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Last Updated 4.22.25.
Job One for Humanity published this article. Job One is a nonprofit climate change think tank and risk assessment organization founded in 2008. It is nonpartisan, 100% publicly funded, and uncensored by any government or corporation.
This is a long page with a lot of climate science on it. It will explain in detail why the world's largest governments, intelligence agencies, investment banks, risk analysis firms, and insurance companies are GROSSLY UNDERESTIMATING the severity, frequency, scale, and timeframes of major global climate change consequences. This gross underestimation (which we estimate amount to a about 30-60% error or underestimation of climate consequences and solutions) will cause widespread global climate catastrophe after catastrophe, not to mention the highly predictable and horrendous global financial losses that could have been avoided if you had the uncensored, accurate climate change analysis on this website.
When you hold your cursor over the link to this page (the Why 60 Years of Climate Change Failure link), essential sub-links will unfold, covering most of the eight major reasons we are in an accelerating climate change emergency. We strongly suggest that after you finish this page, you also read each page sub-linked to this page.
This page, plus those pages, will convince any rational individual of the severity and near-unsolvability of the many intentionally and unintentionally created and natural problems preventing an effective climate change solution before it's too late. For those of you who are here to cut your financial losses from predictable climate change-related consequences, you too will be convinced by the abundance of fossil fuel-friendly climate change disinformation you are receiving from your government, the IPCC, and the media.
Below, we have provided a quick overview of the major errors and underestimation problems with climate change information that governments and the media are presenting to the world about climate change and our future. You can dive deep into climate science and its links later in this document. On this page and other pages on this uncensored website, you will discover that what you are being told about climate change is nowhere even close to the reality of the imminent global climate change catastrophe we are facing.
Let's begin by examining what is being censored about climate change consequences, timeframes, solutions, and who is doing the global censoring.
It may shock you to hear that in addition to the global fossil fuel cartel's billion-dollar disinformation campaigns, undue influence of our politicians, and misinformation and false research given to our governments and the media, our current climate change emergency has been made far more difficult to resolve because of the global fossil fuel cartel's undue influence over the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the United Nations (the IPCC).
This is bad for the world because the IPCC is treated as the world's leading authority on climate change, and the IPCC's regular summary climate reports are used by every government and the world's media to set government climate change policy and tell a highly censored and underestimated climate change story to the world by the media. This undue influence has caused the ongoing gross underestimation, errors, censorship, and politicization of climate science by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the United Nations (IPCC.)
Here are some basics you should know to get started:
1. The physical and prime cause of runaway global heating is our global burning of fossil fuels. And,
2. Over the last six decades, the 28 trillion dollar-a-year fossil fuel industry and its lobbyists have subjected the world's politicians to the most potent disinformation and misinformation influence campaign in history. (Their programs were designed to prevent or limit regulations that would reduce global fossil fuel use.) But,
3. There is also one other organization that, because we have always trusted it completely (and its climate summary reports), is a dominant additional reason after the global fossil fuel cartel for our ongoing decades of failing to mobilize the world to put an end to toxic fossil fuels atmospheric pollution. This organization is the highly politicized Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) mentioned previously.
In this article, we also present a unique challenge. The challenge invites any climate scientist, skilled researcher, or data analyst to prove the facts below wrong. These facts concern the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's climate summary reports and their gross underestimation and error problems.
We actively promote this challenge because the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPPC) gross underestimation and other errors are trusted as accurate and used by the world's governments, corporations, and NGOs to plan how they will reduce climate change and end our runaway global heating emergency. Organizations that use the IPCC's grossly underestimated and error-ridden climate summary reports will unknowingly create inadequate and ineffective climate change and global heating remedial programs. This trusted use factor compounds the consequences of the IPCC's gross underestimation and error problems.
It is also time to call out the global fossil fuel cartel
The IPCC's calculation problems are so severe and urgent that the IPCC must be called out for them. This must be done, and the corrective climate information must be distributed worldwide before it is too late to compensate for the IPCC errors and problems and the world needlessly experiencing near-total extinction. (Near-total extinction is the extinction of 50-90+% of the human population.)
Therefore, even more than calling out the UN's IPCC for its many errors and underestimations described below, we must also strongly call out the global fossil fuel cartel. The global fossil fuel cartel is the dominant hidden, invisible hand that censors, distorts, underestimates, and unduly influences the climate change information you receive from your government, the media, and the United Nations IPCC!
The following cartel information provides the broader framing and context to understand how our current climate change emergency was created and is being maintained. It is helpful to cover some history everyone already knows to be true to open your mind and begin to see the hidden and invisible hand that censors and distorts the climate change information you are receiving. The global cigarette industry has a proven record of many decades of successful political lobbying, misinformation, disinformation, false cigarette health risk studies, and funding of "independent" think tanks to produce questionable research saying smoking was not dangerous. The cigarette industry also has a record of engaging in many undue influence and regulation delaying tactics.
Like the cigarette industry's tactics, the far better-funded global fossil fuel cartel's disinformation and regulation-delaying practices have successfully kept honest climate change facts and solutions from you, our governments, the media, and humanity for over six decades! Does that statement seem exaggerated or not possible? Remember, for many decades, the global cigarette industry convinced the world's politicians and citizens that cigarettes did not cause lung cancer, health problems, or death with only a fraction of the worldwide fossil fuel cartel's 28 trillion dollar-a-year mega-income and resources. Because of the fossil fuel cartel's copycat and super-funded mass disinformation and regulation-distorting tactics, they, too, have avoided the required global fossil fuel reductions and regulations for at least six decades.
Here is why the global fossil fuel cartel is doing this. If the world's citizens knew the actual climate change facts and understood that they had been deliberately deceived for decades, they would angrily demand that their politicians radically cut global fossil fuel use immediately. And this would be very bad for worldwide fossil fuel cartel's profits.
If you still think what we say about the global fossil fuel cartel distorting, censoring, and unduly influencing our governments, the media, and the climate summary work and climate solutions of the UN's IPCC is untrue, click here to see the hundreds of well-documented articles about the many ways and tactics the global fossil fuel cartel uses to ensure that our governments, the media, the United Nations, and the world's citizens do not ever demand reduced global fossil fuel use to the required levels. Click here to start reading these well-documented articles. (More extensive documentation on the fossil fuel cartel's role in blocking the release of honest climate change information and effective climate change solutions is available further down this page.)
It is bitterly painful when you finally realize the global fossil fuel cartel is entirely willing to sacrifice the lives of billions of people and their children to satisfy their unquenchable and seemingly unstoppable greed for more profit (more super-yachts, more palaces, and more exotic sports cars, etc.
Click here to read the master article on fossil fuel disinformation and other dirty tricks.
This article will explore the eight most severe data reliability problems in the IPCC's climate summary reports. (The eight items listed below are expanded later in the article with links to expanded details and verification.) In this article, you will also discover the truth of our government's utter failure to act over the last 60+ years and the horrible climate consequences of that inaction and ineffective action.
While reading these IPCC problems below, do not forget to consider the invisible hand of the global fossil fuel cartel somewhere behind the scenes in almost every issue. They cleverly manipulate, distort, or deny accurate climate data to protect their profits, related industries, or national income sources. Also, do not forget that the IPCC is the single most relied-upon authoritative source of climate change information for all world governments and the world's media. The global fossil fuel cartel has learned that if you can successfully manipulate, distort or water down all of the IPCC's summary climate data distributed to the world, you can control what the world believes about the climate change emergency to your profitable advantage.
The IPCC's big climate summary reports reliability problems:
Problem 1: High-level IPCC administrators create climate summary reports that alter and grossly underestimate the underlying climate science they receive from climate scientists worldwide. They do this because of political pressure and the hidden hand of the global fossil fuel cartel lobby. As a result, these high-level administrator-altered and watered-down distortions and errors can reduce the accuracy of their climate summary reports by 30-60% or more.
Precisely who and what is causing the decades of extreme political pressure mentioned in Problem 1 above is explained in a must-read article. It describes the real cause of climate change, the political pressure behind the intentional IPCC distortions and miscalculations, and many other problems described on this page. (Click here to read about who's behind the political pressure and who is financially responsible for climate change damages.)
Problem 2: The IPCC has "cooked" the global fossil fuel reduction books. They grossly lowered the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations far lower than they should be. The IPPC did this by including carbon reduction calculations from an unproven and non-existent carbon removal technology into their current fossil fuel reduction calculations. The IPCC theorized (and hoped) that by 2050, this new technology would exist, remove millions of gigatons of carbon from the atmosphere, and miraculously save humanity at the last minute.
This massive "wishing for a miracle" error makes the global public believe we are making progress and are safe when we are in grave danger. We estimate that this insane "backing-in" of unrealized future fuel reduction calculations from mid-century non-existent technology into today's reduction calculations makes the IPCC's current fossil fuel reduction targets underestimated by about 30-60%.
Problem 3: All current IPCC climate predictions have a critical and massive climate sensitivity error. This error alone will reduce the accuracy of their climate summary reports by 30-60% or more. This may be one of the most dangerous and damaging IPCC errors. The IPCC has been using a constant for the climate sensitivity in all calculations for decades, as 3. Almost all equations for calculating consequence severity, time frames, and solutions are based on climate sensitivity calculations, and climate sensitivity calculations rely on having the climate sensitivity constant.
Unfortunately, the real climate sensitivity constant is not 3, but probably about 4.5 to 6. Basic math says that when any equation uses a constant that is incorrect (a three that should be 4.5 or six), also means that the equation results will be incorrect. For example, if the climate sensitivity is actually 4.5 and they were using 3, you would have a 66% error in the calculations using three instead of 4.5. If the real current climate sensitivity is actually six and not three you would have a 100% error in the calculations.
All of the needed climate sensitivity science is in the articles below:
1. Here is our older article on the climate sensitivity problem. It helps explain, with many illustrations, why this error is so critical to our climate change future.
2. For James Hansen's newest article on climate sensitivity problems, click here. (James Hansen is a world-famous former NASA climate scientist.)
3. For our recent blog article discussing the importance of this significant climate sensitivity calculation problem, click here.
Problem 4: The IPCC has a horrific "Perfect Day" problem with its computer climate modeling. This "Perfect Day" modeling problem alone will significantly lower the accuracy of the IPCC's consequence predictions, timetables, and fossil fuel reduction targets by 30% to as much as 60% or more. (Please see this detailed article on the Climageddon Feedback loop scenario, which describes in detail what is almost totally excluded in current climate change computer modeling and risk analysis, and the Perfect Day computer modeling.)
Problem 5: The IPCC's calculations for how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally to prevent mass extinction did not include reduction calculations for preventing the effects of crossing most critical climate tipping points and feedback loops. The IPCC repeatedly fails to adjust and adequately compensate for its gross failure to include all known climate tipping points and feedback loops in its calculations for its climate consequence predictions and targets for correct global fossil fuel reduction targets. (Please see this detailed article on the Climageddon Feedback loop scenario, which describes in detail what is almost totally excluded in current climate change computer modeling and risk analysis, and the Perfect Day computer modeling.)
This error alone could reduce the accuracy of their climate summary reports by 30-60% or more.
Problem 6: The IPCC promotes a net-zero national pledge program based on the wrong global fossil fuel reduction amounts. Furthermore, this net-zero pledge program has little hope of success despite these wrong global fossil fuel reduction targets.
Problem 7: The IPCC's calculations for quantifying methane's short and long-term effects on global warming are also seriously underestimated and flawed. Methane is about 80 times more potent than carbon in increasing global atmospheric temperatures over the first three years.
The IPCC does not adequately include the effects of these three-year methane surges in its predictions. It also fails to predict rising methane levels from natural and artificial sources sufficiently, nor does it capture all of the consequences of the surge of new methane and total methane in the atmosphere. Failing to include all methane effects on global heating adequately could reduce the accuracy of IPCC climate summary reports by as much as 10-30%.
Problem 8: The IPCC does not adequately include the critical and increasing decline in carbon sinks in its current computer modeling. The condition of our global carbon sinks is vital to our future survival. As global heating rises, the oceans, soils, and forests remove less carbon from the atmosphere. But, when they reach their internal tipping points, the oceans, soils, and forests reverse the good they were doing and release the carbon they have removed and stored back into the atmosphere.
What the above means or implies:
1. Because of the cumulative effect of all of the IPCC's underestimation, calculation problems, political interference, or other errors, the IPCC's climate summary reports can no longer be relied upon to present real global heating threats and risk levels. They are generally between 30 and 60% incorrect or under their estimated!
2. The IPCC has repeatedly failed to adequately acknowledge these reliability problems and failures (to include all known climate tipping points, feedback loops, diminishing carbon sinks, and the other serious error factors) in its climate consequence severity and timeframe predictions and its targets for correct global fossil fuel reductions.
3. Consequently, the IPCC has repeatedly failed to adjust for or adequately compensate for underestimation, calculation problems, or other errors in its climate summary reports, which are used worldwide to plan remedial strategies and determine current climate catastrophe risk levels.
4. While the above eight problems do not bring up the global fossil fuel cartels' disinformation, perverse lobbying, and other dirty tricks, the cartel is the invisible hand fueling, feeding, and supporting directly or indirectly all of the major reasons why humanity has no idea of the real extinction danger it now faces from accelerating climate change.
Because of the above, the IPCC underestimated the severity of the consequences, and the timeframe predictions, and its global fossil fuel targets should not be relied upon without discounting them by at least 30-60% or more.
Additionally, if you do not understand the role of carbon in the atmosphere or how burning fossil fuels causes greenhouse gases and rising temperatures, click here for a quick illustration of the process. If you do not understand how we arrive at our current state of runaway global heating, click here.
At the end of this disruptive article, you will also find:
a. a link to a comprehensive four-part plan for what you can do to help fix and manage the many consequences of runaway global heating. And,
b. a link to the many surprising benefits you will experience as we work toward resolving the great challenge, opportunity, and evolutionary adventure of fixing runaway global heating.
Problem 9: Many more issues are preventing a climate change solution. About 30 are covered in this article.
Problem 10: There are systemic problems that cause climate change so deeply that they are seldom discussed among climate researchers. Click here to review the deepest, least discussed problems causing the climate change emergency.
The following are the section titles in this article:
1. How did we ever get in this mess?
2. The IPCC has many reliability problems and errors in calculation, estimation, analysis, and interpretation.
3. Why the IPCC’s runaway global heating underestimation problem is critical to you, your business, and your nation’s future.
4. Conflicts of interest and the IPCC’s gross underestimation problem.
5. Our challenge to any climate scientist or climate researcher.
6. Additional reasons for our 60 years of failure in reducing fossil fuel use and runaway global heating.
7. The public has been grossly and systemically misinformed about the actual condition of the runaway global heating extinction emergency.
8. Illustrating the IPCC's underestimation.
9. What can we do to fix this IPCC nightmare?
10. If not the IPCC, who is most qualified to do needed future climate and global heating research and predictions?
11. From what you have read, do you feel deceived by the IPCC regarding these key issues?
12. Summary.
13. The essential positive perspective on the above disruptive runaway global heating and climate change news.
14. Endnotes.
In this article, you will learn more about how and why the many grossly underestimated and false global fossil fuel reduction targets, deadlines, and illusionary net-zero pledges have been foisted upon the public. This article will disclose the world's dangerous global fossil fuel reduction deception game.
This deception game is forwarded by fossil fuel-related corporations, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), fossil fuel-dependent nations, and many governments, corporations, and media organizations.
Below, you will learn how underestimated global heating consequences and timeframes are used to create false global fossil fuel reduction calculations and a false sense of public safety. These same dangerous underestimations will prevent us from achieving the survival-critical, accurate 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.
At this point, you may be asking yourself why this fossil fuel cartel-driven climate change facts deception is happening. The answer is simple. The global fossil fuel cartel's influence behind the censorship and underestimation of critical climate change facts by our governments, the UN, and our media has been carefully designed by the cartel to be all but invisible to the general public. It was designed to be invisible to give the world's citizens a false sense of climate change safety and security.
The cartel's creation of this climate change illusion falsely seeks to convince us that:
a. the world is currently making adequate climate progress,
b. we are safe and secure from climate extinction and
c. the worst possible climate consequences are many, many decades away.
This is done to keep almost all of us climate-blind and climate-ignorant. Additionally, suppose you have blindly believed the massive climate change illusion that the cartel is orchestrating behind the curtain. In that case, you will never demand that your governments correctly reduce global fossil fuel usage to save what could be left of humanity's population after 2050.
If you did awaken from this cleverly created cartel illusion and got our governments to act, it would immediately and drastically lower the obscene profits of the cartel. And that is precisely what the global fossil fuel cartel never wants to allow to happen.
After completing this article, we invite you to decide for yourself if there is a fossil fuel industry conspiracy working with the IPCC resulting in the public being intentionally deceived about:
1. the real global fossil fuel reductions needed to save us in time. And,
2. how bad runaway global heating consequences will get and how soon they will arrive.
Understanding whether there is deception by the IPCC administrators is critical because using incorrect global fossil fuel reduction targets and consequence timeframes will lead to about half of humanity unavoidably going extinct and massive animal and other biological extinction by mid-century.
Finally, in this article, you will discover that many false hopes that the public currently holds about our runaway global heating future are partly because of the IPCC's grossly underestimated consequences timeframes [described below.
But, before you discover why and how our governmental inaction and ineffective action got us into this climate nightmare, it is helpful to honestly review the painful and shocking results of this failure of our governments.
(Special note: A new major climate change study has been released, dramatically increasing the IPCC's serious underestimation and error problems. Please see this shocking new climate research article, which explains why we had to increase our previous underestimation calculation from 20-40% to 30-60%. (We are still updating all our pages with the "from 20-40% to 30-60% IPCC summary reports new underestimation factor.)
There is no better measure of the last sixty years of our government's success or failure in reducing global warming than the amount of carbon going into our atmosphere. This is because more carbon entering the atmosphere directly causes the average global temperature to rise.
Please take a look at the atmospheric carbon graph below.
As you can see, we are adding more carbon into the atmosphere from the global burning of fossil fuels each year. According to the immutable laws of physics, this means ever-rising temperatures will resolutely follow every rise in atmospheric carbon.
But, worse yet, we are also adding more carbon to the atmosphere at faster and faster rates! (The dotted line in the graph above is getting steeper and increasing incrementally each year. This steepening line on the chart indicates we are adding more carbon to the atmosphere at faster and faster rates.)
To make our government's utter failure even more apparent:
In the 1960s, we only added about 0.5 carbon parts per million (ppm) to the atmosphere each year.
In the 1970s, we added about 1.3 carbon ppm per year.
In the 1980s and 1990s, we added about 1.5 carbon ppm per year.
In the 2000s, we added about 2.0 carbon ppm per year.
In the 2010s, we added about 2.4 carbon ppm per year.
Over the 2020s, we have added about 2.7 carbon ppm per year. And,
We now add about three carbon ppm (or more) each year.
The graph below is essential because it illuminates on its right side how we have shockingly increased our annual rate of atmospheric carbon pollution by almost six times (if you also include what has happened in the 2020s).
Our rapid global annual carbon increase above also means that we have failed to reduce global fossil fuel consumption for over six decades and have radically increased our atmosphere's yearly fossil fuel pollution!
The graph below also painfully shows the annual increases in carbon (CO2) entering our atmosphere and our global governments' utter failure to reduce global fossil fuel use over the last six decades. (The graph measures gigatons of carbon pollution entering our atmosphere. A gigaton is 1,000,000,000 tonnes.)
This is the state of our past global fossil fuel reduction efforts, and you will not hear many publicly speaking this horrible truth.
We must now face the reality that we have utterly failed to control the accelerating global warming nightmare. This failure is despite the many international conferences, treaties, reduction agreements, warnings, new climate policies, new climate laws, and the actions of thousands of global NGOs and environmental groups that have been educating for decades about the extinction dangers of accelerating global warming.
This authentic, gigantic, and well-hidden failure exists despite all contrary media or other climate reporting by those with hidden or vested financial interests in the fossil fuel industry.
Look again above at science's most accurate carbon measurement of our total reductions in global fossil fuel use, and you will see the precise measure of our government's effectiveness in reducing escalating global heating. We have unequivocally failed to manage humanity's single greatest short-term threat (other than immediate global thermo-nuclear war.)
We will not be safe from runaway global warming and extinction until our governments get atmospheric carbon levels again at or below the carbon 350 ppm level.
Yes, this vast and continuous governmental climate management failure is tough to deal with, but to begin taking the correct climate path out of this mess, one must know honestly from where they are starting. An informed society that does not know where it currently is with its climate management progress will also not have the necessary urgency or focus to fix it.
Just in case you still believe your governments have been protecting you from the accelerating consequences of global warming caused by burning more fossil fuels, here is a graph showing all three major fossil fuel-related greenhouse gases: carbon (CO2), methane (CH4), and Nitrogen Oxide (N2O).
You are now prepared to explore how and why our governments have completely failed us in managing the climate change nightmare.
There is an old saying: “You can not reach your desired goal unless you know where you are starting from and can see the barriers in the way."
Before exploring the runaway global heating solutions in the free Job One Plan, it is wise to examine how we have squandered 60 years of valid warnings and put ourselves into this untenable global warming extinction emergency. This way, we will have a better opportunity to set the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets, manage runaway global warming as best we can, and avoid the same mistakes.
We have ignored over 60 years of valid warnings about the 20 major consequences of escalating global warming for many reasons. In addition to the disinformation programs of the fossil fuel industry, a key reason is that the recognized world authority on global warming (the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC) has failed to inform us honestly about the real risks and urgency of our climate emergency. (1)
Before discussing the numerous problems with the IPCC’s runaway global heating information and consequence prediction UN-reliability, it is necessary to frame the challenge to the IPCC’s reports appropriately. In the criticisms below, we are not in any way criticizing the thousands of individual and dedicated climate scientists, many of whom, at their own expense, provide uncensored, accurate, and up-to-date runaway global heating research to the IPCC’s high-level bureaucrats.
However, those IPCC bureaucrats are the individuals who, through a highly constrained and politically manipulated administrative process, analyze, interpret, and then create the final climate summary reports and predictions.
Please also consider becoming an annual member by clicking here and checking out the wonderful information and benefits you will receive. We guarantee you will get more than you receive when you become a proud funder of our 100% publicly-funded not-for-profit climate change think tank.
In their normal 5-7 year climate update reports and predictions for politicians and policymakers, the IPCC has a repeated history of significantly underestimating how much of a problem runaway global heating could become and its time frames. (3) Before expanding upon the IPCC’s climate data underestimation problem, it is also essential to understand how they create their 5-7-year global heating and prediction scenario updates for the world’s politicians and policymakers.
Many individuals are surprised to learn that the IPCC does not conduct original global warming research. Working as unpaid volunteers, thousands of scientists from around the globe sift through the most current scientific literature on global warming and the climate. After completing this review, these unpaid scientists identify trends, write a draft report, and submit it to the IPCC.
Next, the IPCC reviews the research submitted by these scientists. This typically takes five to seven years to complete. Then, in a tediously slow and bureaucratic process, the IPCC creates comprehensive reports and assessments, including global warming prediction scenarios. In the near last step, other scientists once again review and revise the assembled draft as needed.
Finally, a summary for national politicians and policymakers is written, condensing the science even further. This new and final summary report is then subjected to a line-by-line review and possible revision by non-scientist national representatives from more than 100 world governments—all of whom must approve the final summary document before it is signed and presented to the public.
Now that you understand the process for how the IPCC creates its reports, the following will not seem so surprising. A growing number of studies (referenced elsewhere) claim that across two decades and thousands of pages of IPCC climate reports, the IPCC has consistently understated the rate and intensity of runaway global heating and the danger it represents. (4)
Since the IPCC 2007 assessment, these studies have shown that the speed and ferocity at which the climate is destabilizing are at the extreme edge of, or are outpacing, IPCC projections on many fronts, including temperature rise, carbon emissions, sea-level rise, continental ice-sheet melt, Arctic sea ice decline, ocean acidification, and thawing tundra.
One glaring example of IPCC underestimation is the IPCC’s previous 2007 report (5) that concluded the Arctic would not lose its summer ice before 2070 at the earliest. But the ice pack has shrunk far faster than any scenario IPCC scientists felt politicians and policymakers should consider. A few years after that report, a new study predicted that by 2016-2020, the Arctic's Northwest Passage would be completely ice-free during the summers. This means that in 2007, the IPCC was off by an incredible 50-54 years on a key climate prediction over an estimation prediction period of only 63 years!
Another glaring example of the dangerous IPCC underestimation problem surfaced from James Hansen, the former NASA scientist who initially warned the world about the dangers of runaway global heating nearly 40 years ago. Hansen's new study says sea levels could rise by as much as 10 feet (3 meters) by 2050. The IPCC has repeatedly and consistently predicted that sea levels should rise only 3 feet (0.9 meters) by 2100. That's a 60-70% underestimation by the IPCC occurring 50 years earlier!
Over its history, the IPCC’s global warming consequence and timetable scenario predictions are regularly underestimated by anywhere from 30 to 60%.
All underestimation by the IPCC is so dangerous to the future of humanity and to resolving the runaway global heating extinction emergency:
1. First, the organization is treated as the most recognized authority on global warming. It advises national politicians and policymakers on the most relevant and accurate climate science so they can make the necessary laws and policy changes to keep us safe.
2. Next, the IPCC’s overly conservative reading and underestimation problems mean that national governments, businesses, and the public will be grossly unprepared and blindsided by the more rapid onset of higher flooding, extreme storms, drought, and other runaway global heating impacts and consequences far beyond what they are currently prepared for. (6) Worse yet, a society blind to the full range and speed of potential runaway global heating outcomes can remain unconscious of or apathetic to the growing emergency, causing them to push the hard but necessary runaway global heating reduction decisions farther and farther off into the future.
3. The most significant loss caused by IPCC’s gross underestimation problem is that it quells, if not removes, the appropriate sense of urgency essential to motivating the world's people to demand its nations deal with escalating runaway global heating’s present and future threats. For example, what if the global warming disasters projected by the IPCC to start arriving in 2060-2080 begin in 2030-2040? If that happens, we won’t be prepared for the accurate scale, severity, and frequency of the disasters to come, and we will be leading ourselves closer to near-total extinction without even knowing it.
4. The above three problems are not the only problems with the IPCC and its gross underestimation issues. Please see the sections and links below to the many other IPCC errors and distortions that make the IPCC's summary report unreliable for managing the runaway global heating extinction emergency. (Click here to learn why only near-total extinction and not total extinction is our most likely outcome if we fail to make the 2025 required global fossil fuel reduction targets.)
In summary, the current fossil fuel reduction gross underestimation factor is a powerful and dominant barrier standing in the way of humanity:
1. understanding the actual severity of the coming runaway global heating consequences,
2. understanding the actual urgency of the runaway global heating extinction emergency and
3. eventually resolving the global warming extinction emergency.
Click here if you are a victim of climate change damage or loss and want financial and other forms of restitution for the damages you have suffered.
Because the IPCC's final summary report is subjected to a line-by-line review/revision by representatives from more than 100 world governments, all of whom must individually approve and sign off on the final summary document before it is presented to the public, it is only reasonable to consider that inherent national conflicts of interest will also act to water down, delay, or delete those sections of each global warming report that directly and significantly impact the overall military, security, economics, or other key well-being factors of the sign-off nation.
For example, countries like Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Russia, the United States, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Iran have huge portions of their annual gross domestic product (GDP) dependent upon producing and/or exporting fossil fuels. If there were a sudden and significant mandated reduction in the use of global fossil fuel, some of these countries, particularly the ones with large national debts or without large financial reserves like Russia, Venezuela, the United States, Iraq, and Iran, could plunge into rapid economic decline and in some cases, possibly even social and political unrest or collapse. (7) Unless something shifts radically, these serious conflicts of interest in sign-off nations will be a continuous source of watered-down or missing key facts.
We actively challenge any climate scientist or researcher to prove our analysis of IPCC climate summary reports wrong, particularly regarding the IPCC's serious errors, underestimations, and cooked books in their summary reports.
Please see our five IPCC problem-specific items and links below for the most serious errors, underestimations, cooked books issues, and other IPCC climate change forecast reliability problems.
To accept our IPCC gross underestimation and errors challenge, it is necessary to read ALL of the IPCC's different problem links below. When you are done, we doubt any serious climate researcher would continue to rely on the IPCC's summary climate reports without severely discounting or questioning those IPCC summary facts.
Here are the big eight IPCC gross underestimation contributory factors and errors creating a consistent 30- 60% underestimation of climate change consequence severity or timelines. Be sure to go to the linked part of each item for a full description of each issue:
1. Click here to see precisely how the IPCC literally "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations far lower than they should be by including unproven and non-existent “magical carbon-sucking unicorn" technology into their critical net zero by date projections.
This corruption and falsification of the global carbon reduction calculations allowed the major fossil fuel-producing nations and fossil-fuel industries to continue to do "business as usual."
2. Click here to see the latest 2022 IPCC climate change summary critical climate sensitivity error. Because of this ongoing climate sensitivity error, the IPCC's newest climate consequence predictions, timeframes, and remedial action information will be underestimated by as much as 60% or more. (This 60% does not include the effect of the other IPCC errors described in the links in this section.)
3. Click here to see a new study showing that the IPCC does not include many critical climate system factors in its computer climate modeling. Those missing factors equal wrong and distorted results. This Feb 2022 paper strongly refutes the absurd IPCC claim that the Arctic sea ice melt-decline is reversible. It is not reversible, and that is a monster problem for humanity's weather, seasonal climate, and future!
4. Click here to see the IPCC's Perfect Day problem with its computer climate modeling. This alone will significantly lower the accuracy of the IPCC's consequence predictions, timetables, and fossil fuel reduction remedies, potentially affecting IPCC predictions by 30-60%.
Be sure also to read this essential explanation of the Climageddon Feedback Loop. It describes what 90% of climate change researchers still do not fully understand or account for in their forecasts and projections. The Climageddon Feedback Loop is an even more detailed explanation of the perfect day problem with critical specifics that need to be corrected for our future survival.
5. Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points and feedback loops almost entirely excluded from the IPCC calculations for how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. (Please see this detailed article on the Climageddon Feedback loop scenario, which describes in detail what is almost totally excluded in current climate change computer modeling and risk analysis and the Perfect Day computer modeling.)
Again, be sure also to read this essential explanation of the Climageddon Feedback Loop. It describes what 90% of climate change researchers still do not fully understand or account for in their forecasts and projections. The Climageddon Feedback Loop is an even more detailed explanation of the tipping point and feedback loop problem with critical specifics that need to be corrected for our future survival.
6. The IPCC has been selling a net-zero pledge program that can not and will not save us in time from near-total extinction. It does this because it somehow still can't tell the world, even that at this point, and after 60 years of ignoring warnings and not reducing fossil fuel use when the reductions could have been easier and gradual, that we must now reduce total global fossil fuel use close to 75% by 2025 or we will lose most of humanity.
Effectively and radically reducing global fossil fuel use in all developed countries by 2025 to meet the 2025 targets is not the ineffective and deceptive net-zero emissions by 2030, 2040, 2050, or 2060 target pledges you hear all over the media and from our governments. These net-zero emission schemes cannot scale up fast enough to save us from mass to near-total extinction.
Please see this page for the science behind why these future net-zero emission IPCC-derived pledges are illusions that steal the absolute urgency of this emergency from the minds of the world's population and will not work in time to save humanity. Discover why you and your children will pay a very steep price for the false and illusionary IPCC net-zero runaway global heating solution and these currently mostly impotent national pledges.
7. Click here to see the IPCC's atmospheric methane calculation problems. This, again, dramatically reduces the reliability and usefulness of the IPCC's climate prediction and remedy work.
After you have read the above link, here are a few additional underestimations and errors in the IPCC's methane calculations:
1. Methane is increasing very fast, and it is not all animal agriculture or fossil fuels. However, none of the current fossil fuel reduction targets include calculations of the many significant sources of amplifying methane feedbacks nor a decline in natural carbon sinks.
2. Today, all global wetlands are pouring out feedback methane emissions. Tropical forests (Amazon and central Africa) also pour out CO2, reducing their land carbon sink abilities. The Oceans are also not included in IPCC projections except to assume incorrectly that the ocean as a carbon sink will continue taking in carbon as it is currently.
3. The IPCC still uses the policy deferred methane global warming potential (GWP) of 25X CO2 over 100 years. The IPCC gives a 20-year methane GWP of 86 but uses it. Methane emissions last 10-15 years. Because methane is constantly emitted, the period that the IPCC should use is methane GWP 100.
8: The IPCC also does not adequately include the critical and increasing decline in carbon sinks in its current computer modeling. The condition of our global carbon sinks is vital to our future survival.
As global warming rises, the oceans, soils, and forests remove less carbon from the atmosphere. But when they reach their internal tipping points, they reverse the good they were doing and start releasing the carbon they have removed and stored back into the atmosphere.
Click here to see the four reasons the IPCC's 33+ global climate conferences have failed to produce results or legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets. To learn more about these IPCC climate conference failures, click here or the image below. The article starts with the 2021 COP26 conference in Glasgow, Scotland.
1. The world's population has been subjected to a massive fossil fuel industry-sponsored disinformation and misinformation program. It makes the cigarette companies’ former disinformation and misinformation programs telling the public their products would not cause any harm to look like child's play.
Billions of dollars have been spent through the media, bogus think tanks, and bogus studies to present "evidence" that runaway global heating is not real, or that any real harm won't show up until after 2100, or a host of other falsehoods that serve a single purpose. Their intent is to create doubt about the legitimacy of the problem, which paralyzes necessary action and removes any urgency toward solving the problem. If you'd like to see how far the fossil fuel companies will go to stop or slow the real fossil fuel usage reductions we need to make, click here.
2. Our cost-to-benefit studies do not account for the cost of runaway global heating inaction. Its latest report, Fatal Calculations, takes aim at economists for failing to adequately account for the costs of inaction in their models, which in turn has been used by politicians to delay action.
“Despite the escalating climate disasters globally, not least our fires, this preoccupation with the cost of action — and a blind eye turned to overwhelming future damage — remains the dominant thinking within politics, business, and finance,” the Breakthrough report found.
“Because climate change is now an existential threat to human society, risk management and the calculation of potential future damages must pay disproportionate attention to the high-end, extreme possibilities, rather than focus on middle-of-the-spectrum probabilities.”
In a discussion paper released in May, titled COVID-19 climate lessons, Breakthrough draws parallels between climate change and the lack of preparedness for the pandemic.
“The world is sleepwalking towards disaster. The UN climate science and policymaking institutions are not fit-for-purpose and have never examined or reported on the existential risks,” the paper reads.
“There are no national or global processes to ensure that such risk assessments are undertaken and are efficacious. The World Economic Forum reports on high-end global risks, including climate disruption, once a year, and then everybody goes back to ignoring the real risks.”
We strongly recommend watching this video by Peter Carter (an advisor to Job One). It covers the history of the IPCC, its many conferences, and global fossil fuel reduction failures.
3. Here are 30 + additional and compelling contributing reasons for why we have failed to resolve the runaway global heating crisis over the last 60 years, but a major reason lies within the data we've been given and the organization trusted to give us that data. These additional reasons are fully discussed on this page.
4. Click here for the very deepest, seldom discussed reasons for our change emergency, which has not been resolved for over 60 years.
5. Climate change researchers worldwide have failed to learn and apply the latest analysis technology breakthroughs. Dialectical Metasystemic Thinking is this new methodology for analyzing complex adaptive systems like the climate.
This is a major flaw in current climate change analysis and research because current-level rational, analytical methodologies are grossly insufficient to compensate for the high complexity found in complex adaptive systems like the climate, the economy, political systems, ecological systems, etc.
Dialectical Metasystemic Thinking is very, very challenging to learn. Still, it allows the researcher or analyst to see any single moment in transition within the climate system or its sub-systems from 28 unique perspectives that radically change the researcher's understanding of the interconnections, interdependencies, relationships, contexts, processes, and transformations occurring within the complex adaptive systems of the climate system and its subsystems.
Only one organization (Job One for Humanity) has climate researchers and analysts trained in this new significant data analysis methodology. Click here to learn more about this breakthrough new methodology called Dialectical Metasystemic Thinking.
The general public has no idea how bad it will get or how soon that will happen. The public also has no idea what the real global fossil fuel reduction targets must be, and they do not fully realize they are already unsafe and at extreme climate extinction risk.
The unfortunate, widespread, and gross misinformation given to the public about how bad runaway global heating is currently will become and that it is now almost out of control has occurred in significant part because of:
The 60-year continuous and well-funded disinformation program of the fossil fuel industry.
Major miscalculations, errors, and gross underestimations from the IPCC, the world’s leading global warming authority, by about 30-60% or more concerning how fast and severe the consequences of runaway global heating will be.
Continuously failing to slow or reverse runaway global heating effectively. This is despite 60 years of loud and detailed warnings by credible climate scientists, verified scientific research, and 26 international conferences on how to solve the runaway global heating crisis.
We have crossed too many known and unknown important runaway global heating tipping points over the last 30+ years within our climate systems and subsystems that the public still does not know about. This tipping point crossing process invariably locks us into crossing even more dangerous known and unknown runaway global heating tipping points at faster and faster rates, which once again spikes up average global temperature far beyond what has been predicted by our global warming authorities. After we hit carbon 500 ppm, which is currently inescapable, we will hit carbon 600 ppm, which will most probably trigger a massive release of methane from the methane clathrate crystals found on the coastal ocean shelves, and that will trigger another enormous temperature increase and the end of civilization in a massive extinction event, exactly as it has happened before.
Unconscionable groupthink illusions and delusions used and held by our global warming authorities at the Climate Conferences concerning possibilities of currently nonexistent atmospheric carbon removal and other new technologies, which may or may not be discovered and successfully implemented until sometime after 2050!
The complexity of the global climate: the massive number of interconnections, interactions, interdependencies, tipping points, and nonlinear reactions within the climate's many complex adaptive systems and subsystems, making the big picture crisis of falling into irreversible runaway global heating invisible to all but a few scientists and prominent data analysts capable of processing such massive data complexity.
We are now trapped by the reality of the minimum time needed to convert all global fossil fuel energy generation systems into green energy generation systems (currently over 100 years and probably much more). This means carbon in the atmosphere will reach carbon 500 ppm, where all ice and glaciers will begin and continue melting.
(The graphs below will help you visualize what the IPCC gross underestimation errors mean in various time frames and scenarios.)
The previously mentioned underestimation problems with the IPCC are not even its worst runaway global heating data integrity problem. It also has a problem with its runaway global heating tipping point and climate feedback education and disclosure scenarios.
To fully appreciate how critical that fatal flaw is, it is necessary to review a bit of basic logic. There is a principle in logic that if all or a significant part of the foundational premise upon which you build a theory or solution is insufficient or false, the consequent theory or solution created will also be deficient or false either in total or to a significant degree.
Keep this principle of logic in mind as there is a giant data analysis fatal flaw in the premise upon which the IPCC builds its global warming risk analysis for its global warming consequence prediction scenarios and timetables. To many individuals who are well-informed about global warming, this lack of cognizance by the IPCC about this second tipping point and climate feedback issue is seen as the one fatal flaw that will most quickly force us unknowingly into the later phases of the new Climageddon Scenario global warming prediction model.
Let’s review the four newest runaway global heating prediction scenarios provided in 2014 by the IPCC to the world’s politicians and policymakers. It will provide foundational evidence for the biggest flaw in the IPCC’s global warming risk analysis process and consequence prediction scenarios.
The following four IPCC global warming prediction scenarios are based on the assumption that we have no major climate system surprises, such as going over more global warming tipping points. Those predictions are:
Scenario One: Global warming will increase by only 2° Celsius (3.6° degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100, according to the most optimistic projections.
Scenario Two: According to a more likely projection, global warming will increase by 3° Celsius by 2100 (5.4° degrees Fahrenheit).
Scenario Three: According to the less optimistic IPCC projections, global warming will only increase by 4° Celsius by 2100 (7.2° degrees Fahrenheit).
Scenario Four: At the least optimistic of IPCC projections, global warming is a 6° or more Celsius increase by 2100 (10.8°+ degrees Fahrenheit).
This graph shows four different trajectories for greenhouse gas concentrations. These representative concentration pathways (RCPs) show four potential climate futures. The lowest pathway, RCP2.6 (the bold blue line), shows an average global temperature increase of 1° Celsius. The highest pathway, RCP8.5, shows an average rise of 2.0° to 3.7° Celsius. Source: IPCC, 2013, FAQ 12.1, Figure 1. (8)
From each of the four IPCC prediction scenarios, what is missing and what has been unwisely omitted is the essential inclusion of tipping point calculations. The IPCC’s four prediction scenarios assume we will never go over any global warming tipping points in any of the climate’s major or minor systems or subsystems.
Planning for everything to go perfectly is the perfect plan for failure!
In effect, what the IPCC has done is to all but remove or ignore high-impact, often unrecoverable global warming, climate, human, and biological system tipping point variables that should have been included in an accurate and complete risk spectrum analysis. Without including and considering these critical high-impact tipping point consequence events in their master risk analysis, the IPCC has not met the minimum essential data inclusion threshold necessary to create a valid and complete global warming risk analysis that could be used to properly inform our politicians and policymakers, as well as the general public, of all real and significant current and future risks and timetables their nations and people face.
Correcting the underestimation in the current IPCC future average global temperature projections
It is helpful to update the IPCC’s four most recent 2014 average global temperature and time frame predictions (listed previously) while compensating for their regular underestimations of about 25-40%. Please remember that the IPCC’s 2014 prediction scenarios do not include any calculations or adjustments for crossing more global warming tipping points or feedback loops during their prediction scenario periods.
Here is what the IPCC’s temperature and arrival date estimates might look like if their underestimation bias were corrected:
IPCC Scenario 1, their most optimistic projection, says we will have only a 2° Celsius increase by 2100 (3.6° Fahrenheit). (Please note that in all four graphs below, CS stands for Climageddon Scenario, and the 25% and 40% are underestimation correction levels for the 4 IPCC prediction levels.)
At the 25% underestimation level, we will reach 2.5° Celsius (4.5° Fahrenheit) about 21 years sooner than they predict will occur—at about 2079. This puts us in the latter part of Phase 1 of the Climageddon Scenario or, more likely, at the beginning of Phase 2.
At the 40% underestimation level, we will reach 2.9° Celsius (5.2°+ Fahrenheit) roughly 34 years sooner than they predict—at about 2066. This puts us somewhere within Phase 2 of the Climageddon Scenario.
In IPCC Scenario 2, their more likely projection is that we will have only a 3° Celsius increase of 2100 (5.4°Fahrenheit).
At the 25% underestimation level, this means we will reach 3.5° Celsius (6.9° Fahrenheit) about 21 years sooner than they predict—in about 2079. This puts us in or near Phase 3 of the Climageddon Scenario.
At the 40% underestimation level, we will reach 4.2° Celsius (7.5° Fahrenheit) about 34 years sooner than they predict—in about 2066. This puts us in or near Phase 4 of the Climageddon Scenario.
In IPCC Scenario 3, their less optimistic projection, they say we will have only a 4° Celsius increase by 2100 (7.2°+ Fahrenheit).
At the 25% underestimation level, we will reach 5° Celsius (about 9° Fahrenheit) 21 years sooner than they predict—at about 2079. This puts us in or near the chaos and collapse of Phase 5 of the Climageddon Scenario.
At the 40% underestimation level, we will reach 5.6° Celsius (10° Fahrenheit) 34 years sooner than they predict—at about 2066. This also puts us in or closer to phase 5 of the Climageddon Scenario.
IPCC Scenario 4, their least optimistic projection, says we will have only a 6° Celsius or more increase in average global temperature by 2100 (10.8°+ Fahrenheit). A 6° Celsius increase in average global temperature would end most human life as we know it.
At the 25% underestimation level, we will reach 7.8° Celsius (about 13.5° Fahrenheit) at about 2079. This will put us well into Phase 5 of the Climageddon Scenario.
At the 40% underestimation level, we will reach 8.4° Celsius (about 15° Fahrenheit) —at about 2066. This could put us in Phase 5 of the Climageddon Scenario faster than anyone is ready.
(Please note: In the four corrected IPCC graphs above, we use recalculated temperature estimates to extrapolate approximate placement positions for the graph’s new projected timelines. Rather than show a particular recalculated temperature's precise new time frames, these four graphs illustrate relative differences from the IPCC’s predicted temperatures and time frames. These four graphs also show how unanticipated higher temperatures will dramatically accelerate consequence arrival times and increase consequence severity. It is difficult to precisely recalculate new timeframes with temperature calculations only because there is always a delay in the actual time it takes to get to higher temperatures because of inertia and momentum factors in climate systems and subsystems.)
The IPCC’s 20-40 % underestimation and non-existent carbon capture technology calculations present an absolute nightmare for anyone trying to do long-term planning, whether personal, business, local, regional, or national. When we consider the IPCC's underestimation problems and bogus carbon capture calculations and come up with new temperature and timetable predictions, it appears any mid-term to long-term future planning based on the IPCC's predictions will put us in a world of hurt.
When we reach 5 to 6° Celsius (9-10.8° Fahrenheit), it will be the end of the world as we know it, and it will not be far off in the future. When you factor in crossing more runaway global heating tipping points (which is highly probable and completely absent from the IPCC predictions, our world is in grave peril, not 40 or 80 years from now, but right now and over the next 20-40 years.
It is illogical beyond all comprehension to assign full responsibility for evaluating and predicting the single greatest security threat of the 21st century to a group of volunteer and underfunded climate scientists with the best intentions who submit their research to a bureaucratic and underfunded United Nations agency. But who should be doing this work?
The IPCC is not doing its job. The world's current leading authority on global warming is no longer the appropriate agent we can trust to manage the research, analysis, and planning necessary to save us from the escalating runaway global heating extinction emergency. The danger is so great and imminent that we can’t keep doing the same thing repeatedly, expecting a different result.
We have no other rational choice but to bypass any existing failed authorities, structures, and processes that have not worked and are not working. That is the only way we will have any honest hope of handling the runaway global heating extinction emergency.
Click here to read all about who should replace the IPCC and the many reasons why these organizations will be far, far better at doing the needed climate and global heating research and projections and protecting the future of humanity.
(Special breaking research update: Ongoing fossil fuel cartel hidden influence has continued to forward and support significantly underestimating the climate calculation-critical, climate sensitivity constant. (If you do not understand the central role of this absolutely critical climate change calculation constant, click here.)
According to a new 2023 study, the correct climate sensitivity constant is 4.8 degrees Celsius, not the IPCC's 3 degrees Celsius constant used by the IPCC over the last 30-plus years in almost all critical climate change calculations. The new study is called Global Warming in the Pipeline. It is by James Hansen et al. (James Hansen was the climate scientist at NASA and was primarily responsible for bringing the climate change emergency globally into the public mind).
This new and correct 4.8 degrees Celsius climate sensitivity constant amount confirms climate consequences will be sooner and worse and far beyond what we are being publicly told. This 4.8 degrees Celsius corrected climate sensitivity constant also implies that we are already in a hidden worst-case climate change scenario for which humanity is not even remotely prepared.
There are so many inaccuracies and underestimation problems within the IPCC climate summary reports that a rational individual would be justified in wondering if:
1. Are the IPCC's senior administrators super-incompetent, or have they been entirely compromised by United Nations political in-fighting? Or,
2. Are the IPCC's senior administrators secretly receiving payoffs from the fossil fuel industry representatives? Or,
3. Is there a conscious and intentional conspiracy by various interests to systemically deceive the general public regarding the current and future levels of safety and security relating to the real threats and timeframes of the runaway global heating extinction emergency? Or,
4. Are more than one of the above true?
Over decades, there have been too many serious climate calculation problems for these to be just accidental. Feeling a sense of betrayal and a grossly misplaced trust in the IPCC is not unreasonable.
Because of the IPPC calculation problems listed above, the IPCC has repeatedly failed to adjust and adequately compensate for its failure to include all known climate tipping points, feedback loops, and the other serious error factors (above) in its calculations for its climate consequence predictions and its targets for correct global fossil fuel reductions. Therefore, the IPCC's underestimated consequence predictions and global fossil fuel targets should not be relied upon without discounting them by 30-60%.
Not only does the IPCC have a serious data underestimation problem, but it also has a problem with its runaway global heating tipping point education and disclosure scenarios.
The recognized world authority on global warming has failed us. Continuing to use the IPCC’s inadequate runaway global heating data and the ever-increasing fossil fuel pollution of our atmosphere will inevitably lead to crossing more runaway global heating tipping points.
The IPCC’s 30-60% underestimation will create a nightmare for anyone trying to do mid-term or long-term planning, whether personal, business, city, or national because the wrong facts will lead them to wrong actions and failure.
When you factor in crossing more runaway global heating tipping points (highly probable and nearly wholly absent from the IPCC predictions), our world is in grave peril, not 40 or 80 years from now, but now and over the next 20-40 years.
It is illogical beyond all comprehension to assign full responsibility for evaluating and predicting the single greatest security threat of the 21st century to a group of volunteer and underfunded climate scientists who submit their research to a bureaucratic and underfunded United Nations agency.
The unresolved runaway global heating danger is so great and imminent that we have no other rational choice but to bypass any existing failed structures or processes that have not worked or are not working effectively.
The IPCC’s illusions and delusions about a new miracle technology that will come into being and save us at the last minute sometime in the second half of the 21st century will be the undoing of us all.
At best, when climate scientists warned us 60 years ago, we had about 40 years to make the necessary changes. If we were very lucky, we would have about 3-6 years left to make radical, costly, and painful changes that would've been far easier, cheaper, and less painful had we begun them 60 years ago.
It is critically important also to understand that no compensatory calculations for the effects of any runaway global heating tipping points being crossed were ever included in the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) calculations for precisely how much we have to reduce our global fossil fuel use to save ourselves from extinction. This is important because the IPCC's global fossil fuel reduction calculations are currently being used by all of the member governments of the United Nations (about 190 countries) to set their own internal national fossil fuel reduction programs. This horrific failure to include crossing any runaway global heating tipping points in our current global and national fossil fuel reduction calculations is also true for the world's most recent 2015 Paris Climate Agreement. This omission of including proper calculations for crossing global warming tipping points as the world continues to warm is the recipe for mutually assured destruction. This failure to include allowance calculations for crossed tipping points shockingly also means that the national fossil fuel reduction programs of every member of the United Nations using the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement targets are also based on incomplete and inaccurate calculations. (Click here for the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.) And finally,
Keep in mind that our government leaders have utterly failed to see the coming pain and suffering of the COVID-19 pandemic and did not adequately prepare for it. Our government leaders are also not seeing or adequately preparing for the runaway global heating extinction emergency, which is already happening and will be far worse than COVID-19!
After reading this page and the critical pages linked to it, you, too, have probably realized that the IPCC's underpaid administrators have been either overwhelmed or compromised by the 28 trillion dollars-a-year fossil fuel industry. The summary climate reports they administer and create can no longer be relied upon as accurate or serving the well-being of the world's citizens.
The many current government, UN, or other-promoted 2050, 2040, and 2035 competing global fossil fuel reduction targets and deadlines are dangerously wrong. Many of our most trusted environmental groups also promote these wrong targets and deadlines.
The above article should have answered the following question: Why do our governments and the media continually give us so many different, incorrect, and grossly underestimated global fossil fuel reduction targets, deadlines, and net-zero emissions pledges?
Despite being the world's most recognized authority on global warming (aka climate change), the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has consistently understated the intensity and timeframes of runaway global warming and its danger.
There can be no margin for error whenever there is a real and imminent threat of total human extinction.
In addition to the problems found above that are stopping us from solving the climate change emergency, there are 30 more very tough reasons, covered in detail on the following page, for why the climate emergency will not go away until much of humanity has perished.
Despite the many challenging, runaway global heating consequences and past fossil fuel reduction mistakes we now face, we can still learn from their feedback and adapt and evolve to make life as good and happy as possible. No matter how severe the coming runaway global heating consequences might become, if we wisely play the remaining cards we have dealt, we can still achieve the best possible outcomes.
We can yet make a significant difference in reducing global fossil fuel use to stabilize and save the future of humanity by executing a comprehensive reduction and survival plan like the Job One for Humanity runaway global heating action plan.
We can still maintain the perseverance needed to succeed in this monumental task by regularly reviewing the many benefits that will unfold as we work together. (Click here to review those benefits.)
We can persevere through this time of emergency. We must remember that our greatest challenges are also the seeds of our greatest opportunities.
We are engaged in nothing less than the most critical and meaningful evolutionary opportunity, challenge, and adventure in human history! Our last chance is to slow the mass human extinction threat by reaching these 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Only reaching these targets will thoroughly remove the near-total extinction threat. In reaching these targets, we also significantly improve many of the world's other 12 major challenges.
(Click here to discover why total human extinction is not realistic or probable, and the worst humanity will experience is near-total extinction (50 to 90+% of humanity going extinct.)
Get started today on the Job One for Humanity runaway global heating reduction and survival plan. Help save and salvage as much of humanity and our beautiful civilization as possible.
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