As of Sept 2019, we are not making any significant progress on our last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. These are the targets that we must meet to prevent a massive human, animal, and biological extinction event from occurring within our lifetimes.
We are even going the wrong direction and adding more heat-causing carbon to our atmosphere. (See graph below and click it to see today's atmospheric carbon levels.)
Any rational individual who understands the many difficult challenges to reaching the 2025 targets, can see the odds of us meeting these 2025 targets are very, very low. This calculation for highly probable failure does not even include the ever-rising rate of atmospheric carbon from fossil fuel burning shown above.
Rational individuals who are also aware of the many horrific consequences of a 2025 global fossil fuel reduction failure are demanding and creating backup plans and a Plan B to protect themselves and their loved ones.
Many of the members and visitors to this website are also currently focusing on Plan B strategies below to prepare for, adapt to, and manage global warming's worst consequences. The main reasons they focus on Plan B is:
1. they do not have any real way to do or interest in doing parts three and four of the Job One Plan, and
2. with so little time left before global warming consequences accelerate to unacceptable levels, they believe they need to use all their remaining time and resources for executing their personal or business Plan B.
Many Jog One for Humanity members and website visitors do not see the global warming extinction emergency as an either/or issue. They see it as a both/and issue. This both/and strategy means that they are working on both parts three and four of the Job One Plan to slow what we can no longer avoid while they are also working on the other emergency Plan B backup actions below.
The rationale behind the both/and strategy is that:
1. the more we reduce global fossil fuel use, the more time the world will have to prepare for the worst of the coming consequences, and
2. the more we reduce global fossil fuel use, the more individuals will survive longer.
At Job One, no matter what you choose to do, we honor individual choice and respect that each of us has different circumstances.
The following is our recommended set of actions for an emergency backup Plan B that covers all of the main activities individuals, businesses, and nations must begin to take immediately! We will explain what is needed for individuals and businesses first, then the critical actions for governments later.
If your still a bit uncertain about how bad global warming is going to get, we recommend that you read this article in the New Yorker magazine first, then read this page. It will lead you to all of the most relevant research information on this on our website.
The Emergency Backup "Plan B" for Individuals and businesses
Click here to go to Part 1 of the Job One plan, which provides many pages of information you or your business will need to be as safe as possible for as long as possible.
Click here to go to Part 2 of the Job One plan, which provides many pages of the information you will need to reduce your personal or business fossil fuel use and become more sustainable. This information will be a great aid in surviving the escalating global warming extinction emergency.
The Emergency Backup "Plan B" for the World's National Governments
While we do everything we can to come as close to the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets as we can, simultaneously, the governments of the world must begin moving critical resources, technology, infrastructure, and at-risk populations into the global warming safer zones in a wise, equitable and well-managed way. Plan B is essential because there are absolutely no guarantees that we will be successful in reaching the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. The following governmental backup plan also needs to be enacted at the same emergency meeting of all world leaders described in Part 3 of the Job One Plan.
Hitting these 2025 reduction targets is our last best chance to prevent our reaching the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point. Unfortunately, it is highly probable that we will cross the carbon 600 ppm final extinction-level tipping point. (Please see this page if you have any doubts why it is highly unlikely that we will reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. This page will also help explain why our world leaders must enact this emergency backup plan while passing the other actions steps listed in Part 3 of the Job One Plan.)
Because of the unacceptably high probability of 2025 failure, humanity as a whole must have a government-level emergency backup plan. This backup plan will prepare our nations and humanity for the worst possible outcomes. This way, we can still save and salvage whatever we can, while we can.
At least, with this emergency backup plan successfully executed, some of humanity might be able to survive longer to re-populate the earth and preserve civilization. (If you still have any doubt that immediately beginning a government-driven and resourced emergency backup plan against failure is necessary, please read this page.)
Here are the actions of a "save and salvage what we can while we still have time" strategy:
Action Step 1. Workout a migration plan for a fair and equitable migration lottery for all those individuals who have not already migrated.
For our long-term future and safety, essential resources, infrastructure, and crucial genetic and social diversity transfers will need to be executed at the same time as the other individual and business action steps (above) are being done. If things continue to go wrong as they are now, this government action step may turn out to be the most important action taken for the future of humanity and preserving civilization.
Wisely managing an orderly global warming migration by our governments with a fair and just lottery will be critical. This migration management is critical because of the poor soils and shorter growing seasons above the 45th parallel north or below the 45th parallel south. Those areas of deficient soils and inadequate sunlight will not be able to grow enough food to feed our current human population. Because of food production limitations, a limited, but fair lottery will be critical to the survival of humanity and civilization.
Even before this lottery begins, our best scientists must determine how much food can be grown in those global warming safe areas and what the maximum allowable population should be. These calculations are based on the total amount of food needed for that existing population while also maintaining adequate food reserves for unplanned and unexpected contingencies. Once they have those calculations, they can set initial and or adjust lottery migration allocations as conditions continually change.
Even before we set the final number of people that the remaining global warming safe zones will support, we must also mobilize the necessary agricultural resources to scale up food production. This scaling-up of the farming output will allow for the rapidly increasing migrating populations coming to those safer zones as well as to compensate for the generally more deficient soils and reduced sunlight found there.
One last thing must be said about the migration lottery. It cannot be hijacked or dominated by wealthy individuals, corporations, or nations. No special interest group must unjustly control or determine who is allowed to migrate based on privilege, position, wealth, politics, or any other national, cultural, or social categorization.
If it is not a fair and just lottery, based upon what is essential for humanity and civilization to survive as well as an equitable representation of all of the categories mentioned above, then those who are left behind will fight to the death and eventually bring about the end of everything. This new lottery failure conflict will occur because those who feel the lottery was unfair will invade the safe zones. They will use whatever nuclear, biological, or chemical technology has been left behind in unsafe zones.
Those with any decision power over who is allowed to migrate can not be allowed to use their political, military or financial positions, advantages or privileges to place themselves, their families, friends, allies or business interests in any better position than any other individual citizen in the unsafe zones in these lotteries.
Any random lottery winner selection methodology must draw only from a pool of the most qualified climagees with the essential skills for the new world we will be living in. It must also have layers of independent safeguards to prevent fraud, bias, and any form of selection favoritism.
This lottery must also for the following types of necessary diversity; genetic, national, racial, ethnic, religious, cultural, sexual orientation, gender identity, rural/urban/indigenous and rich/poor. Communities most affected by global warming damage, which also have contributed the least to the global warming emergency should receive special consideration if justice is to be served
.Having enough genetic diversity will be extremely important because 70 to 90% of the human population (or more) will eventually die. This will occur as we approach the final global warming extinction tipping point of carbon 600 ppm.
If the lottery selection for migration to the global warming safer zones is made justly and fairly, it will be viewed as credible and has the best chance to work.
There are many good reasons for executing this last chance save humanity and civilization migration, lottery and infrastructure transfer backup plan simultaneously with the other action steps described at the top of this page. Here are just a few reminders:
First, we are fighting for the very survival of humanity over the next 30 to 50+ years. Most if not all of humanity and civilization will end if we fail to slow and lessen global warming enough not to cross carbon 600 ppm and, we fail to move our critical infrastructure and essential populations to the far north or the far south in time.
Secondly, Our fossil fuel "bill of consequences" has come due, and there's no way to escape it. We now have to deal with the horrible accumulated consequences of the fossil fuel carbon pollution of our atmosphere for the last 200 years (since the industrial revolution began. ) Additionally, we also have to deal with the extra accumulating consequences from fossil fuel burning over the next 30-50+ years where we will undoubtedly reach the carbon 500 ppm level (and most likely reach carbon 600 ppm extinction level.)
Thirdly, the fossil fuel pollution that we have now and that we will continue to put into our atmosphere for the next 30-50+ years will last for centuries to thousands of years! If we stay on our current path of "too little fossil fuel reductions too late," things will not be better for those who are lucky enough to survive. Our children and future generations will curse us for our selfishness and blind stupidity. They will suffer for many centuries before their climate will re-stabilize and carbon in parts per million level to drop back down to the pre-industrial safer carbon level of 350-270 ppm. (As mentioned earlier, we are now at about carbon 413 ppm adding about three additional carbon ppm each year.)
Forthy, the amount of emergency adaptation work needed and the short amount of time available (from now until about 10-20 years from now as things get progressively much worse,) makes this immediate adaptation and preparation step an action and planning imperative! Adapting and moving all necessary critical resources, technology, infrastructure will take a lot of time. This mass transfer means moving them into the safer areas near or above the 45th parallel north or near or below the 45th parallel south. (You do not want to move much above the 55th parallel north or much above the 55th parallel south.)
And finally, these transfers will be a massive undertaking, which will require new levels of cooperation between nations never seen before.
This mass population transfer also means beginning to move hundreds of millions (to as many as a billion,) individuals willing to migrate from the unsafe zones into the safer zones. This migration will by necessity and urgency become, the most massive migration in human history. This mass migration will be fraught with challenges which will require international cooperation at unprecedented levels.
This "Great New Migration" needs to begin now! If we wait until it's too late, there will be panic, chaos, and severe conflicts if not all-out international war as the stragglers and lottery losers desperately try to migrate far north or far south.
People will eventually realize what is happening today is not random lousy weather. They will finally see our worsening climate as an increasing pattern of more severe storms and other extreme weather consequences that have not been seen for thousands of years. Once they realize this many more will then migrate.
By about 2029, at least 2-5% of the world's population about will have figured out that the wild climate fluctuations and seasonal extremes that they are witnessing are not random or freak occurrences. They will have figured out that the climate is destabilizing steadily and rapidly. They will realize the climate catastrophes we are already experiencing are showing a clear pattern of ever-increasing severity, frequency, and scale (the size of the area they are covering).
Once these hundreds of millions of people realize they need to get out soon or get caught in the chaos of crashing and soaring real estate, economies, and market prices (depending upon which area you're leaving or moving to,) they will migrate, and they will migrate fast!
Once these hundreds of millions migrate, others remaining will see and hear about it. Then those people will begin migrating, so they too do not get caught with no place to move to or few resources left to get there.
To avoid the potential chaos of the Great Migration not well managed by cooperating world governments, our governments need to act NOW and not ten years from now. (Part 4 of the Job One Plan has creative workarounds for how we can get our politicians to begin the extinction saving action steps of Part 3 of the Job One Plan.)
Lastly, to make the new migration lottery system work effectively individuals already living near or above the 45th parallel north or near or above the 45th parallel south cannot and should not be removed to make room for new climagees. This existing resident removal strategy would only cause more conflict, delay, and confusion, which would further complicate an already massively complex undertaking.
Action Step 2: We need to ensure that nuclear reactors, nuclear and biological weapons, and toxic chemical manufacturing sites within all global warming unsafe zones are secured.
Secured means that the remaining more-stable governments have an adequately resourced and ready backup plan already in place for managing these contingencies as the less stable governments and economies collapse in the unsafe zones.
As global warming worsens inside the global warming unsafe zones, the political systems and nations will destabilize, and most of them will collapse. Once those political systems collapse, there will be no longer be stable and organized procedures, staffing, or resources for ensuring that:
1. any nuclear reactors within those areas do not meltdown and go critical or that,
2. nuclear or biological weapons within those areas are not stolen or triggered or that,
3. toxic chemical manufacturing sites within those areas do not leak.
If any of this happened, it would threaten not only the survival of that particular area, region, or the nations within that unsafe zone; it would also threaten the survival of the whole world.
Take a moment to imagine the hundreds of nuclear reactors in the global warming unsafe zones becoming new Chernobyls and Fukagimas one after another. There would be no place on earth nor any bunker that would keep you safe from this massive amount of radiation circling the planet for decades to hundreds to thousands of years.
Now take a moment to imagine, all of the biological and chemical weapons and toxic chemical manufacturing sites in the unsafe global warming zones becoming compromised and leaking their slow and painful death out into the world. Surviving this would be a living hell and near impossible.
The preceding worst-case nuclear, biological, and chemical catastrophe is what will likely happen if the nations of the world do not preemptively cooperate in this emergency area. The world's nations need to realize that our escalating global warming emergency is a no-win game unless they collaborate and make the best possible decisions to preserve the human species and our civilization.
If the governments of the world do not thoroughly do this action step two, there is no rational or reasonable hope that even the smallest part of the human race will survive to save civilization and repopulate the earth within the global warming safer zones.
Action Step 3: Moving critical infrastructure also includes moving the world's artistic, architectural, and cultural heritage from the global warming unsafe zones to the global warming safe zones for preservation. The best of our art, architecture, and cultures are also what makes us human. These things contain critical elements of our history and who we are that will help keep us sane while going through this catastrophe.
Action Step 4: Educate and incentivize having the citizens of every nation to begin their emergency preparations and backup plans. To be successful in saving the future, it is not only governments that must start acting in this area. Simultaneously, every citizen also needs to be responsible for themselves and become a part of the greatest mobilization of resources and people in human history. It is unlikely any government will have enough resources to protect all of its citizens. That is why you must begin your own Plan B preparations and planning. (The Job One plan has specific steps to help you do this. Click here to begin this section of the Job One Plan.)
Action Step 5: Pass new laws to prevent all unfair profiteering by any individual, corporation, or nation seeking to exploit the extinction emergency or the mass migrations to safer areas. It is critical to set severe penalties and to remove all profit from any entity charging more than the reasonable pre-emergency prices for food land or anything else.
Never forget that the actions needed for this Plan B can only successfully occur if the nations near, above or below the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south work together and cooperate with all of the other nations within the global warming unsafe zones. If fear takes hold, and the global warming safer nations close or restrict borders and do not cooperate, the conflicts/wars that will occur between the unsafe zones and the safe zones will most likely also end humanity. Humanity will find its bitter end in nuclear, biological, and chemical warfare or the other toxic meltdown consequences described above. (For more on this see the later phases of the global warming Climageddon Scenario.)
We do need to begin transfering willing populations and critical infrastructure from high risks unsafe zones to low-risk safer zones immediately! We need to start to put the resources in place and and negotiate the treaties (or whatever resources and manpower is necessary,) to ensure that the nuclear sites, the biological and chemical weapons sites, and the toxic chemical manufacturing sites in the unsafe zones go on being correctly maintained no matter how bad it gets in those zones.
There is much to transfer, build, or prepare. There is little time left to save the even smallest part of humanity and our civilization. Only by immediately beginning the above governmental emergency back up plan steps do we have any reasonable hope that human life and civilization will go on.
There are additional good reasons for using the least optimistic predictions for any backup plan as well as for recovery or long-term survival plans, they are:
2. The sudden, large-scale unpredictability that each additional crossed tipping point creates. (See this tipping point page or the tipping point chapter in Climageddon. Also, see the updated Climageddon Scenario details here.
3. We will be very, very lucky if the worst we get is anything close to only the 'IPCC's current least optimistic consequence and timeframe projections! And,
4. If you are involved in mid to long-range planning in any industry, you will probably lose your job if you fail to adequately plan for the new realities of the escalating global warming extinction emergency. (Please note that implementing the above backup plan also means our local and regional business planners, city and zoning planners, long-term corporate and, national governmental planners must begin radically restructuring their current 5, 10, 25 and 50-year plans. This time they need to use the least optimistic and far more honest climate prediction scenarios [found on this website here as well as in the new Climageddon book.]
For example, in the San Francisco Bay Area, the headquarters of big tech corporations like Facebook, LinkedIn, and Apple, now have to readjust their long-term operational or relocation plans to deal with their low-lying international headquarters facing as much as 13 feet [3.9 meters] of sea-level rise by 2100. This means these billion-dollar high-tech Silicon Valley headquarters buildings will be experiencing first-floor flooding within as little as 20 to 30 years. [A worst-case but far more realistic scenario of a 10-foot, 3-meter rise by 2050 was projected by James Hansen's newest research, with the additional 3-feet, 0.9 meters accounting for by coincident king tides and storm surges.)
Never forget that unless we get the governments of the world to cooperate and manage action step 2 above, there is vastly smaller hope humanity will survive no matter how well prepared we are.
At this point, you may be feeling a bit overwhelmed by what you have read and the enormity of the challenges we must overcome to survive. You may also believe the task is so enormous with such a low probability of success, why even try.
The following story may help you to begin to deal with those ideas and emotions.
The wise general
A wise Chinese general was cornered at the banks of a large river by an opposing army at least 20 times larger than his own. His only means of escape was to get his army across the river before they were attacked. This general had also previously placed enough boats on the bank of the river for escape with his army should that need arise.
As the larger army approached, pushing the smaller army closer to the river, this general gave the order to his most trusted lieutenants to rush to the boats and burn them. When his army saw their only means of escape was being destroyed, they became wildly angry and charged toward the general. The army demanded to know why their trusted general had burned their escape boats and condemned all of them to certain death at the hands of a vastly superior army.
The general calmly said, “We will win this battle or we will die. There is no other alternative and no escape.”
His army now knew their only option was victory or death. Filled with such clarity and single-mindedness of purpose, they fought with such focused intensity, they defeated the opposing army 20 times their size.
Now that you better understand the rapidly approaching extinction consequences of our global warming extinction emergency from the science and analysis found on this website, you too should no longer retain any illusion of any long-term escape for you or your family, business or nation from immense suffering and likely extinction --- if we do not deal with the reality of this emergency.
What you also may not have realized yet, is that our 35-year failure to have previously started effective fossil fuel usage reductions means that we too, in effect, have already burned our escape boats! Because of this, like like the Chinese army, we either win or we die.
This is the perilous and sad point that we have come to because of our inaction and ineffectiveness in addressing global warming and the required fossil fuel reductions for almost 35 years.
The good news is if we act wisely, cooperatively and immediately on the above Plan B, and we radically cut fossil fuel use to close to the 2025 targets, humanity and civilization may have a chance to continue.
So what do you have to lose? What rational alternative do you have than to act immediately to begin Plan B as well as radically reduce your personal fossil fuel use?
What legitimate excuse is there for you to not to help us get our governments to enforce the required radical fossil fuel reductions by the necessary deadlines and that only governments can achieve? (This is done in Part 3 and Part 4 of the Job One Plan.)
The reality is, failure is no longer a conscionable option.
The Job One Plan Parts 3 and 4: Solutions and Action Steps for Politicians, Celebrities, Ultra-wealthy Corporations, Philanthropies, Individuals, and Intelligence Agencies
Even though Parts 3 and 4 of the Job One Plan are secondary for many individuals doing them is wise if you have the energy and resources. When done, they will help us more effectively reduce global fossil fuel use so that:
1. the world will have more time to prepare for the very worst of the coming consequences, and
2. the more we reduce global fossil fuel use, the more individuals will survive longer and more comfortably.
If you already have connections of direct real influence on government politicians or, you do have indirect connections of real influence on politicians through celebrities, ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, or ultra-wealthy individuals or national intelligence agencies, Part 3 is the area we recommend you do while you are doing Part 1 at the same time so that you are working for the best while you also prepare for the worst.
This information for politicians, ultra-wealthy corporations and individuals, philanthropies, and national intelligence agencies is found only in Parts 3 and 4 of the Job One Plan. It contains what absolutely must be done immediately by those entities if we are going to have any real chance of saving humanity from the likely extinction of as much as 70-90% of humanity within as little as the next 30-50 years. This does not even cover what will happen to all animals and other biological life.
Unfortunately, it is only the politicians, intelligence agencies and ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, and individuals that currently have sufficient direct power or influence to enact the government-driven actions described in Part 3 of the Job One Plan. Only their actions will work to reduce greenhouse gases down to carbon neutrality and net zero in time to save the future. Additionally, it is only Part 3 of the Job One Plan executed successfully that will eventually return us to safe atmospheric carbon levels of carbon 350- 270 parts per million, [ppm]. (We are at about carbon 413 ppm now.)
The action steps described below are not actions that can be successfully achieved by common citizens who have little direct or influence on politicians, intelligence agencies and ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, and individuals.
For Part 3 of the Job One Plan, click here
It focuses exclusively upon a single, painful and dominant global warming extinction emergency reality. We must make immediate, radical and costly reductions in our fossil fuel energy generation and use that will be achievable only through government-driven, government-enforced, and government-penalized new laws and actions. This is the single most important part of the Job One Plan.
If we do not successfully execute this step without any further delays, there is no practical hope we can prevent escalating global warming from reaching the mass human extinction level. Please also keep in mind that Part 4 of the Job One plan contains essential reading for individuals who do have a direct influence on their politicians — particularly on why many wealthy individuals, corporations, etc will want to help us solve this emergency!
For Part 4 of the Job One Plan, click here
Part 4 contains creative ideas on how individuals without direct influence on politicians can have an indirect influence on politicians, intelligence agencies and ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, and individuals to help get the must-do critical actions found in Part 3 done. Part 4 also contains essential reading for individuals who do have a direct influence on their politicians — particularly on why many wealthy individuals and corporations will want to help us solve this emergency.
Getting the governments of the world to act or work together is a Herculean task. Saving our future will require nothing less than a massive mobilization of our politicians and the major governments of the world and their resources.
Part 4 offers indirect influence strategies, bypasses, and creative workarounds that if enough of us do them, can help influence the politicians, intelligence agencies and ultra-wealthy corporations, philanthropies, and individuals that do have the influence to enact the critical government-driven actions described in Part 3 of the Job One Plan.
The good news is that, if we successfully execute the 4 parts of the Job One Plan, humanity and most other species will survive the global warming extinction emergency.
You now have all you need to select where to start your own Job One Plan and begin. We really need your help and creativity to meet the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction goals, and to prepare for the next wave of more severe and more extensive global warming consequences.
We are an all-volunteer organization. If you do not self organize your available resources, the emergency will become mass extinction.
After you have started the Job One Plan, please...
send us an email at manage@JobOneforHumanity and, let us know how you are doing. What you say may be used to support and encourage others in our monthly newsletter.