"You cannot be called an alarmist if there really is something to be alarmed about." Unknown
Welcome to a not-so-happy summary of the current global warming extinction emergency which we all now face within our lifetimes. While reading all of these materials, keep calm and keep in mind that if we act wisely, together and with urgency, there is still a remaining window of opportunity (up until 2025.) in which we can slow down the global warming extinction emergency enough, so that far more of us will be able to survive it.
Why 35 years of climate change and global warming and fossil fuel reduction failure?
In spite of almost 35 years of warnings by credible scientists and the work of the environmental movement, plus a preponderance of collaborating scientific evidence, as well as numerous conferences and previous treaties, the carbon dioxide and methane pollution of our atmosphere, has not stopped, slowed, or even leveled off. On the contrary, it is getting worse faster than ever before!
As you can see, we are not doing very well.
Leading climate scientists like James Hansen, who originally warned us about the global warming danger 35 years ago, say we would remain safe if carbon in the atmosphere did not go over 350 parts per million (ppm). As of August of 2020 we are at about carbon 414 ppm and increasing at about 3 ppm per year in a near exponential progression.
When you combine the heating effect of carbon with the other greenhouse gases, it is called the CO2e ppm rating. CO2e, or carbon dioxide equivalent. CO2e is a standard unit for measuring all greenhouse gases in terms of the amount of warming they create compared to CO2.carbon footprints.
When you include atmospheric methane and the other greenhouse gas pollutants, our current adjusted CO2e rating has already risen to the shocking level of 430 ppmv of CO2e! Worse yet, we will be at carbon 450 ppm in 10 years or less when we include atmospheric methane in our calculations.
To put this in a time-lapse perspective, from 1850 to about 1950, the increase in carbon pollution was steady at about 1 ppm per year. From 1950 to 2000, the increase rose to 2 ppm per year, and now in its current exponential curve, it is at about 3 ppm per year and rising rapidly toward 3-4 ppm per year. If carbon continues to rise in this exponential, nonlinear way, virtually unchecked by our ineffective previous actions, the increase could easily reach a level of 4-5 ppm per year by 2025.
As you can see below, carbon has been rising since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution in England.
Image via Stephen Stoft at zfacts.com
According to James Hansen, a carbon 450 ppm level would eventually correspond and develop into an average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) in this century and the end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it. Based on carbon ppm levels already in the system and reaching the 450 mark, this also means at least another 2.7° Celsius (4.9° Fahrenheit) global temperature increase beyond where we are now is the eventual and inescapable future reality.
This 2.7° Celsius would also be the most realistic minimal temperature increase to project as part of any future planning over the next 10-30 years. Bear in mind that even this scenario applies only if everything goes perfectly and we cross no additional global warming tipping points.
Unfortunately, it is already certain that because of our ongoing denial and delay in addressing escalating global warming, atmospheric carbon in parts per million will most likely continue to rapidly rise beyond the carbon 450-550 ppm total, which translates to a 3° to 4° plus Celsius increase (5.4° to 7.2°+ Fahrenheit) up to as much as a 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) increase in average global temperature. (A 4° Celsius increase [7.2° Fahrenheit] in average global temperature would become “Hell on earth” as Mark Lynas, author of Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet, has stated. Additionally, anything at or above a 4°Celcius increase in average global temperature would be incompatible with an organized global society and would be beyond adaptation!)
Hansen’s projections for “ending human civilization as we know it” is not the same as mass human extinction (most of humanity dying by mid-century,) as we approach carbon 500 ppm and carbon 600 ppm which turn into the 5° or 6° Celsius (10.8° to about 12° Fahrenheit) temperature levels. In Hansen’s 6° Celsius rise coming from eventually crossing the carbon 450 ppm mark, what would be considered normal, stable, comfortable, or predictable daily life in developed nations will become severely impaired and dysfunctional, to say the least.
In undeveloped nations, there will be a high and consistent level of chaos and breakdown that will rapidly render most of these nations politically and economically unsustainable. As it is already occurring, the chaos of existing less-developed nations destabilized by factors such as war and the global warming extinction emergency will then affect the more developed and stable nations far beyond just the current massive migrations of climagees escaping the suffering and heat.
In spite of all the media PR, 21 United Nations climate conferences, endless warnings from credible scientists over the last 30 + years, and national reduction pledges and treaties, things are worsening in a nearly exponential progression (2,4,8,16, etc.). There is no way to deny we are not only losing the escalating global warming battle, and we are losing it at a progressively faster rate!
Instead of enacting the needed changes when they were far easier, more gradual, and far less costly, we must now take radical, painful, and costly tough medicine if we are going to save the future. The changes that would have been merely inconvenient 35 years ago will now become nearly unbearable.
We are not receiving adequate accurate facts about how bad global warming is now, or how bad it will REALLY become. The heavily lobbied global media decline to alarm us to the real dangers in order to allow the fossil fuel industry to continue business as usual. Click here to see how bad we are actually doing in reducing fossil fuel use globally.
Current atmospheric fossil fuel burning-related carbon ppm values are now at 414. This is higher than at any other time in the last 1 million years (possibly higher than at any time in the last 25 million years). This new carbon pollution record represents an increase of 85 carbon ppm in the 55 years since David Keeling began making his revolutionary atmospheric carbon pollution measurements at Mauna Loa. (See graphs in this and previous chapters).
Carbon pollution accumulating in the atmosphere has been increasing even faster over the last few decades. It is now nearly certain that if we refuse to take immediate, effective measures to resolve global warming, future increases will happen at even faster rates.
Global average temperatures have the potential to rise far faster than what we normally experience. For example, about 9600 BC, in the Boreal climatic phase, global temperatures rose 7° C (12.6° F) in less than a decade, pushing the ice sheets into rapid collapse and sending sea levels soaring.
Our 35-year inability to control the climate change and global warming emergency is due in part to:
The lack of national and international verifiable and enforceable international laws that would make continued large-scale carbon and methane pollution of the atmosphere a strongly punished activity or crime.
The physical time lags in developing and deploying the infrastructure needed for the new green energy technologies. As we are progressing now, it will likely take another 100 plus years.
But, if everyone on the planet and every government simultaneously agreed to scale up green energy generation immediately and there were no budgetary or resource restrictions in completing this life-critical project, it would still take many many decades to put that infrastructure in place.
If escalating global warming and its consequent climate destabilization proceed to the levels currently being predicted, it will eventually cost the global society hundreds of trillions of dollars in crisis recovery, as well as soaring insurance rates, massive real estate losses and depreciation, and massive coastal and other infrastructure losses, in addition to the vast amount of human suffering and death.
Right now, most nations are struggling with debt and their economies are in trouble with anemic annual growth. How will many of these nations, particularly the weakest ones, remain politically or financially viable, stable, or even continue to exist if another 5% or more of their total GDP (the Stern Review) is drained off each year into the continually escalating costs of global warming-caused climate destabilization? Current estimates from a book called Climate Shock project all global warming consequences will cost 10 percent and maybe far more of the world’s total GDP by 2100.
The global warming extinction emergency is already here! Its superstorms, flooding, seasonal disruptions, wildfires, heat waves, migrating insect infestations, and droughts will continue increasing in magnitude and frequency. According to a recent analysis from scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), "[t]he worst-case projections for global warming may be the most likely.”
The next battle now lies in keeping global warming from rising to an extinction-level event where human-caused carbon dioxide and methane levels in the atmosphere push the global temperature increases to 4°-6° Celsius (7.2°-10.8° Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels and beyond. How we can survive and fix this is found in the new Job One for Humanity Plan found on this website.
The following Illustration is From the new Climageddon book:
It is not just a climate change and global warming emergency. It really is a climate change and global warming extinction emergency!
Now that you read the global warming emergency details provided above, it is critical to first read this critical new article which fully explains:
1. why we are already in an undeclared state of a global warming extinction emergency and,
2. what we must now do.
Once you have read the above article, please click here for the good news of what you can do about this climate change and global warming extinction emergency!
Next, please click here first to read about why mass die-offs and a climageddon-type global warming mass extinction event killing most of humanity by mid-century are a near-certainty within the next 30-50 years, but only if we miss the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Click here for the full timeline and consequence details for this climageddon extinction scenario and countdown.
Summary of the nine most important facts to know about global warming and climate change based on today's most current science
The nine facts below are the facts that most other environmental groups are afraid to tell you. Once you understand them, you will be better prepared for what is happening now and what is coming.
We are not asking you to accept these disruptive facts blindly. We have provided links to their scientific documentation and analysis (found on this page or website.)
At the end of this article, you will find a link to a comprehensive four-part plan for what you can do to help manage global warming.
To counterbalance these disruptive facts, in this article, you will also find a link to the many surprising benefits that you will experience as we work toward resolving this great challenge, opportunity, and evolutionary adventure.
Because psychologists say it is better to get the bad news out of the way before the good news, here are essential facts you should know about today's climate change and global warming emergency:
Fact 1: Our governments were not prepared for the COVID-19 pandemic. They are even more unprepared for the global warming emergency. Our governments have ignored 35 years of global warming warnings by our best scientists, just like many of them have ignored the advice of our best pandemic scientists.
Fact 2: Our governments are not telling us the truth about how bad global warming is going to get. Many catastrophic consequences are going to arrive far sooner than we have been told. Some catastrophic consequences are already unavoidable!
Fact 3: We have reached the point where only a government-driven world mass mobilization (similar to the mass mobilization that occurred before World War II) can save us in time. It is far too late for individual actions alone to achieve the fossil fuel reductions required to save us from a global catastrophe. (Part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan will show you how our governments can complete the required mass mobilization to save us in time.)
Fact 4: If we keep going the way we are now, our governments are about five years away (2025) from missing our last chance to reduce global fossil fuel use sufficiently to control our futures and prevent human extinction. This 2025 target will require us to reduce total global fossil use by 75%.
Yes, you read that right. The 75% global fossil fuel reduction target means that all developed countries (including China and India,) must reduce all auto, train, shipping, airline, industrial, agricultural, and home uses of fossil fuels by 75% to meet their 2025 targets! (Click here for all the 2025 target technical details.)
Fact 5: Missing this 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets means that global warming moves our of our meaningful control and we will not be able to prevent the most catastrophic of global warming consequences from occurring. If we fail to meet the 2025 targets, the laws of climate physics will take over. We will not be able to stop the collapse of world agriculture, the world economy, and civilization. If we allow world agriculture to collapse the human population will starve and collapse.
Even worse, such a runaway global heating (as warned by the UN Secretary General and the UN Climate Secretariat) would render Planet Earth uninhabitable. This would happen because we will not be able to stop ourselves from crossing four extinction-evoking global warming tipping points. Runaway means the thing that is on a runaway course (in this case global warming,) will continue on, by and of itself, and it is out of practical control. (Click here to read about the four extinction-evoking tipping points.)
Fact 6: Despite horrible odds for not reaching the 2025 targets, it is technically possible to reach them with an immediate all-out and united global governmental response and mass mobilization. If our governments get us close to these targets, at least we can slow down (but not stop) a mass human, animal, and plant extinction event. This mass extinction event would kill off most of humanity by about mid-century.
Because of these unthinkable consequences, we must do everything we can to meet the 2025 targets and slow down the extinction process. (Click here to read how challenging it will be to reach these fossil fuel reduction targets.)
Fact 7: Only by getting close to the 2025 targets and successfully dealing with these 12 other critical global challenges, can we give ourselves the needed time to prevent an even worse total human extinction event from occurring around 2070 to 2100. (If you think either these mass or total extinction threats are overstated, see this recent scientific summary by respected climate scientists.)
Fact 8: Unfortunately, we are far behind in reducing global warming sufficiently to get even close to the 2025 global reduction targets. We are also failing miserably to deal with the 12 other critical global challenges that are interacting with global warming. This, therefore, is NOW the time for wise individuals to create a personal survival backup plan. This Plan B is a global warming emergency preparation, adaptation, and survival plan that might also include relocation to global warming safer areas.
With your Plan B in place, you can still "keep working for the best possible global warming outcomes after you have prepared your family and business for the soon-arriving disastrous outcomes." (Click here to see the many best possible outcomes.)
By having a personalized Plan B, you can survive longer and more comfortably. If we can get through the global warming extinction emergency, you will have also preserved your opportunity to once again thrive. (Click here to see our Job One for Humanity Plan B. Plan B will also help save and salvage as much of our civilization as we can for as long as we can.)
Fact 9: Global warming is accelerating. The following survival-critical deadlines should be kept in mind. Knowing and using these deadlines prevents panic and allows adequate time for the necessary emergency preparations and adaptations.
Here are the critical deadlines to remember:
- The 5-year deadline: We still can slow down a mass extinction event by mid-century and maintain some control of our global warming future, but only by getting very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
- The 7-year deadline: If we miss the 2025 fossil fuel reduction target, from 2020 to 2027 global warming consequences will steadily get worse in a linear progression. If you have prepared, adapted, and are in a global warming safer location before 2027, relative stability and security for your family and business is probable until about 2030 to as long as 2040. (See this page, which discusses the safest and least safe places to ride out the global warming emergency.)
- The 10-year deadline (if we miss the 2025 targets): After 2030 many additional climate, human, ecological, political, and financial points of no return and tipping points will be crossed due to both global warming and these 12 other global challenges also getting worse. The stability and security of even the safest and best prepared global warming safer locations will become increasingly uncertain.
- The 10-20 year deadline (even if we hit the 2025 targets): Beginning around 2030, the frequency, severity, and size of global warming consequences will move from a linear progression into an exponential progression. Stability and security for even the safest and best prepared global warming safer locations will become considerably more difficult.
- The 30-year deadline (if we miss the 2025 targets): By mid-century mass extinction for most of humanity is unavoidable. From 2030-2050 will be the most difficult period to survive for most of humanity. Generally, things will be only slightly better in the global warming safer locations.
- The 50-year deadline (if we miss the 2025 targets): We will face the worst consequences of runaway global warming and we will be heading toward the runaway greenhouse gas effect which ripped the atmosphere off Venus. Humanity will likely face total extinction sometime around 2070-2100.
There are those people who believe that geoengineering, carbon capture, or some other new miracle technology will ride in like a knight on a white horse just in time to save humanity from the natural consequences of its actions, inactions, and mistakes. Click here to read about why this technology will save us fairy tale is not going to happen or will be "too little too late" to save us.
The essential positive perspective on the above disruptive global warming and climate change news
Despite the many types of challenging global warming consequences and past fossil fuel reduction mistakes that we now face, we can still learn from their feedback, and we can adapt and evolve to make life as good and as happy as is possible. No matter how severe the coming global warming consequences might become, if we wisely play the remaining cards that we have been dealt, we can still achieve the best remaining possible outcomes.
We can yet make a significant difference to reduce global fossil fuel use stabilize and save the future of humanity by executing a comprehensive reduction and survival plan like the Job One for Humanity global warming action plan.
We can still maintain the perseverance needed to succeed in this monumental task by regularly reviewing the many benefits which will unfold as we work successfully on this together. (Click here to review those benefits.)
We can persevere through this time of emergency. We just need to remember that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our greatest opportunities.
We are engaged in nothing less than the most critical and meaningful evolutionary opportunity, challenge, and adventure in human history! It is our last opportunity to slow down the mass human extinction threat and to fully remove the total extinction threat. In so doing, we also significantly improve many of the world's other 12 major challenges.
Get started today on the Job One for Humanity global warming reduction and survival plan. Help save and salvage as much of humanity and our beautiful civilization as is possible.
A quick summary of the above
There is just one immediate fact to know and focus upon concerning our climate change and global warming future. If we get this one right, most of the other problems will take care of themselves.
If our world governments do not immediately execute a mass mobilization of the necessary resources to reduce global fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025, most of humanity will be dead by mid-century.
That is all you really need to remember and focus on. If you do not believe what we have said above is accurate, click here to see precisely how this global warming nightmare will unfold.
There is also more information about the escalating global warming emergency in the new Climageddon book. In this new book, you will find out why anything at or above a 4°Celcius increase in average global temperature would be incompatible with an organized global society and would be beyond our ability to adapt to it!
Get your copy now! Your book purchase helps support the social benefit mission of Job One for Humanity to end global warming. Click here for more detailed information about this new.