Why Our Climate Change Consequences, Solutions, and Timetable Forecasts Are Usually About 30% to 60% More Accurate Than Other Government, Media, and UN, IPCC Forecasts

Last Updated 10.9.25

Job One for Humanity published this article. Job One is a nonprofit climate change think tank and risk assessment organization founded in 2008. It is nonpartisan, 100% publicly funded, and uncensored by any government or corporation. Please note that our most up-to-date climate change consequence forecasts and timetables are always found on this page.

 

Why are our climate change forecasts different and are often worse by as much as 30 to 60% more than the forecasts you hear in the media or from the UN, IPCC, or from your governments?

Below are the numerous reasons why Job One for Humanity's climate change think tank climate change consequence and timeframe forecasts are often considerably worse and considerably more accurate than the climate change consequence and timeframe forecasts of other climate change think tanks, governments, environmental groups, and the former world's leading authority on climate change, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC.) 

 

 

 

1. Our think tank goes to great lengths to re-analyze current peer-reviewed climate change research and analysis for unintentional errors, omissions, or concealed and unnoticed critical climate change patterns between the studies.

We carefully review these peer-reviewed climate change studies for numerous factors, including:

1. Understated and overstated consequences.

2. Concealed or missed important climate patterns between the various peer-reviewed studies that individual climate researchers focusing only on what their own siloed specialty, i.e., water vapor, ocean temperature, and carbonization, soils, forests, glaciers, permafrost, albedo, ice pack size, ocean currents, etc., would not usually see. 

3. Interconnections, interdependencies, and even nonlinear reactions that individual climate researchers focusing only on what their own siloed specialty, i.e., water vapor, ocean temperature, and carbonization, soils, forests, glaciers, permafrost, albedo, ice pack size, ocean currents, etc., would not usually see. 

4. Entirely missing calculations for crossing tipping points and triggering feedback loops within the climate system or sub-system being researched.

5. Subtly hidden, vested financial interests that have influenced and manipulated climate change data.-/To the best of our ability, we carefully analyze all the above factors. Then, wherever appropriate in making our climate change-related forecasts, we make calculated adjustments or allowances for any missing, incorrect, overlooked, or biased information (that may have been influenced by hidden financial interests within these climate change studies).

 

Over the last 13 years, we have found a pattern of repeating problems in climate change studies. Click here and read the links on this page to discover the nine most significant unintentional and intentional errors and omissions, missing tipping points and feedback loops, or potentially intentionally understated and overstated consequences, and a hidden, vested financial interest manipulation of peer-reviewed climate change data that our organization has exposed over the years.

The description and links on this critical page provide detailed explanations of the nine significant problems in current peer-reviewed climate change calculations and forecasts, which our governments and the media are repeating. Please be sure to read this climate science dense page and its linked pages.

These pages go over each of the nine major problems that synergetically and cumulatively, rationally, practically, and scientifically explain why many of our consequences, timetable forecasts, and solutions are often as much as 30 to 60% more accurate than the forecasts coming from our governments or from media significantly owned by members of the global fossil fuel cartel. 

After you have read all nine of the errors, omissions, biases, hidden vested interests, and other serious accuracy issues plaguing current climate change forecasting found within these nine problems, you will then have little difficulty understanding why our forecasts are often as much as 30-60% more accurate. 

When you are done with the above links, please click here to see how the global fossil fuel cartel is spending billions to ensure no organization, government, or mainstream media outlet is accurately telling the public about how dire the climate emergency is or will get. We have written extensively on this page on how the unethical and illegal actions of the global fossil fuel cartel on the UN's IPCC cause the gross underestimation of so many areas within the IPCC summary reports. 

 

 

2. We are the world's only climate change think tank currently using the newest dialectical metasystemic data analysis and problem-solving methodology (DMAP) to better understand and predict the behavior of complex adaptive systems like climate and climate change.

This new advanced analysis system and methodology, developed by a Harvard professor, is called DMAP. While this new analysis system incorporates traditional logic, statistics, data analysis, and system theory, it also transcends these approaches.

It represents a significant leap beyond previous data analysis methodologies, enabling the analyst to view any problem, solution, or situation from 28 different dialectical perspectives. Those 28 different dialectical perspectives allow errors, omissions, new patterns, solutions, and hidden processes, interconnections, or interdependencies to be more easily discovered.

Climate change denial is a widely recognized problem in the general population. What is not widely recognized is that within the worldwide climate change research community, there is a significant problem with climate data analysis that we refer to as unintentional climate change analysis specialization. Unintentional specialization in climate change occurs when researchers fail to recognize and engage with research outside their specialty or fail to keep up with the latest data analysis methodologies, such as the critical new DMAP methodology.

Lacking the new DMAP skill results in far inferior data analysis and forecasting, particularly with the complex adaptive systems within the climate's systems and subsystems. Traditional logic, data analysis, statistics, and system theory skills are no longer sufficient by themselves to accurately and adequately forecast the consequences, timelines, or solutions of climate change. Those previous older systems alone are inadequate to handle the uniqueness, complexity, and ongoing and continually changing facets of the complex adaptive systems of the climate.

If you want to learn more about this groundbreaking data analysis and problem-solving breakthrough, which surpasses earlier systems in analyzing the complex data found within complex adaptive systems (such as politics, economics, climate, ecology, etc.), click here first, then click DMAP.

(The first click will take you to a review of a new book called Human Superintelligence that discusses the DMAP learning process challenges. The second link will take you to many other resources on this world-changing dialectical metasystemic analysis and problem-solving breakthrough that is perfect for the modern world of complex adaptive systems we now live in.)

Click here for an example of how DMAP enables you to understand the deepest levels of interaction within the many complex adaptive systems that comprise climate change.

 

 

 

3. We factor in the seldom recognized or accounted-for Climageddon Feedback Loop by always including its accelerating and catastrophic possibilities and probabilities in our analysis, forecasts, and solutions. Few other climate researchers worldwide include or allow for values and calculations for the numerous climate change system and subsystem tipping points, feedback loops, and other seldom-considered factors from the Climageddon Feedback Loop. 

Other organizations either intentionally ignore these critical values in their calculations or fail to use them due to a lack of understanding of the dialectical, interacting dynamics of complex adaptive systems within the various systems and subsystems of climate change. 

Please click here to learn about what may be one of the most important pages on our website. It will explain the very complex but tremendously important Climageddon Feedback Loop with detailed illustrations for accurate climate change forecasts.

 

 

4. Our nonpartisan, 100% public-only funding means that our research and analysis have no "please the funder bias" or funder "pet position" coloring, which alters our results or forecasts in favor of funder or member interests. Funding bias occurs when researchers are aware that the individual, corporation, or government agency funding their research also seeks a favorable result to support a position or project they wish to advance, maintain, or defend. 

 

 

Unfortunately, funding bias is blinding and plaguing many climate research and environmental educational organizations. They continually alter or downplay the actual consequences and timelines of climate change to avoid upsetting their funders and member donors, or to ensure continued funding by vested financial interests directly or indirectly related to the global fossil fuel cartel or fossil fuel-dependent industries.

Job One for Humanity is very different. It treats its donors and members as adults capable of managing the painful news about climate change and our accelerating emergency. We always inform them of the current climate facts, regardless of how painful and disruptive they may be.

We also do not accept any funding or consulting work from organizations that benefit directly or indirectly from climate change or its causes, or have a history of altering or hiding climate change facts, or promoting climate change falsehoods or disinformation. 

 

5. We openly and consistently invite our climate change science peers to review any and all of our work and forecasts for errors, omissions, etc.

 

6. Our climate change forecasts and solutions also respect and factor in reasonable worst-case uncertainty allowances, and practical climate time and social behavior cushions for our solutions to also allow for fundamental ideas behind the Precautionary Principle

Wise and mature Individuals and organizations that embrace the precautionary principle are adopting the forecasts, timeframes, and solutions provided for the climate change emergency found on the Job One website. The precautionary principle (or precautionary approach) is defined as a broad epistemological, philosophical, and legal approach to actions or innovations that have the potential to cause serious or widespread harm when extensive scientific knowledge on the matter is lacking.

It emphasizes balanced, wise, and measured caution, pausing, and review before leaping into new actions or innovations that may prove disastrous, particularly those that could cause severe, widespread global or national catastrophe or even extinction.

Wise policymakers apply the Precautionary Principle in situations where there is a known or potential possibility of grave and widespread harm from making a specific decision and taking a particular course of action, even when conclusive evidence is not yet available. For example, a government may decide to limit or restrict the widespread release of a medicine or new technology until it has been thoroughly tested and proven safe. As an additional example, there are many good reasons and many uncertainties surrounding why the world has come together utilizing the Precautionary Principle to limit the testing of advanced nuclear weapons.

The precautionary principle acknowledges that while the progress of science and technology has often brought great benefit to humanity, it has also contributed to creating new threats, risks, and past serious and widespread harms. It holds that there is a social responsibility to protect the public from exposure to such harm, new threats, and risks. It implies that when scientific investigation identifies a plausible serious risk with remaining critical uncertainty, the risk should be taken only if further scientific findings emerge, providing sound evidence that no serious or widespread harm will result.

It also implies that the greater the risk of any action is that has the potential for serious and widespread consequences and that has significant remaining uncertainties surrounding potential outcomes, the more the precautionary principle must be applied.

The principle has become an underlying rationale for an increasing number of international treaties and declarations in the fields of sustainable development, environmental protection, health, trade, and food safety. In some legal systems, such as the law of the European Union, the application of the precautionary principle has been made a statutory requirement in some areas of law.

Unfortunately, outside the European Union, the precautionary principle has not been widely adopted in legal systems. Despite the lack of adoption in most countries, the world is facing a crisis and is in a state of emergency due to accelerating climate change. A climate change-driven mass human extinction is a growing reality. Wise nations, organizations, and corporations will utilize our materials and advocate for the application of the precautionary principle in setting fossil fuel reduction targets and in all other actions necessary to prevent the further acceleration of the climate change emergency.

 

 

7. Our position on the most important controversy in climate changes modeling

You should also know that on our website and in our climate change forecasts and predictions, we utilize the calculation-critical climate sensitivity (ECS) research from the world-renowned climate scientist James Hansen and his research team, based on his most recent studies. This single crucial climate sensitivity factor, used in almost all critical climate change calculations, alone changes climate change forecasts by as much as 30 to 60%. (Hansen says this ECS number is 4.5. The fossil fuel cartel's heavy political influence on the UN, IPCC consistently lowers this critical number to 3.)

Additionally, a decades-long pattern has emerged in the severity of climate change consequences, with earlier-than-expected time frames approaching or exceeding the worst-case predictions of the UN IPCC's AR6 projections. Indirectly and conversely, the empirically experienced worst-case consequences of climate change, now occurring in real time, strongly support Hansen's higher climate sensitivity and ECS calculations, rather than the lower values currently used by the IPCC. If you are curious about this critical climate sensitivity (ECS) issue, which is likely the most significant single calculation factor in most climate change calculations, please refer to this page, which explains the current climate sensitivity (ECS) issue and controversy. 

 

8. Having accurate information about the climate change emergency is vital to humanity's future and to preventing widespread global collapse and chaos. It must be told honestly and repeatedly until those in power hear it.

Mass human extinction will occur if we do not continuously speak "climate truth to power" and tell the whole truth about the climate change emergency, no matter how painful. In the accelerating climate change emergency, humanity's very survival is at stake.

If accurate climate change consequences and timetables are not openly discussed as adults, or they are denied or hidden, much of humanity will perish. Yes, you heard that right: much of humanity will perish!

Everyone at Job One for Humanity knows this to be the unequivocal truth, so our work must remain uncensored and 100% publicly funded.

Click here for highly accurate climate change forecasts and predictions for the current year. 

Click here to view the Climageddon Feedback Scenario, which provides detailed illustrations and descriptions of the climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions that are already occurring and will intensify, ultimately leading to mass human extinction.

Click here to learn more about our climate change research and analysis process and how to challenge its accuracy.

Click here to learn about the climate research & references list used for the climate and global warming analysis at Job One.

 

Please help keep our uncensored climate change information free to the public

Please donate any amount to help keep our 100% publicly funded nonprofit think tank free for everyone. Your donation will allow us to continue providing the public with uncensored climate change forecasts, facts, and solutions.

With every donation of any amount, you will get amazing gifts! Click the 'Donate' image below to learn more about these gifts.

 

Our Relationship with the Universe Institute Think Tank

We have been in a collaborative relationship with the Universe Institute for over a decade on climate change issues. We are deeply grateful to the Universe Institute for introducing us to DMAP, the new dialectical metasystemic analysis and problem-solving methodology. Without the assistance of the Universe Institute and our use of the DMAP breakthrough, the uncensored climate change analysis, forecasts, and solutions you find on the Job One website would not have been possible.

More about Job One for Humanity

Job One for Humanity educates about climate change, climate emergency preparedness, intelligent climate change adaptation, resilience-building, and identifying remaining locations for safer relocation due to climate change, including "managed retreat" and migration. Job One for Humanity also advances and supports climate emergency preparation, adaptation, and resilience-building by co-founding the ClimateSafevillages.org organization and through the Universe One project.

At Job One, we promise that our 100% publicly funded independent climate change think tank will always provide you with the complete and uncensored climate truth, including what many often do not want to hear about our current climate change emergency. Unfortunately, this climate information is the same painful climate change information you need to protect yourself and your future.  

Job One provides a "big picture" (holistic) climate change overview and an uncensored DMAP (dialectical metasystemic analysis) for the many interconnected and interdependent climate systems and subsystems that contribute to our current climate change emergency. When proposing climate change solutions, the central principle is, "Are these solutions effective, practical, and good for the common well-being?"

Job One For Humanity is also active in researching climate change justice issues, particularly concerning helping victims of climate change get financial restitution from the global fossil fuel cartel perpetrators of the climate change emergency. Job One also maintains a list of worldwide law firms and lawsuits filed against the global fossil fuel cartel members for climate change damages.

Job One researches and presents mostly free, uncensored climate change information, analysis, solutions, and timeframes to the world's citizens. Job One for Humanity never accepts funding or donations from fossil fuel-related industries or businesses.

  

 

We believe every global citizen deserves access to the same uncensored information on climate change threats and risks, as developed by major national intelligence agencies. Every citizen should have access to the same climate information purchased at great expense by wealthy hedge funds, investment banks, and billionaires from specialty risk-analysis firms, but only at a cost that is affordable to anyone of average income! (Job One also provides special scholarship programs for those individuals  living at their national poverty level who cannot afford access to our climate information.)

Our climate analysis ensures that every citizen can protect themselves, their families, and their businesses equally, as well as those with the privileges of high-security governmental positions or great wealth. Unrestricted, un-politicized, and uncensored climate change risk and threat knowledge is critical for citizens to understand their real challenges and wisely initiate survival-related emergency preparations, adaptations, or relocations for the coming avoidable and unavoidable climate catastrophes wherever needed.

Our climate articles and climate emergency analysis are completely uninfluenced and uncensored by any political agenda, political party, or other financial or fossil fuel lobbyist intervention. Unlike other climate and environmental nonprofit educational organizations, we refuse to knowingly accept donations from fossil fuel lobbyists, producers, or industries that rely on fossil fuels, ensuring there are no possible conflicts of interest or even the appearance of one. 

Job One has received the highest Platinum trust rating for financial transparency from Guidestar, an independent organization that examines nonprofit organizations' financial and other actions.

Job One for Humanity provides science-grounded climate change consequence analysis, timeframes, risk assessment, and solutions to executives at educational, climate, and environmental organizations worldwide at no charge. For insurance companies, governments, and businesses affected by climate change emergencies, we provide a fee-based service for climate analysis, risk assessment, and solutions.

 

Somr Positive Climate Change Information

While there is a lot of difficult news about our current climate change condition on our website, please do not think that we have given up hope in this challenging task. There are many amazing benefits that we will receive when we fix climate change.

Be sure to read the following link first, then read this link, which will help you maintain the realistic hope and balance we will all need to get through the climate challenge together. (Several million people have read the second article.)

 

Please consider becoming an annual member by clicking here and checking out the wonderful information and benefits you will receive. We guarantee that you will receive more than you give when you become a proud funder of our 100% publicly funded, not-for-profit climate change think tank.


Showing 1 reaction

  • Lawrence Wollersheim
    published this page in US 2025-01-01 09:20:18 -0800
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