Last updated 7.11.25. (G)
Executive Directors' note: This website is for intelligent, mature, and rational individuals who rely on good science and accurate data to manage their lives and businesses. This website counterbalances and corrects the tremendous disinformation and misinformation campaign carried on by the global fossil fuel cartel over the last five decades concerning accurate climate change data. You will find this notice only on website pages that can be especially upsetting concerning current climate change facts, consequences, and timetables.
Our organization is currently focused on educating people about climate change emergency preparation, adaptation, resilience building, and, where necessary, migration. This is because many serious consequences of climate change are now unavoidable due to a 60-year delay in resolving this emergency. Reading the rest of this page will inform you as to how serious those consequences are and how short the timelines have become.
If you are unsure about the causes of climate change, we suggest starting with Learn pull-down top link called, What Climate Change Is and Does" rather than the materials below. The climate change facts below are uncensored as compared to what you have been hearing from your government, the media, and even many environmental groups.
Job One for Humanity is a nonprofit climate change think tank and risk assessment organization founded in 2008. It is nonpartisan, 100% publicly funded, and uncensored by any government, corporation, or entity.
Overview
After we pass the 425-450 ppm carbon level, a huge looming climate change tipping point and a significant global disruptor is the Thwaites "doomsday glacier." It may partially or fully collapse into the Antarctic Ocean as soon as 2026-2031, or in the following decades.
It is the size of England, and its collapse will initially raise the global sea level by 2-3 feet and later rise to 10 feet more over many decades. Because half the world's population lives along our sea coasts, the collapse of the Thwaites glacier would trigger a level of unimaginable global chaos.
The Thwaites Doomsday Glacier
Everyone should pay close attention whenever they hear the word "Thwaites" in the news. When the Thwaites doomsday glacier collapses, global climate consequences will worsen rapidly.
The Thwaites Doomsday Glacier Collapse Will Also Create the World's Largest and Fastest Real Estate Collapse and Mass Migration
This sea level rise will occur faster than all of the world's nations can adapt. Normal distribution and manufacturing of food and other commodities will be severely disrupted. Millions and millions of homes and businesses will become uninhabitable.
Worse yet, after the Thwaites glacier collapses, the glaciers behind it, now securely sitting on top of an Antarctic mountain range, will begin sliding off those mountains into the sea. These other glaciers sliding into the sea will raise the global sea level by another 7-10 feet. It will take many decades for the additional 7-10 feet of sea level to rise.
When one understands the consequences of the Thwaites doomsday glacier collapse below, one will grasp the unheard-of scale and scope of the global economic, social, and political turmoil that will occur.
Humanity's biggest question: How soon will the Thwaites Doomsday Glacier collapse into the sea?
A new article in the Smithsonian magazine predicted the Thwaites glacier could collapse irreversibly as soon as in another 3 to 5 years. Other glacier scientists say it may take decades for Thwaites to collapse.
Because glacier scientists have recently developed new measuring tools, procedures, and methodologies, they hope to get an even more accurate collapse date soon.
Getting this date right as soon as possible is critical because the speed at which huge pieces of this Florida-sized glacier are already breaking off (known as calving) is rapidly increasing. For example, the Thwaites glacier calving process has increased by six times over the last 30 years.
How fast will the first 2-3 feet of sea level rise once the Thwaites doomsday glacier collapses into the sea?
The 2 feet of global sea level rise from the Thwaites collapse will likely occur over decades (The science for telling us a more precise date range for how soon ALL of the Thwaites glacier ice will melt {once it is entirely in the ocean} is still being refined.)
How dire will the consequences be when the Thwaites doomsday glacier collapses?
When Thwaites collapses and melts fully in the oceans, the eventual 2-3 foot sea level rise will cause a massive migration away from the coasts, leading to an economic and social crisis.
Humanity will lose hundreds of trillions of dollars in coastal property. This significant loss is due to the fact that approximately half of the human population resides in the world's coastal areas, and many of the world's largest and most important cities are situated on the coasts.
Once the date of the Thwaites glacier collapse is more accurately predicted and widely published, the world's largest global sell-off of affected coastal real estate will begin. This will be due to the sea level rise, resulting in continual extensive flooding over larger and larger areas over the following decades. There will be massive real estate and business losses that will stress nations to the very edge of collapse, even the world's strongest economies.
When Thwaites collapses, it's 2-3 feet of flooding alone will destroy much of the coastal infrastructure (roads, hospitals, food storage and distribution, sewage and water treatment, medical facilities, port importing and exporting functionality, energy transport or generation, etc.)
Moreover, in the stronger nations, the collapse of Thwaites will trigger mass migration and a managed retreat from all affected coastal areas over the following decades. This massive migration and managed retreat is inevitable because the continually increasing sea level-driven flooding will be both irreversible and certain (first the Thwaites 2-3 feet, then the 7-10 feet more from the glaciers behind it).
Attempting a managed retreat at the massive scale of coastal damage that will be happening will still be completely unmanageable for most of the nations of the world. Because of this widespread unmanageability, there will be unheard of economic, social, and political chaos. (See the map image below of only 2 feet of sea level rise flooding. This will give you an idea of the scale of the catastrophe that the US alone will try to manage. Unfortunately, this flooding map image does not show what will happen on the west coast of the US or for other coastal nations.)
Imagine moving hundreds of millions of people, businesses, and infrastructure in a decade or two after the initial Thwaites collapse date is announced. In this global mega-climate catastrophe, governments, emergency services, and charities will rapidly deplete their resources for support.
Nations will break under the horrendous costs and social stresses of this climate catastrophe. Governments will be forced to radically increase taxes and drastically cut national social programs and safety networks to cover the many trillions of dollars in Thwaites-related climate damages.
Eventually, most nations will have to declare martial law and suspend many freedoms and human rights to maintain any semblance of law and order during a catastrophe and emergency of such a widespread and global magnitude.
With only a 2- 3 feet sea-level rise, most of the world's weaker nations and economies will collapse due to the cost of the flooding's direct and indirect damages. As many nations collapse, this will lead to increased migration, global conflicts, and related problems.
The collapse of the Thwaites glacier and the glaciers behind it will also significantly increase worldwide weather and climate extremes.
If you thought the world had a housing problem today, imagine how bad the housing shortage will get after the first foot of Thwaites sea level rises quickly. Hundreds of millions of people will have to move. Now add the next 1-2 feet of Thwaites-related sea level rise where a billion or more coastal inhabitants must leave their homes.
We strongly recommend reading about the primary and secondary consequences of global heating. When Thwaites collapses, it will trigger many of the primary consequences of global heating. But unfortunately, it will also trigger many even worse secondary global heating consequences. Once you understand the sudden global nightmare when the Thwaites collapses, you will waste no time getting started with the Job One Plan B to protect your loved ones and your business.
And finally, what will the world be like when the glaciers behind Thwaites slide into the sea, raising the sea level another 7-10 feet? Half of humanity (about 4 billion people) will have to move away from the coasts. Coastal highways, homes, ports, and businesses must either move or adapt to severe, fast-moving, and unthinkable changes.
With an eventual predicted 10-13 total feet of Thwaites-related sea level rise, the world will look nothing like today's world. Imagine what the global housing crisis will be like then?
How soon will the other glaciers behind Thwaites slide down the Antarctic mountains into the sea?
Once Thwaites collapses into the sea, the other glaciers sliding off the Antarctic mountains cannot be stopped. The other glaciers will slide into the ocean over an extended period, spanning many decades or possibly sooner. Many variables still determine the date range for when humanity will have to deal with the additional 7-10 foot sea level rise.
Why the collapse and full melt dates for the Thwaites doomsday glacier (and the glaciers behind it) are the world's most valuable information?
The Thwaites collapse and potential major global climate tipping point is why governments, militaries, intelligence agencies, hedge funds, investment bankers, and many other ultra-wealthy entities are racing to determine exactly how many years are left before Thwaites finally collapses into the sea.
Accordingly, finding the most accurate collapse date has become the world's most valuable information. This is true because of the resulting loss of life and the loss of hundreds of trillions of dollars in property and real estate, not to mention what the mass migration of billions of people will do to the political, economic, and social stability of even the strongest nations.
When a more accurate Thwaites collapse date is determined, our governments (or the wealthy private enterprises sponsoring private research) may not share this date with the general public. This is because of the obvious financial or political advantages, and they might not want to panic the public before those with this privileged information can ensure their safety, survival, and protect their assets.
However, let's hope that some independent university researchers obtain this information first and publish it widely. If the date of the Thwaites collapse is made public, billions of poor people worldwide who will be most affected will have as much warning and preparation time as possible. The collapse date is widely known and will significantly lower the loss of human life and help reduce the resulting economic, social, and political chaos.)
Why share this life-changing climate fact now?
1. Thwaites is a dangerous and imminent climate change consequence and runaway global heating tipping point that will trigger the most severe and certain damage over the largest possible global area in just a few years!
2. It is the climate catastrophe that individuals, businesses, and nations must be prepared for well before (decades before) the Thwaites rising sea level flooding occurs.
3. When the Thwaites collapse date prediction is released, it will be your last realistic chance to activate your personal climate emergency Plan B before it is too late. Once that collapse date becomes public knowledge, even though sea levels will not reach the 2-3 foot level for several decades, millions of prudent individuals and investors worldwide will simultaneously start buying safer land, homes, emergency food, and survival supplies, causing unprecedented shortages and soaring prices.
4. As the soonest, most dangerous climate tipping point and global climate disruptor, Thwaites will radically and quickly change our whole world's current political, economic, and social stability.
5. Insurance companies worldwide are already denying, canceling, or increasing rates in areas at high risk for climate change. This crisis is particularly pronounced in coastal areas, which insurance companies recognize could be severely impacted within the next 3 to 5 years (or over the next several decades) with a 2- to 3-foot sea level increase if the Thwaites glacier collapses during that period. (Click here to read the complete article on the worldwide escalation of insurance cancellations, denials, and skyrocketing rates for climate change high-risk areas.)
What can you do to prepare for the Thwaites doomsday glacier collapse and crossing this global cataclysmic climate tipping point?
1. While stopping the Thwaites glacier from collapsing is no longer under our control, it may only be after this horrendous global climate cataclysm that the world will take the runaway global heating extinction emergency seriously. Perhaps after the Thwaites collapse, our governments will finally take effective action to save as much of humanity and our future as is still possible.
2. You can immediately get busy on the Job One for Humanity, Climate Change Plan B. It will help you prepare for what is to come and show you how to mitigate other severe climate consequences that we can still control.
3. You can push your government to get the urgent climate actions done on this page so that we do not soon cross over more mass extinction-accelerating climate tipping points, such as those found on this page.
4. Maybe after the Thwaites collapse, we will even begin to cooperate internationally and create some form of global climate governance that has the power to make new climate laws, enforce them, and severely punish any climate law violators, no matter in what nation they exist.
5. You can send this article to your friends and loved ones. (Don't let them get caught unprepared and unknowingly at severe risk.)
6. Please also send this article to your local, regional, and national politicians (and protest them as described here) to raise awareness about the next major global disruptor and the danger of the runaway global heating extinction emergency. (Unfortunately, our politicians and intelligence agencies have thus far failed to inform their nation's citizens of the imminent Thwaites collapse. This gross political failure exposes their nation's unprepared citizens to untold needless suffering, financial loss, and death.)
In Summary
The Thwaites glacier collapse catastrophe described above is why you should tune your ears to any news you may hear about the Thwaites glacier's final collapse timetable. This is especially true now that new glacier measurement methodologies and technologies have been developed, allowing those with access to them to discover an even more accurate collapse date.
1. The sudden collapse of the Thwaites doomsday glacier could be the largest single climate catastrophe ever, and it will be a massive global disruptor of the stability of our economic, social, and political systems.
2. We live in a highly globalized, highly interconnected world. We will painfully learn what that means when the Thwaites doomsday glacier collapses. Not long after the Thwaites collapses, the whole world will simultaneously experience the same devastating and highly disruptive climate consequences.
3. How fast Thwaites melts entirely in the ocean will determine the future quality of life for billions worldwide. (That initial 2 to 3 feet of sea level rise and its consequences do not even consider the additional 7 to 10 feet rise that will occur later.)
4. Hundreds of millions to billions of people with low or no resilience (because of poverty or previous climate catastrophes) will lose their lives because of the direct, indirect, immediate, and long-term consequences of the Thwaites collapse.
5. The numerous related consequences of the Thwaites doomsday glacier collapse will have a global impact. It will not matter if you do not live on the coast. Most of humanity will eventually experience many of these interconnected consequences and losses.
6. Of itself, the Thwaites collapse will not cause ALL of humanity to go extinct. Still, it and our other runaway global heating consequences combined will eventually kill many of us and make existence a living hell for humanity. And finally,
7. They call it the doomsday glacier for a reason! When Thwaites does break off, it is a major climate cliff. Let's hope you have already begun our Job One for Humanity, Plan B, Parts 1 and 2.
8. If you have doubts about the economic, social, and political chaos that the Thwaites collapse will eventually create, please click this link and read about how Thwaites will also intersect and interact with many of the other devastating primary and secondary consequences of the runaway global heating extinction emergency. (Please also note that while the Thwaites climate catastrophe will be global and horrific, it will not bring about humanity's total extinction for the powerful reasons discussed on this page.)
8. To see what our governments worldwide must do immediately to lessen the many damages from the collapse, click here.
9. This page helps explain why we have predicted that about half of humanity will perish from climate change-related primary and secondary consequences by mid-century.
Take a moment and imagine how a steady, certain, several-decade-long, 2-3-foot global sea level rise might affect you and your future. Imagine how many of the world's major cities are on coasts.
How will it affect the distribution of the many things you need to buy to live? How will it affect the billions of people (mostly the poor) who will be harmed? How will you deal with the permanently flooded coastal roads, homes, businesses, and lost infrastructure like coastal water and sewage treatment facilities, docks and ports, coastal energy transfer or generation facilities, etc?
Now imagine what this steady, inevitable, and gargantuan financial loss and massive social and political disruption will do to your own local area, region, or nation. And, never forget that it will take centuries to thousands of years to restore the glacier balance once we stop using fossil fuels.
We hope that you now understand the threat posed by the Thwaites Doomsday glacier. We also hope that you will soon begin taking all necessary steps to prepare for it well in advance.
The Job One Research Team
If you still have doubts about what you are reading...
For many visitors to our uncensored climate change think tank's website, their biggest question after reading our climate change consequences and timetable forecasts is, "Why are your climate change forecasts so much worse than almost everything I hear in the media from my government, the educational environmental and climate change organizations, or the former world's leading authority on climate change, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC)? Click here for the five critical reasons that will fully answer your "why are our forecasts so much worse" question.
Breaking Critical Climate News for 8.12.2022
Above, we have the shocking Thwaites "doomsday glacier" collapse timeframe underestimation issue. Yesterday, a new study from Finland warned the world that previous climate computer models, which predicted that temperatures would only rise in the Arctic by double, are dead wrong.
Instead, the new study states that Arctic temperatures have risen four times higher than predicted compared to rising sub-arctic temperatures.
This is terrible climate news because it means:
1. Our existing climate computer models for predicting future climate consequences and timeframes must be redone immediately.
2. Weather around the world will become increasingly unpredictable, unseasonable, and extreme, as the Arctic directly and indirectly influences the weather for much of the world.
3. There will be considerably more crop failures and lower crop yields than predicted because of the Arctic-influenced extreme and unseasonable weather.
4. More starvation and soaring food prices will result from more crop failures and low crop yields.
For years, we have told our readers that the current computer model's consequences and timeline projections are underestimated by at least 20-40%. Still, this 4 times what they thought level of Arctic global warming underestimation shocked even us.
Unfortunately, it will also significantly accelerate many of the other climate consequences found on this page.
A realization is developing within the Job One organization that, in several essential areas, runaway global warming is moving considerably faster than our predictions. Accordingly, we have adjusted our website predictions, timetables, and expedited our emergency preparation and relocation plans. How are you adapting to this acceleration of consequences?
Because runaway global heating consequences are accelerating so fast as of August 15, 2022, we also had to update the Climate Change and Runaway Global Warming Doomsday Clock. arming
(Editor's note: In 2017, we told our readers about the dangers of the Thwaites glacier, but the technology had not been developed to get a more accurate date regarding when it would collapse into the sea. In 2017, we also told our readers that from 2025 to 2031, the world would experience an enormous intensification of global warming consequences.
Some climate models say it could take a decade or longer for Thwaites to collapse. However, these longer-term collapse projections do not include some critical variables.
This intensification is due to the intersection of new and old climate tipping points, as well as the reasons listed on this page. God help us if our governments, military, and the police of the local areas most affected are not already getting prepared for this well-predicted, soon-arriving cataclysmic global climate event.)
Additional Thwaites Collapse Prediction Reliability Factors to Consider
It is necessary to add an additional 20-40% to the negative side of most current climate change predictions. This is due to the many error factors listed in all the links on this critical climate data reliability page. Please read this page carefully, particularly the links to the different types of data errors and underestimations surrounding current climate data releases.
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