The new synthesis report from the United Nations IPCC sixth assessment (AR6) has arrived. Unfortunately, it still underestimates both climate consequences and timetables, But...
It has some beautiful illustrations of the world's rapidly changing climate. They are handy for knowing the climate change high-risk areas around the work.
The biggest problem with this new report is similar to our problems with all of the previous summary reports from the UN's IPCC. They are usually underestimated by about 20% and then worst case, up to 40%. So if you are looking at their projections, you need to make them at least 20% more intense and occur about 20% sooner or more.
But the report and its many illustrations are still helpful.
Now you're probably wondering why you must mentally adjust all their consequence predictions and timetables by 20 to 40%. It starts with the "perfect day" problem that infects the IPCC work when they do not add into their projections what happens when we cross the many climate system and climate subsystem tipping points and trigger negative feedback loops. As a result, you get projections that reflect what things would look like if everything went perfectly and no crossed tipping points or negative feedback loops were triggered. But, unfortunately, the "perfect day" problem is not the only problem affecting the accuracy of the UN-sponsored climate projections and climate solutions.
Here is the link to the new synthesis report from the United Nations IPCC sixth assessment (AR6). At least scroll through and look at the beautiful images and charts they have created, but don't forget to add in the 20 to 40% underestimation factor.
We certainly don't expect you to believe us when we tell you the UN's IPCC has a horrible accuracy record for many reasons. However, we have listed links to the reasons below that should be examined so you are not given a false sense of peace and security by continually underestimated reports to keep the world from losing hope and panicking over the climate change extinction emergency.
Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more. This page and its linked pages will help explain why the current 2025 global fossil fuel reductions are so severe to compensate for the 60-plus years society has delayed and failed to make the required gradual fossil fuel reductions.
Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the fossil fuel reduction calculations" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven, non-existent, and unscalable "carbon-sucking unicorn" technology into their projections.
Click here to see the eleven major runaway global heating tipping points that have been all but excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we all must reduce each year globally. It also contains the tipping point theory and why crossing these climate tipping points is so dangerous to all aspects of our globalized society.
Click here to see the four key reasons why the IPCC's 26 global climate change conferences have failed to produce results or legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets.
Click here for the latest 2022 IPCC climate change summary report on the critical climate sensitivity error. Because of only this ongoing climate sensitivity error, the IPCC's newest climate consequence predictions, timeframes, and remedial action information will be underestimated by as much as 25% or more. (This 25% does not include the effect of the other IPCC errors described in the links just above.)
All of the above-linked decades of IPCC error, calculation, and polarization problems mean that the IPCC is an unreliable partner for truthful and accurate climate change information. Their climate consequence predictions, timeframes, and remedial action information are consistently underestimated by about 20 - 40 %+ and possibly more!
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