There are just 4 global warming deadlines and tipping points to NEVER forget because if we miss or cross them...
mass human extinction, as well as economic, social and political chaos, will occur within our lifetimes!
That is a strong statement, but we can prove every bit of it to you in the materials and links on this page.
But first, you need to know what the four deadlines and tipping points are. Once you know what they are you can better plan your and your families future well-being or the smartest business moves to make in a rapidly changing environment.
When reading the following four deadlines and tipping points below, keep in mind that we are almost out of time to do something about them and that these four items define and highlight the key elements of what our current global warming emergency actually is.
Our first and most important 2025 deadline and tipping point:
Because we have wasted 35 years with ineffective global warming regulation, if we do not hit our critical and last chance 2025 radical global fossil fuel reduction targets as described on this page, we will go over the climate cliff tipping point that will create a downward sliding slope so steep that it is highly probable we will not be able to recover from going over it until long after we cross the unbearable near-extinction and then final extinction level tipping points described further below.
Here's another way of describing why the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets (described in detail here,) are life-critical to achieve. If we do not engage in anything less than the greatest mass mobilization of governments and resources in human history directed toward radically cutting fossil fuel use to hit these critical 2025 targets, we will without a doubt cross what is known as our "last chance" carbon 425-450 ppm climate cliff tipping point. It is called the last chance climate cliff tipping point because once we go over this carbon 425 to 450 climate cliff we will not be able to stop ourselves from going over other far, far worse global warming tipping points!
The following is a graph showing carbon in our atmosphere in parts per million (ppm) to help explain this 2025 climate cliff crisis. Currently, we are now putting in about an additional 3 carbon parts per million per year from our burning of fossil fuels. (Burning fossil fuels puts carbon in the atmosphere and that raises average global temperature.)
As you can see on the graph below, after 21 International global conferences on reducing global warming and 35 years of warnings by our best scientists, we are failing horribly at reducing atmospheric carbon in parts per million.
If we continue only to the carbon 425 ppm climate cliff and tipping point level, in about 6 years or less we can expect an eventual increase in average global temperature of about 2.2°-2.7° Celsius (4°-4.9° Fahrenheit) from preindustrial levels. At the 2.2°-2.7° Celsius increased temperature levels from preindustrial levels, tens of millions of people will starve to death and be forced to either migrate or die.
Worse yet, once we hit the 2.2°-2.7° Celsius temperature increase level, the heat producing momentum within our climate systems (because of all of the previous carbon that we have put into the atmosphere over the last 30 to 50 years,) as well as the crossing of additional new tipping points will rapidly and uncontrollably push our average global temperature even higher for decades!
When we cross the carbon 425 carbon ppm climate cliff tipping point, we will have also reached the key threshold and transition level where once crossed we will slide quickly down a very steep and very slippery slope and continue all but uncontrollably to 3°, 4°, 5°, and even 6° Celsius average global temperature increases (5.4°, 7.2°, 9°, and 10.8° Fahrenheit.)
These soon-arriving higher temperatures of 3°, 4°, 5°, and 6° Celsius will also be due our continuing to add more fossil fuel carbon to the atmosphere with each new year (about 3 ppm of additional carbon per year,) as well as from triggering other positive feedback loops and points of no return within the many systems and subsystems of the global climate.
Seeing only a 2° Celsius average temperature rise in perspective using the carbon levels and temperature fluctuations from Earth’s historic past
Seeing the global warming emergency from as many perspectives as possible will help you better grasp the depth and seriousness of the emergency we are in. For example, the Earth’s geologic past not only verifies that specific outcomes of global warming have occurred, but also gives us vital information about what similar consequences will likely occur as we duplicate the carbon dioxide levels, atmospheric temperatures, and other conditions of our distant and not-so-distant past.
According to a 2015 paper in Science, about three million years ago:
The average global temperature was about 1.7°-2.7° Celsius (3°-5° Fahrenheit) warmer than today.
The Arctic regions of the planet were about 7° Celsius (12.6° Fahrenheit) warmer.
Carbon dioxide levels were about as high as today.
Sea levels stood at least 20 feet (6-7 meters) above today’s level.
In our more recent geological past, around 400,000 and 125,000 years ago, average global temperatures were respectively about 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) and about 1° Celsius (1.8° Fahrenheit) above pre-Industrial times. During those two separate time periods, the upper bounds for sea level rise were estimated to be up to 42 feet higher (13 meters) than the present. As you can imagine, at those temperatures either of the sea level rises (20-foot or 42-foot) would be a nightmare for world shorelines and their populations if they were to occur today.
Unfortunately, that is exactly what we are racing toward—and beyond if we do not hit the 2025 targets. According to the same Science article, even if we managed to limit average global warming to just 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit), sea levels may still eventually rise at least 20 feet (6 meters) above their current levels.
Unfortunately, when we hit 2°C we have also fallen over the climate cliff and we are rapidly falling down a steep, slippery slope to crossing more Global warming tipping points and continually increasing temperatures taking us to carbon 500 ppm no matter what we do.
What all the above means is that, if we do not hit our radical and painful last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, we will eventually experience:
a. mass human extinction,
b. economic, social and political chaos, and
c. the near-total collapse of much of organized society all within our lifetimes.
To say that achieving the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets is the single most important deadline in all of human history --- is not an understatement.
This means that of all global warming deadlines and tipping points, reaching the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets is the single most important thing to remember if you want to have a livable future.
It is only if we fail to hit the 2025 reduction. targets, that you will have to deal with the three other following deadlines and tipping points. and finally, if we miss these last chance 2025 targets, there is literally no mathematical or physical way we can slow down the momentums and inertias of rising global warming and our human systems enough or in time to prevent mass human extinction and economic, social and political chaos within our lifetimes.
If we fail to reach on our 2025 targets:
Our second 2029 "migrate or die" deadline and tipping point
If we miss our last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and if you live in a global warming unsafe zone, you will need to migrate before this date. Near or around 2029 real estate prices will crash in global warming higher-risk areas and they will soar in the very limited remaining global warming lower-risk areas.
Nations in the global warming lower-risk areas will either be closing their borders or making immigration so restrictive that few climate migrants (cloimagees,) will still be able to migrate after this date range.
Click here to learn more about the safer (lower risk,) and unsafe (higher risk,) global warming zones as well as wise global warming migration options.
Our third 2038-2042 deadline and "near-extinction" tipping point, where ALL ice on earth begins melting
Crossing the climate cliff of carbon 425 - 450 ppm by missing our 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets unfailingly and unescapably sets us up to rapidly cross with the next near-extinction global warming tipping point level, which is carbon 500 ppm where the average global temperature will eventually increase to 4°C above preindustrial levels.
At a 4°C temperature increase, all ice on earth will melt and organized society as we know it today cannot exist!
Crossing this carbon 500 ppm threshold and all ice melting has, in fact, happened repeatedly in Earth's geological history. Whenever this tipping point has occurred, the sea level inevitably rose to the 70 meters (230 feet) range.
At our current annual carbon ppm emission rates of an additional 3 ppm, we will reach this catastrophic carbon 500 ppm range in as little as 20-25 more years about 2038-2042.
If we cross that critical tipping point by passing the atmospheric carbon level of 500 parts per million (ppm), our average global temperature will eventually, but quickly soar to 4°C (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit). At 4°C, a large portion of humanity (hundreds of millions to billions) will die of starvation (or die and suffer from increased heat's 19 other related consequences) and, governments and society will collapse in most areas of the world between the 35th parallel north and the 35th parallel south.
Even though it will take many centuries for the seas to rise the full 230 feet, there will still be shocking sea level rise spurts within those centuries where the sea level rise up to 10 feet or more in just a few decades as it also has done repeatedly in Earth's past.
Take a moment to visualize the seas eventually but steadily rising 230 feet and what this will mean to our coastal cities, our national borders and the generations that follow us. Take a moment to visualize the mass migrations and the ever-increasing massive worldwide crop failures because of the ever-increasing heat and the consequent mass suffering of slow starvation as we approach and pass the carbon 500 ppm level.
Take a moment to let the following sink really in. Anything at or above a 4°Celcius increase in average global temperature would be incompatible with an organized global society and would be beyond adaptation! Carbon 5000 ppm by itself will create global chaos and global economic, political and social instability.
When we cross the carbon 500 ppm tipping point, we cross an even steeper even more slippery slope where we will quickly reach the carbon 600 ppm extinction level tipping point within another 25-30 years (as soon as 2063-2072 or earlier.)
This is because when we cross carbon 500 ppm level, we also will greatly accelerate the process of crossing more global warming tipping points. This will once again further spike the average global temperature.
If we are really, really lucky and all the governments of the world are working together in a mass mobilization, carbon 500 ppm might be pushed back to between 2042-2067, but there is no way to stop our crossing the carbon 500 tipping point once we cross the last chance carbon 425 ppm climate cliff and tipping point!
Our fourth 2063-2072 or earlier deadline and final extinction tipping point
Once we cross the carbon 500 ppm near-extinction tipping point, it is highly probable to near certain that we will also soon cross the carbon 600 ppm final extinction tipping point not long after that. Crossing the carbon 600 ppm level will result in raising the average global temperature to 5°C (9 degrees Fahrenheit) and bring about massive methane clathrate releases from ocean coastal shelves as it has done before in the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum 56 million years ago, and most notably the Permian–Triassic extinction event, when up to 96% of all marine species became extinct, 252 million years ago.
Please click here to watch a short video that brilliantly explains the global extinction process once we start releasing vast amounts of methane clathrate from our coastal shelves. Although methane is being released all over the world in and greater and greater amounts, new research shows that we most likely begin the massive methane release processes once we reach 5°C and, By 6°C, it is in full bloom.
Because methane, when released is 86 times more potent than carbon as a temperature increasing greenhouse gas, it' massive release will rapidly spike up the average global temperatures once again.
The following is a methane graph (found at https://www.methanelevels.org) in which you can see how total atmospheric methane levels from all sources have skyrocketed particularly during the last 50 years.
If it continues to rise from there toward the carbon 600 ppm final tipping point and an average global temperature of 5°C, it will eventually bring about the extinction of most if not all of humanity (about 70-90%) and the end of civilization as we know it in the final phases of what is called the Climageddon Scenario.
While even slowing down our crossing the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point will be a Herculean task of massive global governmental cooperation and mobilization, the probability that we can at least temporarily, slow and delay some of the other of the 20 worst global warming consequences is still reasonable, but more importantly radically slowing down fossil fuel use will allow us more time to get prepared for the many other consequences we can no longer avoid.)
As you can see the probability that we will cross the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point is insanely high. Additionally, the final window of opportunity to prevent crossing the carbon 600 ppm extinction tipping point will close by 2025 if we have not made the radical and immediate radical 2025 global fossil fuel cuts necessary. This is because of the:
a. temperature momentum already "baked" into the climate system (the existing carbon 411 ppm level already in the atmosphere,)
b. the additional 3 or more carbon particles per million we continue to add to the atmosphere each year (as we continue failing to adequately reverse our fossil fuel use,) and
c. The additional global warming tipping points we will continue to cross at an even faster rate if we miss our 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets.
At 5°C which will occur once we hit carbon 600 ppm and above, a large portion of humanity (70-90% or more,) will die of starvation because of the devastating effect that increased heat will have on crop failures or from global warming's other 19 worst consequences) and, economies, governments, and societies will collapse in many areas of the world between the high-risk 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south. As we reach the carbon 500 ppm and carbon 600 ppm tipping point levels, we will also cross into the later and most dangerous later phases (4 and 5) of the 6-phase Climageddon Scenario climate extinction model. (We strongly recommend that at some point after you finish this document you also read about the 6 phases of the Climageddon Scenario here. It more specifically describes the deadlines, timetables, and phase by phase consequences of your global warming future if we miss our 2025 targets.)
Long before we reach the carbon 600 ppm level tipping point level, human death tolls will skyrocket and civilization will begin collapsing in earnest and as we get close to this level the unlucky survivors will enter into an ecological and climate hell and a new social dark age that will make the survivors of the following centuries curse us and wish they were dead.
Take a moment and think about the bitter reality that at the carbon 600 ppm tipping point (which can occur as soon as 2063-2072, or possibly even earlier,) where we trigger the final processes that will bring about the extinction of as much as 70 to 90% of humanity if not more.
To learn more about the 11 key global warming tipping points click here.
If you want to find out what you can do to prevent crossing the last chance 2025 deadline and tipping point, click here to learn more about the Job One for Humanity Plan.
To learn more about what you can do to prevent extinction click the image just above.
The Final Lose/Lose Shocker: Why our governments must work together and mass mobilize immediately to achieve our last chance 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets, or NO ONE will survive!
As if the above was not bad enough, there are other hyper-critical factors that need to be carefully considered and planned for in the nightmare post climate cliff carbon 500 and carbon 600 ppm global warming scenario that we are now all facing. As if the proceeding was not enough to convince any rational individual that they need to do everything they can to get their governments to do everything described in Part 3 of the Job One Plan to slow and lessen global warming so they can survive, there is still more very bad news.
As global warming worsens to its near-extinction levels, we will also have to deal with the following humanity and civilization ending realities:
a. Nuclear reactors in global warming unsafe zones between the 45th parallel north and south (about 400,) will no longer be able to be kept secure or maintained by stable or functioning governments as global warming worsens and many of these governments enter social chaos and fail. If these nuclear reactors go critical and meltdown, it will not matter where you migrate to in the world.
No location or bunker will be safe from the massive continuous fallout and radiation from scores if not hundreds of reactors that will eventually go critical and spew radiation for centuries! The same holds true for all biological and chemical weapons or toxic chemicals stored in any areas with collapsing or collapsed governments. Once those areas are generally abandoned and are lawless and in chaos and no longer properly managed by functioning governments, these world-ending toxic commodities will slowly leak out or be seized and poison and kill areas far beyond their original locations.
b. Critical food production above the 45th parallel north or below the 45th parallel south will be extremely limited because the general soil quality and then lower seasonal sunlight amounts will be grossly inadequate using traditional or existing methods to grow enough food for the desperate billions of climagees migrating to these areas. Somehow the governments of the world will have to cooperate to justly and carefully limit how many people can occupy the very limited global warming safer zones and still be fed adequately.
Trying to carefully limit the number of people who can inhabit the few global warming safer zones by force or special lottery will of itself create unimaginable mass social chaos, panic, and conflict that will keep those living in the global warming safer zones under continuous threat and uncertainty. Anyone living in those very limited safer zones will only have temporary relief.
c. On the other hand, if you do not allow enough diverse individuals from the global warming unsafe zones to migrate, there will not be enough human genetic diversity to survive the waves of new diseases that will burn through the far north or far south because of thousands of-year-old unknown and known pathogens released from the melting permafrost (which humanity has never seen before and has no immunity.) Additionally, these global warming safer zones will also be under threat from new pathogens or existing pathogens that are always mutating. Only adequate genetic diversity will be our best guarantee that at least someone will survive.
d. and finally, in order for any of us to survive in any way close to what we are used to, the world’s key infrastructure for a modern functioning civilization to continue must be moved within the next 5-15 years using all of the relative political, economic and social stability which still remains. This means we need to begin immediately moving key industries like medical, pharmaceutical, manufacturing, etc. as well as key and adequate administrative, policing and other social structures into the global warming safe zones above the 45th parallel north or below the 45th parallel south.
At some point, even the most optimistic person will recognize nothing will save them from this global warming meltdown monster if we don't get fossil fuel usage reduced and under control by 2025. From that total of everything they and we are facing, they will also realize that we either cooperate and work together or we all die together.
"We are no longer in just an emergency to prevent global warming from getting worse. We are in an all-out war to prevent mass human extinction and economic, social and political chaos within our lifetimes. As long as we keep thinking about gradually managing the vague threat of "climate change," we are continuing to focus on the wrong target and we will most likely fail in preventing our own extinction. We and our governments need to shift our total focus to meeting the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to prevent global warming extinction within our lifetimes. This is exactly what we are now facing within the lifetimes of most people currently alive today." Lawrence Wollersheim
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