the 2025 - 2031 global fossil fuel reduction targets and consequently crossing the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 425-450 parts per million (ppm) means we also will:

a. trigger the first extinction-accelerating global warming tipping point.

b. enter the second phase of runaway global heating. (Runaway is defined as a thing running out of control!) And as mentioned above. 

c. activate more of the primary and secondary climate change-driven or interrelated consequences. (These primary and secondary climate change-driven consequences are described here.)

d. face an almost certain near-total human extinction. (Near-total human extinction that, at best, we can save about thirty percent of humanity, and at worst, as little as one to two percent of humanity.) 

We are running out of time. We are currently at the insane atmospheric carbon 420 ppm level. We will soon enter the generally considered irreversible second phase of runaway global heating sometime between 2025-2031. (Irreversible here means that we will not be able to get the dangerous excess greenhouse gases out of our atmosphere for hundreds to thousands of years.)

The renowned former NASA climate change scientist, James Hansen, warned the world that we would enter the first phase of runaway global heating when we passed the atmospheric carbon level of 386 ppm. That occurred in 2015.

 

Fact 5: Because our governments and politicians have not effectively reduced total global fossil fuel use during the last six decades, crossed climate tipping points, crossed climate feedbacks, and other accelerating climate consequences will cause a highly probable and almost certain mass extinction of as much as half of humanity by about 2050.  

This mass extinction process will be driven primarily by global soaring food prices, massive crop failures, low crop yields, and mass starvation caused by climate change-driven extreme and unseasonable weather, which will severely disrupt regular growing seasons. Additionally, about half of humanity will also go extinct by about 2050 because of increasing regional and national conflicts arising directly from mass migrations and the rapid escalation of the primary and secondary climate change-driven consequences

 

Fact 6: With little remaining time left to act, the only effective way to save as much of humanity as possible (about 50% at best) after mid-century from a highly probable and almost certain near-total extinction, is for our governments and politicians to collectively and immediately enforce a a new law that all developed nations get close to the correct 75% global fossil fuel reduction target by 2025-2031. 

There is good news here, even with such horrible previous climate news. It is highly improbable that ALL of humanity will go extinct from accelerating climate change. Life will go on for those who understand the emergency and manage it! (This good news is explained with many illustrations here. This page is one of the most important pages on our website for maintaining a rational perspective and emotional balance in the face of so much bad climate news.)

Here are the "what we now need to do to save ourselves" climate change action facts.

 

Fact 7: Individual fossil fuel reduction actions alone (even if done by hundreds of millions of us,) will not save about half of humanity perishing before 2050. This is fully because of 60 years of the grossly negligent government and politician ineffectiveness created and enabled by the global fossil fuel cartel's powerful invisible hand controlling and disinforming our leaders.

Only massive government-enforced action to reduce global fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025 (maybe 2031 if we are super-lucky) can save the post-2050 climate survivors from the even worse, and almost certain near-total extinction process (occurring from about 2050 to 2080.)

The good news is there still is time to save much of the post-2050 remaining half of humanity, but again, only if our governments radically and immediately reduce global fossil fuel use to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

Here are the detailed actions our governments must enforce

Here is how to get our politicians to force our governments to finally act.

There is still an important role for individual actions to reduce fossil fuel use described here. While massive individual fossil fuel reductions are now too little and too late to save about half of humanity before about 2050, they still can play a significant role in what percentage of humanity survives after 2050. See this critical page to understand the important role that our steadily accumulating individual actions to reduce global fossil fuel use will play in helping save humanity once humanity finally forces its politicians and government to act after humanity has hit the climate change catastrophe "rock bottom."

Steadily accumulating individual actions could help make the difference of as much as 30% of humanity surviving after 2050. If individual fossil fuel reduction actions do not continue to grow significantly, as few as five percent or less of humanity could survive until about 2070.

 

Fact 8: Everything our governments are currently doing to fix the climate change emergency is still "far too little, far too late." Because effective government global fossil fuel use reduction is not happening at anything close to fast enough (the 2025 targets), our organization strongly recommends all individuals, businesses, communities, and nations immediately begin what we call our climate change Plan B. Plan B contains many types of actions, particularly the urgently needed emergency preparations and critical adaptations for the many climate change catastrophes we can no longer avoid.

If you live in a climate change high-risk area, Plan B also might include climate change migration or climate change relocation (or, in the government doublespeak climate change-driven, Managed Retreat. After 2025-2031 only about five percent of the world will be climate-safer locations where people will have the best chance to live longer with the fewest and least severe climate change consequences.

Many wise individuals and businesses have already started their "Plan B" Climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, and survival plans. By enacting their Plan B emergency backup and resilience-building plans before 2025, when climate change consequences will begin to rise radically, these prudent individuals and organizations are ensuring they, their loved ones, businesses, communities, and nations will have the best chance to make it through the coming unavoidable climate change catastrophes. 

Many individuals are joining or creating urban, suburban, rural, hybrid, or virtual climate change-resilient eco-communities to support their Plan B actions. These new, supportive, climate change-resilient communities.are discussed in the video below and are discussed in detail here. We call them Climate-Safe Villages. 

 

 

 

Fact 9: There is still a lot of good climate change good news to counterbalance government climate inaction.

Humanity can still:

a. save much of the other half of humanity (if our governments do finally act.)

b. obtain these many worthwhile benefits in the step-by-step process of finally fixing the climate emergency. 

c. learn the painful climate catastrophe lessons so we never let them happen again. 

d. experience many previously unattainable benefits in a Great Global Rebirth once the climate change emergency is finally fixed! 

 

Fact 10: We are almost out of time to save as much as a potential 50% of post-2050 climate change catastrophe survivors. We have no time left to be diverted by wild and unproven at-scale "new technology" Silicon Valley get-rich-quick IPO schemes. There is no substitute for getting close to the required radical 2025 global fossil fuel reductions, or we will face near-total extinction.

No miracle "new technology" (like carbon capture or geo-engineering) currently exists at the needed scale or cost efficiency to save humanity from our accelerating global heating nightmare before about half of humanity is dead by about 2050. So hoping for some "new technology" to be discovered and save humanity at the last minute before our critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction deadline and that can be scaled up in time without horrible side effects--- is another global fossils fuel cartel disinformation campaign, personal strategy destined for failure, and an costly illusion dooming much of humanity to extinction. 

The only thing at this 11th hour that can keep more post-2050 climate survivors from experiencing near-total extinction is to immediately reduce ALL global fossil fuel use and get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. It is that simple.

If you are curious about why it is highly unlikely for humanity to go totally extinct, please read this article, and on this page you will also will see there is a place for appropriate, legitimate, and side effect-safe new technologies.

If you are interested in more about the timeframes that humanity will experience climate-related and other global catastrophes, please review the timeframe illustrations on this page.

 

 

Knowledge is power, and Geography is Destiny

You now know what every major national intelligence agency knows about the climate change extinction emergency but will not publicly disclose because of internal national politics. These intelligence agencies legitimately believe they must first secretly prepare, protect and preserve their military and governments for what is coming and stockpile the needed resources before the general public is told how bad climate change will get.

However, our independent and uncensored climate change think tank believes you have the same right to know the same climate facts as those with the highest national security clearances know. We believe that you, your family, and your businesses also have the same right to prepare and stockpile what you will need before it is too late. You have the same right to critical climate information just as many of the world's wealthiest individuals do. (Their financial privilege gives them access to the climate facts above through expensive, secretive, and prestigious risk analysis firms.

"Until the general population and our politicians are no longer being systematically deceived by the global fossil fuel cartel about the real threat and urgency of the climate change emergency, little will be done to fix it, just has been done over the last 60 years." Dan Hardy

As you watch this climate nightmare unfold, please do not say you were not told what would happen if our governments did not reduce global fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025. But also please remember this good news. If we break through the misinformation and the denial, we still have time to manage which long-term future we choose. That choice now is: do only about half of us die pre-2050, or do most of us die post-2050?

"Denial is what you add to pain to make it last longer and hurt more." Errol Strieder

Fortunately, there is an effective plan to help you deal with our accelerating climate change nightmare and the global fossil fuel cartel-enabled grossly negligent politicians and governments.

In Summary: 

Please keep in mind:

a. At least half of humanity has been condemned to horrible suffering and death because the global fossil fuel cartel has secretly hidden, distorted, manipulated, and underestimated the actual facts and dangers of the climate change emergency for more than 60 years from our governments and the media. Because of the fossil fuel cartel's behind-the-scenes manipulation of climate change facts, our governments, politicians, and media have kept the world's citizens in the dark about the true nature and urgency of the climate change threat. Consequently, our governments, politicians, and media have not mobilized the essential public understanding, support, or action to fix the climate change emergency. 

It is not accidental that our governments and politicians have utterly failed for 60 years to fix what truly is humanity's greatest escalating threat (other than immediate global thermonuclear war.) To protect their trillions in profits, the global fossil fuel cartel has deliberately been very busy using their every asset to make it impossible for the world's population to grasp the actual facts about our accelerating climate change extinction emergency.

b. Because of our government's 60 years of previous ineffective climate change actions, the half of humanity that will perish by about 2050 will mainly and unjustly occur poorer third-world countries, which did not create the majority of the fossil fuel greenhouse gas air pollution.

c. Unless our global governments enforce the needed actions to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, much of what remains of humanity's post-2050 will also perish between about 2050-2070.

d. Unless our global governments act to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, the future of climate change is simple. Our current record-breaking and extreme weather will continue to break more records and will suddenly get far more extreme from 2025-about 2031 and then rapidly worsen from there.

e. Over the following decades, humanity is headed into an extraordinarily dangerous transitional period. However, wise individuals and businesses with access to uncensored climate information have already begun their Plan B preparations and adaptations to ensure that they can save and salvage as much of their families, businesses, and our collective future as possible. 

f. We have a horrible climate change dilemma. If we do not get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, about 50% of humanity will perish before 2050 because of 60 years of government inaction on the emergency. If we do get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, 50% of humanity will still perish by 2050 because of Garret's Climate Change Dilemma. The good news is that if we do get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel targets, at least some of humanity, as much as 30%, will survive from 2050 to 2070 and beyond.

g. The climate change emergency will no longer affect only your children or grandchildren. If you are a senior citizen living in many parts of the world, you are already experiencing predicted climate change consequences. As a senior citizen, you can no longer escape what we leave as a bitter climate legacy for our children and grandchildren. From now until the government acts, you, with everyone else, will be experiencing the steady intensification of many of the worst climate change consequences. 

h. Many terrible and unavoidable climate change consequences are already out of our control. All we can do now is vote, prepare, adapt, reduce our personal fossil fuel use, and build climate change-resilient And ClimateSafe communities while doing everything we can to force our governments to reduce global fossil fuel use. These are the save and salvage climate change "good deeds" still under our control where we can still do as much climate change good as possible. 

(Click here to see when we think humanity will finally be successful in getting our politicians and governments to effectively act to fix the climate change extinction emergency.)

i. Please take the additional time needed to read about the scope, scale, and facts of the accelerating climate change emergency, including its catastrophic consequences and timetables. This information will profoundly change how prudent individuals plan their lives and future.

The widely accepted Prudent Avoidance Principle is a precautionary principle in risk management. It states that reasonable efforts to minimize potential risks should be taken when the actual magnitude of the risks is unknown. There are many knowns (discussed above) and many unknowns concerning our future of the climate change emergency. Isn't it about time that our governments start taking effective, reasonable actions to minimize not only the known risks but also our serious and unknown climate change risks?

If you want to see the details of how the accelerating climate change emergency will disrupt your life this year and beyond, click here for our detailed 2023 and beyond climate change consequence predictions.

If you want to see a series of powerful graphic timeline illustrations for just how little time we have left as the climate gets wildly out of control, see the MIT Club of Rome's original collapse study and its four subsequent verification studies, along with the most recent climate change research, click here.

 

 

 

Please get the above uncensored climate facts widely distributed and to your politicians before it is too late for any of us!

IT IS ALMOST BEYOND THE TIME NEEDED TO ACT! This knowledge, once widely shared, will help illuminate the true urgency of our runaway global heating extinction emergency. Moreover, understanding the true urgency of the global heating emergency will eventually create the necessary public demand to get our politicians to begin a government-enforced global fossil fuel reduction plan that will work. 

The worst consequences runaway global heating extinction emergency will not be prevented or lessened unless:

1. We get our politicians to act. Click here for how to do that.

2. You get active on the many scalable solutions in the Job One for Humanity Plan B. And, 

3. You do your part to help educate others about today's uncensored climate facts before it is too late. 

Unfortunately, too many climate and environmental organizations still have-not reviewed this page's climate facts and science. So, please also get their executives this information too. 

To learn more about climate change research and analysis processes used by our think tank to create this summary, click here.


Receive Our Free Climate Change & Runaway Global Heating Updates!

 

You do not need to continue reading the rest of this page unless you are a science person and want to explore more of the climate science behind the ten facts above and their documentation links!

 

Longer Explanations and Documentation for Why Each of the Above Current Climate Change Facts is Accurate

The climate facts below also are what the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the United Nations (previously the most recognized authority on climate change) should have published in their latest 2022 climate summary report, but they, too, have been adversely affected by the near-unlimited lobbying power of the 28 trillion dollar-a-year fossil fuel industry.

Fact 1: Our governments have completely failed to fix the accelerating climate change emergency over the last six decades. Our governments are not making any actual or the required progress on lowering greenhouse gases  that would save humanity from mass extinction. (Measuring atmospheric greenhouse gas levels is the single most accurate measure of real climate change reduction progress.)

Our governments have continuously failed to reduce climate change because they have been severely compromised by the global fossil fuel cartel's immense wealth and influence. This wealth and power have caused politicians worldwide to block regulations that would reduce global fossil fuel use to the levels required to save humanity and our future. 

The global fossil fuel cartel has also compromised worldwide climate media coverage and the UN's IPCC summary reports on climate change so that they consistently censor and significantly underestimate:

a. the coming severity of climate consequences, 

b. the timetables for the most severe climate consequences, and 

c. the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets to avoid an endless chain of ever-worsening climate change catastrophes. 

It is time to call out the single greatest force preventing our governments from ending the climate change emergency for what it is. Our governments and the media have been compromised and victimized by the biggest corporate fraud in history. 

It is time to hold the global fossil fuel cartel criminally and financially responsible for the damages caused by their products and actions, namely massive property damage and property loss, escalating crop failures, worldwide starvation and malnutrition, and continually increasing tens of millions of annual deaths. The direct or indirect consequences of fossil fuel-induced climate change cause these losses and deaths.

Since there are tow parts to the above, it will be handled in two sections.

 

Section 1: The ongoing and dangerous global fossil fuel cartel massive climate change fraud claim

"The citizens of the world are still being victimized by the largest and most dangerous continuous act of corporate fraud for profit ever perpetrated!"? 

It is time to get you evidence so that you, too, will fully agree that the world's citizens are currently at a severe survival risk because they are still being victimized by the global fossil fuel cartel's dangerous and continuous acts of corporate fraud.

To see the extensive research we have done in this area demonstrating how the global fossil fuel cartel has influenced our governments, the media, and the IPCC into continuously and systematically censoring and significantly underestimating the coming severity of climate consequences, their timetables, and the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets, please see this first lead page and then review its sub-pages and the many links on those pages. 

But be warned; you may also become outraged when you finish examining all the ways you have been continuously and systemically deceived and denied the truth by the global fossil fuel cartel concerning the real climate change emergency consequences, timetables, and its honest solutions. 

Also, be sure to see the hundreds and hundreds of well-documented blog articles about the global fossil fuel cartel's relentless ongoing efforts to make sure we do not reduce global fossil fuel use to reduce climate change and the runaway global heating emergency. Click here to start reading this well-documented blog.

 

Section 2: The world's governments complete failure to manage climate change for the last 60+ years

There is no better measure of the last sixty years of our government's success or failure in reducing global warming than the amount of carbon going into our atmosphere. This is because more carbon going into the atmosphere directly causes the average global temperature to rise.

Look carefully at the atmospheric carbon graph below.

 


 

As you can see, we are adding more carbon into the atmosphere from the global burning of fossil fuels each year. According to the immutable laws of physics, this means ever-rising temperatures will resolutely follow every rise in atmospheric carbon.

But, worse yet, we are also adding more carbon to the atmosphere at faster and faster rates! (The dotted line in the graph above is getting steeper and increasing incrementally each year. This steepening line on the chart indicates we are adding more carbon to the atmosphere at faster and faster rates.)

To make our government's utter failure even more apparent:

In the 1960s, we only added about 0.5 carbon parts per million (ppm) to the atmosphere each year. 

In the 1970s, we added about 1.3 carbon ppm per year. 

In the 1980s and 1990s, we added about 1.5 carbon ppm per year. 

In the 2000s, we added about 2.0 carbon ppm per year. 

In the 2010s, we added about 2.4 carbon ppm per year. 

Over the 2020s, we have added about 2.7 carbon ppm per year. And,

We are now adding about 3 carbon ppm (or more) each year. 

What is essential about the graph below is that it illuminates on its right side how we have shockingly increased our annual rate of atmospheric carbon pollution by almost six times (if you also include what has happened in the 2020s.) 

 

 

Our rapid global annual carbon increase above also means that not only have we failed to reduce global fossil fuel for over six decades, but we have also actually radically increased the yearly fossil fuel pollution of our atmosphere! 

The graph below also painfully shows the annual increases in carbon (CO2) going into our atmosphere and our global governments utter failure to reduce global fossil fuel use over the last six decades. (The graph measures gigatons of carbon pollution going into our atmosphere. A gigaton is 1,000,000,000 tonnes.)

 

 

This is the state of our past global fossil fuel reduction efforts, and you will not hear many publicly speaking this horrible truth.

We must now face the reality that we have utterly failed to control the accelerating global warming nightmare. This failure is despite the many international conferences, treaties, reduction agreements, warnings, new climate policies, new climate laws, and the actions of thousands of global NGOs and environmental groups educating for decades about the extinction dangers of accelerating global heating. 

This real, gigantic and well-hidden failure is real and exists despite all contrary media or other climate reporting by those with hidden or vested financial interests in the fossil fuel industry.

Look again above at science's most accurate carbon measurement of our total reductions in global fossil fuel use and the true measure of our government's effectiveness in reducing escalating global heating. We have unequivocally failed to manage humanity's single greatest short-term threat (other than immediate global thermo-nuclear war.)

We will not be safe from runaway global warming and extinction until our governments get atmospheric carbon levels once again at or below about the carbon 350 ppm level.

Yes, this vast and continuous governmental climate management failure is tough to deal with, but to begin taking the correct climate path out of this mess, one must know honestly from where they are starting. An informed society that does not know where it currently is with its climate management progress will also not have the necessary urgency or focus to fix it.

Just in case you still believe your governments have been protecting you from the accelerating consequences of global heating caused by burning more and more fossil fuel, here is a graph showing all of the three major fossil fuel related greenhouse gases, carbon (CO2), methane (CH4) and Nitrous Oxide (N2O).

Not only have our governments and the UN, IPCC completely failed to do anything effective to stop the climate change emergency and reverse global heating, they have also be continuously deceptively influenced by the global fossil fuel cartel into acting as profit protecting agents for the cartel by their continuously and systematically censored and significantly underestimated the coming severity of climate consequences, their timetables, and the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets to the general public. We do not say that without having dedicated a tremendous amount of research to demonstrating how that could be true.

 

 

The next most important climate facts to know are about the severity and timing of our climate consequences.

Fact 2: By 2025-2031, the severity, frequency, and scale of extreme weather events will increase radically and far beyond where it is today! Climate change-driven extreme weather events are defined, in part, as heatwaves, heat domes, droughts, wildfires, hurricanes, cyclones, tornados, floods and flooding, rain bombs, wind storms [Derechos], dust storms, wildfire smoke events, unseasonable cold spells, and other abnormal unseasonal weather. This sudden radical increase in climate consequences is primarily due to the cumulative and synergetic atmospheric greenhouse gas pollution effects of over 150 years of fossil fuel burning and our crossing major climate change tipping points and feedback loops during that period. 

Also, the biggest single global climate catastrophe to date may occur during this period.

This sudden 2025-2031 radical increase in climate consequence severity, frequency, and scale is because:

1. We will have already crossed key amplifying and critical climate tipping points and climate feedback loops and we will have stepped into the beginning stages of runaway global heating.

2. We also will be crossing more amplifying climate feedback loops and climate tipping points at even faster rates during the 2025-2031 period.

3. We will have crossed into a new level of atmospheric carbon pollution level where we reach carbon (CO2) 425-450 parts per million (ppm.) Lowered atmospheric carbon is the best and most accurate way to see the actual results of our past fossil fuel reduction efforts. (Again please see the atmospheric carbon graph below. As of March 2022, we were at carbon 421 ppm.)

 

 

4. We may also possibly experience the largest climate tipping point catastrophe and global disruptor (the Thwaites "doomsday glacier.") It has been predicted to potentially collapse as soon as the next 3-5 years while other predictions say it may take a few more decades. This one "doomsday glacier" the size of England when it collapses will have quickly arriving dire global affects ---  a rising sea level of 2-3 feet.

A 2-3 foot global sea level rise will cause the greatest real estate sell-off in human history. It will also cause a massive distribution and manufacturing breakdown for vital products and commodities essential for life.

Ports, coastal highways, sewage, water treatment, and power plants will also be disabled to some degree by the initial 2-3 ft rise in sea level as well as by the 7-10 feet of additional sea level rise that will follow the Thwaites glacier collapse in the following decades.

5. Our climate bill has finally come due because for the last sixty years, our governments have failed to fix climate change,  

According to James Hansen the respected NASA climate scientist, we first entered the beginning phases of runaway global heating when we passed the carbon 386 ppm level (and comitted ourselves to passing behyond the 1.5 degree Celsius increased global temperture level). 

Climate change and global heating consequences will not only rise radically. Eventually they will eventually increase very steeply to exponentially, and at best, you may have only another 2-8 more years of relative climate stability, depending upon where you live. Beginning around 2025, if you are in a high-risk climate change and global heating area, the global warming consequences that you are already experiencing will start to become radically worse because of more crossed climate tipping points.

Take a look at the partial list of global heating consequences below. On the list below, food and other essential resource shortages, increased global starvation, and rapidly rising food prices will become rapidly intensifying and chronic problems.

 

Chapter_2_Consequence_Tornado.png

 

Understanding what runaway global warming is can be challenging. If you imagined runaway global heating like a train without brakes rolling down a mountain that is getting steeper and steeper, you would have a good idea about the seriousness of our climate consequences soon rising radically.

To make the accelerating global heating problem more tangible, imagine a midwestern US state like Kansas already in a climate zone called “Tornado Alley.” Now envision that every year, the number of tornados, their intensity category, and the area they affect keeps increasing.

Towns get wiped out. They try to rebuild. But they are wiped out again before the new houses, businesses, and infrastructure are complete.

All the money just spent to repair the area has just blown away. So, what do they have left but to start over again? They do start to rebuild. And they get hit yet again. This happens over and over. Each time sooner with even bigger losses. That IS our global climate future with radically rising global heating.

If you are a science person, this link for Fact 2 will take you to documentation links and an expanded explanation of why global heating-related consequences will soon start rising steeper to exponentially in severity, frequency, and scale.

 

Fact 3: Today's legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets require all developed countries and governments (including China and India) to compel their citizens and businesses to reduce ALL fossil fuel use by about 75% by 2025. The 2025 legitimate global fossil fuel reduction target is so high because our governments wasted sixty years delaying global fossil fuel reductions when the required fossil fuel reductions could have been far more gradual and manageable. (If we are very, very lucky, we may still have until 2031 to reach that 75% level of global fossil fuel reduction, but that is also not likely to happen for many reasons.) 

When politicians, governments, or the media tell you we must reduce global fossil fuel use by 40-50% by 2030, 2040, or 2050, they are dead wrong. If we use the fossil fuel industry's unduly influenced and grossly underestimated preferred global reduction targets, billions of us will die sooner than you could imagine. 

This honest global fossil fuel reduction target is now so high because our governments wasted sixty years when the necessary reductions could have been gradual and far more manageable. 

They are dead wrong when you hear the media or politicians tell you we must reduce global fossil fuel use by 40-50% by 2030, 2040, or 2050. If we use those fossil fuel industry highly influenced and grossly underestimated reduction targets, billions more of us will die. 

If we do not get close to these 2025 -2031 global fossil fuel 75% reduction targets, our world will experience unavoidable, immoral, and cataclysmic climate-related consequences.

Radically reducing global fossil fuel use in all developed countries by 2025 is not the ineffective and deceptive net-zero emissions by 2030, 2040, 2050, or 2060 target pledges you hear all over the media and from our governments. These net-zero emission schemes cannot scale up fast enough to save us from mass to near-total extinction.

When you hear these net-zero emission plans being promoted instead of simply making the required 2025-2031, 75% global fossil fuel reductions, know that someone behind the scenes is protecting fossil fuel industry profits. (Please see the detailed page for the science behind why these future net-zero emission pledges will not work in time to save humanity. Discover why you and your children will also pay a steep price for these false net-zero solutions and pledges diverting us from the correct 75% global fossil fuel reductions.)

(Undeveloped countries will have considerably lower 2025 targets due to climate justice factors, and they already have such low per-capita emissions.)

Here are the many reasons even the extended 2031 targets are highly unlikely to be met.

 

 

If you are a science person, this link for Fact 3 will take you to an expanded explanation of the details of all of the 75% survival-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. It includes documentation links and technical notes on how these fossil fuel reduction calculations were created.

 

Fact 4: Missing the 2025 - 2031 global fossil fuel reduction targets and consequently crossing the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 425-450 parts per million (ppm) means we also will:

a. trigger the first extinction-accelerating global warming tipping point.

b. enter the second phase of runaway global heating. (Runaway is defined as a thing running out of control! And as mentioned above. 

c. activate more primary and secondary climate change-driven or interrelated consequences. (These primary and secondary climate change-driven consequences are described here.)

d. face an almost certain near-total human extinction. (Near-total human extinction that, at best, we can save about thirty percent of humanity, and at worst, as little as one to two percent of humanity.) 

We are running out of time. We are currently at the insane atmospheric carbon 420 ppm level. We will soon enter the generally considered irreversible second phase of runaway global heating sometime between 2025-2031. (Irreversible here means that we will not be able to get the dangerous excess greenhouse gases out of our atmosphere for hundreds to thousands of years.)

The renowned former NASA climate change scientist, James Hansen, warned the world that we would enter the first phase of runaway global heating when we passed the atmospheric carbon level of 386 ppm. That occurred in 2015.

If we do not get close to the 2025 targets, we set the stage for near-total human extinction, and we lose our last chance to be still able to reverse the climate damage that we have done for centuries to thousands of years. Additionally, missing the 2025 targets will trigger many amplifying climate feedback loops

Below this statement is a graphic titled “Positive Feedback Loop” It is an example of just one of the many accelerating global heating amplifying feedback loops.

 

The following global warming-related dangerous consequence interactions occur when climate tipping points and climate feedback loops within the climate system interact with each other and with rising global heating (as they are doing now.) Below is an illustration of some of the climate tipping points and feedback loops driving the climate change extinction-driving processes and consequences.

 

 

When we cross climate tipping points and trigger climate feedback loops, we are headed for even higher average global temperatures at an accelerated rate, and we put the global heating extinction process on the fast track. Even worse is when these climate tipping points and climate feedback loops start interacting and "feeding" and worsening each other's most adverse effects.

 

 

 

According to James Hansen, the former NASA climate scientist, in 2015, when we crossed the atmospheric carbon level of carbon 386 parts per million (ppm), we entered into the beginning phase of runaway global heating. We are currently around carbon 420 ppm. (See atmospheric carbon graph further above.) 

When we enter the atmospheric carbon 425-450 ppm range from now until about 2031, we enter the second phase of runaway global heating. This is the atmospheric carbon range where the primary and secondary climate consequences radically increase in severity, frequency, and scale

Worse yet, somewhere in the carbon 425-carbon 450 ppm range (or immediately after we cross carbon 450 ppm), we also will greatly accelerate the crossing of new climate tipping points and climate feedbacks to a level where runaway global heating will enter its second uncontrollable phase. 

Somewhere in that 425-450 ppm range, we also will reach the point that forces the average global temperature to rise two degrees Celsius above pre-industrial temperatures. Unfortunately, here is where the process of the near-total extinction of humanity begins, and our future is no longer in our control. 

Once we hit two degrees Celsius, we can not stop ourselves from reaching a 3, 4, 5, and possibly 6-degree Celsius temperature increase. Long before we reach the 5-degree Celsius increase, humanity will have reached the near-total extinction level. 

Worse yet, climate consequences will also increase very steeply to exponentially after passing carbon 450 ppm. (Read the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points better to understand this steep to exponential climate change consequence change.) 

It is essential to grasp what climate consequences suddenly increasing exponentially means. In the graph below the red line is an example of a linear gradual growth trajectory.  (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.) The blue line is an example of a steeply increasing line. The green line is an example of an exponential growth curve and trajectory. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)

 

 

(To find out what that near-total extinction means and how it will occur, read this page on the overview of the near-total extinction process, and then read this page on what will happen to us at faster and faster rates once we cross the carbon 450 ppm level.) 

If you are a science person, this link for Fact 4 will take you to documentation links and an expanded explanation of tipping point theory and the unfolding process of global heating's four extinction-accelerating tipping points activating and how it will affect your future.

 

Fact 5: Because our governments did not effectively reduce global fossil fuel use during the last six decades, old and new crossed climate tipping points, crossed climate feedbacks, and other accelerating climate consequences will cause a highly probable and almost certain mass extinction of as much as half of humanity by about 2050.  

This mass extinction process will be driven primarily by global soaring food prices, crop failures, and mass starvation caused by climate change-driven extreme and unseasonable weather, severely disrupting regular growing seasons. Additionally, about half of humanity will go extinct by about 2050 because of the regional and national conflicts arising directly from mass migrations and the rapid escalation of the primary and secondary climate change-driven consequences

Many nations will go into martial law to maintain law and order. Human rights and democracies will suffer deeply as our climate stability deteriorates.

This mass extinction process for about half of humanity will initially be driven by climate consequence-related:

a. rising global temperatures,

b. low crop yields, crop failures, mass starvation, and

c. new regional, national, and international conflicts caused directly or indirectly by mass migrations of starving peoples or because of other climate-related key resource shortages.

Please note mass human extinction is not total human extinction. The difference between total and near-total extinction is explained here.) 

Crops will fail or be stunted because of global warming-aggravated heatwaves, rain bombs, droughts, flooding, wildfires, out-of-season cold spells, hail, Derechos (severe wind storms), and other extreme weather which destabilizes normal growing season conditions. The world's five principal grains (rice, wheat, maize [corn], millet, and sorghum) are particularly vulnerable to climate-caused massive crop failure. This crop failure occurs when temperatures (heat waves) are near or above 100 degrees Fahrenheit for about 30 days during the regular growing season.

Increasing starvation increases mass migration to wherever there is more food. These mass hunger migrations cause more local, regional, and national conflicts, which creates an amplifying feedback loop of even more mass starvation, soaring food prices, economic instability, and more conflict. As conflicts grow in food-growing and producing countries, food production will drop even more because of the many food-growing and transportation disruptions caused directly or indirectly by those conflicts.

Many areas will have to go into martial law to maintain law and order and human rights, and democracies will suffer deeply.

 

 

(Please note that the above climate-related initial consequences are not the only reasons that about half of humanity will unavoidably die off by mid-century. This link for this climate fact 6 will take you to a detailed explanation and documentation links for both why and the step-by-step how the extinction of about half of humanity by mid-century will occur.)

The above Fact 5 is well-known by the world's leading and best-funded intelligence agencies and many climate scientists and researchers. However, it is not in the public dialog or media because most major media is owned, controlled, or heavily influenced by fossil fuel-related industries.

With rising global temperatures, more global heating consequences (shown below) will interact, intensify and worsen. This consequence interaction below will contribute directly and indirectly to the extinction of about half of humanity by mid-century.

 

 

We have wasted six decades, and now the consequences of climate and global heating have worsened so much that it is too late to prevent the extinction of about half of humanity (about 3-4 billion people) by mid-century. This also means it is NOW time to prepare humanity for the many sacrifices we must make to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. It is also time to prepare humanity for the unimaginable and unavoidable soon-arriving suffering. 

If you want to review additional climate science on why about half of humanity will go extinct by mid-century,  click here. We want you to have all of the science and analysis behind our half of humanity going extinct by mid-century statements. You will then know that the many painful and difficult changes you will soon need to make are genuinely warranted. 

This link for Fact 5 will take you to even more detailed information, explanations, and key links on the intensifying consequences, processes, crossed tipping points, and feedback loops that will unavoidably bring about the mass extinction of about half of humanity by the mid-century. 

 

Fact 6: With little remaining time left to act, the only effective way to save as much of humanity as possible (about 50% at best) after mid-century from a highly probable and almost certain near-total extinction, is for our governments and politicians to collectively and immediately enforce a a new law that all developed nations get close to the correct 75% global fossil fuel reduction target by 2025-2031. 

There is good news here, even with such horrible previous climate news. It is highly improbable that ALL of humanity will go extinct from accelerating climate change. Life will go on for those who understand the emergency and manage it! (This good news is explained with many illustrations here. This page is one of the most important pages on our website for maintaining a rational perspective and emotional balance in the face of so much bad climate news.)

If our governments do not act now, this near-total extinction process could begin as soon as 2050-2080.

Near-total human extinction means that as much as 50% to 90%+ % of the post-mid-century surviving population could also die. How much of what remains of humanity dies in the second wave of post-mid-century extinction depends upon how close we get to the 2025 global reduction targets and how soon we do it.

The faster and closer our governments get to the 2025 targets, the more humanity will survive and live longer and more comfortable lives. Conversely, the longer it takes to reach those targets, the more of humanity will die and suffer the ever-intensifying consequences of our fossil fuel-burning actions.

There is significant good news in this challenging news. At worst, we will only suffer near-total extinction and not total human extinction. Even if we miss the 2025 targets by a considerable amount, both human and natural climate counteractions will eventually take place to first slow and then stop us from burning ever more fossil fuels. 

These human and natural climate counteraction processes will be severe in the form of Mother Nature simply killing off more and more of us. Mother Nature will continue killing us off until humanity does not have enough remaining population to continue adding more carbon pollution from burning fossil fuels into the atmosphere. (The current estimate is that at least half of humanity would have to die off by about mid-century for this corrective and counterbalancing Mother Nature-driven die-off process to work.)  

Think of global fossil fuel burning, atmospheric carbon pollution, and global heating as giving the Earth a virus and fever. Next, imagine Mother Nature raising the temperature of the Earth until the consequences of that rising temperature have killed off enough of that virus (us) to allow her other climate and ecological systems to regain their natural balance. If you can imagine this, you would have a good idea of this dominant natural correction process that will take control if our governments fail to immediately and radically reduce our global fossil fuel use radically to get close to the 2025 global reduction targets.

The "good news" for why it is highly improbable that humanity will go totally extinct from climate change and its global accelerating heating is covered here

(Please read the Climageddon Scenario illustration below starting from the bottom up! It will help you visualize and better understand the levels of climate and global heating consequences that will accelerate human extinction.

 

 

If you are a science person, this link for Fact 6 will discuss in more detail why our future, at worst, will only be a near-total extinction event and not total human extinction. This expanded Fact 5 link will also discuss the critical death percentage differences between mass, near-total, and total extinction scenarios. Finally, it will also take you to documentation links and expanded information on human and natural counteractions and the primary and secondary climate-related consequences that will eventually result in near-total human extinction described in Fact 5.

 

Here are the "what do we need to do now to save ourselves" facts.

 

Fact 7: Individual fossil fuel reduction actions alone (even if done by hundreds of millions of us,) will not save about half of humanity perishing before 2050. This is fully because of 60 years of the grossly negligent government and politician ineffectiveness created and enabled by the global fossil fuel cartel's powerful invisible hand controlling and disinforming our leaders.

Only massive government-enforced action to reduce global fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025 (maybe 2031 if we are super-lucky) can save the post-2050 climate survivors from the even worse, and almost certain near-total extinction process (occurring from about 2050 to 2080.)

The good news is there still is time to save much of the post-2050 remaining half of humanity, but again, only if our governments radically and immediately reduce global fossil fuel use to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

Here are the detailed actions our governments must enforce

Here is how to get our politicians to force our governments to finally act.

There is still an important role for individual actions to reduce fossil fuel use described here. While massive individual fossil fuel reductions are now too little and too late to save about half of humanity before about 2050, they still can play a significant role in what percentage of humanity survives after 2050. See this critical page to understand the important role that our steadily accumulating individual actions to reduce global fossil fuel use will play in helping save humanity once humanity finally forces its politicians and government to act after humanity has hit the climate change catastrophe "rock bottom."

Steadily accumulating individual actions could help make the difference of as much as 30% of humanity surviving after 2050. If individual fossil fuel reduction actions do not continue to grow significantly, as few as five percent or less of humanity could survive until about 2070.

We cannot let our governments and politicians miss this final opportunity to save our and humanity's future.  

Our governments must also begin planning now for a massive population loss and a sudden global decline. (The surprising reason why we will not go totally extinct is explained in this link.)

 


If you are a science person, this link for Fact 7 will take you to documentation links and expanded information about the many silmeltaneous actions that our governments must do immediately to save humanity in time.

Here are the immediate actions our governments must enforce to save at least part of humanity post-mid-century. 

Here is how to get our politicians to force our governments to act.)

Individuals and businesses must now work for the best and silmeltaneously prepare for the worst by:

a. demanding their national politicians reduce global fossil fuel use to get us close to the honest and correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (This action step is mainly for individuals who can directly influence their national politicians. (See Part three of the Job One for Humanity Plan B to see what our governments must do.) 

b. making the necessary personal 75% fossil fuel use reductions to do their part to get us close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (Part two of the Job One for Humanity Plan B will help you do this.) 

c. demanding that our governments enact climate justice principles, which care equally for the climate survival and well-being of All peoples of Earth, particularly for those nations and peoples who were not the major creators of the massive carbon pollution of our atmosphere from fossil fuel burning. (Many peoples and nations were, and are not, the major creators of today's global heating extinction emergency.)

d. making better global heating decisions concerning what they want to do personally about the accelerating climate and runaway global heating consequences. (This might even include re-planing their lives or re-adjusting their priorities to focus on the meaningful and important things they may have delayed or failed to do. This information is also found in the Job One for Humanity Plan B.

a. making the necessary emergency preparations and adaptations needed to build their climateand global heating resilience vital to successfully managing the worst of the coming climate and global heating consequences. (If you are fortunate, well prepared, and in a global heating safer region (described in the expanded fact section,) you could survive 30-50 more years, possibly even longer. (Part one of the Job One for Humanity Plan B will help you do this.) 

To act wisely and fix the runaway global heating emergency, it is also critical for every individual and business to know the accurate timeframes for the next even bigger waves of global heating consequences found here and in the Job One for Humanity Plan B. Understanding the coming global heating consequence timeframes will allow you and your loved ones adequate planning and action time to create the best possible global heating emergency outcomes while simultaneously preparing for the worst possible global heating outcomes.

The safe and unsafe areas map below for the safer global heating areas also will be explained on the expanded climate facts page and in its links.) In general, on the global heating risk map below if you live in areas between the red and yellow lines you have a considerably higher global heating risk level. 

 

 

If you are a science person, this link for Fact 7 will take you to the safest global heating areas and the timeframes you will need to know to prepare yourself for what is coming.

 

Fact 8: Everything our governments are currently doing to fix the climate change emergency is still "far too little, far too late." Because effective government global fossil fuel use reduction is not happening at anything close to fast enough (the 2025 targets), our organization strongly recommends all individuals, businesses, communities, and nations immediately begin what we call our climate change Plan B. Plan B contains many types of actions, particularly the urgently needed emergency preparations and critical adaptations for the many climate change catastrophes we can no longer avoid.

Some many wise individuals and businesses have already started their "Plan B" Climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, and survival plans. By enacting their Plan B emergency backup and resilience-building plans before 2025 when climate change consequences will begin to rise radically, these prudent individuals and organizations are ensuring they, their loved ones, businesses, communities, and nations will have the best chance to make it through the coming unavoidable climate change catastrophes. 

To support their Plan B actions, many individuals are also joining or creating our recommended urban, suburban, rural, hybrid, or virtual climate change-resilient eco-communities. These new, supportive, and resilient eco-communities are discussed in detail here. We call them Climate-Safe Villages. 

Because climate change consequences will soon start growing very steeply to exponentially (about 2025-2031), starting your emergency preparation, adaptation, and other Plan B actions is critical before it is too late to do so. 

The worst possible time to prepare for an emergency is when many others recognize the crisis and scramble to get the same resources you will need. Unfortunately, the 2025-2031 soaring climate consequences time frame means you have little time left to do everything required to prepare adequately!

There are many soon-arriving climate consequence reasons for beginning a personal or business Plan B. Because of our other many accelerating climate consequences there will be partial to complete collapses of vulnerable, less resilient social, economic, political, and ecological systems as global heating soars and consequently as about half of humanity unavoidably goes extinct by mid-century. Moreover, few our our human systems will be able to withstand the desperate and increasing runaway global heating-driven, mass starvation, mass migrations, and the next wave of regional, national, and international resource conflicts. 

In addition to having the needed survival emergency preparation and adaptation steps, the Job One for Humanity Plan B is built upon the wise strategy of preparing for the worst possible outcomes while still staying focused on creating the best possible outcomes. This dual focus is necessary because if our governments don't act soon, there will be few of us left at the predicted post-mid-century higher global sea levels and temperatures, and surviving will be far more challenging.

The Job One Plan B is also about emotionally and physically preparing yourself (and your loved ones) for all of the terrible sacrifices and suffering that we must endure to make it through the many unavoidable and soon-arriving consequences of the runaway global heating emergency. The Job One for Humanity Plan B also includes our governments at all levels (local, regional, and national) having a plan of managed climate retreat that prepares for the massive global heating-driven population collapse and the consequent sudden and steep global decline in most of our other global support systems. (Plan B could even involve migrating to a new location that will be safer from the accelerating consequences of runaway global heating. Additionally, Managed Retreat and climate change migration are also potential survival and adaptation strategies.) 

Start your Job One Plan B soon, and do not forget that we must get our governments to act now to save as many people as possible. If you have any doubts that you need to start your Plan B immediately, read more about the many soon-arriving and severe climate change consequences. 

Beyond Plan B actions, we also advise you to take full advantage of the relative climate stability we now still have to make your life and your relationships as meaningful and enjoyable as possible. This is due to many more dangerous climate tipping points being crossed soon.

Because of these crossed climate tipping points, from 2025 to 2031, climate consequences will radically increase in severity, frequency, and size of the area affected. We also may be dealing with 2 to 3 feet of sea level rise if Thwaites collapses during this period. 

After 2031 things only get worse as we cross even more major climate tipping points, climate feedbacks, and climate consequences will continue rising steeply to exponentially!

Because of the proceeding, our organization will not fault anyone who seeks to sustainably experience parts of nature that will not be there for long. Likewise, we will not shame anyone who chooses to live out their "bucket list" in such a terrible situation and projected future.

That being said, we continue to encourage everyone who comes across our uncensored climate information to simultaneously also do everything they can on the Job One for Humanity Plan that will finally get our governments to act. This way, we can, at least, save some part of humanity after mid-century.

If you have not done so, please look over the primary and secondary runaway global heating consequences on this page to understand what we are facing.

If you want to see a series of powerful graphic timeline illustrations of just how little time we have left derived before global life gets wildly out of control, from the MIT Club of Rome's original study and its four subsequent verification studies along with all five of these studies being updated with the most recent climate change research, click here. 

 

 

If you are a science person, this link for Fact 8 will take you to documentation links and expanded information about the Thwaites "doomsday glacier" and the many parts of a wise Plan B for yourself, your family and your business.

 

Fact 9: There is still good climate change news to counterbalance the government inaction caused highly probablealmost certain deaths of about half of humanity by around mid-century.

Humanity can still:

a. save much of the other half of humanity (when our governments finally act.

b. obtain many worthwhile benefits through the step-by-step process of FINALLY fixing the climate emergency. 

c. learn the painful climate catastrophe lessons so we never let them happen again. 

d. experience many previously unattainable benefits in a Great Global Rebirth once the climate change emergency is finally fixed! 

There will be much suffering and death that we can no longer escape. But the many possible positive benefits for the lucky and wise survivors could create a world in which we ALL would want to live. We strongly recommend you come back to the following benefits link after you have finished this page and the three recommended actions at the bottom of the page. 

You have read a lot of terrible climate change news. It is now essential to balance all this bad news with appropriate good news and the realistic hope provided by the many positive possibilities of a Great Global Rebirth.

This benefits link leads to the most read page on our website, viewed over 2 million times. Click here to learn more about the many positive possibilities of fixing global heating and a Great Global Rebirth. 

If you are a science person, this link for Fact 11 will take you to documentation links and expanded explanations of this fact. 

 

Fact 10: We are almost out of time to save as much as a potential 50% of post-2050 climate change catastrophe survivors. We have no time left to be diverted by wild and unproven at-scale "new technology" Silicon Valley get-rich-quick IPO schemes. There is no substitute for getting close to the required radical 2025 global fossil fuel reductions, or we will face near-total extinction.

No miracle "new technology" (like carbon capture or geo-engineering) currently exists at the needed scale or cost efficiency to save humanity from our accelerating global heating nightmare before about half of humanity is dead by about 2050. So hoping for some "new technology" to be discovered and save humanity at the last minute before our critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction deadline and that can be scaled up in time without horrible side effects--- is another global fossils fuel cartel disinformation campaign, personal strategy destined for failure, and an costly illusion dooming much of humanity to extinction. 

The only thing at this 11th hour that can keep more post-2050 climate survivors from experiencing near-total extinction is to immediately reduce ALL global fossil fuel use and get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. It is that simple.

If you are curious about why it is highly unlikely for humanity to go totally extinct, please read this article, and on this page you will also will see there is a place for appropriate, legitimate, and side effect-safe new technologies.

If you are interested in more about the timeframes that humanity will experience climate-related and other global catastrophes, please review the timeframe illustrations on this page.

So hoping for some "new technology" to be discovered and save us at the last minute before our critical 2025 deadline and that can be scaled up in time without horrible side effects--- is an awful strategy destined for failure and an expensive illusion dooming much of humanity to extinction. 

The major factor by far at this 11th hour that can still save about half of humanity post 2050 is to immediately and radically reduce all global fossil fuel use and get close to the survival-critical 2025 global targets.

The widely promised miracle "new technologies" (including the "new" small nuclear reactors or new nuculear fussion or fission reacors) that will save us from climate extinction are false solutions that steal the real urgency away from the climate change and runaway global heating emergency to reduce fossil fuels now, and worse yet:

1. None of the current miracle "new technology" climate solutions can come even close to globally scaling up enough in time (by 2025) to compensate for our significantly missing the 2025 global targets and triggering phase 2 runaway global warming with its many unavoiable consequences. (Phase 2 runaway global warming is generally considered irreversible for centuries to millenia.) 

2. Most have not yet been proven to work effectively (even at a small scale.)

3. All have not been adequately tested at a sufficiently large enough scale for unintended side effects. Any unknown and unintended side effects could create even greater problems than the problems they were designed to solve.

4. They are prohibitively costly. And,

5. Many burn so much fossil fuel trying to remove atmospheric carbon or geo-engineer the planet or atmosphere that their massive fossil fuel use eliminates their benefits. To implement the new technologies, massive amounts of energy will be needed to process the required raw materials and fabricate the solutions. To do this quickly, existing methods must provide the energy, which would further delay reaching global goals. And finally,

6. These miracle "new technologies" are falsely promising us that we can continue our lives of over-consuming, polluting, and burning fossil fuels as we are now. Nothing could be further from the truth!

Additionally, society is ignoring that we are reaching limits to the availability of many natural resources. To build these proposed new technologies, vital materials will be required in such tremendous amounts that routine social needs would be severely impacted.

There is a blind rush throwing massive amounts of government, corporate, and venture funding into these new technology climate solutions. Many of the proposed new technology solutions are already known to be horrendously dangerous from our nuclear and other experiences, i.e., Fukushima, Chornobyl, etc.) 

This rush to finance long-shot solutions tells us indirectly and rather conclusively that many wealthy individuals and corporations already know how extremely destructive climate change will get. Consequently, they will try anything to prevent it --- even if the solution turns out to be as bad or worse than the problem they are trying to solve.

Nobody wants to tell the world's people we have to discipline and sacrifice and cut our global fossil fuel use radically (which itself will have many horrible consequences, such as about half of humanity unavoidably still perishing before 2050). 

Still, at least we will be able to save much of the second half of humanity post-2050, but only if we radically reduce global fossil fuel use to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (To learn more about the horrible political and climate science climate change dilemma concerning why when we cut global fossil fuel radically to meet the 2025 targets, about half of the world's population will still perish no matter if we make the required fossil fuel reductions, or we don't make them, click here to read about Garret's Climate Change Dilemma.) 

 

 

Possibly after 2050, some new technology will be tested, safe and deployable at scale and reasonable costs to contribute to restoring our climate stability. Click here to see the possible minor role that some well-tested and proven new technology solution might play decades from now.

If you are curious about why humanity is highly unlikely to become totally extinct, please read this article, and you will also see there is a place for appropriate, legitimate, and safe new technologies.

If you are interested in more about the timeframes that humanity will experience climate-related and other global catastrophes, please review the timeframe illustrations on this page. 

If you are a science person, this link for Fact 10 will take you to documentation links and expanded information on why new technologies can not save us in time and everything our governments must do to save humanity's future. At this point only our governments acting in concert have the power to save the future.

 

 

 

Please get the above uncensored climate facts widely distributed and to your politicians before it is too late for any of us!

IT IS ALMOST BEYOND THE TIME NEEDED TO ACT! This knowledge once widely shared will help illuminate the true urgency of our runaway global heating extinction emergency. Moreover, understanding the true urgency of the global heating emergency will eventually create the necessary public demand to get our politicians to begin a government-enforced global fossil fuel reduction plan that will work. 

The worst consequences runaway global heating extinction emergency will not be prevented or lessened unless:

1. We get our politicians to act. Click here for how to do that.

2. You get active on the many scalable solutions in the Job One for Humanity Plan B. And, 

3. You do your part to help educate others about today's uncensored climate facts before it is too late. 

Unfortunately, too many climate and environmental organizations still have-not reviewed this page's climate facts and science. So, please also get their executives this information too. 

You do not need to continue reading the rest of this page unless you are a science person and want to explore more of the climate science behind the ten facts above and their documentation links!

 

Unfortunately, too many climate and environmental organizations still have-not reviewed this page's climate facts and science. So, please also get their executives this information too. 

If you are a science person, this link will provide many more reasons for why we have failed to fix runaway global heating and why significantly discounting IPPC accuracy is wise and appropriate. If you are a science person, this link will take you to documentation links and expanded information about the IPCC's many reliability issues.


Receive Our Free Climate Change & Runaway Global Heating Updates!

 

 

In Summary

Help fix runaway global heating the greatest disruptor and threat multiplier of the 21st century or suffer its accelerating consequences and potentially perish!

Humanity and its ancestors thrived for almost 1,000,000 years when the historical and interglacial high atmospheric carbon levels remained within the carbon level range of carbon 270-280 parts per million (ppm.) 

Many decades ago, climate scientists warned us that when we crossed the atmospheric carbon level of 350 ppm, humanity would be unsafe from horrible consequences and even extinction, and if we did cross the carbon350 ppm level that we were on the way to runaway global warming

Measuring the most dangerous greenhouse gases of atmospheric carbon [CO2,] methane [C4,] and nitrous dioxide [N2O] are the best ways to measure the increasing threat level of increasing global heating and increased global heating consequences. Therefore, the three greenhouse gas measurements shown together on the graph below are also one of the very best ways to predict future global heating and future temperature levels. 

 

The higher the amounts of carbon [CO2,] methane [C4,] and nitrous dioxide [N2O] in the atmosphere, the higher our future global temperatures will be and, our future global heating consequeces will the more severe, more frequent and occur at larger and larger scale. (In the illustration above, on the left vertical axis are atmospheric measuring levels for both carbon and nitrous dioxide in parts per million [ppm.] On the right vertical axis, you see the measuring level for atmospheric methane in parts per billion [ppb.])

Measuring the above three most dangerous rising atmospheric pollutants from fossil fuels is an even better way to determine if we have or are making honest progress in:

1. lowering global fossil fuel use,

2. fixing the runaway global heating extinction emergency or,

3. if we are failing or being successful at either or both. 

The illustration above also shows what happened when humanity began the fossil fuel-powered industrial revolution in the late 1700s to early 1800s. (Look where the graph lines rise suddenly.) Across the bottom of the illustration is the last 2,000+ years. The red, blue, and black lines moving from left to right across the illustration tell the painful story of human history and the fossil fuel pollution of our vital atmosphere.

It is not difficult to see from the three greenhouse gas illustration above, that humanity is in deep, deep trouble.

One of the world's most respected NASA climate scientists, James Hansen, said that if the atmospheric CO2 level reached and stayed at only the carbon 385 ppm level and was allowed to sit there for many years, this 385 carbon level alone could kick off a climate tipping point and feedback loop and "stacking" (domino) effect. He warned that this tipping point "stacking effect" would lead to an unstoppable chain reaction to higher and higher temperatures (known as runaway global warming.) 

 

 

So here is our runaway global heating tough love. Humanity thrived successfully for millennia when atmospheric carbon was at the 270 to 280 ppm-level. We went over the climate cliff in 2015 when we hit carbon 386 ppm level and we entered the first beginning stage of runaway global heating.

Within the next 2-3 years, we will pass the carbon 425 ppm level. When we pass carbon 425 ppm we are already too deep into the beginning stage of the runaway global warming process.

Since we have passed the carbon 386 ppm in 2015, we have already triggered the climate tipping point and feedback loop stacking and falling domino effect. We already have activated the crossing of ever more climate tipping points and feedback loops that will keep raising global heating until we are motivate by sufficient catastrophe to finally get close to the required, radical, and painful 2025 reductions in our global fossil fuel use. 

As of April of 2022, we were at a terrifying atmospheric level of carbon of 420 parts per million (ppm.)

From the preceding, one can see that this carbon 420 level is far, far beyond any reasonable and safe atmospheric carbon level and far into the tipping point "stacking" and falling domino effects of runaway global warming. At the carbon 420 ppm level, our atmospheric carbon level is about 155% greater than the humanity-thriving atmospheric carbon level of 270 ppm.

How much higher does this percentage of atmospheric carbon have to rise beyond the last known safe level of carbon 350 ppm, before we collectively realize we are in a apidly approaching mass to near-total extinction grave danger? 

In many ways, from the climate facts above, it is not difficult to see that in this runaway global heating extinction emergency, humanity is racing at 80 miles an hour toward a steep cliff and a massive drop off. To make things worse, the fog on this fossil fuel abuse highway is so dense that one can barely see the road 10 feet ahead. Moreover, the map humanity is using does not show exactly where this dangerous climate cliff even is. And finally, no single "person" is driving the climate car racing toward the cliff. 

It only looks like someone is driving the car and managing the global heating emergency This "no real single driver" factor is because the IPCC and the UN has no verification, enforcement, or punishment authority over any nation of the United Nations and and current disagreements between the many UN nations on what is necessary to fix the runaway global heating issue. To make matters worse, many of those UN nations are entirely or primarily dependent on continuing to produce and sell vast amounts fossil fuels for their own ongoing survival.

From the above, one can see that allowing an atmospheric carbon level of 425-450 ppm ever to be reached is humanity playing with fire in a room full of gas fumes. Humanity is betting the house (in this case the near-total extinction of humanity) that nonexistent or insufficient greenhouse gas remedial or removal "new technologies" will somehow save them at the last minute.

No matter how you look at it, our governments have put us at a completely immoral and insane global risk level. We are already living far, far beyond the highest possible rational level of collective extinction risk. In fact, humanity is already extinction unsafe.

 

 

 

The good news is if we are very, very fortunate, we may have another 2 to 8 years before crossing over the survival-critical 425-450 ppm threshold and into the next even worse level of runaway global warming where global heating and the extinction emergency goes out of our control for centuries to millenia. 

Our governments are at the last warning and opportunity to act! 

Our governments have already squandered six decades of climate change and global heating warnings. Over the last six decades, ineffective global heating actions by our governments have now ensured we have and will cross critical climate tipping points causing that about half of humanity will perish by mid-century.

Our governments get us close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, or we face near-total extinction.

If our governments successfully act on the runaway global heating emergency, much more of humanity will survive. And, if not, few individuals would ever want to exist in the over-heated world we would leave them. 

Enjoy your life each day and the relative remaining climate stability while we still have it. Fixing our current climate nightmare is far from guaranteed. If we miss our last-chance opportunity to prevent near-total extinction, we can at least hope to slow the climate nightmare down so more people can survive longer and more comfortably. 

"The runaway global heating emergency extinction risk level is so high that it is comparable to our governments playing Russian roulette with a gun where every revolver chamber has a bullet in it, and every bullet is an extinction-accelerating tipping point or amplifying climate feedback loop." Lawrence Wollersheim

 

So, the only remaining questions are:

What will you do to save yourself, your loved ones and your business? 

How long before the actions causing global warming and climate change are recognized as serious crimes and prosecuted worldwide?

What will you do to push your local, regional and national governments to meet the survival-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets? And, 

How long before the largest fossil fuel polluters destroying the lives and stability of humanity will be prosecuted for their genocidal and biocidal crimes against humanity and all other life forms?

 

 

But, there is still time to volunteer, make a meaningful difference, and save the future as a climate change educator or activist. Click here to learn more.

 

Your three Step Call to Realistic Hope and Action

Step 1: please help share the above critical climate facts with everyone who also needs to know about the runaway global heating extinction emergency.

It is beyond grossly unfair and utterly wrong that the older generations have left this unconscionable climate legacy for Generations X, Y, and Z. Please pass these climate facts to Generations X, Y, and Z so that they start making the needed adaptations to extend their lives as long as possible. Of course, the older generations will also be affected. Still, Generations X, Y, Z (and A) will bear the shortest lifespans, the worst suffering, the biggest financial losses, and the most deaths. 

 

 

Please share these critical climate change and runaway global heating facts everywhere, especially with other worldwide climate and environmental organization executives! Then, maybe they will finally start calling climate change what it is, a runaway global heating extinction emergency. Perhaps, they will finally get serious about forcing our governments to get as close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets so we might yet be able to prevent near-total extinction. 

Please take one more step to ensuring a safer world for all. Sign your personal climate action pledge by clicking here. 

 

 

 

Step 2Please click this link and make a pledge to start the actions needed to protect yourself, humanity, and all life on Earth from runaway global heating.

 

 

 

 

Step 3. Click the image below and begin the Job One for Humanity, Plan B for fixing and surviving the Climate Change and Runaway Global Heating.

"No program that claims to have a solution to climate change and global heating can not be called legitimate unless it is designed and prioritized around knowing when a global heating-driven near-total extinction event will probably occur, how it will occur, and what must be done when to prevent that outcome. The Job One for Humanity four-part program relentlessly follows this critical priority path and deadline policy." Lawrence Wollersheim

To start Plan B, click here or click the image below.

 

 

 

 


Receive Our Free Climate Change & Runaway Global Heating Updates!

 

Why does our independent climate change think tank provide the above and below uncensored climate information?

Because we firmly believe you:

  1. Have a right to have the same climate change information quietly being given exclusively to the world's wealthiest individuals and corporations by their expensive and highly-secretive risk analysis firms. 
  2. Have a legitimate and inalienable right to the same uncensored climate change life and death-related information that privileged individuals within the government, military, and intelligence agencies have been briefed on. 
  3. Have the same right to have the same life-and-death advanced warnings about coming climate change catastrophes as those in privileged positions. 
  4. Have the same right to prepare your loved ones for the many now unavoidable climate change consequences. You also have the same right to protect your assets, just as the wealthy, the military, and the politically privileged are quietly doing now. And you,
  5. Have the right to be treated as a mature adult citizen who can (and has) successfully dealt with difficult news so that you have adequate time to respond and manage it.

Our climate change think tank is tired of seeing ordinary citizens, and the poor consistently suffer the greatest climate change-related losses and deaths. They suffer these losses and deaths significantly because they do not have the same access to uncensored climate change information that is first discreetly given to the privileged, wealthy, and high-level government members. Please keep reading if you believe that access to accurate, uncensored climate change information should be equally available to everyone.

 

If you are interested in understanding the science and analysis procedures we used to present the above information, click here for a technical explanation of our climate research process.

 

Additional Helpful Climate Change Facts

1: Our governments have squandered six decades in delays and self-deception by not fixing our climate change and global heating emergency. In this expanded section below, you will discover the many reasons for our politicians' and governments' gross, dangerous, and immoral failure.

(In this expanded section and links for this issue, you will discover why the global fossil fuel reduction numbers are consistently grossly underestimated and the climate consequence prediction dates are consistently overestimated. This inaccurate information is provided to the world by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC.)

In addition to the decades of well-funded fossil fuel industry global disinformation and misinformation programs, our runaway global heating emergency has been made far more difficult to resolve because of the ongoing gross underestimation and politicization of climate science by the government-trusted Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the United Nations (the IPCC.) 

Yes, the physical cause of runaway global heating is indeed our global burning of fossil fuels. And yes, over the last six decades, the 28 trillion dollar-a-year fossil fuel industry and its lobbyists have subjected the world's politicians to the most potent disinformation and influence campaign in history. Their program was designed to prevent or limit regulations that would reduce global fossil fuel use. But, there is another government-supported organization that, because we have always trusted it and its climate summary reports, is also a dominant reason for our ongoing failures to mobilize the world to demand the end of fossil fuels. 

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is currently the most widely recognized and relied upon authority for climate change data. Every world government, major corporation, and NGO relies on these climate summary reports for planning their required fossil fuel reductions.

But there is a massive problem with the IPCC's climate summary reports. For decades, the IPCC has allowed its top administrators to underestimate, politicize and distort the underlying climate science and research of thousands of dedicated volunteer climate scientists.

This politicization of climate science has resulted in the public being given grossly underestimated climate change consequences, time frames, and required corrective actions. Furthermore, this gross underestimation has resulted in the general public being unaware of the seriousness and extreme urgency of the soon-arriving new levels of climate and global heating threat to their lives and businesses. 

But why would the IPCC's top administrators grossly underestimate the global heating threat and its remedies and do such a harmful thing to the future of humanity and the peoples of the world? 


The IPCC's top administrators did this because of the overwhelming:

a. political pressure from those corporations and nations with the most to gain by not reducing fossil fuel use, and

b. ongoing United Nations and IPCC funding denial threats from fossil fuel producing and fossil fuel-dependent countries.

The wealthiest fossil fuel producers, fossil fuel-dependent nations, and industries lobbied hard and long to "convince" these IPCC administrators they needed to "tone down" their climate facts to approve their "softer" climate summary reports. 

The political pressure to underestimate the climate problem and its solutions was orchestrated under the guise of toning down the climate facts in order not to create widespread public fear or panic. But, the real reason for the relentless political pressure on the IPCC's administrators to underestimate their climate summary reports was always to allow fossil fuel producers and fossil fuel-dependent nations and industries to continue doing "business as usual" and profiting. These nations and industries did not want an informed public to initiate a massive public outcry demanding the appropriate, huge, and immediate global fossil fuel reductions. 

Nothing would be worse for the worldwide fossil fuel empire than if the public knew just how dire, immediate, and deadly the climate and runaway global heating extinction emergency really was and how soon it would get far worse. 

Can you imagine what would happen if the worldwide general public understood what it meant to already be in an accelerating runaway global heating extinction emergency where about half of humanity unavoidably will be dead by mid-century? 

Why the IPCC's gross underestimation problem is important to you

1. If the world is grossly deceived about how bad the runaway global heating extinction emergency really is, it is unlikely the world will demand its governments and politicians make the needed changes to save humanity from it. 

2. The IPCC's gross underestimation issue presents an immense danger to the world's governments, intelligence agencies, national reserve banks, major corporations, media, risk assessment firms, hedge funds, investment bankers, and insurance companies. They run the world, and they all use the IPCC's grossly underestimated climate change and global heating summary reports for their future climate change planning and consequence strategies. This widespread use of this seriously unreliable climate prediction and remedial information means these entities and the rest of us are in for a massive and continuous series of painful and expensive climate change and global heating consequences, surprises, and shocks.

The IPCC has also organized or coordinated many international climate conferences. These climate conferences have produced scores of unenforceable and unverifiable international climate change reduction agreements. Unfortunately, these agreements have ALL failed to remove or even lessen the runaway global heating extinction threat.

The following graph shows the continuous failure of the IPCC and its climate conferences, as shown in the ever-rising carbon ppm amounts in the illustration below. 

 

 

If we are ever going to prevent or slow down the runaway global heating extinction emergency, we have to do something different. We will have to quickly:

1. get different, better qualified, and better-funded organizations to take over the IPCC climate science analysis and summary reporting responsibilities.

2. create some new form of global climate governance. This new global climate governance would also need to have the powers of enforcement and verification on all new international climate agreements.

Runaway global heating is a global problem. Therefore, its solution must also be globally enforceable. But, without a valid mechanism for global climate law-making, governance, and enforcement, each nation will fight for national advantage, stall the changes, or cheat on its fossil fuel reductions, so what's needed to fix runaway global heating never gets done.

The distorted and politicized IPCC climate summary reports have created a grossly false sense of climate safety and climate security in the general public. The general public still widely believes that climate change and global heating won't be that bad, its most harmful consequences are a long, long way off in the future, and they have no grasp of the soon-arriving, global heating-fueled processes of mass starvation and mass extinction. Most of the public has been lulled into climate inaction by the highly compromised IPCC.

As a good general IPCC climate information discounting operating principle... 

whenever you hear about an IPCC administrator-politicized climate change and global heating summary report, you would be wise to treat it as 20-40% worse than they are saying and arriving 20-40% sooner than they are saying. 

For example, the IPCC has said we could have as much as 6 feet of sea-level rise by 2100. However, using the fossil fuel industry interference discount, we are far more likely to get 7-8 feet sometime around 2070. 

Likewise, the IPCC has predicted a possible 1-2-foot sea-level rise by 2050, which actually means we will more likely experience three or more feet of sea-level rise by 2040. Many coastal communities think they can build massive sea walls and escape sea-level rise flooding. However, the previous IPCC sea-level estimates do not include the total sea level reaching their shores. (The IPCC sea-level rise estimates do not include those rare occurrences where the tidal surge from a major storm happens at the same time as the maximum tide phenomenon called a King tide, which often occurs around the full moon.)

2. The best informed worldwide insurance companies are aware of these coming climate change conditions and they are quickly raising their prices and adapting their policies to eliminate climate change's accelerating financial losses, especially in high-risk areas. 

Please see this new article for more about the avalanche of climate change-related insurance cancellations, denials, and soaring rates for homes, businesses, mortgages, and crop failure insurance.

 

For answers to all of your remaining questions about climate change and global warming click here for our new climate change FAQ. It has over one hundred of the most asked questions and answers about climate change.


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  • Igor Li
  • Tannia Falconer
    commented 2022-06-10 22:23:40 -0700
    If this text above comes from “science persons”, why is it so hard to stop the official narrative about the main causes of climate change? Why is there so much hesitancy and fear to talk about the real primary cause of climate change?? Are political and economic pressure more important than life itself? Or is it a massive cognitive dissonance that prevents us from addressing the issue?

    There’s no time left to keep talking about the same supposed causes we have talked about for decades. Nothing has changed and nothing will change until we address the elephant in the room.

    ANIMAL BASED DIETS (death diets), mainly in the countries with highest GDP (coincidence?), are the cause of the chaos we have headed since the Bruntland Report was issued 35 years ago.

     It has been scientifically proven, shown, written by academics and experts for decades now, that the best way to radically reduce greenhouse gas emissions and thus stop climate change from going in the same path, reverse and stop deforestation, biodiversity loss, soil loss, water pollution, restore 3/4 of the agricultural land used now to feed animals for human consumption, reverse the most damaging chronic diseases in humans and stop the unethical and immoral raising and killing of trillions of animals per year (for pleasure and money, not for need), is to TRANSITION TO PLANT BASED DIETS. (https://ourworldindata.org/land-use-dietshttps://sentientmedia.org/the-climate-crisis-secret/https://climatenexus.org/climate-issues/food/animal-agricultures-impact-on-climate-change/; https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31728489/https://www.fao.org/3/a0701e/a0701e.pdf; https://www.drmcdougall.com/newsletters/a-healthy-vegan-diet-can-save-our-planet/;

    Why is it so hard for all the “experts”, environmentalists, ecologists and “climate changers” to accept this? Do they find it so hard to transform themselves that they rather evade talking about this topic? (More cognitive dissonance) Why is pleasure and money more important than planet Earth and the non human (and human) species?

    This is what the main focus and efforts should be placed on. The rest are patches and we have seen it for over 50 years. Let’s take deeper action by going vegan now! (or at least start with plant based).
  • Richard Mercer
    commented 2022-04-18 17:40:22 -0700
    I do not like all the talk on the internet saying we shouldn’t depend on technology fixes. This is wrong. We have tools now, to get much of the way there, or most of the way. Solar, Wind, geothermal, and energy storage are the Only things that will make a big enough dent in CO2 emissions fast enough and cheap enough.
    There has been too much exaggeration and misinformation about the environmental impacts of these. Michael Moore’s movie is chock full of disinformation about renewable energy and EVs, pathetically so.
    I understand about reducing consumption and all that, and population size. But it will take time we don’t have, if we think those are the only solutions. It would take generations to reduce population or even stop its growth. And it will take time to change how people think about consumption. I live a pretty simple life, drive only about 5,000 miles a year, buy very few consumer products, compared with most Americans and rejected materialism nearly 50 years ago.

    Yes the IPCC has been too conservative, but the real problem is the massive PR campaign of disinformation funded by the fossil fuels industry and its allies.
    Not to mention the dumbing down of nearly half the U.S. population by Fox News, Rush Limbaugh, all the other alternate reality media outlets that conservatives pay attention to almost exclusively. I’ve been debunking climate change deniers on the internet for years, and for most of them, I might as well be talking to a sidewalk, or a 4th grader. It’s a national embarrassment.
  • Frank De Munter
    followed this page 2021-12-17 09:44:32 -0800
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