The Climate Change and Global Heating Doomsday Clock below was once again updated on August 15, 2022.
In this article you will discover:
1. why there is a unique doomsday clock only for the climate change issue,
2. how global warming is pushing us quickly toward mass human extinction, global collapse, and the Sixth Great Extinction Event of Earth's history,
3. why there is only 3-9 years left (2025-2031) to fix global warming to prevent total human extinction,
4. a comprehensive plan for what governments can do to help prevent human extinction while there is still time left,
5. an emergency PLAN B personal preparation and adaption plan if we fail to get close to the survival-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and
6. a well-needed section of good news and surprising benefits that we can obtain these benefits if we work together to prevent the Global Warming Doomsday Clock from ever reaching 12 o clock at midnight on December 31, 2025.
The Climate Change Doomsday Clock
When you finish reading this article, you will know for yourself why we have entered into the era of Mutually Assured Climate Extinction (MACE).
How to read the Climate Change Doomsday Clock
Almost everyone has heard about the Doomsday Clock created by a group of nuclear scientists not long after the advent of dropping the first atomic bomb on Japan in 1945. The goal of this first nuclear scientist's Doomsday Clock was to warn the world and to quantify and timeline how close we were to nuclear war, human extinction, and our doomsday.
The goal of the Climate Change Doomsday Clock is similar. It was created to warn the world and to quantify the timeline for how close we are to a global warming-accelerated human extinction event and doomsday. A new Doomsday Clock was needed for managing the great disruptor and threat multiplier of global warming.
The Climate Change Doomsday Clock (above) illustrates just how close we are today to an extinction doomsday scenario caused by accelerating global warming. The 12 o clock midnight position (the year 2025) on the Doomsday Clock (above) marks the point where Nature's over-powering processes within the climate system will have technically and mathematically removed us from meaningful control over our global warming future.
How the Climate Change Doomsday Clock Was Update for August 15, 2022
The Climate Change Doomsday Clock has just moved another year closer to the 2025 tipping point. We have about three years left to make massive, painful, and near-impossible global fossil fuel use reductions needed to prevent our mass extinction.
We have had to update and move up the time on our previous 2021 version of the Climate Change Doomsday Clock because of:
1. The Thwaites "doomsday glacier" is now predicted to collapse within 3-5 years of 2022. Click here to learn the cataclysmic and near-immediate global coastal damage its collapse will cause when the sea level rises 2-3 feet.
2. A recent 2022 study has revealed that the Artic is not heating twice as fast as the rest of the world but four times as fast. (Click here for more about this study.) And,
3. The ongoing gross failure of world governments to reach or even come close to the real and honest 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Unfortunately, at this time, it is now a mathematical and political near-impossibility to reach these required 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
The main consequence of this new reality is that all we can hope to do now is slow the unthinkable process of about half of humanity dying by mid-century. Yes, you read that right.
We can no longer prevent a die-off of about half of humankind by mid-century! For the last 60+ years, we have repeatedly ignored the dire fossil fuel reduction warnings by our best climate scientists.
(You can click here to see 20+ reasons why the die-off of much of humanity by mid-century is now mathematically, economically, and politically unpreventable and unavoidable.)
But there is also far worse news!
Unless we at least, come close to the now required 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, humanity will face near-total extinction beginning as soon as or before 2070. (Click here for an explanation why we only face near-total extinction and not total extinction.)
In the sections or links below, you will find sequenced global warming consequences, processes, critical relationships, contexts, and catastrophic transformations that will occur in the global warming doomsday scenario. (Also known as the Climageddon Scenario.)
If we do not act now, these global warming consequences will lead us up to and beyond 12 o clock midnight (2025) on the updated Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock. To prevent locking in total human extinction, we must get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets before the end of 2025!
If we do not come close to these 2025 global reduction targets, we will go over the climate cliff. Once this climate cliff threshold is crossed, many additional global warming extinction-triggering tipping points will be crossed.
If we miss the correct 2025 targets and we cross over additional critical global warming tipping points, the systems and subsystems of our climate will seize control from us. This loss of control will be due to the immutable laws of atmospheric physics. These laws directly relate to the amount of fossil fuel carbon pollution that we have put into our atmosphere since the beginning of the industrial revolution.
Worse yet, if we go over the climate cliff, there will be a massive doomsday meltdown of global warming consequences mixed with the consequences of the 11 other major global crises. (The 11 other global crises will be described further down this page.)
The global warming climate cliff is delineated by reaching the level of 425 parts per million (ppm) of carbon particles in our atmosphere. Once we cross that carbon 425 ppm climate cliff and tipping point, the forces of Nature take over to such a level, we become all but impotent "back seat passengers" riding helplessly in the global vehicle we call Earth.
The core message of the Climate Change Doomsday Clock update is simple. The battle to prevent the die-off of much of humanity by 2050 has been lost. We are now fighting to prevent total human extinction beginning as soon as or before 2070!
To prevent total human extinction we at least have to get close to the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. You will find all the details on why this harsh reality is true below.
(For more about the climate cliff tipping point and other accelerated extinction-insuring tipping points, click this page.)
In 2022, now time to realize with the horrendous failure of the Glasgow COP 26th climate conference, we have fully entered the era of Mutually Assured Climate Extinction (aka MACE). (For more information on how we failed in 26 climate conferences and have entered into the era of Mutually Assured Climate Extinction, click here.)
The new and updated Climate Change Doomsday Clock is our near-total extinction "wake up" call
As of Jan, 2022, we are currently at about 420 parts per million (ppm) of carbon in our atmosphere. This carbon 420 level is well above the already hazardous carbon 405 ppm level. The carbon 405 ppm level is the last level that would have kept our eventual average global temperature from rising to and above 2 degrees C.
As you see from the graph below, we are in (and for a long time have been in) deep, deep trouble. Yet, our leaders still seem to be avoiding the bitter realities of the global warming emergency and making the needed global fossil fuel reductions.
We are a long, long way from meeting the yearly global fossil fuel reduction levels that all developed countries (including China and India) must meet for each year until the global 2025 deadline.
This means if we don't "wake up" and we continue using fossil fuel as we currently are, the global fossil fuel reduction amounts that we must meet by 2025 will need to be considerably higher to make up for the many previously missed annual targets.
The required higher targets for 2021-to 2025 will be nearly unbearable and beyond extremely difficult to meet.
Why do we have only until 2025 to prevent a global warming doomsday and Climageddon?
There are three reasons why we have only a few more years left to meet the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save the world from triggering an unavoidable near-total extinction process. Those three reasons are:
If we fail to come close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, global temperatures will continue to rise faster and faster, and we will not be able to stop ourselves from crossing over more of the four extinction-triggering global warming tipping points. The first two (or three) of these tipping points sit at the threshold needed to initiate first a mass human, animal, and biological extinction process, which will be out of our control, and which, will kill much of humanity by mid-century through mass starvation, resource conflicts, and these 20 other consequences.
Worse yet, if we fail to come close to the 2025 targets, we initiate the unstoppable processes of near-total extinction.
To verify Reason 1 is scientifically valid, please read the following documentation and analysis:
Click here to read about how and when the four extinction-evoking global warming tipping points will occur. This extinction tipping point page provides the critical science on how we already moving too close to going over four extinction-evoking global warming tipping points.
Crossing the fourth and last tipping point will lead to what is called runaway global heating, near-total extinction vs. mass extinction and a doomsday beyond our worst religious predictions and prophecies. (Runaway global warming is where the average global temperature keeps rising until Earth's atmosphere is ripped off into space like what is believed to have happened on Venus.)
Click here to read about the necessary 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets for all nations. In general, all developed nations have to reduce their total fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025. Underdeveloped nations, which did not cause most of the current global warming emergency, have lower targets. Lower targets for underdeveloped nations are both morally just and fair since they played a far, far smaller part in creating the current global warming extinction emergency.
Most people do not understand that our climate system has dominant momentum factors already built into it. This accumulating past momentum is so strong that what we do today to reduce global fossil fuel use will not show up in results (like average global temperature reduction) for about 20-30 more years. We are dealing with the global warming momentum problem because, in part, we have ignored 35 years of global warming warnings by our best climate scientists.
We should have begun significantly reducing global fossil fuel use 35 years ago. Having ignored those many and extensive warnings, to save ourselves from a Climageddon Extinction Scenario running its full course to runaway global warming, we now have only until 2025 to reach the very difficult 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
The accelerating global warming emergency is not taking place in a vacuum. There are many other global challenges getting worse and making global warming worse. The world is dealing with 11 other major global crises (described below) that provide a powerful interactive, inter-connected, and inter-dependent transformational context in which the accelerating global warming emergency is occurring.
These 11 other global crises will accelerate many of the worst global warming consequences (also described further below.) Simultaneously, the accelerating global warming emergency will also multiply or amplify many of the worst consequences of these 11 other major global crises.
Because of the negative consequences of how all of these global crises will feed into each other, once we go over the 2025 global warming Climate Cliff, we will make most of humanity's 11 other global challenges so much worse that humanity's survival is highly unlikely. If we do not come close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, what we will face is the eventual complete extinction of humanity and the total collapse of our global civilization within a matter of 3-5 decades.
Here are today's 12 most dangerous global crises fueling the high likelihood of the first great global collapse in human history. When you are reading them think about how they can and will also affect each other as they worsen:
Global Crises and Challenge 1: Ever-rising over-population, the Earth has the carrying capacity for about 1and 1/2 billion to 2 billion people maximum as shown in the illustration below. On average, about 141 million people are born every year, and 50 million people a year normally die.
We are currently at near 8 billion people racing to 9.8 billion by or before 2050. (Please click this carrying capacity link for more about why our beyond carrying capacity and rapidly rising overpopulation challenge is extremely dangerous to everyone's future.)
Even though we are far, far over sustainable population levels already, no government other than China seems willing to set human reproduction policy! Future and current generations will suffer unthinkable catastrophes because, as humanity, we failed to manage the size of our global population to match the sustainable carrying capacity of our global environment and the Earth's available resources.
Overpopulation and its inherent over-consumption beyond our carrying capacity is a core major cause behind today's global warming emergency. Furthermore, as the global population continues to rise, the additional population serves to further amplify and multiply the most harmful consequences of almost all the other 11 global challenges below. This is particularly true for global resource depletion (Global Crisis and Challenge 2) aka global resources overshoot.
Overpopulation also greatly worsens the many primary and secondary global warming consequences further down this page. (For a candid and balanced article on the immense suffering caused by our overpopulation global challenge, please see this article, Population, the Great Knee-Jerker: A Holistic Survey and Plea to Reduce Suffering.)
Global Crises and Challenge 2: Over-consumption causing ever-rising global resource depletion. This overconsumption is also known as global resources overshoot.) This overshoot is driven first by overpopulation in relation to the carrying capacity of the land and sea acreage available for a given population.
Overshoot also manifests itself in the consequent toxic pollution of water, lands, and air, crop failures, overfishing, topsoil loss, resource distribution injustice, and the massive "overconsumption and waste" of the Earth's very finite resources and its limited carrying capacity. In addition to the many crop-failing consequences of global warming, global resource depletion itself will significantly increase food shortages and cause soaring food prices leading to mass starvation and mass migrations.
For example, the following are estimates of when only a few of our critical global resources will be depleted:
freshwater in 12 years (2032),
fish stocks will be almost totally gone by 2050,
adequate topsoil for crop growing gone by 2070.
(See this page to see 90 percent of fish stock already overfished and to see charts on how this loss will throw much of the world into starvation.) Of particular concern is the depletion of phosphorous critically needed for crop fertilizers. Adequate access to this could run out in as little as 35-45 years.
If you still do not believe that resource depletion and overshoot of our carrying capacity is a huge problem. Watch this fantastic resource overshoot video with great graphics and global resource depletion amounts and time frames in simple illustrations by Hugh Montgomery, a noted English professor. (We strongly recommend you watch this video for all of the food and non-food resources that are in an accelerating depletion adding to the mass starvation peril. [Forward the video to the 10 minutes and 30-second mark to begin watching Professor Hugh Montgomery's compelling graphic presentation.])
There are also many other critical mineral and non-mineral resources that will also run out soon, click here for more about these. After overpopulation which is a main amplifier of global resource depletion, overshoot is considered by most experts to be the key major cause behind or feeding global warming and almost all of our other 11 global crises listed below.
Global Crises and Challenge 3: escalating pollution of lands, air, and waters. Ongoing and accelerating toxic pollution kills crops, fish stocks, and poisons our air, water, and soil creating and accelerating all types of global health, social, and economic problems. (Ocean heating and ocean acidification from carbon from global warming will eventually kill off much of the oceans' oxygen-producing plankton. These plankton are responsible for as much as 50% of all oxygen produced on the planet.)
Pollution from micro-plastics in the air, water, soil, and food chain and the new presence of the everywhere PFAS "forever chemicals" are deeply concerning for our future. Future generations, with their accelerated cancer and other pollution-related disease rates, will cause them to curse us because of our greed and incompetence in failing to regulate micro-plastic and PFAS production.
Global Crises and Challenge 4: loss of biodiversity, we are having more plants and animals go extinct than at any other time in human history. This is due to an ongoing and accelerating loss of natural habitat due to overpopulation, global warming, overuse, pollution, etc. (Leading Stanford University biologists, who were first to reveal that we are already experiencing the sixth mass extinction on Earth, released new research this week showing species extinctions are accelerating in an unprecedented manner, which may be another tipping point for the collapse of human civilization.)
This biodiversity is critical because it supports or is an essential part of our critical food chains.
Global Crises and Challenge 5: Resolving the current COVID global pandemic beyond just within the wealthiest nations!
Because of a continuous chain of emerging new Covid mutations in all global populations that remain unvaccinated, the COVID-19 pandemic is estimated to continue globally until mid to late 2023 to 2025. It will take at least that long until most of the world's population is vaccinated or until a "herd immunity" is developed.
Worse yet, it is estimated we will have a new global pandemic threat about every 5-10 years because of the direct and indirect consequences of rising global warming. (Most people have no idea that pandemics and epidemics are also the part of the predicted "normal" results of the escalating global warming emergency.)
Directly and indirectly, the severe loss of natural wild animal habitat caused by global warming, the eating more wild and non-domesticated animals, and the exploding of hungry world populations crowding into urban areas will be a continuous contributing or the prime cause of new zoological Covid-like diseases crossing over from animal populations into human populations and becoming pandemics.
Pandemics, like COVID-19, Ebola, MERS, and SARS have occurred about every ten years from each other over the last decades. These diseases will continue to happen regularly or will be exacerbated by the accelerating global warming emergency. (The many other reasons why accelerating global warming will create more regular global pandemics and epidemics are listed in this eye-opening article.)
Global Crisis and Challenge 6: increasing global economic instabilities that lead to the first global or multinational recession or depression. (These new monster recessions and depressions could be fueled by escalating national debt and deficits, using exotic new investment vehicles like the deregulated hedge fund trading with derivatives that "gamed the system" in the 2008 economic crash.
The first real global depression or recession could also occur sooner than we are prepared for due to bursting balloons in new real estate or commodities, new challenges to the US currency continuing as the world's reserve currency, lack of adequate national financial reserves, low financial system resilience, hidden pre-existing global economic system weaknesses, new and unexpected major economic shocks (like a new COVID mutation, new military conflicts, escalating and costly global warming catastrophes or even some unforeseen risk from the rising global use and speculation on cryptocurrencies.
Suppose any of the above (or other currently unknown major financial risks) hit our multinational or global economic systems with sufficient intensity. In that case, we will experience our first true global depression or recession, where almost every nation will share the same painful levels of economic depression or recession. Our national, multinational and global financial systems are much more vulnerable and fragile than we are being led to believe.
Global Crises and Challenge 7: growing economic inequality, social and racial injustice, hunger, and poverty. Today less than 1% of the world's population owns more than 50% of all wealth. Over the last several decades, this ownership percentage continues to grow in favor of the wealthy.
Growing economic inequality and poverty often increase food shortages and often cause food prices to soar leading once again to mass starvation and mass migrations. This year (2020,) 130 million people are lacking adequate food and could starve to death. COVID-19's effect on the world economy could double that number in the next few years. Over the following decades, global warming consequences will raise that number into the hundreds of millions eventually rising well past a billion.)
Global Crises and Challenge 8: Escalating local, regional, and international criminality, conflicts, terrorism, and war. Expect these population-destabilizing security and stability threats to increase in their intensity, frequency, and scale. This threat escalation will occur from the urban and rural local levels to regional and international levels.
Vastly increased levels of survival-driven criminality, conflicts, terrorism, and war will be due to the world experiencing almost all of the global challenges on this page getting steadily worse. Global nuclear war or widespread chemical or biological war is also a real and escalating threat as most of the global challenges on this page worsen.
Nations with nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons will eventually fight to the death for the few global warming safer lands, dwindling food supplies, and other critical resources. In addition, the ever-increasing mass migrations of desperate climate refugees (climagees) illegally crossing borders will soon be treated as hostile territorial invasions.
Global Crises and Challenge 9: Mass migrations, political and economic instability, increasing terrorism, conflicts, and war plus global warming and many of the other listed global challenges on this page will both create and expand sudden, massive migrations of millions then billions of desperate refugees and climagees. During this phase, as most of the listed global challenges on this page intensify, various stronger governments will order precautionary evacuations of selected individuals and groups to limit casualties and losses from their most vulnerable areas. Before 2030-2035 because of global warming alone, the world will see hundreds of millions of climagees (climate refugees.)
Global Crises and Challenge 10: increasing political instability and collapsing governments. Fueled by existing internal and external conflicts, soaring deficits, and the intensifying global challenges listed on this page, poorly managed nations with weak economies and low existing resilience will fall first. In 2020 we already see numerous countries on the verge of economic or political collapse. As the increased stresses of these listed global challenges continue to increase upon all nations, stronger nations will also steadily collapse. And finally, what is the most dangerous challenge and collapse accelerator of all.
Global Crises and Challenge 11: New COVID-19 like pandemics as well as other new and older disease epidemics will continue to flare up every decade or less. This will in part be due to global warming melting of the permafrost, loss of natural animal habitat, eating more wild animals, overcrowding, less resilient health systems, mass migrations, wars and conflicts, and many of the other challenges and consequences listed on this page.
Additionally, new and older disease epidemics will occur more frequently and be more severe because of the abuse of antibiotics in animal product production. This abuse has resulted in bacteria that are now resistant to every known type of antibiotic.
Worse yet, because of accelerating global warming, more COVID-19 type global pandemics could come as often as every decade. The AIDS virus became widespread in the late 1970s, the SARS virus in 2003, the MERS virus in 2012, and the Ebola virus in 2013. Click here for more about how escalating global warming may begin producing COVID-19 like pandemics every decade.
Global Crises and Challenge 12: The ever-accelerating global warming emergency. This global warming emergency is causing escalating desertification, sea-level rise, flooding, deforestation, reef collapse, droughts, wildfires, extreme storms, and the spread of diseases through epidemics and pandemics. All of these global warming-specific consequences are increasing scale, severity, and frequency as our average global temperature continues to rise.
Accelerating global warming is the single greatest disruptor and global threat multiplier of the 21st century. It can directly or indirectly significantly amplify and multiply the adverse consequences of almost every other global crisis listed on this page. The global warming emergency in itself, if not resolved soon, will cause the deaths of most of humanity by mid-century. Worse yet, because of global warming long before 2050 we will also cross three extinction-evoking global warming tipping points. (These three critical global warming tipping points are described here.)
Global warming is also very bad for the world's economy. The rising consequences of the global warming emergency will eventually consume larger and larger percentages of every nation's Gross Domestic Productivity (GDP.) Loss estimates run from 3-5% of national GDPs now to as much as 30% of the total national GDPs in the final phases of the global warming emergency!
As global warming reaches its later Climageddon Scenario phases, it will become far more likely that we will destroy ourselves in a massive war or nuclear conflict over the remaining scarce resources or the very limited global warming safest lands.
Excluding the challenge of having no real global government (which is an evolutionary, structural, and developmental issue) and immediate global thermonuclear war, our out of control global warming is the single most dangerous global challenge today. It is also the most dangerous global challenge because:
a.) It is also the most immediate and probable meta-trigger for the growing possibility of a chain reaction of whipsawing and simultaneous ecological, economic, social, and political catastrophes and the converging global system collapses involving directly or indirectly most of the other critical global challenges listed above.
If you think about accelerating global warming as a brightly burning match that will ignite the highly explosive and destructive "fuels" already existing within most of the other 12 critical challenges listed above, you would have another good idea why we have to get the global warming emergency under control as our immediate and top priority.
b.) Global warming is a severe security threat already unfolding. It is causing substantial global problems right now and, it is rapidly growing toward crossing four critical extinction-evoking tipping points. It is in fact, already all but out of our control. It can and will end most of the human species within our lifetimes if we do not act soon!
When you are done reading this page which describes the many detailed steps and processes of the global collapse process below, please also see the Climageddon Scenario extinction prediction model for all details on both the consequences and timeframes of the global warming emergency.
How the major global warming consequences will unfold as disruptors and threat multipliers accelerating and amplifying a Climageddon Countdown as well as a globalized collapse and extinction process.
We will experience the following primary and secondary global warming-related consequences because we are failing horribly in reducing our global fossil fuel use! As time passes, the following consequences will continue to increase in frequency, severity, and scale.
The most important thing to remember as these consequences converge is that they will bring about later consequences faster and faster because of feedback loops, synergies, interdependencies, and tipping points. Worse yet, unpredictably and regularly, these global warming consequences will suddenly get exponentially worse.
This is because these consequences will feed into and collide with each other and, they will also be fed by the worsening of our other 11 global crises! No government, global corporation, or global NGO will be able to stay up with these accelerating and interacting consequences. The primary and secondary climate consequences accelerating and collectively occurring more simultaneously will create unimaginable global chaos.
Many of the primary and secondary climate consequences are interconnected and interdependent. Some also exist in transformative relationships and within interconnected linear and non-linear processes that can amplify or multiply the other's consequences and, in effect, further disrupt our abilities to predict or control these consequences.
No single global warming consequence below creates global collapse, complete human extinction, or our doomsday entirely of itself. But, cumulatively and synergetically, as the primary and secondary climate consequences increase and unfold in continuous waves, they will bring about Climageddon, our global warming doomsday, and our extinction.
The primary and secondary climate consequences listed here are the critical and powerful warning signs to watch for in the news to know that our global warming emergency is accelerating and worsening in your area and, that you should act before it is too late.
At this point, we strongly recommend reading about the primary and secondary climate consequences before reading further. When reading our detailed global warming primary and secondary climate consequence lists, keep in mind that the consequences listed earlier on the lists are occurring now or will be occurring first. The consequences listed near the end of the lists will take longer to unfold.
Why global warming is the single greatest driver and disruptor as well as global threat multiplier or amplifier for the collapse and extinction of our civilization well before the end of the 21st century?
Global warming can directly or indirectly significantly amplify and multiply the adverse consequences of almost every other global challenge listed above. Our global warming emergency in itself, if not resolved soon, will cause the deaths of much of humanity by mid-century. Worse yet, long before 2050, we will cross several extinction-evoking global warming tipping points (described here.)
Global warming is also very bad for the world's economy. The rising consequences of the global warming emergency will consume ever larger and larger percentages of every nation's Gross Domestic Productivity (GDP.)
Excluding the global challenge of having no real global government (which is an evolutionary, structural, and developmental issue) and immediate global thermonuclear war, our near out of control global warming truly is the single most dangerous global challenge today and driver for the collapse of modern civilization.
Why global warming is the keystone for the rapid collapse of global civilization?
It is essential to think about accelerating global warming as the keystone of impending global collapse. This is because it will speed up the consequences or collapse of most of the other global challenges.
If you have seen a Roman architectural arch, you already know a little about what a keystone is. It is the central, usually triangular-shaped stone at the top center of the curvature. It is also the critical supporting stone that holds all the other stones in place and maintains the integrity and strength of the arch. If you pull a keystone out of a Roman arch, the whole arch immediately crumbles and ultimately falls in on itself.
That is also what will figuratively happen with civilization if we continue to let global warming get worse.
Imagine a Roman arch made up of global warming (which is our climate) as its keystone. Now imagine the other global challenges listed above as the remaining stones holding up the arch of our civilization.
In this image, global warming is the keystone that will lead to the ultimate collapse of our global civilization when it crumbles due to accelerating heat. Unfortunately, our accelerating global warming challenge will also facilitate the collapse of our global civilization in the quickest and surest way. The only other global challenge that will lead to a quicker and more certain global civilization collapse is an immediate global nuclear war.
Do not forget that when the global warming keystone begins to collapse, it also forces the other global challenges to have intensified consequences and themselves begin collapsing far faster than we can be prepared for or from which we can recover. If the global warming keystone collapses (by crossing more and more of its internal tipping points as described in the six Climageddon Scenario phases), every projected time frame relating to global warming's consequences and the consequences of the world's other global challenges would also radically change for the worse.
Outcomes that were predicted to be many decades away could now become just a few decades away. At the least, the consequences and timeframes indicated in these six Climageddon Scenario phases would be significantly speeded up!
Up until now, the focus of this article has been mostly on global warming. But, at this point, it is critical to also see the collapse of our civilization as a separate and far more significant issue hidden within the global warming emergency and this Doomsday Clock.
When accelerating global warming multiplies and amplifies the consequences of the other global challenges, it becomes the hot, lit match that can rapidly expedite the adverse effects of the other global challenges causing them to explode. This explosion of adverse consequences across most of our global challenges would eventually result in the complete or near-complete collapse of our global civilization.
Worse yet, the multiplying and amplifying effect of accelerating global warming on the other 11 global warming challenges could also shorten the Climageddon Extinction Scenario predicted time frames for the coming social, economic, and political consequences and their resultant potentials for system collapse and chaos, by as much as 10-30 percent or more.
(If you have any doubt about how big climate tipping points will affect your future, please see this article describing the 11 major global warming tipping points for more information on climate tipping points. You will learn precisely how climate tipping points work and their explosive dangers.
This page will describe which climate tipping points have already been crossed and the ones most likely to be crossed next. Many individuals who thought they understood tipping points have been humbled by this deep process-driven dive into how tipping points unfold and how key crossed climate tipping points will create for us an unmanageable future of ever-rising chaos.)
Why we are in this nightmare
The 8 biggest reasons why most of our above 12 critical global crises have not been solved or will be nearly impossible to fix
The following are not all of the reasons that it is highly unlikely that we will be able to resolve the above global crises. They are prioritized with the most important reasons first. They are not all of the reasons, but only several of the most important and overarching reasons:
Reason 1: The world's political and economic leaders have no idea about the ecological, energy, and historical principles and reasoning in the book Overshoot by William Catton. Overpopulation and its unavoidable over-consumption beyond our carrying capacity IS the major core cause behind today's global warming emergency. Overshoot is also the fundamental underlying cause for almost all of humanity's 12 biggest global crises (discussed above.)
This book covers all of the civilization-ending aspects of what happens when over-consumption beyond our carrying capacity occurs. If our political and economic leaders do not understand what is in this book, we will not solve the 12 global crises we now all face.
Reason 2: Our failure to evolve effective global governance with the needed legislative, judicial, and enforceable executive powers to solve all of the global challenges that cross national borders. If you think about it deeply, you will discover that this critical evolutionary failure of not having yet developed effective global governance is a core structural cause of why most of the above global challenges have not been resolved, and they continue to worsen.
Even though it looks like someone manages the well-being of the planet as a whole from the United Nations or our international treaties, this is an illusion! No one governing body is effectively or responsibly driving the global "car," and it is speeding toward a cliff without a driver.
Reason 3: Wealthy vested interests have compromised the effectiveness of our national governments. More often than not, our national government's decisions are not based on the general population's long-term wellbeing. They are based on increasing the short-term financial and power advantages of a very few ultra-wealthy individuals and corporations funding politicians openly or secretly. Consequently, decisions favoring the interests of the privileged ultra-wealthy most often harm the general well-being of the many.
Reason 4: We have hunter/gatherer brains developed before the stone age, trying to manage the twenty-first century's highly complex, self-organizing global systems. The physical structure of our minds has not advanced in over a million years. Our biological brains were developed in response to the simple stone-age demands of hunting and gathering food.
Our stone age brain structure cannot sufficiently understand or do all of the complex data, analyses, and calculations needed to manage complex adaptable systems like the global climate, the global economy, the global environment, and balancing and managing international and global politics without endless war and conflicts.
The average planetary IQ is only about 100. Even genius-level individuals (IQ 140 and up) cannot stay up with the ever-increasing amounts of new information and ever-increasing technical and other global system complexities. To cope, our stone-age brains automatically revert to behaviors based on emotions, self-interest, and the comfort of superstitions. Consequently, we regularly do not understand or see the most severe problems within the various global systems until it is too late to avoid the worst possible catastrophes, i.e., the global warming extinction emergency and the ongoing collapse of global civilization. (Both of which are occurring because of either the convergence or the amplification of the global challenges listed above.)
Reason 5: Most of our current leaders have both stone-age minds and stone-age leadership qualities.
We are still evolving members of the ape family. We proudly try to distance ourselves from our ape animal roots by calling ourselves, humans. Despite our cultures continually trying to make us unaware of being evolving animals, we are all still mostly subject to our ancient biological animal drives, and so too it is with our current leaders.
Most of our current leaders had to have a high degree of stone-age alpha male qualities, or they would have never become leaders in their area. Those stone-age alpha leadership qualities are used to command the pack with fear of violence, actual violence, and deceit. They most often use these and other aggressive intimidation tactics for maintaining their power, privilege, and self-interest.
Stone age alphas will give excellent lip service to the common goals or the greater good of all, but they are always cleverly protecting and forwarding their own self-interests or adding to their assets, most often, at the expense of those they lead.
Unless society can remove these unevolved stone-age alphas from group leadership positions, it will continue to have the world we have now, and it will be far more difficult fixing it.
This deficient stone-age leadership problem means societies worldwide will soon need to establish minimum levels for their leaders' cognitive, social/emotional, and moral developmental levels. To manage the complexity and vast amounts of modern society information, our societies should also set minimum educational and intelligence levels for all critical leaders. We also need to ensure our leaders are well versed in scientific falsification methodology, basic logic, systems thinking, ethics, and dialectical meta-systemic thinking (Otto Laske.)
Not only should there be minimal developmental and skill levels set for all critical leadership positions, but there also should be recommended levels for cognitive, social-emotional, and moral development, education, and intelligence. This way the population can make better choices about who to elect or choose for their leaders for critical positions. (Luckily, science has already laid out the highest levels of human cognitive, social-emotional, and moral development in the works of Abraham Maslow, Claire Graves, Robert Kegan, Lawrence Kohlberg, and Otto Laske.
Today's world does not need more aggressive, self-centered, and genetically confident stone-age alpha leaders. We need more of the new and evolved alpha leaders.
To successfully solve the world's current challenges, societies must eventually remove all stone-age alpha leaders from their most crucial power positions. It must replace them with the best-educated, smartest, and most cognitively, social-emotionally and morally developed new alpha leaders.
With these highly-evolved new alpha leaders, we will have the leaders needed for today's complex world. They will be the leaders genuinely dedicated to using their skills and gifts to resolve our current problems in ways that truly improve the collective's overall wellbeing.
For more about dialectical meta systemic thinking, click here.
Reason 6: Evolved human psychology drives individuals toward self-centered individual survival
Humans cannot escape the numerous strong survival drives that have been hard-wired into them over millions of years of vertebrate evolution.
Because of the rapidness of messaging, we can't take the time to research and understand complex issues or correctly operate the equipment. To "cope," the human brain invents "shortcuts" - i.e., "superstitions" about what has been said or how things work. Because of the continual breakdown of equipment and interpersonal interactions and the rapid emotional media assault of messages, individuals believe they are being assaulted. The assaults are interpreted as "threats" by our evolved self-centered personal defenses for survival. They are direct attacks on our inherent concepts of individual freedom. Our "fight or flight" defenses evolved to deal with "tangible" adversaries. Our brain uses the invented superstitions to assign "blame" for their pain. The blame must have a "name"! This complexity and flawed language vs. freedom dichotomy directly explains the current extreme polarization of social groups, governments, and political beliefs.
Ironically, before science broke open our vast understanding of nature, the forces of nature, in the form of demons, were the most common culprits. With such thinking largely discredited, our made-up superstitions are now more often aimed at each other! These "selfish gene" drives lead to social conflict and violence. When confronted with this, society's response has gone from simple admonishment to putting people in prison or even putting them to death. The problem is, these drives run so deep, even this entire range of responses has failed. The results have been 12,000+ years of war and conflict. To reach a peaceful, sustainable future, radically new approaches are needed for managing the self-interest vs. community-interest conflict. A patchwork of fixes has not worked and will not work.
Reason 7: Our stone-age impaired brains are also being attacked and compromised by 4th generation mind control technology enabled by supercomputers, advanced algorithms, artificial intelligence (AI) software, and today's social media and search platforms. This social media-enabled mind control attack of hidden manipulation is not only enhancing tensions and polarizing people worldwide. It is also causing people to no longer be able to reason out or understand what is true or fake.
This mind control is dangerous because, without the ability to see and know truth from falsehood independently, the world will continue making terrible decisions on our many global challenges. Social media fake news propagation is also super-charging racial, ethnic, religious, and national political tensions worldwide to make matters worse. This super-charging effect will eventually and most certainly produce more racial, ethnic, religious, and national conflicts, maybe even new race, ethnic, religious, and national wars.
Before we describe the basics of 4th generation mind control, we strongly recommend to first watch the shocking Netflix documentary called The Social Dilemma. It will set the necessary foundation for you to understand the invisible tactics used and to know why fourth-generation mind control is already another severe and vast problem inhibiting our ability to solve our current global challenges. Additionally, the everyday use of fourth-generation mind control by social media companies is not only inhibiting our ability to think and solve our global challenges; it is also significantly accelerating the worse consequences of those challenges.
In this new documentary, you will hear top executives from Silicon Valley's most prominent social media companies telling you the world is in a new grave danger, and that we must regulate and remove this danger immediately. They also will warn you that AI and supercomputers have twisted social media into a new form of ultra-sophisticated, hidden nano-manipulation whose fundamental purpose is to get you to change your opinions, beliefs, and sense of identity to ultimately change your behavior without either your awareness or conscious consent.
Once you have viewed the Netflix documentary called The Social Dilemma, you are ready to continue with this brief explanation of the four generations of mind control:
a. First-generation mild control is almost as old as humanity. It appeared in ancient Egyptian and other cults where a member was put through many highly restrictive, cathartic, and stressful experiences. This process would often also involve the use of drugs and a fake death and a "miraculous drugged "rebirth from the "death" experience. The reborn individual would then assume the cult's new identity because the cult had saved their lives.
The subject usually also became a fanatical true believer. First-generation mind control was time-consuming and labor-intensive. Think of it as a one-by-one assembly line. (For more, see the initiation rites of Hashish Assassins.)
b. Second-generation mild control was advanced in the 1950s when modern psychology tactics were integrated with many ancient first-generation cult tactics. The Russians, Koreans, and the Chinese all used second-generation tactics in their Gulags and though-reform prison camps on political dissidents. The Koreans made second-generation mind control effectiveness famous when they captured US Air Force pilots and used it so effectively that the pilots went on International TV and denounced America and the American way of life.
Second-generation mind control was more refined and also less time-consuming. Numerous handlers were still needed in the prison camps to execute the program to apply and maintain continuous stress on the subject until they broke. Think of an assembly line that could produce more cost-effective mind control victims whose opinions, beliefs and identity had been radically changed. (For more, search the descriptions of what was done in Korea to downed US pilots during the Korean war.
c. Third-generation mild control was advanced in the 1960s by cults like Scientology, the Moonies, and Hare Krishna. Here coercive influence tactics of modern psychology were integrated with many of the ancient first-generation cult tactics. Unlike the Russians, Korean, and the Chinese Gulags and their use of thought-reform prison camps, these modern cults had refined the mind control tactics to newer micro-influence levels no longer requiring physical constraint or physical abuse.
Third-generation mind control was less time-consuming and labor-intensive because it could be done not one-by-one, like in earlier mind control generations, but on a whole group of people at the same time. This group application was achieved by controlling almost every area of their existence by the cult. (What they wore, ate, thought, did, etc.)
Stress was still applied continuously but more skillfully, secretively, and gradually in micro-steps. Think of a faster, better coercive influence group assembly line, which also could produce more cost-effective mind control victims whose opinions, beliefs, and identity had been radically changed more efficiently and faster. (If you read George Orwell's 1984, you will have a good idea of what life was like inside these third-generation mind-control cults. For more, search for what was done to victims of the cults mentioned above in the many lawsuits filed against them.)
d. Fourth-generation mild control began not long after the creation of social media, and Silicon Valley launched the new search platforms. Fourth-generation mind control makes a very significant big jump from an individual or group application to mass application. No longer did one have to be imprisoned or even be in a high-control, high restriction cult to be the victim of this new hidden and even more dangerous mind control.
Fourth-generation mind control uses supercomputers, artificial intelligence, complex algorithms, the psychology of influence and behavioral change, tightly controlled echo chambers, and some earlier generation deceit and hidden influence tactics. Fourth-generation mind control can create a meaningful and continuous influence over the subject in gradual nano-steps. These nano-steps make it even easier to change the subject's opinions, beliefs, and even their core sense of who they are (their identity), and they have no idea this is even being done.
Fourth-generation mind control is the least time-consuming and labor-intensive because it is done mostly by machines. It is being done to billions of people simultaneously, not just the small groups as in third-generation mind control. Stress is still applied continuously but far skillfully, secretively, and more gradually than in any other generation.
Think of a faster, better mass production assembly line that can more cost-effectively produce billions of mind control victims over the next few decades. Think of it as the fastest, most invisible, and advanced technology of modern civilization being used against our stone-age brains. Yes, our stone-age brains will never have a chance unless we regulate and ban them from being used on our children or manipulating every person now using social media. (For more, watch the Social Dilemma documentary on NetFlix. In clear and precise ways, it will show you the many subtle and invisible ways that today's social media is using fourth-generation mind control to invisibly change your opinions, beliefs, identity, and behavior without your awareness or consent.
Reason 8: There is no realistic way that we will be able to slow accelerating global warming enough to prevent the mass extinction of much of humanity by mid-century for the many reasons found on this page.
What must we do to have anything like a livable future!
We need to handle the single greatest and most imminent core threat first before it crosses tipping points of no return. Then we can move forward on the other 11 global crises more effectively and wisely.
We must apply the principle of first things first. It's that simple. Global warming is our greatest, imminent threat and first priority. If we do not fix it fast, we will have no future.
Despite 35+ years of warnings about the global warming emergency, we have not slowed the single greatest accelerator and threat multiplier to the future other than immediate nuclear war. We have failed horribly in fixing global warming as well as most of our other 11 global crises.
We have a herculean challenge in front of us! It will drastically affect our economies, but it can be done!
We shut down the world's economy for months because of fear of dying from COVID-19. We were able to shut down the world's economy because of our fear of millions dying in the COVID-19 pandemic. We should also do what is necessary to reduce global fossil fuel use to reach the 2025 targets because of the worse fear of billions dying.
We must start this difficult process by getting as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, or, within just a few decades, we will go over the 425 ppm climate cliff. If that happens, we will cross the three extinction-insuring global warming tipping points quickly, making the future unlivable.
If you believe a cascading catastrophic convergence of the above 12 global crises to be a real possibility and threat within your lifetime, then take some time now to review our Job One for Humanity Plan. Please help mitigate and prepare for our current global warming emergency so that we can eventually resolve and survive our other 11 global crises.
The Job One Plan is also based on the simple logic that if we do not come close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets even when faced with a near-total extinction event, it is best to wisely use your remaining time and energy. The wise use of remaining time and energy would include:
1.) making your remaining time as fulfilling, meaningful, and comfortable as possible for as long as you can (Parts 1 and 2 of the Job One Plan.)
2.) doing everything to slow this doomsday catastrophe down and save and salvage as much of humanity and civilization for as long as you can. (Parts 3 and 4 of the Job One Plan.)
Doing the above two actions above is still far better than doing nothing and losing everything even sooner!
Is the Climageddon Doomsday the New Armageddon?
When you consider all of the above-described consequences existing as a tightly inter-connected and inter-dependent whole system, it may not be hard for some religious individuals to see many of the critical prophecy consequences of Armageddon or the End-of-Days) unfolding in the global warming interrelated consequences described on this page.
Armageddon is often defined as the final battle between good and evil before the Day of Judgement. It is also defined as a dramatic, catastrophic conflict that is likely to destroy the world or the human race.
When one thinks about today's greed and selfishness, we can see ourselves destroying much of the natural world and causing so much injustice and suffering for so many. Yet, at the same time, a few live in untold wealth and privilege.
Therefore, it is not hard to see a final battle eventually occurring between good (the common good and well-being of ALL humanity) and evil (the selfishness and greed of a few individuals, corporations, and nations.)
As a science-grounded non-profit organization, our job is not to forward religious beliefs but to alert the public to danger and work to help resolve it.
We will not and can not forward that the above Climageddon Extinction Scenario is connected to the end of the world caused by God's will, God's final judgment day, or as a way to separate righteous people from the evil-doers in what's called The Rapture. We also will not forward that this human-caused convergence of global warming-related catastrophes is the New Armageddon or the Messiah's second coming.
God is not polluting our atmosphere with carbon and methane. We are! Every time we drive our fossil fuel-powered cars or heat our homes with the Industrial Revolution's fossil fuel solutions, we are causing the global warming extinction emergency to worsen. We are in the 21st-century Information age and the era of the internet. Yet, we persist in using the energy solutions of the 1900s.
Our organization sees that the Climageddon doomsday scenario is due to our individual, businesses', and national leaders' flawed decisions and behaviors. Therefore, we do not support the acceptance of the Climaggedon Extinction Scenario occurring as a forgone fact. (This emergency can be mitigated and adapted to by using the Job One for Humanity Plan.)
We do not think that religious individuals should do nothing about the global warming emergency, (as about 11% of religious individuals currently believe.) Instead, we forward that if there is a God, they would want us to care for and steward the gifts of their creation (Mother Earth) and clean up our messes! (The good news is that acting together, we still have until 2025 to prevent the full global warming extinction emergency from unfolding.)
As an organization we do, although, hold that the cumulative effects of the slower moving above Climageddon Scenario will eventually cause far more suffering, pain, and loss than the biblical Armageddon. This new suffering will also last far, far longer for far more people than the prophesized final biblical battle of Armageddon.
If you are a religious person who does believe in Armageddon and you think that the above Climageddon Scenario is the new unfolding modern version of Armageddon, please email us at ([email protected]). Tell us why you think this is true and what you think you should do about this ongoing doomsday process.
For more on how Armageddon-like apocalyptic religious prophecies and strategies work against people doing something effective about our accelerating global warming emergency, please see this great article!
How to keep the difficult and disruptive facts of The Doomsday Clock found on this page in a balanced and more positive perspective
We will be able to avoid or delay some of the coming global warming consequences. Other consequences are now unavoidable due to our ignorance, incompetence, inaction, or selfishness. Despite the types of consequences we now face, we can learn from their feedback and adapt and evolve. No matter what we face, we can keep working together as one human family toward achieving the best possible remaining outcomes.
The following critical links will also show you how the Great Global Collapse and humanity's greatest global crisis can be transformed into humanity's greatest opportunity for a Great Global Rebirth (once the collapse process has run its course and we have adapted to it.)
Here is how to counterbalance the difficult global warming collapse news you have just read:
1. You can still prepare and adapt, and take action to make an important and significant difference to stabilize and save the future by immediately starting the Job One for Humanity Plan.
2. You can maintain the perseverance and positive attitude needed to make it through this challenging collapse process by regularly reviewing the many benefits and the Great Global Rebirth possibilities which we will achieve as we work successfully on this together. (This page has been read about 2 million times.) And,
3. Click here and learn about this normal, natural, and needed Great Evolutionary Retrogression and the Great Global Rebirth from a critical big-picture evolutionary perspective. (This critical page will help you see more of the possibilities of a Great Global Rebirth once the collapse has run its course.)
While we persevere for the sake of humanity, never forget that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our greatest opportunities.
We must also continually realize that we are engaged in the most critical and meaningful evolutionary adventure in human history! This adventure is nothing less than removing the global warming extinction threat and, in so doing, indirectly improving or resolving most of the world's 11 other major challenges.
To get started in a simple way, please also sign this vital:
And, if you read nothing else from the links above, read this page to help you process all of this bad news!
Get started today on the Job One for Humanity global warming reduction and survival plan. Help save and salvage as much of humanity and our beautiful civilization as is still possible.
There are many other positive, perspectives, possibilities, and options for doomsday prevention.
It is not all horrible climate change and global warming news. There is other good news about what we can still do to survive and thrive. We still have time left to make critical global fossil fuel reductions necessary to slow down the coming consequences. And, there is also a realistic and practical plan to help us survive and thrive through them.
Here is what should be done by priority:
1. Sign the global warming petition that will go to our politicians by clicking here or clicking the button below.
2. Here is what our governments need to do immediately! Only government action can save us at 11:55 pm on the Climate Change doomsday clock. It is too late for individual actions alone to prevent hitting midnight on the Global Warming Doomsday Clock.
3. Here is what we (and you) need to do to prepare, adapt, or migrate until our governments act responsibly and save humanity and our global civilization (as described in the link just above.) To learn more about the Job One Doomsday Plan B, click here or click the image below.
4. Here is what we need to keep in mind while we are doing the Job One Plan. We need to see this as the greatest challenge, adventure, and opportunity in human history. We need to see this challenge as also having many incredible benefits. (Click here to see these many inspiring benefits. This is the most read page on our website. It has been viewed over 2 million times.)
There is a real urgency to address the climate change and global warming extinction emergency. It is crucial that you act now. We have so little time left to protect our future, humanity, and civilization.
Click here to get started on the Job One Plan and...
The Global Warming and Climate Change Doomsday Clock is ticking. No matter how big the challenge is or how short the time to get it done, we need to deal with the global warming emergency and humanity's 11 other critical global crises as listed above.
If you want a livable future, here is one easy thing every reader of this article can and should do right now!
Please forward this article to friends and share it on social media when you are done reading it. We are an all-volunteer organization, and we can't "wake up the world" to the global warming doomsday clock and extinction emergency by ourselves.
Please help us get the Global Warming and Climate Change Doomsday Clock into the awareness of millions and then billions of our fellow citizens around the world. Feel free to translate it if the search engine automatic translators are not working well enough in your native language.
Please also send this article to politicians, social media, and other non-profit organizations (NGOs) all over the world. Directly and repeatedly ask them what exactly they are doing to prevent the global warming amplified and triggered near-total extinction of humanity far before the end of this century?
Be sure to ask them why they are not adequately managing the greatest global threat multiplier and amplifier of the 21st century by getting our governments to enact the critical governmental action steps described here!
To Whom is the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock Dedicated?
In our humble opinion, it is now necessary to call out and identify the following leading social benefit organizations that have repeatedly failed to create or promote effective global warming solutions that deal with the real urgency, real deadlines, and real action deadlines of the global heating extinction emergency.
These organizations and individuals are:
Group 1: The Environmental Defense Fund, the Sierra Club, National Resources Defense Council, and the Hewlett Packard Foundation. These organizations control over 70% of global warming education money in the US alone. They have not been educated about the REAL 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines, or effective global warming solutions that could have prevented the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century.
human, animal, and biological extinction by mid-century.
Group 2: The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the Green New Deal's creators and promoters, and the Grantham Foundation. (The Bill and Melinda Gates foundation's REAL global warming extinction emergency education is so minimal it is pathetic.
The little it does is NOT focused upon the IPCC's seriously underestimated consequences, the REAL global fossil fuel reduction targets and the required global warming solution deadlines. At times, the Gates foundation appears to forward a biological system under-informed techno-optimism. This Gates foundation techno-optimism seems to be seeking to turn planetary geoengineering into a new profit center for Bill and Melinda Gates empire or related future entities.
The Green New Deal is loaded with wrong targets, wrong timetables, and grossly inadequate "far too little far too late" solutions that will continue to doom humanity to extinction while we think we are saving ourselves.
Through its founder, the Grantham Foundation continually warns about how bad the future is going to be but fails to put its funding where its predictions point. It appears they might be using the foundation's dire warnings to help sell investment products in another related corporate entity.)
For years, we've swallowed the above global warming delusions offered in Matrix-like movie magic "blue pill." Today, some of the above "blue pill" enthusiasts are finally beginning to have doubts and anxieties concerning their grossly underestimated global fossil fuel reduction targets, techno-optimism, or belief in a super-rapid green energy generation transition that will save us in time.
Click here to see what our governments and the largest environmental groups must do to prevent the climate change and global warming doomsday from occurring!
Click here to review our policy of respectful disruption.
Seldom-Considered Global Warming Consequences and Statistics
Other global warming "wake up" call consequences and statistics:
a. Directly or indirectly, air pollution, mostly from fossil fuels, causes approximately 11 to 13% (about 1 in 8) of all deaths globally each year. According to a recent World Health Organization survey, 40 percent of deaths linked to outdoor air pollution are from heart disease; another 40 percent from strokes; 11 percent from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); 6 percent from lung cancer, and 3 percent from acute lower respiratory infections in children.
China has the most air pollution fatalities, with nearly 1.4 million deaths a year. India has 645,000, and Pakistan has 110,000. To put this in perspective, fossil fuel burning caused air pollution at just its current levels, kills more people each year than malaria and AIDS combined!
b. Already twenty-one million people have been forcibly displaced because of climate change since 2008.
c. Seven million premature deaths occur each year due to poor air quality from burning fossil fuel and other related air pollution sources.
d. Eighteen million acres of forest are lost each year.
e. Twenty-eight thousand species are expected to become extinct by the next quarter of the century due to deforestation.
f. Twenty percent of the world's total oxygen supply is produced in the Amazon forest.
g. It's estimated that 25% of the world's total greenhouse gas production comes from deforestation alone. As a result, stored carbon from our forests is now being released into the atmosphere instead of being captured.
h. According to James Hansen, one of the world's most famous climate researchers and one of the first to warn us about our possible extinction, a carbon 450 ppm level will eventually develop into the beyond doomsday average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (about 11° Fahrenheit. We will reach the carbon 450 ppm level in as little as 12 years or less!
You now know why a separate doomsday clock for climate change and global warming needs to exist. You also now know:
1. we have already passed the point which will cause much of humanity to die off by 2050.
2. we are rapidly approaching our last chance (the 2025 climate cliff ) to prevent our near-total extinction.
3. the consequences, processes, critical relationships, contexts, and transformations of global warming and our 11 other global crises that lead up to midnight on the climate change and global warming doomsday clock.
4. the warning signs something essential and close to you is about to fall apart, and you need to get prepared or get out of the way.
5. that if we miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we will pass midnight on the Global Warming Doomsday Clock, and global warming will be beyond our control! When that happens, we will face our total doomsday far sooner than which we are prepared.
6. we are making far too little progress on the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to come anywhere even close to meeting the 2025 targets. This ongoing failure means we have very little chance of avoiding near-total extinction long before the end of the 21st century, as well as global collapse and the Sixth Great Extinction Event of Earth's history. Click here to read about the tremendous obstacles we face trying to reach the 2025 targets.
Because we have made far too little progress on the 2025 targets, and it is all but impossible now to reach them, the die-off of much of humanity by mid-century is our new global warming reality.
7. the primary and secondary key warning signs of the rapidly approaching total human extinction event and a global collapse. These warming signs will become more severe, frequent, and widespread in scale as this emergency grows worse. They will also occur faster and faster as global warming continues to worsen. (Watch and track these primary and secondary warming signs in the news and get prepared!)
8. that there is a comprehensive plan for what you can do about the global warming doomsday emergency, but we all must act NOW!
9. there will be unmanageably painful and short lives that generation Z, generation X, and Generation Y (the Millenials) will experience long before 2040. (If we do not meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and get this monster under control.)
Older generations have failed for over 35 years to face and resolve this growing emergency. Unless Generations z, x, and y act to get their politicians to act immediately, there is little hope the younger generations can avoid total human extinction long before the end of the 21st century. What you see in the warming sign consequences listed above is the most likely dismal future of generation Z, generation X, and Generation Y.
10. that magical carbon-sucking machines (carbon capture) will not save us in time. Giving this false solution attention or credibility now is like rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic when we should be directly and immediately steering away from the iceberg.
11. there is essential counterbalancing good news, and there are surprising benefits that we will also achieve as we work together to resolve this emergency.
12. that because the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock's coming consequences could also be considered modern reinterpretations of the pain, suffering, and death of religious doomsday prophecies, the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock could just as easily be called the End-of-Days Doomsday Clock, the Armageddon Doomsday Clock, or the Climate Change Apocalypse and Doomsday Clock.
13. Our chances look so low in reaching the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets, it would be wise for you to put your Doomsday Plan B into action soon. Click here to see our Job One for Humanity Plan B.
14. What are the many global warming-related consequences that we must now adapt to for as long as we can.
15. What are the many global warming-related consequences that we must now replan our lives around!
16. What we must do first to slow down and survive the cascading convergence of catastrophes from our 12 major global crises.
17. Why we must act as one global human family to prioritize the remedial actions to resolve the global warming emergency. (This way, we also can hope to have time to fix our 11 other worsening major global crises.)
18. Collapse is one of nature's and evolution's most powerful solutions and tools to rebalance any species or system that has exceeded its limits, is no longer sustainable, or is no longer adapting to critical feedback and reality. Collapse will rebalance and readjust even the most adaptation-resistant, reality-denying, or stubborn species, systems, businesses, or governments. If it was not for the coming Great Global Collapse, the possibilities of a Great Global Rebirth could not exist.
19. You are entering a world where the new normal is new climate and weather records being broken faster and faster. You will experience once-in-a-lifetime weather events multiple times a year. You will experience 1,000-year storms occurring so often that your nations will never be able to afford the repairs.
Get ready and get prepared! The weather and climate you have previously seen will be nothing like the extreme weather you and your family will experience in the future.
20. Our world is collapsing, and that collapse process is accelerating rapidly. Do we now need to ask ourselves how this should change how we live? How should we support each other and our families? How should we connect meaningfully with others to make the best use of any remaining relatively stable and predictable time?
21. The bigger problems and crises listed above will completely overwhelm any and all available local, regional, and national resources and personnel available to mitigate the damages these bigger problems and crises will cause because those problems and crises will continue growing in frequency severity and scale.
22. If we do not make the required 2025 fossil fuel reductions in time to fix the global warming extinction emergency, without fail, Mother Nature will painfully do it for us. Mother Nature will take over and keep raising the global temperature until most or all of humanity (75% or more) is extinct and Earth is back to its carrying capacity.
23. We are not the only ones warning about how close we are to collapse and extinction. Many thousands of scientists worldwide are warning about ecological collapse and human extinction, and a Sixth Great Extinction event. For example, according to a 2020 study published in Scientific Reports, if deforestation and resource consumption continues at current rates, they could culminate in a "catastrophic collapse in human population" and possibly "an irreversible collapse of our civilization" in the next 20 to 40 years. According to the most optimistic scenario provided by the study, the chances that human civilization survives is less than 10%. (See Nafeez, Ahmed. "Theoretical Physicists Say 90% Chance of Societal Collapse Within Several Decades". Vice. Retrieved 2 August 2021. Also see Bologna, M.; Aquino, G. (2020). "Deforestation and world population sustainability: a quantitative analysis." Scientific Reports. 10 (7631): 7631. doi:10.1038/s41598-020-63657-6. PMC 7203172. PMID 32376879.)
24. We are not the only ones warning about how close we are to collapse and extinction. Many thousands of scientists worldwide are warning about ecological collapse and human extinction, and a Sixth Great Extinction event. For example, according to a 2020 study published in Scientific Reports, if deforestation and resource consumption continues at current rates, they could culminate in a "catastrophic collapse in human population" and possibly "an irreversible collapse of our civilization" in the next 20 to 40 years. According to the most optimistic scenario provided by the study, the chances that human civilization survives is less than 10%. (See Nafeez, Ahmed. "Theoretical Physicists Say 90% Chance of Societal Collapse Within Several Decades". Vice. Retrieved 2 August 2021. Also see Bologna, M.; Aquino, G. (2020). "Deforestation and world population sustainability: a quantitative analysis." Scientific Reports. 10 (7631): 7631. doi:10.1038/s41598-020-63657-6. PMC 7203172. PMID 32376879.)
25. In this article, you can see what is behind the many cascading primary and secondary consequences leading to mass extinction and collapse. It is overconsumption causing ever-rising global resource depletion. This overconsumption is also known as global resources overshoot.
This overshoot is driven first by overpopulation in relation to the carrying capacity of the land and sea acreage available for that given population. Overshoot also manifests in the consequent toxic pollution of water, lands, and air, crop failures, overfishing, topsoil loss, resource distribution injustice, and the massive "overconsumption and waste" of the Earth's very finite resources and its limited carrying capacity.
After overpopulation, global resource depletion (overshoot) is considered by most experts to be the primary cause behind or feeding global warming and almost all of our other 11 global crises listed above. If you want to understand the most profound causes of our current extinction and collapse emergency and how to build a new and better world, get the book Overshoot: The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change by William R. Catton.
It's time to fasten your seat belts, attach your shoulder harnesses, and put on your helmets and protective gear. The world is heading into extreme turbulence due to the convergence of the accelerating global warming consequences interacting with the worsening of our 11 other global crises.
What older generations have done to the future quality of life for generations X, Y, and Z is unconscionable! It will now take all generations acting together to have any realistic hope of a few of us escaping this nightmare we have created for ourselves.
You can test your understanding of this critical article by seeing if you understand the 8 most misunderstood facts about global warming by clicking here.
Now that you reviewed the above materials, we want to hear your opinion on the question that we asked at the beginning of this document
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The most significant single change to its climate position and predictions in its history
After 40 years of comprehensive climate reports by the world's leading authority (the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC],) the IPCC as of July 2021 has made the most significant single change to its climate position and predictions in its history.
It now says we can no longer prevent many of the worst consequences of global warming. All that we can do now is adapt to them!
But, precisely what are those global warming consequences for which you now have to adapt? More importantly, how can you replan your lives around these rapidly intensifying consequences that you now see unfolding every day in the news?
The page above not only clearly shows you the host of coming serious global warming-related consequences which you will need to adjust your life plans around, but it also links you to a comprehensive plan of practical adaptation strategies that you will need as you watch the following global warming consequences unfold.
Technical Details for the Global Warming and Climate Change Doomsday Clock
1. It should be noted that many, many climate scientists have had the courage to say we are already well past the point of effectively stopping global warming from reaching a 2 degree Celcius increase in average global temperature (above our pre-industrial temperature levels.) When our average global temperature reaches a 2 degree Celcius increase, we have crossed over the last carbon 425-450 ppm battle line, and we have gone over the carbon climate cliff. This means that the mass extinction-evoking global warming tipping points described on this page will soon be triggered.
In essence, what these "it is already too late" climate scientists are now saying is:
a. We have already gone past the midnight hour on the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock.
b. All we can do now is prepare for and adapt to the horrible list of consequences described in this article.
c. We will not be able to avoid a mass extinction event and die-off. And,
d. The only thing our governments (not us as individuals) can still do is slow, save, and salvage what we can to still prevent a global heating-driven near-total extinction event. To do this, they need to slow down the accelerating rise in global temperature from the rate that it is now. This will allow more of us to survive a little bit longer to get prepared. (On this page, you will find our Plan B for how to prepare for and adapt to the many consequences we can no longer change.)
Our organization, which has done over a decade of extensive research analysis on the global warming emergency and which has created this Doomsday Clock, has also aligned itself with the many climate scientists who have said we are well past the point of effectively stopping global warming from reaching a 2 degree Celcius increase. (On this page you will find the almost two dozen reasons why our organization now also believes that global warming has gone out of our reasonable control and that we will face unavoidable mass extinction with just a few decades.)
If that is our current position, it is only natural to wonder why we have also created and are promoting the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock? The answer is simple.
We wanted to promote the extreme urgency of the global warming extinction emergency so that our governments finally begin to significantly reduce global fossil fuel use to at least slow down the current global warming acceleration curve enough to prevent a near-total extinction event. Also, if more people understand the urgency of our emergency, they also will do what they can to slow it down and, they will have more time to prepare for and adapt to the upcoming horrific global warming consequences. As this happens more of humanity and civilization can also survive longer and most importantly, we still have a chance to avoid near-total extinction. It is just that simple! (Click here to see the many effective government actions needed to slow down the near-total extinction nightmare so more of us can survive longer.
2. Many global warming educational organizations are currently using different critical fossil fuel reduction dates. Many promote that all nations of the world have to reduce their total fossil fuel use by 50% by 2030. This 2030 date is too little too late and is dead and dangerously wrong for many reasons.
One of the biggest reasons is because this 2030 target date ignores the principles of equity and international justice, namely proportional responsibility for harm caused. It demands that all of the undeveloped, poorer nations reduce their annual fossil fuel use the same percentage amounts as all of the wealthy and developed nations. This demand for the same percentage amount of fossil fuel reduction even though the wealthy developed nations have caused almost all of the global warming and atmospheric carbon pollution problems that we now face is inherently unfair.
3. There are also many other reasons some global warming educational organizations are still promoting erroneous 2030, 2025, 2040 ad 2050 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Many additional technical reasons for why these other deadlines are wrong are found in the Special Technical Notes section at the bottom of the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets description page.
4. The correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets mentioned above do allow the poorer, undeveloped nations to cut their annual fossil fuel use considerably less than the wealthy developed nations. And with these 2025 targets, we still get to the overall needed global fossil fuel use reductions to prevent crossing the climate cliff and its extinction evoking tipping points. On this 2025 global target detail page, you will also discover more information about how the 2025 global fossil fuel reductions are shared equitably between wealthy developed and poor undeveloped nations as well as links to the science behind the validity of the 2025 targets.
5. Consider the following regarding a 4C average global temperature increase. Though scientists by 2010 had made 4C the new 2C, no one will be alive to experience 4C. Fortunately, after the IPCC 1.5C Report, they backpedaled and made 1.5C the danger limit and in 2020 called for the immediate and rapid decline of global emissions for mitigation. Any temperatures above 2C are moot because 1.5 to 2C triggers end of the world runaway global warming, and many climate researchers believe that it's probably already triggered.
6. There are five highly likely reasons why our 12 most critical global challenges (described above) have not been solved or will be nearly impossible to resolve. The following are not all of the reasons that it is highly unlikely that we will be able to resolve the above global challenges. As mentioned above, our failure to successfully manage these 12 global challenges will expedite doomsday and the collapse of our global civilization.
Additional Documentation and Reading on the Science and Analysis of this Article
1. Click here to read the nine most important current facts about climate change and the global warming emergency.
2. Please see this article describing the 11 major global warming tipping points for more information on climate tipping points. You will learn precisely how climate tipping points work and their explosive dangers. This page will describe which climate tipping points have already been crossed and the ones most likely to be crossed next. Many individuals who thought they understood tipping points are humbled by this deep process dive into how tipping points unfold and how key crossed climate tipping points will create an unmanageable future of ever-rising chaos.
3. Next click here to read about these post-2025 extinction-evoking global warming tipping points. We said we will remind you of the importance of the detailed tipping point science and the extinction-triggering process descriptions. This page provides the timeframes for each tipping point and the critical science on the process for how we go over the four extinction-evoking tipping points, which leads to runaway global warming, near-total extinction, and doomsday.
4. Here is what our governments need to do immediately! Only government action can save us at 11:55 pm on the Climate Change Doomsday Clock. It is too late for individual actions alone to prevent hitting midnight on the Global Warming Doomsday Clock.
5. Here is what we need to do to prepare, adapt, or migrate until our governments act responsibly and save humanity and our global civilization (as described in the link just above.) To learn more about the Job One Doomsday Plan B, click here.
6. For information on all 11 major global warming tipping points and how global warming tipping points work, click here.
7. For detailed descriptions of the 20 major consequences of global warming, click here.
8. Click here to read about the necessary 2025 global fossil fuel reduction target. All developed nations have to reduce their total fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025. Underdeveloped nations, which did not cause the current global warming emergency, have lower targets. Lower targets for underdeveloped nations are both fair and morally just since they played a much smaller part in creating the current global warming extinction emergency.
9. If we fail to hit the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets there are other deadlines and timetables critical to know for the changing preparation and adaption timeframes for the accelerating global warming emergency. Please click here and go to our member's area critical timeframe update on these issues as soon as possible. This timetable update is vital if you want to prepare your family or business for what now appears to be unavoidable!
10. Click here for a full timetable of consequences found within each of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario.
11. Why we have failed for over 35 years to face and resolve this growing emergency.
12. Why carbon capture techno-optimism is like believing in magical carbon-sucking unicorns.
13. For information about, Climageddon the global warming survival guidebook, which also goes into much additional global warming consequence detail, click here.
14. For those interested in the most refined and complete timeframes and triggering events on when and how the preceding primary and secondary global warming consequences will occur, please see the six unique phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario. This is dense reading but well worth the time for those who must know every known warning sign and signal tracking the acceleration of the unfolding mass extinction and collapse. Individuals with significant personal investments, businesses that could be affected, or working in predictive positions at insurance companies, investment banks, or hedge funds are the most frequent readers of the six phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario.