Last updated 2.17.25.
Prologue
For visitors to our climate change think tank's website, the biggest question they have after reading our climate change forecasts is:
"Why are your climate change forecasts so much worse than almost everything you hear in the media, from your government, or from many other environmental and climate change educational organizations?"
The simple and foremost reason is that, like only a few others worldwide, our organization uses calculations, approximations, or values related to the many climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and other seldom compensated factors from what is called the Climageddon Feedback Loop. Other organizations either intentionally ignore these critical factors or do not use them because of a climate change ignorance of the dialectical and interacting dynamics of complex adaptive systems and the many systems and subsystems of climate change.
The Climageddon Feedback Loop describes the increasing and accelerating interactions and reactions between climate change's tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions common to complex adaptive systems. It is the most hidden and publicly undiscussed reason why global warming's consequences will be far worse than you are told by the media, the governments, or even many environmental organizations.
What absolutely terrifies those very few climate change researchers and analysts who do understand the Climageddon Feedback Loop and who do review and include calculations from the many climate change-related studies on the climate's numerous complex adaptive systems and subsystems is that the calculations required for the many factors within the Climageddon Feedback Loop are not being included in current climate change forecasts. These calculations are being intentionally (or ignorantly withheld and not considered) with the false belief that by doing so, they will somehow protect the public from climate change panic.
To clarify what we mean by the climate's complex adaptive systems and subsystems here is just a partial list of them: atmospheric greenhouse carbon, methane and nitrous oxide levels effecting global heating, atmospheric water vapor levels affecting worldwide weather, ocean temperature, ocean carbonization, and ocean current slowing affecting weather and ocean fish stocks, glacier melting, Arctic ice pack size and albedo effects, Antarctica glaciers sliding into the sea like the Thwaites Doomsday glacier, carbon sink uptake and carbon sink carbon release levels, tundra and permafrost melting and carbon and methane release levels, sea level rise, etc.
99.9% of the public and our politicians do not understand the complex and survival-critical interdependence and interconnection of the various climate systems, or they are ignoring the critical processes that will, with high probability, cause and trigger "unexpected" massive global climate catastrophes and mass human extinction.
The illustration below illustrates only the global warming tipping point part of the Climagedon Feedback Loop climate change equation. Further down this page, you will see more illustrations of the Climageddon Feedback Loop and its effects.
Introduction
Understanding the Climageddon Feedback Loop is not just about knowing about climate change; it's about realizing the urgent need to prepare for the impending climate chaos.
It's also about grasping why those climate change researchers who accurately include in their calculations the following Climageddon Loop factors and are not caught by the distortions of the global fossil fuel disinformation campaigns described here are terrified. Because multi-discipline climate researchers understand it, some are quietly relocating their families to safer climate change locations, especially if they live in medium—to high-risk climate change areas.
Unfortunately, about 90% of current climate change researchers do not fully grasp or account for the Climageddon Feedback Loop in their forecasts and projections. If they did, many more vehement climate change researchers' voices would demand that governments act before humanity enters irreversible mass extinction due to climate change consequences.
While reading this real and potent imminent threat to your future, please ask yourself, why haven't your politicians acted to fix the climate change emergency? Are they just not smart enough to understand the following feedback loop and risk? Are they too distracted? Or, are they receiving such large donations from the global fossil fuel cartel that, as Mark Twain said, "It's hard to teach a man something that their salary depends upon not knowing."
The Climageddon Feedback Loop
The simple definition of the Climageddon Feedback Loop is:
The Climageddon Feedback Loop is multiple climate systems and subsystems synergeticly and cumulatively feeding back into each other, continually worsening climate conditions and accelerating the worst consequences of many to most of those climate systems and subsystems.
What is most often missed or underestimated in this definition of the Climageddon Feedback Loop are the words synergeticly and cumulatively. To help remedy this issue, we include the meanings of these words to refresh them in your mind while you read the expanded definition of the Climageddon Feedback Loop below.
Synergetic means working together or cooperating, especially when the result is greater than the sum of its parts. "The tasteful food resulted from the synergetic use of its spices and seasonings."
Cumulative means increasing or increased in quantity, degree, or force by successive additions. "The cumulative effect of two years of drought was far worse than any single-year drought."
Although the above is a simple definition of the Climageddon Feedback Loop, what we are trying to describe looks more like the spaghetti image below. The following section will help untangle the spaghetti plate of the different factors in the Climageddon Feedback Loop scenario, which looks more like the scenario that will lead humanity to mass human extinction.
The following sections expand the Climageddon Feedback Loop definition with the necessary details to accurately understand humanity's danger from accelerating climate change.
The Climageddon Feedback Loop illuminates the three critical and interacting climate change factors and forces that will facilitate and then accelerate the extinction of much of humanity over the following 3-5 decades. These three critical climate calculation factors are collectively and woefully missing from almost all climate change calculations done by climate researchers with a single specialty, such as the specialties of glaciers, water vapor, forest carbon absorption, sea ice coverage, ocean temperature, carbonization, currents, etc.
These three interacting factors and highly disruptive forces will be explained shortly, but first, it is necessary to illuminate the hidden danger of climate change, which is already accelerating. Most people will acknowledge that global warming is accelerating. Over the last two decades, it has accelerated by about 50% from one decade to the next. This acceleration is in perfect lockstep with the key atmospheric greenhouse gases (carbon, methane, and nitrous oxide), as shown in the graph below.
This massive 50% acceleration in global warming over the previous several decades contradicts everything you hear in the media from our authorities telling us that we are making progress on fixing global warming. (In case you still do not believe the 50% increase, James Hansen, the world-renowned climate scientist, recently verified this dangerous 50% acceleration in global warming over the last two decades. Click here for this new verification 2024 study by James Hansen.)
The following Climageddon Feedback Loop process explains the powerful and regularly unaccounted-for climate system forces that, behind the scenes, are rapidly accelerating global warming temperatures and intensifying climate change consequences. The Climageddon Feedback Loop process's effects also explain why the climate change emergency has now grown beyond humanity's effective and practical control.
For decades, most of the world's single-specialty climate scientists have overlooked, hidden, denied, ignored, or grossly underestimated the effects of the Climageddon Feedback Loop as a major factor in the accuracy of their climate change calculations. Almost all of our single specialty climate scientists have overwhelmingly failed to include within their calculations the critical cumulative and synergetic effects of ALL other interacting and interdependent climate change systems and subsystems probable, likely, or potential:
a. crossed climate tipping points,
b. Inherent or interconnected feedback loops, and
c. non-linear reactions commonly found within the systems and subsystems of complex adaptive systems.
The following illustration helps demonstrate nonlinear reactions in complex adaptive systems like the climate. Inn, system A the illustration is connected to system B. Still, because they are complex adaptive climate systems, they can and will produce nonlinear, highly unpredictable effects in climate system or subsystem C.
The above three climate-related factors and forces inherently feed into and fuel each other, creating the Climageddon Feedback Loop process within and between the systems in subsystems of climate change.
About a dozen major climate change systems and subsystems are interconnected and interact in most normal climate change transactions. They are glacier melting or glacier break-off status, sea ice coverage, ocean temperature, ocean carbon absorption, ocean currents, methane and carbon release from permafrost, methane release from coastal ocean areas, atmospheric water vapor, the albedo effect, and soil and forest carbon sequestration or carbon release factors. (There are other climate factors and subsystems, but these are the major ones.)
If all of the climate's probable, likely, and potential crossed tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions are not accounted for in climate change analysis and forecasts designed to give us accurate climate change consequence timetables and climate solutions, any real chance to fix the climate change emergency before near-total extinction will slip through humanity's fingers before our leaders and humanity ever realizes its last climate-fixing opportunity is gone.
The illustration below shows what happens before a tipping point is crossed. Just before the collapse, the system starts to oscillate faster and faster to higher and lower oscillating levels.
Understanding how the three factors and forces of the Climageddon Feedback Loop interact is critical to humanity's future. The Climageddon Feedback Loop occurs whenever more crossed climate tipping points, feedback loops, and triggered non-linear reactions interact and accelerate each other's effects in what can become a near-endless feedback loop.
The three factors and forces of tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions interact in the climate to create a new and much larger or mega feedback loop (the Climageddon Feedback Loop) of and between themselves. This now-activated Climageddon feedback loop will continuously fuel and accelerate new levels of rapidly increasing heat and intensify climate change consequences.
In the Climageddon Feedback Loop, more tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions are pushed into being crossed or activated faster and faster. This once again triggers or accelerates other and more climate tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions in other climate systems and subsystems. This, in turn, fuels and creates the Climageddon Feedback Loop extinction spiral of ever-increasing and ever more severe climate change consequences at even faster rates!
As the Climagageddon Feedback Loop continues to expand and accelerate as described above, eventually, all that Humanity will be able to do is prepare and adapt and hope that you can live as comfortably as possible under the extreme climate change conditions never seen before by humanity.
The monster climate crisis and extinction threat are hidden by ignoring the Climageddon Feedback Loop in current climate change analysis and predictions.
Today, most climate scientists have not simultaneously included calculations, algorithmic values, or reasonable allowances for ALL or even most of the probable, likely, or potential crossed climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions from the dozen most essential climate systems and subsystems in their final climate change calculations. This dangerous and gross underestimation issue helps to create a delusional climate change "Perfect Day scenario," with no nasty climate tipping points, feedback loops, or non-linear reactions to ruin their "Perfect Day" climate change forecasts.
Consequently, our current real climate change risks and threats are not accurately provided to those with the political and financial power to act. Because of this, governments, businesses, and the world's citizens have not been informed of the accurate and actual climate change consequences and time frames we currently face. They have been grossly misinformed about their climate future!
The widespread failure of climate scientists to include the Climageddon Feedback Loop process and scenario in ALL of their climate change calculations explains why the current global warming temperature predictions and time frames that humanity is being given are so far off from what is already occurring and will occur. (We appear to be regularly meeting or exceeding our current worst-case climate change scenario predictions precisely because, in part, of the omission of the Climageddon Feedback Loop in those predictions.)
The undisclosed and uncompensated Climageddon Feedback Loop has already caused humanity to enter phase 2 of runaway global warming. This phase is terrible because it means half or more of humanity will perish by about 2050.
If we do not immediately make radical worldwide fossil fuel reductions, as much as 95% of humanity or more will likely not survive past 2070. Immediate and drastic action is the only way to prevent global temperatures from entering runaway mode and living in climate hell.
To help you understand the global warming-driven side of the coming "Great Global Collapse," which will lead to mass human extinction, review the following runaway global heating illustration starting from the bottom up!
Starting from the bottom, this illustration reflects the unfolding natural progression of ever-worsening and interacting consequences with climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions included in the projections.
The top of the illustration shows you the later phases of the Climageddon Feedback Loop extinction model processes and consequences. The bottom of the illustration shows you the earlier consequences.
For now, get a general idea of all the runaway global heating consequences, tipping points, feedback loops, and potential non-linear reactions that will be interacting and colliding as well as amplifying and multiplying each other as the Climageddon Feedback Loop extinction scenario unfolds over time in phases and waves.
Please remember to review the following illustration from the bottom up, beginning with the heating effect of escalating global warming!
(Full explanations for 11 major climate tipping points, feedback loops, potential nonlinear reactions, and consequences are here and in the following link for the 20 worst global warming consequences.)
Points of no return
Tipping points also have a point of no return that, when crossed, will always lead to the particular tipping point being crossed and a system crash. Today, you hear very little about the points of no return in some climate change system tipping point. This is another area of high risk and deep concern for humanity's climate future. Unless we also understand these points of no return for any particular climate change tipping point, we will keep crossing more and more dangerous climate change tipping points.
Understanding the difference between linear and exponential increases in climate change consequences is crucial. It provides a complete perspective on the severity of the situation and the urgent need for action.
The following illustration helps you understand this life-and-death, mass human extinction versus survival factor.
We have provided the following graph to help illustrate how dangerous an exponential increase in climate change consequences is. The red line in the graph below exemplifies a gradual, linear, steady, and mostly predictable climate change consequence growth trajectory. (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.) The green line below exemplifies a sudden, exponential, and highly unpredictable climate change consequence growth trajectory. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)
An exponential climate change consequence increase corresponds precisely to when we cross the critical atmospheric carbon 425-450 ppm threshold and climate change tipping point. Never forget that, at best, we have only until about 2025 and maybe up to 2031 to reduce global fossil fuel use to the survival-critical 2025 target levels, or we will not just lose half of humanity by about mid-century; we will proceed toward near-total extinction after mid-century. (We are currently at about carbon 425 ppm, as shown in the blue CO2 graph further above.)
We also strongly recommend reading this page because it will help you understand how we have crossed into irreversible, runaway global heating. Irreversible runaway global heating is where the average global temperature keeps rising from 2°C to 3°C to 4°C and eventually far beyond any level much of humanity could survive.
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Painful Summary
What to do:
Click here to review the most critical climate change information and learn how to protect yourself and your family from rapidly accelerating climate change consequences.
More Supportive Information
1. The Climageddon Feedback Loop process also invisibly accelerates and significantly distorts the committed and "baked-in" future temperature warming calculations the public is being given. To see far more accurate calculations for future committed global warming temperatures and timeframes that include values for the many forces of the Climageddon Feedback Loop, click here.)
2. Please click here for a full explanation of the obscene "Perfect Day" climate change calculations distortion that has plagued the climate information being given to the public about their climate change futures. Then please click here for even more on how the public has been denied the necessary truth about our horrible current climate situation.
3. There are at least 11 major climate change tipping points. There are also many factors about tipping points that most people do not understand. To learn more about these two critical issues, click here.
4. Job One for Humanity does include many calculations, algorithmic values, or appropriate allowances for probable, likely, and possible crossed climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions from the dozen major climate systems and subsystems in their final climate change calculations, consequence timeframes forecasts, and recommended solutions as seen in the ten facts and links found on this page. (Our research and analysis methodology can be found on this page.)
5. In addition to the above problem of failure to compensate in forecasts and predictions regarding climate change and the Climageddon Feedback Loop, another collection of climate change researcher errors, omissions, and silences has to be brought to light and remedied if we are ever going to solve this escalating extinction-level crisis. Click here to be taken to this page, which covers most of these additional serious problems causing 60+ years of our failure to manage accelerating climate change effectively.
6. To learn more about why the Job One for Humanity think tank's climate change forecasts are considerably more accurate than those of other think tanks, please click here.
7. The following is already happening. The arrows in the illustration below indicate how climate change tipping points and feedback loops interact and feed into each other. As more tipping points are crossed and feedback loops interact, they multiply and amplify each other's effects. This will cause climate change consequences to worsen exponentially and far beyond, worse and sooner than people expect or prepare for.
If you still have doubts about what you are reading...
For many visitors to our uncensored climate change think tank's website, their biggest question after reading our climate change consequences and timetable forecasts is, "Why are your climate change forecasts so much worse than almost everything I hear in the media from my government, the educational environmental and climate change organizations, or the former world's leading authority on climate change, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC)? Click here for the five critical reasons that will fully answer your "why are our forecasts so much worse" question.
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