Last updated 10.4.25. (G)

 

Executive Directors' note: This website is for intelligent, mature, and rational individuals who rely on good science and accurate data to manage their lives and businesses. This website counterbalances and corrects the tremendous disinformation and misinformation campaign carried on by the global fossil fuel cartel over the last five decades concerning accurate climate change data. You will find this notice only on website pages that can be especially upsetting concerning current climate change facts, consequences, and timetables.

Our organization is currently focused on educating people about climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, resilience building, and, where necessary, migration. This is because many serious consequences of climate change are now unavoidable due to a 60-year delay in resolving this emergency. Reading the rest of this page will inform you as to how serious those consequences are and how short the timelines have become.

If you are unsure about the causes of climate change, we suggest starting with Learn pull-down top link called, What Climate Change Is and Does" rather than the materials below. The climate change facts below are uncensored as compared to what you have been hearing from your government, the media, and even many environmental groups.

Job One for Humanity is a nonprofit climate change think tank and risk assessment organization founded in 2008. It is nonpartisan, 100% publicly funded, and uncensored by any government, corporation, or entity.

If you are curious about (or doubt) the consequence severity, time frames, or solutions in any of our climate change forecasts, which are often about 30 to 60% worse than what you are hearing from your government, the media or the United Nations IPCC, please click here for the science.

 

Overview

This page contains the following sections:

1. Prologue and Introduction.

2. Why a climate change consequence-related total human extinction is highly improbable.

3. The natural dialectical counteractions that have been seriously underestimated in the previous climate change and global heating studies and predictions.

4. How Mother Nature's natural counteractions, consequences, and systems will be the dominant force saving humanity from itself and total extinction.

5. How long will it take for Mother Nature to kill off enough of us to save the rest of us?

6. How will the long-delayed, dialectical human system counteractions be an essential but later secondary force helping save humanity from a climate change-driven total extinction?

7. How much of humanity will perish and be left after mid-century?

8. When will our governments finally act in a way that honestly fixes the climate change emergency?

9. A helpful and balancing perspective on Mother Nature's coming mass die-off and widespread global collapse.

10. A "Big Picture" Way of Seeing Our Climate Change Consequence Timetables as Waves.

11. Conclusion.

12. What can you do today about our climate change-driven nightmare and your and humanity's survival?

13. Additional reading, important technical notes, and other collapse-related studies.

 

Prologue

A growing number of people worldwide have given up all hope and believe that:

1. Humanity can not and will not fix the climate change emergency before it is too late, and 

2. A climate change-driven total human extinction is inevitable.

This article presents facts and a well-reasoned dialectical meta-systemic argument (DMAP) that demonstrates that a conclusion of total human extinction driven by climate change is, while possible, implausible.

Unfortunately, some of the promoters of the climate change "all is doomed to total human extinction and total collapse" mindset have failed to engage in deep, dialectically meta-systemic analysis (DMAP) on a subject as complex and crucial as climate change and humanity's future existence.

When one examines multiple levels down the chain of most likely climate change consequences interacting with the world's other crises and their most probable dialectical counteractions, humanity's climate change future is exceptionally challenging. Still, it is significantly more hopeful than the climate change doomers or post-doomers' "all is lost positions that they would like their followers to believe.

Suppose this article better reflects our most probable climate change future. In that case, I do not doubt that it will still be a long, excruciating, and painful process for humanity to endure and recover from. This climate change-driven, widespread collapse and breakdown process, which will occur before humanity's climate change-related recovery process begins, is described at the end of this article and in the following link.

This article discusses and illuminates the most probable and final human tipping point — when humanity will finally act to address the climate change emergency. There is a painful surprise here concerning this final human systems tipping point leading to recovery. It is in the form of what will most probably happen to much of humanity just before humanity finally acts effectively to fix the climate change emergency.

Even if everything goes horribly wrong for humanity and we fail to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and we cross the carbon 450 ppm threshold and tipping point, which brings about phase 2 of irreversible global warming, we should still be able to save about thirty percent of humanity to as little as one to two percent of humanity.

If things go better than discussed below, we might even be able to save 30-45 percent of humanity, but never more than about 50 percent of humanity once we cross the carbon threshold of 425-450 ppm.

This article also discusses the critical and painful circumstances that will ultimately force the remaining governments to take the bitter medicine and radically reduce global fossil fuel use to the levels required at that time. Hopefully, our government's actions will take the tough medicine in time to save as much of the remaining 50% of humanity as possible post-2050. 

A bitter and excruciating, chaotic process awaits humanity. This now unavoidable process is predominantly because of the many decades of the intention and continuous criminal acts by the global fossil fuel cartel to keep the public ignorant of the actual climate change dangers, and our politicians compromised or befuddled by disinformation. (At some point, you will want to review the first online public trial of the global fossil fuel cartel for crimes against humanity, which have maliciously driven humanity into its current climate change extinction emergency.)

Our current climate change emergency will have numerous severe primary and secondary consequences (listed here). Nevertheless, with the help of Mother Nature, some luck, and the eventual human systems' dialectical counter-reactions described in detail below, we should be able to avoid total human extinction.

(If you are uncertain about how climate change's many consequences interacting with humanity's other 11 major global crises could possibly cause a mass to a near-total human extinction long before 2100, click here and read this article before continuing.)

The information below will be upsetting and unsettling for any rational individual. Therefore, at the end of this article, we have provided links to a comprehensive climate preparation, adaptation, resilience, relocation, and recovery plan to help you manage all aspects of the consequences discussed. 

If you still believe that our governments would never let the current climate change emergency cause a large-scale human extinction ever to occur, please read this article. It describes the dozens of highly challenging problems that the world's governments must collectively resolve before 2025 (possibly until 2031 at the very latest, if humanity is fortunate).

With your understanding of how poorly the world's governments honestly cooperate on anything, you are now ready to discover the many potent reasons why a climate-driven total extinction is highly unlikely. The following is a bit complex, but if you read to the end, the lists and illustrations should help you understand the legitimate science and analysis behind why humanity is unlikely to go extinct due to climate change-driven consequences.

After you finish this article, please be sure to read its companion article called the Climageddon Feedback Scenario. It will help you understand and "see" the climate change emergency at the level of a climate change researcher and analyst.

 

 

Introduction

To understand the headline of this article, it is essential to understand the difference between the DEATH AND DESTRUCTION levels of a runaway global heating-driven mass extinction, a near-total extinction event, and a total extinction event.

This article will clarify those differences and strengthen (or restore) a rational, balanced, and scientifically appropriate hope for our current climate change future.

The different levels of climate change and global heating-driven extinction are defined as:

1. 1. Mass human extinction is now unavoidable because of our 60 years of climate inaction, ineffective action, and denial. We have been so grossly ineffective in slowing and reversing global heating for 60 years that about half of the human population will die by mid-century. 
   2. Near-total human extinction is a scenario where as much as 50-90+% of humanity could go extinct before we slow and reverse the current runaway global heating. (The processes of near-total extinction are described in the first two extinction-accelerating tipping points on this page and then on this essential page.)
   3. Total human extinction can only occur if atmospheric carbon levels rise to 800 to 1700 parts per million (ppm). At those levels, we risk our atmosphere being pulled out into space, and 100% of everything else that depends upon oxygen suffocating and going entirely extinct. (The processes of total extinction are described in the third and fourth extinction-accelerating tipping points on this page and then trigger the many processes found on this essential page.)

Fortunately, long before reaching those extreme carbon 800-1700 atmospheric carbon ppm levels, Mother Nature will step in with her tough medicine. Her excruciating "tough medicine" and intervention (as described further below) may result in near-total extinction, but not total extinction.

We will not all go extinct because Mother Nature's "tough medicine" will occur and intensify in lockstep with the increasing severity, frequency, and scale of the primary and secondary climate consequences described in detail on this page. We will not go totally extinct also because the insane levels of suffering and mass die-off that will occur as half of humanity perishes over the next 2-4 decades will finally cause the world's population to demand that their governments act. 

Somewhere over the next 25-45 years, much of humanity will finally come to support their governments radically reducing global fossil fuel usage to the required levels needed at that time, or things will get far worse, and humanity will face an even more painful, total extinction scenario. Further below in this article, you will find a list of critical dialectical reactions and counteractions that humanity will eventually take, which will be an essential and timely contributing factor, but not the dominant factor, in humanity experiencing only a near-total extinction, rather than total human extinction.

Ultimately, Mother Nature's powerful remedial cause-and-effect "tough medicine" reactions to our government's climate change inaction and stupidity, not our currently meager and sub-critical global heating remedial actions, will be the dominant force that ultimately saves humanity from ourselves and total extinction. This simply means that the numerous growing consequences of climate change (the cause) will disrupt and destabilize Mother Nature's natural processes and balance so profoundly that they will directly affect humanity's survival in the form of ever-increasing die-offs (the effect) as climate change accelerates. 

The two main exemptions to humanity not becoming near-totally extinct due to the effects of climate change are if:

A. A global nuclear or biological war breaks out because of mass climate migrations, resource and food shortages, or another climate change-related primary or secondary consequence.

Well before we reach humanity's predicted climate change-driven mass extinction by about 2050, the likelihood that humanity will destroy itself near-totally in much larger multi-regional or global conflicts before 2050 is exceptionally high. Here's why.

After we have crossed our last chance atmospheric carbon 450 ppm threshold and tipping point, humanity's mass extinction by about 2050 will be driven mainly by starvation, mass migrations, and localized conflicts. However, there is also an exceptionally high probability of much larger conflicts arising from the numerous accelerating secondary consequences of climate change. 

These secondary consequences include intensifying smaller-scale, localized resource conflicts, as well as creating much larger-scale national, international, and global conflicts.

The many extinction-accelerating secondary consequences of climate change are described in detail approximately halfway down this page. We strongly recommend reading about the secondary consequences of climate change, as it will help you understand the suffering and death it causes more intimately and viscerally. 

(Click here also to learn why human extinction by about 2050-2070 might be only near-total extinction, not the far worse total extinction, but only if we do not keep our atmospheric carbon levels below the carbon 450 parts per million. level.)

B. Somehow, we allow runaway global heating to reach the third and fourth extinction-accelerating tipping points and trigger the many processes  on this critical page.)

Everything you read below should hold true for anything short of global nuclear or biological war or reaching the third and fourth extinction-accelerating tipping points, and we still have a sliver of hope. 

 

Why a climate change consequence-related total human extinction is highly improbable

How Mother Nature's cause and effect "tough medicine" will help fix what we did not fix ourselves.

"Humanity has steadfastly ignored the ever-louder, continuous feedback from Mother Nature's consistently intensifying climate change's negative human and ecological consequences. These many climate change consequences directly result from humanity's unsustainable and destructive environmental behaviors and attitudes. 

Mother Nature will now 'fix' the source and cause of these unsustainable and destructive ecological behaviors for us. Mother Nature's healing process will not be a "fix" or a process that any rational human would wish, even on their worst enemy." Daniel Ford

The Job One research team must humbly admit that in our earlier research, almost a decade ago, we failed to fully allow for all appropriate compensatory weighting for the many natural and human system climate destabilization counteractions in our previous climate change research analysis. We were unable to fully acknowledge that these natural and human system climate change counteractions intrinsically respond to and act to powerfully counter the rapidly worsening global heating effects on our climate systems and subsystems. 

This generally unacknowledged error in the counteraction of natural and human systems has also been significant and consistently remains present in the current global warming predictions of other climate researchers and climate organizations. 

The most critical omitted Mother Nature natural reaction consists of Mother Nature killing enough of us off, soon enough, using the destruction, disruption, and loss caused by the primary and secondary global warming consequences. This makes it impossible to add more human-caused fossil fuel carbon to the atmosphere, ultimately leading to our total extinction. It is that simple. Mother Nature kills off so many of us that global fossil fuel use drops because there are so many fewer people using fossil fuels. (The illustrations further down this page will help clarify this cause-and-effect counteraction.)

Previously, the Job One for Humanity organization held that total extinction would only be true if we did not get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. However, based on a new analysis by Job One on the factors listed further below, we now believe that while the extinction of about half of humanity by mid-century is still unavoidable, total human extinction caused by primary and secondary global heating consequences occurring from about 2050 to 2070 (or sooner) is neither probable nor likely.

Based on our new analysis, which now includes several previously ignored or discounted natural and human counteraction scenarios, we now predict that if we can at least get close to the 2025 targets and prevent atmospheric carbon levels from crossing the final carbon 450 ppm tipping point, humanity will, at worst, only face a near-total extinction. 

Before we discuss the critical natural and human counteractions to runaway global warming, which can potentially save as much as 50% of humanity (if we don't cross the carbon threshold of 425-450 ppm), we must explain a common scientific principle.

Global heating counteractions are similar to Newton's third law, which states that "for every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction." 

If, at this point, you think about the global heating consequences as the costs of global heating, it would be helpful. As global heating costs rise (their pain and suffering levels), there will be more and more human and natural counteractions (Newton's equal and opposite reactions) to control and lower these costs and suffering.

Climate change's natural and human counteracting processes will become more apparent as you review the rising "costs" of our runaway global heating consequences (further below) and the increased likelihood that natural and human counteractions will eventually react to those costs.

 

The natural dialectical cause and effect reactions of Mother Nature that have been seriously underestimated in the previous climate change and global heating predictions

An actual global heating-driven total extinction event can only occur if we release so much greenhouse gas into the atmosphere that it is ripped off into space. Unfortunately, this is what happened to Venus because of ever-rising global temperatures. The strange but good news here is that total extinction will be prevented because so much of humanity will be dead long before we ever get to the extreme levels of atmospheric greenhouse gas, which could cause total human extinction.

To help you understand what those predicting inevitable total human extinction have missed or underestimated, it is necessary to start with the natural counteractions that "Mother Nature" will activate to rebalance the system as runaway global heating worsens. The following natural counteractions are the only counteractions that, alone, have the dominant and essential power to save humanity from humanity's own detrimental fossil fuel decisions and actions.

Unfortunately, there is also mixed bad and good news about fixing the total extinction threat by properly including the effects of key natural global heating counteractions:

Here is the mixed news:

The death of half of humanity by mid-century is still unavoidable. We have ignored six decades of valid scientific warnings about climate change and have been ineffective in slowing the acceleration of global warming. The climate bill has come due.

Due to natural counteractions within the climate's systems and subsystems, we can still save much of the other 50% of humanity (but only if we achieve the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets as soon as possible and stay below a carbon level of 425-450 ppm).

If we widely miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and cross the carbon 425-450 ppm threshold, Mother Nature's counteracting climate-related primary and secondary consequences will soon accelerate dramatically and then exponentially. 

The good news is that Mother Nature's counteractions should ensure that not all of humanity perishes. However, depending on when effective human system counteractions are initiated, humanity could decline to 30-40% of its current population. The most likely total of Mother Nature-enforced die-offs should be around 15-20% of humanity surviving. That would be close to the Earth's true human population carrying capacity.

If 90% or more of the human population, or even a percentage close to that, is lost due to climate change and other world crises (described on this page) intersecting with climate change, we will likely enter a new Dark Age where previous technological and knowledge levels cannot be sustained. This dark age could last hundreds to thousands of years, and for society to rebuild itself to its current technological and knowledge levels. However, even if society rebuilds its technical and knowledge base over hundreds of thousands of years, it will be incredibly difficult because the Industrial Revolution and the Information Age that followed it were powered, fueled, and dependent on easy access to relatively cheap fossil fuels, such as coal and, particularly, oil. If or when humanity enters the next Dark Age, it will not be able to access easily accessible or inexpensive oil using remaining or functioning post-collapse technology, because even today, easily accessible and inexpensive petroleum and coal have largely disappeared. Rebuilding the modern world after a new Dark Age would be impossible without the energy sources that powered the Industrial Revolution and the Information Age.

Please note: If we significantly miss the 2025 targets, there will be far fewer of us than if we achieve close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. If we fail to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets altogether and for considerably longer than 2031, we will cross the 450 ppm carbon threshold tipping point. There is a strong possibility that we will eventually go near-totally extinct because we will cross the third and fourth extinction-accelerating tipping points. We will have entered the fourth and fifth phases of irreversible, runaway global heating, as discussed on this page.

Irreversible climate change means we cannot return to the pre-industrial levels of excess greenhouse gases (such as carbon) that are now considered dangerous and unfriendly to humans, and remove them from our atmosphere for hundreds to thousands of years. (As of December 2023, we are currently at the insane atmospheric carbon level of 420 ppm. We will soon enter the generally considered irreversible and second phase of runaway global heating sometime between 2025 and 2031. This is when we enter the carbon 425-450 ppm range.)

At this point, you may wonder how Mother Nature will "allow" a mass or even a near-total human extinction while, on the other hand, still "preventing" us from going totally extinct.

It is because of a dialectical twist of evolutionary fate. 

 

How Mother Nature's cause and effect natural reactions, consequences, and systems will be the dominant force, saving humanity from itself and total extinction

Complex adaptive systems have "harmful" feedback loops and tipping points that can exacerbate the system's problems, worsening its stability and ultimately leading to its collapse. On the other hand, complex adaptive systems also have "helpful" countering feedback loops and tipping points that, at specific points, can trigger and improve the climate system, making it more stable and eventually restoring the system to equilibrium or near-equilibrium. 

Although most of the most prominent "harmful" climate feedback loops and tipping points are known, most "helpful" natural climate feedback loops and tipping points are still unknown. This is because humanity has never studied anything like what is happening to us with our current runaway global heating emergency.

Rest assured, these "helpful" feedback loops and tipping points are there because we have repeatedly seen these "helpful" feedback loops and tipping points gradually restoring other harmed or crashed ecological systems back into new equilibrium states in different natural and biological systems. 

We have observed many predator-prey ecological systems that have nearly collapsed and then rebalanced, utilizing new processes and feedback loops that result in different tipping points, pushing the ecological system back closer to its original equilibrium.

Fortunately, these same "helpful" feedback loops and tipping point rebalancing mechanisms exist within the climate's systems and subsystems.

These helpful tipping points and feedback loops can also help control the speed and damage levels of the runaway global heating extinction emergency. And then, at some point, they can trigger action, assisting Mother Nature in initiating the restoration and rebalancing process and taking the necessary steps to preserve the critical conditions for humanity to exist. 

Here is how those counteraction processes look for our future. While reading this list, please remember that the sooner humanity engages in truly effective, immediate, and radical global reductions of fossil fuel use to keep below the 425-450 ppm carbon threshold, the fewer people Mother Nature will need to eliminate.

 

Mother Nature's global warming cause-and-effect reactions are as follows:

• • In perfect lockstep with our rising global heating, Mother Nature's immutable laws of climate physics will continue ratcheting up ever-intensifying climate and global heating-related consequences to kill off hundreds of millions of us and then billions of us. (The initial and main ways Mother Nature will kill us are low crop yields, crop failures, and soaring crop prices. Global crops will fail or be stunted due to global warming-aggravated heatwaves, rain bombs, droughts, flooding, wildfires, out-of-season cold spells, hail, Derechos (severe windstorms), and other extreme weather events that destabilize normal growing season conditions. The world's five principal grains (rice, wheat, maize [corn], millet, and sorghum) are particularly vulnerable to climate-caused massive crop failure. This global heating-related crop failure occurs when temperatures (heat waves) are near or above 100 degrees Fahrenheit for about 30 days during the regular growing season. Increasing starvation always leads to mass migration to areas where there is more food. These hunger-driven mass migrations will lead to more local, regional, and national conflicts, creating a new amplifying feedback loop of even greater mass starvation, soaring food prices, economic instability, and conflict. As these starvation and migration conflicts grow in food-growing and producing countries, food production also will drop because of the many food-growing and transportation disruptions caused directly or indirectly by those expanding conflicts.)
  • This massive kill-off will continue unabated until so few of us are left that humanity can no longer raise or maintain global temperatures by burning so much fossil fuel. 
•  
  • The minimal critical point at which Mother Nature will stop killing us is when she has killed enough of us so that global fossil fuel use goes down to levels that no longer continue to heat the atmosphere. (This is likely the level where no human-caused additional greenhouse gases (carbon, methane, and nitrous oxide) are being added to the atmosphere. 
  • Mother Nature's final kill-off stage will end when so little additional greenhouse gas is being added to the atmosphere by remaining survivors that the atmosphere now even has the opportunity to start naturally removing existing greenhouse gases using natural Earth sequestering systems, which will begin lowering our average global temperature.
  • Mother Nature's climate system and subsystem inertia (resistance to change) will also help naturally slow the rise of global temperatures, even as we continue to burn more fossil fuels, at least for a while longer. For example, for quite a while, the oceans, our soils, and forests will continue to absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, and our seas will also continue to absorb carbon and heat from the atmosphere. (But at some point, that will stop, and these systems will begin releasing that stored carbon, and things will really go bad.)
  • Suppose Mother Nature solves our climate problems as our last resort. In that case, it is highly probable that it will take centuries to thousands of years for the atmosphere to recover the needed levels that are most conducive to the thriving of the human population.
  • Mother Nature is simply amplifying the already occurring worst consequences of climate change and using those consequences to eventually reduce the human population and slow, if not reverse, global warming.

There is one very important additional fact and perspective to consider when understanding how Mother Nature is helping us solve the climate change problem. She will not be kind in how she kills us off, and she will not do it in an easy or tidy way.

 

Mother Nature's climate change and global warming healing process is going to be excruciatingly painful and costly.

We strongly recommend that you review this page, which will guide you step-by-step through the devastating consequences that Mother Nature will inflict upon us until the atmospheric greenhouse gases of carbon, methane, and nitrous oxide return to pre-industrial levels of approximately 270 ppm. Or, at least, they would return to about 350 ppm. (Carbon 350 ppm was the last level that James Hansen, the world-renowned climate scientist, said we would have a relative level of safety and climate stability.

For a moment, consider the metaphor of what we are doing to our environment and the Earth, as if humanity were a virus destroying its host. Now think of Mother Nature saving the Earth by killing off more of us by doing just what the human body does when it gets a virus. The human body raises its temperature through a fever to eventually kill the virus. Mother nature is raising the temperature of the planet, giving Earth a fever until it kills off enough of humanity, which is the virus causing the climate change and ecological disaster we see all around us.

The financial cost of Mother Nature's cure will also be excruciatingly high; click here to read more about the immense financial costs of not addressing climate change ourselves.

 

 

How long will it take for Mother Nature to kill off enough of us to save the rest of us?

Mother Nature's reactions to climate change will keep killing more and more of humanity until:

a. There are so few of us left that greenhouse gases going into the atmosphere are no longer increasing and are going down, or

b. Our governments stop all additional greenhouse gases from entering the atmosphere, forcing the current greenhouse gas levels back to 350 ppm. (Carbon 350 ppm is a sustainable atmospheric carbon level for the survival of humanity.)

It will be either Mother Nature or our governments that save the last of humanity. Unfortunately, it is highly unlikely our governments will react in time to save all but a small portion of humanity. (Click here for 30+ reasons why it is highly unlikely our governments will act until the very last moment to save but a small portion of humanity.)

Unless our governments mass-mobilize and come close to the 2025 targets soon, and we do not cross the carbon 425-450 ppm threshold, the critical point where Mother Nature stops managing rising greenhouse gases by killing us off will likely be after 2050, in the second half of the 21st century. On the other hand, if we approach the 2025 targets soon, Mother Nature might stop killing us off far sooner, closer to 2045-2055.

Unfortunately, Mother Nature may likely keep killing us off with more intense global heating consequences beyond just the number of us that "she" needs to kill off to stop the remaining population from adding more greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. Unfortunately, predicting helpful natural system tipping points and feedback correction timeframes is not currently possible with high levels of certainty for complex natural systems interacting with human systems.

The natural kill-off process is not a theory. We have already seen Mother Nature's counteractions to global heating take effect. Mother Nature is already directly or indirectly killing off tens of millions of us each year from only our current level of global heating consequences. 

The blue line in the illustration below represents the rising consequences of primary and secondary runaway global heating. These rising global heating consequences will cause the climate and other systems within Mother Nature to keep killing off more and more humans (the green line) until humans cannot overheat the Earth by burning more fossil fuels.

About mid-century (2050) is when we estimate the lines will cross, and about half of humanity will have perished, and the Mother Nature-driven die-off will start slowing down.

 

In the second illustration below, it is evident that as humanity dies on the green line, global fossil fuel use will naturally decrease on the blue line.

 

 

How will long-delayed, dialectical human system counteractions become an essential yet secondary force in helping save humanity from a climate change-driven total extinction?

"When the pain going forward is less than the pain of where you are, people will change." Unknown

Humanity will collectively and eventually reach what could be called the climate change "rock bottom" point. This is where the level of climate change pain that humanity is currently experiencing (due to the many climate change consequences) will exceed the pain of making the required changes needed to save what is left of humanity. 

Below are the wise, necessary, and significant human systems counteractions (dialectical research and responses) that will eventually occur as runaway global heating worsens and its costs, suffering, pain, and deaths rise exponentially to the final level that pushes humanity to its collective climate change "rock bottom" transition point.

But here is the bad news. Neither individually nor cumulatively will these human counteractions occur in time or at sufficient levels to save about half of humanity from mass extinction by mid-century. (Please note, the following list of human system counteractions is mostly the long-delayed climate remedial actions that were required and should have been started and done six decades ago.)

Additionally, the following human counteractions, by themselves, will also not occur in time to save us from near-total extinction. Too many unavoidable and severe primary and secondary climate change consequences are already in the pipeline. This is primarily because, for the last 60 years, our governments have been so ineffective in resolving the global heating emergency because of the global fossil fuel cartel's disinformation and coercive undue influence campaigns on our politicians.

The human system's dialectical counteractions will be significantly affected by the contextual, relational, procedural, and transformational changes that the primary and secondary climate change consequences will cause, as they severely disrupt humanity's existing governmental, economic, social, and food supply-dependent ecological systems.

Below are the human systems counteractions that will eventually be enacted to address the intensifying human die-off and many other painful consequences of climate change. They will also eventually help lower our overall global fossil fuel use and help save at least some part of humanity.

The following human system actions, reactions, and counteractions are not necessarily in a priority order or sequence. They will occur as humanity wakes up to the climate change extinction emergency and desperately tries to save itself. Please note that the order in which these tasks will be completed is unknown and depends on the circumstances in each nation, as well as the pace and severity of the climate catastrophe.

Eventually: 

1. The global insurance and reinsurance companies canceling or failing to accept insurance policies in high-risk and known climate change danger areas will become a major force in getting our governments to act over the next few decades. Their angry citizens will be in the streets screaming that they can't sell or buy their own or desired homes because they are in expanding climate change high-risk zones and are now uninsurable.

Insurance and reinsurance companies worldwide will cancel or not accept ANY new home mortgages, business, home insurance, or crop failure policies in the expanding high-risk climate change areas. Global insurance and reinsurance companies recognize that they cannot survive the hundreds of trillions of dollars in climate change-related damages from now until 2050. They have no alternative but to eliminate and transfer the risks and losses back to the governments for any policy that could expose them to the ever-expanding dangers and losses of accelerating climate change. 

Climate change-related damages are not acts of God or random accidents. The global fossil fuel cartel knowingly created the many climate change consequences by using behind-the-scenes undue influence, censorship, and disinformation campaigns to stop governments from enforcing the needed global fossil fuel reductions. This expensive cartel disinformation and influence campaign also kept the world's citizens from demanding the necessary fossil fuel reductions for over 60 years. 

2. Successful lawsuits against the global fossil fuel cartel for climate change damages will accelerate to such massive levels that the fossil fuel production industry can no longer function as it had previously. They will also become a major force to slow and then reverse the climate change emergency. A steady and steep reduction in fossil fuel production will result, as the cartel will be forced to compensate for all the damages its products and actions have caused. As of October 19, 2023, there are over 2,000 climate change damage lawsuits worldwide against the cartel. 

By 2027, it is estimated there will be as many as 8,000 lawsuits, and by 2030, 20,000 lawsuits. Lawsuits against the global fossil fuel cartel will potentially and eventually have a far more significant and successful result in stopping the fossil fuel industry from continuing to harm humanity and biological life than all of the public protests that have thus far taken place worldwide. (We strongly recommend you read the Climate Justice Now program, which starts here. This program contains a list of law firms suing the cartel for climate change damage and tips on how to get your climate damage lawsuit going.

3. humanity will experience new climate catastrophes that are so extensive, intense, and costly, and humanity collectively will experience sufficient fear, pain, loss, and climate change danger awareness that they will finally demand (through their common political will) that their politicians act to fix the fears and losses from accelerating climate change. (We estimate this public demand will only happen after a single or several closely spaced climate change catastrophes occur, costing about 1/2 trillion dollars each and killing upwards of 100,000 or more people.) 

4. The world's citizens will angrily demand that their politicians immediately vote for honest climate change remedial actions as described on this page. (They will need to take protest actions like those described on this page.)

5. The world's wealthiest nations will eventually understand that the climate change emergency is a no-win game for everyone. Their powerful resistance (inertia) to losing their significant financial advantages will ultimately motivate and compel them to act to mitigate climate change, protecting their economic interests and advantages. (For more on why wealthy individuals and nations will finally act on climate change, click here.)

6. Governments that still have functioning legal systems will begin expediting highly public criminal prosecutions of all individuals and companies shown to be involved in implementing, executing, facilitating, or enabling the climate change nightmare. Severe punishments will be imposed on those found guilty.

Those individuals' and companies' actions will be tried under new and old laws as crimes against humanity and genocide. Governments that still have the death penalty will execute many of those found guilty because of raging survivor anger and demands for justice for those who chose the wrong side of history.

7. Our governments will finally pass, verify, and enforce laws that radically reduce fossil fuel use to get close to the 2025 global targets or the updated targets that are honestly needed at the time our governments act effectively. These new and enforceable correct target laws will significantly help reduce global fossil fuel use.

8. Our governments will create revenue-neutral, Fee and Dividend-based fossil fuel reduction programs. These Fee- and Dividend-based programs will significantly disincentivize the use of fossil fuels and greatly incentivize the use of greener energy. 

9. We will discover and use, at the proper scale, sustainable and appropriate technologies that are considerably different from what most people understand as new technologies. Once scaled up, these appropriate technologies will help us transition away from fossil fuels and potentially even help remove greenhouse gases from the atmosphere in an effective and sustainable manner. (Please note that effective and proven appropriate technology for carbon capture and removal is most likely decades away.) 

10. We will build more non-fossil fuel alternative energy generation systems to replace the current fossil fuel energy generation.

11. We will add more natural sequestration systems to remove more fossil fuel pollution from our atmosphere.

12. We will better protect and preserve existing natural carbon sequestration systems.

13. Our governments will pass and enforce laws that will make fossil fuels nearly impossible to use for all but a few minimal and essential uses. 

14. Billionaires and the world's wealthiest corporations will eventually see that it is in their self-interest to use their political and financial influence to force the world's politicians and governments to do what is necessary to save and salvage some part of humanity by enacting immediate radical fossil fuel reductions globally and the other emergency "save and salvage" steps as described on this page.

15. The world's citizens will angrily demand that the world's billionaires use their influence to force the politicians to immediately vote for honest climate change remedial actions as described on this page. (To get the billionaires to do this will require citizens to take the actions described on this page.)

16. To ensure we never have this problem again, current governments (or those that survive the post-fossil fuel great global collapse) will need to evolve new, more sustainability-friendly economic and political systems and laws. These new economic and political systems and laws must change the current global capitalism-based" values paradigm of over-consumption, over-population, exporting industrial pollution to the public sector, waste, overshoot, and other unsustainable ecological over-exploitation. Global society will need to radically change its values on how it views nature, shifting from a perspective of domination and exploitation to one of harmonization and coexistence in sustainable ways.

17. Because of the unimaginable pain and trauma of the runaway global heating's cumulative adverse effects and the coming global collapse of many critical areas, the survivors will find a new, more equitable, and just way to manage the world's resources and assets for survivors for the sustainable benefit of ALL humanity and not just for a few powerful and privileged nations or billionaires. Our world will look very different after the great global collapse. (To see the many step-by-step processes of a climate change consequence-driven great global collapse, click here.)

18. The net result of our steadily accumulating individual fossil fuel reduction actions can help make a difference in how much humanity survives after 2050. Your individual actions play a crucial role in reducing fossil fuel use to save as many people as possible. In many areas of our website, we have emphasized our government's critical first and primary role as being the most effective and necessary tool to enforce the 2025 global fossil fuel reductions. While that is a true priority, it also plays a crucial role in the ongoing growth of individual-driven reductions in fossil fuel use.

While individual fossil fuel reductions by hundreds of millions of people are presently insufficient and too late to save approximately half of humanity before around 2050, they can still play a crucial role in determining the percentage of humanity that survives after 2050. After humanity has reached the climate change catastrophe "rock bottom" described above, the net result of our steadily accumulating individual actions to reduce fossil fuel use could help make a critical difference, allowing as much as 30% of humanity to survive after 2050. (This 30 percent saved includes us doing all of the other human systems' dialectical climate change counteractions described in this section.)

If individual fossil fuel reduction actions do not continue to grow significantly, and we do not do most of the human system's dialectical climate change counteractions described above, as few as five percent or less of humanity may survive until about 2070. This also implies an important role for continuing individual actions to reduce fossil fuel use. Click here to see the actions needed to reduce individual fossil fuel use.

As a rule, the worse the climate consequence "inaction costs" of runaway global heating get (i.e., financial losses, ecological damage, human suffering, and deaths), the faster and harder governments and others will counter-react and enact the above list of human counteractions to further slow the runaway global heating extinction emergency to prevent it becoming irreversible total human extinction.

In other words, as history has repeatedly demonstrated, humanity will finally change its behaviors when the pain of going forward with those new changes is less than the pain of staying where it is.

In the illustration below, the green line represents the rising and intensifying consequences of runaway global warming. The blue line represents the locked-in relationship between dependable, continuous, faster, and harder reactions to the consequences of global warming, utilizing all possible human counteractions in lockstep with the rising, painful consequences of runaway global warming.

 

 

Yes, the above human counteractions will be too little and too late by themselves to save humanity. However, when combined with Mother Nature's far larger and more dominant counteractions, they provide an additional opportunity to save even more post-mid-century humanity, as the above human counteractions will also contribute to slowing and lowering our rising global temperature and reducing new carbon entering our atmosphere. 

When all of the above and far less powerful secondary human counteractions are added to the natural counteractions of Mother Nature, they will act as an additional counteracting brake on rising global temperatures and atmospheric carbon.

These human counteractions will help Mother Nature ensure that humanity does not approach near-total extinction. But even without the additional human counteractions, the good news is that Mother Nature's massive kill-off alone will save us from a climate change-driven total extinction. The above human counteractions (which will eventually occur during the collapse) are just extra insurance and can help save more of us sooner.

Unfortunately, there is still this awful news to deal with. All of the above natural and human counteractions will still not be enough or be able to be scaled up in time to save about half of humanity from going extinct by mid-century in what will be an excruciatingly horrible and painful process. This means that whoever survives the mid-century extinction will face centuries to thousands of years of deprivation and suffering before Mother Nature can fully rebalance herself and reduce atmospheric carbon, methane, and nitrous oxide levels to a point where our global temperature returns to a level more suitable for optimal human existence and reproduction.

 

 

How much of humanity will perish and be left after mid-century?

At this point, you may wonder how much of humanity Mother Nature's counteractions could save. Here are some estimates.

If we fail to radically reduce current global fossil fuel use and get close to the 2025 global targets as soon as possible:

1. Some believe Mother Nature will keep killing us off until we get back down to what is known as the Earth's sustainable carrying capacity of about 1.5 billion people.

2. Others believe we will be lucky to have 5-10% or less of humanity still living in 2080 to 2100. This extremely high die-off level is due to global heating continuing to rise for decades, even after Mother Nature has reduced the population to a point where it can no longer add more carbon, methane, and nitrous oxide to our atmosphere. Moreover, global heating is expected to continue rising for another 2-3 decades even after we entirely stop adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, due to the pre-existing momentum of global heating already committed within the climate system. 

3. The Club of Rome-related studies projects there will be between 2.5 billion people, according to the latest analysis, projecting about 1.5 billion people left by 2100, if you also include all current climate change factors.

4. We at Job One believe that after humanity misses the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets significantly and humanity has hit the climate change catastrophe "rock bottom" (described above), the net result of Mother Nature killing off so many of us added to humanity successfully executing many of the human system climate change counteractions listed above, can make the difference so that as many as 30% of humanity will survive after 2050. 

If after humanity misses the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets significantly, and humanity has hit the climate change catastrophe "rock bottom" (described above), added to the net result of Mother Nature killing off so many of us, and we do not execute most of the human system climate change counteractions described above, as few as one to two percent of humanity will survive until about 2070. 

If we fail to get close to the 2025 targets, and if humanity fails to collectively hit climate change "rock bottom" soon enough, forcing its governments to finally act along with all of the human interactions getting started as quickly as possible, it is critical to realize that the conditions for the after-mid-century survivors will be so bad most of them will wish they had not survived. (Click here to see the primary and secondary global heating-related consequences they will experience if we fail to get close to the 2025 targets.) 

Once you have reviewed those horrendous consequences, there will be little doubt that the only viable solution for humanity's future is to get as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

 

 

When will our governments finally take action that genuinely addresses the climate change emergency?

From all of the above, one begins to see that there is no fixed date when our governments will finally act to address the climate change emergency. Still, it will be determined by a series of painful climate change-related consequences suffered by much of humanity, continually driving humanity toward its climate change "rock bottom" transition point, which will ultimately determine the date for governmental action. 

Using the body of current climate change research and all of the Club of Rome-related studies, our best estimate of that date is sometime between 2035 and 2045; our governments will finally get serious about cutting global fossil use to the required levels. We strongly recommend reading our three recent Club of Rome climate change-related studies on global collapse for background research and the most likely timelines for global collapse. The conclusion drawn from these three articles is that by about 2035, humanity will start to experience several major global catastrophes, instabilities, and critical system collapses because of multiple major factors converging simultaneously (industrial output, food production, resource availability, population, pollution, and climate consequences) and that will continue to intensify until our governments act.

We finished a spellbinding three-article series in January of 2023 on what happens when you add current climate research (like the above,) climate change extinction tipping point, and climate change feedback loop information into the four well-documented previous studies on the Club of Rome/MIT five factors that are most likely to bring about global collapse. (The Club of Rome/MIT five factors are industrial output, food production, resource availability, population, and pollution. The previous five Club of Rome/MIT studies did not adequately include recent climate change research.)

The last article in this Club of Rome series features graphs (like the one below) that illustrate how the updated prediction timeframes for the global collapse of these five critical factors have become significantly shorter when climate change consequence factors and timeframes are incorporated into the other four previous studies. 

Here is our 2023 Job One for Humanity updated graph, featuring current climate change information and highlighting where humanity falls short of the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. The following things in the illustration below are essential regarding humanity's time frames relating to survival and collapse. Notice that around 2025 to 2030, critical survival factors start to decline steeply. From 2030 to 2040, even more crucial factors will move into steep declines and intersect during this period.

These two periods, from 2025 to 2030 and from 2030 to 2040, are expected to result in a dramatic increase in human suffering and death. Between 2040 and 2050, conditions will worsen even further, with almost all critical survival factors in steep decline, except pollution, which will also exacerbate the situation.

We have predicted that by 2050, about half of humanity will be dead. The period from 2050 to 2070 will be the most dangerous if our governments do not work with Mother Nature and eventually help reduce global fossil fuel use. If our governments miss their second opportunity to save about half of humanity, we could have anywhere from 30% to as little as 2% of humanity surviving past 2070.

 

 

Click here to go to the first of these three articles. It will also link you to the other two articles. Once you have also finished the Club of Rome articles, you know much more about the processes and timeframes of global collapse than 99.9999% of humanity.

 

A helpful and balancing perspective on Mother Nature's coming mass die-off and widespread global collapse

Whenever a species within an ecosystem exceeds the needed resources of that ecosystem or destroys its critical ecosystem so that it is no longer capable of sustainably producing all of the resources that the species needs, Mother Nature "helps" that species die off sufficiently so that its population comes back into balance with the ecosystem resources that support it.

Humanity is just another species within the vast array of species that Mother Nature has on Earth. Humanity has not managed its population, which has grown far beyond what the Earth can sustainably support. Not only has humanity's population grown beyond the sustainable resources needed to support it, but it has also polluted and destroyed the ecosystems that support it, rendering these damaged ecosystems unable to meet the needs of an ever-growing humanity.

Mother Nature will soon do to humanity what she has been doing to every other species that cannot migrate to a new ecosystem and is out of balance with its ecosystem. She will find a way to cause a mass die-off in that species until its population matches the resources available in its ecosystem.

Because humanity has been utterly unable to manage its population, resources, and pollution effectively, it now faces an unavoidable, widespread, and significant die-off and collapse of both human and natural systems. This mass die-off will facilitate a great rebalancing and a potential great rebirth for what is left of humanity after the process runs its full course. Humanity will experience the effect of its unwise collective actions.

This great Die-off and collapse process will most likely continue until a new balance in the human population has been achieved, not because our governments have acted in time to prevent the great die-off and collapse. In many ways, this should be seen as just another natural evolutionary process. 

While there is not much we can do until the population-to-resource balance (the Overshoot) is re-established. We can understand its cause and effects and be compassionate with ourselves and others experiencing the suffering, financial loss, and death that will be the signposts of this natural process. 

The potential good news here is that if, at some point, our remaining governments can finally enforce the required climate laws and do so in time, there will be enough of us left to prevent the world from going into total extinction and a new dark age. Best of all, if our governments finally act, we have the potential and opportunity to create a Great Global Rebirth from the painful wisdom humanity will have acquired from this ordeal.

As we witness this painful die-off and collapse process unfold, we should be grateful that Mother Nature's natural processes are in place to save us (at least a much smaller part of humanity) from ourselves and the ignorance, incompetence, and greed of our governments, politicians, and corporate executives.

For more information on Mother Nature's evolutionary processes, especially the often necessary "collapse and rebirth" cycle for non-adaptive situations, not paying attention, "listening" to, or using the situation's natural feedback information, click here.

Never forget that continuous collapse and rebirth are entirely natural parts of the Earth's long-term evolutionary history. Click here for a good explanation of this time-tested and proven evolutionary principle.

 

A "Big Picture" Way of Seeing Our Climate Change Consequence Timetables as Waves 

Because our governments and politicians have entirely failed to protect us from the worst consequences of climate change, we must manage those consequences primarily on our own. Accordingly, it will be helpful to see your climate change future preparations and adaptations in the following three time frame phases:

Phase One Wave: The Great Die-off and Great Collapse 

This great die-off and collapse will have several stages:

Stage One: From now until the end of 2025, climate change consequences will steadily rise in severity, frequency, and scale, but not so much that it will be hard to find the needed materials at reasonable costs to do the emergency preparations and adaptations you will need to do to protect yourself, your family, and your business. Some climate change consequences are expected to double in frequency, severity, and scale over the next six years. (Click here to learn more about the crossed climate change tipping points that make this 2025 date so important.)

Stage Two: From 2025 to about 2031, climate change consequences will rise dramatically in severity, frequency, and scale, so much that as we approach 2031 it will be harder to find the needed materials at reasonable costs to do the emergency preparations and adaptations you will need to do to protect yourself, your family, and your business. Globally, deaths, financial losses, starvation, migration, and other primary and secondary consequences of climate change are expected to rise dramatically. (Click here to learn more about the climate change tipping points that make this 2025-2031 date range so important.)

Stage Three: From 2031 to about 2050, climate change consequences will begin to rise exponentially in severity, frequency, and scale, so much that it will be all but impossible to find the needed materials at reasonable costs to do the emergency preparation and adaptations you will need to do to protect yourself, your family, and your business. (Click here if you doubt that about half of humanity will be dead from the combined primary and secondary consequences of our accelerating climate change.)

Globally, deaths, financial losses, starvation, migration, and other primary and secondary consequences of climate change are expected to rise exponentially. (The processes and primary and secondary climate change consequences that will cause the first great die-off and collapse are described in detail on this page. For information about collapse and rebirth as a natural evolutionary process, see this page.)

Phase Two Wave: The Great Juncture, Turning Point, or Moment of Truth.

By 2050, approximately half of humanity will have already passed away. If our governments act before 2050, we may still be able to avoid near-total extinction and prevent another 25% to 40% of the pre-2025 population from dying. If our governments act in time, we will save a significant part of the human population, and there is a good chance we can avoid a new dark age that could last for centuries. However, if our governments do not act in time and only a tiny portion of humanity remains (20% or less), the probability of entering a new dark age is very high. (The human, governmental, and natural processes that could save as much as 50% of the remaining human population are described in detail on this page.)

Phase Three Wave: The Great Global Rebirth Possibilities.

If our governments do act in time (as described above and in detail here) and at least 25-50% of the population survives, the survivors of the greatest extinction and tragedy in human history will have unimaginable pain and trauma deeply ingrained into their psyches. Because of this global trauma, there is a strong likelihood that these painful collective memories will motivate the demand for massive changes in our human economic, social, political, and religious systems so that a climate change-triggered and enabled mass extinction event can never happen again.

To read about the many benefits and potential changes that can come about in this great global rebirth, we recommend first reading about the natural evolutionary process of going through a collapse and rebirth cycle found here and why it is not so bad from a big evolutionary perspective, and it is not the end of the world.

Next, we strongly recommend reading about the numerous potential benefits for human systems in a tremendous global rebirth, as many pre-existing power structures that were entrenched in behaviors and ideas that have destroyed most of humanity are no longer in power or functioning due to the Great Collapse. Here are these benefits for one of the most-read pages on our website.

 

If you still have doubts about what you are reading...

For many visitors to our uncensored climate change think tank's website, their biggest question after reading our climate change consequences and timetable forecasts is, "Why are your climate change forecasts so much worse than almost everything I hear in the media from my government, the educational environmental and climate change organizations, or the former world's leading authority on climate change, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC)? Click here for the five critical reasons that will fully answer your "why are our forecasts so much worse" question.

 

 

Please also consider becoming an annual member by clicking here and exploring the valuable information and benefits you will receive. We guarantee that you will receive more than you give when you become a proud funder of our 100% publicly funded, not-for-profit climate change think tank.

 

Conclusion

We must make the most of our remaining limited opportunities and save and salvage whatever we can of humanity and our global civilization. 

Unfortunately, those who have predicted a climate change-driven total extinction and complete global collapse have not carefully considered the many natural and human dialectical counteractions that will occur. They have not carefully analyzed the climate change emergency from a dialectical meta-systematic viewpoint, which would allow them to see the climate emergency from 28 unique perspectives and down 2-3 levels of dialectical consequences and counteractions to those consequences.

From the above, it is clear that all is not hopeless, and a global heating-driven total extinction is not the most probable outcome of climate change and runaway global warming. On the contrary, the closer we get to the honest 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, the more of the post-mid-century population will be able to survive past mid-century. 

Conversely, the quality of life for those who survive the pre-mid-century unavoidable mass extinction process will be far more unbearable the longer it takes us to reach the critical 2025 global targets.

When you analyze and include all of the human "harmful" climate feedback loops and tipping points along with all of the counteracting and "helpful" natural (Mother Nature's) and human feedback loops and tipping points, you get a climate and human-connected system that should eventually "self" correct through a very painful and extremely high "cost" reactive process.

Today, many climate researchers and individuals have either omitted or deeply underestimated the effects of Newton's 3rd law on climate systems and their many subsystems. They have primarily ignored natural (Mother Nature's) and human system-driven counteractions, such as corrective actions and "helpful" climate system feedback loops and tipping points. 

Unfortunately, many of those who believe the current runaway global heating situation is hopeless have given up. Because they believe total extinction is inevitable, they do nothing substantive to fulfill their required 1/8 billionth critical part in getting their governments to act while humanity still has time to prevent total extinction. It is not difficult to see that giving up or promoting giving up, while failing to act effectively and educate, constitutes a grave ethical or moral failure.

Those individuals fail to see that the runaway global heating emergency is just another evolutionary opportunity that will force us to make the many economic, social, environmental, religious, and political changes that we will inevitably make, sooner or later. 

Fortunately, the more profound dialectical truth of evolutionary climate change shines brightest. If we achieve the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets as soon as possible, as much as half of humanity could survive the runaway global heating extinction emergency. This perspective is truly a realistic and worthwhile hope worth fighting for, sacrificing for, and working towards wholeheartedly.

Individuals or groups who continually sell you all is lost, surviving is just hopium, or we are ALL doomed because of the runaway global heating emergency have failed to properly:

a. Account for,

b. Use in their analysis, or

c. See the many compensatory dialectical counteractions of:

1. Newton's always dependable 3rd Law of thermodynamics, 

2. Mother Nature's natural counteraction to human mass extinction is the only thing that can and will scale up in lockstep with our accelerating global heating consequences. (Mother Nature's kill-off counteractions will be the primary, dominant, and most likely way that a portion of humanity will be able to survive the runaway global heating extinction emergency.) 

3. Humanity's eventual, contributing, and secondary counteraction measures to radically reduce global fossil fuel use to levels that will allow some of humanity to survive. But, unfortunately, those radical fossil fuel-reducing actions will not occur until humanity experiences levels of insane financial loss, personal suffering, social and political chaos, and accelerating death that is so large and unbearable that humanity has no choice but to fix the climate change nightmare, or everything dies!

4. Inertia (resistance to change) in the climate system and its subsystems, and inertia in our many human systems. For example, the world's wealthiest individuals and nations will eventually realize that the climate change emergency is a lose-lose situation for everyone. Their powerful resistance (inertia) to losing their significant financial advantages will ultimately motivate and compel them to act to mitigate climate change, protecting their economic interests and advantages. (For more on why wealthy individuals and nations will finally act on climate change, click here.)

5. They have failed to consider the accelerating climate emergency from the 28 DMAP dialectical perspectives that are critical for analyzing complex adaptive systems, such as the climate and human reactions at meta-systemic levels. These 28 perspectives illuminate the process of evolutionary dialectical counteractions and interactions. (These 28 dialectical perspectives are described in Otto Laske's landmark book Measuring Hidden Dimensions of Human Systems, Volume 2.) 

6. Please always remember that continuous collapse and rebirth are entirely natural parts of the Earth's long-term evolutionary history. Click here for a good explanation of this time-tested and proven evolutionary principle.

Furthermore, we believe it is morally and ethically grossly irresponsible for anyone to promote a highly probable vision of a climate change-driven total extinction and distract people from continuous, direct action to get our governments to prevent this outcome. Such action is especially reprehensible, given that we still have the rapidly diminishing option to avoid total extinction and save as many people as possible during the near-total extinction processes described above.

Below, please see how poorly we are currently performing in relation to atmospheric carbon levels (CO2) in comparison to the required 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

 

 

We leave you with this balancing quote from the Post Carbon Institute:

“In reality, there are degrees of collapse, and history shows that the process has usually taken decades and sometimes centuries to unfold, often in stair-steps punctuated by periods of partial recovery. Further, it may be possible to intervene in collapse to improve outcomes for ourselves, our communities, our species, and thousands of other species.

After the collapse of the Roman Empire, medieval Irish monks may have “saved civilization” by memorizing and transcribing ancient texts. Could we, with planning and motivation, do as much for the best of our civilization?

Will the new ClimateSafe Villages project be like the monasteries of old?

And finally, indigenous communities around the world frequently predict that Mother Nature is about to cleanse the planet of the things harming the environment and many of her species.

 

What can you do today to address our climate change-driven nightmare and ensure the survival of you and humanity?

In this article, we stated that the impending widespread global collapse and breakdown process would be a long, excruciating, and painful experience for humanity to endure and recover from. The climate change-driven, widespread collapse and breakdown process, which humanity will undergo before its recovery from climate change, is described in incredible, step-by-step detail in this link.

 

We strongly recommend reading this link to understand the step-by-step, phase-by-phase global nightmare that is unfolding, and which is primarily unavoidable due to our 60 years of failing to address climate change after being warned by our best scientists about the consequences of inaction 60 years ago. Once you have read this link, it will help you understand why you must immediately start preparing for and adapting to the soon-arriving and exceedingly challenging times ahead.

Once you have read the preceding link, you also should be highly motivated to click here to go to our comprehensive Plan B climate change preparation, adaptation, resilience, relocation, and recovery plan, which will:

a. help protect and preserve your loved ones, businesses, and assets.

b. help you act in effective ways to get our governments to act before it is too late for most of humanity.

Click here for our recommended action timeframe page, which outlines the timeframe for taking action, depending on location and other circumstances.

Click here if you are a victim of climate change-related damage or loss and want to seek financial and other forms of restitution for the damages you have suffered.

Click Here Now if You Are Ready to Vote if the Global Fossil fuel Cartel is Guilty of Causing Climate change and Financially Responsible for all Climate change Loss and Damage.

Important Additional Reading

After you finish this article, please be sure to read its companion article called the Climageddon Feedback Scenario. It will help you understand and "see" the climate change emergency at the level of a climate change researcher and analyst.

Please also click here to read about relevant human history, planetary evolution, the many extinction threats, and facts to add more of a "big picture" balance to your perspective on why total human extinction is very unlikely.

 

Important Technical Notes:

 

1. 1. 1. This article stems from a new dialectical, meta-systemic, and system theory-based analysis of the most recent climate research, which views the climate as a complex adaptive system. On Earth, nothing takes place in a vacuum. For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction. For every action (consequence) you have read about on this website, there could also be various counteractions from both "Mother Nature" and our many human systems and organizations. All possible counteractions must always be carefully weighed, considered, and included in any legitimate problem threat and risk analysis. 
      2. This article is based on a careful re-examination of current relevant climate change research, as well as the contexts, processes, relationships, and transformations occurring within the climate's dynamic, interconnected, and interdependent systems and subsystems. During this process, we discovered that some natural and many human system counteractions (including some in beneficial climate feedback loops and tipping points) were not adequately considered or weighted in our earlier climate research, nor in the climate and global heating consequence predictions and timelines of other climate change researchers.  
      3. If we reach an increase of 4-6 degrees Celsius in average global temperature, we will experience vast releases of stored carbon and methane from our oceans, soils, trees, and coastal ocean shelves. However, it is highly improbable that we will reach these temperature levels due to the natural and human counteractions described above. As temperatures rise, the human die-off will be so steep that there will not be enough of us left to continue burning fossil fuels to reach a 4-6 degrees Celsius level. Over the last six decades, it has taken approximately 25 additional carbon parts per million (ppm) to be added to the atmosphere to raise the average global temperature by 0.5 degrees Fahrenheit. (One degree Celsius is equal to about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit.) That means that at the current rate of adding three new carbon ppm per year to our atmosphere, it takes 8+ years to raise the average global temperature by 0.5 degrees Fahrenheit. We have presently raised the average global temperature by 1.2 degrees Celsius since pre-industrial times. This means we have another 2.8 degrees of Celsius to go before entering a hazardous area for total extinction. Achieving a temperature of 4 degrees Celsius will take approximately 40 to 50 years. By then, much of humanity will be long dead, and our greenhouse gas levels will have stopped rising (possibly even begun to drop), preventing us from reaching 4 degrees Celsius. For the sake of wild argument, even if we cross additional global heating tipping points that cause a 50% reduction in the total time left to prevent reaching 4 degrees Celsius, so many of us will die off in the next 20-30 years, we will still not add enough additional fossil fuel pollutants in parts per million to the atmosphere to reach the 4 degrees Celsius level. It is essential to note that if we approach a 3-degree Celsius increase in global temperature, it will be nearly impossible to prevent humanity from reaching a 4 °C increase.
      4. Anyone claiming that climate science indicates that all of humanity will inevitably go extinct due to the consequences of runaway global warming does not understand that there are no 100% certainties in science, as new discoveries are constantly qualified and adjusted by older research.
      5. Current dialectical meta-systemic analysis of recent climate research does not support the wild predictions of a climate-driven total human extinction in 10, 20, 30, or even 40 years. We have time left to act, and at worst, we will only suffer near-total extinction; however, we need everyone to immediately row in the same direction with full strength to minimize future human extinction losses and collapse-related suffering. 

Other Collapse-Related Studies

1. 1. 1. According to a 2020 study published in Scientific Reports, if deforestation and resource consumption (aka overshoot) continue at current rates, they could culminate in a "catastrophic collapse in human population" and possibly "an irreversible collapse of our civilization" in the next 20 to 40 years.
      2. If we significantly miss the 2025 targets, there will be far fewer of us (near-total extinction) than if we achieve close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. If we fail to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets altogether and for considerably longer than the next decade, then there is a strong possibility that we could eventually become extinct, as we have entered the fourth and fifth phases of irreversible, runaway global heating, as discussed on this page. 
      3. According to the most optimistic scenario presented in another study, the likelihood that human civilization will survive is less than 10%. (See Nafeez, Ahmed. "Theoretical Physicists Say 90% Chance of Societal Collapse Within Several Decades". Vice. Retrieved 2 August 2021. Also see Bologna, M.; Aquino, G. (2020). "Deforestation and world population sustainability: a quantitative analysis." Scientific Reports. 10 (7631): 7631.                  doi:10.1038/s41598-020-63657-6. PMC 7203172. PMID 32376879.) 
      4. The gold standard for collapse studies and research is found in the book The Collapse of Complex Societies by Joseph A Tainter. The Collapse of Complex Societies, along with the book Overshoot by William R. Catton Jr., is the absolute minimum required reading to think rationally and comprehensively about the causes and issues surrounding global collapse and mass extinction.

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