How a movie story and an asteroid metaphor will help you understand the Climageddon Scenario and the massive climate change and global warming catastrophes that are coming... 

A very good metaphor and way to think about the 6 phases of the unfolding Climageddon Scenario (described below,) is to imagine numerous waves of larger and larger asteroids crashing into the earth over shorter and shorter periods of time between the next wave of asteroids. For the sake of the metaphor's accuracy, imagine these waves of asteroids have already begun and will continue throughout 10-60 years. 

Please see the illustration below which will provide a quick but necessary minimal overview of the many consequences of 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario for the sake of the asteroid story. The temperatures listed below, in both Celsius and Fahrenheit, represent the predicted increases in average global temperature that are most likely to occur at each of the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario, due to the increasing consequences of global warming.

Now that you can see that temperatures (consequences) will continue to rise at each new Climageddon Scenario phase, you are ready to continue with the asteroid story and metaphor.

Initially, asteroid waves are composed of smaller asteroids, and the waves are therefore farther apart. In the earlier asteroid waves, the consequences of asteroid impacts grow in a slower, gradual, and linear manner. In later waves, the asteroids grow larger, and the waves now become increasingly closer together in time. Unfortunately, in the later, larger waves, the asteroid consequences will grow faster and exponentially. 

Next, imagine that each new wave of the asteroids almost always hits the earth in the illustration below between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south (between the two yellow/mustard colored lines.)

These would be the most asteroid-unsafe areas to live in in the future.

And finally, imagine the last wave of “planet-killing” large asteroids also hit the Earth between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south. 

To help you envision what will likely happen to society and your life during this unfolding asteroid cataclysm story and metaphor, it is useful to look to another story: the 1998 Hollywood science fiction disaster film, Deep Impact. This movie depicted humanity’s combined efforts to prepare for and destroy a 7-mile (11 km) wide planet-killer asteroid set to collide with Earth and cause a mass extinction. 

In this movie, to prevent the asteroid from reaching Earth, Russia and the United States send a spacecraft with nuclear weapons to destroy it before it reaches the critical minimal distance from Earth. The spaceship reaches the proper critical distance in time, but the nuclear weapons’ first attempt fails and instead splits the comet into two smaller masses, both still heading directly for Earth. 

After the U.S. President announces the failure to prevent the asteroid catastrophe, he declares martial law and reveals that in anticipation of this possible failure, governments worldwide have been secretly building underground shelters in what they believe will be the safest areas to ride out the impact. The U.S. government then conducts an emergency lottery, randomly selecting 800,000 Americans under the age of 50. The government has also chosen 200,000 individuals who were secretly pre-selected to enter the survival shelters, bypassing the lottery. Not surprisingly, they are top government officials, top military brass, key scientists, and powerful corporate elites.

Around the world, the lucky and the pre-selected few go to underground shelters, which also contain seeds for every species of plant and important viable animals, as well as massive food supplies for the would-be shelter survivors.

The first asteroid mass impact occurs at Cape Hatteras in the Atlantic Ocean, causing a tsunami that reaches heights of up to 3,500 feet (1,100 meters). The second mass is due to impact western Canada, creating a cloud of dust that will block out the sun for two years, killing all unsheltered life on Earth in a matter of weeks. 

At the last minute, the damaged spacecraft carrying the remaining nuclear weapons hits the larger second mass in a suicide mission, breaking it up so that most of it burns up in the atmosphere or misses the planet completely.

After the survivors finally emerge from their shelters, the President addresses a large crowd, telling them they've been blessed with a second chance to call Earth their home...

Here's what's important about this story and its metaphor in relation to its similarities to the unfolding Climageddon Scenario. In the preceding metaphor and story, the most obvious parallels to the escalating global warming emergency and the Climageddon Scenario are: 

1. Just as they are in the asteroid wave metaphor, our global warming consequences will come faster and faster and grow larger and larger with each new phase of the six Climageddon Scenario phases. (Worse yet, in the mid to later phases of the Climageddon Scenario, our consequences (which you will be reading about soon) will begin growing exponentially.)

2. As we progress through the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario, numerous unforeseen consequences will arise within our social, economic, and political systems, just as in the movie, where humanity faces its ultimate demise. Some of those are rare and noble sacrifices; others are widespread panic, chaos, looting, crime, cruelty, and loss of basic human rights.

2 As global warming consequences continue to worsen in the later phases of the Climageddon Scenario, governments will be forced to declare martial law, and there will be lotteries and secret pre-selection and quotas for who still will be able to move to the global warming safer zones near or above the 45th parallel north or near or below the 45th parallel south to escape the chaos occurring within that middle highest danger zone a little longer. 

3. If we keep going as we are now without radically reducing global fossil fuel use to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reductions targets and we somehow survive the coming global warming consequences, most of humanity will die and there will have to be a massive, difficult, and costly rebuilding of civilization by the few remaining survivors if there are any survivors. 

As you continue to think about the many kinds of facts in the Climageddon Scenario article, please keep in mind the Deep Impact end-of-the-world asteroid movie story because its unfolding process is a good metaphor for how the Climageddon Scenario’s most serious consequences will also grow worse, closer and closer, and faster and faster over time. Additionally, please remember that we still have a last chance for humanity and civilization to survive, but only if we successfully meet the challenging 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

Who most needs to understand how the Climageddon Scenario Extinction Countdown unfolds

Understanding the rapidly unfolding progression of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Countdown scenario is critical for every individual, business, or nation that wants to thrive or survive over the next 5, 10, 20, 30, or more years and takes planning for their financial, physical, and political future security seriously. 

Understanding the Climageddon Scenario is crucial information for anyone involved in:

1. 1. 1. personal, financial, or security short or mid-to-long-range planning,
         
      2. city, corporate, or national mid-to-long-range planning, 
         
      3. planning, financing, or building mid-to long-term infrastructures such as highways, water treatment or sewage plants, power plants, power transfer stations, power lines, hospitals, government buildings, manufacturing facilities, distribution centers, military bases, corporate headquarters, real estate developments, and telecommunications facilities, and
      4. the threat, hazard, and business or insurance risk assessment.

Here is additional key information to help you better understand the global warming future consequences and timetables using the 6 Phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario and Countdown as a model 

In the following detailed descriptions, warning signs, and consequence countdown timetables for the Climageddon Scenario's 6 phases, you will learn what you need to know to protect your family, finances, business, and nation. But, to get the most out of what you are about to read and to plan your safer future from global warming, if you have not done so already, you will need to have a good basic understanding of the dynamics of global warming. If you don't, be sure to click the following links to basic and illustrated global warming education articles as needed.

a. What global warming is and how it works,

b. What are global warming's 20 worst consequences?

In order to have the necessary understanding of how global warming tipping points will throw our shared future into turmoil and chaos, we also strongly recommend that you read these pages as well:

c. The four extinction-accelerating global warming tipping points, and

d. The 11 key global warming tipping points. This will help you better understand how global warming's 11 major tipping points create climate and human system crashes and collapses, (This article covers the basics of positive feedback loops, complex adaptive systems, systems theory, and things like nonlinear consequence responses common after tipping points are crossed.) 

Although you will be able to understand much of the Climageddon Scenario without reading and understanding the four links above, it will be more difficult for you to see how most of the consequences within each of the 6 Climageddon phases will synergetically multiply, accelerate and amplify each other and produce the very scary reality of the following Climageddon Extinction Scenario six phases.

We have made the inherently very complex Climageddon 6 phase extinction model as simple as possible with lots of additional illustrations as you will soon see, but if you do not understand the basics of global warming listed in a-d above, you may not see the seriousness of what is already happening or, it will be difficult for you to see how the following layers and levels of the phase-by-phase Climageddon consequences fit together to create a mass extinction event which will occur within our lifetimes if we miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by plus or minus 5 percent. 

Finally, here are some important technical details relating to the Climageddon Scenario extinction model:

1. The timeframes and costs for the various global warming consequences described below for the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario are based on the best available science as well as compensatory calculations and projections for underestimated or politicized official global warming reports as well as "cooked" calculations for non-existent carbon capture technology and the missing additional calculations due to the absence of almost all tipping point calculations in official global warming reports. (See the links in this paragraph for detailed descriptions for these compensatory calculations.)

2. There is no doubt that critics may find some minor areas where they can say this or that prediction is off by a few percent due to some new research. Still, that minor detail does not and will not outweigh the overwhelming body of global warming knowledge or facts fairly presented in the Climageddon Scenario extinction model. Climageddon convincingly demonstrates that humanity faces a high probability of mass extinction within 3-5 decades if we fail to reach the necessary global fossil fuel reductions.

3. Please keep in mind that the temperature, carbon ppm, and loss or cost levels for each of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario described below are not hard and rigid boundaries. They may and will be updated by future research. So far, new research has supported the details of the Climageddon Scenario research and, in some places, has shown several of its predictions to be too conservative.

4. ll temperature amounts in this document (or any other document on our website) are always displayed as the Celsius or Fahrenheit increase from preindustrial average global temperatures. 

5. The severity, frequency, and scale of the many consequences listed below will not always occur in a steadily increasing linear line, curve, or pattern. There will be intermittent periods of relatively stable consequences, followed by even periods of lessening consequences, before the next phase and wave of consequences continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale to the next level.

6. The beginning and ending boundaries for each phase of the 6 Climageddon Scenario phases are approximate for temperature, time frame, and carbon ppm levels. As such, there will be some inherent overlap in temperature, timetable, and carbon parts per million (ppm) levels between the different scenario phases. 

7. In the Climageddon temperature and time illustrations, the CS Phase represents one of the six Climageddon Scenario phases.

8. There will be many warning signs and timetables to take in on the Climageddon Scenario phases below, but don't worry. If you can't remember or process all of the details, the summary, charts, and illustrations near the end of the Climageddon Scenario will simplify and summarize the critical information described within its six phases.)

9. The Climageddon Scenario was first explained in the 2017 book Climageddon. The new Climageddon Scenario version 2.0, which you are about to read, contains major upgrades and additions based on new research studies and analysis that have occurred since 2017.

Here are the 6 phases of the Climageddon Countdown Extinction Scenario 

The next section describes the 6 phases of the Climageddon Countdown Extinction Scenario in phase-by-phase detail. It also contains many more illustrations and charts (like the one below), as well as decade-by-decade information on global warming consequences that was previously difficult and expensive for our organization to acquire. This detailed year-by-year information is invaluable is to any individual, business, or nation attempting to plan for how the escalating global warming emergency will directly affect their future life quality, finances, and security. 

Climageddon Scenario Phase 1, From 2020 until as soon as 2026-2032

The temperature continues to rise, catastrophes increase, and carbon levels reach 400-450 ppm.

Phase 1 is the beginning of catastrophic climate destabilization. Phase 1 is associated with a measurement of atmospheric carbon in the range of 400-450 ppm. As of February 2024, we had already reached approximately 427 ppm. 

(If you do not already understand why the atmospheric CO2 carbon graph (above) will be the best indicator of what your future will be like, click here and look down the page until you see another graphic illustration.)

In Phase 1, the atmospheric carbon ppm rate continues to increase at a rate of approximately three ppm per year. The average global temperature continues to rise in a continuous, albeit mostly linear, manner, increasing by degrees.

In this phase, the numerous consequences of global warming continue to increase in frequency, severity, and scale (area affected), albeit in a linear manner. In Phase 1, the cost of significant single-instance, global warming-influenced disasters is expected to average between $30 billion and $100 billion.

The early stage of Phase 1

In the early stage of Phase 1 (from carbon 407-425 ppm), which we just passed in 2024 at carbon 427 ppm and will remain in until approximately 2025, temperatures are expected to increase beyond the estimated current 1.2° Celsius[1] (approximately 2.2° Fahrenheit) rise. They will eventually increase our average global temperature by approximately 1.7°-2.2 °-2.7 °C (3°-4°F+).

“[The] ...atmospheric greenhouse gas levels (~400ppm CO2 and ~485 CO2e [carbon dioxide equivalent]) are likely the highest in the last 15 million years, and never previously experienced by humans. The current conditions, if maintained over centuries/millennia (that is, until the system reaches equilibrium), would likely produce temperature increases of +3-6° Celsius and sea levels 25–40 meters higher, based on evidence of past climates.”  —David Spratt, “Climate Reality Check”^[2]

If the average global temperature in Phase 1 continues to rise degree-by-degree, even without crossing any more points of no return or global warming, climate, human, and biological system tipping points, the bad news is we still likely and quite easily bring about the end-of-humanity scenario as described in the later phases of the Climageddon Scenario. Please keep in mind that just the small average global temperature increase we have had thus far is already causing millions of people to become climagees and migrate toward the more northern countries in Europe and North America.

Please also note that when phase one ended, fossil fuel burning continued to go up considerably, and we will cross additional key global warming tipping points.

The later stage of phase 1, the first and most important tipping point

(Special note for the carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point. This section outlines the key reasons why, at best, we have only about six years left to slow down the impending mass extinction event and our crossing of the two most critical global warming tipping points, as described further below. Additionally, only by reaching or coming very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets do we have any reasonable chance of preventing an even worse, near-total extinction event that could end humanity and civilization. As you read about the three major global warming tipping points below, our current extreme extinction threat will become more real to you. )

In the later stage of Phase 1, if we continue only up to carbon 425-450 ppm, in about 16 years or less (about 2022-2032) we can expect an eventual increase in average global temperature of about 2.2°-2.7° Celsius (4°-4.9° Fahrenheit), and millions of more people will be forced to either migrate or die. 

When we cross the very dangerous carbon 425 ppm level and enter the very slippery slope of the later stage of phase one of the Climageddon Scenario to just before we hit carbon 450 ppm in early Phase 2, it is highly probable because of crossing more global warming tipping points, points of no return and positive feedback loops at these higher temperatures, we will have reached a key threshold transition point where we will continue near uncontrollably on this very slippery slope toward 3°, 4°, 5°, and 6° Celsius temperature increases (5.4°, 7.2°, 9°, and 10.8° Fahrenheit.) These temperature levels would eventually lead to the extinction of most of humanity.

When we cross this carbon 425-450 ppm battle line, in addition to leading us to likely mass extinction in as little as the next 30 to 50 years, its consequences will also be irreversible for centuries to thousands of years. 

In essence, we cannot ever allow ourselves to enter the final stage of phase one (carbon 425-450 ppm) of the Climageddon Scenario. We will almost certainly exceed the carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point and enter the process of runaway global warming and near-certain mass extinction. The only way to avoid crossing the carbon 425 to 450 ppm tipping point is to radically and immediately reduce fossil fuel usage by the correct amounts (which will soon be discussed).

In order to prepare you for the shocking, REAL and correct fossil fuel reductions that must be made if we are going to save humanity from unimaginable loss, suffering, death, and likely extinction, it is first necessary to see just how poorly our previous fossil fuel reduction agreements and actions have fared since we were first notified about the global warming extinction danger by our scientists over 35 years ago. 

What has been hidden from you: 

1. 1. We have actually increased fossil fuel use more this century than in the last two decades of the 20th century. To make this point alarmingly clear, more than half of all fossil fuel emissions that have been released in the last 25 years and parked in the atmosphere are more than were released in all of recorded history before 1990. 
   2. Despite having had over 27 international conferences on reducing fossil fuel use and international treaties since at least 1993, pledging to reduce global warming, worldwide, we are still approximately 67% higher in carbon emissions than in the early 1990s. (Atmospheric carbon emissions is probably the best way to measure future global warming.)
   3. In 2018, carbon emissions increased another dramatic 2.7% and they are projected to increase once again in 2019.

Yes, intentionally or through ignorance, our governments, the media, and most of the world's environmental groups have not been telling us the REAL facts about how our REAL lack of any progress whatsoever in reducing the rate of fossil fuel use increases, much less the complete absence of any substantive reductions anywhere across the world in reducing atmospheric carbon.

Given the preceding horrific failure of any appreciable efforts to seriously address fossil fuel reductions, or even slow the rate of increase, let us now explore the real fossil fuel reductions that must be made to save our future. (If you don't believe we are telling you the facts about our dismal failure in reducing global warming over the last 35 years, click here to view a short video by climate Professor Kevin Anderson in a recent presentation to the Oxford University Climate Society.)

(If you do not understand or are uncertain about how fossil fuel emissions of carbon in the atmosphere create global warming, please click here for a set of simple illustrations and then continue reading... 

What must now be done to correctly reduce our fossil fuel usage and save humanity and our future

The absolute minimum total fossil fuel reductions that must occur to prevent the likelihood of our going extinct within the next few decades are:

1. All industrially developed nations must reduce their total fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025 and then continue to reduce fossil fuel use to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2035. Net-zero carbon emissions in this solution mean that no additional fossil fuel emissions are going into the atmosphere that are not also being simultaneously removed from the atmosphere by natural means. (Only about 20 countries produce 70% or more of the world's carbon emissions.)

Think of developed nations, such as most members of the G20 group: Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, China, and India. (See technical note 1 near the end of this page for why China and India had to be included in the list of developed countries.) 

2. All developing nations must maintain their total fossil fuel emission levels as they were at the beginning of 2019 and not allow them to increase. By 2045, all developing nations must also achieve net-zero carbon emissions. This allowance for developing nations to maintain their current level and gradually reduce to net-zero carbon emissions by 2045 is part of an essential justice and equity equation. The developed nations created their wealth by producing the far greatest majority of all carbon emissions in the atmosphere today, thus causing almost all of our current global warming extinction emergency. (See technical note 2 near the end of this page for more about justice and equity allowances.)

(Please click here for all of the related information and qualifying factors relating to the above targets for developing and developed nations listed above.)

As mentioned previously, the steadily rising temperatures of Climageddon's Phase 1 will feed and accelerate the processes of crossing more points of no return, including positive feedback loops and global warming, climate, human, and biological system tipping points, pushing us ever closer to the dangerous carbon range of 425 to 450 ppm. The probability of maintaining only a gradually increasing average global temperature without random tipping point-related temperature spikes is highly unlikely (less than 10-20%). This is because, as the temperature increases, the probability of crossing additional tipping points also increases.

It is essential to recognize that as we continue to cross more global warming tipping points, the 20 worst global warming consequences and the consequences of the tipping points themselves will, in themselves, continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale. This is because:

1. The points of no return before a tipping point is crossed as well as the crossed tipping point itself, create "slippery" conditions where it becomes far easier for that condition or consequence to worsen far more quickly and at a far steeper gradient.
2. tipping points when crossed create sudden and extremely difficult to recover from steep drop-offs or complete system crashes,
3. any positive feedback loop contained within the tipping point processes will also significantly amplify either the positive or negative consequences of that tipping point, and 
4. a crossed tipping point within a system or subsystem tends to push other tipping points over their tipping points in the subsystems or systems associated with or interconnected to the original tipping point.

In the later stage of Phase 1 (as well as all of the other 5 phases below), unless we make the required radical global fossil fuel reductions described above, it is also unlikely that:

1. 1. we will be able to maintain the previous average annual increase of only carbon 3 ppm. (In part it will probably go higher because of the Earth's population soaring to 9 billion, causing our estimated energy needs to skyrocket by 40% as more of the world’s population enters the middle class.) And, most importantly

2. Due to our fossil fuel burning momentum and human system inertia, once we reach the 425 to 450 carbon PPM range, we will be unable to prevent rapidly sliding down a much steeper and very slippery slope into and through the subsequent Climageddon Scenario phases. 

At the 425 to 450 carbon ppm range, there will be so much climate system momentum from previously committed carbon and other greenhouse gas pollution of our atmosphere towards moving quickly to even higher temperatures, that stopping this momentum will be like trying to stop a gigantic boulder from rolling faster and faster down a hill that keeps getting steeper and steeper.

The terrifying thought that is completely real and critical for you to burn into your brain is that most of humanity will suffer and die by mid-century, but our ability to have any real or meaningful control over this looming emergency ends around about 2025 when we enter the carbon 425-450 ppm range. But this will only occur if we fail to successfully execute the global fossil fuel reductions described above.

And in case you're still thinking technology will save us at the last minute, no new carbon removal technologies (that we call magical carbon-sucking unicorns) will be able to save us in time because even those who believe they might save us are projecting that they will not even be available at the earliest until sometime after 2050. This will be long after the damage is done and long after anything can be done for the billions of people who will suffer and die!

Because of the preceding, we have no other rational alternative other than to prevent ever crossing into this highly dangerous transitional carbon 425-450 ppm range and tipping point, at which our current rate of greenhouse gas pollution will begin sometime around 2025. 

Do you still have doubts if the 425 to 450 carbon ppm range is safe? Here is some other research that, while we feel that it still suffers from politicizing underestimation errors and lack of factoring in the crossing of any tipping points, is still worth reviewing so you know it is not just us warning you how bad this threshold is.  

Click here to learn more about how another 10 climate scientists view the serious dangers of crossing the 425 to 450 carbon ppm range.

“The OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050: Key Findings on Climate Change” summarizes predictions from climate scientists’ models: we have a 50% chance of stabilizing the average global temperature at a 2°C increase over the pre-industrial period if we keep CO2 concentrations under 450 ppm. A November 2013 report by PwC, "Busting the Carbon Budget," states that at our current rate of fossil fuel usage in the global economy, we will exceed the limit by 2034.

The probability of crossing from Phase 1 below carbon 425 ppm into Phase 2 over 425 ppm is inevitable because of the many factors described above and because of the 13 reasons described near the top of the following link: Is global warming out of our meaningful control for at least the next 30-50+ years?

The warning signs of phase 1, 2026-2032

The following listing of positive feedback loops, points of no return, tipping points, consequences, and interactions with our other current global challenges should be considered as good early warning signs that we are either in phase 1 or moving rapidly through phase 1 into phase 2. Watch for information about these warning signs, their consequences, and events that occur in the news.

Particularly watch to see if they're being described as worse than before or as breaking all previous records. Look carefully at what the consequence pattern and trend are moving toward.

The following are the best objective warning signs that individuals can see for themselves and that will motivate thoughtful individuals to act appropriately:

Phase 1: The most probable initial positive feedback loops, points of no return, and tipping points to occur or be crossed are as follows:

1. Decreased albedo from reduced snow cover and melting Arctic ice increases the Earth's heat,

2. Increased sea ice and glacier melt resulting in additional sea-level rise,

3. Increased atmospheric water vapor results in more extreme weather,

4. Increased permafrost and tundra heating release more carbon and methane and which results in more heat and more disease epidemics and possible pandemics. This once again speeds up the whole process of more positive feedback loops and crossing more points of no return and tipping points. 

Please also note that melting permafrost in the tundra is because the northernmost areas are warming twice as fast as the rest of the world. This permafrost melting also has the potential to cause local and global pandemics, as ancient viruses and bacteria are released from the permafrost. Already in Siberia, localized outbreaks of anthrax and smallpox have occurred due to the decomposition of ancient frozen animals from melting permafrost and tundra. Residents, lacking immunity or preparedness, have been unable to deal with these outbreaks, which have been exacerbated by a lack of available vaccines. 

5. Decreased carbon capture from the world's forests as temperatures rise, causing forests to transition from removing carbon from the atmosphere to becoming carbon-neutral, no longer removing carbon from the atmosphere. Carbon neutral is the state that occurs before overheated, over-stressed forests begin to release carbon back into the atmosphere.

(Click here to learn more about each item listed above.)

The most likely major tipping point to be crossed and worsen sometime in phase 1

There is an extinction-accelerating tipping point area that is the most likely first candidate to significantly accelerate the beginning of the end of humanity. It is the increased melting of summer and year-round arctic polar ice due to global warming.

It will truly have profound effects not only on worldwide weather but, more importantly, on lowering global crop yields and increasing global crop failures. It will cause an accelerating massive global starvation, which will then also destabilize national economies, politics, and society.

In the summer, when Arctic ice melts, there is less cooling of all the areas affected by Arctic weather during the growing season. The more polar ice melts each year, the less cooling occurs, and the more heat is absorbed in and during these critical growing season areas. 

To make matters worse, food crops are more susceptible to heat stress during droughts, and they are also vulnerable to heat waves, rain bombs, and cold spells when they are just beginning to grow. Unfortunately, because more ice is melting in the Arctic Ocean almost every summer and remaining melted for longer periods throughout the year, we are losing more and more critical cooling for our absolutely vital food crop growing season. 

The five major food grains are the largest source of the world's food supply. They are corn, wheat, rice, soybeans, and sorghum.

All of these grains have upper and lower temperature limits. Most of them cannot survive more than 10 days during their growing season when temperatures exceed 100° Fahrenheit, particularly if this heat occurs early in their growing season or when their soils are dry.  

Due to the continually decreasing cooling effect on growing regions below the Arctic, caused by the diminishing Arctic ice, the number of days with temperatures over 100° will continue to increase steadily as more Arctic ice melts and remains melted for longer periods throughout the year.

Because melting Arctic ice also affects and disrupts the jet stream and ocean currents like the Gulf Stream, you will also have radical and unseasonable cold spells appearing during the prime crop growing seasons around the world. This will also reduce food yields and produce more crop failures during the fragile growing season.

This means that the world will continue to experience more and larger crop reductions and failures as more polar ice melts and remains melted for longer periods. To make matters even worse, corn is one of the largest food staples for humanity, and it is also one of the most sensitive crops to temperatures of 100 degrees or more and drought.

The following is from Wikipedia:

“Since 1979, the minimum annual area of sea ice in the Arctic has dropped by about 40%, as measured each September. From sea ice models and recent satellite images, it can be expected that a sea ice-free summer will come before 2020. Models that best match historical trends project a nearly ice-free Arctic in the summer by the 2030s. However, these models do tend to underestimate the rate of sea ice loss since 2007.” (If you would like to see a video of how more polar ice is melting each summer as the years go by click here for this NASA video.)

The increasing melting of Arctic polar ice is a clear warning sign of global warming and potential severe reductions in major crop yields, as well as significant increases in future crop failures. This means not only higher prices but also ever-increasing food scarcity and increasing global starvation.

This is not something far off in the future. It is already happening in many areas of the world.

It is also already causing major migrations. This expanding and increasing polar ice melting is a major “canary in the coal mine” for increasing future mass starvation, not way off in 2100 as we have been told, but in the near years and the next few decades to follow.

Already in the growing belt of the United States, we are witnessing increased and record-breaking heat, droughts, and other extreme seasonal weather events that are having a direct impact on reducing crop yields and leading to crop failures in the most vulnerable areas. This pattern of greater crop yield reductions and crop failures will continue to intensify as long as more polar ice melts and the Arctic remains relatively ice-free for longer and longer summers. As the process of massive crop reductions and failures expands and continues, mass starvation will begin to destabilize all of our other economic, social, and political systems. 

Additionally, reduced polar ice also reduces the albedo effect, which simply is that white snow or ice reflects heat back away from the Earth and out into the atmosphere, keeping the Earth cooler. As more Arctic polar ice melts, the darker polar oceans absorb the heat and then warm up further, which in turn causes more global warming.

If temperatures continue to rise, the time frames in which we will cross more of the tipping points listed above will become shorter. But that will not be the only significant effect of melting Arctic ice due to global warming. Paradoxically, according to new studies, the melting of Arctic ice will also lead to more extreme cold and heavier snow during US winters. 

In general, increased crop yield reductions and crop failures will increasingly occur in each of the following Climageddon Scenario phases because of arctic ice melt, increased heat, increased droughts, increase cold spells and increased extreme weather storms that will make it more and more impossible for modern agriculture and the major food crops to survive throughout their current growing seasons. There are estimates that crop yield reductions and crop failures will average 5 to 10% or more for each degree that the average global temperature rises until the planet becomes so warm that far too many days of the growing season will be at 100° or more. This will make it all but impossible to successfully grow the world's major grains.

Additional thoughts on the critical importance of the global warming tipping point emergency

Because we have ignored 60 years of warming, we are already well into the global warming trajectory that leads to the collapse of civilization. This outcome is highly likely because nine of the known global warming and climate change tipping points that regulate the planet's state have been activated. See below.

These nine activated tipping points can trigger abrupt and significant releases of carbon back into the atmosphere, such as the release of carbon dioxide and methane caused by the irreversible thawing of the Arctic permafrost.

After global warming tipping points are crossed, additional warming would become self-sustaining due to both positive feedback loops within the climate system and the mutual interaction of these global warming tipping points. It is best to think about these nine interacting global warming tipping points within the climate system like a row of dominoes. 

These climate system tipping points are so interconnected that knocking over the first couple of "dominos" will most likely lead to a cascade knocking over many, if not all, of them. Once the above global warming tipping point "dominoes" begin their cascading fall, we are already at a critical point of no return.

Because of these global warming tipping points and positive feedback loops, Professor Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, director emeritus and founder of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, believes that if we exceed 2° C, we will likely reach 4° C anyway. A 4° C increase would spell the end of human civilization.

Distinguished Professor of Meteorology Michael Mann from the University of Pennsylvania recently stated that once we reach the 405 ppm carbon level in our atmosphere, a 2-degree C average global temperature increase is already baked in, and there is nothing we can do to stop it. As of February 2024, we had reached a carbon level of 427 ppm.

Johan Rockström, the head of one of Europe's leading research institutes, warned that in a 4°C warmer world, it would be "difficult to see how we could accommodate a billion people or even half of that. Not even a rich minority world survive with modern lifestyles in the post 4°C-warmer turbulent, conflict-ridden world". 

Other climate scientists have warned that once the climate warms 4 degrees C above our preindustrial average temperature, human adaptation to these temperature levels will be all but impossible!

Leading Stanford University biologists released new research recently showing species extinctions are accelerating in an unprecedented manner. This rapid loss of biodiversity is another likely tipping point for the collapse of human civilization. (These are the same Stanford biologists who were first to warn us that we are already experiencing the sixth mass extinction on Earth.)

Soon, we will lose control of the tipping points for the Amazon rainforest, the West Antarctic ice sheet, and the Greenland ice sheet in much less time than it will take us to achieve global net-zero emissions. There is a crucial way to think about this race to get to net-zero emissions before we cross more extinction-creating global warming tipping points. 

Imagine that the captain on the Titanic suddenly sees the iceberg in front of him. To slow and steer the Titanic, he needs at least 3 miles, but he is only 1 mile away from the iceberg. In this example, the Titanic is already doomed the moment the captain notices the iceberg.

This Titanic example is not much different from our current situation, as we try to reach the last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and achieve net-zero emissions. We have wasted so much time over the previous 60 years ignoring valid scientific warnings; we may not have enough time to "steer" away from extinction. 

We already have a baked-in minimal 2 -2.7 degrees C in average global temperature increase, and we have initiated the global tipping point cascade effect, which will quickly get us to 4°C and the collapse of civilization. This alone will rapidly take us to a far less habitable planet and climate, regardless of any additional global fossil fuel emission reductions we might now make.

In the image above, the Planetary Threshold dividing line is the tipping point previously mentioned of crossing over the carbon 425-450 ppm level. As one can see, once we cross that carbon 425-450 ppm Planetary Threshold line, the stability of the planetary climate rapidly collapses into an overheating, uninhabitable Earth! 

Phase 1: The following comprehensive list of Phase 1 global warming consequences is expected to continue increasing in severity, frequency, and scale from 2025 to 2031.

Many of these consequences are interconnected and interdependent. Some also exist in transformational relationships and processes, which can amplify or multiply the consequences of each other, or disrupt our ability to control these consequences.

The complete list of global warming-related consequences that will occur and continue to increase in this phase from continuing to burn fossil fuels at anything close to the rates we are now is:

1. Atmospheric heating, which increases average global temperature,

2. New disease outbreaks, epidemics, and more COVID-19-like pandemics in areas where they have never been before. (This is due to loss of natural animal habitat, eating more wild animals, additional melting of the permafrost, overcrowding, less resilient health systems, and mass migrations. Because of accelerating global warming consequences, we could be experiencing COVID-19-type pandemics every decade.)

3. shrinking sea ice and ice shelves, glaciers, and snowpack,

4. ever-increasing crop failures (because of heatwaves, rain bombs, droughts, flooding, wildfires, and other extreme weather), increasing mass starvation, and causing soaring food prices. (Please note that the world's five principal grains (rice, wheat, maize [corn], millet, and sorghum) are particularly vulnerable to crop failure when temperatures are near or above 100 degrees Fahrenheit for more than 20-30 days during their regular growing periods.) 

5. extreme storms of all kinds (hurricanes, tornadoes, rain bombs, bomb cyclones, etc,)

6. droughts,

7. clean drinking water scarcity,

8. desertification,

9. fires and wildfires,

10. flooding,

11. toxic air pollution,

12. Ocean acidification (which causes critical sea life and reefs to die. Ocean heating and ocean acidification resulting from carbon emissions from global warming will eventually kill off much of the ocean's oxygen-producing plankton. These plankton are responsible for as much as 50% of all oxygen produced on the planet.) )

13. loss of biodiversity,

14. jet stream disruption,

15. mass human migrations,

16 animal and insect migrations, 

17. forests that were a major stabilizing force absorbing carbon become neutral in their carbon absorption and stop taking carbon from the atmosphere. (Soon, in later phases, the forests will begin to release their vast stores of carbon, pushing temperatures higher even faster.)

18. economic losses. (In this phase, most nations will spend 1-3 percent of their total gross domestic product (GDP) directly or indirectly paying for the consequences of the global warming emergency.)

Click here to learn more about the technical details of how each of the previous global warming consequences will increase in severity, frequency, and scale with each progressive Climageddon phase. 

In one way or another, directly or indirectly, as the above list of heat-driven global warming consequences increases in severity, frequency, and scale, the following things occur. Many of these consequences are interconnected and interdependent. Some also exist in transformational relationships and processes, which can amplify or multiply the consequences of each other, or disrupt our ability to control these consequences.

They are the critical warning signs to watch in the news to know that the global collapse process is accelerating and worsening:

1. Due to increased global warming and other global challenges-related work disruptions, the total human capacity to work or produce will decrease significantly. This will cause more business and product distribution interruptions, business and personal uncertainty, as well as more unemployment and homelessness.

2. There will be less food available from failed and shrinking food crops due to many of the extreme climate consequences, such as extreme heat, droughts, flooding, rain bombs, nonseasonal weather, and other extreme weather events.

3. Many food prices will rise considerably more than the normal cost-of-living increases. (For example, fish prices will rise considerably as the remaining over-stressed fish stocks are depleted to near extinction.

4. More people will be starving.

5. The cost of living for repairs, maintenance, building, or rebuilding in areas safer from global warming will continue to rise significantly. There will be more homelessness everywhere.

6. There will be increasing disease, epidemics, and pandemics as conditions worsen and health services are stretched thin.

7. There will be increasing mass migrations of starving, sick, and unemployed people fleeing from the many climate consequences, as well as from an ever-increasing number of unstable or collapsed economies or nations.

8. There will be widespread, survival-driven criminality by larger and larger portions of a starving, unemployed, homeless, or migrant population. Imagine increasing numbers of desperate individuals and groups trying to stay alive by any means possible. Now, imagine your favorite dystopian movie, such as Mad Max. This will give you a small taste of what the future struggle to stay alive will be like, as most of the global challenges mentioned earlier continue to worsen.

9. Because of the growing survival-driven criminality, migrations, and social and political chaos, governments will impose states of emergency and martial law, resulting in increased restrictions, suffering, and the loss of many hard-won human rights. Nations will be forced to become more military and totalitarian in their control of the population to deal with the growing losses, chaos, and shortages of essential resources.

10. As social, economic, and political chaos spreads, it will trigger more regional, national, and international conflicts, as well as more conventional wars. There will also be a significant potential for a new nuclear, biological, or chemical war. These conflicts and wars will be due to increasing food and other resource scarcity, scarcity of land suitable for global warming, unstoppable mass migrations, and the other consequences listed on this page.

11. When all of the above items are taken collectively, it will cause even the strongest nations' economies and political systems to collapse. 

12. Once most of the national governments have collapsed, the nuclear reactors, chemical, and biological weapons, and their manufacturing, service, and storage facilities will become compromised. This is because there will be no or few functioning national governments to maintain operations or security for these sites. Hundreds of millions will sicken and die as nuclear reactors go critical and melt down, spewing toxic radiation worldwide. Millions more will sicken and die from the releases of insecure biological weapons and industrial chemicals. If too many nuclear reactors go critical and melt down, the radiation circling the planets will kill off everything.  

13. As all of the above intensifies, human suffering and global deaths will continue to rise exponentially. Human deaths will eventually reach mass extinction or even near-total extinction levels, and what we have known to be our civilization will collapse.

14. If there are any unlucky survivors after the global collapse, they will most likely enter a new Dark Age. But, this will not be like the Dark Ages that occurred during the Middle Ages. It will be far worse.

If 90% or more of the human population, or even close to that percentage, is lost because of climate change and the other world crises (described on this page) intersecting with climate change, it is highly likely we will enter into a new Dark Age where previous technological and knowledge levels cannot be sustained. This dark age could last for hundreds to thousands of years, and society needs to rebuild itself to keep up with its current technological and knowledge levels.

However, even if society rebuilds its technical and knowledge base over hundreds of thousands of years, it will be incredibly difficult because the Industrial Revolution and the Information Age that followed it were powered, fueled, and dependent on easy access to relatively cheap fossil fuels, such as coal and, particularly, oil. If or when humanity enters the next Dark Age, it will not be able to access easily accessible or inexpensive oil using remaining or functioning post-collapse technology, because even today, easily accessible and inexpensive oil and coal have largely disappeared. Rebuilding the modern world we have today after a new Dark Age would be all but impossible without the energy sources that powered the Industrial Revolution and the Information Age.

And finally,

15. Suppose we do not experience a complete runaway global warming event, and we make it through the post-collapse new Dark Ages. In that case, it will take centuries to thousands of years for nature and the climate system to return to balance. Only then will the conditions suitable for humans to thrive once again exist-- if any humans are left at that time. (Complete runaway global warming is where the average global temperature keeps rising until Earth's atmosphere is ripped off into space, like what happened on Venus.)

Hopefully, at this far-distant time, any surviving bands, clans, tribes, or communities that are still functioning will have learned the first great global collapse lessons and changed their behaviors. They will now model the necessary new behaviors, such as the principles of sustainable prosperity and the principles of evolutionary success, among other potential policies, to ultimately resolve all the issues raised in the global challenges described above. 

If these survivors have genuinely learned the lessons from the first great global collapse of civilization, they will develop a new worldview and new economic, political, and social systems. This new worldview will provide the tools and opportunity for a tremendous new rebuilding and reboot of humanity. 

Humanity will have the opportunity to experience a unique renaissance, where humankind and nature come into balance, allowing both to flourish once again. Whatever remains of humanity will embark on the greatest evolutionary adventure in our history.

Fasten your seat belts. Strap on your shoulder harness and put on your helmets. We are entering the extreme turbulence of the beginning of the global collapse process. The COVID-19 pandemic and the current global recession/depression are just a small beginning of it.

Unfortunately, it is going to get a whole lot worse before our governments take it seriously and act! The baby boomers (born between 1946 and 1964) are likely to be the last generation to experience any near-continuous measure of stability, security, and safety during their lifetimes. But even they will have a very rough ride as they approach the end of their years.

Phase 1: From 2020 to 2031, there will be continual critical reactions to the consequences of global warming, which will exacerbate our other global challenges (listed below), intensifying and worsening many of the global warming consequences of this phase, as well as our other global challenges themselves.

Here are the other non-global warming challenges to our global society that will both interact with each other and likely continue to worsen in this phase of the Climageddon Scenario. Please note that while the Climageddon Scenario primarily focuses on global warming, it must also encompass all of our major other global challenges, as listed below. This is because most of these other global challenges will interact with global warming, and many of them will further intensify the consequences of global warming.

The other major global challenges listed below are steadily worsening over time and are likely to exacerbate economic, social, and political instability, uncertainty, and chaos, further compounding the destruction caused by global warming in this phase. In some cases, these challenges worsening over time can even accelerate the negative effects of economic, social, and political instability, uncertainty, and chaos caused by global warming within this particular Climageddon Scenario phase. 

While you are reading the 12 major global crises below in addition to the climate change threat described elsewhere on this page and throughout the website, do not forget that they are NOT separate, stand-alone, or unconnected occurrences. The 12 global crises listed below are highly interactive, interconnected, and interdependent with one another. When any of them worsens, it can cause the worsening of several or even most global crises. And most of the 12 global crisis listed below will interact and worsen because of accelerating climate change.

Continue to think of the following 12 global crises and climate change like an intertwined plate of spaghetti in the image below. Each separate noodle (global crisis) touches the others and is capable of affecting the other noodles (global crises) with their sauce, heat, "flavor," or condition.

The collapse crisis we describe below is simultaneously humanity's greatest opportunity to resolve many intractable global problems and inequities that could not (and have not) been previously solved. The end of this document will also point you toward information on how the Great Global Collapse can be transformed into humanity's greatest opportunity and potential for a Great Global Rebirth.

(Please note that we did not prioritize this list because individuals will see these crises with different values and priorities. We also did not include a sudden global thermal nuclear war in humanity's greatest global challenges as its own special category. We did not include it that way because it is a commonly accepted and known given, that in any moment, since the beginning of the Cold War, the world could tumble into global nuclear war. If so, the world would be basically over for all of humanity within days or months, except for those people in fallout shelters who would try to survive for decades to hundreds of years until the planet stops being radioactive.

While it is a real growing risk, it is not something that most people have any influence over. We did indirectly, although included in the section on conflicts and wars that could escalate into nuclear because of all of the 13 global crisis going on at one time.)

Global Crisis and Challenge 1: The Earth is overpopulated.

The Earth has a carrying capacity of approximately 1.5 billion to 2 billion people, as illustrated in the figure below. On average, about 141 million people are born every year, and usually, pre-pandemic, 50 million people a year died.

We are currently at nearly 8 billion people, on track to reach 9.8 billion by 2050. Although we have already surpassed sustainable population levels, no government is currently implementing a human reproduction policy. Future and current generations will suffer unthinkable catastrophes because, as humanity, we failed to manage the size of our global population to match the sustainable carrying capacity of our global environment and the Earth's available and renewable resources.

Overpopulation and its inevitable overconsumption beyond our carrying capacity are the primary causes behind today's global warning emergency. Furthermore, as the global population continues to rise, the additional population further multiplies and amplifies the most harmful consequences of almost all the other 12 global crises below. This is particularly true for global resource depletion, aka global resources overshoot. (See Global Crisis and Challenge 2.)

Overpopulation also exacerbates the numerous primary and secondary consequences of runaway global heating, which are further discussed on this page. 

(For a candid and balanced article on the immense suffering caused by our global overpopulation challenge, please see this article, Population, the Great Knee-Jerker: A Holistic Survey and Plea to Reduce Suffering.) Please also click this carrying capacity link for more about why our beyond carrying capacity and rapidly rising overpopulation challenge is extremely dangerous to everyone's future.)

As you will discover, overpopulation and Crisis 2 below are intimately intertwined and connected.

Global Crisis and Challenge 2: Overconsumption is causing ever-rising, critical global resource depletion. 

This overconsumption is also known as global resources overshoot.) This overshoot is driven first by overpopulation in relation to the carrying capacity of the land and sea acreage available for a given population.

Overshoot also manifests itself in the consequent toxic pollution of water, lands, and air, crop failures, overfishing, topsoil loss, resource distribution injustice, and the massive "overconsumption and waste" of the Earth's very finite resources and its limited carrying capacity. In addition to the numerous consequences of runaway global heating, which include crop failures, global resource depletion, such as phosphate fertilizers, will significantly exacerbate food shortages and lead to soaring food prices, ultimately resulting in mass starvation and migration.

The future is likely to face numerous resource shortages due to overshoot. Expect shortages in clean, drinkable water, food, raw materials, and medical and other manufactured supplies. Never forget that a critical or essential missing resource can halt the entire system's functioning. 

We are likely to experience numerous resource shortages in the near future. For example, the following are estimates of when only a few of our critical global resources will be depleted:

Freshwater in 12 years (2032),

Fish stocks will be almost totally gone by 2050,

Adequate topsoil for crop growing will be gone by 2070.

(See this page to see 90 percent of fish stock already overfished and to see charts on how this loss will throw much of the world into starvation.) The rapid depletion of phosphorus, a critical nutrient for crop fertilizers, is of particular concern. Adequate access to this could run out in as little as 35 to 45 years.

If you still do not believe that resource depletion and overshoot of our carrying capacity is a huge problem. Watch this fantastic resource overshoot video with great graphics, global resource depletion amounts, and time frames in simple illustrations by Hugh Montgomery, a noted English professor. (We strongly recommend you watch this video for all the food and non-food resources in accelerating depletion, adding to the mass starvation peril. [Forward the video to the 10 minutes and 30-second mark to begin watching Professor Hugh Montgomery's compelling graphic presentation.])

Many other critical mineral and non-mineral resources will also run out soon. Click here to see a chart with the key essential resources that will be depleted. After overpopulation, which is the main amplifier of global resource depletion, overshoot is considered by most experts to be the key major cause behind or feeding runaway global heating and almost all of our other listed12 global crises.

Global Crisis and Challenge 3: Escalating pollution of lands, air, and waters. 

Ongoing and accelerating toxic pollution kills crops and fish stocks and poisons our air, water, and soil, creating and accelerating all types of global health, social, and economic problems. (Ocean heating and ocean acidification from carbon from runaway global heating will eventually kill off much of the oceans' oxygen-producing plankton. These plankton are responsible for as much as 50% of all oxygen produced on the planet.) 

Pollution from micro-plastics in the air, water, soil, and food chain and the new presence of the now-everywhere PFAS "forever chemicals" are deeply concerning for our future. Future generations, with their accelerated cancer and other pollution-related disease rates, will curse us because of our greed and incompetence in failing to regulate microplastic and PFAS production. 

Global Crisis and Challenge 4: loss of biodiversity.

We are experiencing a higher rate of plant and animal extinctions than at any other time in human history. This extinction, in part, is due to an ongoing and accelerating loss of natural habitat due to overpopulation, runaway global heating, overuse, pollution, etc. (Leading Stanford University biologists, who were first to reveal that we are already experiencing the sixth mass extinction on Earth, released new research this week showing species extinctions are accelerating in an unprecedented manner, which may be another tipping point for the collapse of human civilization.) This biodiversity is critical because it supports or is essential to our critical food chains.

 Global Crisis and Challenge 5 : Mass migrations.

Political and economic instability, increasing terrorism, conflicts, and war, plus runaway global heating and many of the other listed global challenges on this page, will both create and expand sudden, massive migrations of millions, then billions, of desperate refugees and climate migrants. During this phase, as most of the listed global challenges on this page intensify, various stronger governments will order precautionary evacuations of selected individuals and groups to limit casualties and losses from their most vulnerable areas. Before 2030-2035, due to runaway global heating alone, the world will see hundreds of millions of climate migrants (climate refugees).

Global Crisis and Challenge 6: Escalating local, regional, and international criminality, conflicts, terrorism, and war. 

Expect these population-destabilizing security and stability threats to intensify, increase in frequency, and expand in scale. This threat escalation will occur at local levels, both urban and rural, as well as at regional and international levels. Vastly increased levels of survival-driven criminality, conflicts, terrorism, and war will be due to the world experiencing almost all of the global challenges on this page getting steadily worse. Global nuclear or widespread chemical or biological war is also a real and escalating threat, as most global challenges on this page worsen. 

Nations with nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons will eventually fight to the death for the few remaining safe lands, dwindling food supplies, and other critical resources. In addition, the ever-increasing mass migrations of desperate climate refugees (climagees) illegally crossing borders will soon be treated as hostile territorial invasions. We estimate that when atmospheric carbon reaches about a 425-450 ppm level, we will begin to see a sharp and almost exponential rise in these issues. 

Global Crisis and Challenge 7: increasing global economic instabilities 

This will lead to the first global or multinational recession or depression. (These new monster recessions and depressions will be fueled by the ever-rising costs and, worse, climate change consequences, as well as being driven by escalating national debt and deficits, using exotic new investment vehicles like the deregulated hedge fund trading and derivatives that "gamed the system" in the 2008 economic crash. 

The first real global depression or recession could also occur sooner than we are prepared for due to bursting balloons in new real estate or commodities, new challenges to the US currency continuing as the world's reserve currency, lack of adequate national financial reserves, low financial system resilience, hidden pre-existing global economic system weaknesses, new and unexpected major economic shocks (like a new COVID mutation, new military conflicts, escalating and costly runaway global heating catastrophes or even some unforeseen risk from the rising global use and speculation on cryptocurrencies. 

Suppose any of the above (or other currently unknown major financial risks) hit our multinational or global economic systems with sufficient intensity. In that case, we will experience our first true global depression or recession, where almost every nation will share the same painful levels of economic downturn. Our national, multinational, and international financial systems are much more vulnerable and fragile than we are being led to believe.

Global Crisis and Challenge 8: Increasing Political System Instability and Collapsing Governments. 

Fueled by escalating climate change consequences, existing internal and external conflicts, soaring deficits, and the other intensifying global challenges listed on this page, poorly managed nations with weak economies and low existing resilience will fall first. In 2025, numerous countries are on the verge of economic or political collapse. As the increased stresses of these listed global challenges continue to grow upon all nations, stronger nations will also steadily collapse.  

Global Crisis and Challenge 9: The rise of many more dictators and ultra-nationalistic governments

Some of them will harness the power of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies to monitor and control their populations. The 13 major global problems listed on this page will naturally produce fear in humanity. When people are in fear, they look to a strong personality or leader who promises simple solutions and acts deliberately. With the recent change in the US administration, 71% of the world's population is currently under what would be considered authoritarian rule.

The cycle of fear over intensifying global and local problems has happened repeatedly. The best example is the rise of Nazism and Adolf Hitler. 

As things steadily worsen toward multiple global systems collapses, national citizens' fear responses will intensify. Globalpolitics and politicians will quickly move more toward right-wing nationalism and "cult of personality-type" dictators.

These new ultra-nationalistic governments run by dictators will not hesitate to use the many powers of artificial intelligence to monitor every move of their citizens and use AI technology to control their citizens' thoughts, beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors. Adding the new AI technology to the previous three generations of mind control and coercive persuasion technologies allows the dictators of tomorrow to create the perfect slave state far beyond what was envisioned by George Orwell in his book 1984.

How soon more global governments move to ultra-nationalistic right-wing dictatorships will be determined by how fast the 13 global problems you see on this page worsen and how fast human fear is fueled by ruthless politicians and ratcheted up by our worsening conditions. The bad news is that --- at only our current level of worsening of these 13 factors, one can see more fear and global challenges to democratic governments from nationalistic right-wing movements and more countries becoming more nationalistic, right-wing, and dictator-friendly.

Global Crisis and Challenge 10: New COVID-19-like pandemics and other new and older disease epidemics will continue to flare up every decade or less. 

This will partly be due to the consequences of runaway global heating, including the melting of permafrost, loss of natural animal habitats, increased consumption of wild animals, overcrowding, less resilient health systems, mass migrations, wars and conflicts, and many of the other challenges and consequences listed on this page. Additionally, new and older disease epidemics will occur more frequently and be more severe because of the abuse of antibiotics in animal product production. This abuse has resulted in bacteria that are now resistant to every known type of antibiotic. 

Worse yet, it is estimated that we will face a new global pandemic threat every 5-10 years due to the direct and indirect consequences of runaway global heating. (Most people have no idea that pandemics and epidemics are also part of the predicted "normal" results of the escalating global heating emergency.) 

Directly and indirectly, the severe loss of natural wild animal habitat caused by runaway global heating, the eating of more wild and non-domesticated animals, and the exploding of hungry world populations crowding into urban areas will be a continuous contributing or the prime cause of new zoological Covid-like diseases crossing over from animal populations into human populations and becoming pandemics.

More COVID-19-type global pandemics could come as often as every decade. The AIDS virus became widespread in the late 1970s, the SARS virus in 2003, the MERS virus in 2012, and the Ebola virus in 2013. Click here for more about how escalating runaway global heating may begin producing COVID-19-like pandemics every decade. 

Global Crisis and Challenge 11: growing economic inequality, social and racial injustice, and more poverty. 

As all of the above global challenges and emergencies worsen and climate change accelerates, there will be rapidly growing economic inequality, social and racial injustice, and more poverty. Today, less than 1% of the world's population owns more than 50% of all wealth. Over the last several decades, this ownership percentage has continued to grow in favor of the wealthy. Growing economic inequality and poverty often increase food shortages and cause food prices to soar, leading again to mass starvation and migrations. This year (2020,) 130 million people are lacking adequate food and could starve to death. COVID-19's effect on the world economy could double that number in the next few years. Over the following decades, global heating consequences will raise that number into the hundreds of millions, eventually rising well past a billion.) 

Global Crisis and Challenge 12: Fourth-generation mind control technology combined with supercomputers, artificial intelligence (AI), social media, and surveillance, identification, and tracking technologies will steadily destroy existing democracies and turn most of the global population into the enslaved.

It is estimated that 70% of the world's population is already under dictatorial or authoritarian governmental control. When you combine fourth-generation mind control with AI, supercomputers, surveillance software, and other technologies, it will not take long at all to put most of the rest of the world into nations controlled by dictators and authoritarian governments. When these technologies work together, it will not take long for outside and internal forces to bring down the strongest democracies.

The rapidly rising extreme dangers of fourth generation mind control to the world's population, (and the three generations of mind control technology that have proceeded it, explain how our stone-age impaired brains are also being attacked and compromised by 4th generation mind control technology enabled by supercomputers, advanced algorithms, artificial intelligence (AI) surveillance and identification software, and today's social media and search platforms.

This AI and social media-enabled mind control attack of hidden manipulation is not only enhancing tensions but also polarizing people worldwide. It is also causing people to lose the ability to reason and distinguish between what is true and what is false.

This 4ht generation mind control is dangerous because, without the ability to see and know truth from falsehood independently, the world will continue making terrible decisions on our many global challenges. Social media fake news propagation is also super-charging racial, ethnic, religious, and national political tensions worldwide to make matters worse. This super-charging effect will eventually and most certainly produce more racial, ethnic, religious, and national conflicts, maybe even new racial, ethnic, religious, and national wars.

Before we describe the basics of 4th-generation mind control, we strongly recommend watching the shocking Netflix documentary, The Social Dilemma, first. It will set the necessary foundation for you to understand the invisible tactics used and to know why fourth-generation mind control is already another severe and vast problem inhibiting our ability to solve our current global challenges. Additionally, the everyday use of fourth-generation mind control by social media companies is not only hindering our ability to think and solve global challenges; it is also significantly exacerbating the worst consequences of those challenges.

In this new documentary, you will hear top executives from Silicon Valley's most prominent social media companies telling you the world is in a new grave danger and that we must regulate and remove this danger immediately. They also will warn you that AI and supercomputers have twisted social media into a new form of ultra-sophisticated, hidden nano-manipulation whose fundamental purpose is to get you to change your opinions, beliefs, and sense of identity to ultimately change your behavior without either your awareness or conscious consent.

Once you have viewed the Netflix documentary called The Social Dilemma, you are ready to continue with this brief explanation of the four generations of mind control:

a. First-generation mild control is almost as old as humanity. It appeared in ancient Egyptian and other cults where a member was put through many highly restrictive, cathartic, and stressful experiences. This process would often also involve the use of drugs, a fake death, and a "miraculous drugged "rebirth from the "death" experience. The reborn individual would then assume the cult's new identity because the cult had saved their lives.

The subject usually also became a fanatical true believer. First-generation mind control was time-consuming and labor-intensive. Think of it as a one-by-one assembly line. (For more, see the initiation rites of Hashish Assassins.)

b. Second-generation mild control was advanced in the 1950s when modern psychology tactics were integrated with many ancient first-generation cult tactics. The Russians, Koreans, and Chinese all used second-generation tactics in their Gulags and thought-reform prison camps on political dissidents. The Koreans made second-generation mind control effectiveness famous when they captured US Air Force pilots and used it so effectively that the pilots went on International TV and denounced America and the American way of life.

Second-generation mind control was more refined and also less time-consuming. Numerous handlers were still needed in the prison camps to execute the program, which involved applying and maintaining continuous stress on the subjects until they broke. Think of an assembly line that could produce more cost-effective mind control victims whose opinions, beliefs, and identities had been radically changed. (For more, search the descriptions of what was done in Korea to downed US pilots during the Korean War.

c. Third-generation mild control was advanced in the 1960s by cults like Scientology, the Moonies, and Hare Krishna. Here, coercive influence tactics of modern psychology were integrated with many of the ancient first-generation cult tactics. Unlike the Russians, Korean, and Chinese Gulags and their use of thought-reform prison camps, these modern cults had refined the mind control tactics to newer micro-influence levels, no longer requiring physical constraint or physical abuse.

Third-generation mind control was less time-consuming and labor-intensive because it could be done not one by one, like in earlier mind control generations, but on a whole group of people at the same time. This group application was achieved by controlling almost every area of their existence in the cult. (What they wore, ate, thought, did, etc.)

Stress was still applied continuously but more skillfully, secretively, and gradually in micro-steps. Think of a faster, better coercive influence group assembly line, which also could produce more cost-effective mind control victims whose opinions, beliefs, and identity had been radically changed more efficiently and faster. (If you read George Orwell's 1984, you will have a good idea of what life was like inside these third-generation mind-control cults. For more, search for what was done to victims of the cults mentioned above in the many lawsuits filed against them.)

d. Fourth-generation mild control began not long after the creation of social media, and Silicon Valley launched the new search platforms. Fourth-generation mind control represents a significant leap from individual or group applications to mass applications. No longer did one have to be imprisoned or even be in a high-control, high-restriction cult to be the victim of this new hidden and even more dangerous mind control.

Fourth-generation mind control uses supercomputers, artificial intelligence (AI), complex algorithms, the psychology of influence and behavioral change, tightly controlled echo chambers, and some earlier-generation deceit and hidden influence tactics. Fourth-generation mind control methodically gathers and scrapes every bit of information from every online and offline source possible about you and your life. It will use the collected information about you from every type of electronic transaction you are involved in, both online and offline. 

Fourth generation's AI capabilities will analyze the movies you watch, the books you read, the products you buy, the churches you go to, your current health, the drugs you take, the political parties and nonprofit organizations you donate to, and every article or letter or post you have ever written, and much much more. It will then analyze all of this information for every current opinion, belief, attitude, and core sense of identity that you believe yourself to be. 

In gradual, even nano-scaled steps, using the supercomputer automation powers of fourth-generation mind control, a program will then be created that continuously and invisibly influences your every interest, weakness, and proclivity. These continuous gradual nano-steps make it even easier to change the subject's opinions, beliefs, and even their core sense of who they believe they are (their identity), and they have no idea this is happening.

Fourth-generation mind control is magnitudes more powerful than the previous three generations of mind control. It is the least time-consuming and labor-intensive method because it is primarily performed by computers and artificial intelligence, which can monitor an individual's information and responses and feed back what the program's creators want that person to think, believe, or do in tiny, invisible steps. It also far surpasses the danger of the three previous methods of mind control because it is being done to billions of people simultaneously, not just the small groups, as in third-generation mind control. 

In fourth-generation mind control, stress is still applied continuously but far more skillfully, secretively, and gradually than in any other mind control generation.

Think of fourth-generation mind control as a faster, better mass production assembly line that can more cost-effectively produce billions of mind control victims and enslaved people over the next few decades. Think of fourth-generation mind control as the quickest, most invisible, and most advanced technology of modern civilization being used against our stone-age brains. 

Yes, our stone-age brains will never have a chance unless we regulate and ban the tools of fourth-generation mind control from being used on our children or manipulating every person now using social media, computers, or any electronic device where messages could be presented to you and/or feedback from your reactions monitored. (For more, watch the Social Dilemma documentary on Netflix. In clear and precise ways, it will reveal the many subtle and invisible ways that today's social media is employing fourth-generation mind control to subtly alter your opinions, beliefs, identity, and behavior without your awareness or consent.

Fourth-generation mind control technology, when linked with supercomputers, AI, and other new software, can be used for many purposes. Here are just a few:

1. Foreign authoritarian governments can undermine democracy through social media networks within those democracies.

2. Corporations and political parties can use it in social media and other electronic media to cause distrust of trusted sources, attack adversaries, polarize a population, generate debilitating fear and anxiety, which could motivate individuals to vote for solutions or act in ways that would actually harm them, attack disfavored or marginalized groups and create new or altered national or individual origin stores and identities.

3. To spread false information and propaganda far more effectively.

In 2025, it is estimated that dictatorial or authoritarian governments are governing 72% of the world's population. As more ruthless, primitive alphas seek more power, the tools of fourth-generation mind control will sweep through every part of the world, destroying what fragile democracies still exist. Fourth-generation mind control will create the ultimate police state far beyond the mind-controlled 1984, predicted by George Orwell. It will create a world of horrors far beyond those depicted in all of our dystopian movies. You're every thought, belief, attitude, opinion, and who you believe yourself to be will become the finished product of those who control fourth-generation mind control.

What will you do to prevent this from happening? Please take a moment to consider this additional accelerating global emergency, problem, and challenge.

Fourth-generation mind control is designed to turn us all into controlled enslaved people who will genuinely still believe that they are creating their own thoughts, beliefs, attitudes, decisions, and conclusions when they are actually being manipulated and controlled by those individuals, corporations, and governments who see the immoral and despicable advantages of using fourth generation mind control tools.

Populations being controlled with fourth-generation mind control will not be able to see reality and truth as it is. Eventually, it is certain that those populations will create or continue the problems that will ultimately destroy them.

The money and power greed of Silicon Valley entrepreneurs and venture capitalists, some of which may not understand modern mind control technology or how their AI and supercomputer software innovations can be used or combined with other cutting-edge surveillance and identification software by the ruthless to create the ultimate advancement in mind control are unknowing and knowingly creating the perfect tools for the ultimate far beyond 1984 police state. The irony of this is that for decades, Silicon Valley has been recruiting young people t by vigorously promoting that their new products will help make a better, more democratic world.

Some reasons why most of our above critical global challenges have not been solved or will be nearly impossible to fix

The following are not all of the reasons that it is highly unlikely that we will be able to resolve the above global challenges. Here are only several of the most important and overarching reasons:  

Reason 1: Our failure to evolve effective global governance with the needed legislative, judicial, and enforceable executive powers to solve all of the global challenges that cross national borders. If you think about it deeply, you will discover that this critical evolutionary failure, in not yet having developed effective global governance, is a core structural cause of why most of the above global challenges have not been resolved and continue to worsen. 

Even though it looks like someone manages the well-being of the planet as a whole from the United Nations or our international treaties, this is an illusion! No one governing body is effectively or responsibly driving the global "car," and it is speeding toward a cliff without a driver. 

Reason 2: Wealthy vested interests have compromised the effectiveness of our national governments. More often than not, our national government's decisions are not based on the long-term well-being of the general population. They are based on increasing the short-term financial and power advantages of a few ultra-wealthy individuals and corporations that fund politicians openly or secretly. Consequently, decisions favoring the interests of the privileged ultra-wealthy most often harm the general well-being of the many. 

Reason 3: We have hunter-gatherer brains, developed before the Stone Age, trying to manage the twenty-first-century, highly complex, self-organizing global systems. The physical structure of our minds has remained largely unchanged for over a million years. Our biological brains were developed in response to the simple demands of the Stone Age, such as hunting and gathering food. 

Our Stone Age brain structure cannot sufficiently comprehend or perform all the complex data analyses and calculations needed to manage adaptable systems like the global climate, the global economy, and the global environment, while balancing and managing international and global politics without endless war and conflict. 

The average planetary IQ is only about 100. Even genius-level individuals (IQ 140 and up) cannot keep up with the ever-increasing amounts of new information and ever-increasing technical and other global system complexities. To cope, our stone-age brains automatically revert to behaviors based on emotions, self-interest, and the comfort of superstitions. Consequently, we often fail to recognize or understand the most severe problems within various global systems until it is too late to avoid the worst possible catastrophes, i.e., the global warming extinction emergency and the ongoing collapse of global civilization. (Both of which are occurring because of either the convergence or the amplification of the global challenges listed above.)

Reason 4: Most of our current leaders have both stone-age minds and stone-age leadership qualities.
We are still evolving members of the ape family. We proudly try to distance ourselves from our ape animal roots by calling ourselves humans. Despite our cultures continually trying to make us unaware of our evolutionary nature, we are all still largely subject to our ancient biological animal drives, and so too are our current leaders.

Most of our current leaders had to possess a high degree of stone-age alpha male qualities, or they would never have become leaders in their area. Those stone-age alpha leadership qualities are used to command the pack with fear of violence, actual violence, and deceit. They most often employ these and other aggressive intimidation tactics to maintain their power, privilege, and self-interest.

Stone Age alphas will give excellent lip service to the common goals or the greater good of all, but they are always cleverly protecting and advancing their own interests or adding to their assets, most often at the expense of those they lead.

Unless society can remove these unevolved, stone-age alphas from group leadership positions, it will continue to have the world we have now, and it will be far more difficult to fix.

This deficiency in stone-age leadership means that societies worldwide will soon need to establish minimum standards for their leaders' cognitive, social-emotional, and moral development. To manage the complexity and vast amounts of information in modern society, our society should also set minimum educational and intelligence levels for all critical leaders. We also need to ensure our leaders are well versed in scientific falsification methodology, basic logic, systems thinking, ethics, and dialectical meta-systemic thinking (Otto Laske.)

Not only should there be minimal developmental and skill levels set for all critical leadership positions, but there should also be recommended levels for cognitive, social-emotional, and moral development, as well as education and intelligence. This way, the population can make more informed choices about who to elect or choose for critical positions. Luckily, science has already laid out the highest levels of human cognitive, social-emotional, and moral development in the works of Abraham Maslow, Claire Graves, Robert Kegan, Lawrence Kohlberg, and Otto Laske.

Today's world does not need more aggressive, self-centered, and genetically confident stone-age alpha leaders. We need more of the new and evolved alpha leaders. 

To successfully solve the world's current challenges, societies must eventually remove all stone-age alpha leaders from their most crucial power positions. It must replace them with the best-educated, smartest, and most cognitively, socially, emotionally, and morally developed new alpha leaders.

With these highly evolved new alpha leaders, we will have the leaders needed for today's complex world. They will be the leaders genuinely dedicated to using their skills and gifts to resolve our current problems in ways that truly improve the collective's overall wellbeing.

For more about dialectical meta-systemic thinking, click here.

Reason 5: Fundamental Evolutionary Flaws in Human Language

Human language is produced in the brain in a layered manner. Human language is initially learned, in infancy, based on memorized sound patterns. The patterns are associated, not with logic, but with emotion. The next brain level, again in early childhood, groups sound patterns of simple words and simple-logical phrases. These are referred to as Single Sentence Logic (SSL). These two processes, each with its own corresponding brain layer, work extremely quickly. This fast response provides a substantial survival advantage in a hunter-gatherer environment.

It is not until much later in a child's development that the ability to handle intricate word patterns like paragraphs, pages, books, and libraries, on a logical basis, is formed in additional separate layers. The problem is, this brain structure leads to significant difficulties for complex modern communications. It takes a relatively long time interval to process complex issues. 

Many private, corporate, and governmental entities seek to influence and manipulate people. Using quickly presented, short "sound bites," filled with emotional "trigger" words, they can effectively saturate the fast layers, blocking higher levels of thinking in most people. As social complexity increases, most people's ability to understand and resolve complex problems is largely overwhelmed by the media's bombardment with rapid emotional triggers.

Reason 6: The explosion of technology and complexity is not compatible with how human brains evolved

The explosion of technology has also introduced extreme complexity into how we use tools and instruments, and into all commercial and social interactions! For all the technical elements to work together, a very complex set of rules and information is required. We would have to memorize many thousands of pages of detailed directions. To fully engage in all our commercial and social interactions, we would also have to memorize many thousands of pages of law books and read and remember all the words in every contract and agreement we sign. This high complexity also means actions and decisions must be made much faster. Timing becomes critical, and every piece of technology-dependent information must be precise and accurate. There isn't time to check into the reference material. Human brains can't do even a small fraction of this. So, people don't do it. They make up their own "workarounds" (i.e., superstitions), which, of course, are not compatible with anyone else's. The result is, that interactions with both machines and other people constantly don't work the way we expect! 

Reason 7: Evolved human psychology drives individuals toward self-centered individual survival

Humans cannot escape the numerous strong survival drives that have been hard-wired into them over millions of years of vertebrate evolution.

Due to the rapidity of messaging, we can't take the time to research and understand complex issues or operate the equipment correctly. To "cope," the human brain invents "shortcuts" - i.e., "superstitions" about what has been said or how things work. Because of the continual breakdown of equipment and interpersonal interactions and the rapid emotional media assault of messages, individuals believe they are being assaulted. The assaults are interpreted as "threats" by our evolved self-centered personal defenses for survival. They are direct attacks on our inherent concepts of individual freedom. Our "fight or flight" defenses evolved to deal with "tangible" adversaries. Our brain uses the invented superstitions to assign "blame" for their pain. The blame must have a "name"! This complexity and flawed language vs. freedom dichotomy directly explains the current extreme polarization of social groups, governments, and political beliefs.

Ironically, before science broke open our vast understanding of nature, the forces of nature, in the form of demons, were the most common culprits. With such thinking largely discredited, our made-up superstitions are now more often aimed at each other! These "selfish gene" drives lead to social conflict and violence. When confronted with this, society's response has gone from simple admonishment to putting people in prison or even putting them to death. The problem is that these drives run so deep; even this entire range of responses has failed. The results have been 12,000+ years of war and conflict. To achieve a peaceful and sustainable future, radically new approaches are needed to manage the conflict between self-interest and community interest. A patchwork of fixes has not worked and will not work.

Reason 8: Our current form of democracy has reached its limits.

"Democracy," or more specifically, "Athenian Democracy" in the form of a Republic, as it is now implemented worldwide, is incompatible with the technology-produced conditions of modern society. Ancient Athens had a small, sparse population, simple technology, and relatively similar self-sufficient farmers. Their culture was dominated by one national religion and very homogeneous practices. This simple "social environment" continued well into the 18th century. It allowed the concept of "majority voting" to work and provide most people with an "acceptable" outcome. ALL these factors have now changed.

We now have huge populations with hundreds of interspersed beliefs and cultures that are radically different. A hyper-specialized workforce breaks down the prevailing "agricultural culture" that bonded most people. Additionally, complex, hyper-integrated new technologies force all of these cultures to adopt narrow approaches for communication and interaction that are unfamiliar to them all. All of the alternate forms of democracy currently in use or being discussed rely on the limiting singular "winner" outcome of "majority voting" to determine social action. In societies with hundreds of competing cultures, no "singular result" can come anywhere near close to providing most people with an acceptable result. The result is that most people "feel" the result of any government decision, which always has many provisions that don't address their needs, as a "government tyranny" against them. The product is population unrest, distrust, or hate of the government around the world.

In ancient Athens, with a population under 100,000, "congresses" of as many as 4,000 citizens were assembled as "representatives". These were predominantly farmers, making decisions for farmers. Even so, a very sophisticated machine was built to ensure that every representative was selected without bias or allegiance to a social group!

Today, a few hundred people (politicians) are chosen to represent hundreds of millions of citizens, each with very different job skills, social situations, educational backgrounds, etc. The requirements for preventing bias or allegiance, which the Athenians in 500BC already understood, were a cornerstone for democracy to work and have been thrown to the wind. So, not only is the majority wins "singular result" a major flaw, the process that actively steers representatives into the hands of political parties and industrial "lobbying" completely severs any logical connection between current "democracies" and the original implementation of that term. By design, contemporary "democracies" can only be hotbeds for corruption and government failure. "Democracy" must now evolve to new forms that solve all the 8 problems listed above if we are ever to solve our critical global challenges (described above.)

What happens when you mix everything above together in Phase 1?

When considering the collective and individual impacts of the above, you must also consider their direct and indirect effects on human social, economic, and political systems, as well as the tipping points within these unique human systems. For example, as we continue to experience more of the multiplying, amplifying, and magnifying consequences mentioned above that will also increase in frequency, severity, and scale, we will also begin to experience more random human system crashes and collapses which have previously occurred when severe stresses arise within our social, economic and political human systems. This will then eventually push these human systems ever closer toward or over their own internal tipping points.

For example, as crops fail due to Arctic Sea ice loss, droughts, rain bombs, extreme storms, cold spells, and extreme temperatures, food prices are expected to skyrocket. Populations will eventually riot before they starve to death and then as more people die or struggle not to die, law and order will break down. Eventually, the weaker countries will collapse under the ever-increasing weight of these rising internal economic, political, and social climate-related catastrophes and resource conflicts.

What also will begin to happen as we leave Phase 1 and enter Phase 2 is that nuclear reactors, toxic chemical manufacturing plants, and any chemical or biological weapons stockpiles in the weakest nations will become more vulnerable to accidental meltdown, release or theft as the governments of weaker nations no longer have the resources or manpower to keep these critical sites secure and operational.

As the world's weakest nations collapse from the mounting global warming, our other global challenges, they will create more and more desperate climagees (climate refugees in the millions.) As this rising migration seeks to enter the stronger and safer nations, the stronger nations will also begin to experience local and regional breakdowns in law and order as they experience greater and greater stresses upon their own economic, social, and political systems as they too simultaneously struggle with most of the same consequences.

Here is An Illustrated Quick Overview of the Climageddon Climate Change and Global Warming Extinction Scenario Processes 

At this point, an illustration will help simplify the many things you have just read. The Climageddon extinction scenario process, illustrated below, will help you understand the various levels of processes and interactions involved in global warming as a holistic gestalt.

A Gestalt in holism is the idea that the properties and processes of natural systems and subsystems should also be viewed as having synergetic processes and as an interconnected and unified whole, not simply as collections of, or summations of, separate and individual non-interdependent or inter-connected parts or actions.

Review the following Climageddon Scenario illustration starting from the bottom up! Starting from the bottom, this illustration reflects the unfolding natural progression of ever-worsening and interacting consequences and tipping point processes that will occur as global warming continues to escalate, pushing us toward our extinction.

The top of the illustration below shows the later phase of the Climageddon Scenario consequences. The bottom shows you the earlier consequences. For now, just get a general idea of all the global warming consequences, tipping points, and human system factors that will interact, collide, and amplify each other as the Climageddon extinction scenario unfolds in phases and waves. (Full explanations of each tipping point and consequence are found here, the 11 key global warming tipping points, and here the 20 worst global warming consequences.)

Remember to review this illustration from the bottom up, beginning with the heating of global warming escalating!

About the Climageddon Extinction Scenario and Countdown as a whole system

As you can see from the illustration above, the Climageddon Scenario is far more than just a summary listing of the individual global warming consequences and tipping points. In the above-illustrated intertwined unfolding phases and interactions, it becomes easier to see the continually heat-intensified individual consequences and tipping points churning into something far more dangerous than just the individual summation of these things.

Collectively, all these moving consequences and interactions of our global warming emergency synergize with each other at various levels, accelerating the intensity and speed of the more deadly later stages of the Climageddon extinction scenario. When you begin to see the Climageddon extinction scenario model as an integrated climate, human, and biological super-system, you will discover:

1. 1. new critical relationships and processes occurring between the climate, human, and biological systems,
      
      
   2. new qualifying and conditioning climate, human, and biological contexts, and finally,
      
      
   3. new phase-by-phase interactions and magnifying transformations of the interconnected and interdependent climate, human, and biological system consequences that will both suddenly and dramatically worsen our lives.

To help you get this "big picture" synergetic consequence interaction perspective, you will find many illustrations like the one above showing the major tipping points and other global warming consequences colliding with our financial, social, and political systems. 

"Because of its scores of variables, complexity, and constantly evolving and emerging new tipping points and synergies, one of the hardest things to grasp about the Climageddon extinction prediction model is that it is a unique viewing gestalt for our probable future relating to almost every level of our current existence." Lawrence Wollersheim

Now that you have learned about Phase 1 of the Climageddon Scenario, it is time to learn about assigning risk levels to every Climageddon phase.

How to assign risk evaluation levels to each ofnthe 6 phases of the Climageddon extinction scenario

To help you put into perspective the serious implications of the consequences unfolding at each level of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario, we use three recognized risk, threat, and hazard alert scales.

Those three risk evaluation scales are:

1. The Torino Impact Hazard 0-10 Scale was used to quantify the many risks and hazards of asteroids of different sizes hitting the Earth.

2. The DEFCON 5-1 levels used by the U.S. government and military regarding preparedness for nuclear or conventional war. And,

3. The current US Homeland Security Advisory System. 

Here are the three risk analyses and how they are used to rate the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario:

1. The Torino Impact Hazard 0-10 Scale was used to quantify the many risks and hazards of asteroids of different sizes hitting the earth. (The Torino Scale goes from 0 to 10, where a 0 rating is no hazard or threat and a 10 is “a collision is certain, capable of causing a global climatic catastrophe that may threaten the future of civilization as we know it, whether impacting land or ocean.”)

There is a good reason to use the Torino Impact Hazard Scale with the Climageddon Scenario. Depending upon what phase of the scenario we enter, how we adapt to the threat may be uncannily similar to how we might adapt to survive the impacts of ever-increasing asteroid sizes hitting the Earth in repeated waves.

For example, if we knew well in advance that a small, survivable asteroid would hit the Earth, using Torino scale threat level 3 advisories could provide enough time to relocate almost everyone from the local hazardous impact area. If a larger but still survivable asteroid were to hit, using the Torino scale threat level 4 advisory once again, we could have time to relocate almost everyone from the larger regional area of impact.

Similar to these asteroid impact scenarios, as the escalating global warming emergency continues through the 6 Climageddon Scenario phases, it will also eventually force us to relocate first millions, then billions of people. We will relocate them first locally, then regionally, nationally, and eventually internationally to the far north or far south. But, we may be able to move only as much of the total human population as can survive in the poorer soils and shorter growing seasons of the northernmost and southernmost countries of the world (above the 45th parallel north to Canada, Russia, Scandinavia, Alaska, Iceland, and Greenland, etc), and also below the 45th parallel south like some areas on the south island of New Zealand or at the tip of South America.

2. The DEFCON 5-1 levels used by the U.S. government and military regarding preparedness for nuclear or conventional war. (The DEFCON rating system goes from 5 to 1. DEFCON 5 is normal peacetime military readiness, and 1 is the highest military alert, such as imminent nuclear war. As the climate continues to destabilize, at some point the nations of the world will have to declare emergency regulations and martial law to deal with the escalating crisis and the internal and external instability it creates. Using this scale is appropriate because if left unchecked, global warming will parallel and eventually exceed the destructiveness of all non-nuclear world wars.)

3. The current US Homeland Security Advisory System. (The Homeland Security Advisory System is a color-coded terrorism threat advisory scale. The different levels trigger specific actions by federal agencies, as well as state and local governments, and they impact the level of security at certain airports and other public facilities. Although this is a terrorist threat risk system, it is also useful for the climate crisis. In the mid-to-late phases of the Climageddon Scenario, as our political, economic, and social systems break down, nations around the world will react similarly to how they would in response to a high-level terrorist threat or an actual attack. Martial law and other restrictive emergency measures with curfews, new regulations, loss of civil rights, and normal legal protections will be enacted.)

Phase 1 Risk and threat ratings:

As described earlier, for each Climageddon phase, three different risk ratings are provided. Here are the risk ratings for phase 1:

Phase 1 Torino impact rating:

Torino rating 8: The threat is highly certain for localized and regional destruction. Attention by public and governmental contingency planning is merited if the events are less than 3 decades away. Click here and go to the section of the page called Action Plan Section 2 near the bottom of the page to learn what the governments must start doing immediately.

Phase 1 US military DEFCON rating:

DEFCON 4, described as increased intelligence gathering and security measures.

Phase 1 US Homeland Security risk rating:

Orange: High risk.

The essential positive perspective on the above disruptive global warming and climate change news

Despite the numerous types of challenging consequences of global warming and past mistakes in reducing fossil fuel emissions that we now face, we can still learn from their feedback and adapt and evolve to make life as good and as happy as possible. No matter how severe the consequences of global warming may become, if we wisely play the remaining cards that have been dealt to us, we can still achieve the best possible outcomes. 

We can still make a significant difference in reducing global fossil fuel use to stabilize and save the future of humanity by implementing a comprehensive reduction and survival plan, such as the Job One for Humanity global warming action plan. 

We can still maintain the perseverance needed to succeed in this monumental task by regularly reviewing the many benefits that will unfold as we work together successfully. (Click here to review those benefits.) 

We can persevere through this time of emergency. We just need to remember that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our greatest opportunities.

We are engaged in nothing less than the most critical and meaningful evolutionary opportunity, challenge, and adventure in human history! It is our last opportunity to slow down the mass human extinction threat by getting close to these 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Only reaching these targets will fully remove the near-total extinction threat. In reaching these targets, we also significantly improve many of the world's other 12 major challenges.

Get started today on the Job One for Humanity global warming reduction and survival plan. Help save and salvage as much of humanity and our beautiful civilization as is possible.

Congratulations!

You have finished Phase 1 of the Climageddon Scenario. There are 5 more well-illustrated and soon-arriving Climageddon Scenario phases to review, where, unfortunately, things get even worse as global warming worsens.

Because the Climageddon Scenario is already unfolding, please do not forget that if we do reach the last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets by plus or minus 5 percent, we will avoid the worst consequences of the Climageddon Scenario and mass extinction! Throughout the millennia, life has always seemed to find a way to overcome its previous mass extinction challenges.

To help prevent the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario from unfolding, a deadline-prioritized, effective action plan exists to ensure we do not trigger the later mass extinction phases. Click here for a brief overview of this plan.

Click here to see where we are today on the Climate Change and Global Warming Doomsday Clock.

If you get discouraged reading the many consequences of the Climageddon Scenario, please go to this Surprise Benefits of Global Warming page, which is the most-read page on our website.

If you still have doubts about what you are reading...

For many visitors to our uncensored climate change think tank's website, their biggest question after reading our climate change consequences and timetable forecasts is, "Why are your climate change forecasts so much worse than almost everything I hear in the media from my government, the educational environmental and climate change organizations, or the former world's leading authority on climate change, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC)? Click here for the five critical reasons that will fully answer your "why are our forecasts so much worse" question.

Please click here and go to our Member's area critical timeframe update on these issues as soon as possible. This update is vital if you want to prepare your family or business for what is now unavoidable!  

Click here for the Climageddon Scenario Phase 2, beginning as soon as 2032-2050

The information and illustrations of the detailed consequences, costs, and timetables for phase 2, as well as for each of the other 4 Climageddon Scenario, phases are contained on this next page.

This next page is normally only found in our Member's only section, which we have made temporarily viewable to the general public. Much of the recently updated consequences, costs, and timetable information that you are reading in the 6 phases are not found in the Climageddon book.

If the consequence, costs, and timetable link above is not working in the paragraph above, use the following to get to this additional Climageddon Scenario phase 2-6 information:

If you are a member and you are logged in, click the Members link on the top menu bar on the far right side of the page. Then click the link called Climageddon Scenario Consequence Timetables.

If you are not already a member, you can also see this critical information and the rest of this Climagageddon Scenario document by becoming a member by clicking here.)

Our Members Only section of the website contains much information, like the following. We recommend that you click Members link at the top of the page and see what else is available.

Please note that the costs associated with global warming disasters in the chart above are only for single disasters during phases 1-4. In phase 5, you see the total cost to the world.

Ask them why they are not adequately managing the greatest threat multiplier and global problem amplifier of the 21st century by enacting the governmental steps described here!

(This page and all other Climageddon-related pages are derived substantially from the 2016 book, Climageddon, The Global Warming Emergency and How to Survive It. It has been updated with new climate research since 2016 as applicable. Climageddon is Available on Amazon.)