Is the Climageddon Extinction Scenario and Countdown Our Best Global Warming Extinction Model?

Prologue

"You cannot be called an alarmist if there really is something to be alarmed about." Unknown

You are about to read more alarming facts about our current global warming extinction emergency. We trust that you to make up your own mind about what to do after thinking carefully about the challenging circumstances that we are now facing.  

We have learned that not everyone decides to take the same remedial, protective, or preparatory actions once they process the shock of what they are about to read. Because of this, we provide the Job One for Humanity global warming recovery plan, which contains numerous options for different individual or collective responses to the global warming emergency.

While reading this article keep in mind that to help you process the following uncomfortable news, at the end of this article, we have provided some great news! You will find a capable, self-directed plan for what you can do how to resolve the global warming emergency while we still have the time to do so. 

Introduction

Climageddon is a new word that combines the words climate and Armageddon. Armageddon is the word that is often used to refer to any end-of-the-world scenario.

Climageddon describes a global warming end-of-the-world process in a year-by-year consequence countdown that could easily occur within our lifetimes. We call this complete global warming extinction process the Climageddon Extinction Scenario and Countdown (CESC,) or for short the Climageddon Scenario (CS,) or the Climageddon Countdown (CC.) 

The Climageddon Extinction Scenario also describes a new global warming prediction model to help individuals visualize the six distinct waves of coming global warming consequences. These waves of consequences if allowed to occur, will lead us to the near-complete extinction of humanity within about 50-70 years.

In part, the Climageddon Extinction Scenario is based in upon our crossing additional global warming tipping points. It illuminates the complete series of escalating global warming consequences and catastrophes, eventually resulting in a predictable mass human die-off. Fortunately, this extinction process will only run its course if we do not achieve the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and we go into the latter of the six Climageddon phases and waves. 

The Climageddon Extinction Scenario is activated by global warming's 20 worst consequences and 11 key tipping points interacting. It weaves them into:

a. an interconnected and interdependent whole, and

b. one continually evolving collection of climate, human, and biological systems and processes.

It also sequences the most probable unfolding of global warming consequence and tipping points. This helps the reader to visualize the phases of this end-of-world extinction event.

When you think about the Climageddon Extinction Scenario, realize that extinction emergency and global cataclysm are entirely appropriate terms to use. The unfolding global warming extinction processes are happening shockingly fast. They are developing most destructively over the next 30-50 years and could take as little as a century to fully manifest.

This is a shockingly shorter timeframe when compared with the far longer geological time frames which were needed to evolve Earth's five earlier mass extinction events. Humanity's five previous mass extinction events evolved over hundreds of thousands to millions of years. 

If you have not read the following two articles in the links below, we strongly recommend doing so before continuing. They will help you to understand critical global warming consequence and tipping point details and key nuances. Particularly those factors relating to the Climageddon Extinction Scenario will utilize, amplify and accelerate global warming's worse consequences and key tipping points to create humanity's ultimate and final nightmare.

The 20 worst global warming consequences,

The 11 key global warming tipping points

(Please note: The processes of global warming extinction are sometimes also called runaway global warming, irreversible global warming or, out of control global warming.) 

How a movie story and an asteroid metaphor will help you understand the Climageddon Scenario and the massive global warming catastrophes that are coming... 

A very good metaphor and way to think about the 6 phases of the unfolding Climageddon Scenario (described below,) is to imagine numerous waves of larger and larger asteroids crashing into the earth over shorter and shorter periods of time between the next wave of asteroids. For the sake of the metaphor accuracy, imagine these waves of asteroids have already begun and will continue throughout 10-60 years. 

(Please see the illustration below which will provide a quick but necessary minimal overview of the many consequences of 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario for the sake of the asteroid story. The temperatures listed below in both Celsius and Fahrenheit are the predicted increases in average global temperature that will most probably occur at each of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario due to increasing global warming consequences.)

Now that you can see that temperatures (consequences,) will continue to rise at each new Climageddon Scenario phase, you are ready to continue with the asteroid story and metaphor.

At first, the asteroid waves are made of smaller asteroids and the waves will be farther apart. In the earlier asteroid waves, the asteroid impact consequences grow in a slower, gradual and linear manner. In later waves, the asteroids grow larger and the waves now grow closer and closer together in time. Unfortunately, in the later larger waves, the asteroid consequences will grow faster and exponentially. 

Next, imagine that each new wave of the asteroids almost always hits the earth in the illustration below between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south (between the two yellow/mustard colored lines.)

These would be the most asteroid-unsafe areas to live in in the future.

And finally, imagine the last wave of “planet-killing” and largest asteroids also hit the earth between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south. 

To help you envision what will likely happen to society and your life during this unfolding asteroid cataclysm story and metaphor, it is useful to look to another story, the 1998 Hollywood science fiction disaster film called Deep Impact. This movie depicted humanity’s combined efforts to prepare for and destroy a 7-mile (11 km) wide planet-killer asteroid set to collide with Earth and cause a mass extinction. 

In this movie, to prevent the asteroid from reaching Earth, Russia and the United States send a spacecraft with nuclear weapons to destroy it before it reaches the critical minimal distance from Earth. The spaceship reaches the proper critical distance in time, but the nuclear weapons’ first attempt fails and instead splits the comet into two smaller masses, both still heading directly for Earth. 

After the U.S. President announces the failure to prevent the asteroid catastrophe, he declares martial law and reveals that in anticipation of this possible failure, governments worldwide have been secretly building underground shelters in what they believe will be the safest areas to ride out the impact. The U.S. government then conducts an emergency lottery and randomly selects 800,000 Americans under age 50. The government has also chosen 200,000 secretly pre-selected individuals to also enter the survival shelters bypassing the lottery. Not surprisingly, they are top government officials, top military brass, key scientists, and powerful corporate elites.

Around the world, the lucky and the pre-selected few go to the underground shelters, which also contain seeds for every species of plant, important viable animals, as well as massive food supplies for the would-be shelter survivors.

The first asteroid mass impacts Cape Hatteras in the Atlantic Ocean, causing a tsunami up to 3,500 feet (1,100 meters) high. The second mass is due to impact western Canada, creating a cloud of dust that will block out the sun for two years, killing all unsheltered life on Earth in a matter of weeks. 

At the last minute, the damaged spacecraft carrying the remaining nuclear weapons hits the larger second mass in a suicide mission, breaking it up so that most of it burns up in the atmosphere or misses the planet completely.

After the survivors finally come out of their shelters, the President speaks to a large crowd, telling them they've been blessed with a second chance to call Earth their home...

Here's what's important about this story and metaphor in relation to its similarities to the unfolding Climageddon Scenario. In the preceding metaphor and story, the most obvious parallels to the escalating global warming emergency and the Climageddon Scenario are: 

1. Just as they are in the asteroid wave metaphor, our global warming consequences will come faster and faster and grow larger and larger with each new phase of the six Climageddon Scenario phases. (Worse yet, in the mid to later phases of the Climageddon Scenario our consequences (which you will be reading about soon,) will begin growing exponentially.)

2. As we move through the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario there will be many of the other unthinkable consequences that occur within our social, economic and political systems just as in the movie when humanity faces its end. Some of those are rare and noble sacrifices, others widespread panic, chaos, looting, crime, cruelty, and loss of basic human rights.

2 As global warming consequences continue to worsen in the later phases of the Climageddon Scenario, governments will be forced to declare martial law, and there will be lotteries and secret pre-selection and quotas for who still will be able to move to the global warming safer zones near or above the 45th parallel north or near or below the 45th parallel south to escape the chaos occurring within that middle highest danger zone a little longer. 

3. If we keep going as we are now without radically reducing global fossil fuel use to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reductions targets and we somehow survive the coming global warming consequences, most of humanity will die and there will have to be a massive, difficult, and costly rebuilding of civilization by the few remaining survivors if there are any survivors. 

As you continue to think about the many kinds of facts in the Climageddon Scenario article, please keep in mind the Deep Impact end-of-the-world asteroid movie story because its unfolding process is a good metaphor for how the Climageddon Scenario’s most serious consequences will also grow worse, closer and closer, and faster and faster over time. Also, please don't forget we still do have a last chance for humanity and civilization to survive, but only if we successfully reach the challenging 2025 global fossil fuel reductions targets.

Who most needs to understand how the Climageddon Scenario Extinction Countdown unfolds

Understanding the rapidly unfolding progression of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Countdown scenario is critical for every individual, business, or nation that wants to thrive or survive over the next 5, 10, 20, 30 or more years and takes planning for their or financial, physical and political future security seriously. 

Understanding the Climageddon Scenario is crucial information for anyone involved in:

  1. personal, financial or security short or mid- to long-range planning,

  2. city, corporate, or national mid- to long-range planning, 

  3. the threat, hazard, and business or insurance risk assessment, and
  4. planning, financing, or building mid- to long-term infrastructures such as highways, water treatment or sewage plants, power plants, power transfer stations, power lines, hospitals, government buildings, manufacturing facilities, distribution centers, military bases, corporate headquarters, real estate developments, and telecommunications facilities. 

An Illustrated Quick Overview of the Climageddon Global Warming Extinction Scenario Processes 

The Climageddon extinction scenario process illustrated just below will get you started and help you to understand global warming's many levels of processes as a holistic gestalt. A gestalt in holism is the idea that the properties and processes of natural systems and subsystems should also be viewed as having a synergy process and as an interconnected and unified whole, not simply as collections of, or summations of, separate and individual non-inter-dependent or inter-connected parts or actions.

Review the following Climageddon Scenario illustration starting from the bottom up! Starting from the bottom, this illustration reflects the unfolding natural progression of ever-worsening and interacting consequences and tipping point processes that will occur as global warming continues to escalate toward our extinction.

The top of the illustration below shows you the later Climageddon Scenario consequences the bottom shows you the earlier consequences. For now just get a general idea of all the global warming consequences, tipping points, and human system factors will be both interacting and colliding as well as amplifying and multiplying as the Climageddon extinction scenario unfolds in phases and waves. The illustration below will be explained in much more detail later in this document. (Full explanations of each tipping point and consequence are found here, the 11 key global warming tipping points and, here the 20 worst global warming consequences.)

And finally:

1. Please keep in mind that the temperature, carbon ppm, and loss or cost levels for each of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario described below are not hard and rigid boundaries. They may be modified by future research.

2. ll temperature amounts in this document or any other document on our website are always displayed as the Celsius or Fahrenheit increase from preindustrial average global temperatures. 

3. The severity, frequency, and scale of the many consequences listed below will not always occur in a steadily increasing linear line, curve or pattern. There will be intermittent periods of relatively stable levels of consequences and EVEN periods of lessening consequences before the next phase and wave of consequences continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale to the next level.

More about the Climageddon Extinction Scenario and Countdown

It is far more than just a summary listing of the individual global warming consequences and tipping points. In its intertwined unfolding phases, it becomes easier to see the continually heat-intensified individual consequences and tipping points churning into something far more dangerous than just the individual summation of these things. Collectively, all of these moving parts of our global warming emergency synergize and accelerate the intensity and speed of the more deadly later stages of the Climageddon extinction scenario.

When you begin to see the Climageddon extinction scenario model as an integrated climate, human, and biological super system, you will discover:

  1. new critical relationships and processes occurring between the climate, human, and biological systems,

  2.  new qualifying and conditioning climate, human, and biological contexts, and finally,

  3. new phase-by-phase interactions and magnifying transformations of the interconnected and interdependent climate, human, and biological system consequences that will both suddenly and dramatically worsen our lives.

To help you get this "big picture" perspective, you will find many illustrations like the one below showing the major tipping points and other global warming consequences colliding with our financial, social and political systems, which in this illustration below could easily also lead to a nuclear or horrible regional war as we desperately compete over resources and very limited safer global warming areas.

 

Tipping_Points.png

 

The Climageddon Scenario was first discussed in the new book Climageddon. It is already taking place. And, if we do not take immediate action to radically cut fossil fuel use, it will fully unfold into humanity's near-total or total extinction.

"Because of its, scores of variables, complexity and constantly evolving and emerging new tipping points and synergies, one of the hardest things to grasp about the Climageddon extinction prediction model is that it is a unique viewing gestalt for our probable future relating to almost every level of our current existence." Lawrence Wollersheim

Assigning accurate risk evaluation levels to each the 6 phases of the Climageddon extinction scenario

To help you put into perspective the serious implications of the consequences unfolding at each level of the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario, we use three recognized risk, threat, and hazard alert scales.

Those three risk evaluation scales are:

1. The Torino Impact Hazard 0-10 Scale used to quantify the many risks and hazards of asteroids of different sizes hitting the earth.

2. The DEFCON 5-1 levels used by the U.S. government and military regarding preparedness for nuclear or conventional war. And,

3. The current US Homeland Security Advisory System

Here are the three risk analysis and how they are used to rate the six phases of the Climageddon Scenario:

1. The Torino Impact Hazard 0-10 Scale used to quantify the many risks and hazards of asteroids of different sizes hitting the earth. (The Torino Scale goes from 0 to 10, where a 0 rating is no hazard or threat and a 10 is “a collision is certain, capable of causing a global climatic catastrophe that may threaten the future of civilization as we know it, whether impacting land or ocean.”)

There is a good reason to use the Torino Impact Hazard Scale with the Climageddon Scenario. Depending upon what phase of the scenario we enter, how we adapt to the threat may be uncannily similar to how we might adapt to survive impacts of ever-increasing asteroid sizes hitting the earth in repeated waves.

For example, if we knew well in advance that a small, survivable asteroid would hit the earth, using the Torino scale threat level 3 advisories could provide enough time to relocate almost everyone from the local hazardous area of impact. If a larger but still survivable asteroid were to hit, once again using the Torino scale threat level 4 advisory, we could have time to relocate almost everyone from the larger regional area of impact.

Similar to these asteroid impact scenarios, as the escalating global warming emergency continues through the 6 Climageddon Scenario phases, it will also eventually force us to relocate first millions, then billions of people. We will relocate them first locally, then regionally, nationally, and eventually internationally to the far north or far south. But, we may be able to move only as much of the total human population as can survive in the poorer soils and shorter growing seasons of the northernmost and southernmost countries of the world (above the 45th parallel north to Canada, Russia, Scandinavia, Alaska, Iceland, and Greenland etc), and also below the 45th parallel south like some areas on south island of New Zealand or at the tip of South America.

2. The DEFCON 5-1 levels used by the U.S. government and military regarding preparedness for nuclear or conventional war. (The DEFCON rating system goes from 5 to 1. DEFCON 5 is normal peacetime military readiness, and 1 is the highest military alert, such as imminent nuclear war. As the climate continues to destabilize, at some point the nations of the world will have to declare emergency regulations and martial law to deal with the escalating crisis and the internal and external instability it creates. Using this scale is appropriate because if left unchecked, global warming will parallel and eventually exceed the destructiveness of all non-nuclear world wars.)

3. The current US Homeland Security Advisory System. (The Homeland Security Advisory System is a color-coded terrorism threat advisory scale. The different levels trigger specific actions by federal agencies and state and local governments, and they affect the level of security at some airports and other public facilities. Although this is a terrorist threat risk system, it is also useful for climate crises. In the mid-to-later phases of the Climageddon Scenario, as our political, economic, and social systems break down, the nations of the world will react similarly to how they would react to a high-level terrorist threat or an actual attack. Martial law and other restrictive emergency measures with curfews, new regulations, loss of civil rights, and normal legal protections will be enacted.)

There are also other "outside" challenges and contextual factors that will interact directly or indirectly to worsen the MAIN consequences described in the Climageddon Extinction Scenario below

The Climageddon Scenario and global warming extinction model does not take place in a contextual vacuum. It takes place in a global context in which other major global challenges and consequences are already occurring and getting worse.

These 6 other major global challenges and consequences will directly or indirectly interact with and collide into the unfolding 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario global warming extinction model. These additional Climageddon Scenario interactions with the global challenges below will, unfortunately, make our lives and the other global warming consequences much worse. 

Please keep the in mind the following other contextualizing and evolving global challenges as you read the 6 phases of the Climageddon Extinction Scenario:

Global Challenge 1: Overpopulation, the Earth may have only the resource carrying capacity for about 2 billion people or less. (Please click the brief carrying capacity link and the brief overshoot link for a full understanding on why this overpopulation challenge is so bad.)

We are near 8 billion people racing to 9.4 billion by or before 2050. We are way over sustainable population levels and future and current generations will suffer dearly because we failed to manage ourselves in this area by itself.

Global Challenge 2: Resource depletion fueled by overpopulation, toxic pollution, and escalating global warming.

We already have increasing food shortages (1 billion people are hungry.) Ocean fish stocks are already suffering from catastrophic losses from pollution and overfishing. We are rapidly depleting our many kinds of quantity-limited, nonrenewable, and even renewable resources to unsustainable levels. This resource depletion also increases global poverty by making those essential resources more expensive.

To make matters worse, many of our current key resources will run out at nearly the same time! Paradoxical to making the necessary fossil fuel reductions and moving to green energy generation, we will also soon be facing fossil fuel shortages caused by the early attainment of peak oil.

Global Challenge 3: Global economic instability.

There is no doubt that the mix of the Climageddon Scenario consequences will increase the already existing global poverty, economic instability, economic inequality (conflicts between rich and poor) and rising national deficits. Imagine a global financial depression or crisis occurring as we also try to solve the global warming emergency and all of our other global challenges at the same time. In the next global financial crisis or global depression, there will be even less resiliency and fewer resources to solve all of these challenges.

Global Challenge 4: Political instability first in countries with low management capabilities or low resource resilience or high deficits.

Many nations of the world are weaker than we are allowing ourselves to realize. Global warming and these other global challenges will greatly increase political instability which acts to further increase the likelihood of more wars, terrorism, and political injustice in all low, medium, and high resilience nations. This global challenge plus escalating global warming and the other global challenges will create sudden and massive migrations of millions then billions of people that even the richest nations will not be able to absorb.

Global Challenge 5: Global Pandemic.

As all of the above 4 resilience-reducing global challenges get worse and the earth warms, this increases the probability of a global pandemic which is not caused by the global warming pandemic enhancing consequence of melting tundra and permafrost. This is specifically a separate high risk due to existing or new diseases being poorly treated, the mobility and migration of world populations and the overall deterioration of global health services as the stew of all of the global challenges listed above come to a global warming amplified boil.

Global Challenge 6: Failing to evolve a single global government with legislative, judicial, and enforceable executive powers.

If you think about it carefully, you will discover that this last and most often invisible global challenge IS itself the single biggest reason and core structural cause for why our main global challenges including global warming have not yet been resolved. The lack of the existence of a single global government with legislative, judicial and executive verification, enforcement and punishment powers having common global laws allows humanity's biggest global challenges to either:

a. exist at all,

b. continue to exist or,

c. to remain perpetually unresolved and/or,

d. continually worsening as many of them are now.

In other words, the mere absence of a true global government of itself alone acts to facilitate, escalate and enable all of the global challenges that we currently face. 

What we are facing with the above other 6 global challenges (above) interacting with the 7th global challenge (global warming and its Climageddon Scenario below,) is certain to become the greatest convergence of catastrophes and cataclysms in human history. For an amazing video by a famous English university professor with wonderful illustrations that explain most of the above global 6 challenges and the coming Great Convergence of catastrophes and cataclysms please click here.

Now that you have a better idea of the highly volatile and dangerous context in which the following Climageddon Scenario global warming extinction model is occurring, you are now ready to review its 6 phases and the consequences and time tables for each phase.

Here are the 6 phases of the Climageddon Countdown Extinction Scenario illustrated and in detail

The next section describes the 6 phases of the Climageddon Countdown Extinction Scenario in phase by phase detail. It also contains many more illustrations and charts (like the one below) as well as decade-by-decade global warming consequence information that was difficult and expensive for our organization to acquire.

This detailed year-by-year information is invaluable is to any individual, business or nation attempting to plan for how the escalating global warming emergency will directly affect their future life quality, finances and security. This next section on the detailed consequences for each of the 6 phases is contained only in the Member's section of this website on this page Climageddon Scenario Consequence Timetables. Much of it is not found in the Climageddon book.

To read the rest of this critical document on what happen within each of the six Climageddon Extinction Scenario phases:

If you are a member and you are logged in, click the Members link on the top menu bar on the far right side of the page. Then click the link called Climageddon Scenario Consequence Timetables.

If you are not already a member, you also can see this critical information and the rest of this Climagageddon Scenario document by becoming a member by clicking here.)

 

 


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  • Lawrence Wollershein
    commented 2018-04-13 16:32:02 -0700
    Hi David,

    Thanks for your kind words about my book. If you get a chance, would you review it at Amazon. All you have to do is search the book title and follow the instructions and it will give you an opportunity to write a review.

    Also regarding your comments I will look up my original research regarding page 156 hopefully in the next week or two and then post any corrections as needed at this location: http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/climageddon_book_support_navigation_center

    And, I will notify you by private mail if a correction update is necessary.

    Best,

    Lawrence