There are 4 major reasons and many lesser reasons why the COP26 climate conference failed.
COP26 is now over. The predictions below came true for the 26th time. So when reading it, please read it to understand why COP26 performed so much like the impotent 25 previous climate conferences.
This article has also had many recent additions since initially published before the COP26 conference due to the enormous amount of positive feedback from individuals and climate activists worldwide. This article also helps explain the reasons behind the Mutually Assured Climate Extinction (aka MACE) reality we now all face.
Some parts of the article below refer to events that should have occurred during or before the conference.
In addition to Greta Thunberg the world-renown climate activist who recently said not to expect much from COP26 (photo below), climate researchers, climate activists, and other climate savvy environmental groups are also telling their audiences to expect little to nothing of actual value or action from the COP26 global climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland October 31-November 12th.
Below you will find the three big reasons why the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its 25 previous global climate conferences have fallen into public disrepute. You will discover the many illusions and delusions that surround these two entities that are dangerous to the future of humanity.
In this article, you also will discover why the above climate conference and IPCC characterizations are fair and accurate, but first, we have to separate the innocent from the guilty.
When talking about the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences, we are not talking about the hundreds of honorable climate scientists who volunteer their time and submit their climate studies to the IPCC for evaluation or these conferences. Instead, we are talking about the IPCC and COP26 climate administrators and organizers.
We are not saying that the IPCC and its 25 previous climate conferences have not done some good over their decades of existence. Of course, they have, but the harms they are doing now and the illusions they are perpetuating are so significant and critical to our future survival, we are obligated to disclose them for the well-being of all humanity.
In this article, you will learn how these administrators and organizers take climate research from volunteer scientists and politicize and twist its analysis in ways that definitely do not serve the overall wellbeing of the world's citizens or the many underdeveloped nations of the world. At the end of this article, you will also find a call to action for what you can do to help fix what you will find below.
For a quick overview of the article here are its sections:
1. The three big reasons the COP26 climate conference should be panned then ignored by you and the world's media,
2. The BIG takeaways from reviewing decades of well-documented climate conference and IPCC results,
3. An additional critical fourth reason the many IPCC global climate conferences and climate agreements have not reduced global fossil fuel emissions but have only worsened them, the net-zero carbon neutral illusion and smokescreen
4. Are the IPCC and its climate conferences trying to help us by hiding a lost cause from us?
5. What you won't be hearing from the COP26 conference final reports,
6. What you most likely will be hearing from the COP26 conference final reports,
7. What you most likely will be hearing from the global media about COP26,
8. Should the setting of global fossil-fuel reduction targets and predicting the timetables of global warming consequences now be removed from the IPCC and its climate conferences?
9. Concluding and summarizing thoughts,
10. What you can do about this nightmare.
When you finish reading this article, you will know for yourself if we have entered into the era of Mutually Assured Climate Extinction (MACE).
The three big reasons COP26 should be panned then ignored by you and the world's media
Reason One: The IPCC, COP26, and the 25 previous climate conferences are doing the same failed actions over and over again and expecting a different result.
Doing the same thing over and over then expecting a different result is the textbook definition of insanity! Yet, if you look at the IPCC's climate conference result graphs below, you will see this collective insanity in all its haunting splendor.
The first graph shows atmospheric carbon (CO2) in parts per million (the jagged red line below.) Atmospheric carbon is one of the single best measurements for how we are doing in reducing global fossil fuel use. (Atmospheric carbon is measured annually in atmospheric parts per million [ppm] at Mauna Loa, Hawaii.)
As you can see below, atmospheric carbon is not slowing down or stopping. Instead, it is accelerating at an even faster rate as the steepness of the jagged red line increases. The carbon graph below embarrassingly shows the net result of fifty years of climate warnings, thirty-three climate conferences, and half a dozen international agreements to reduce the global warming causing carbon in the atmosphere!
But there is more.
The next graph below includes the other atmospheric greenhouse gasses like methane and nitrous dioxide as well as carbon. The orange line shows all of the greenhouse gases in what is called the CO2 equivalent (also in parts per million.)
The blue line in the graph below shows the total amount of carbon still going up into our atmosphere in gigatons. A gigaton is vastly more than a normal ton! (One gigaton of carbon in the atmosphere is equal to 109 tonnes of carbon which written out is 1,000,000,000 tons of carbon or 1012 kg.) Take a moment and try to get your mind around the insane amount of new carbon we are still putting into our atmosphere each year!
Under the blue line are listed various climate conferences and our earliest warnings that global warming was a real extinction threat.
Even beyond the massive environmental damage caused by global warming consequences, with this much carbon going into the atmosphere, there is little wonder why ten million individuals are dying every year from the diseases and other health effects of toxic air pollution caused by burning fossil fuels and the immense amounts of carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gasses we are adding to our atmosphere.
The next graph also shows the direct results of all of the climate conferences. If you look closely at the light gray dotted lines (below) rising from left to right, you will see that the average annual additional parts per million increases for atmospheric carbon is now growing exponentially. It should be going down!
What is illuminated in the light five gray lines on the graph above is critical additional proof of just how bad the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences are doing in lowering global fossil fuel use. In the 1960s, you can see we were adding .9 more carbon ppm per year. In the 1970s, we were adding 1.3 more carbon ppm per year. In the 1980s and 1990s, we were adding 1.5 more carbon ppm per year. In the 2000s, we were adding 2.0 more carbon ppm per year. And in the 2010s, we were adding 2.4 more carbon ppm per year. Although not in the graph below, in the 2020s, we are adding about 3.0 more carbon ppm per year and we are currently at about the carbon 420 ppm level.
As you can see, despite all the IPPC's actions and climate conferences (listed above the red line), the amount of additional carbon ppm going into the atmosphere on an annual basis has tripled and risen exponentially since the 1970s. This unconscionable triple acceleration of more and more carbon being released each year is now pushing us into out-of-control climate change and a new and extreme future climate.
Unfortunately, there is still more. The utter failure of the IPCC and its two dozen-plus climate conferences is further illuminated by the atmospheric methane CH4 graph below. When viewing this methane graph, keep in mind that atmospheric methane is about 80 times more effective than atmospheric carbon in increasing global warming. (The atmospheric methane graph below is in parts per billion [ppb].)
One odd thing to keep in mind about methane is that the fossil fuel lobby has successfully prevented the US government from measuring or tracking atmospheric methane in the US. Can you imagine why the fossil fuel industry does not want you to know how much atmospheric methane they release?
Looking at all four graphs and their unique measurements above does clearly show the success or failure of previous climate conferences, climate agreements, and the IPCC. As you have discovered, not only are carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gases not slowing down or stopping, they are increasing. Worse yet, most of them are not growing gradually; they have begun to increase exponentially!
This begs a key question to be resolved. How could one explain such continuous failure or incompetence over decades unless there are other possible hidden factors at work?
Reason Two: The IPCC and its climate conference's global fossil fuel reduction targets have been politicized for the benefit of the 28 trillion dollars a year oil-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries
There are several easy-to-understand examples of how the fossil fuel producers and fossil fuel industries might have compromised the IPCC and the climate conference results. The first example is how the IPCC's global fossil fuel reduction target calculations were cleverly manipulated to allow the fossil fuel industry to keep selling even more of its toxic product.
Example One: The "cooking of the fossil fuel reduction books" was done by the administrators and bureaucrats of the IPCC. Their current global fossil fuel reduction calculations make massive allowances for the existence of carbon-sucking unicorns (aka carbon capture technology), which by their estimates, would not even be effective until about 2050, if ever!
This 2050 "miracle" new technology was supposed to quickly suck hundreds of gigatons of carbon out of the atmosphere and save us from extinction at the very last minute. Yet, when they did the calculations to create the current global fossil fuel reduction targets for the years leading up to 2050, they already knew that no carbon capture and removal technology had yet to be proven:
a. at anything even close to the enormous scale that would be needed to remove hundreds of gigatons of atmospheric carbon to save us in time,
b. at any tolerable economic efficiency to do anything even close to removing the hundreds of gigatons of atmospheric carbon at the last minute to save us from extinction, and
c. not to have even worse unintended side effects on the climate and the world. (This unproven technology could have side effects that could cause severe, unpredictable droughts or other climate catastrophes in many parts of the world. Moreover, nations starving and suffering from these unforeseen side effects could respond with a conventional attack or a nuclear counterattack creating WWIII.)
There are many other details to the magical carbon-sucking unicorn story, which further removes legitimacy from the IPCC's current global warming fossil fuel reduction targets. (All of the verification and documentation for the magical carbon-sucking unicorn story can be found here.)
Example Two: Because of its politicization, the IPCC and its conferences also grossly underestimate the consequences and timelines of global warming so much that it allows them to further lower the real global fossil fuel reduction targets that are needed. This politicization and underestimation issue has gone on for decades and is well documented on this page. But, before you read the IPCC underestimation documentation page, here is a little teaser that describes the bureaucratic research, analysis, and summary approval process at the IPCC that should outline this problem.
What surprises many individuals is that the IPCC itself does not do original global warming research. Instead, working as unpaid volunteers, thousands of scientists from around the globe sift through the most current scientific literature on global warming and the climate. After completing this review, these unpaid scientists identify trends, write a draft report, and submit it to the IPCC.
Next, the IPCC reviews the submitted research from these scientists. This review typically takes five to seven years to complete. Then, in a tediously slow and bureaucratic process, the IPCC creates comprehensive reports and assessments, including global warming prediction scenarios. Then, in the near to last step, other scientists take the assembled draft again and review and revise it as needed.
Finally, a summary for national politicians and policymakers is written. This additional review condenses the science even further. This new and final public summary report is then subjected to a line-by-line review and possible revision by non-scientist national representatives from more than 100 world governments. These non-scientist national representatives must each approve the final summary document before it is signed and presented to the public.
Example Three: The IPCC and its climate conferences have repeatedly failed to include calculations and allowances for few if any of the hundreds of essential climate system and subsystem tipping points. This absence is dangerous because a crossed climate tipping point is usually followed by a sudden and drastic change in that area or a complete area collapse. Furthermore, a crossed tipping point in one area of the climate system also often triggers crossing more tipping points in other areas of our intimately connected climate system. Thus, one crossed climate tipping point in the right place can create a tipping point feedback loop of more and more tipping points being crossed.
Once a climate tipping point is crossed, it is far more time-consuming and difficult for that area to recover and re-establish its original condition. Yet, in their predictions, it seems the IPCC and its climate conferences want you to believe that either climate tipping points do not exist or that we will not cross them. This is because they rarely, if ever, appear as a part of their global warming scenario calculations. (For more information about the climates 11 major tipping points and how these tipping points are already unfolding, click here.)
A big takeaway here is that because of the three examples above, the IPCC and its climate conference's current global fossil fuel reduction targets are so underestimated and corrupted that they are not only useless, they are dangerous to use! Moreover, if we use these underestimated targets, much of humanity will be dead by 2050, and the rest of us will go extinct over the following decades. (If you are interested, the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets that can save humanity from extinction are found on this page.)
At some point, we still recommend reading the detailed IPCC history of underestimation, which is on this page. We also strongly recommend you watch this video by Peter Carter. It covers more about the sad history of the IPCC, its many conferences, and its continuous global fossil fuel reduction failures.
Reason Three: The IPCC and its climate conferences operate under the irrational and impossible to achieve principle that "society's emergency transformation away from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not ever hurt national or global economies"
The IPCC and its climate conferences appear to always forward solutions that "will not or must not" harm the economies of the most powerful UN members. But, this principle that transforming fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not hurt the world's economies is an incorrect and insane handicap that cripples legitimate and effective solutions.
There are several reasons for this economic principle being wrong in the case of our extinction emergency
Reason One: We have wasted 50 years of global warming extinction warnings when we could have made gradual fossil fuel use reductions that could have allowed a more gradual transfer to green energy generation with minimal economic damage.
That time has long passed! Our current extinction danger demands that neither the profits of a few corporations nor the wellbeing of any economy has any true priority over the survival-critical need to immediately avert a soon-arriving mass extinction.
Reason Two: The most important economic factor that we should be facing concerning moving from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation is that a mass human die-off will unfold until much of humanity is dead by mid-century. This is because if we do not fix this extinction emergency by getting close to the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, the global economy will most certainly be economically ruined far beyond any crash or disaster that has ever occurred in history.
There will be massive job loss beyond anything ever imagined simply because so much of humanity will be dead. The real estate, stock, and commodity markets will also crash for similar reasons, lack of living customers, and social chaos.
Reason Three: If your nation was under attack and its very survival was a stake, your military generals would naturally want to launch an immediate defense and counter-attack. In this case, no one would ever tell them that they could do that because it would hurt the national economy.
This example is no different from the global warming extinction emergency. All of humanity is now under global warming attack.
All of humanity's survival is at stake if we do not act immediately to get close to the 2025 targets. Therefore, no sane or financially uncompromised individual (or group) has any legitimate right to demand that "the only way we can take the critical actions to survive (our global warming defenses and counter-attack) is to make sure that these actions do not harm or affect the economy.
In other words, the correct economic principle must now be "we must fix the global warming extinction emergency because of its imminent extinction threat, even if it harms economies temporarily! If we do not follow this critical humanity-saving new economic principle, the global economy will eventually and definitely crash, taking all nations with it and, our global warming future will go wildly out of our control.
Reason Four: The 25 previous IPCC global climate conferences and climate agreements have not reduced global fossil fuel emissions but have only worsened them using the net-zero, carbon-neutral illusion and smokescreen
Net-zero carbon emissions means that we are not adding any more carbon to the atmosphere than we are taking out of it. However, it does not mean that we are reducing our current highly dangerous global levels of carbon emissions beyond the mass extinction preparatory levels where they are today.
Net-zero carbon dioxide emissions theoretically can be achieved by balancing the local, regional, national, or global carbon dioxide emissions with its removal. This net-zero process is conducted in two ways:
a. by directly eliminating and removing those carbon emissions from society (the most successful and proven method) or,
b. by what is called carbon offsetting. (Carbon offsetting can be done in numerous ways, but as you will read below, it is currently the least effective way to resolve the global warming emergency. It is the method most often proposed by politicians because it is so vague, difficult to verify, and can be falsely manipulated in many ways to produce little to nothing. It is a colossal understatement is to say that using carbon offsetting as the primary focus to achieve net-zero carbon emissions is a massive danger for society.)
The above carbon offsetting chart looks and sounds wonderful and hopeful, but there is much more to this carbon net-zero illusion. It is a false hope that will not save us in time! Many of its actions are based upon the misinformation promoted by fossil fuel producers and related fossil fuel-dependent industries.
Honest, independent, and non-politicized climate researchers have been trying to tell the world for over 50 years humanity is facing extinction. These researchers have been begging us to begin immediate global fossil fuel use reductions to come as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to survive the coming extinction threat.
The 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets are not anything like or close to the fossil fuel industry-sponsored national net-zero carbon neutral targets, which nations are saying they will reach by 2070, 2060, 2050, 2040, or even 2030! For instance, at COP26 India has pledged it will be net-zero by 2070, and China promised it will be net-zero by 2060. With much theatrical media coverage, Saudi Arabia also announced it will become net-zero emission by 2060. (Including the US at net zero by 2050, India and China make up the world's three largest carbon emitters.)
But, there are big secrets concerning the net-zero carbon-neutral pledges. They, too, are feel-good illusions that do not produce anything even close to what is being promised or needed!
These net-zero pledges are based predominantly on carbon offsetting. A carbon offset is supposed to reduce global carbon dioxide emissions or other greenhouse gases by compensating with emissions produced elsewhere. Unfortunately, carbon offsets are very difficult to verify, have considerable incentives for fraud, and are easy to fake by both purchasers and the suppliers of such carbon offsets. Additionally, carbon offsets currently have either no penalties or weak penalties for fraud.
James Hansen, the first climate scientist who warned us unchecked global warming would lead to our extinction, has described carbon offsets as "modern-day indulgences, sold to an increasingly carbon-conscious public to absolve their climate sins." Carbon offsets may also be interpreted as greenwashing. This is especially true in the case of most corporate commitments, which do not include actionable goals and schedules that implicate that their 'net-zero' emission goals are anything more than good publicity.
Theoretically, carbon offsets were meant to support projects that reduce the emission of greenhouse gases in the short or long term. A common offset project type is renewable energy, such as wind farms, biomass energy, biogas digesters, or hydroelectric dams. Other offsets include:
- Energy efficiency projects like efficient cookstoves.
- The destruction of industrial pollutants or agricultural byproducts.
- The destruction of landfill methane.
- Forestry projects.
But, that is not what is really happening. Instead, carbon offsets have become another clever way for nations to make fabulous public net-zero pledges, which facilitate hiding their lack of actual fossil fuel reduction from their citizens and the world.
In addition to the fraud-friendly carbon offset issue, most net-zero carbon neutral pledges are back-end loaded, meaning most of the cuts are to come well after 2025. (Our last chance fossil fuel reduction target for keeping global warming under our control.)
Most of these "emperors' new clothes" pledges also assume steady major technological advances in currently non-existent or unproven technologies or outright revolutionary tech breakthroughs that will somehow reach the required levels of development and scale to save us at the last moment. These net-zero carbon-neutral pledges are just another form of illusion keeping us from making the real and hard choices. These pledges also specifically exclude all fossil fuel exports from figuring into the national accounting and calculations for the net-zero pledge goals. As you can see, net-zero carbon-neutral pledges have more loopholes than a swiss cheese has holes.
Unfortunately, there is yet more to the net-zero carbon neutral illusion:
a. Tracing the history of illusions in climate policy from 1988 to 2021, climate scientists James Dyke, Robert Watson, and Wolfgang Knorr "[arrive] at the painful realization that the idea of net-zero has licensed a recklessly cavalier "burn now, pay later" approach which has seen carbon emissions continue to soar!
b. In his 16-page report, Dangerous Distractions, economist Marc Lee states that "'Net-zero" has the potential to be a dangerous distraction that reduces the political pressure to achieve actual emission reduction." "A net-zero target means less incentive to get to 'real zero' emissions from fossil fuels, an escape hatch that perpetuates business as usual and delays more meaningful climate action."
c. Current net-zero policies will not keep warming within the UN's 1.5°C temperature rise target because they were never intended to. They were and still are driven by a need to protect business as usual, not the climate. If we want to keep people safe, then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen now. The time for wishful thinking is over.
d. In March 2021, Tzeporah Berman, chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, argued that the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty would be a more genuine and realistic way to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement than the "Net-zero" approach. She claimed the net-zero approach is "delusional and based on bad science."
(The above four statements were found on Wikipedia.)
The current net-zero pledges by the world's top fossil fuel users and producers are telling and sadly funny. If we keep going as we are now, by 2050 - 2070, there will be few, if any, of us left to see if any nation even fulfilled its ridiculously "far too little, far too late" net-zero pledges.
The toothless, unenforceable, and vague net-zero pledges should be seen as nothing more than media bla, bla, bla. They are great theatrics for the pledging nations on the world stage.
The nations loudly promoting their net-zero pledges also helps hide the truth that the world's top 20 carbon emitters have made no commitments to directly and immediately cut their national fossil fuel use!
The correct 2025 targets now need to be enacted to compensate for 50 years of inaction. They will require tremendous sacrifice, suffering, and hardship for all the world's people, industries, and nations. Something no politician is willing to tell us.
These 2025 global targets require that the world's developed nations enforce and come close to a 75% total reduction in ALL global fossil fuel use by 2025. In addition, these 2025 targets include lesser climate justice-adjusted targets for undeveloped countries, which did not play a major role in creating the global warming emergency. These 2025 national fossil fuel reductions of 75% include China and India.
To understand more about why government-driven and corporate-driven carbon net-zero programs are so dangerous to your near-term future survival, first read about what happens as we cross the first global warming extinction tipping point in the next 3-9 years, then read about the primary and secondary consequences that are and will occur when we cross this extinction-evoking tipping point.
If you learn best by videos
Here are two funny and informative net-zero and climate conference failure videos that are powerful yet, still underestimate the rapidly approaching extinction dangers we now face:
The BIG takeaways from reviewing the above decades of well-documented climate conference and IPCC results
There are several key takeaways from the information above:
1. If you have thought about the above information, you probably wonder how the intentions, will, and wellbeing of billions of people worldwide could be so ignored and thwarted decade after decade by the IPCC and its scores of conferences? Billions of people want safe air to breathe and a future free of the unthinkable destruction of accelerating global warming consequences.
To thwart the intentions of billions of individuals for a safe future and health over a five-decade period would take nothing less than an extraordinary, continuous, and even stronger counter intention. We at Job One for Humanity believe the evidence points to the hidden hand of fossil fuel-producing nations and the fossil fuel-related industries. (This is not unreasonable because the fossil fuel industry wields the financial power of 1/3 of the world's total gross domestic product [GDP.])
What you see in the above graphs is not mere incompetence or honest mistakes. You see the decades-long hidden corruption and co-opting of the IPCC and its climate conferences by fossil fuel interests and their financial resources.
To put this statement into scale and a pausable perspective, all one has to do is recall that in the US, the far smaller cigarette industry thwarted almost all regulation and hazardous product warmings through false research studies, lobbyists, and large donations to favorably politicians, etc. for 50 years!
2. The popular media worldwide has also played an essential part in promoting and maintaining this decades-long charade of false hope and underestimated global warming reduction targets. This is partly because in many cases, the big media companies are wholly or partially owned by the fossil fuel-related industries. With the fossil fuel industries having such a large financial influence over the major media companies, it is easy to understand why the media has not exposed this tragic and ongoing dangerous fraud. And,
3. An old saying is that, if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it's a duck! The same could be said for the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences. If it looks like it's protecting the fossil fuel industry profits and has in fact protected fossil fuel earnings with bogus reduction targets, it has been corrupted by the fossil fuel industry.
Are the IPCC and its climate conferences trying to help us by hiding a lost cause from us?
If we attribute the most positive intentions to the IPCC and the attendees of its global climate conferences, one could easily believe that the IPCC, our governments, and even the fossil fuel-related industries were actually trying to prevent a worldwide loss of hope to prevent a global panic. So, if we do attribute the most positive intentions to the fossil fuel industry, the fossil fuel industry was forced to corrupt and co-opt the IPCC and its climate conferences to save humanity from the painful truth that much of humanity will be dead by 2050.
It is reasonable to believe that they believed the climate truth and future would create widespread global panic if it were known by the general public ahead of time. Therefore making everyone think we are safe with a big lie about the global warming emergency would be a necessary and "good" thing in the mind of those who do not believe in the resilience of humanity.
Panic is defined as "a hurried frenzy to do something." If panic helps get something done that is life-critical, then panic is the appropriate evolutionary emotion that needs to be used!
What the IPCC (and its fossil fuel industry handlers) have underestimated concerning public panic is that there are still years left for the public to get prepared and start adapting to the radical climate catastrophes that are coming. They have also failed to understand that society's wisest individuals and businesses are already preparing resilience backup plans. And, the rest of society will start doing the same sometime after they watch global conditions deteriorate a bit further.
What the IPCC, its fossil fuel industry handlers, and these climate conferences attendees do not apparently value is that to prevent a panic where panic is the appropriate and needed response to an impending catastrophe, it is far more dangerous and destructive to hide the valid reasons why the world's citizens should be at the highest alertness and action level concerning this accelerating global warming catastrophe.
On the other hand, if you apply the principle of Occam's Razor that the simplest and most obvious explanation is often the best explanation, the fossil fuel industry has corrupted and co-opted the IPCC and its climate conferences simply because it wanted to continue to maintain its profits for as long as possible.
So here is what we now still face. We have to get close to the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. if we don't, We will lose much of humanity (more than 50%) by mid-century.
Worse yet, we will also cross tipping points into uncontrollable runaway global warming and near-total extinction just a few decades after mid-century. (If you still believe that much of humanity dying off by mid-century is not possible or probable, please read this amazing page. It will explain in great detail all of the primary and secondary global warming-related consequences which will lead us close to inevitable extinction.)
Based on what we have been discussing, it's time to have some fun with what could or should be happening next.
What you won't be hearing from the COP26 conference final reports
The following is what you should hear based on objective, non-politicized climate science. And yes, there is no chance that we will hear the following from any official statement at the end of this upcoming COP26 climate conference.
Here is what they should be saying.
We, the IPCC and the COP26 and previous climate conference attendees, formally apologize to generations X, Y, and Z, all older world citizens, and the most at-risk underdeveloped nations for:
a. failing to get the world's governments to declare a national and international global warming state of emergency. (This would greatly facilitate those governments allocating all necessary personnel and resources to ensure the correct actions needed to get them close to their 2025 national fossil fuel reduction targets.)
b. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments and getting them to understand that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, much (51% or more) of humanity will be dead by mid-century. We also should have made it painfully clear that most of these global warming-related deaths will occur within the poor and undeveloped countries between the 40th parallel north and the 4Oth parallel south.
In the image below, the red line marks the 40th parallel north. The yellow line marks the 40th parallel south.
We have repeatedly hidden these facts and failed to make the world and the world's politicians understand that escalating global warming is an imminent extinction threat. It will not be much different in total human deaths, suffering, and many other consequences than if a planet killer asteroid hit the earth about mid-century. (Imagine what happened in the Hollywood movies Deep Impact or Greenland).
(To learn why it is critical to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, please go to this page which explains the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points which we will rapidly cross if we do not get close to reaching the 2025 targets.)
c. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, there also is a high probability humanity will suffer near-total extinction beginning by about 2070. (To learn about how this near-total global warming extinction process will occur, please see the primary and secondary warming-related consequences.)
d. failing to educate and prepare the world's citizens for the many severe and unavoidable consequences of our 50 years of climate inaction or ineffective action. We must now endure painful sacrifice and immense suffering as we radically cut global fossil fuel use to come close to the 2025 targets to save a liveable future for some of humanity and their children.
e. repeatedly failing to state the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets while simultaneously, making the public falsely believe in the illusion that if we simply reached net-zero emissions by 2040, 2050, or some other date far beyond 2025, humanity would be safe from extinction.
f. manipulating and "cooking" the global fossil fuel reduction target calculations by including inappropriate compensatory calculations involving unproven carbon capture technologies. We knew that carbon capture was not proven at scale, was not even remotely economically possible, or tested for possible even worse side effects. Yet, we still included carbon capture compensatory calculations for our global fossil fuel reduction targets even though we knew carbon capture would not be a viable solution in time to save us from the worst extinction level consequences of global warming. This carbon capture scheme was another one of the many geoengineering type illusions we have promoted to help create a false sense of progress, future safety, and that some new technology breakthrough will save us at the last minute from extinction.
g. promoting other carbon capture schemes to achieve net-zero emissions like Cap-and-Trade, which also create an illusion of safety and will not work in time to save us from global warming's worst consequences! We have failed to adequately disclose to the public that natural, technical, and economic carbon capture schemes are difficult to get up to scale up, verify, or enforce, and they are far too easy to cheat on.
h. failing to repeatedly state that the most direct and honest way to make the critically needed global fossil fuel reductions to the required levels in time to save us, is, to simply and immediately drastically reduce fossil fuel use! This now requires enforcing national targets to come close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction target levels.
i. repeatedly failing to push the world's governments to agree to enforce these 2025 targets and agree that if they fail to enforce their national targets, they acknowledge they will be punished economically by the world community on an escalating basis until they do meet their agreed-to national fossil fuel reduction targets.
j. making world citizens believe that we were making progress in reducing global fossil fuel use when it was actually getting worse, much worse!
k. wasting decades of legitimate scientific warnings when global fossil fuel reductions could still have been gradual and far more manageable.
l. hiding the true urgency and severity of the current global warming extinction emergency.
m. unfairly creating recommendations, fossil fuel reduction targets, and policies that favor the wealthiest nations over the poorer nations and act to ignore or minimize climate justice concerns and principles. And finally,
n. being corrupted and co-opted by the fossil fuel industry to invisibly serve its profit-maintenance goals rather than the wellbeing of all current world citizens, all nations, and future generations.
If by chance, there was a rebellion at COP26, and they could seize control away from the invisible, hidden hand of the fossil fuel industry and the wealthiest nations, the above list would be a perfect climate conference closing summary statement and apology to the world.
What you most likely will be hearing from the COP26 conference final reports
The final reports and recommendations of COP 26 will in effect be much like the previous 25 climate conferences. The hidden hand of the fossil fuel industry will still be influencing global fossil fuel reduction amounts at COP26. We will hear more of the same; "if we only reach net-zero by 2050 or we reach net-zero by 2040 or 2030," we will still be able "to have our cake and eat it too."
Ultimately, the IPCC and these conferences will still be trying to feed us that we can reduce global fossil fuel use just enough to maintain a growing economy without drastic reductions or the painful sacrifices of our fossil fuel-linked comforts. And that is delusional thinking at its worst!
We will also hear about geoengineering as a great new solution to global warming that will again allow us to keep all of our current fossil fuel comforts and do little to reduce our current fossil fuel use. We will be fed other tech solutions that simply won't work with the limited amount of time we have left (until 2025.) We will hear about many other bright and shiny new solutions that simply can't overcome the laws of physics and mathematics behind the growing hundreds of gigatons of carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gases that we have already put into our atmosphere.
You also will hear a litany of highly theatrical yet toothless net-zero pledges by the representatives of the world's nations promising this time they really will reduce their nation's total fossil fuel use. These pledges will, of course, be without any practical method of verification, enforcement, or punishment if that particular government fails to meet its commitment.
If you have been paying attention to this farse, you will see that our global "car for a safe future" is racing towards a cliff with no one driving with adequate control. You will see the COP26 climate conference attendees meekly sitting in the back seat re-arranging the deck chairs on the Titanic as we are racing toward the iceberg and going over the climate cliff to extinction.
What you most likely will be hearing from the global media about COP26
Lazy news media people unwilling to do the deep analysis and research will gladly take easy climate conference story ideas from conference attendees, fossil fuel lobbyists, and their shills. The news media will gladly promote the IPCC's sexy magical carbon-sucking unicorn solutions. They will tell us over and over again that carbon capture will be like a knight in shining armor on a big white horse that will rush in at the last minute save us "just in time."
You definitely will not hear the news media telling the public anything about the tremendous sacrifices and suffering we must endure for humanity to survive the primary and secondary global warming-related consequences.
The news media also will passionately avoid telling its comfort-addicted public that the only certain way remaining that we can reduce global fossil fuel burning enough to save humanity from extinction is to immediately, radically, and painfully reduce our global use of fossil fuels to meet the legitimate 2025 targets.
Should setting global fossil-fuel reduction targets and predicting the timetables of global warming consequences now be removed from the IPCC and its conferences?
Just for the sake of argument, suppose that the IPCC and its climate conferences have not been corrupted and co-opted by the insatiable profit needs of the gigantic global fossil fuel industry. Even in this case, the IPCC and the climate conferences should still be panned and ignored.
The reason is simple. IPCC and the climate conferences are the wrong sources from which proposed regulation for the fossil fuel industry should be made. This wrong source concept is valid because of basic common sense and the long-standing conflict of interest regulatory principle.
This principle states you never have individuals or organizations regulating or overseeing the same industries they are paid by because of the inherent conflict of interest. In the case of the IPCC and its climate conferences, their operational funding comes in significant part from the wealthiest oil-producing nations and indirectly from the fossil fuel-related industries. But, what should we now do about this proposed wrong source for fossil fuel industry regulation?
We believe that the world should begin exploring other options for honest predictions and honest global fossil fuel reduction targets wherever there are not such glaring conflicts of interest. One possibility is to have independent, non-political think tanks funded by the world's citizens take over the tasks of analyzing and summarizing the research of the current volunteer climate scientists. This way, we might get an honest climate analysis and the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets that will help us avoid mass extinction.
Everything is at stake here! If we do not get the global warming extinction emergency under control, the extinction of humanity and the collapse of global civilization is a rapidly approaching reality. This extinction level of importance and responsibility is far, far beyond the IPCC's compromised and co-opted bureaucrats, administrators, and climate attendees. That is why we now need to consider alternative analysis and recommendation sources for the future.
Concluding and summarizing thoughts
a. Despite all the IPPC's decades of actions and scores of climate conferences, the amount of additional atmospheric carbon in parts per million on an annual basis has tripled. Since the 1970s, it has been rising exponentially!
b. Because of the many facts presented above, individuals, environmental groups, informed corporations, and concerned nations should pan, ignore and not support COP26. We will not hear anything new from this new climate theatre (version 26) that will reverse decades of increasing global fossil fuel use.
c. The IPCC and its climate conferences create and promote dangerous illusions which perpetuate false hopes. These illusions and false hopes deny the correct urgency on the proper actions and falsely calm the general public. They continually act in a way that makes the public falsely believe progress is being made, their future will be safe, and some new technology or geoengineering (like carbon capture, etc.) will save them one second before the clock strikes midnight on our extinction.
Organizations that intentionally or unintentionally create illusions about current progress or the correct solutions are the most counterproductive! Because of those illusions, a society, group, or individual believing the illusion may try to solve the wrong problem or enact the wrong solutions without ever realizing they are on the wrong course.
Creating illusionary solutions is particularly dangerous not only because it denies the correct solutions to the right problem, but also because it makes it near-impossible to avert passing real deadlines and crossing real tipping points. Moreover, when illusions block seeing a painful reality for what it is, it is far harder to make any changes that would be appropriate to improve that reality.
d. The IPCC and its climate conferences continue to forward incorrect and incomplete climate analysis and gross consequence underestimation. Key areas of their reports and recommendations suffer from the continuous politicization of the analysis and recommendation process by fossil fuel producers, related fossil fuel industries, and their lobbyists.
e. We now need to resoundingly reject the IPCC and its climate conferences' unreasonable demand that our transfer from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not harm global or national economies. Instead, we must replace this irrational barrier to resolving the global warming emergency with these realistic and correct principles:
i. Principle one: "for the long-term wellbeing of our global economies we must fix the global warming extinction emergency. This is because there will be no remaining stable stock, commodity, or real estate markets or, economies in a global warming consequence fueled chaos as much of humanity dies off by mid-century.
ii. Principle two: "the world's citizens must be taught that:
1. We need to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets now to save humanity from extinction within a few decades.
2. The most direct and certain way to save humanity from extinction is to cut just global fossil fuel use immediately and ensure we get close to the real 2025 targets. And,
3. To make the necessary fossil fuel cuts, we will have to make huge sacrifices of our everyday comforts. We also need to be willing to endure tremendous suffering to save humanity and the future." (To understand why this must be done by 2025, click here.)
f. Because of the failures of the IPCC and its 25 previous conferences, we now face the IPCC's own worst projections for global temperature rise and related adverse consequences. Climate physics and its mathematics confirms we have a only small remaining window (until about 2025) to retain some reasonable control of our global warming future.
g. It is time to publically and loudly call out the IPCC and its ineffective climate conferences for the fossil fuel industry co-opted failures they are! It is time for an honest broker for climate change analysis and global warming reduction global targets, consequences, and timetables.
h. The continuous failures of the IPCC and its conferences beg the question. "Is it finally time to make an organizational climate change summary and analysis change?" The IPCC and its climate conferences have let the wolf into the hen house, and this hungry wolf, being what it is, will not stop eating until every "chicken" is dead.
i. We urgently need a non-political, genuinely independent, and qualified group of climate scientists to take over all the responsibilities and actions of the co-opted IPCC and its climate conferences. Just maybe with this change, we are almost out of time. Hopefully, we won't keep doing the same thing over and over, expecting a different result.
Because of all of the above, it is now time for all of us to become disruptors! The necessity for disruption is obligatory when the scale of damage is so large and severe that one must disrupt the activities causing the genuine threat once they are understood. For example, if there were an understood real and probable threat that would cause the imminent extinction of humanity or destroy the biological or climate systems upon which humanity depends for its survival, one would be obligated to disrupt any organization and its policies or actions causing that threat.
You should now understand why the global warming extinction emergency or anything that speeds it up or illusions that prevent us from seeing it honestly to resolve it, requires our continual creative disruption. (To learn more about the policy of necessary or obligatory disruption including what to do and ethically how to do it, click here.)
And finally, if any good comes from COP26, it will be because of Greta Thunberg and all of the other climate protestors demanding the IPCC and the COP26 attendees make the apology described above.
What you can do about this nightmare!
We are in a battle for the survival of humanity. We have both an ethical and moral duty to call out offenders and act! Unfortunately, we also have squandered away five decades of inaction when the needed changes could have been gradual and more manageable.
There is no more time to wait or remain inactive. To work our way out of this rapidly accelerating nightmare, we must act immediately. Here is a list of ethical disruptive and necessary actions to begin to do your critical part before it is too late. Please help us get thousands of copies of this blog post flying all over the Internet, reaching every place and person where it should be to help reverse the ongoing UN climate conference tragic farse.
a. Share this post everywhere you think it should go!
b. Sign the global warming extinction emergency petition for our politicians. It is fast and easy. Click here to sign it.
c. We need your help with emails and calls to get this COP26 blog post information to everywhere it needs to go. Personalized calls and emails are always more effective than non-personalized calls and emails. If you are not calling or emailing this information to the people mentioned on the list below, and you want to print it and snail mail it, be sure to include the original post link here ( https://www.joboneforhumanity.org/why_the_results_of_the_glasgow ).
Here is how to make phone calls to your politicians:
1. If you are a US citizen, find your congressperson here. If you are not a US citizen, you will need to look up the phone number of your political representatives.
2. If you are a US citizen, call the US Capitol switchboard (202) 224-3121 to leave your representative a message.
3. Then use this or your script: "Hi my name is ___, and I'm calling from ____. I do not support our government using the current United Nations global fossil fuel reduction targets. They are incorrect and far too small! These fossil fuel reduction targets will result in the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century. I am counting on you to use your influence to get our nation to use the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. We cannot continue using the net-zero by 2050, 2040, or 2030 currently promoted targets, or we will fail and many of us will die."
If you are emailing to people on the lists below:
i. Email this post to politicians worldwide, especially before the COP26 International climate change conference. Particularly email US politicians and their support staff. Please forward it to US politicians like John Kerry (the Climate Czar,) Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and other members of the US progressive Squad. (The US politicians just let one senator's vote gut the effectiveness of the changes they would bring to cut emissions COP26.) Please also send this post to any other global politicians you think should see it as well.
ii. Email this post to all of the delegates, officials, and corporate sponsors of COP26. Maybe some of them will finally stand up against manipulating their climate research work or using their names to continue to protect the profits of oil-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries. In general, corporate sponsors do not normally want to be associated with failures, unless they are somehow secretly profiting from those failures.
Be certain to get this post to the delegations from those mostly underdeveloped nations who are suffering the most from global warming and also have done the least to create it. Maybe collectively, these endangered nations can act to stop the ongoing climate conference fossil fuel reduction target lies.
iii. Email this post to ecological and global warming educational groups, such as 350.org, Climate Central, Climate Mobilization, Climate Emergency Fund, Sunrise Movement, Sierra Club, World Wildlife Fund, Green Peace, etc. Please send it to any other regional or local environmental and global warming educational groups you think should see it as well.
iv. Send this article to local regional or national media in your area where you think there might be a news person who is going to do the deep research and analysis and not just accept what is being fed to them by the fossil fuel industry lobbyists, the IPCC, and COP26 attendees.
We also strongly encourage you to publically call out and shame any media that does lazy research or promotes fossil fuel industry-shilled or false climate stories. But, please never shame individuals, only the organizations or institutions in which they work! The peaceful public shaming of corporations or organizations is a long-accepted and legitimate social protest action and necessary disruption strategy.
d. Start to accept the terrible reality of our current global warming extinction emergency. This new reality means that you and I will need to sacrifice and endure the loss of many of our fossil fuel-derived comforts to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (For more on what our governments and we need to do to reach the 2025 reduction targets, click here. Please note that individual actions alone will not reverse the global warming extinction emergency at this late stage. At this late stage, only these government-enforced actions will do that.)
e. Don't forget to begin your personal or business resilience plans because the worst consequences of global warming are no longer avoidable due to our five decades of inaction. This resilience plan contains critical information for living within the Earth's carrying capacity, preparing for what is coming, and adapting your lifestyle and livelihood to become a part of the energy reduction solutions needed for this emergency. Remember, no government, corporation, or NGO will ever be able to keep up with ever-escalating damages and costs of the consequences of global warming.
Feel free to translate and quote this post as needed.
Here are three things to start talking about with friends:
1. Demand a national carbon Fee and Dividend program, which would immediately price toxic fossil fuel carbon and methane pollution, hopefully at about $150 a ton. (For a complete description of a fair Fee and Dividend program that would not punish the poor, please click here and Scan down the page for the Fee and Dividend section.)
2. Demand the immediate termination of all fossil fuel industry-related government or taxpayer subsidies. (Currently about 6 trillion dollars a year globally.)
3. Demand that the fossil fuel industry and its executives be held legally and financially responsible for the 10 million deaths a year they cause through toxic carbon and methane pollution of our atmosphere and all of the related other damages they are doing to our homes, cities, and the environment.
The following links will assist curious individuals in getting up to speed on the current global warming analysis.
Reference Topic 1: Why you can't believe the current IPCC issued global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:
Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections.
Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.
Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally.
Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)
To see the many mass mobilization actions our governments must now take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total extinction, click here.
Reference Topic 2: How can the probability (or even the possibility) of a soon-arriving near-total human extinction be accurate?
Click here to see a detailed "big picture" catastrophic meltdown of our global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions with our other 11 major global crises will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.
Click here to see the four major global warming extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to crossing them.
Reference Topic 3: What governments must do
It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas emissions and pollution.
Click here to learn more about the carbon pricing and other actions our governments and corporations must immediately take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
Reference Topic 4: The deep causes of this whole mess
To understand the most profound reasons behind our current global warming emergency and our 11 other most dangerous global crises, please get the book Overshoot. In it, you can learn about the concept of the Earth's carrying capacity (the land and sea acreage available and needed for a given population's needs.)
Reference Topic 5: Miscellaneous
Click here and read our Job One for Humanity policy on the necessary disruption of all false or dangerous global warming and environmental acts or ideas.
Please continue to educate yourself about these life-critical climate issues by exploring the documentation and analysis found on this website.
This article has been created in our humble opinion,
The Global Warming Research Team of the Job One for Humanity Non-profit Organization
PS If we get the global warming extinction emergency under control in time, click here to see the many surprising benefits we can create in a Great Global Rebirth. If you can, we also ask that you support the research and candid climate analysis done by making a tax-deductible donation to the Job One for Humanity nonprofit organization.
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