(If you do not clearly understand what global warming is or how it works, we strongly advise you click here first to learn about it and then continue with the rest of this document.
The brief Climageddon Scenario overview and illustrations below are from the new book: Climageddon, The Global Warming Emergency and How to Survive it. For the details documenting this material get the book.)
What is the Climageddon Scenario
The Climageddon Scenario is a new global warming prediction model to help individuals visualize a 6 phase process of escalating global warming as one interconnected whole as well as one interdependent and continually evolving climate, biological geological and human system. In a way never seen before, it sequences and integrates the most important global warming consequences and tipping points into a new and more useful timeframe and consequence prediction model.
Understanding the already-in-progress progression of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario is life-critical for any individual, organization, or nation that takes planning for their physical and financial security and future seriously. It is also crucial to anyone involved in:
personal, financial or security mid- to long-range planning,
city, corporate, or national mid- to long-range planning,
planning, financing, or building mid- to long-term infrastructure such as highways, water treatment or sewage plants, power plants, transfer stations, power lines, hospitals, government buildings, manufacturing facilities, military bases, corporate headquarters, real estate developments, and telecommunications facilities.
insurance risk or threat assessment,
The Climageddon Scenario's later phases unfold with high probability (phases 3, 4 and 5 below) once global warming has reached irreversibility in phase 2. (Irreversible global warming has a precise description and set of consequences. Click here to review exactly what irreversible global warming means for your future.)
Understanding the Climageddon Scenario will help you to see our current escalating global warming emergency as a holistic gestalt. (A gestalt in holism is the idea that the properties of natural systems should also be viewed as an interconnected, interdependent unified whole and not simply as collections of, or summations of, separate non-interdependent or interconnected parts.)
Please also keep in mind that the temperature, atmosheric carbon levels in parts per million (ppm,) as well as loss/cost levels described for each phase of the scenario are not hard and rigid boundaries, but are boundary ranges designed to help you think about a set of related consequences and their intensities associated with that phase of the scenario.
Breaking down the three levels of consequence and tipping point interactions which create the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario.
The interactions of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario are incredibly complex. In order to help the reader cut through this complexity, we have provided the following three illustrations.
When you are reading the three levels of interaction behind the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario, imagine you are looking at the assembly of all of the necessary elements to construct level by level and piece by piece, the perfect storm of perfect storms! Furthermore, unless we make radical changes immediately, the perfect storm of global warming consequences and tipping points interacting on all of the three levels illustrated in this section will create a cascading collective meltdown of continuous catastrophes, which will eventually crash economic markets, collapse governments and bring civilization as we know it today to an near complete end.
Illustration #1 of the Climageddon Scenario: Global Warming Consequences
In illustration one below, many things are happening simultaneously. First, it shows an overview of the key consequences of escalating global warming as global warming intensifies. Next, through the dotted lines interconnecting all of the listed consequences, it draws attention to the important fact that these consequences do not operate separately from each other. They interact!
In most cases, when any one of these global warming consequences (i.e. flooding, wildfires, drought, sea level rise due to melting sea ice and glaciers etc.) increases in frequency, severity, or scale, they begin interacting with one or more of the other consequences, making them more frequent, severe, and larger in scale as these consequences interact between themselves in positive feedback loops.
Now imagine that as global warming continues to intensify, these collective consequences increase once again to an even higher level of frequency, severity, and scale. Once again these consequences will begin interacting with more and more of the other consequences making the rest of the consequences intensify and occur more frequently, be more severe and also cover larger areas. In other words, when one escalates, it tends to trigger other consequences to do the same. Eventually so many of them will be interacting in a positive feedback loop that we will be facing ecological and climate chaos.
Illustration #2 of the Climageddon Scenario: Crossed Biological, Geological and Climate Tipping Points
In illustration two, the key biological, geological and climate tipping points of escalating global warming are listed. The dotted and interconnecting lines through all these tipping points graphically show that they do not stand alone or operate separately from each other. For instance, ocean heating (E) is caused by increased atmospheric temperature. Enough ocean heating triggers a plankton dying tipping point and then increased melting sea ice, methane releases from the ocean bottom and water vapor increases to name only a few of its interactions with other tipping points.
When any one of these global warming tipping points are crossed, they can, and usually do cross over and begin interacting with one or more of the other tipping points, making those other tipping points more likely to cross their own internal tipping points in a positive feedback loop of tipping points feeding and interacting off of and with each other.
Now imagine as global warming continues to intensify not just one or two of these tipping points will be crossed, but many of them will be crossed. As these tipping points begin interacting and collapsing into each other, they literally ensure that many more tipping points will be crossed!
Illustration #3 of the Climageddon Scenario: Human System Tipping Points
Illustration three shows the key human system tipping points that will be dramatically affected as more global warming consequences occur and intensify and, as more global warming tipping points are crossed in biological, geological and climate systems.
The arrowed lines between the four key human system tipping points below show that these tipping points involved in human systems also do not stand alone or operate separately from each other or from the biological, geological or climate tipping points listed in illustration 2 above. Unfortunately, these human system tipping points also interact in deadly positive feedback loops.
As global warming continues to intensify, so will the likelihood of war, political financial and social collapse. When too many human system tipping points have been crossed, we will face levels of system failure and collapse unlike anything seen in history.
The above is how the perfect storm of perfect storms known as the Climageddon Scenario unfolds. When you begin viewing the Climageddon Scenario model as an integrated climate, human, and biological super system, as well as seeing it from a meta-systemic perspective, you will also discover:
a. new critical relationships between climate, human, biological and geological systems and processes,
b. new qualifying and conditioning climate, human, biological and geological contexts, and finally,
c. new phase-by-phase catastrophic interactions magnifying the transformations of interconnected and interdependent climate, human, biological and geological system consequences and tipping points that will dramatically worsen our lives.
What people do not easily grasp about the Climageddon Scenario is, that it is not just how bad the individual effects of the various consequences and tipping points will be. It is not even how bad the collective and/or cumulative effects of the various consequences and tipping points will be.
What they do not easily realize is that --- it is the total synergetic effect, which is far more than the sum of global warming's consequence or tipping point component parts, which creates a cascading consequence and tipping point meltdown and multiplies the threat and risk levels to such a point that once understood, no rational person would ever allow the Climageddon Scenario to unfold past the later part of phase 1.
Where are we now?
Carbon parts per million (ppm) in the atmosphere is the best measurement how bad things are. As of December, 2017 we are somewhere near carbon 411 ppm. Geologically safe levels of atmospheric carbon for humanity to flourish would be closer to 270 ppm.
As you can see from the chart below we are way out of the safe zone already. At carbon 500 ppm the geologic record has repeatedly shown that all ice on earth will begin a melting process that will be irreversible for hundreds to thousands of years. The result of all ice melting on earth will be an increase in sea level rise of about 320-340 feet.
Seeing the risk levels of the Climageddon Scenario using traditional risk assessment scales.
The illustration below shows the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario in relation to traditional threats and risk assessment scales. The three scales used below are the Torino approaching asteroid scale, the US Homeland Security risk evaluation scale and the US military Defcon scale.
Click here for what you can do to get prepared for the coming global warming catastrophes.
Click here to learn more about our current state of irreversible global warming.
There is far more information about the escalating warming emergency in the new Climageddon book. Get your copy now!
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