Last updated 12.4.25.
The 1970 Club of Rome/MIT study and four supporting studies predicted the times of collapse for global population, food production, industrial output, and raw resources. They did not include new climate change research. Our new study does. (This is the third and final article in our Club of Rome MIT collapse series.)
Overview
When you add recent climate change research to the results of five previous credible studies on global resource declines, population decline, food production decline, industrial output decline, and rising pollution, humanity worldwide will experience radically increasing adverse outcomes from about 2025-2030.
From 2030 to 2040, humanity will experience exponentially increasing adverse outcomes, including declines in resources, population, food production, and industrial output, and rising pollution.
From 2040 to 2050, humanity will continue experiencing very serious, widespread adverse outcomes. Moreover, these accumulating adverse outcomes will continue to accelerate the collapse of local, regional, and national ecological, economic, and political systems.
Introduction
This article is the last in our three-part Club of Rome/MIT series on global collapse.
The original Club of Rome/MIT study and its four subsequent verification updates did not include recent climate change research or climate change tipping points and feedback loops. This new article below does include the effects of those climate factors.
The world faces many major problems, but only a few that will radically harm your life and future, no matter where you live. It is only necessary to group this threat into a few categories to understand the magnitude of the complex, soon-arriving global collapse. Accordingly, this new collapse study below focuses on global resource availability, a looming population crash, a massive decline in food production, severe declines in industrial output, and rising pollution.
The original basis for this article was a profound study conducted at MIT in 1970, sponsored by a group of industrialists called the Club of Rome. The study concluded that severe consequences would occur worldwide if significant changes were not immediately started. Such changes, however, would severely challenge inherent personal profit impulses, especially for those with high political ambitions and accumulated wealth.
To preserve hidden advantages, governments and politicians suppressed or hid the following information from their citizens or intentionally ignored it. In addition, Federal Reserve Banks, investment banks (like J.P Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley), hedge funds (like Bridgewater Associates, Renaissance Technologies, Blackrock,) and the world's major corporations and their industrial leaders have also hidden, ignored, or maintained sophisticated disinformation campaigns against the shocking, but accurate results of these global collapse studies to keep them from upsetting their clients or customers. They do this because the verified results of these collapse studies could empower an active revolt against their business-as-usual, ensure continuous growth and profits, and maintain current economic stability at all costs, mantras, and paradigms.
Even 50 years after the original study, many corporate and governmental interests continue to create this dangerous global blind spot concerning the most probable future collapse of their citizens, clients, or customers. They also do this to ensure they retain the highest possible advantage in personal survival and resources as our global systems collapse. As a result of this high-level intentional blinding of the world's citizens, they will be blindsided by a cascade of soon-arriving "unpredicted" and "surprise" global catastrophes and collapses.
The average world citizen will be financially crushed. Billions will die because of what politicians and industrialists will later disingenuously insist were completely "unanticipated" or "unpredictable" global system collapse calamities. (This blindsiding problem also exists because it is rare for average individuals to have an accurate "big picture" overview of complex, globalized issues like resource availability, food production, industrial output, global population threats, and pollution.)
In the article and its many illustrations below, you will discover the uncensored global collapse crisis that IS the future of every person, business, and nation on Earth. The climate change updated information below will cause significant anxiety and stress in even the most vital, rational, and intelligent among us, as it should! Yet, if some of humanity can make it through this soon-to-arrive global collapse, there is a real possibility of a new golden age and a new era of Great Global Social advancement.
And finally, if you are not an emotionally strong and mature adult, or your life is currently in chaos, or you believe you can't do much to fix our global problems, please do not read this 2023 climate change-enhanced, collapse timeframe update for the original Club of Rome MIT global collapse study and its four after-verification studies. It will only upset you concerning things you can do little to change.
Here is an overview of the sections in this new article on global collapse key areas and their time frames:
1. Introduction
2. How do the Club of Rome/MIT global collapse study and its four related verification studies' predictions change for resources, population, food production, industrial output, and pollution when you also include the latest climate change research?
3. It is necessary to understand how the research calculations were made for the five different variables to grasp this article's newly adjusted global collapse timelines.
4. The original Club of Rome/MIT study's conclusions and its collapse warning for the global society.
5. The KPMG illustration tweaked updates to the original Club of Rome/MIT collapse study.
6. Our climate change think tank's timeline refinements for the five collapse variables when current climate research is added to the original Club of Rome/MIT collapse study and its four subsequent verification studies.
7. All three Club of Rome-related study graphs are shown together to help you view ALL studies' changes over the last 50+ years.
8. What does it mean if humanity does get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and we do not go into the second stage of irreversible runaway global heating?
9. What does it mean if humanity does not fix the climate change emergency and humanity experiences an accelerated global collapse and mass extinction?
10. Here are several wildcards for all article conclusions and graphs.
11. Summary and Conclusion.
12. Documentation links to help explain how we came to our study analysis.
13. Why does our climate change think tank research and publish this and other climate change articles?
If you have not read our short first and second articles on the Club of Rome MIT global collapse study and our summary of its four verification studies, we strongly recommend reading them at some point. They are a good foundation for the concluding Part Three of our Club of Rome MIT article series below.
Here are the links to our three articles in this three-part MIT series:
Part 1: Global Collapse: Probabilities, Factors, and Timetables. Was MIT right?
The rest of this, which is the Part 3 article, is behind our very reasonable paywall and contains all the information from the previous two articles, combined and summarized, with the most accurate timetables and consequences available. Once you are behind our paywall, you can see a lot more valuable materials that you will be very interested in. Click here to see a list of all the documents you can access.
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