There are serious reasons for why we may not achieve the extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines.
Ultimately, you are the one who will decide if the reasons listed below are large and difficult enough to keep us from reaching the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets (which will be described in detail below.) To help you wisely evaluate this issue, each of the 13 reasons below has additional links leading you to the full documentation proving that a particular statement is accurate.
Additionally, the difficulty of the reasons below for why we may fail to hit the life-critical 2025 global targets may be quite discouraging for many. As you read the reasons below do keep in mind that at the end of this document is a section that not only links to effective actions we still can achieve, it also links to information that will help counterbalance the steep challenges disclosed below with the necessary options and encouragement.
The 13 reasons we may most likely miss achieving the life-critical 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets
To properly present the 13 reasons why we may not be able to achieve the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why global warming may already be out of control and leading us closer to crossing the 2 most critical global warming mass extinction tipping points, it is important to first define what we mean by "out of global warming control" as well as how we measure this being out of control.
Below you see a graph showing the amount of carbon in our atmosphere.
The amount of carbon in our atmosphere in parts per million (ppm) is one of the best, if not the single most reliable predictor of future global warming temperatures as either increases or decreases. More carbon in the atmosphere equals higher temperatures and vice versa.
Viewing the steeply increasing angle of the graph above will help you to to see that in spite of all of the global warming reduction actions you hear about in the news, we are not, in fact, controlling escalating global warming.
When we say that we have probabally already lost meaningful control over escalating global warming, we precisely and mean that:
1. although we may make additional but inadequate progress in reducing some of our overall global fossil fuel use, those reductions are currently so small compared to the actual reductions that are needed, (or future reduction levels cannot be scaled up adequately,) that we will not be able to save ourselves from the worst consequences of global warming. We will not be able to keep from crossing the near-extinction level global warming tipping point of carbon 500 ppm. But worst of all, once we cross carbon 500 ppm near-extinction tipping point, we most probably will not be able to keep from crossing the mass extinction tipping point level of carbon 600 ppm. (These two extinction level tipping points will be explained in great detail further down the page.)
2. we also will most probably be unable to radically reduce our average annual increase in atmospheric carbon per year (currently at about three carbon ppm,) over the next 30-50 years, (Why this is important will be explained in the 13 reasons below.) and,
3. we are currently completely unable to get our total atmospheric carbon ppm levels (currently at about carbon 413 parts per million (ppm) back down to anywhere even close to the previously safe levels of carbon 270-350 ppm. (Those are the past safe levels where our current climate could eventually re-stabilize but only after hundreds or thousands of years.)
Unless we are successful in achieving the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and, we can resolve the many problems to achieving the 2025 reduction targets (which will be discussed in detail below,) it can easily be said and reasoned that we may, in fact, already be out of meaningful control of our global warming future.
Furthermore, it is vital to highlight that, only if we successfully achieve the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, do we have any realistic or practical hope of not going over the carbon 425-450 ppm climate cliff and quickly triggering key global warming extinction tipping points (which also will be described below.)
We will have to overcome the 13 reasons, problems or challenges if you like listed below to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
Reason 1: We are not making anything even close to the required radical cuts in our fossil fuel use to reduce the carbon going into our atmosphere and prevent ourselves from going over the climate cliff and key tipping points. This means we will not be able to prevent major global temperature increases, horrendous climate calamities, and near certain extinction far sooner than imagined.
As you can see from the first atmospheric carbon ppm graph above, we are not making anything even close to the required radical cuts in our fossil fuel use to reduce the carbon going into our atmosphere and slow or reverse rising temperature.
In order to prepare you for the shocking REAL fossil fuel reductions that must be made if we are going to save humanity from unimaginable loss, suffering, death, and likely extinction, it is first necessary to see just how poorly our previous fossil fuel reduction agreements and actions have fared since we were first notified about the global warming extinction danger by our scientists over 35 years ago.
What has been hidden from you:
1. We have actually increased fossil fuel use more this century than in the last two decades of the 20th century. To make this point alarmingly clear, more than half of all fossil fuel emissions that have been released in the last 25 years and parked in the atmosphere are more than was released in all of recorded history before 1990.
2. Even though we have had over 20 international conferences on fossil fuel use reduction, and we had international treaties since at least 1993 pledging we would reduce global warming, worldwide we still are about 67% higher in carbon emissions than the early 1990s. (Atmospheric carbon emissions is probably the best way to measure future global warming.)
3. In 2018 carbon emissions increased another dramatic 2.7% and they are projected to increase once again in 2019.
Yes, intentionally or through ignorance, our governments, the media, and most of the world's environmental groups have not been telling us the REAL facts about how what our REAL lack of any progress whatsoever in reducing the rate of fossil fuel use increases, much less the complete absence of any substantive reductions anywhere across the world in reducing atmospheric carbon.
Keeping the preceding horrific failure of any appreciable efforts to take seriously fossil fuel reductions, or even reducing the rates of increases, now please explore the REAL fossil fuel reductions that must be made to save our future. (If you don't believe we are telling you the facts about our dismal failure in reducing global warming over the last 35 years, click here to view a short video by climate Professor Kevin Anderson in a recent presentation to the Oxford University Climate Society.)
To slow and prevent the processes of likely going first over the climate cliff tipping point and then the extinction tipping points, we need to radically and immediately reduce our global fossil fuel use.
The following is the absolute minimum amount that we need to reduce global fossil fuel use by 2025:
a. All industrially developed nations must reduce their total fossil fuel use by 75% by 2025 and then continue reducing fossil fuel use to net zero carbon emissions by 2035. Net carbon zero emissions in this solution means that no additional fossil fuel emissions are going into the atmosphere that are not also simultaneously being removed from the atmosphere by natural means. (Only about 20 countries produce 70% or more of the world's carbon emissions.)
Think of developed nations like most members of the G 20 group; Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, China, and India. (See technical note 1 near the end of this page for why China and India had to be included in the list of developed countries.)
b. All developing nations must maintain their total fossil fuel emission levels as they are at the beginning of 2019 and not allow them to go any higher. Then by 2045, all developing nations must also be at net zero carbon emissions. This allowance for developing nations to stay at the level they are now and gradually reduce down to net zero carbon emissions by 2045 is part of an essential justice and equity equation. The developed nations created their wealth by producing the far greatest majority of all carbon emissions in the atmosphere today, thus causing almost all of our current global warming extinction emergency. (See technical note 2 near the end of this page for more about justice and equity allowances.)
Here are more details and another way of describing why the above 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets are so important to achieve. If we do not engage in anything less than the greatest government-driven mass mobilization of resources in human history directed toward radically cutting fossil fuel use to hit the critical 2025 targets described above, we will without a doubt cross what is known as our "last chance" carbon 425-450 ppm climate cliff. It is called the last chance climate cliff because once we go over this carbon 425 to 450 climate cliff we will not be able to stop ourselves from going over other far worse global warming tipping points.
If we continue only to the carbon 425 ppm climate cliff tipping point level, in about 6 years or less we can expect an eventual increase in average global temperature of about 2.2°-2.7° Celsius (4°-4.9° Fahrenheit) from preindustrial levels. At the 2.2°-2.7° Celsius increased temperature levels from preindustrial levels, millions and millions of people will be forced to either migrate or die.
Worse yet, once we hit the 2.2°-2.7° Celsius temperature increase level the heat producing momentum of all of the previous carbon that we have put into the atmosphere over the last 50 years will help rapidly push the temperature even higher. When we cross the carbon 425 carbon ppm climate cliff tipping point, we will have also reached the key threshold and transition level where we will continue near uncontrollably toward 3°, 4°, 5°, and 6° Celsius average global temperature increases (5.4°, 7.2°, 9°, and 10.8° Fahrenheit.)
These even higher temperatures of 3°, 4°, 5°, and 6° Celsius will be due our continuing to add more fossil fuel carbon to the atmosphere every year, but also from the crossing of additional global warming tipping points and triggering other positive feedback loops and points of no return within the many systems and subsystems of the global climate.
Crossing the climate cliff of carbon 425 ppm unfailingly sets us up to rapidly cross with the next near-extinction atmospheric carbon tipping point level of carbon 500 ppm where the average global temperature will eventually increase to 4°C. If we miss the 2025 targets, carbon 500 ppm is predicted to happen in as soon as 20-25 years from now about 2038-2042. At a 4°C temperature increase above preindustrial levels, all ice on earth will melt, chaos will ensue and today's organized society can no longer exist or function!
Once we cross the carbon 500 ppm near-extinction tipping point, it is near-certain that we will also soon cross the carbon 600 ppm final extinction tipping point not too long after that. (Much more will be said about the carbon 500 and 600 ppm extinction tipping point processes and their consequences further down this page.)
When we cross this carbon 425-450 ppm "last chance" climate cliff, in addition to leading us rapidly into mass extinction (70-90% of humanity,) in as little as the next 30 to 50 years, the consequences we will experience will also be irreversible for centuries to thousands of years.
Unfortunately, our governments have been giving public global warming predictions that include a 25-40% underestimation factor as well as not including any calculations for any of the 11 key tipping points being crossed. When you add these factors back into the prediction calculations to correct them, it becomes obvious that we will be facing our worst nightmares of higher global temperatures far faster than we are even remotely prepared for.
(There is much more information including what our individual, business and national annual fossil fuel reduction targets would be, what will happen if we don't hit the above targets, and the technical footnotes that will help explain why the severity of these fossil fuel reductions. We strongly suggest you go to this highly recommended global fossil fuel reduction explanation page and read all the qualifying information on the absolutely essential fossil fuel reductions sometime before you put this document away.)
Getting Real about what will be done to radically reduce fossil fuel use
When all the above fossil fuel use reduction targets (and other factors described in the other 12 reasons below,) are taken into consideration, the above 2025 critical fossil fuel reductions are immense and nearly impossible to achieve in time. To personally grasp how difficult these cuts will be, imagine that in the next six years you will have to cut all of your home (appliance and heating/cooling etc use,) auto, plane and other travel that uses fossil fuels as well as all your business activities that use fossil fuels by at least 75%, then cut back to zero fossil fuel use within the next 10 years after that. Now imagine everyone else in all developed nations doing the same.
If you live in a developed country, are you doing this now? Does that seem likely or possible to you that you would voluntarily so change your normal life and fossil fuel use so fast? Do you see the governments of the developed nations of the world coming together anytime soon and, in a great act of cooperation passing the laws, verification procedures and the enforceable punishments necessary to make sure these cuts actually occur on a deadline?
You probably came up with the same answer we did which is it is near certain we will not make the required fossil fuel cuts. It is more likely that the citizens of the developed world who did not fully understand both the urgency and critical importance of why they needed to make these radical, immediate and painful sacrifices would literally throw any politician out of office or would even overthrow any government that tried to enforce these kinds of radical fossil fuel usage cuts to their comfortable or even subsistence level lifestyles and livelihoods?
Now imagine all of the individuals, corporations and governments in the developed nations that depend upon fossil fuel use or fossil fuel sales directly or indirectly seeing their livelihoods disappear by at least 75% in the next six years and then drop to zero over the following 10 years until eventually most of their industries no longer exist. How much of a fight and a global disinformation program would those individuals, industries, and nations create or put up to preserve their often luxurious livelihoods and their futures?
It's hard to imagine what the fossil fuel industry would not be capable of doing to preserve a $28 trillion year market segment. How far do you think they would go to preserve their one-third of the world's total gross domestic product (GDP) in what they would have to see as a life and death struggle?
Reason 2: It is highly improbable we will ever make the critically needed cuts to our fossil fuel use in time to save ourselves. Another major reason it is unlikely we will make the needed cuts soon enough to save ourselves is because of what is called Garrett's Global Warming Dilemma.
This research states that because of the laws of physics and mathematics, almost all of our fossil fuel based global economy must first collapse in a necessary and steep global recession or global depression in order to produce the required cuts in our fossil fuel use to save humanity in time. This well-documented climate research by Professor Garrett is the research most often ignored by environmental groups around the world because it produces a horrible dilemma for which either answer is unthinkable as well as un-sellable to members.
Because of this dilemma, and because there is no public or political will to create a severe, but necessary global recession or depression to reduce fossil fuel use, environmental groups hide this critical research away and ignore it like dirty laundry. Because of the dilemma, it is hard to imagine that fossil fuels use will ever be cut to anything close to the critical levels needed, until possibly we are faced with truly massive global financial losses and billions dead and suffering.
By that time, the worst consequences and higher temperatures of global warming will be irreversible for timescales far, far beyond the human lifespan. (if you're a science person, please click here and read a summary of Prof. Garrett's alarming research on atmospheric carbon, global warming, and the necessary fossil fuel reductions we must make to save the future.)
Reason 3: The projected new length of time it will take to move away from global fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation to replace it. It is now estimated to take about 400 years to fully scale up green energy generation to replace all fossil fuel energy generation and uses. The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) just published a new article where they lay out where are we currently in green energy development and why it will take us about 400 years to replace all fossil fuel energy generation with green energy generation. This means that any realistic hope we had for a fast transition in less than 50-100+ years to full green energy generation to replace all fossil fuel energy generation is completely unrealistic.
Reason 4: Promised new technologies will not save us in time. Some of you may hear this very difficult news that global warming is now out of our control and will immediately think, "aren't they working on inventions it will suck the fossil fuel burning carbon particles out of the atmosphere in time to save us." If you're thinking that this is our easy out and easy solution to continue our fossil fuel burning "business as usual," please click here and read why this currently nonexistent carbon capture technology is a silicon valley techno-optimism delusion that not only can't save us in time but also is a mathematical and physical impossibility being forwarded by impatient, profit hungry entrepreneurs and mechanical engineers looking to make billions on the greatest catastrophe of human history. Believing that atmospheric carbon capture schemes will save us from our own ill advised actions at the last minute is tantamount to believing in magical carbon sucking unicorns.
Reason 5: There is still no verifable or enforcable international agreement for the critical fossil fuel reduction levels actually needed. There is no real verification or enforcement of our existing international global warming reduction agreements (which by the way also do not currently require anything even close to the critically needed 2025 global fossil fuel use reductions (as mentioned above in number 1.) The required levels for the radical reduction of our global fossil fuel use might only occur if there was a complete and total governmental commitment and an immediate mass mobilization by all the nations of the world to begin radically cutting all fossil fuel use by the radical percentages listed above.
Additionally, there would need to be some form of an international agency that had verification, enforcement and punishment rights and powers over all nations that sought to violate these global warming reduction treaties or agreements. That kind of power implies some form of global government which is also estimated to be many decades away at best.
Because there is no such verifable and enforcable international fossil fuel reductions agreement among governments or any current mass mobilization by governments to implement the needed fossil fuel reductions, (and there is likely not to be for many decades,) at the minimum, this means that we will be adding additional carbon into the atmosphere at our current average annual rate of about three or more parts per million (ppm) per year for about the next 30- 50 + years and probably much longer. (See fossil fuel use atmospheric carbon graph further above and imagine another 150 carbon ppm points added over the next 50 years.)
Reason 6: The citizens of the world rising up as a single powerful voice to demand their politicians act immediately won't happen in time to save us either.
This is because:
a. there is an active well-financed and highly effective global disinformation campaign being run by the fossil fuel industries. Its purpose is to try to confuse or impair the ability of average citizens to understanding how bad global warming is right now, how bad it is going to get in the future and how soon things are going to come crashing down on top of us. These disinformation campaigns freeze average citizens in doubt and uncertainty, which freezes their desire or ability to act and demand the needed changes.
b. Making the required fossil fuel reductions will impose incredible hardship and discomfort on the individuals of the world. These difficult required sacrifices will make it very difficult to establish billions of people demanding less comfort and mobility from their politicians.
d. understanding the global warming emergency is incredibly complex. To fully understand the threat we are under, an individual would have to be significantly above average intelligence, have read thousands of pages of global warming research or, have an equivalent of a Ph.D. in climatology and systems science.
d. 16% of the human population can't read at all, a significant remaining percentage of the human population does not have either the undistracted personal discipline or ability to educate themselves sufficiently on the true nature of this complex and difficult to understand emergency.
e. creating a general understanding in the public of how bad things really are and then getting the public to demand their political representatives act will take many decades at the minimum. This is because of the slow-moving process of education and consensus building, denial, and the intentional and well-funded global warming disinformation programs being executed by fossil fuel related industries and the politicians they control.
As much as many nonprofit organizations would like you to believe that grassroots, ground-up change will get our politicians to act and save us in time, this is not going to happen with this kind of complex emergency. There is simply not enough time left to get everyone educated on this issue and then get everyone organized to get their politicians to overcome the denial and fossil fuel disinformation programs before the unconscionable mega-catastrophes described farther below occur.
Reason 7: A seemingly unstoppable continuing increase in average global warming temperature. Because of the laws of physics concerning adding additional key atmospheric greenhouse gases like carbon, global temperature will continue to rise as we continue adding more carbon particles into the atmosphere from our fossil fuel use. Adding an additional three or more carbon ppm per year as we are doing now for the next 30-50 or more years also does not include any additional calculations or the carbon ppm amounts for the additional energy use of the human population soaring from 7 to 14 billion people during this period or, that many more people from the developing world will move into the middle class demanding the same high carbon fossil fuel use comforts of the developed world. This near doubling of population and the huge increase in new middle-class energy demand of itself could spike current fossil fuel use of atmospheric carbon pollution by another 25 to 40% beyond what's being predicted!
When you look down the road 30-50 years from now and add the additional unavoidable 90-150 carbon parts per million (ppm) [30 x 3 and 50 x 3 carbon ppm each year additional] to our most current about carbon 414 ppm total, it is easy to see there is no way for us to keep from crossing the carbon 500 to 550+ ppm near extinction level. (More will be disclosed further below about the shocking and lasting effects of atmospheric carbon levels at or above the carbon 500 ppm levels as well as the carbon 600 ppm extinction level.)
Reason 8: The steady deadly rise of methane in the atmosphere from new releases of methane from vastly increased global fracking, melting permafrost, and leaking natural gas lines. (Methane is about 86 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas than carbon to increase global warming. There is also a concerted effort by the fracking industry to prevent the accurate measurement of methane in the atmosphere and keep the ominous growing total methane release amounts from the fracking process hidden from the public.) When you add in the effects of methane (measured in part as CO2e,) for raising our temperature along with the effects of carbon, we are probably already well above our current carbon 411 ppm (around 430 CO2e+.) Please take a look at the following methane graph.
Reason 9: The gross miscalculations of current global warming consequence timetables for many of the 20 worst global warming consequences. When the leading climate authority the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) regularly miscalculate where we are now on many of the 20 worst global warming consequences and timetables by 25 to 40%, (as mentioned previously,) it causes the public to underestimate our current global warming status and condition. We simply do not realize that things today are already much worse than we are being told. Because of this, we think it's going to be much worse, much later then it will be. Therefore, we mentally start with the wrong global warming extinction emergency starting point and the wrong sense of urgency. To see how bad this is and how these reoccurring gross miscalculations occurred by our current leading global warming authorities because of the politicization of the science as well as other issues, click here.
(After you have read that gross miscalculation by our authorities article, be sure to read about the 20 worst global warming consequences here. Almost all of these 20 worst consequences will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale over the next 50 years as we try to resolve these 13 listed reasons for why we will not get our increasing global warming problem under control. Understanding the 20 worst global warming consequences is absolutely essential to understanding how 70 to 90% of the human population will die within the next 30 to 50 years. The 20 worst global warming consequences illustrated below create an intensifying "vortex" as heat increases drawing all the consequences into closer interaction with each other, which ultimately spins everything involving these consequences toward higher and higher levels of global destruction.)
(Click the following link for much more information on the 20 worst global warming consequences.)
Reason 10: The near insolvable problem of global warming justice definitions and global warming restitution and aid processes. In general, the industrialized and northernmost countries of the world have produced by far the most atmospheric carbon which causes global warming and its many consequences. These northern early adapter industrial revolution countries have created horrendous global warming consequences for the developing world, which as you can see you in the illustration below is located mostly between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south. Paradoxically, these northern industrialized nations who have predominantly caused the global warming problem will at least temporarily, benefit from the changes global warming creates to the climate in their nations.
The northern nations who are most responsible for the global warming harm caused to the developing world are also resisting paying for the damage that they have done to the developing nations. At the same time, they are also resisting taking in the existing millions (and the coming billions,) of new global warming climate refugees (climagees.)
In the following illustration, the lands above the 45th parallel north (above the orange line at the top of the illustration.) are where most of the human population will have to migrate to as global warming continues to accelerate.
The developed nations do not want to pay fair and just damages to the developing nations and to make matters worse, there is also no international standards of enforceable justice for the undeveloped world to obtain restitution for the damages that the developed world has done to it. There is no common international definition of justice or responsibility for an ecological atmospheric damage issue such as this.
With no definition for atmospheric justice and responsibility, it will be all but impossible for the developing world to receive what it should from the developed world. Additionally, the definition of justice and responsibility around the world not only changes in different nations, but it also changes in different cultures, religions, and ethnicities. Coming to a common definition of justice and responsibility on who pays fairly for the global warming damage they have caused will likely never happen. As a sign of this dilemma, the developed world has also not even paid the previously agreed upon and totally inadequate payment amounts to the developing world that they agreed to in previous global warming agreements.
This justice issue is highly significant in eventually resolving the global warming crisis because the developed world will most likely never pay just and adequate amounts of restitution or assistance to the developing world for the damage it has caused because:
a. those restitution costs are not paid just once. They will continue to rise exponentially as global warming accelerates. Damages to the developing countries will run into the hundreds of trillions of dollars.
b. developed countries will need all of their own current financial resources just to survive and stay up with the ongoing global warming catastrophes occurring in their own countries, and because of
c. inherent known and implicit biases against the cultures, religions or ethnicities of the developing world by the developed world.
Because of the above, developed nations will also not provide adequate additional funding to assist the developed world rapidly transition from fossil fuels energy generation to green energy generation and fossil fuel use to green energy use. This means that while the northernmost countries will use the resources they have to eventually convert their own nations to green energy generation and use, the developing nations will not have adequate funding to do the same while they are also trying to stay up with the ever-rising costs of global warming catastrophes.
This ultimately means that the developing world between the 45th parallel north and the 45th parallel south, where most of the world's population now lives, will have to continue using fossil fuels at ever-increasing levels as their populations grow. This means we will not be able to stop the global warming extinction emergency and the coming catastrophes because too much of the world will not be part of the solution.
Reason 11: The recent and the projected future crossings of many other global warming tipping points, positive feedback loops and points of no return within the climate system. As we continue crossing more global warming tipping points, the 20 worst global warming consequences will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale.
As we continue crossing more global warming tipping points, the 20 worst global warming consequences and the consequences of the tipping points themselves will continue to increase in severity, frequency, and scale. This is because:
1. The points of no return before a tipping point is crossed as well as the crossed tipping point itself, create "slippery" conditions where it becomes far easier for that condition or consequence to worsen far more quickly and at a far steeper gradient.
2. tipping points when crossed create sudden and extremely difficult to recover from steep drop-offs or complete system crashes,
3. any positive feedback loop contained within the tipping point processes will also significantly amplify either the positive or negative consequences of that tipping point, and
4. a crossed tipping point within a system or subsystem tends to push other tipping points over their tipping points in the subsystems or systems associated with or interconnected to the original tipping point.
Understanding the 11 major global warming tipping points along with the Climageddon Scenario is absolutely essential to understanding how and why as much as 70 to 90% of the human population will suffer and die within as soon as the next 30 to 50 years if we fail to hit the absolutely critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets mentioned above in reason 1.
Please click here to read more about the 11 key global warming tipping points and what they will mean to how fast your life will change as more of them are being crossed.
All of the above reasons and factors lead to what may be the most shocking global warming reality in this document which will be described in the following point number 12.
(Please click the following link for much more detailed information on global warming tipping points and the processes on how they work.)
Reason 12: The unconscionable and accelerating effects of the soon to be crossed near-final and final extinction level global warming tipping points. If we cross the near-final extinction tipping point of carbon 500 ppm, it is highly probable that not long afterward (about 20-30 years,) we will not be able to stop ourselves from reaching the carbon 600 ppm final extinction tipping point.
If we do not immediately and radically cut global fossil fuel use to meet the life-critical 2025 target levels, we will bring about the crossing of the extinction level tipping point of carbon 600 ppm. This tipping point will signal the probable end of most of humanity.
Knowing all you can about these two carbon extinction evoking level tipping points and how we can keep from crossing them is absolutely critical to your survival and the future survival of humanity.
And finally, as if the proceeding 12 reasons alone are not far more than enough to demonstrate that global warming is prpbally already out of our meaningful control for at least the next 30-50+ years unless --- we make the radical changes required by the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets there is reason 13 which creates a horrible quandary.
Reason 13: The absolutely horrible side effects if we do cut fossil fuel radically at the levels described above. This is primarily because global agriculture will crash when we radically reduce fossil fuel use. Agriculture is heavily dependent upon fossil fuels such as methane to make the essential fertilizers and other chemicals to allow mass food production to occur.
Agriculture also depends heavily upon fossil fuels to run the equipment essential to creating and processing our mass food production and its distribution. Once we come anywhere close to the absolutely essential levels of global fossil fuel reductions that we need to execute to save the future, global agriculture which is dependent upon fossil fuels will crash and up to 50% of the population will die of starvation not long after that.
What this means is that if we do not make the required 2025 global fossil fuel reductions, as much as 70 to 90% of humanity will die in as little as 30 to 50 years. If we do make the required 2025 global fossil fuel reductions, as much as 50% of humanity will die of starvation in as little as 20 to 30 years. That is a quandary that few politicians are even willing to think about.
(Please note: There are other difficult and important reasons why we most probably won't make the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets in time. These reasons involve climate, human and biological system inertias and momentums much to complex for this article. These additional reasons are found on the other pages on the Joboneforhumanity.org website or in the new book Climageddon published by our non-profit organization.)
We have wasted decades of scientific warnings and now our global warming bill has come due. The combined consequences of escalating global warming will most probably cause massive biological, economic, political and social collapses and will end the lives of as much as 70 to 90% of humanity in as little as the next 30 to 50 years."
Because of all of the above 13 reasons, unfortunately, we will most probably not reach the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Additional, based upon global warming's many coming unavoidable consequences, global warming is, in fact, most probably already out of our meaningful control for at least the next 30-50 + years.
Worse yet, consequences such as global warming-related mass starvation and mass migration are not 20, 30 or 50 years away. Unfortunately, they are already happening to millions. Soon they will be happening to tens of millions and then to hundreds and hundreds of millions more over the next 10 to 20 years. Within 30-50 years billions will need to migrate or die.
Because of all of the above as well as the other global warming caused or aggravated consequences, if we do not radically and immediately and radically change our fossil fuel burning behavior by achieving the 2025 global reduction targets, crop failures, mass starvation, and mass migrations will continue to get worse and eventually affect most of humanity.
But it is equally important to understand that this does not mean everything is hopeless and we should give up our efforts to improve what we can. There is still much we can do to slow and lessen escalating global warming, save more of humanity for longer and, make a better future.
To help you do this we have provided a link to a 4 part new plan for how you can help slow down this escalating extinction emergency as well as prepare for and adapt to it. This plan called the Job One for Humanity Plan. It also provides information on how to protect your family, assets, business from the many now unavoidable global warming catastrophes that will be arriving soon.
For information and many effective actions for what you can still do to help the world get closer to the life-critical 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets and make the best of a desperate situation for yourself and your family and business, please click here.
If you are feeling down, discouraged or want to give up trying to fix global warming after reading about the huge challenges (the 13 reasons above,) we face in meeting the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets
This is the article you really want to read. The last sections of this article on this page will provide important encouragement and motivation to counteract the difficulty of what you have read and what lies ahead of us. It is important to realize that it is completely natural to feel down after reading about the near impossible, but true challenges we face in trying to overcome our global warming extinction emergency. The last section on this page where you should begin reading is called, "If you are discouraged or you don't think or believe we can ever make these last chance 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets, read this!"
Other helpful information
For information on the exact tipping points and consequences of the global warming extinction emergency, click here.
For more information on the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, which we cannot miss, click here.
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