Last updated 7.24.25. (G)

 

Executive Directors' note: This website is for intelligent, mature, and rational individuals who rely on good science and accurate data to manage their lives and businesses. This website counterbalances and corrects the tremendous disinformation and misinformation campaign carried on by the global fossil fuel cartel over the last five decades concerning accurate climate change data. You will find this notice only on website pages that may be especially upsetting regarding current climate change facts, consequences, and timelines.

Our organization is currently focused on educating people about climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, resilience building, and, where necessary, migration. This is because many serious consequences of climate change are now unavoidable due to a 60-year delay in resolving this emergency. Reading the rest of this page will inform you of the seriousness of those consequences and the short timelines involved.

If you are unsure about the causes of climate change, we suggest starting with Learn pull-down top link called, What Climate Change Is and Does" rather than the materials below. The climate change facts below are uncensored as compared to what you have been hearing from your government, the media, and even many environmental groups.

Job One for Humanity is a nonprofit climate change think tank and risk assessment organization founded in 2008. It is nonpartisan, 100% publicly funded, and uncensored by any government, corporation, or entity.

If you are curious about (or doubt) the consequence severity, time frames, or solutions in any of our climate change forecasts, which are often about 30 to 60% worse than what you are hearing from your government, the media or the United Nations IPCC, please click here for the science.

 

2026 -2032

We will cross a key climate change tipping point between 2026 and 2031. It is the critical atmospheric carbon threshold level, ranging from 425 to 450 parts per million (ppm) of carbon.

As we cross this key climate tipping point, it will lead to climate change consequences that do not continue to gradually increase in frequency, severity, and scale as they currently do. Instead, climate change consequences will grow dramatically in frequency, severity, and scale.

More specifically:

We predict that between 2025 and 2031, the frequency of many climate change consequences will come close to doubling.

The severity of these consequences is expected to rise dramatically between 2025 and 2031, and in many cases, it will be nearly double its previous severity.

The size of areas affected by climate change consequences is also expected to dramatically increase between 2025 and 2031. In many cases, between 2025 and 2031, climate consequences will affect areas that are nearly twice the size of those seen over the past decade. 

Hearing that the consequences of climate change will, in many cases, double over this very short period from 2025 to 2031 is disheartening and scary. A key reason for this is the Climageddon Feedback Scenario, which describes a scenario where more and more of the climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions between the climate system and its subsystems are crossed and triggered, causing a rapid acceleration of climate change consequences. (The Climageddon Feedback Scenario is fully explained with many illustrations on this page. Job One wants you to understand the analysis behind statements like from 2025 to 2031, many climate change consequences will double as discussed above.)

When we reach or exceed the 425-450 ppm carbon dioxide climate change tipping point by 2031, many climate change consequences will soon begin to increase exponentially, and we will enter a second and irreversible phase of runaway global warming.

Irreversible climate change means we will not be able to remove the dangerous levels of excess greenhouse gases (such as carbon) from our atmosphere and return it to a normal and human-safe pre-industrial level for hundreds to thousands of years. (As of December of 2024, we are currently at the insane atmospheric carbon level of 425 ppm. We will soon enter and pass through the irreversible second phase of runaway global heating sometime around late 2027-2031. This runaway phase occurs when we enter the carbon 425-450 ppm range.)

Because we will enter and cross this critical climate threshold, the years 2025-3031 will have much worse climate change consequences. For additional reasons why our climate change consequences will worsen significantly from 2025 to 2031 and why this threshold is critical to humanity's survival, the detailed climate science is fully explained on this page. 

We strongly recommend reading this page, as it will help you understand how we are entering a state of irreversible, runaway global heating. Irreversible runaway global heating occurs when the average global temperature continues to rise from 2°C to 3°C to 4°C and eventually far beyond any level that much of humanity could survive.

We have provided the following graph to illustrate the dangers of an exponential increase in climate change consequences. In the graph below, the red line represents an example of a gradual, linear, steady, and mostly predictable trajectory of climate change consequences. (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.) The green line below is an example of a sudden, exponential, and highly unpredictable growth trajectory in climate change consequences. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)

 

 

 

An exponential increase in climate change consequences corresponds to when we cross the critical atmospheric carbon threshold of 425-450 ppm and the climate change tipping point. Never forget that, at best, we have only until about 2025 and possibly up to 2031 to reduce global fossil fuel use to the survival-critical 2025 target levels; otherwise, we will not only lose half of humanity by about mid-century, but also proceed toward near-total extinction after mid-century. (We are currently at about 425 ppm of carbon, as shown in the blue CO2 graph above.) 

Here are the major climate change consequences to watch from 2026 to 2031, many of which will also be dramatically increasing in frequency, severity, and scale:

There will be far more work disruptions and production stresses. The human capacity to work outside or in building enclosures will decrease significantly as temperatures increase and new records are broken. Not including the consequences of further extreme weather, accelerating climate change will cause more and longer costly business, production, and distribution delays and interruptions.

Worldwide, city, zoning, and planning departments, as well as long-range corporate planners, will begin amending their building and other codes, as well as their long-term plans, to compensate for or adapt to the accelerating severity of climate change-related consequences. Cities will have to start expanding their sewer systems due to rain bombs, raising highways from flood-prone areas, building expensive sea walls, and relocating key electrical, communication, water purification, and sewage treatment plants from high-risk flood or fire areas. They will also have to change their building codes so that homes and buildings can withstand the 1,000-year extreme storms and category six hurricanes and tornadoes that will soon become more frequent.

For every one degree of further global temperature rise, the atmosphere will absorb and hold an additional 7% of water vapor through evaporation. This extra water vapor in the atmosphere not only means more rain in certain areas, but it also means that rain bombs will grow more frequent and intense, with 20-30 inches of rain falling within a day or two common in many areas. 

Food prices will continue to soar globally because of climate consequences, causing crop yields to drop or some crops to fail. Expect to pay a much larger percentage of your total budget to buy the same or less food.

Many more individuals will experience a stronger generalized climate change fear and anxiety. They will see undeniable, repeated, and strong patterns of worsening climate disasters. However, they will still not understand climate change processes and projections well enough to comprehend what is really happening. This ever-increasing generalized anxiety and fear will strongly affect their health and well-being. It will also make them very strongly inclined to accept false climate change solutions from individuals who project certainty and safety, even though what is being proposed will not work, and whose solutions will only surreptitiously protect the status quo of the global fossil fuel cartel profits and its affiliated companies.

More climagees (climate refugees) will also migrate from high-risk climate areas to low-risk areas within large nations. In the US and Europe, we estimate that both regions will soon reach 3 million climate migrants per year. By the late 2030s, 300 million to 1 billion people or more worldwide are expected to be displaced or migrating due to the numerous interrelated and accelerating consequences of climate change. (If the Thwaites Doomsday glacier collapses, the migration numbers from coastal areas worldwide will be closer to 1 billion or more.) 

From 2026 to 3031, more nations and politicians will demand stringent and extreme immigration laws and regulations for dealing with illegal immigrants in or trying to enter their nations. They will do everything within their power to make it harder for all but a few new immigrants to arrive. Radically changing the immigration laws during this period will prepare these nations for the massive climate migrant surge that will begin during this period and rise exponentially after this period. Many nations will begin or complete the process of closing their borders entirely due to being overwhelmed by climate change migrants.

As the generalized climate change fear and anxiety rise more intensely in the climate change uninformed population, there will be a steady worldwide rise in governments and politicians moving toward greater conservatism, authoritarianism, and dictatorial practices to deal with growing illegal climate change migration and the other intensifying climate change consequences, which they will not publically acknowledge as accelerating climate change. Ironically and simultaneously, there will also be a rise in governmental, political, and fossil fuel-controlled media, continuing to hide or deny the fact that climate change is dramatically intensifying and its worst effects will arrive far sooner than they are telling their citizens. 

There will be substantial ongoing economic losses. (Most nations will spend an ever-increasing percentage of their total gross domestic product (GDP) directly or indirectly paying for the many consequences of the global warming emergency in 2025. The cost of living for repairs, maintenance, building, or rebuilding in safer areas with reduced global warming risks is expected to continue rising significantly. By the early 2030s, the US and many other countries are expected to spend approximately 5%-10% of their total gross domestic product (GDP) on climate change-related consequences and disasters, either directly or indirectly. 

Global stock and commodity markets, which have grossly underestimated the costs and the multitude of business problems associated with the plethora of interrelated climate change consequences, will begin to experience wild market swings and some collapses in the weaker markets. Due to new climate-related economic shocks affecting the markets, the probability of an economic recession or depression at the national or global level becomes significantly higher. 

People with low incomes will get much poorer because of continuously escalating climate consequences, disasters, and work interruptions.

Because of the many consequences of climate change listed above and below, which will now rise at faster rates and also affect all categories of food prices, expect food bills to go up every year by at least 4-8 percent more than the previous average food inflation rate average. This increase in food prices is due to increasingly severe and frequent low crop yields and failed crops, as well as dramatic increases in food distribution costs and higher labor costs in food production, all of which are consequences of climate change accelerating. This will put more poor families on the streets and put paycheck-to-paycheck middle-class families under high stress. We estimate that poor families will spend 16-23% of their total income on food, more than the previous average food inflation rate average. Middle-class families will spend less of their total income, but there will still be a significant increase of about 3-5 % per year. Starvation worldwide is expected to grow dramatically, leading to accelerated mass migrations and conflicts.

Many more homes, businesses, and farms in medium- to high-risk climate change areas will become uninsurable due to rising property insurance costs or cancellations resulting from increasing climate change consequences and risks. Far more individuals will acknowledge the reality of accelerating climate change consequences and will decide to relocate rather than rebuild after major climate change catastrophes. More and more homeowners, businesses, and farm owners will realize that if they become uninsurable, either because the rates are unsustainable or their insurance company cancels their policy, their property values will plummet to a fraction of their original value, and they will lose most of their investment in that property. Governments worldwide will accelerate their Managed Retreat programs.

Worldwide litigation against fossil fuel companies for the damages caused by climate change consequences will rise dramatically among individuals, businesses, states, and nations. (For more information on these worldwide lawsuits and how you, too, can get restitution for the climate change damages you have experienced, click here to begin to learn what you can do.)

A widespread crime rate increase in poorer neighborhoods will be survival-driven by increased climate change consequences that will expand a starving, unemployed, and poorer citizen and migrant population. (Imagine hundreds of millions of desperate individuals worldwide trying to stay alive by any means possible! That increasing desperation will drive up crime rates worldwide. In 2025, the US alone will face about 3+ million annual climate migrants, seeing legal and illegal entry into the US.)

More climate scientists, climate researchers, climate-informed individuals, and well-informed ultra-wealthy individuals and corporations will discreetly migrate to or purchase land in the world's remaining areas that are safe from global warming. This safer land is only about 5% of the world's available landmass. 

As they grasp the severity and accelerating difficulties of the climate extinction emergency, more individuals will become doomers or doomsday preppers. A recent survey showed that 50% of Generation Z believe they are doomed. 

Democracies can only exist and grow with an environmental, food, and resource surplus or sufficiency. Due to the accelerating consequences of climate change and the stresses they create, democracies worldwide are likely to become less democratic and continue their shift toward more authoritarianism. This political change will be facilitated additionally because climate change will destroy valuable food resources. With more food destroyed or other unusable or unavailable resources, the world's population will become significantly more competitive, aggressive, and polarized. More local, regional, and national climate migration, as well as food and water shortages, will exacerbate regional and national wars and conflicts. If the nations of the world are not very careful and controlled, these regional and national climate-driven conflicts could also create a real threat of regional, national or international nuclear war.

The fossil fuel industry will not give up trying to make the world's population believe it is safe when it is not. To keep massive profits rolling in from its toxic products, it will continue promoting things like clean hydrogen made from methane from fracking, clean coal, clean gasoline, and who knows, they might even find a way to sell us clean green tar sands.

The fundamental climate normalcy and relative stability that humanity has come to depend upon for its existence for tens of thousands of years is rapidly disappearing. Severe climate instability and unpredictability are the new reality of climate change. New climate research suggests that human civilization may not be sustainable if climate change results in an average temperature increase of as little as 3 degrees Celsius.

Governments will realize they need to be adequately funded to keep repairing damage from climate catastrophes. Due to the increasing frequency of climate-related disasters and growing delays in receiving disaster relief and aid, more governments worldwide will likely require their citizens to have at least a two-week supply of food, water, and other essential supplies.

Climate change is no longer a problem for our grandchildren as it was 60 years ago. It is already a severe problem for generations X, Y, and Z, as well as all new generations. Runaway global heating is accelerating so rapidly that even baby boomers and other retirees will feel its painful and bitter effects as their lives come to a close.

Unfortunately, we are unlikely to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (We had to reduce ALL fossil fuel burning in developed countries (including China and India) by about 75% by close to 2025 (and considerably and justly less than that in undeveloped countries. This near-impossible 75% global fossil fuel reduction exists because our governments wasted 60 years of warnings when these reductions could have been easier and gradual.) 

Even more climate-change-driven extreme weather records will be broken.

The ocean waters of the tropics and middle latitudes will grow warmer. This warming water will cause the plankton to migrate north or south into colder waters. When the plankton moves north or south into colder waters, the fish stocks that depend upon this plankton as a stable bottom for their food will also move north or south. This fish stock relocation means millions of additional people who rely on fish for protein in the tropics and middle latitudes will starve.

Food prices will begin skyrocketing to compensate for growing and severe crop losses. Food prices will be considerably more than the typical cost-of-living increases, and they will become a dominant portion of the budgets of the poor and middle class. Food insecurity will skyrocket, and world hunger and starvation will rise dramatically. Many poor to middle-class people will have to create a local garden and start hunting wildlife to survive skyrocketing food prices and food distribution shortages.

Many more people will suffer and die from 2025 to 2031 because of climate change-related consequences. The number of people worldwide who will die from the direct and indirect effects of the primary and secondary climate change consequences will increase radically to around 250-350 million people. (As conditions worsen drastically, climate change-related suicides will also climb steadily in many areas.)

If the Thwaites Doomsday glacier collapses during this period, the world will experience a rapid and unmanageable rise in sea level, from 2 to 3 feet. 50% of the world's population lives in coastal areas. The collapse of the Thwaites glacier will produce the most significant human migration in history.

Long-held water rights will begin to be lost to government regulations as sporadic and long-term droughts affect vital areas of nations. Despite existing water rights and laws, governments will be compelled to provide water for their citizens and other essential uses.

Climate change-related crimes are expected to rise significantly during this period. Governments will have to create larger police forces, courts, and jails to handle the rising crime as society becomes more unstable due to the accelerating loss and damage caused by climate change. Increasing numbers of climate change-displaced individuals, whose resources have been severely depleted by climate change loss and damage, will turn to crime to stay alive.

Atmospheric rivers that have been hitting the West Coast of the United States during the winter months will significantly increase the amount of water they release wherever they hit land. They will no longer be called atmospheric rivers. They will begin to be referred to as flood-stage atmospheric rivers.

Due to the ever-increasing consequences of climate change worldwide, fear and scarcity are expected to increase among the population, as they do in areas with insufficient law and order resources. Consequently, criminality and violence are likely to follow.

From 2026 to 2031, the consequences of climate change described on this page are expected to become dramatically worse in terms of severity, frequency, and scale. In the US alone, we estimate that the total 6-year cost of climate change consequences will range from $4 to $6 trillion or more. Most of these costs will not be planned for or budgeted for by the US government, US businesses, or individual families. Worldwide, except in the US, we estimate that the total 6-year cost of all climate change consequences will cost the world between $60 and $100 trillion. Climate change will become the largest financially unmanaged cause of growing national, business, and personal financial losses and deficits. The costs of dramatically accelerating climate change consequences will continue to be the hidden and unmanageable source of inflation. 

Between 2026 and 2031, certain nations and regions are expected to experience significantly more severe consequences of climate change. Those nations and areas include Australia, India, China, southern Europe, the Southeast and Southwest United States, Southeast Asia, and many places between the 35th parallel north and the 35th parallel south. There will be some microclimates and areas that will experience significantly fewer consequences of global warming. The safer areas account for approximately 5% of the planet's land mass.

Warming in the far north and far south will continue to be 2 to 4 times greater than in the upper latitudes.

More governments around the world will begin to intentionally hide or downplay the consequences of accelerating climate change to prevent fear, economic disruption, or mass migration within their populations. Paradoxically, during this same period in some nations, the political party that promoted climate change denial, expanded fossil fuel use, and worked against expanding the green energy transition will be increasingly attacked by their citizens for their anti-science, reality-denying positions. As the consequences of climate change accelerate and worsen, more citizens will become increasingly angry and seek to remove any political party or politician they perceive as a cause of their climate change-related suffering.

Some political parties will slowly begin to recognize that climate change denial or promoting more fossil fuel use will ultimately be the poison pill that destroys their party. Unfortunately, even this level of political awareness and action will not save us from the now unavoidable consequences of climate change, which stem from 60+ years of failing to make the necessary reductions in fossil fuel use.

Many other climate change consequences will dramatically worsen in frequency, severity, and scale during this period. Click here for the master list of all of the primary and secondary consequences of climate change.

 

The Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica is a critical global climate tipping point for irreversible sea level rise, which will be closely monitored over the next decade or so. It is often referred to as the Doomsday Glacier. When the Thwaites glacier slides into the ocean, we have crossed a major extinction-accelerating catastrophic climate tipping point.

 

 

 

 

 

When Thwaites breaks off, it is your mega-warning sign that the global sea level will rise to fast to adapt to. Pay close attention to any progress updates for the Thwaites collapse. 

Current research indicates that the Thwaites Glacier will likely continue to melt over the next few decades, resulting in a steady rise in sea levels. Still, the Thwaites Glacier's complete collapse is predicted decades from now. New cracks in the Thwaites Glacier's eastern ice shelf indicate that the ice shelf could collapse within the next five to ten years.. This could cause sea levels to suddenly rise by several feet, endangering coastal communities worldwide. The growth of the cracks seems to be accelerating. 

 

We know the news is terrible, but please do not forget the most essential thing after reading our predictions for the next 3-8 years. 

Our governments and politicians have squandered the last 60 years in inaction or ineffective climate change actions. If they had acted effectively, fixing climate change could have been much easier and more gradual. If our governments enforced the now-required reductions in fossil fuel emissions and came close to the legitimate and radical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets for their nation, we could still avoid many, but not all, of the worst consequences listed on this page. 

But we can save about half of humanity if we all work together to compel our governments and politicians to act NOW!

If you have ANY remaining doubts about only having from 2025-2031 to fix climate change before it becomes irreversible and destroys humanity, see this page. (This page covers the detailed science of why climate change will get so much worse (by double or more in many cases) from 2025 to 2031.)

Click here to see a recent, easy-to-understand YouTube video that validates and explains much of our research and analysis, which we conducted nine years ago. The video, titled "Climate Doomsday 6 Years From Now," describes many of the phenomena in this 2025-2036 forecast section, featuring numerous simple illustrations and references to recent scientific studies that validate what Job One forecasted nine years ago.

If you are concerned about what you can do to address the climate change emergency and protect yourself, click here.

Discover excellent information, tools, climate disaster alerts, and promotional benefits for becoming a Job One for Humanity climate change think tank as a new donor/supporter/member by clicking here!

(Please see this critical article on the Climageddon Feedback loop scenario, which describes why climate change consequences will soon grow exponentially. This scenario is almost totally excluded in current climate change computer modeling and risk analysis modeling.)

We face a horrible climate change dilemma. If we do not get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, about 50% of humanity will perish before 2050 because of 60 years of government inaction on the emergency. If we do not meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, 50% of humanity will still perish by 2050 due to Garrett's Climate Change Dilemma. The good news is that if we approach the 2025 global fossil fuel targets, at least some of humanity, potentially as much as 30% or more, will survive from 2050 to 2070 and beyond.

 

If you find this 2025 climate change forecast helpful, please consider emailing it directly to your friends, as it is unlikely they will receive it elsewhere. Here's why? Your government and your media outlets will not cover or will water down these 2025 climate change consequences in the service of mostly hidden vested financial interests that are determined to maintain their obscene fossil fuel-related profits. (If you do not believe the world's most profitable cartel, controlling 35% or more of the world's GDP, would create billions of dollars in worldwide disinformation and misinformation or actively suppress accurate climate change information to maintain its profits, then click here to see the mountain of research on why this is true.)

 

If you still have doubts about what you are reading...

For many visitors to our uncensored climate change think tank's website, their biggest question after reading our climate change consequences and timetable forecasts is, "Why are your climate change forecasts so much worse than almost everything I hear in the media from my government, the educational environmental and climate change organizations, or the former world's leading authority on climate change, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC)? Click here for the five critical reasons that will fully answer your "why are our forecasts so much worse" question.

 

Critical additional reading and documentation for our predictions for the next 2-5 decades:

Click here for the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points.

To save much of humanity, here is how we must compel our governments to act.

Click here to see why human extinction should end at near-total levels but should not go to total extinction.

Click here for a step-by-step, detailed explanation of the processes of near-total extinction.

Click here to view the Climageddon Feedback Scenario, which provides a detailed account of the climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions that are already occurring and are expected to worsen.

For additional information on climate change-driven mass extinction and global collapse processes, please see our three-part series of articles relating to the Club of Rome/MIT study (and four related verification studies), including our updating of them with recent climate change information. See the first article here. This will direct you to other articles. 

Discover additional essential information, tools, alerts, and promotional benefits for becoming a Job One for Humanity climate change think tank donor/supporter/member by clicking here!

And finally, if you are concerned about what you can do about the climate change emergency to protect yourself, click here.

Click here to see our other climate change forecasts

Phase 2 Climate Change, 2026-2031: We have created a separate forecast page for those who also want to see what happens in their short-term climate change consequences in the future, occurring from 2026 to 2031. Click here to see this 2026 to 2031 page.

Click here to see this years forecast.

 

 

Please donate any amount to help keep our 100% publicly funded nonprofit think tank accessible to everyone. Please help us continue to provide the public with uncensored climate change forecasts, facts, and solutions.

With every donation of any amount, you also get amazing gifts! Click the 'Donate' image below to learn more about these gifts.

 

 

For those who are interested in our other climate change forecasts beyond 2025

Phase 3 Climate Change, 2032 to 2050: We have created a separate forecast page for those who also want to see what happens in their short-term climate change consequences in the future, occurring from 2032 to 2050. Click here to see this 2032-2050 page.

Click here to see our 2025 forecast.