Lawrence Wollersheim

  • What are the Primary and Secondary Consequences of Climate Change

    (This page contains and defines the major primary and secondary consequences of climate change. It will give you both a factual and comprehensive sense of the climate future we all now face.) 

    Introduction

    We are already experiencing many of the climate consequences already. Over the next several decades we will, unfortunately, experience many more of the following primary and secondary climate change-related consequences.

    This will happen simply because we are failing horribly in reducing our global fossil fuel use! Over the last four decades, from the chart below you can see that no national or global climate conference, government action, mass public protests, or educational movement by ANY climate or environmental group have done anything genuinely effective to slow or stop the rapid increase of dangerous carbon in the atmosphere! In fact, truth be told, increased carbon in the atmosphere, which causes ever-rising global warming has gone from rising at a gradual and linear rate to rising exponentially

     

     

    Atmospheric carbon (CO2) as measured in parts per million (ppm) is the simple best, and easiest way to tell if we are making real climate progress in reducing global fossil fuel use and if our current climate change reduction strategies are working. It is the best way to measure our climate management success because of the immutable laws of physics. These immutable laws dictate that if atmospheric carbon ppm continues to rise, the average global temperature will continue to rise as it has faithfully done since the fossil fuel-powered industrial revolution began. (Carbon was at about 270 ppm level before the Industrial Revolution. It had been at about the 270 ppm level for hundreds of thousands of years before the Industrial Revolution began in around 1770.)

     

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    As you can see from the charts above, the current exponential increase of carbon in our atmosphere (primarily from burning fossil fuels) signals the collective failure of 40 years of strategies to slow climate change, and that the climate emergency is getting worse at an even faster rate! (See the steeper line slope in the charts above as they approach 2022.)  

    The above charts help one to underscore the painful fact that as time passes, the following primary and secondary climate consequences will most likely also continue to increase in frequency, severity, and scale.

    The most important thing to remember as the following primary and secondary climate consequences converge is that they will bring about additional later consequences even faster because of intrinsic climate feedback loops, synergies, interdependencies, and tipping points. Worse yet, as time passes these climate change consequences will suddenly get exponentially worse both unpredictably and regularly.

    This is because these consequences will feed into and collide with each other and, they will also be fed by the worsening of these other 11 major global crises! As you will soon see for yourself, no government, global corporation, or global NGO will be able to stay up with the damages of these accelerating and interacting primary and secondary climate consequences listed below. These collective primary and secondary consequences accelerating and occurring very often simultaneously will create unimaginable global chaos.

    Many of the following primary and secondary climate consequences are interconnected and interdependent. Some climate consequences below also exist in transformative relationships and within interconnected linear and non-linear cause and effect processes that can amplify or multiply the other's consequences and, in effect, further disrupt our abilities to predict or control these consequences.

    Never forget that the primary and secondary climate consequences listed below are critical and powerful warning signs to watch for in the news to know that our climate change emergency is accelerating and worsening in your area and, that you should act before it is too late. 

    When reading the climate change primary and secondary consequence lists, keep in mind that the consequences listed earlier on the lists are occurring now or will be occurring first. The consequences listed near the end of the lists will take longer to unfold.

    And finally, no single global warming consequence listed below by itself creates global collapse, complete human extinction, or our doomsday entirely. But, cumulatively, synergistically and over time, as the primary and secondary climate consequences below increase and unfold in continuous waves, if left unchecked, they will bring about Climageddon, our global warming doomsday, and extinction.

    The primary climate change consequences and warning signs to watch to protect you, your family and your immediate and long-term future

    While reading the following 32 mostly natural primary global warming consequences listed below, keep in mind, there are also secondary consequences and warning signals. This secondary set of consequences and warning signals (further down) will show you how the mostly natural global warming consequences will directly affect you and your loved one's future wellbeing and survival. In addition, the secondary consequences will illustrate what will happen to humanity as the global warming consequences unfold and interact with our 11 other global crises. 

    As you read through the primary and secondary consequences, it will become clear to you how our economic, ecological, social, and political systems will destabilize and come ever closer to collapse. Taken collectively, the primary and secondary consequences and warning signs of accelerating global warming will give you a high-level, meta-systemic view of humanity's future. 

    Where applicable, for both primary and secondary consequences we have also listed what we call panic-worthy or mega warning signs. Although we do not want you to ever panic, these particular mega warning signs mean things are worsening very fast even exponentially and you have very little time left to prepare and adapt.

    The primary phase one mostly natural climate change consequences and warning signs:

    The primary climate change consequences have already begun. They will become exponentially worse once we enter the carbon 425-450 ppm threshold.

    Above carbon 450 ppm, we enter into climate hell. As you read the following list of consequences, keep in mind that the first nine primary consequences below will also have profound temporary and long-term effects on world travel, tourism, and world trade. 

     

     

    1. increased atmospheric heating which increases average global temperature, (This increased heat will cause many more days each summer and growing season that will be near or over 100 degrees. This increased heat will make all kinds of outdoor activities more difficult and less productive.)

    2. extreme storms of all kinds (hurricanes, tornadoes, Derechos, rain bombs, bomb cyclones, etc.) Regarding hurricanes, if you hear we have had a category six hurricane or, worse yet, a category seven hurricane, this is a panic-worthy mega warning sign. It means that things have taken a very steep turn toward the worst-case scenarios. (A category six hurricane starts at a wind speed of about 180 - 185 mph. A category seven hurricane would have winds of at least 210 - 215 mph. By this scale, Hurricane Dorian was our first category six hurricane.)

    Think of more global warming like heat under a pressure cooker. The more heat the pot (Earth) gets the more the contents inside our atmosphere become more turbulent and churn and "boil" onto extreme storms of ALL kinds. 

    Because of the direct and indirect churning and boiling-off effects of increasing global warming heat, there is now anywhere from 5 to 8% more water vapor circulating throughout the world's atmosphere than just a generation ago. This increased water vapor, combined with temperatures that are driving water up from the deep ocean in places where hurricanes typically form, has created the ideal potential for the next generation of monster hurricanes, for which we are totally unprepared. So when you start seeing category six hurricanes hitting different parts of the world, you will know the future of humanity is in deep peril.

    Rain bombs (when days or weeks' worth of rain falls in hours or days) will start occurring everywhere. These rain bombs will be particularly destructive in cities where older street drainage systems will be quickly overwhelmed. These rain bombs will unexpectedly flood areas of cities that have never flooded before.

    3. droughts, (many areas of the world are currently experiencing global warming-aggravated mega-droughts that have lasted one or more decades.) 

    4. desertification,

    5. increasing wildfires, Global wildfires burn roughly 865 million acres of land each year —an area five times larger than the size of Texas. Wildfires are expected to become more frequent and intense, and fire seasons are projected to last longer.

    In the United States, approximately 7 to 9 million acres burn each year. Some studies predict a 50 to 100 percent increase in area burned in the United States by 2050, with the most severe changes occurring in Western states. It is reasonable to project that global wildfires will also increase 50 to 100 percent in areas burned. Global wildfires will cost humanity in the range of 1/trillion dollars annually by 2050.

    The greatest cost of global wildfires accelerating in acres burned as global warming increases is not financial. Instead, it will be in the millions of tons of carbon that these wildfires release into the atmosphere beyond what we are already releasing annually due to our current fossil fuel uses.

    In 2019 global forest fires released about 7.5 billion tons of carbon into the atmosphere. As global forest fires increase by 50-100%, this extra carbon released into the atmosphere will further quickly push up global temperatures once again. This 50-100 % increase in global forest fires is another panic-worthy mega warning signal if you see global wildfires rising rapidly to the 50-100% levels. 

    6. shrinking sea ice and ice shelves, glaciers, and snowpack, (This further destabilize seasonal climates and many biological systems,)

    7. increasing flooding and sea-level rise. (If we are very, very lucky and we keep crossing climate tipping points as we are doing now, sea levels will rise by only 2-4 or more feet (2/3 meter to 1 and 1/3 meter) by 2050 and 4-10 feet (1 and 1/3 meter to 3 and 1/3 meters) by 2100. 

    Fifty percent of the global population lives at sea level. Based upon an unrealistically low 3-inch sea-level rise prediction, the chart below shows hundreds of millions of people will be displaced. This displacement will create massive migrations that no country is prepared to absorb.

     

     

     

    Sea levels rising as little as one foot will cause immediate massive property losses worldwide and then the sudden migration of hundreds of millions away from coastal areas. A sea-level rise of 2 feet or more will cause billions of coastal dwellers' to migrate. Worse yet, we are totally unprepared to abandon many of the world's largest coastal cities.

    The illustration below does not include compensating calculations for crossing any climate tipping points. This lack of allowance for climate tipping points means the cities illustrated below will flood far faster than is shown below. Many of the worst sea-level flooding catastrophes are now just a few decades away!

     

    Moreover, if we do not make radical global fossil fuel use reductions soon, the sea level will eventually rise about 230 feet over the next few centuries. If that was not bad enough, we have already baked-in 60-100 feet (20-30 meters) of sea-level rise. This baked-in rise is from the carbon and methane we have put into the atmosphere since the Industrial Revolution. 

    Massive sea-level rise is the vast, slow-moving global mega-catastrophe barrelling toward us. Currently, sea levels are rising by about 2 inches every decade, which is double what they rose just one decade ago! Suppose we add all the climate tipping points that will be crossed soon. In that case, sea levels will continue increasing exponentially and not gradually or linearly! 

    The illustration below also does not factor in any crossed climate tipping points. As a result, its worst-case scenario in red is likely considerably underestimated.

     

    When you see sea levels start rising by anything close to an inch per year, you have reached another panic-worthy mega warning sign!

    8. increased toxic air pollution and air pollution-related deaths and disease from the global burning and use of carbon and methane-based fossil fuels and other greenhouse gasses. Additionally, wildfire smoke (full of the most health dangerous PM 2.5 particles will increase 50-100% over the next several decades due to increasing heat and droughts.

    Air pollution a key consequence of global warming often gets the least climate change attention, yet in many ways, it has the most impact on a personal level. This is because air pollution from fossil fuel burning is a slow and invisible cause of excruciatingly painful respiratory disease and death. It is also responsible for aggravating many other diseases.

    Directly or indirectly, air pollution causes approximately 11 to 13% (about 1 in 8) of ALL global deaths each year. (About 60 million people die globally each year.) According to a recent World Health Organization survey, 40 percent of deaths linked to outdoor air pollution are from heart disease; another 40 percent from strokes; 11 percent from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); 6 percent from lung cancer, (30) and 3 percent from acute lower respiratory infections in children.

    China has the most air pollution fatalities with nearly 1.4 million deaths a year. India has 645,000 and Pakistan has 110,000. To put this in perspective, air pollution kills more people each year than malaria and AIDS combined! Because air pollution supports weed growth, it is also a major accelerator of allergy attacks. It has been directly linked to asthma. Within the past 20 years, there has been an observed doubling of pediatric asthma prevalence.

    This toxic air pollution also exacerbates pre-existing health conditions such as bronchitis and emphysema. Air pollution from fossil fuel burning also dramatically increases national and international health costs, and the burden for those increased health costs falls squarely upon individual taxpayers. Paul Epstein, with the Harvard School of Public Health, found that the hidden costs of burning fossil fuel coal in just the U.S. alone to be $345 billion per year!

    The worst news is that in the future there will be many more than just the 1 in 8 global deaths attributed directly or indirectly to global warming and fossil fuel-related air pollution. Do not be surprised to see a 1 in 7 to a 1 in 5 global death rate in the future. This death rate increase will be related to increasing fossil fuel air pollution as the greenhouse gas amounts (carbon, methane, etc.) continue to rise in our atmosphere.


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    9. ever-increasing starvation worldwide. This starvation will be primarily because of crop failures and crop yield reductions. Crops will fail or be stunted because of global warming aggravated heatwaves, rain bombs, droughts, flooding, wildfires, out-of-season cold spells, hail, Derechos (severe wind storms), and other extreme weather or seasonal destabilization. 

    Please note that the world's five principal grains (rice, wheat, maize [corn], millet, and sorghum) are particularly vulnerable to massive crop failure. This crop failure occurs when temperatures (heat waves) are near or above 100 degrees Fahrenheit for more than 30 days during their regular growing seasons.

    This increasing starvation will increase mass migration, which will cause even more mass starvation and soaring food prices. In addition, increased mass migrations will generate more local, regional, and national conflicts and economic instability. 

     

     

    Mass global starvation from crop failures and low harvests and its chain reaction of other downstream consequences will be the primary driver of the die-off of much of humanity by mid-century. Mass global starvation and resulting mass migrations also will be a significant underlying factor behind increasing local criminality. People desperate for food and resources will always do what they have to do to survive.

    The global warming-triggered die-off of much of humanity will not occur all at once or suddenly around mid-century. It is happening already, and the global warming-fueled die-off will continue to kill more people every year for the next ten years on a rapidly rising linear curve. After that, each year, annual deaths will start to go up exponentially until by mid-century, 50% or more of humanity is no longer alive. (The UN estimated in 2020, up to 100 million people died from the direct and indirect consequences of global warming such as famine, migrations, and conflicts.) 

    One of the other things that also will worsen global starvation will be panic food buying and hoarding. Panic buying waves would likely occur as more people saw major crop failures, local food prices soaring, or regional food distribution failing.

    Falling crop yields, growing local, regional, and national crop failures, and soaring food prices will lead to increased starvation at levels never seen before. This food issue is a critical mega-warning sign of quickly rising instability in social and economic systems! So keep a very close watch on lowered crop yields and crop failures in the news as well as in your grocery bills. 

    The primary phase two mostly natural climate change consequences and warning signs:

    10. we cross the mass extinction-accelerating carbon 425 parts per million (ppm) last battle line to prevent a mass human extinction event from unfolding. This crossed battle line begins a major acceleration for crossing more critical global warming tipping points even faster.

    Once we cross the carbon 425 ppm tipping point, we pass a point of no return and we begin an unavoidable and continually worsening die-off of much of humanity by mid-century! 

    If we continue as we are now, we are projected to cross the carbon 425 ppm level by or before 2025. 

     

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    If we cross the carbon 425 ppm level we will rapidly shoot through the 2 degrees Celcius global temperature increase level and we will be unable to stop ourselves from eventually reaching a 4 degrees Celcius global temperature increase level. (If you want all of the details on this first critical atmospheric carbon tipping point level go to this page and to the section called, "The first extinction-accelerating tipping point that we will cross at or before 2025: the carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point.") 

    The distinguished Professor of Meteorology Michael Mann from the University of Pennsylvania recently stated that once we reach the carbon 405 ppm level in our atmosphere, a 2 degrees C average global temperature increase is already baked in! Once that happens there is nothing we can do to stop it!

    (As of June of 2021, we are currently at carbon 420+ ppm adding an average of 3 new carbon PPM per year.) 

    Because of global warming tipping points and positive feedback loops, Professor Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, director emeritus and founder of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, believes that if we go much above 2° C, we will quickly get to 4° C anyway and, a 4° C increase would spell the end of human civilization.

    Johan Rockström, the head of one of Europe's leading climate research institutes, warned that in a 4°C warmer world, it would be "difficult to see how we could accommodate a billion people or even half of that. Not even a rich minority world survive with modern lifestyles in the post 4°C-warmer turbulent, conflict-ridden world". 

    Many other climate scientists have warned that once the climate warms 4 degrees C over our preindustrial average global temperature, human adaptation to these temperature levels will be all but impossible!

    We are just about to cross the carbon 425 ppm tipping point that will rapidly take us to a 4 degree Celcius warmer world and all its horrors! Also, take a look at the atmospheric carbon (CO2) ppm graph just below. This graph tells us our global warming temperature future and that we have made literally no progress in reducing atmospheric carbon levels in spite of 40 years of valid scientific warnings!

    This rise is in carbon is also happening in spite of the 20 plus past global climate conferences and decades of international government agreements to reduce global fossil fuel use! 

     

    11. increased releases of methane from melting tundra and permafrost, (methane as a heat-producing greenhouse gas is about 80 times more powerful than carbon in the atmosphere,) If you hear about a sudden massive increase in permafrost melting far beyond what was predicted this is another mega warming sign. 

    The atmospheric methane (CH4) graph below is in parts per billion.

     

    12. accelerating reef collapses around the world, which negatively affects fish spawning and feeding areas, which causes more collapse of global fish populations, which causes more human starvation around the world. (This is because fish protein is a major source of food for up to 70% of the world's poorer populations.) 

    13. new disease outbreaks, epidemics, and more COVID-19 like pandemics in areas where they have never been before. (This is due to loss of natural animal habitat, eating more wild animals, additional melting of the permafrost, overcrowding, less resilient health systems, and mass migrations. Because of accelerating global warming consequences, we could soon be experiencing COVID-19 type pandemics as often as every decade.)

    14. increasing economic losses. (most nations will spend an ever-increasing percentage of their total gross domestic product (GDP) directly or indirectly paying for the many growing consequences of the global warming emergency. (Estimates for how much of a nation's total GDP will be spent on dealing with rising global warming consequences run from about 5% within a decade to as high as 30% within about 30 years.)

    15. increased ocean acidification, (Ocean heating and ocean acidification from carbon from global warming will eventually kill off much of the oceans' oxygen-producing plankton. These plankton are responsible for as much as 50% of all oxygen produced on the planet.) 

    16. decreased albedo from reduced snow cover, ice, and sea ice extent. When enough sunlight and atmospheric heat reaches ice it melts the ice. This also causes more Arctic, Antarctica, and global heat because of the lowered albedo effect of less ice being present. This decreased albedo effect also increases ice, wetland, or permafrost melting. (See Albedo effect illustration below.)

     

     

    This is very bad because melting permafrost contains truly massive amounts of carbon and the much worse than carbon methane gas that would also be released into our atmosphere, raising average global temperatures and pushing us much closer and far faster into a self-accelerating runaway global heating scenario.

    If you hear about far more artic ice being melted or melted far sooner or longer than expected, this is another mega warning sign because the ice presence and its albedo effect have a powerful influence on global weather, weather seasonality, and critical ocean currents. If you see the preceding happening faster than expected, you can rely upon all types of weather becoming more extreme, unpredictable, and frequent.

    The primary phase three climate change consequences and warning signs:

    17. as the preceding consequences occur, real estate prices will drop and then begin steeper declines in the areas most affected by global warming consequences. In the areas most affected by global warming consequences, related insurance coverage prices will keep rising, and cancellations will also increase. 

    Simultaneously, real estate prices will rise and continue rising in the few areas that will be least affected by accelerating global warming consequences. As the listed global warming consequences increase in frequency, severity and scale, the described destabilizing real estate pricing and the unsettling insurance changes will increase at even faster rates.

    18. as the preceding consequences occur, home and business insurance rates will rise steadily in the areas most affected by global warming consequences. At some point, insurance companies will begin canceling existing home and business insurance within all global warming high-risk areas. At the same time, home and business insurance rates will be much more favorable in the few places that will be least affected by accelerating global warming consequences

    As more global warming consequences occur, home and business insurance rates and insurance cancelations will increase at even faster rates. When home and business owners can't get fire, flood, and other critical insurances at manageable rates, it becomes far more challenging to maintain or sell existing homes or businesses. This growing uninsurability eventually causes the resale prices of homes or businesses to crash.

    19. increased clean drinking water scarcity,

    20. forests that were a major stabilizing force absorbing carbon become neutral in their carbon absorption. This means these forests will stop taking in carbon from the atmosphere. 

    Some forest locations like the Amazon and the Boreal die-back/collapse are already releasing their vast carbon stores, pushing temperatures higher even faster. As global warming worsens, many more forests will begin releasing carbon instead of absorbing it. (It is not just forests that take in carbon from the atmosphere. Other global vegetation can do the same thing. This new study estimates that the ability of our global vegetation to take in atmospheric carbon will drop by 50% by 2040. This is decades ahead of earlier predictions.) This change from forests and vegetation taking in carbon to releasing mass amounts of carbon is another mega warning sign.

    21. mass human migrations to the global warming safer zones. In 2019 the United Nations estimated 100 million individuals migrated from high-risk areas to safer countries or areas because of their homelands' deteriorating climate. Look for future climate migrations to soar to billions of people over the following decades. These massive accelerating migrations will create a whole series of new problems and emergencies unseen in human history. (You will also hear about these mass migrations more frequently in the news. They will often be described as "conflict" migrations. These actually are mass migrations initially caused by the global warming consequences you are reading about, which making living conditions impossible or unbearable. These dire conditions then cause the local population to react or rebel because of their many accelerating global warming-enhanced hardships.),

    The primary phase four climate change consequences and warning signs:

    22. The runaway melting of ALL global ice on Earth is the second major global warming tipping point. It is estimated to occur when we reach carbon 500 ppm sometime from 2042 to 2067. 

     

    When we cross the carbon 500 ppm level, ALL ice and ALL glaciers on Earth will enter a near-unstoppable process of a complete meltdown! Yes, you read that right! At carbon 500 ppm we begin the melting of all global ice.

    Crossing the carbon 500 ppm threshold has, in fact, repeatedly happened in Earth's geological history. When it has occurred, the sea level inevitably rose to the 70 meters (230 feet) range. At our current annual carbon ppm emission rates, we will reach this catastrophic carbon 500 ppm range in just 20-25 more years. Worse yet, this global melting tipping point may not reverse itself for centuries to thousands of years once we stop carbonizing our atmosphere.

    If we cross that critical tipping point passing the atmospheric carbon level of 500 parts per million (ppm), our average global temperature will eventually soar to 4°C (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit). At 4°C, a large portion of humanity (hundreds of millions to billions) will die of global warming caused by crop failure and other global warming-related caused starvation (or die and suffer from increased heat's 19 other related consequences) and, governments and society will collapse in most areas of the world between the 35th parallel north and the 35th parallel south.

    Even though it will take many centuries for the seas to rise the full 230 feet, there still will be shocking spurts of sea-level rise within those centuries where the sea level rise up to 10 feet or more in just a few decades as it also has done repeatedly in Earth's past. 

    Take a moment to visualize the seas eventually but steadily and in spurts rising 230 feet and what this will mean to our coastal cities, our national borders, and the generations that follow us. Take a moment to visualize the ever-increasing massive worldwide crop failures because of the ever-increasing heat and the consequent mass suffering of slow starvation as we approach and pass the carbon 500 ppm level.

    To read the precise, detailed, and complex climate processes, steps, actions, and reactions that take place as we cross the carbon 500 ppm tipping point, please go to this page and go to the section called, "The second global warming tipping point that we will cross as soon as 2042-2067 or earlier: It creates a runaway global ice melt." (We are currently in 2021 at about carbon 420 adding an average of 3 new carbon PPM per year.) 

    Long before the world reaches the carbon 550 ppm extinction-accelerating tipping point, there will be smaller but key melting glaciers to watch for in the news. One of them is the Thwaites glacier in Antarctica, often called the Doomsday glacier. Scientists recently predicted Thwaites could break away into the sea in as little as the next five years.

    Suppose Thwaites does soon cross key internal tipping points and breaks off and slides into the sea, and the glaciers behind it start breaking off into the sea. In that case, it will lead to as much as a 10-foot sea-level rise in just a matter of decades. 

    This 10-foot sea-level rise will not happen because of the immense size of the Thwaites glacier itself. Instead, it will happen because once the Thwaites glacier is in the ocean, it will no longer hold and prevent other large glaciers from sliding off the Antarctic mountains into the sea in an unstoppable chain reaction

    When the Thwaites glacier slides into the ocean, we have crossed a major climate destabilizing tipping point. When Thwaites breaks off, it is your mega warning sign that global warming consequences will get far worse very fast, and many other climate tipping points will soon be crossed! It is a final warning to get your emergency preparations or relocation adaptations in order unless you want to try to prepare or adapt in the middle of an emergency when everyone else is also desperately trying to get whatever they need. So take a second, and try to imagine what a sudden 10-foot global sea rise over a few decades will do to coastal communities and cities worldwide.

    There are other dangerous large melting Antarctica glaciers (Larson A, or Larson B) and other melting Greenland glaciers that individually or collectively can of themselves or collectively raise global seal level from a few inches to several feet. These glacier events will also lead to increasing coastal global catastrophes. 

    When you hear about even these smaller glaciers reaching their tipping points, are just about to break off, or do break off, it is time to get VERY concerned. These events signal that the interconnected and interdependent "soup" of global warming-related consequences you are reading on this page is about to get a whole lot worse very fast!

    Giant Melting glaciers sliding off of their landmasses into the sea is most likely the first and near the worst set of crossed tipping points, you will soon hear more about in the news. Worse yet, there is no fix for these sudden and glacier-driven unstoppable sea level rises once they occur.

     

     

    It is important to remember that whenever you hear about a tipping point being crossed in one part of the climate system, you can count on it feeding, pushing, and triggering other climate tipping points over their tipping points. (For an overview of the 11 key climate tipping points and how tipping points occur and unfold, click here.

    23. increased animal and insect migrations, 

    24. loss of biodiversity through more extinctions,

    25. at some point, the "big single consequence," major crossed climate tipping point, or a group of global warming consequences will occur. This group of global warming consequences will be so enormous that the extinction emergency can no longer be ignored. It will take a single global warming catastrophe in a developed country that will cause that society 1/2 to 1 trillion dollars in total damages for the world to finally take this seriously and act.

    When this 1/2 to 1 trillion dollar catastrophe happens, far more people globally will take notice and finally begin preparing for further predicted worsening disasters or migrating if needed. Once this single incident financial critical cost point is reached, the facts of the escalating Climageddon that we all will face will no longer be able to be hidden from the average citizen.

    Be sure to watch for this critical financial mega warning signal because once it occurs, many things relating to managing global warming and its consequences will begin to change at a much faster pace. But unfortunately, it will likely be far too late to resolve the worst threats.

     

     

    26. jet stream disruption, (additional disruption of seasonal weather patterns,) Shifting jet streams will act to significantly change long-established weather patterns. This is already being witnessed in many areas of the world where the normal rains, snowfall, and seasonal temperatures are becoming more unpredictable and extreme.

    In what may sound like a paradox, global warming will also produce cold waves in some areas due to the changing location of jet streams and ocean currents. In some areas, winter storms have already become more frequent and intense.

    27. oceans overheating and instead of absorbing atmospheric carbon, they begin releasing it (which also further increases global heating, all of which results in more heat speeding up the whole process of more positive feedback loops, more points of no return, and more crossed tipping points.)

    28. soils overheating and instead of absorbing atmospheric carbon, this will cause the soils to also begin releasing more carbon back into the atmosphere further increasing heat,

    29. slowing continues in the Atlantic Current. This further destabilizes global weather and our normal hot, cold, rainy, winter, summer seasons. (8.6.2021 update: New research shows the Atlantic current has destabilized. This current destabilization will radically change stable weather patterns, particularly in Europe, but also in other areas near the current.) This is also a mega warning sign because of the radical weather and seasonal temperature changes this current slow down will bring. 


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    30. increasing amounts of methane are already being continuously released from methane clathrate crystals on coastal shelves because of ever-warming oceans. This will be the third major global warming tipping point. This third tipping point is also the point where we begin the process of total extinction!

    This methane release from methane clathrate crystals further increases heat, and probable ocean current changes, which will result in even more extreme weather changes, all of which once again results in more global heat speeding up the whole process of more positive feedback loops, more points of no return, and crossing more dangerous tipping points

    The carbon 600 ppm level creates the beginning of a runaway mass methane release tipping point from methane clathrate crystals and the beginning of our total extinction. It is estimated to occur sometime from 2063-2072 or when we reach carbon 600 ppm, whichever comes sooner. 

    When we cross the carbon 600 ppm final extinction level, it will result in raising the average global temperature to 5°C (9 degrees Fahrenheit) and bring about even more massive methane clathrate releases from ocean coastal shelves as it has done before in the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum 56 million years ago, and most notably the Permian–Triassic extinction event, when up to 96% of all marine species became extinct, about 252 million years ago. 

    Please click here to watch a short video that brilliantly explains the methane extinction process once we start releasing methane clathrate from our coastal shelves.

    New research shows we actually begin this new ocean shelf methane release process once we reach just 5°C and by 6°C, it is in full bloom.

    To make matters even worse, additional methane releases from the permafrost will also increase at significantly faster rates at these higher global temperatures.) 

    Because methane, when released as a gas from permafrost, coastal shelves or fracking is 86 times more potent than carbon as a temperature-increasing greenhouse gas, it will once again rapidly spike up the average global temperatures.

    See how we have also radically increased the amounts of methane we have released into the atmosphere just like we have done with carbon in the graph below. (CH4 is the chemical name of methane.)

     

     

    The above is a methane graph (found at https://www.methanelevels.org) in which you can see how total atmospheric methane levels from all sources have exponentially skyrocketed particularly during the last 50 years up until the current date and month. Increasing atmospheric methane may be the most dangerous mega warning sign that our governments are not adequately tracking or making public! 

    (Please take the time to read the precise, detailed, and complex processes, steps, actions, and reactions that take place as we cross the carbon 600 ppm tipping point. Go to this page and go to the section called, "The third global warming tipping point we will most probably cross as soon as 2063-2072 or earlier: It creates runaway methane releases accelerating the total extinction threat," or click the global methane level (CH4) image above.

    When massive methane clathrate releases from ocean coastal shelves start occurring we are looking at the beginning of near-total or total human extinction unfolding before on near 2070.

    31. massive tectonic plate weight change from weight changes in melting ice and rising seas above the tectonic plates causing increased earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanoes, all of which except the earthquakes and volcanoes results in more heat speeding up the whole process of more positive feedback loops, more points of no return and crossing more tipping points.

    32. The runaway global warming total extinction and final global warming tipping point. This global warming extinction tipping point is estimated to begin when we reach carbon 750 ppm sometime from 2070-2090. (Please read the precise, detailed, and complex climate processes, steps, actions, and reactions that take place as we cross the carbon 750 ppm tipping point. Go to this page and go to the section called, "The fourth and most dangerous global warming total extinction tipping point, that we will begin crossing into sometime after 2070: It creates the runaway greenhouse gas effect global and total extinction," or click the image of the atmosphere being ripped off the planet below.

     

     

    We strongly recommend that you copy the above global warming emergency warming signs and consequences and post them on a wall. As you hear new media reports you will be able to see the consequence patterns evolving and this will assist you to adjust your emergency preparations.

    What happens when most of our 12 global crises "feed" into each other's consequences and are amplified by global warming

    Welcome to the rapidly unfolding first great global collapse.

    The future is not just a single global crisis getting worse. It is most of the 12 crises getting worse simultaneously, and these individual global crises pushing other global crises faster and faster toward their internal tipping points. This cumulative and synergetic process of most of the 12 interconnected and often interdependent global crises pushing each other over their individual internal tipping points will produce a sudden and abrupt global collapse that will be all but impossible to recover from for almost all existing nations.

    This worsening situation means that those living today (and future generations) will face a cascading convergence of worsening global catastrophes. These catastrophes collectively will crush the possibility of having a stable, predictable, or liveable future.

    If left poorly managed as they are now, hundreds of millions then billions will suffer and die. Paradoxically, because so many will die, many of the above global crises will lessen dramatically or be radically reduced because there will be so few people left competing or fighting for survival or using fossil fuels. 

    There also could be a point where most of the coming mass human die-off will not be coming solely from starvation, global warming, or other global challenges. It will most likely come from scarce resources or border wars that could go nuclear, biological, or chemical as the remaining stable nations try to protect their boundaries and survival. 

    Take a few moments at this point. Ask yourself the following questions. How long do you think humanity can muddle on into the 21st century without effectively resolving the global warming doomsday emergency and the 11 other critical global challenges? Will we last until 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, 2070, or the end of the 21st century? Most well-informed people think humanity will be lucky to make it into the 2040s or 2050s.

    Now ask yourself, are our leaders and governments effectively handing all, most, or even any of these 12 critical global crises to our future? 

    The reality is that no existing emergency preparedness program, government, NGO, or international organization is even remotely close to being prepared for or capable of recovering from the convergence of Earth's greatest global crises fueled and accelerated by the great disruptor and keystone threat multiplier of accelerating global warming. 

    The "Great Convergence" of these 12 global challenges creates a whole planetary system emergency never before seen or experienced in human history. This "Great Convergence" is also the 'perfect storm of perfect storms' and the most likely spiraling initiator and combined cause for the extinction of the human species and the collapse of civilization within a few decades. (The latest 2004 update of the Club of Rome study antici­pated that by around 2050, with a "business as usual" industry and the world population growth, over 70% of humanity could perish. Additionally, everyone left on the planet would be severely impacted.)  

    To help you understand only the global warming side of "Great Global Collapse," review the following global warming cascading meltdown illustration starting from the bottom up! Starting from the bottom, this illustration reflects the unfolding natural progression of ever-worsening and interacting consequences and tipping point processes that will occur as global warming continues to escalate pushing us toward our extinction.

    The top of the illustration shows you the later phase Climageddon Scenario extinction model consequences. The bottom shows you the earlier consequences. For now just get a general idea of all the global warming consequences, tipping points, and human system factors that will be interacting and colliding as well as amplifying and multiplying each other as the Climageddon extinction scenario unfolds in phases and waves. (Full explanations of each tipping point and consequence are found here, the 11 key global warming tipping points and, here the 20 worst global warming consequences.)

    Remember to start reviewing this illustration from the bottom up beginning with the heating of global warming escalating!

     

     

    The above illustration help to illuminate how the Great Global Collapse will likely unfold and how it will affect everyone in its path In one way or another, directly or indirectly, as the above list of heat-driven global warming-related consequences increase in severity, frequency, and scale (because of our failure to meet the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.)

    How human system related secondary global warming consequences will interact with, accelerate, and amplify our other 11 major global crises

    The following more detailed secondary consequences will also occur as we grow closer to our doomsday for humanity and the collapse of global civilization. While you are reading the following secondary consequences, again imagine how these consequences might control or destroy essential areas of your life, family, business, or nation. 

    Most of the following secondary consequences are contextually interconnected and interdependent. Some also exist in transformational relationships and processes which will also amplify or multiply each other's consequences, or disrupt our abilities to control these consequences.

    Many of the following secondary global warming consequences are already occurring today at some level. When reading the following global collapse secondary consequence list, keep in mind that the primary consequences listed earlier on the list are occurring now or will be occurring first. The secondary consequences listed near the end of the following list will take longer to unfold.

    The more humanized secondary consequences listed below are also critical warning signs to watch for in the news for you to know that the global collapse process is worsening or accelerating in your area. Many of the following secondary global warming consequences are also powerful drivers that will accelerate mass migrations from high-risk areas. 

    The secondary more dangerous, quality-of-life consequences, warning signals, and predictions for your immediate and long term future

    For most people, it is painful and challenging to grasp that "as bad as the primary consequences of global warming are (listed above,) the secondary consequences below (driven directly or indirectly by accelerating global warming) will be far worse!" This is because the secondary consequences will more directly affect and destabilize your day-to-day personal life. 

    Many of these secondary consequences are already occurring or will occur concurrently with many of the later primary consequences as they unfold! Imagine your worst visions of an expanding Mad Max-like dystopian world as the mass human extinction deepens. Imagine a world where police, mental health, prison, medical, governmental systems, and governments are collapsing or have collapsed.

    Imagine roaming warlords, criminal gangs, and starving people fighting for survival, taking whatever they want whenever they want. That is a glimpse of the descending hell of the worsening secondary consequences that will unfold while the primary global warming consequences are also unfolding. 

    Here are the secondary and indirect consequences and warning signals of accelerating climate change:

    1. Because of increased global warming and other global challenge-related work disruptions and stresses, the total human capacity to work outside of enclosures and even inside will go down significantly. This will cause more business and product distribution interruptions, business and personal uncertainty as well as more unemployment and homelessness.

    2. As we experience the worsening of climate change-related consequences as described on this page, there will be more shortages of necessary raw and manufactured resources. Because of increasing climate-related work interruptions and the other climate consequences listed on this page, the dependable production and distribution of food, medical supplies, and other essential supplies will continue to be significantly reduced or break down entirely. 

    The critical thing to understand about shortages of raw and manufactured resources is that they bring out the worst in people. Resource shortages in populations have been shown in numerous studies to produce more competitiveness, aggression, polarization, "othering," and blame. When a population goes under the duress of resource shortages, they look for scapegoats to blame for their conditions and often target those "othered" scapegoats for severe retribution. These natural resource scarcity reactions will further make living conditions considerably worse. 

    As a result of the coming anticipated resource shortages, individuals, businesses, and nations will need to store far more emergency backup supplies, become far more resilient and adaptable, and in many cases begin directly producing their food and other critical supplies locally. (During the Covid pandemic, we saw this resource supply and distribution crisis occur in global, national, and even local manufacturing, supply, and distribution chains.)

    3. There will be less food available from failed and shrinking food crops due to accelerating and escalating climate consequences. The factors that will wreak havoc on crops are; extreme heat lasting 30 days or more during the growing season; hail; wildfires; droughts; fields flooding for extended periods after planting or during the growing season due to rain bombs; high wind events like Derechos or hurricanes; nonseasonal weather; and other extreme weather which will continue to increase in frequency, severity, and scale. It cannot be emphasized enough that starvation far beyond anything we can envision today will be a leading and ever-escalating cause of increasing human death as we approach mid-century.


    4. Food prices will rise considerably more than the normal cost of living increases. Most food costs will go up by an estimated 30% or more in the next 3-9-7 years! (For example, fish prices will rise considerably as the remaining over-stressed fish stocks are depleted to near extinction.

    5. More and more people will be starving worldwide. No charity, NGO, or government agency responsible for emergencies and disaster recovery will ever be able to keep up with the costs of the food, housing, medical or other needs created by continuously escalating climate catastrophes as they continue to increase frequency, severity, and scale.

    This starvation and increasing shortages of medical and other critical supplies will drive people to unfathomable violence to meet their survival needs. There will be intense anger because those who previously had adequate food and other essentials will no longer have those basic needs and stability. These starving individuals will also begin violent attacks on any groups, businesses, or governments they blame for their predicament.


    6. The cost of living, for repair, maintenance, building, or rebuilding in the very limited global warming safer areas will continue to rise significantly. There will be more homelessness everywhere.


    7. There will be increasing and more frequent pandemics, disease outbreaks, and epidemics as conditions worsen and health services are stretched thin.


    8. There be rapidly increasing mass migrations of hundreds of millions then billions of starving, sick, and unemployed people fleeing from the many growing climate consequences and an ever-increasing number of unstable or collapsed economies or nations. (These individuals will soon accelerate their migrations out of Central and South America, Africa, and Southeast Asia as temperatures continue to rise and conditions worsen faster in those areas.)

    9. There will be widespread, survival-driven criminality by larger and larger portions of a starving, unemployed poor, homeless, or migrant population. (Imagine increasing numbers of desperate individuals and groups trying to stay alive by any means possible. Now imagine your favorite dystopian movie like Mad Max. This will give you a small taste of what the future struggle to stay alive will be like as most of the global challenges mentioned earlier continue to worsen.

    10. Because of the growing survival-driven violence and criminality, migrations, and social and political chaos, governments will impose states of emergency, new draconian migration regulations, and martial law resulting in increased severe restrictions, suffering, and the loss of many hard-won human rights. Nations will be forced to become more military and totalitarian in their control of the population to deal with the growing starvation, chaos, and shortages of essential resources. Political society will regress to more authoritarian or tribal warlike leaders and governments as fear increases.


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    The global warming safer nations above the 45th parallel will increasingly fortify their borders will walls and other defensive barricades. They will enhance and expand all other methods to keep the ever-rising hoards of starving desperate climagees from crossing their borders. Do not be surprised to see in the news that global warming safer nations start enacting increasing fines and prison sentences for anyone aiding, sheltering, or employing illegal climagees.

    It is important to be aware that democracies can only exist and grow with an environmental surplus or sufficiency. Because of the many accelerating climate change-related consequences, democracies worldwide will be forced to become less democratic and more authoritarian. This political change in democracies will happen because climate change will continue to destroy valuable resources. With more destroyed or unusable resources, the world's population also will become significantly more competitive, more aggressive, and even more polarized than it is now. 

    11. As the social, economic, and political chaos spreads, it will trigger more regional, national, and international conflicts and conventional wars. Governments will eventually declare martial law as things deteriorate, and more human rights will be suspended. People in fear will rally behind any "strongman" or dictator who promises them food and security. In this chaotic environment, injustices and inequities will rise exponentially and make the atmosphere even worse. (Think of almost any current injustice or inequity and imagine what will happen to them in an even more unstable and resource-scarce social climate.)

    After governments break down, warlords, tribes, clans, and criminal gangs will take control, and chaos will grow even greater. 

    As conflict conditions worsen, it also is highly probable that remaining regional, national, or international conflicts will also become nuclear, biological, or chemical conflicts. These conflicts will be directly due to increasing food and other resource scarcity, the scarcity of global warming-safe land, unstoppable mass migrations, and the many other consequences listed on this page. Desperate nations' nuclear, biological, or chemical warfare will probably end humanity long, long before the worst global warming extinction consequences can fully unfold. 

    Intensifying global conflicts due to the direct or indirect effects of global warming is another critical mega warning sign.

    12. Things will get so bad that national and international courts worldwide will begin convicting and severely punishing individuals, corporations, and even governments of acts of commission or omission that directly or indirectly caused, contributed to, or enabled the ongoing climate change-related financial losses and mass human and biological extinction.

    13. Because of both the worsening of the primary and secondary consequences in this document and the every-rising percentage of the GDP of countries having to go towards global warming consequence recovery and repair, first local, then regional, and then the national banks in the weaker nations will fail. Next, banks and national reserve banks in stronger national will also fail. Finally, even the largest multinational banking institutions will fall as smaller banks fail. As we approach the end, not even the World Bank, the IMF, or the richest national sovereign wealth funds and reserves will remain stable. 

    14. When all of the above items are taken collectively, it will cause even the strongest nations' economies and political systems to begin the economic and political collapse process. 

    15. Once many of the national governments have collapsed, the nuclear reactors, chemical, and biological weapons, and their manufacturing, service, and storage facilities will become compromised. This is because there will be no or few functioning national governments to maintain basic safe operations or security for these sites. Hundreds of millions will sicken and die as nuclear reactors go critical and meltdown spewing toxic radiation worldwide. Millions more will sicken as die from the additional releases of insecure biological weapons and toxic industrial chemicals. If too many nuclear reactors go critical and meltdown, the resulting radiation circling the planets will kill off everything.  

    16. As all of the above intensifies, human suffering and global deaths will continue to rise exponentially! Human deaths will eventually reach mass extinction and begin approaching the total extinction levels. What we have known to be national or global civilizations will collapse. 

    17. If there are any unlucky survivors after the Great Global Collapse, they will most likely enter a new Dark Age. But, this will not be like the Dark Age that occurred during the Middle Ages. It will be far worse because most of the natural resources that were available during the original Dark Age already will have been depleted, and much of the planet will be toxic. And finally,

    18. If we do not experience total extinction in a complete runaway global warming event, and we make it through the post-collapse new Dark Ages. In that case, it will take centuries to thousands of years for nature and the climate system to come back into balance. Only then will the conditions suitable for humans to thrive once again exist-- if any humans are left at that time. 

    Hopefully, at this far distant time, any surviving bands, clans, tribes, or communities still functioning will have learned the first great global collapse lessons, and they will have changed their behaviors. They will now model the needed new behaviors, such as the principles of sustainable prosperity and the principles of evolutionary success, among other new possible policies to finally resolve all of the issues raised in the global challenges described above. 

    If these survivors have genuinely learned the lessons from the first great global collapse of civilization, they will develop a new worldview and new fairer economic, political, and social systems. This new worldview will provide the tools and opportunity for a tremendous new re-building and reboot of humanity. 

    Humanity will have an opportunity to experience a unique renaissance where humankind and nature come into a balance that allows both to flourish once again. Whatever is left of humanity will hopefully once again, restart the greatest evolutionary adventure in our history.

    No one in their right mind would even want to try to survive all of the physical, emotional, and spiritual trauma that the above climate consequences will rain down on those unlucky enough to survive the first levels of this extinction process. The above is not survivable in any way one could call living, and the above will become unsurvivable and unbearable long before the worse consequences occur.

    Yet, despite everything you have read so far, some ultra-wealthy individuals still believe they can somehow survive all of the above climate change-triggered or climate-interconnected consequences. Click here to see the special place of suffering in climate change hell that these foolish individuals will be creating for themselves!

     

    Fasten your seat belts. Strap on your shoulder harness and put on your helmets. We are entering the extreme turbulence of the beginning of a global collapse process. The COVID-19 pandemic and the current global recession/depression are just a very small beginning of it.

    Unfortunately, it is going to get a whole lot worse before our governments take our current emergency situation seriously and act! The baby boomers (born from 1946 to 1964) are likely to be the last generation that will experience any near-continuous measure of stability, security, and safety during their lifespans. But even they will have a very rough ride as they approach the end of their years.

    One could easily call all of the primary and secondary consequences of the global warming emergency a perfect definition for the new emotional malady many are calling a feeling of climate doom. And finally, we strongly recommend that you copy these global collapse warming signs and consequences and post them on a wall. As you hear new media reports you will be able to see the patterns evolving and this will assist you to adjust your emergency preparations. This will help manage any feelings of climate doom you might be feeling.

    For More Information

    See this page for longer explanations of many of the primary consequences of climate change.

    Click this page for the specific climate change consequence predictions for 2022.

    Additional References

    Reference Topic 1: We have been given the far lower incorrect global fossil fuel reduction targets by fossil fuel compromised "trusted" authorities. Learn why you can't believe the so-called world's leading authority on climate change (the UN IPCC) for legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the four key reasons why the IPCC's 26 global climate conferences have failed to produce results or legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    Click Here to learn about the IPCC's most dangerous of all deficiencies called the climate change computer modeling Perfect Day problem.

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    To see the many mass mobilization actions our governments must now take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total extinction, click here.

    Reference Topic 2: How can the probability (or even the possibility) of a soon-arriving near-total human extinction be accurate? 

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" catastrophic meltdown of our global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions with our other 11 major global crises will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four major global warming extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to crossing them. The first tipping point of carbon 425-450 ppm will explain precisely why climate change consequences will start growing exponentially in about 3-9 years.

    Reference Topic 3: What governments must do to save the future

    It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas emissions and pollution. 

    Click here to learn more about the Fee and Dividend carbon pricing and other critical actions our governments and corporations must immediately take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Reference Topic 4: The deep causes of this whole climate catastrophe mess

    To understand the most profound reasons behind our current global warming emergency and our 11 other most dangerous global crises, please get the book Overshoot. In it, you can learn about the concept of the Earth's carrying capacity (the land and sea acreage available and needed for any given population's critical survival needs.) 

    Click here for global warming migration information and information on the safer global warming areas.

    Reference Topic 5: Miscellaneous 

    Click here to see the 10 most important facts about climate change.

    Click here to see the 10 most misunderstood and dangerous facts about climate change.

    Click here and read our Job One for Humanity policy on the necessary disruption of all false or dangerous climate, global warming, and environmental acts or ideas.

    Please continue to educate yourself about these life-critical climate issues by exploring the documentation and analysis found on this website.

    To help do something about the climate change and global warming emergency, click here.

     


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  • Indirect Ways to Influence The 1% and Our Governments

    (This is Section 2 of Part 4 of the Job One Plan. It is about what you can do if you do not have direct connections to the 1% to help us with resistant one-percenters.)

    Section 2 will not make much sense unless you have read the above Section 1 materials. So please do not start this Section 2 indirect strategies until we post the first list of one-percenters (sometime in Febuary 2022) who are still doing nothing despite our educational efforts.)

    Section 2 action strategy sections are designed for individuals who mostly do not have any direct connections to the 1% of the wealthiest individuals, corporations, and celebrities but could help us influence the education-resistant one-percenters.
    These are those one-percenters resisting joining the climate emergency collective of other one-percenters and working to influence our politicians to enforce the required 2025 global fossil fuel reduction laws that will get us close to the 2025 reduction targets.

    Our organization will soon begin to publish a list of these remaining resistant one-percenters so that you may specifically target them using the indirect influence actions and strategies in Section 2 below.

    In Section 2, you will find many creative options prioritized for the maximum possible indirect influence and leverage to influence the 1% and achieve the critical governmental action steps of the Job One Plan found here. Do whatever you can to self-organize yourself (and others) and get the indirect influence action steps below done.

    You can begin any listed indirect influence action step below in any order that you feel will work best for your current desires, resources, and circumstances. But, the ones near the top of the list are generally more powerful.
    Be sure to share any successes you have on the action steps below with us at ([email protected]). That way, others can learn from your success and genius, and we can resolve this climate extinction emergency even faster!

    Before starting the actions below, please make the following personal commitment to climate emergency action!

    Because you understand both the urgency of resolving the climate change emergency and the logic of the Job One Plan goals, it is wise to make (or re-confirm) that understanding in a decision and pledge.

    Here is the Job One for Humanity 3-point pledge to help resolve global warming:

    1. I will become an active part of the climate change solution by working effectively to help slow, lessen, and end the climate change emergency.
    2. I will do my part to educate my friends and others about the climate change emergency and its effective solutions.
    3. Until we end the climate change emergency, I will stay the course and help get new climate laws, treaties, and policies in place, so it never occurs again!

    Please click here to sign this pledge online and join the Job One for Humanity honor roll for Climate Evolutioneers.

    The Gallup Poll reports show up to 87% of workers feel disconnected from meaningful and purposeful work. [6] Resolving global warming is this century's greatest challenge, and it is the number one job for humanity.

    "Until one is committed, there is hesitancy, the chance to draw back, always ineffectiveness. Concerning all acts of initiative (and creation), there is one elementary truth, the ignorance of which kills countless ideas and splendid plans: that the moment one definitely commits oneself, then providence moves too. A whole stream of events issues from the decision, raising in one's favor all manner of unforeseen incidents, meetings, and material assistance, which no man could have dreamt would have come his way. Whatever you can do or dream you can, begin it. Boldness has genius, power, and magic in it!" —Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

    Making the above pledge will change your life for the better. It will also release potentials and opportunities that would not have appeared had you not done so! 

    If you understand how to use visualization techniques on the goals of this page, please visualize them already being achieved. If you do not understand either the process or the importance of the goal visualization process for ending global warming, click here. [7]

    Be sure to click here to sign the above pledge online and join the Job One for Humanity honor roll of Climate Evolutioneers.

    Step 1: Begin this indirect influence action steps for 1% individuals or businesses

    Using the information on our website, become a Utube or TikTok super-star and influencer by creating your own Utube and TikTok climate change educational videos that will help get the 1% active.

    Desperate times call for creative, humorous, and out-of-the-box measures. Make YouTube and TikTok climate change videos or create your own Utube channel. 

    These videos should:

    1. Educate about our climate emergency, particularly for generations X, Y, and Z. 

    2. "Call out" your national politicians for not acting effectively on our climate extinction emergency.

    3. "Call out "the 1% ultra-wealthy individuals, corporations, and celebrities. Call them out for not doing their part in getting our politicians to enforce the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets or the critical other action steps of Part 3 of the Job One Plan. (The list of 1% names is above in this document.)

    If the 1% does not respond to your educational efforts or they continue to act against enforcing the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reductions needed, it is also time to engage in a massive and continuous public shaming campaign until they finally take responsibility for the obligations of wealth to protect the public wellbeing. This resistant 1% needs to be called out and protested for their failures to act in an emergency, their selfishness, and their fossil fuel extravagant and conspicuous consumption lifestyles wherever and whenever they appear in public. (The popular media will help amplify your call-outs depending on the creativity and success of your videos and actions. 

    Please note that public shaming will never work on the 1% that are narcissists or sociopaths, but eventually, it will work on most of the rest. So, do not hesitate to use a public shaming tactic on the 1% resistant to the massive climate emergency education, which has already taken place for decades. These individuals do not EVER have the right to commit acts or omissions that will lead to the total extinction of humanity! 

    Be creative with your videos but still effective. Create numerous factual and compelling arguments from what you read above and elsewhere on this website. Convince the 1% that they must use their far greater direct influence to get our politicians to act, or no one will make survive, including them, their families, and their legacies.

    Always make your videos evoke an action! One meaningful action you can ask for is to have your viewers sign our Climate Change Emergency petition and then ask them to come to our website, create videos, and become activists using all of the tactics on this page.

    Never hesitate to creatively call out and challenge any 1% individual, corporation, (or environmental group) that persists in providing incorrect information on the climate change emergency and global warming. Call them out in ways that let them know what will happen to their lives and future if they fail to help end the climate change extinction emergency before it is too late. 

    You could become an internet influencer and super-star and have thousands learning from your climate change videos. But, best of all, your 1% call-outs would also eventually get busy helping to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets

    Don't forget to mention the pesky and greedy fossil fuel industry in your videos whenever you can. Talk openly about their short-sighted efforts to sell more fossil fuel to make more money --- even if it kills everyone on earth within our lifetimes, including them and their families.

    If you have not done so already and before you start creating, please read about being a Necessary Disruptor as described in this Job One policy link. If you make a climate change video for Youtube or TikTok, be sure to let us know its location by emailing us at ([email protected]). We will add it to our video webpage(s), so others can see it and be inspired too. 

    A special note when calling out celebrities

    Celebrities can help spread climate emergency ideas worldwide and influence politicians because of their celebrity access. Your Utube and TikTok videos can be super-effective by both educating and, when needed, creatively calling out your favorite celebrities who are not exercising their celebrity responsibility in helping to resolve this extinction emergency. 

    Never be afraid of calling out any 1% individuals, particularly celebrities, for their lifestyle excesses that use extravagant amounts of fossil fuel while so much of humanity and biological life is dying because of accelerating global warming. 

    Calling out the public and flagrant conspicuous consumption of the resistant 1% is a powerful and necessary tactic. No one gets a celebrity or billionaire pass during the climate change extinction emergency! 

    Step 2: Then begin these other indirect letter-writing influence actions steps

    Supporting Action A: 

    Help Job One for Humanity contact the world's 1% wealthiest individuals through email and personal letters.

    It is really not that hard. Some of the world's wealthiest 1% individuals like Tom Steyer, the technology billionaire, are already onboard and active. Besides the list of one-percenters above in Section 1, there are other lists such as the Fortune 500 and Fortune 100 lists of the world's wealthiest individuals available online and at most public libraries. 

    Here's how to begin contacting the world's wealthiest 1% individuals. With this tactic, you do not need to have friends, family, or direct personal connections with any wealthy 1% individual to help in this action. 

    Find our sample letters to wealthy 1% individuals here. Use them to help you write a more customized version.

    Use the best personal writing advice (further below) and then send personal letters and emails. In these letters, directly ask them to contact and pressure the politicians in their circles of influence to act now on Part 3 of the Job One Plan.

    If you have friends, family, or direct or indirect personal connections with any other wealthy one-percenters, use these same instructions as above.

    Here are our additional suggestions for the essential personalization needed for this 1% category and any of the other letter-writing supportive action steps B-F listed further below:

    It is always good to personalize and modify any sample "template" letters that we have provided here to create a more successful impact. It's vital they not be seen as obvious "form letters." Instead, they should be personalized with appropriate recipient-related details, much like a cover letter to a potential employer, where the applicant demonstrates they took time to learn about the employer and their business.

    Spend the first part of the letter "connecting" with the recipient before discussing what you want as far as desired actions. Then, in your special introductory section, answer the reader's question: Why should you care about this? If the reader then feels that sense of climate risk and responsibility that you will connect them to, there is a much better chance they will read the requested actions with more interest. On the other hand, if you put this the other way around, you would lose the reader in most cases because they may think they have heard it all before.

    Offer some positive strokes to the recipient where possible. Who doesn't like hearing a compliment?

    You can still use our basic templates for about 80% of your letter content, but for the rest of your letter text, take some time to research the recipient.

    Always request that the recipient publicly express what they are doing or will do to help get Part 3 of the Job One Plan done. Let them know that you will interpret no public statement or action on the issue to be no action on their part.

    At the end of the letter, be sure to include a unique personal closing, your name, and your contact information. You may be surprised by who responds to your emotional appeal.

    If the recipient you have contacted responds, don't forget to send a thank you and let the Job One for Humanity 1% recruiting team know about your contact success as well. 

    Keep in mind that if you're going to go to the trouble of writing to any of the suggested 1% recipients, give it the best possible shot you can. Personal letters are almost always far more effective than emails. 

    If you are emailing, always use unique, non-trite subject titles so that "gatekeeper" support staff do not use automatic email filters to delete your expression of deep climate concern. Once the recipient you've contacted takes a public stand against the escalating climate change emergency and uses their influence on the world's politicians to help get Part 3 of the Job One Plan done., move on to contacting other one-percenters. (Do let us know about your successes!)

    Do not worry if they try to act like they're doing something and are doing nothing. Once it becomes known that they are publicly saying they are doing something to fix the climate change emergency and doing little to nothing, the media and other watchdogs will probably verify that this is just another greenwashing public relations tactic. 

    If the 1% wealthy corporations, individuals, or others you are contacting do not use their power to influence our politicians to resolve the climate change extinction emergency, move to Action Step G further below.

    Supporting Action B:

    Help Job One contact the world's 1% wealthiest celebrities through email and personal letters.

    Many celebrities like James Cameron and Leonardo DiCaprio are already speaking out publicly, telling the world that we must solve the climate change extinction emergency now. See this video clip by James Cameron [2] and this article by Katie Kilkenny. [3] In addition to being able to quickly educate massive audiences on the basics of the climate change extinction emergency and get more individuals involved, celebrities in areas like entertainment, sports, the media, etc., can also have immediate and effective influence in getting the necessary new climate change reduction laws or treaties passed.

    Getting more celebrities to come out, speak publicly, and act against climate change as the greatest single security threat and disruptor of the 21st century has important benefits in several areas.

    They are often friends with or attend functions given by the world's wealthiest 1% individuals, politicians, or senior executives of the world's wealthiest corporations. Because of their celebrity, they have unique access to promote the benefits of resolving the climate change extinction emergency. They can also advocate that the world's richest 1% individuals, corporations, and celebrities use their access and influence on the world's politicians to get the necessary climate laws or treaties passed.

    They also have the attention of and are a voice to billions of people worldwide. If they come out and actively endorse fixing the climate change emergency and promote effective steps similar to those in Part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan, more people worldwide will soon get involved in helping resolve this global survival-critical issue. (See this article [4] documenting how celebrities can and do capture public interest for more information.)

    Here's how to begin this celebrity contact step. You do not need to have friends, family, or direct connections with any celebrity to help in this action:

    Find our sample celebrity letters here.

    1. Use the best letter writing advice from Supporting Action B above, then send personal letters and emails. 

    2. Directly ask them to contact and pressure the politicians in their circles of influence to act on the steps like those described in part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan.

    3. If you have friends, family, or direct or indirect personal connections with any other wealthy one-percenters, use these same instructions as above using their and your contact information.

    If the 1% of the wealthiest celebrities you are contacting do not use their power to influence our politicians to resolve the climate change extinction emergency, move to Action Step G below.

    Supporting Action C:

    Help Job One influence the world's wealthiest 1% corporations through email, personal letters, and other creative influence strategies.

    The world's wealthiest 1% corporations are also an excellent place to send your email and personal letters because they are:

    One might easily say in one way or another that large wealthy corporations rule the governments that rule the world because they are:

    a. far more agile than governments in their ability to respond quickly to changing conditions;

    b. highly motivated to preserve and grow their customers and businesses profits, as well as to secure both customer bases and markets;

    c. less constrained by national borders;

    d. better able to raise and control the expenditure of large sums of money;

    e. subject to stakeholder pressure if they do not respond to our initial letters and emails;

    f. always looking for projects that will enhance their brand's reputation and goodwill in the eyes of the public. (As the global warming catastrophes continue escalating, any corporation helping to resolve this emergency will be viewed favorably by the public and negatively if not aiding the cause.)

    g. Among the single most influential sources that politicians respond to because of their financial support. 

    The good news here is that some of the world's wealthiest 1% corporations are already onboard and active in fighting global warming. 

    To help you with this step, there are long lists such as the Fortune 500 and Fortune 100 of the world's wealthiest corporations available online and at most public libraries.

    Here's how to begin this wealthy 1% corporation contact step. You do not need to have friends, family, or direct connections with any wealthy corporation to help in this action. 

    Use the best letter writing advice given in Supporting Action B above, and send personal letters and emails. Directly ask them to assist and contact and pressure the politicians in their circles of influence to act on the steps like those described in part 3 of the Job One for Humanity Plan.

    If you have friends, family, or direct or indirect personal connections with any other wealthy one-percenters, use these same instructions as above using their and your contact information.

    To help you with this, see our sample letters. This sample letter or email is the starting point for selling the most positive reasons for the world's wealthiest corporations to follow their own highest and most enlightened self-interests in ending escalating global warming. These letters also contain specifics on what we want to have happen to resolve the climate change emergency. You will find our sample corporation letters here.

    Wealthy 1% corporations have so much power over politicians today that this is a critical action needed to get the world's governments to enact the enforceable laws and penalties required for the rapid transition from fossil fuels to green energy and to save humanity and the future! Wealthy 1% corporations tell the politicians that they must reduce global warming immediately, or they will not be financially supported, and they will fund their political opponents. In that case, these politicians will quickly bend to the will of the corporations' massive financial power, just as they are doing every day worldwide.

    Never forget that if the world's wealthiest 1% corporations do not act to influence national politicians to enact the new climate laws needed, it will be considerably harder to slow escalating global warming enough to save humanity.

    If the wealthiest 1% corporations you are contacting do not use their power to influence our politicians to resolve the climate change extinction emergency, move to Action Step G below.

    Supporting Action D:

    If you have a connection to any of the following education groups, Greenpeace, World Wildlife Fund, 350.org, MoveOn.org, the Sierra Club, or any other large worldwide environmental organization...

    Please help get this critical information from our website and the updated 2025 global fossil fuel reduction target information to them. Directly ask these groups to adjust their climate educational and promotional materials accordingly. 

    We face enormous challenges trying to achieve the 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets with so little time left. The last thing we need is the leaders in global environmental education, providing out-of-date, incorrect, or fossil fuel lobbyist twisted global fossil fuel reduction targets and wrong deadlines! 

    We need all the help we can get reaching every large environmental group on the planet with the correct 2025 targets and this update. This way, at least, everyone in the environmental movement is aiming at and promoting the same correct climate destination and deadlines.

    Suppose we can't make this happen with the educational organizations dedicated to saving the environment, humanity, animals, and other biological species. In that case, it's going to be considerably harder to end the climate change extinction emergency. 

    When you begin this step, be sure to become a necessary disruptor, as described in this link.

    Supporting Action E:

    Contact your local, national, and international religious leaders. 

    We also need to implore our religious leaders to use their considerable moral leverage on our political leaders to get them to educate the population as to the real dangers of missing our 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    There is an irony here. Many countries that have benefited most from fossil fuel use are those same countries in the north that will temporarily be more habitable as global warming consequences worsen. This implies a compelling moral, ethical, and justice argument because those countries have been both the greatest cause of the climate emergency and the greatest benefactors from it.

    At Job One for Humanity, we hold that the most important job of our religious leaders is to make the spiritual, moral, ethical, justice, and equity arguments that our politicians must now also hear. We believe that once the religious leaders of the world realize what's coming and how their members and denominations will suffer and die in the climate chaos, they too will be motivated to persistently bring up this emergency in their churches, temples, mosques, and synagogues and to the leaders of their nations.

    Our religious leaders' role also will be to continually remind us of the critical, transcendent, and inherent value of every human being, no matter what country that person may reside in. 

    They will remind us that if we fail to come close to the 2025 targets, every human being on earth has an equal right to live in and share the most habitable remaining northern areas, no matter their wealth, religion, race, ethnicity, or nation, or gender. Our religious leaders have a pivotal role as the climate change emergency unfolds.

    Our religious leaders need to send the above message to their congregations. But, more importantly, we need our religious leaders to use their powerful moral influence to help compel our politicians to act and educate us about the painful, critical sacrifices urgently required by all to save our children and the future of our civilization. 

    Because there are no guarantees that we will succeed in slowing and lessening the now unavoidable climate consequences, this faith-based action step is another critical step that we must take to save our civilization and humanity.

    When you get large religious organizations to lobby local, regional, or national politicians demanding they act on the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, know that you have done a vital service for the future. 

    You can also do this step by contacting the many cross-denominational groups like Interfaith Power and Light. Please help get them and similar groups to realize and promote the correct 2025 targets and what will happen if we miss them.

    Supporting Action F:

    Help Job One maximize leverage by contacting the heads and high-level staff of your nation's intelligence agencies.

    If we want the world's politicians to pass the essential verifiable and enforceable laws or treaties as described in Part 3 of the Job One Plan, we have to maximize our influence leverage efforts in all effective ways. This includes:

    convincing the world's wealthiest 1% individuals, corporations, and celebrities to lobby their politicians, and

    to ensure our national intelligence agencies take over global warming research, analysis, and reporting responsibilities and that they are also actively educating our politicians (and the public) on all of the imminent security and economic threats the climate change extinction emergency poses to our world. (See Part 3 of the Job One Plan for more reasons why our intelligence agencies' strong and credible influence with politicians is also a vital part of our strategy to get the new climate laws or treaties needed to be passed in time.)

    Please do not doubt that there are many brilliant and courageous high-level analysts and executives within the world's intelligence communities who already know much of what is in our scary climate future. Yet, they are restrained from speaking out because of current political realities. We need to give them the support and encouragement necessary to continue to champion the climate truths that will save them, their families, and all of our futures. 

    These brave individuals will have to fight through the negative influence or resistance exerted by the fossil fuel industry, lobbyists, other vested interests, existing political partisanship, fixed ideas, and any antiquated systems or traditions within their agencies that would prevent them from credibly educating the politicians they serve before it is too late.

    These brilliant and courageous individuals can never forget that not only is the future of their nation at stake, but the world's future is also at stake. If they fail to convince their respective politicians about the full consequences and accurate timelines of the escalating climate change extinction emergency, no one will survive.

    If the combined total influence of the world's wealthiest individuals, corporations, celebrities, religious leaders, and the world's intelligence agencies cannot convince our politicians to enact the needed enforceable and verifiable new climate laws or treaties, we will be at the beginning of our total extinction.

    If you still need more convincing on why our national intelligence agencies must take over the climate risk analysis and fossil fuel reduction progress tracking job from the United Nations IPCC, see Part 3 of the Job One Plan.

    Supporting Action G:

    For the individuals, corporations, or celebrities that do not act, begin contacting them directly at their public events.

    First, read our policy on necessary disruption here! Next, call them out on social media. Next, go to the one-percenters events and set up a peaceful, nonviolent demonstration that would make Gandhi proud. Demand that they immediately use their direct access and influence with all politicians to enact the necessary global warming remedial laws or treaty types listed in Part 3 of the Job One Plan. The future of humanity and civilization is at stake. They now need to become very publically aware of this!

    Please remember that the Job One For Humanity Plan recommends only peaceful, nonviolent protests and demonstrations. We actively discourage any illegal or violent tactic. 

    The above letters and actions involving those who have influence and control can save our climate future. If large numbers of people from around the world engage in these Section 2 action steps, the world's wealthiest 1% of individuals, corporations, and celebrities will be educated on their climate responsibilities and how to best protect their self-interests. In addition, they will eventually use their direct or indirect access and effective influence on the world's politicians as we persist. 

    When this happens, we will resolve the climate change extinction emergency with far less damage and hopefully secure a survivable future for humanity.

    There will, of course, be those 1% corporations, individuals, and celebrities so invested in the carbon and methane polluting fossil fuel industries that they will resist all efforts of education. As Upton Sinclair famously observed, "it is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it."

    Do not be discouraged by those who blindly and foolishly choose their salary over the future of everyone and everything they love and the whole of humanity. Just keep the faith and continue executing the Job One Plan action steps. 

    Your successes and suggestions relating to Part 4 of the Job one Plan are vital to us!

    They can also inspire and help others working on the various action steps of the Job One Plan. To send us your feedback, please email us at ([email protected]).

    If you can, please also help support Job One for Humanity with a tax-deductible donation! Our all-volunteer organization works hard to prevent climate change extinction with honest facts and programs. And we are significantly underfunded for what we could do! Click here to donate so we can reach and help far more people worldwide.

    What's next?

    You are urgently needed! You can make a meaningful difference! Everyone can find something meaningful to contribute and do in the many action steps of the Job One Plan.

    Click here for Part 1 of the Job one Plan on how to best prepare yourself, family, and business for the unavoidable 20 worst coming consequences.

    Click here for Part 2 of the Job One Plan on the best individual actions to slow and lessen the unavoidable coming consequences.

    Click here for Part 3 of the Job One Plan for the critical collective actions we must get done to slow extinction. Part 3 is all about the simultaneous measures governments worldwide must enact if we have any chance of achieving the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and saving the future.

    End Notes

    [1] Tim McDonnell. "The fossil fuel industry is bankrolling the Paris Climate talks." Mother Jones. December 2, 2015. http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/12/climate-change-summit-paris-cop21-fossil-fuels-sponsors

    [2] "Not Reality TV by James Cameron." YouTube video. 5:27, posted by "Democratic National Convention," July 28, 2016. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zORv8wwiadQ

    [3] Katie Kilkenny. "What can celebrities do for climate change?" Pacific Standard. October 8, 2016. https://psmag.com/what-can-celebrities-do-for-climate-change-d7800b032447#.ij2p2goh7

    [4] Chris Mooney. "People really do pay attention to climate change — when Leonardo DiCaprio talks about it." The Washington Post. August 5, 2016. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/08/05/the-leo-effect-when-dicaprio-talked-climate-change-at-the-oscars-people-suddenly-cared/?utm_term=.6129fadf4b36

    [5]Wikipedia contributors, "Self-organization," Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Self-organization&oldid=757928655 (accessed January 2, 2017).

    [6] Steve Crabtree. "Worldwide, 13% of employees are engaged at work." Gallup.com. October 8, 2013. http://www.gallup.com/poll/165269/worldwide-employees-engaged-work.aspx

    [7] Association for the Tree of Life. "Visioning for a better world: why and how." Accessed December 11, 2016. http://www.tree-of-life.works/visioning

     

    Our new climate change risk analysis, adaptation, relocation, and migration consulting services

    For individuals, businesses, or governmental bodies that desire individualized assistance, qualified members of the Job One for Humanity team are available for custom consulting on all aspects of climate change and global warming consequence risk analysis, adaptation, relocation, or migration for individuals, small businesses, large corporations, or local, regional, or national governments. Click here to learn more about our individualized consulting services.


  • commented on Wow! Leonardo DiCaprio nails the climate science with his prediction that climate change is going to get much worse in about 9 years. 2022-01-23 11:20:08 -0800
    The sources for the 9-year prediction are listed in Job One article. The job One volunteer team

  • Our Climate Change Predictions for 2022 and Beyond

    We challenge you to review our 2022 climate change consequence predictions below. Don’t get caught off-guard by accelerating climate change!

     

     

    Please print these predictions out and watch the 2022 news to verify their accuracy for yourself. Almost all of our past annual climate predictions have been amazingly accurate. You may be quite surprised by some of these predictions!

     

    The climate prediction sections for 2022 and beyond are as follows:

      1. The climate consequence predictions for 2022. 
      2. The big climate tipping point and warning sign to continually monitor! 
      3. Climate predictions for the next ten years.
      4. Climate predictions for the coming 2-5 decades.
      5. Conclusion.
      6. The many benefits of fixing climate change.
      7. What you can do to adapt to and survive the 2022 climate consequences and beyond.
      8. Documentation links for our prediction materials.

    Our Climate Change Consequence Predictions for What Will Most Affect You, Your Business, and Nation in 2022

     

    Individuals, businesses, and nations will experience more frequentsevere, and larger scaled

      1. air turbulence, reported by airlines and airline passengers as our atmosphere boils and churns as it continues heating, (much like the water in a heated pressure cooker.)
      2. extreme storms, hail, winds (Derechos,)
      3. rain bombs, where a week or month or season's worth of rain falls in a few hours or days,
      4. heatwaves, heat domes, and considerably more 100 degrees + days (More 100 degree + days during the growing season means more crop failures and lower yields.)
      5. droughts (We are currently experiencing global warming-aggravated mega-droughts that have lasted one or more decades, in the US Southwest and West, Africa, and Australia.) 
      6. desertification,
      7. wildfires and wildfire smoke issues (Wildfires will increase due to increasing heat and droughts. Wildfire smoke is full of the most health dangerous PM 2.5 particles.) 
      8. more insurance companies will raise rates or cancel their insurance of homes or businesses in climate change high-risk zones. They will abandon the previous 100-year floodplain, wildfire, and extreme weather risk charts and look to create new 1,000-year floodplain, wildfire, and extreme weather charts. These new charts will better compensate them for the accelerating consequences and risks of global warming.
      9. sea-level rise and weather-induced flooding, near coastal areas, rivers, streams, and lakes,
      10. power outages due to climate change disasters.
      11. increased animal and insect migrations trying to adapt to climate consequences. This will bring more new insect and animal diseases to new and unprepared areas,
      12. COVID-19 variant outbreaks, other epidemics, and more and Covid-like new pandemics. (Aids, Mers, Sars, Swine flu, Avian bird flu, and most likely Covid-19 are zoological viral diseases that have come to humans from animals. This zoological disease cross-over effect is fueled by the loss of natural animal habitat, eating more wild animals, overcrowding causing more human to animal interactions, less resilient health systems, mass animal and human migrations, and the melting of the permafrost and its ancient viral and bacterial pathogens.
      13. hurricanes, cyclones, and tornadoes will see more Category 6's. (These new category six hurricanes and typhoons will occur due to all of the extra global warming-caused heat in our atmosphere and oceans. The category six hurricane-level begins with a maximum of sustained winds of 182 MPH. There have been just two category six hurricanes recorded so far, hurricane Patricia and Wilma.)
      14. significant out-of-season changes like rain and warm weather during winters and more severe cold spells in both winter and summers,
      15. seasons not beginning or ending when they usually would,
      16. shrinking sea ice and ice shelves, glaciers and snowpack,
      17. accelerating reef collapses around the world, which negatively affects fish spawning and feeding areas, which causes the collapse of critical protein global fish populations, which causes more human starvation around the world. 
      18. increased ocean acidification, making biologic life harder for many species and fish stocks in the oceans.
      19. starvation worldwide, this starvation will be primarily because of climate-related crop failures and crop yield reductions. Crops will fail or be stunted because of global warming aggravated heatwaves, rain bombs, droughts, flooding, wildfires, out-of-season cold spells, hail, Derechos (severe wind storms), and other extreme weather or out-of-season weather destabilization. Food prices will rise to compensate for crop losses considerably more than the typical cost of living increases.
      20. The most expensive single-incident climate change disaster in 2022 will approach or exceed 300 billion dollars in total cost in the US. The total cost of all other US climate change-related damages will exceed 1 trillion dollars. In 2022 the US and many other countries will, directly and indirectly, spend about 3-5% of their total gross domestic product (GDP) on climate change-related consequences. (The current US GDP is just over 28 trillion dollars.)
      21. increased toxic fossil fuel-related air pollution and air pollution-related deaths and diseases from burning carbon and methane-based fossil fuels. Directly or indirectly, air pollution causes approximately 11 to 13% of ALL global deaths each year. That is about one out of every eight global deaths!
      22. loss of biodiversity through more animal, fish, and insect extinctions,
      23. increased releases of methane from melting tundra, and permafrost (methane as a heat-producing greenhouse gas is about 80 times more potent than carbon in heating the atmosphere.) 
      24. in 2021, 85% of the world experienced weather extremes due to climate change like those mentioned in this document. In 2022 that percentage goes to 90% of humanity or more.
      25. San Francisco, California, will wisely be the first city to change its current 3-foot protective sea wall plans and build at least a ten-foot sea wall to survive projected sea-level rise over the following decades.
      26. 2022 will be another year in which more weather and climate records will be broken than in 2021. These new records will not be in areas good for humanity.
      27. more people will suffer and die in 2022 because of climate change-related consequences than any other previous year.
      28. only a tiny portion of humanity will become aware of the truth of our global warming extinction emergency and that our governments have failed for decades when the global fossil fuel reduction would have been far easier to make. Most of humanity will still not grasp that if we do not come close to the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets by 2025, half of humanity will die by mid-century. 
      29. major environmental groups will continue to allow the fossil fuel-friendly and "far too little, far too late" fossil fuel reduction targets of the world governments to go unchallenged. 

    A friend of Job One recently wrote us about how his life is changed in Penticton, British Columbia, Canada. "Up here in BC this year, we have had record heat for a record amount of time, record wildfires, record rainfall, and once in a century flooding. Climate change deniers are just not looking at what is right in front of their eyes."

    The Single Biggest Climate Tipping Point and Warning Sign to Monitor Over the Next Few Years

    The most critical climate tipping point to continually watch is the Thwaites glacier in Antarctica. It is often called the Doomsday glacier. 

    Scientists have just predicted Thwaites could break away into the sea in as little as the next five years. If Thwaites does cross key internal tipping points, breaks off, and slides into the sea, and the glaciers behind it start breaking off into the sea, it will lead to as much as a 2-foot sea-level rise in just a few decades. When most of the glaciers behind Thwaites also slide into the sea, we will experience as much as a 10-foot sea-level rise in a matter of 3-7 decades. 

    This 10-foot sea-level rise will not happen because of the immense size of the Thwaites glacier itself. Instead, it will happen because once the Thwaites glacier is in the ocean, it will no longer hold and prevent other large glaciers from sliding off the Antarctic mountains into the sea in an unstoppable chain reaction. 

    Please note that the calculations above are not only for the Thwaites glacier they are for ALL of the many crossed climate tipping points interacting with and coincident with the doomsday glacier over the following 3-7 decades.

    When the Thwaites glacier slides into the ocean, we have indeed crossed a major climate tipping point. When Thwaites breaks off, it is your mega warning sign that global warming consequences will get far, far worse very fast, and many other important climate tipping points will also soon be crossed! 

    It is your final warning to get your emergency preparations or relocation adaptations in order unless you want to try to prepare in the middle of an emergency when everyone else is also desperately trying to get whatever they need. 

    50% of the world’s total population lives near coastal areas. With only a 2-foot sea live rise, billions will have to migrate away from the coast. Hundreds of trillions of dollars in damage and loss will occur because homes, cities, water treatment plants, sewage systems, electrical systems, and other critical infrastructure of the many cities located on the coasts will be and remain flooded and unusable.

    Take a second, and try to imagine what only a 2-foot global sea rise will do to coastal communities and cities worldwide. The Thwaites doomsday glacier breaking off IS a crucial climate change tipping point to watch like a hawk!

    Climate Change Consequence Predictions for the Next 10 Years

    We will cross key climate tipping points in the next 3-9 years (2025-2031). As we cross key climate tipping points, this will cause climate change consequences not to continue to gradually increase in frequency, severity, and scale as they are doing now. Pushed by crossed climate tipping points, many climate change consequences will soon start to increase exponentially!

    In the graph below, the red line is an example of a gradual linear, steady, and predictable climate change consequence growth trajectory. (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.) The green line below is an example of a sudden, exponential, and highly unpredictable climate change consequence growth trajectory. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)

     

     

     

    The above-mentioned exponential climate consequence transition corresponds to when we cross the critical atmospheric carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point and threshold. We are at about carbon 420 ppm currently. (Why crossing the carbon 425 ppm to 450 ppm tipping point level is so important is explained in the links in the document section at the end of this page.)

    Here are the major consequences to watch for over the next ten years, many of which will also be increasing in frequency, severity, and scale:

        1. There will be far more work disruptions and production stresses. The human capacity to work outside of enclosures and even inside will go down significantly as temperatures accelerate and new records are broken. Not including dealing with further extreme weather consequences, accelerating climate change will cause more and longer costly business, production, and distribution delays and interruptions.
        2. Worldwide city zoning and planning departments and long-range corporate planners will begin amending their building and other codes as well as their long-term plans to compensate for or adapt to the accelerating severity of climate change-related consequences. Cities will have to start expanding their sewers systems because of rain bombs, raising highways from flood-prone areas, building expensive sea walls, moving key electrical, communication, water purification, and sewage treatment plants from high-risk flood or fire areas. And, they will also have to change their building codes so that homes and buildings can survive the 1,000-year extreme storms and category six hurricanes and tornadoes that will soon be coming regularly. 
        3. Food prices will continue to soar globally because of climate consequences, causing crop yields to drop or some crops to fail. Expect to pay a much larger percent of your total budget to buy the same or lesser amounts of food.
        4. There will be mass human migrationto the global warming safer zones. In 2019, the United Nations estimated 100 million individuals migrated from high-risk areas to safer areas or countries because of their homelands' deteriorating climate. More individuals will also migrate from high-risk climate areas to low-risk areas within large nations. By 2030, 500 million to 1 billion people will be displaced or migrating because of the many interrelated climate change consequences.
        5. Immigration laws in global warming safer counties will become much stricter because of surging climate migrations. Many nations will close their borders entirely due to being overwhelmed by climate migrants.
        6. There will be substantial ongoing economic losses. (Most nations will spend an ever-increasing percentage of their total gross domestic product (GDP) directly or indirectly paying for the many consequences of the global warming emergency in 2022. The cost of living for repair, maintenance, building, or rebuilding in the global warming safer areas will continue to rise significantly. By 2030 the US and many other countries will, directly and indirectly, spend about 5%-10% of their total gross domestic product (GDP) on climate change-related consequences and disasters. 
        7. Global stock and commodity markets, which have grossly underestimated the costs and the multitude of business problems associated with the plethora of interrelated climate change consequences, will begin to experience wild market swings and some collapses in the weaker markets. Because of new climate-related economic shocks to the markets, the probability of an economic recession or depression on national or global levels becomes a significantly higher probability. 
        8. The poor will get much poorer because of continuously escalating climate consequences, disasters, and work interruptions. A widespread crime rate increase will be survival driven by a starving, unemployed poor or the migrant population. (Imagine hundreds of millions of desperate individuals trying to stay alive by any means possible!)
        9. More climate scientists, climate researchers, and climate-informed individuals, as well as well-informed ultra-wealthy individuals and corporations, will be discretely migrating to or buying land in the world's remaining global warming safer areas. This safer land is only about 5% of the world's available landmass. 
        10. More individuals will become doomers or doomsday peppers as they grasp the severity and accelerating difficulties of the climate extinction emergency. A recent survey showed that 50% of generation Z believes they are doomed. 
        11. Democracies can only exist and grow with an environmental surplus or sufficiency. Because of accelerating climate change-related consequences, democracies worldwide will become less democratic and more authoritarian. This change will happen because climate change will destroy valuable resources. With more destroyed or unusable resources, the world's population will become significantly more competitive, more aggressive, and more polarized. There will be more local, regional, and national climate-aggravated national wars and conflicts.
        12. The fossil fuel industry will not give up trying to make the world's population believe it is safe when it is not. To keep massive profits rolling in from its toxic products, it will start or continue promoting things like clean hydrogen made from methane from fracking, clean coal, clean gasoline, and who knows, they might even find a way to sell us clean green tar sands.
        13. the fundamental climate normalcy and relative stability that humanity has come to depend upon for its existence for tens of thousands of years are now gone. Severe climate instability and unpredictability are the new reality.
        14. More governments worldwide will finally begin to require their citizens to have at least a two-week supply of food, water, and other needed supplies due to increasing climate-related disasters and growing delays in getting disaster relief and aid to them.
        15. Climate change is no longer a problem for our grandchildren as it was 40 years ago. It is already a severe problem for generations X, Y, and Z. It is accelerating so fast that even the baby boomers and other retirees will feel its painful stings as their lives come to a close.
        16. Sadly, we will not reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and worse yet, we will most likely not even get close to them! (We had to reduce ALL fossil fuel burning in developed countries (including China and India) by 75% by 2025, but considerably and justly less than that in undeveloped countries. This near impossible 75% reduction exists now because our governments wasted 40 years of warnings.) 

    Climate Change Consequence Predictions for the Next 2-5 Decades

      1. The new Biden-era US fossil fuel reductions are still based on grossly inadequate fossil fuel reduction calculations that will provide the uninformed a temporary false hope but eventually an extremely painful and harsh dose of reality. Unless the US government adopts the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and leads the rest of the world to enforce these targets immediately, unavoidably, half of humanity will be dead by mid-century! 
      2. Courts worldwide will begin convicting and severely punishing individuals, corporations, and even governments of acts of commission or omission that directly or indirectly caused, contributed to, or enabled the ongoing climate change-related mass human and biological extinction. These crimes will be labeled as genocidal-enabling crimes against humanity and the future.
      3. If the world's governments significantly miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, total human extinction will begin within 50 to 70 years or less. Because humanity will be unable to recover from or adapt to the accelerating frequency, severity, and scale of worsening climate change-related consequences, humanity faces the painful road of escalating economic, political, and social chaos and collapse long before its final members pass away.

    Conclusion

    Until our governments have the courage to tell their citizens that we have to go through a painful period of enormous individual and collective sacrifice to get close to the 2005 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and they enforce laws to ensure we do, we are doomed to ever-increasing suffering and death because of the immutable laws of climate physics and climate math.

    Maybe a 1/2 trillion dollar single incident climate mega-disaster will finally get the world's governments serious about cutting global fossil fuels usage to, at least, get close to the 2025 global targets.

    The 800-pound gorilla in the room and big problem today is we are not listening to the ever-louder and more costly destructive feedback that Mother Nature is giving us during this accelerating climate change emergency. Therefore, Mother Nature will do as she has always done. She will turn up her destructive climate consequence feedback to even higher, more painful levels and hopefully get our attention before it is too late. 

    Mother Nature can be fully trusted to continue to act as she has for the last 10,000 years of human evolution. She will continue to favor the wise, the well-informed, the best prepared, and the most cooperative.

    The Many Benefits of Fixing Climate Change

    The above predictions can be disheartening, but there are many benefits available if we work together and come close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. Please take the time to read these benefits to counterbalance all of the difficult news above. Then go on to the next section that will help you make the needed changes, preparations, and adaptations.

    Click here to read about dozens of these worthwhile benefits. This is the most read page on our website with millions of views.

     

    What You Can Do to Adapt to, Survive, and Slow Down the Coming Avoidable and Unavoidable Climate Change Extinction Emergency

    There is a lot of bad news in the predictions above, but we can still do many things to slow down this extinction emergency and live longer, more comfortable lives.

    Here are a few of the positive and easy things we can start today:

    1. Sign the online global warming extinction emergency petition by clicking here.
    2. Share these 2022 predictions everywhere and with everyone you think they should be shared.
    3. Watch the new Netflix movie "Don't Look Up" with a host of big Hollywood stars. It's not so secretly about climate change extinction and what you have just read.
    4. Start the comprehensive Job One Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan today by clicking here.
    5. Become a volunteer and Evolutioneer and help us sort out this nightmare by clicking here.
    6. Donate to keep the Job One for Humanity non-profit organization speaking painful truths to power by clicking here.

     

    Documentation links for our 2022 prediction materials

    Reference Topic 1: We have been given the far lower incorrect global fossil fuel reduction targets by fossil fuel compromised "trusted" authorities. Learn why you can't believe the so-called world's leading authority on climate change (the UN IPCC) for legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the four key reasons why the IPCC's 26 global climate conferences have failed to produce results or legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    To see the many mass mobilization actions our governments must now take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total extinction, click here.

    Reference Topic 2: How can the probability (or even the possibility) of a soon-arriving near-total human extinction be accurate? 

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" catastrophic meltdown of our global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions with our other 11 major global crises will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four major global warming extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to crossing them. The first tipping point of carbon 425-450 ppm will explain precisely why climate change consequences will start growing exponentially in about 3-9 years.

    Reference Topic 3: What governments must do to save the future

    It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas emissions and pollution. 

    Click here to learn more about the Fee and Dividend carbon pricing and other critical actions our governments and corporations must immediately take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Reference Topic 4: The deep causes of this whole climate catastrophe mess

    To understand the most profound reasons behind our current global warming emergency and our 11 other most dangerous global crises, please get the book Overshoot. In it, you can learn about the concept of the Earth's carrying capacity (the land and sea acreage available and needed for any given population's critical survival needs.) 

    Click here for global warming migration information and information on the safer global warming areas.

    Reference Topic 5: Miscellaneous 

    Click here and read our Job One for Humanity policy on the necessary disruption of all false or dangerous climate, global warming, and environmental acts or ideas.

    Please continue to educate yourself about these life-critical climate issues by exploring the documentation and analysis found on this website.


  • The World's Governments and Corporations Have Been Blindsided by the IPCC's "Perfect Day" Climate Change Problem and, Humanity's Survival Depends Upon Solving it!

    The world's leading authority on climate change, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC,] is not accurately telling our governments what they need to know to save us from climate extinction because of...

    Read more

  • commented on HOW to Get Our Governments to Act! 2022-01-06 10:45:39 -0800
    Dear David, Thank you for comment and your ongoing support. We all are facing the ultimate challenge.
    The Job One volunteer team

  • THE 2025 Single Most Dangerous Climate Change Deadline and Tipping Point

    If we miss this deadline, do go over 3 mass to total extinction-triggering tipping points within our lifetimes!

    Read more

  • Watch the New Netflix movie "Don't Look Up" Because...

    This movie is really about the coming climate change extinction event and how we are NOT managing it. 

    Read more

  • The 2022 Climate Change Predictions. Our Most Read and Shared Annual Blog Post!

    We challenge you to review our 2022 climate change consequence predictions below. Don’t get caught off-guard by accelerating climate change!

     

    Read more

  • donated 2022-01-20 02:59:12 -0800

    Give Monthly Automatically and Help Us Educate the World About the Global Warming Emergency

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    To make a secure, tax-deductible online monthly donation of any amountplease use the fill-in form at the bottom of this page. We are a 25-year-old, tax-deductible United States IRS recognized and approved 5013(c) non-profit organization.

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    Here is our special $2 holiday membership promotion.

    For only a $2 per month donation, you will receive ebook copies of four new books highly relevant to the global warming emergency and other major global issues and that is just to start.

    Here are the ebooks you will receive:

    a. The first free ebook is Climageddon; the Global Warming Survival Kit is an $8.95 value. This ebook is getting great reviews on Amazon. You can download it in one of the three most popular ebook reader formats. 

    b. For those who do not like reading complex scientific research and still want to be entertained and educated about this challenging subject. We have just added the ebook version of "On Vestige Way" by David Spielberg (a $9.00 ebook value.) It is an emotion-packed CLI-Fi (climate fiction) novel about how global warming affects the future and fate of the world's Millennials, generation Z, corporations. It also describes a massive rearrangement of the political alliances we take for granted. 

    It is so hard to put down you will be missing work and sleep wondering what will happen next to the story's heroes and heroines struggling with a superb rendering of our global warming future. Yet, it is one of the most scientifically accurate CLI-FI books we have reviewed. (The author, like the other listed authors, made their Ebooks available to us because they wanted to support our critical mission work!)

    c. You will also receive a free ebook copy of Climate and Ecological Delusions and Contradictions that Will Soon End Humanity by Michael MielkeThis $8.95 value ebook explains and elaborates in great detail on the carbon capture technology delusion and the many other environmental extraction, consumption, and waste global crises we face.

    d. You will also receive a free ebook copy of Collapse 2020, Vol 1: Fall of the First Global Civilization by Bruce Nappi. This $8.95 value ebook lays out a strong case on why we must prepare for the first-ever global warming-aggravated, global collapse coming within mere decades. Collapse 2020 digs into the major chaos of today's world: climate change, liberal-conservative polarization, gridlock in governments, and massive social injustice.

    While the four free ebooks above are an excellent extra benefit for making a $2.00 monthly donation and becoming a member (or renewing your membership.) And, there are several even more important reasons why you will want to access the members-only section of our website! 

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    As a member, you will know what the ultra-wealthy know about our global warming future and what they don't know (unless, of course, they are also members at Job One.) Our nonprofit organization has spent almost $100,000 acquiring and researching the information found in the members-only section.

    Hedge funds, investment bankers, real estate conglomerates, and ultra-wealthy individuals and corporations worldwide are spending thousands of dollars each year with global warming risk analysis companies to access the information you will find in our members-only section. Trillions of dollars in personal and corporate wealth will either be made or lost because one either understands or does not understand the many consequences of our rapidly accelerating global warming emergency.

    As a member, you will have full access to the nonpublic global warming website information as described below:

    1. critical prediction information on how, when, and where the escalating global warming emergency will affect:

    a. local, regional, and national real estate values and finances,

    b. stock market values, specifically corporations whose stocks and bonds will be most affected as the global warming emergency worsens,

    c. commodity prices as regionalized crops and other commodities fail because of increased heat or other global warming consequences, as well as which food prices will rise the fastest, etc.,

    d. increased political conflict or instability probabilities, particularly relating to a nation's regionalized specific global warming consequences.

    2. first alerts and early warnings about the coming global warming catastrophes,

    3. exclusive global warming emergency preparation and adaptation information for your family, home, and business. 

    4. well-researched global warming family and business migration options for the sparse global warming safer zones (For those of you who live in global warming high-risk areas.)

    And finally, in addition to the above, your donations provide critical financial support for our nonprofit organization's ongoing research, goals, and mission

    If you would rather not do the two dollars monthly donation and make one donation of nine dollars, you still will get all the gifts and information mentioned above as a new member, click here for the one-time donation area. Go to the bottom of that page to make your one-time $9 dollar donation.

    Why donate and become a member now?

    When you donate 2 dollars monthly (or hopefully more,) you:

    1. become a member for one year and you receive all of the many valuable members-only benefits listed above.

    2. help us promote the effective Job One for Humanityglobal warming survival plan and our mission focused on serving the public good and doing everything necessary to slow or prevent a global warming-caused mass extinction event

    What could be more important to support and be a part of? 

    To donate by mail: 

    Make your check payable to Factnet and send to: Factnet (Job One for Humanity), PMB 2167, Laughlin, Nevada 89029.

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    How to donate without using any of your own money! 

    Of course, we hope you will become an annual member or make a tax-deductible donation, but there is another easy way for you to donate without spending any of your money! All you have to do is sponsor our organization when you buy products at Amazon Smile by following the following simple procedure.

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    Select your charity. Be sure to select Factnet Inc. (Job One for Humanity is a DBA, and a part of the 25-year-old 501c(3), IRS-recognized, US tax-deductible, not-for-profit organization called Factnet.)

    Start shopping! Remember to always start at smile.amazon.com to generate donations for your chosen charity.

    Tip: Add a bookmark to make it easier to shop at smile.amazon.com for the next time you buy something.

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    Once AmazonSmile has been activated in your app, future eligible app purchases will generate a donation for the charity you have selected.

    Note: The tablet app is not yet supported. Please visit smile.amazon.com/onthego to learn more.

     

    Our Accomplishments in 2021

    Click here to see those 2021 accomplishments now.

    What We Will Be Doing in 2022 with Your Donations

    Click here to see these 2022 mission actions and new expansion projects now.

    Your Donation Receipt 

    You will also receive an electronic receipt each month for your online monthly tax-deductible donation. The name “F.A.C.T.net Inc.” will show on the PayPal payment screen and on the electronic record of your donation to Job One for Humanity. Job One for Humanity is a DBA and subsidiary of Factnet Inc., a 501(c)(3) IRS recognized nonprofit social benefit organization online since 1993.

    Guidestar, the leading non-profit organization that evaluates other non-profit organizations for their financial and mission transparency has reviewed us and given us their Seal of Financial Transparency. 

     

     

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  • Our 2022 Funding Needs

    It is tough to keep speaking brutal climate truths to power while social media spreads massive amounts of disinformation, misinformation, and denial of the global warming emergency we all now face. (You can see some of our educational work in the over 2,500 climate and global warming-related blog articles linked off our home page.)

     

    Where your donations will go in 2022

    Here are just four of the worthwhile ways in 2022 we will use your tax-deductible support to spread the truth about what we must do about the climate emergency:

    1. We have been expanding our web visitors, membership, and public service faster than ever before. According to Google, to date, in 2021, over 240,000 unique visitors have come to our websites, spending over 5,100 hours reading our free global warming educational materials.

    We urgently need to expand our website tools, apps, and security to handle the enormous increase in website visitors and service requests. We will need $3,500 to make the critical upgrades needed for 2022. (This $3,500 includes hiring temporary web and security contractors to help us with these vital software upgrades.)

    2. To will continue to forward our recently upgraded and refocused public service mission goals for 2022, click here to see those mission goals.

    3. To expand our many service accomplishments like these that we accomplished in 2021.

    4. In 2022, we are hoping to move our home office about 1,000 miles away from San Francisco to a new northern area of much higher global warming safety. To advance our office to this new location and cover related costs such as initial rent, we will need approximately $4,000.

    Job One for Humanity is fighting global warming disinformation and global warming solution complacency for the survival of ALL humanity.

    Our mission is not just worthy of being on your non-profit organization donation list; it is critical to be an essential part of that list!

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    3. To begin or renew our annual membership, use the one-time secure online donation form at the bottom of this page. (The many membership benefits including 3 free books are listed further below.)

    4. To make a donation by mail, make your check payable to Factnet, PMB 2167, 1650 S. Casino Dr. Laughlin, Nevada 89029.

    5. For all other types of donations and ways of giving, bequests, annuities, trusts, life insurance, etc., click here.

    We are a 25-year-old, tax-deductible United States IRS recognized and approved 5013(c) non-profit organization.We have received the Seal of Financial Transparency by Guidestar. Guidestar is a non-profit organization that evaluates other non-profit organizations for financial and mission transparency. 


  • How did we ever let ourselves enter into the era of Mutually Assured Climate Extinction?

    With the failure of the Glasgow COP 26th climate conference, we have now entered into the era of Mutually Assured Climate Extinction (aka MACE).

    Read more

  • Whenever you hear national politicians promise carbon net-zero by 2030, 2040, 2050, etc know that it equals mass human extinction occurring over the next several decades

    Today's carbon net-zero promises of our politicians based on carbon offsetting are leading us to MUTUALLY ASSURED CLIMATE EXTINCTION (aka MACE.)

    Read more

  • When you hear national politicians promise carbon net-zero by 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, or 2070, know that it equals mass human extinction occurring over the next several decades

    Net-zero carbon emissions means that we are not adding any more carbon to the atmosphere than we are taking out of it. However, it does not mean that we are reducing our current highly dangerous global levels of carbon emissions beyond the mass extinction preparatory levels where they are today.

    Net-zero carbon dioxide emissions theoretically can be achieved by balancing the local, regional, national, or global carbon dioxide emissions with its removal. This net-zero process is conducted in two ways:

    a. by directly eliminating and removing those carbon emissions from society (the most successful and proven method) or,

    b. by what is called carbon offsetting. (Carbon offsetting can be done in numerous ways, but as you will read below, it is currently the least effective way to resolve the global warming emergency. It is the method most often proposed by politicians because it is so vague, difficult to verify, and can be falsely manipulated in many ways to produce little to nothing. It is a colossal understatement is to say that using carbon offsetting as the primary focus to achieve net-zero carbon emissions is a massive danger for society.)

     

     

    The above carbon offsetting chart looks and sounds wonderful and hopeful, but there is much more to this carbon net-zero illusion. It is a false hope that will not save us in time! Many of its actions are based upon the misinformation promoted by fossil fuel producers and related fossil fuel-dependent industries.

    Honest, independent, and non-politicized climate researchers have been trying to tell the world for over 50 years humanity is facing extinction. These researchers have been begging us to begin immediate global fossil fuel use reductions to come as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to survive the coming extinction threat. 

    The 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets are not anything like or close to the fossil fuel industry-sponsored national net-zero carbon neutral targets, which nations are saying they will reach by 2070, 2060, 2050, 2040, or even 2030! For instance, at COP26 India has pledged it will be net-zero by 2070, and China promised it will be net-zero by 2060. With much theatrical media coverage, Saudi Arabia also announced it will become net-zero emission by 2060. (Including the US at net zero by 2050, India and China make up the world's three largest carbon emitters.)

    But, there are big secrets concerning the net-zero carbon-neutral pledges. They, too, are feel-good illusions that do not produce anything even close to what is being promised or needed! 

    These net-zero pledges are based predominantly on carbon offsetting. A carbon offset is supposed to reduce global carbon dioxide emissions or other greenhouse gases by compensating with emissions produced elsewhere. Unfortunately, carbon offsets are very difficult to verify, have considerable incentives for fraud, and are easy to fake by both purchasers and the suppliers of such carbon offsets. Additionally, carbon offsets currently have either no penalties or weak penalties for fraud. 

    James Hansen, the first climate scientist who warned us unchecked global warming would lead to our extinction, has described carbon offsets as "modern-day indulgences, sold to an increasingly carbon-conscious public to absolve their climate sins." Carbon offsets may also be interpreted as greenwashing. This is especially true in the case of most corporate commitments, which do not include actionable goals and schedules that implicate that their 'net-zero' emission goals are anything more than good publicity.

    Theoretically, carbon offsets were meant to support projects that reduce the emission of greenhouse gases in the short or long term. A common offset project type is renewable energy, such as wind farms, biomass energy, biogas digesters, or hydroelectric dams. Other offsets include:

    • Energy efficiency projects like efficient cookstoves.
    • The destruction of industrial pollutants or agricultural byproducts.
    • The destruction of landfill methane.
    • Forestry projects.

    But, that is not what is really happening. Instead, carbon offsets have become another clever way for nations to make fabulous public net-zero pledges, which facilitate hiding their lack of actual fossil fuel reduction from their citizens and the world. 

    In addition to the fraud-friendly carbon offset issue, most net-zero carbon neutral pledges are back-end loaded, meaning most of the cuts are to come well after 2025. (Our last chance fossil fuel reduction target for keeping global warming under our control.) 

    Most of these "emperors' new clothes" pledges also assume steady major technological advances in currently non-existent or unproven technologies or outright revolutionary tech breakthroughs that will somehow reach the required levels of development and scale to save us at the last moment. These net-zero carbon-neutral pledges are just another form of illusion keeping us from making the real and hard choices. These pledges also specifically exclude all fossil fuel exports from figuring into the national accounting and calculations for the net-zero pledge goals. As you can see, net-zero carbon-neutral pledges have more loopholes than a swiss cheese has holes. 

    Unfortunately, there is yet more to the net-zero carbon neutral illusion:

    a. Tracing the history of illusions in climate policy from 1988 to 2021, climate scientists James Dyke, Robert Watson, and Wolfgang Knorr "[arrive] at the painful realization that the idea of net-zero has licensed a recklessly cavalier "burn now, pay later" approach which has seen carbon emissions continue to soar!

    b. In his 16-page report, Dangerous Distractions, economist Marc Lee states that "'Net-zero" has the potential to be a dangerous distraction that reduces the political pressure to achieve actual emission reduction." "A net-zero target means less incentive to get to 'real zero' emissions from fossil fuels, an escape hatch that perpetuates business as usual and delays more meaningful climate action." 

    c. Current net-zero policies will not keep warming within the UN's 1.5°C temperature rise target because they were never intended to. They were and still are driven by a need to protect business as usual, not the climate. If we want to keep people safe, then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen now. The time for wishful thinking is over.

    d. In March 2021, Tzeporah Berman, chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, argued that the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty would be a more genuine and realistic way to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement than the "Net-zero" approach. She claimed the net-zero approach is "delusional and based on bad science." 

    (The above four statements were found on Wikipedia.)

    The current net-zero pledges by the world's top fossil fuel users and producers are telling and sadly funny. If we keep going as we are now, by 2050 - 2070, there will be few, if any, of us left to see if any nation even fulfilled its ridiculously "far too little, far too late" net-zero pledges. 

    The toothless, unenforceable, and vague net-zero pledges should be seen as nothing more than media bla, bla, bla. They are great theatrics for the pledging nations on the world stage. 

    The nations loudly promoting their net-zero pledges also helps hide the truth that the world's top 20 carbon emitters have made no commitments to directly and immediately cut their national fossil fuel use! 

    The correct 2025 targets now need to be enacted to compensate for 50 years of inaction. They will require tremendous sacrifice, suffering, and hardship for all the world's people, industries, and nations. Something no politician is willing to tell us.

    These 2025 global targets require that the world's developed nations enforce and come close to a 75% total reduction in ALL global fossil fuel use by 2025. In addition, these 2025 targets include lesser climate justice-adjusted targets for undeveloped countries, which did not play a major role in creating the global warming emergency. These 2025 national fossil fuel reductions of 75%  include China and India.

    To understand more about why government-driven and corporate-driven carbon net-zero programs are so dangerous to your near-term future survival, first read about what happens as we cross the first global warming extinction tipping point in the next 3-9 years, then read about the primary and secondary consequences that are and will occur when we cross this extinction-evoking tipping point.

    If you learn best by videos

    Here are two funny and informative net-zero and climate conference failure videos that are powerful yet, still underestimate the rapidly approaching extinction dangers we now face:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1FqXTCvDLeo

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QIyKmqEdgR4&t=57s

    In summary, "Carbon Net-Zero Pledges Equal Extinction"

    1. When you hear the many different carbon net-zero promises of our national politicians based on carbon offsetting by 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, or 2070, you can be fully assured they are leading us directly to Mutually Assured Climate Extinction (MACE) over the following several decades.

    2. Aiming for net-zero carbon using carbon offsets is much like the funny, powerful, and massively shared article by an Australian drinker who promises to get to net-zero alcohol intake by 2050. Click here to see this five short paragraph, highly relevant article that ties together much of what is being said above.  

    Please share this article. If you do not like anything about this article, please see our policy on necessary disruption.


  • published Astounding Climate Breakthrough in Blog 2021-11-23 17:02:52 -0800

    Biden's Astounding New Climate Breakthrough: The Way to Reduce Global Fossil Fuel Use is Actually to Increase Global Fossil Fuel Use!

    Wait what?       Joe Biden and the John Kerry Climate Clowns are forwarding this new way to reduce the global warming emergency. And it gets even better...

    Read more

  • The Four Major Climate Change Emergency Choice and Strategy Options

    COP 26 has just failed magnificently like the previous 25 climate conferences. So what choices and strategies do you have left?

     

    Read more

  • published Our Accomplishments in 2021 in About 2021-11-11 16:00:22 -0800

    The Job One for Humanity 2021 Accomplishments

    At or near the end of every year we share what we have done together for a better global warming future. What is most remarkable about the following list of 2021 accomplishments is that we have no paid staff! We do it all on about a $20,000 a year budget.

    Yes, everything was done by Job One volunteers (or a rare temporary independent contractor with critical skills that no one on our all-volunteer team has.) 

    These are our 2021 accomplishments:

    1. According to Google Analytics:

    a. Over 240,000 unique visitors have viewed our websites for our free educational materials.

    b. We have delivered over 5,100 hours of free online education on the global warming emergency and what we must do to create sustainable lifestyles and livelihoods.

    2. We published scores of new articles combating global warming misinformation, disinformation, and the well-funded denial of global warming's many dangerous and accelerating consequences. 

    3. We have many more new volunteers, memberships, and critical global warming emergency petition signatures.

     

     

    4. Far more Job One educated individuals are now working through global warming emergency preparation, adaptation, and other critical personal and collective fossil fuel reduction action steps found in the Job One for Humanity Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan

    5We have continued the bi-weekly updating of our ongoing team analysis of our worsening climate conditions. These updates are based on the newest research and current fossil fuel reduction activity or inactivity. (Click here to see that continuously updated climate consequence information.)

     

     

    6. We widely distribute our brutally honest dialectical, meta-systemic analysis of the climate's many complex adaptive systems and sub-systems.

    This widely distributed meta-systemic analysis is slowly but surely, influencing the leadership at other prominent climate change and environmental organizations.

     

     

    We see the influence of our meta-systemic climate analysis work in the changes in other organizations' global warming terminology, their new discussions of global warming's extinction-level consequences, and their new deadlines and tactics for reducing global fossil fuel use. 

    7. We have had exponentially more shares and likes of our original global warming articles in dozens of Facebook climate and environmental groups and on our websites!

     

     

    8. Because of our candid climate education, more individuals realize the seriousness of the global warming emergency and value the many effective action recommendations found within our Job One Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan. 

     

     

    As global warming consequences continue to accelerate, the regularly updated Job One Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan makes the lives and businesses of those using it far safer and more stable!

    9. We have been actively pushing for declaring a worldwide Global Warming State of Emergency since 2010. At the 2021 COP26 Climate Conference in Glasgow, Scotland, Greta Thunberg very publicly made that same demand to the conference attendees.

     

     

    10. Because we are educating and motivating far more individuals and executing our mission, we have had far more new donors and more donation support than any other year since 2009! 

    And last but not least,

    Together we have done a lot this year! To help us do even more in 2022, we invite you to help keep this work going and be an essential part of the global warming solution by supporting our mission. So, if you can afford it, please become either a one-time donor or an annual member!

     

     

    If you can make a tax-deductible donation, you also will get $35 in wonderful gifts and a whole lot more! 

    To make a secure one-time online donation, click this donation link. 

    To make a reoccurring monthly donation, click here. 

    Yours for our children and the future,

     

       

      

    Lawrence Wollersheim

    Executive Director

    Job One for Humanity & Universe Spirit

    PS: If you would like to see how we will wisely and frugally use your donations in 2022, click here.

    PSS: Go here to see this special membership promotion and everything that is included!

    We always are profoundly grateful for any size donation! 

    Job One for Humanity is part of the 25-year-old 501c(3), IRS-recognized, US tax-deductible not-for-profit organization called Factnet. Guidestar (the respected guide to ethical nonprofits) recognizes us for our financial transparency.


  • The History of IPCC Errors and Failures

    Introduction

    Below you will find the five big reasons why the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its 25 previous global climate conferences have fallen into public disrepute. You will discover the many illusions and delusions that surround and are promoted by these two entities that are dangerous to the future of humanity.  

     

     

    In this article, you also will discover why the above climate conference and IPCC characterizations are fair and accurate, but first, we have to separate the innocent from the guilty.

    When talking about the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences, we are not talking about the hundreds of honorable climate scientists who volunteer their time and submit their climate studies to the IPCC for evaluation or these conferences. Instead, we are talking about the IPCC and its climate administrators and organizers.

    We are not saying that the IPCC and its 25 previous climate conferences have not done some good over their decades of existence. Of course, they have, but the harms they are doing now and the illusions they are perpetuating are so significant and critical to our future survival, we are obligated to disclose them for the well-being of all humanity. 

    In this article, you will learn how these administrators and organizers take climate research from volunteer scientists and politicize and twist its analysis in ways that definitely do not serve the overall wellbeing of the world's citizens or the many underdeveloped nations of the world. At the end of this article, you will also find a call to action for what you can do to help fix what you will find below.

    For a quick overview of the article here are its sections:

    1. The three big reasons the IPCC's climate conferences should be panned then ignored by you and the world's media,

    2. The BIG takeaways from reviewing decades of well-documented climate conference and IPCC results,

    3. An additional critical fourth reason the many IPCC global climate conferences and climate agreements have not reduced global fossil fuel emissions but have only worsened them, the net-zero carbon neutral illusion and smokescreen

    4. Are the IPCC and its climate conferences trying to help us by hiding a lost cause from us?

    5. What you won't be hearing from the climate conference final reports,

    6. What you most likely will be hearing from the climate conference final reports,

    7. Should the setting of global fossil-fuel reduction targets and predicting the timetables of global warming consequences now be removed from the IPCC and its climate conferences?

    8.  Concluding and summarizing thoughts,

    9. What you can do about the IPCC and climate conference false information nightmare.

    The five big and dangerous reasons The IPCC and its climate conferences should be panned then ignored 

    Reason One: The IPCC and the many previous climate conferences are doing the same failed actions over and over again and expecting a different result. 

    Doing the same thing over and over then expecting a different result is the textbook definition of insanity! Yet, if you look at the IPCC's climate conference result graphs below, you will see this collective insanity in all its haunting splendor.

    The first graph shows atmospheric carbon (CO2) in parts per million (the jagged red line below.) Atmospheric carbon is one of the single best measurements for how we are doing in reducing global fossil fuel use. (Atmospheric carbon is measured annually in atmospheric parts per million [ppm] at Mauna Loa, Hawaii.) 

    As you can see below, atmospheric carbon is not slowing down or stopping. Instead, it is accelerating at an even faster rate as the steepness of the jagged red line increases. The carbon graph below embarrassingly shows the net result of fifty years of climate warnings, thirty-three climate conferences, and half a dozen international agreements to reduce the global warming causing carbon in the atmosphere! 

     

     

    But there is more.

    The next graph below includes the other atmospheric greenhouse gasses like methane and nitrous dioxide as well as carbon. The orange line shows all of the greenhouse gases in what is called the CO2 equivalent (also in parts per million.) 

    The blue line in the graph below shows the total amount of carbon still going up into our atmosphere in gigatons. A gigaton is vastly more than a normal ton! (One gigaton of carbon in the atmosphere is equal to 109 tonnes of carbon which written out is 1,000,000,000 tons of carbon or 1012 kg.) Take a moment and try to get your mind around the insane amount of new carbon we are still putting into our atmosphere each year!

    Under the blue line are listed various climate conferences and our earliest warnings that global warming was a real extinction threat.

    Even beyond the massive environmental damage caused by global warming consequences, with this much carbon going into the atmosphere, there is little wonder why ten million individuals are dying every year from the diseases and other health effects of toxic air pollution caused by burning fossil fuels and the immense amounts of carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gasses we are adding to our atmosphere.

    The next graph also shows the direct results of all of the climate conferences. If you look closely at the light gray dotted lines (below) rising from left to right, you will see that the average annual additional parts per million increases for atmospheric carbon is now growing exponentially. It should be going down! 

     

     

    What is illuminated in the light five gray lines on the graph above is critical additional proof of just how bad the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences are doing in lowering global fossil fuel use. In the 1960s, you can see we were adding .9 more carbon ppm per year. In the 1970s, we were adding 1.3 more carbon ppm per year. In the 1980s and 1990s, we were adding 1.5 more carbon ppm per year. In the 2000s, we were adding 2.0 more carbon ppm per year. And in the 2010s, we were adding 2.4 more carbon ppm per year. Although not in the graph below, in the 2020s, we are adding about 3.0 more carbon ppm per year and we are currently at about the carbon 420 ppm level.

    As you can see, despite all the IPPC's actions and climate conferences (listed above the red line), the amount of additional carbon ppm going into the atmosphere on an annual basis has tripled and risen exponentially since the 1970s. This unconscionable triple acceleration of more and more carbon being released each year is now pushing us into out-of-control climate change and a new and extreme future climate.

    Unfortunately, there is still more. The utter failure of the IPCC and its two dozen-plus climate conferences is further illuminated by the atmospheric methane CH4 graph below. When viewing this methane graph, keep in mind that atmospheric methane is about 80 times more effective than atmospheric carbon in increasing global warming. (The atmospheric methane graph below is in parts per billion [ppb].) 

     

     

    One odd thing to keep in mind about methane is that the fossil fuel lobby has successfully prevented the US government from measuring or tracking atmospheric methane in the US. Can you imagine why the fossil fuel industry does not want you to know how much atmospheric methane they release?

    Looking at all four graphs and their unique measurements above does clearly show the success or failure of previous climate conferences, climate agreements, and the IPCC. As you have discovered, not only are carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gases not slowing down or stopping, they are increasing. Worse yet, most of them are not growing gradually; they have begun to increase exponentially!

    This begs a key question to be resolved. How could one explain such continuous failure or incompetence over decades unless there are other possible hidden factors at work? 

    Reason Two: The IPCC and its climate conference's global fossil fuel reduction targets have been politicized for the benefit of the 28 trillion dollars a year oil-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries

    There are several easy-to-understand examples of how the fossil fuel producers and fossil fuel industries might have compromised the IPCC and the climate conference results. The first example is how the IPCC's global fossil fuel reduction target calculations were cleverly manipulated to allow the fossil fuel industry to keep selling even more of its toxic product. 

    Example One: The "cooking of the fossil fuel reduction books" was done by the administrators and bureaucrats of the IPCC. Their current global fossil fuel reduction calculations make massive allowances for the existence of carbon-sucking unicorns (aka carbon capture technology), which by their estimates, would not even be effective until about 2050, if ever! 

    This 2050 "miracle" new technology was supposed to quickly suck hundreds of gigatons of carbon out of the atmosphere and save us from extinction at the very last minute. Yet, when they did the calculations to create the current global fossil fuel reduction targets for the years leading up to 2050, they already knew that no carbon capture and removal technology had yet to be proven:

    a. at anything even close to the enormous scale that would be needed to remove hundreds of gigatons of atmospheric carbon to save us in time,

    b. at any tolerable economic efficiency to do anything even close to removing the hundreds of gigatons of atmospheric carbon at the last minute to save us from extinction, and

    c. not to have even worse unintended side effects on the climate and the world. (This unproven technology could have side effects that could cause severe, unpredictable droughts or other climate catastrophes in many parts of the world. Moreover, nations starving and suffering from these unforeseen side effects could respond with a  conventional attack or a nuclear counterattack creating WWIII.)

    There are many other details to the magical carbon-sucking unicorn story, which further removes legitimacy from the IPCC's current global warming fossil fuel reduction targets. (All of the verification and documentation for the magical carbon-sucking unicorn story can be found here.)

    Example Two: Because of its politicization, the IPCC and its conferences also grossly underestimate the consequences and timelines of global warming so much that it allows them to further lower the real global fossil fuel reduction targets that are needed. This politicization and underestimation issue has gone on for decades and is well documented on this page. But, before you read the IPCC underestimation documentation page, here is a little teaser that describes the bureaucratic research, analysis, and summary approval process at the IPCC that should outline this problem.

    What surprises many individuals is that the IPCC itself does not do original global warming research. Instead, working as unpaid volunteers, thousands of scientists from around the globe sift through the most current scientific literature on global warming and the climate. After completing this review, these unpaid scientists identify trends, write a draft report, and submit it to the IPCC.

    Next, the IPCC reviews the submitted research from these scientists. This review typically takes five to seven years to complete. Then, in a tediously slow and bureaucratic process, the IPCC creates comprehensive reports and assessments, including global warming prediction scenarios. Then, in the near to last step, other scientists take the assembled draft again and review and revise it as needed.

    Finally, a summary for national politicians and policymakers is written. This additional review condenses the science even further. This new and final public summary report is then subjected to a line-by-line review and possible revision by non-scientist national representatives from more than 100 world governments. These non-scientist national representatives must each approve the final summary document before it is signed and presented to the public.

    Example Three: The IPCC and its climate conferences have repeatedly failed to include calculations and allowances for few if any of the hundreds of essential climate system and subsystem tipping points. This absence is dangerous because a crossed climate tipping point is usually followed by a sudden and drastic change in that area or a complete area collapse. Furthermore, a crossed tipping point in one area of the climate system also often triggers crossing more tipping points in other areas of our intimately connected climate system. Thus, one crossed climate tipping point in the right place can create a tipping point feedback loop of more and more tipping points being crossed.

    Once a climate tipping point is crossed, it is far more time-consuming and difficult for that area to recover and re-establish its original condition. Yet, in their predictions, it seems the IPCC and its climate conferences want you to believe that either climate tipping points do not exist or that we will not cross them. This is because they rarely, if ever, appear as a part of their global warming scenario calculations. (For more information about the climates 11 major tipping points and how these tipping points are already unfolding, click here.)

    A big takeaway here is that because of the three examples above, the IPCC and its climate conference's current global fossil fuel reduction targets are so underestimated and corrupted that they are not only useless, they are dangerous to use! Moreover, if we use these underestimated targets, much of humanity will be dead by 2050, and the rest of us will go extinct over the following decades. (If you are interested, the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets that can save humanity from extinction are found on this page.)

    At some point, we still recommend reading the detailed IPCC history of underestimation, which is on this page. We also strongly recommend you watch this video by Peter Carter. It covers more about the sad history of the IPCC, its many conferences, and its continuous global fossil fuel reduction failures.

    Reason Three: The IPCC and its climate conferences operate under the irrational and impossible to achieve principle that "society's emergency transformation away from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not ever hurt national or global economies"

    The IPCC and its climate conferences appear to always forward solutions that "will not or must not" harm the economies of the most powerful UN members. But, this principle that transforming fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not hurt the world's economies is an incorrect and insane handicap that cripples legitimate and effective solutions.

    There are several reasons for this economic principle being wrong in the case of our extinction emergency

    Reason One: We have wasted 50 years of global warming extinction warnings when we could have made gradual fossil fuel use reductions that could have allowed a more gradual transfer to green energy generation with minimal economic damage.

    That time has long passed! Our current extinction danger demands that neither the profits of a few corporations nor the wellbeing of any economy has any true priority over the survival-critical need to immediately avert a soon-arriving mass extinction. 

    Reason Two: The most important economic factor that we should be facing concerning moving from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation is that a mass human die-off will unfold until much of humanity is dead by mid-century. This is because if we do not fix this extinction emergency by getting close to the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, the global economy will most certainly be economically ruined far beyond any crash or disaster that has ever occurred in history. 

    There will be massive job loss beyond anything ever imagined simply because so much of humanity will be dead. The real estate, stock, and commodity markets will also crash for similar reasons, lack of living customers, and social chaos.

    Reason Three: If your nation was under attack and its very survival was a stake, your military generals would naturally want to launch an immediate defense and counter-attack. In this case, no one would ever tell them that they could do that because it would hurt the national economy. 

    This example is no different from the global warming extinction emergency. All of humanity is now under global warming attack. 

    All of humanity's survival is at stake if we do not act immediately to get close to the 2025 targets. Therefore, no sane or financially uncompromised individual (or group) has any legitimate right to demand that "the only way we can take the critical actions to survive (our global warming defenses and counter-attack) is to make sure that these actions do not harm or affect the economy. 

    In other words, the correct economic principle must now be "we must fix the global warming extinction emergency because of its imminent extinction threat, even if it harms economies temporarily! If we do not follow this critical humanity-saving new economic principle, the global economy will eventually and definitely crash, taking all nations with it and, our global warming future will go wildly out of our control.

    The BIG takeaways from reviewing the above decades of well-documented climate conference and IPCC results

    There are several key takeaways from the information above:

    1. If you have thought about the above information, you probably wonder how the intentions, will, and wellbeing of billions of people worldwide could be so ignored and thwarted decade after decade by the IPCC and its scores of conferences? Billions of people want safe air to breathe and a future free of the unthinkable destruction of accelerating global warming consequences.

    To thwart the intentions of billions of individuals for a safe future and health over a five-decade period would take nothing less than an extraordinary, continuous, and even stronger counter intention. We at Job One for Humanity believe the evidence points to the hidden hand of fossil fuel-producing nations and the fossil fuel-related industries. (This is not unreasonable because the fossil fuel industry wields the financial power of 1/3 of the world's total gross domestic product [GDP.]) 

    What you see in the above graphs is not mere incompetence or honest mistakes. You see the decades-long hidden corruption and co-opting of the IPCC and its climate conferences by fossil fuel interests and their financial resources. 

    To put this statement into scale and a pausable perspective, all one has to do is recall that in the US, the far smaller cigarette industry thwarted almost all regulation and hazardous product warmings through false research studies, lobbyists, and large donations to favorably politicians, etc. for 50 years! 

    2. The popular media worldwide has also played an essential part in promoting and maintaining this decades-long charade of false hope and underestimated global warming reduction targets. This is partly because in many cases, the big media companies are wholly or partially owned by the fossil fuel-related industries. With the fossil fuel industries having such a large financial influence over the major media companies, it is easy to understand why the media has not exposed this tragic and ongoing dangerous fraud. And,

    3. An old saying is that, if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it's a duck! The same could be said for the IPCC and its scores of climate conferences. If it looks like it's protecting the fossil fuel industry profits and has in fact protected fossil fuel earnings with bogus reduction targets, it has been corrupted by the fossil fuel industry.

    Reason 4: Why the many IPCC global climate conferences and climate agreements have not reduced global fossil fuel emissions but have only worsened them, the net-zero, carbon-neutral illusion and smokescreen

    Honest, independent, and non-politicized climate researchers have been trying to tell the world for over 50 years humanity is facing extinction. These researchers have been begging us to begin immediate global fossil fuel use reductions to come as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to survive the extinction threat. 

    The 2025 global reduction targets are not anything like the fossil fuel industry-sponsored national net-zero carbon neutral targets, which nations are saying they will reach by 2070, 2060, 2050, 2040, or even 2030! For instance, India has pledged it will be net-zero by 2070, and China promised it will be net-zero by 2060. With much theatrical media coverage, Saudi Arabia also announced it will become net-zero emission by 2060. (Including the US at net zero by 2050, India and China make up the world's three largest carbon emitters.)

    But, there are big secrets concerning the net-zero carbon-neutral pledges. They, too, are feel-good illusions that do not produce anything even close to what is being promised. 

    These net-zero pledges are based predominantly on carbon offsetting. A carbon offset is supposed to reduce global carbon dioxide emissions or other greenhouse gases by compensating with emissions produced elsewhere. Unfortunately, carbon offsets are very difficult to verify, have considerable incentives for fraud, and are easy to fake by both purchasers and the suppliers of such carbon offsets. Additionally, carbon offsets have either no penalties or weak penalties for fraud. 

    James Hansen, the first climate scientist who warned us unchecked global warming would lead to our extinction, has described carbon offsets as "modern-day indulgences, sold to an increasingly carbon-conscious public to absolve their climate sins." Carbon offsets may also be interpreted as greenwashing. This is especially true in the case of most corporate commitments, which do not include actionable goals and schedules that implicate that their 'net-zero' emission goals are anything more than good publicity.

    Theoretically, carbon offsets were meant to support projects that reduce the emission of greenhouse gases in the short or long term. A common offset project type is renewable energy, such as wind farms, biomass energy, biogas digesters, or hydroelectric dams. Other offsets include:

    • Energy efficiency projects like efficient cookstoves.
    • The destruction of industrial pollutants or agricultural byproducts.
    • The destruction of landfill methane.
    • Forestry projects.

    But, that is not what is really happening. Instead, carbon offsets have become another clever way for nations to make fabulous public net-zero pledges, which facilitate hiding their lack of actual fossil fuel reduction from their citizens and the world. 

    In addition to the fraud-friendly carbon offset issue, most net-zero carbon neutral pledges are back-end loaded, meaning most of the cuts are to come well after 2025. (Our last chance fossil fuel reduction target for keeping global warming under our control.) 

    Most of these "emperors' new clothes" pledges also assume steady major technological advances in currently non-existent or unproven technologies or outright revolutionary tech breakthroughs that will somehow reach the required levels of development and scale to save us at the last moment. These net-zero carbon-neutral pledges are just another form of illusion keeping us from making the real and hard choices. These pledges also specifically exclude all fossil fuel exports from figuring into the national accounting and calculations for the net-zero pledge goals. As you can see, net-zero carbon-neutral pledges have more loopholes than a swiss cheese has holes. 

    Unfortunately, there is yet more to the net-zero carbon neutral illusion:

    a. Tracing the history of illusions in climate policy from 1988 to 2021, climate scientists James Dyke, Robert Watson, and Wolfgang Knorr "[arrive] at the painful realization that the idea of net-zero has licensed a recklessly cavalier "burn now, pay later" approach which has seen carbon emissions continue to soar!

    b. In his 16-page report, Dangerous Distractions, economist Marc Lee states that "'Net-zero" has the potential to be a dangerous distraction that reduces the political pressure to achieve actual emission reduction." "A net-zero target means less incentive to get to 'real zero' emissions from fossil fuels, an escape hatch that perpetuates business as usual and delays more meaningful climate action." 

    c. Current net-zero policies will not keep warming within the UN's 1.5°C temperature rise target because they were never intended to. They were and still are driven by a need to protect business as usual, not the climate. If we want to keep people safe, then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen now. The time for wishful thinking is over.

    d. In March 2021, Tzeporah Berman, chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, argued that the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty would be a more genuine and realistic way to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement than the "Net-zero" approach. She claimed the net-zero approach is "delusional and based on bad science." 

    (The above four statements were found on Wikipedia.)

    The current net-zero pledges by the world's top fossil fuel users and producers are telling and sadly funny. If we keep going as we are now, by 2050 - 2070, there will be few, if any, of us left to see if any nation even fulfilled its ridiculously "far too little, far too late" net-zero pledges. 

    The toothless, unenforceable, and vague net-zero pledges should be seen as nothing more than media bla, bla, bla. They are great theatrics for the pledging nations on the world stage. 

    The nations loudly promoting their net-zero pledges also helps hide the truth that the world's top 20 carbon emitters have made no commitments to directly and immediately cut their national fossil fuel use! 

    The correct 2025 targets now need to be enacted to compensate for 50 years of inaction. They will require tremendous sacrifice, suffering, and hardship for all the world's people, industries, and nations. 

    These 2025 global targets require that the world's developed nations enforce and come close to a 75% total reduction in ALL global fossil fuel use by 2025. In addition, these 2025 targets include lesser climate justice-adjusted targets for undeveloped countries, which did not play a major role in creating the global warming emergency. These 2025 national fossil fuel reductions of 75%  include China and India.

    Are the IPCC and its climate conferences trying to help us by hiding a lost cause from us?

    If we attribute the most positive intentions to the IPCC and the attendees of its global climate conferences, one could easily believe that the IPCC, our governments, and even the fossil fuel-related industries were actually trying to prevent a worldwide loss of hope to prevent a global panic. So, if we do attribute the most positive intentions to the fossil fuel industry, the fossil fuel industry was forced to corrupt and co-opt the IPCC and its climate conferences to save humanity from the painful truth that much of humanity will be dead by 2050.

    It is reasonable to believe that they believed the climate truth and future would create widespread global panic if it were known by the general public ahead of time. Therefore making everyone think we are safe with a big lie about the global warming emergency would be a necessary and "good" thing in the mind of those who do not believe in the resilience of humanity.

    Panic is defined as "a hurried frenzy to do something." If panic helps get something done that is life-critical, then panic is the appropriate evolutionary emotion that needs to be used!

    What the IPCC (and its fossil fuel industry handlers) have underestimated concerning public panic is that there are still years left for the public to get prepared and start adapting to the radical climate catastrophes that are coming. They have also failed to understand that society's wisest individuals and businesses are already preparing resilience backup plans. And, the rest of society will start doing the same sometime after they watch global conditions deteriorate a bit further.

    What the IPCC, its fossil fuel industry handlers, and these climate conferences attendees do not apparently value is that to prevent a panic where panic is the appropriate and needed response to an impending catastrophe, it is far more dangerous and destructive to hide the valid reasons why the world's citizens should be at the highest alertness and action level concerning this accelerating global warming catastrophe.

    On the other hand, if you apply the principle of Occam's Razor that the simplest and most obvious explanation is often the best explanation, the fossil fuel industry has corrupted and co-opted the IPCC and its climate conferences simply because it wanted to continue to maintain its profits for as long as possible. 

    So here is what we now still face. We have to get close to the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. if we don't, We will lose much of humanity (more than 50%) by mid-century.

    Worse yet, we will also cross tipping points into uncontrollable runaway global warming and near-total extinction just a few decades after mid-century. (If you still believe that much of humanity dying off by mid-century is not possible or probable, please read this amazing page. It will explain in great detail all of the primary and secondary global warming-related consequences which will lead us close to inevitable extinction.) 

    Based on what we have been discussing, it's time to have some fun with what could or should be happening next.

    What you will not hear from the IPCC or in its climate conference final reports

    The following is what you should hear based on objective, non-politicized climate science. And yes, there is no chance that we will hear the following from any official statement at the end of any climate conference.

    Here is what they should be saying.  

    We, the IPCC and previous climate conference attendeesformally apologize to generations X, Y, and Z, all older world citizens, and the most at-risk underdeveloped nations for:

    a. failing to get the world's governments to declare a national and international global warming state of emergency. (This would greatly facilitate those governments allocating all necessary personnel and resources to ensure the correct actions needed to get them close to their 2025 national fossil fuel reduction targets.)

    b. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments and getting them to understand that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, much (51% or more) of humanity will be dead by mid-century. We also should have made it painfully clear that most of these global warming-related deaths will occur within the poor and undeveloped countries between the 40th parallel north and the 4Oth parallel south.

    In the image below, the red line marks the 40th parallel north. The yellow line marks the 40th parallel south.

     

     

    We have repeatedly hidden these facts and failed to make the world and the world's politicians understand that escalating global warming is an imminent extinction threat. It will not be much different in total human deaths, suffering, and many other consequences than if a planet killer asteroid hit the earth about mid-century. (Imagine what happened in the Hollywood movies Deep Impact or Greenland). 

    (To learn why it is critical to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, please go to this page which explains the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points which we will rapidly cross if we do not get close to reaching the 2025 targets.)

    c. not continuously telling the leaders of the world's governments that if we do not get close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction targets, there also is a high probability humanity will suffer near-total extinction beginning by about 2070. (To learn about how this near-total global warming extinction process will occur, please see the primary and secondary warming-related consequences.)

    d. failing to educate and prepare the world's citizens for the many severe and unavoidable consequences of our 50 years of climate inaction or ineffective action. We must now endure painful sacrifice and immense suffering as we radically cut global fossil fuel use to come close to the 2025 targets to save a liveable future for some of humanity and their children.

    e. repeatedly failing to state the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets while simultaneously, making the public falsely believe in the illusion that if we simply reached net-zero emissions by 2040, 2050, or some other date far beyond 2025, humanity would be safe from extinction.

    f. manipulating and "cooking" the global fossil fuel reduction target calculations by including inappropriate compensatory calculations involving unproven carbon capture technologies. We knew that carbon capture was not proven at scale, was not even remotely economically possible, or tested for possible even worse side effects. Yet, we still included carbon capture compensatory calculations for our global fossil fuel reduction targets even though we knew carbon capture would not be a viable solution in time to save us from the worst extinction level consequences of global warming. This carbon capture scheme was another one of the many geoengineering type illusions we have promoted to help create a false sense of progress, future safety, and that some new technology breakthrough will save us at the last minute from extinction.

    g. promoting other carbon capture schemes to achieve net-zero emissions like Cap-and-Trade, which also create an illusion of safety and will not work in time to save us from global warming's worst consequences! We have failed to adequately disclose to the public that natural, technical, and economic carbon capture schemes are difficult to get up to scale up, verify, or enforce, and they are far too easy to cheat on. 

    h. failing to repeatedly state that the most direct and honest way to make the critically needed global fossil fuel reductions to the required levels in time to save us, is, to simply and immediately drastically reduce fossil fuel use! This now requires enforcing national targets to come close to the correct 2025 global fossil reduction target levels.

    i. repeatedly failing to push the world's governments to agree to enforce these 2025 targets and agree that if they fail to enforce their national targets, they acknowledge they will be punished economically by the world community on an escalating basis until they do meet their agreed-to national fossil fuel reduction targets. 

    j. making world citizens believe that we were making progress in reducing global fossil fuel use when it was actually getting worse, much worse!

    k. wasting decades of legitimate scientific warnings when global fossil fuel reductions could still have been gradual and far more manageable.

    l. hiding the true urgency and severity of the current global warming extinction emergency. 

    m. unfairly creating recommendations, fossil fuel reduction targets, and policies that favor the wealthiest nations over the poorer nations and act to ignore or minimize climate justice concerns and principles. And finally,

    n. being corrupted and co-opted by the fossil fuel industry to invisibly serve its profit-maintenance goals rather than the wellbeing of all current world citizens, all nations, and future generations.

    If by chance, there was a rebellion at any climate conference, and they could seize control away from the invisible, hidden hand of the fossil fuel industry and the wealthiest nations, the above list would be a perfect climate conference closing summary statement and apology to the world.

    What you most likely will continue to hear from in highly politicized climate conference final reports

    .The hidden hand of the fossil fuel industry will still be influencing global fossil fuel reduction amounts at current and future climate conferences. We will hear more of the same; "if we only reach net-zero by 2050 or we reach net-zero by 2040 or 2030," we will still be able "to have our cake and eat it too."

    Ultimately, the IPCC and these conferences will still be trying to feed us that we can reduce global fossil fuel use just enough to maintain a growing economy without drastic reductions or the painful sacrifices of our fossil fuel-linked comforts. And that is delusional thinking at its worst!

    We will also hear about geoengineering as a great new solution to global warming that will again allow us to keep all of our current fossil fuel comforts and do little to reduce our current fossil fuel use. We will be fed other tech solutions that simply won't work with the limited amount of time we have left (until 2025.) We will hear about many other bright and shiny new solutions that simply can't overcome the laws of physics and mathematics behind the growing hundreds of gigatons of carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gases that we have already put into our atmosphere.

    You also will hear a litany of highly theatrical yet toothless net-zero pledges by the representatives of the world's nations promising this time they really will reduce their nation's total fossil fuel use. These pledges will, of course, be without any practical method of verification, enforcement, or punishment if that particular government fails to meet its commitment.

    If you have been paying attention to this farse, you will see that our global "car for a safe future" is racing towards a cliff with no one driving with adequate control. You will see the current and future climate conference attendees meekly sitting in the back seat re-arranging the deck chairs on the Titanic as we are racing toward the iceberg and going over the climate cliff to extinction.

    Should setting global fossil-fuel reduction targets and predicting the timetables of global warming consequences now be removed from the IPCC and its conferences? 

    Just for the sake of argument, suppose that the IPCC and its climate conferences have not been corrupted and co-opted by the insatiable profit needs of the gigantic global fossil fuel industry. Even in this case, the IPCC and the climate conferences should still be panned and ignored.

    The reason is simple. IPCC and the climate conferences are the wrong sources from which proposed regulation for the fossil fuel industry should be made. This wrong source concept is valid because of basic common sense and the long-standing conflict of interest regulatory principle.

    This principle states you never have individuals or organizations regulating or overseeing the same industries they are paid by because of the inherent conflict of interest. In the case of the IPCC and its climate conferences, their operational funding comes in significant part from the wealthiest oil-producing nations and indirectly from the fossil fuel-related industries. But, what should we now do about this proposed wrong source for fossil fuel industry regulation?

    We believe that the world should begin exploring other options for honest predictions and honest global fossil fuel reduction targets wherever there are not such glaring conflicts of interest. One possibility is to have independent, non-political think tanks funded by the world's citizens take over the tasks of analyzing and summarizing the research of the current volunteer climate scientists. This way, we might get an honest climate analysis and the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets that will help us avoid mass extinction.

    Everything is at stake here! If we do not get the global warming extinction emergency under control, the extinction of humanity and the collapse of global civilization is a rapidly approaching reality. This extinction level of importance and responsibility is far, far beyond the IPCC's compromised and co-opted bureaucrats, administrators, and climate attendees. That is why we now need to consider alternative analysis and recommendation sources for the future.

    Reason 5: The world's leading authority on climate change, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC,] is not accurately telling our governments what they need to know to save us from total extinction because of the IPCC's "Perfect Day" problem.

    Our governments are in serious climate risk analysis trouble because they rely upon the IPCC's "authoritative" climate consequence scenario projections and remedies. Moreover, the world's military, intelligence agencies, hedge funds, investment banks (like Goldman Sachs,) stock and commodity markets, foundations, think tanks, national and international reserve banks, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the World Economic Forum all use the same IPCC climate research, predictions, and remedies for their climate risk analysis.

    All of the previously mentioned entities are being dangerously weakened by what is known as the IPCC's climate computer modeling "Perfect Day" problem. 

    The Perfect Day problem and how it works 

    The IPCC uses computer modeling to predict future climate consequences and calculate how much fossil fuel we must reduce globally to keep ourselves safe. Every 3 to 5 years, the IPCC creates 4-7 updated best to worst climate prediction scenarios and what we must do to prevent them from occurring. 

    The governments, organizations, corporations, and individuals that rely upon these IPCC climate scenarios to create their internal climate risk analyses are being told by the IPCC and their governments these climate scenarios are reasonably accurate projections of probable future climate conditions. But, unfortunately, the truth is they are far from it.

     

    The IPCC's climate computer models actually reflect "Perfect Day" climate scenarios far more than they reflect more probable climate scenarios. The IPCC's climate computer models are plagued with this "Perfect Day" problem because they seldom include most of the following critical climate modeling factors. These are the critical climate-related but missing factors that regularly and routinely occur both within and between the complex adaptive systems within our climate's multiple systems and subsystems. 

    The IPPC's climate computer models and multiple predictive scenarios still fail to capture:

    a. almost all of the primary and secondary tipping points within and between the climate system and its subsystems. 

    b. most of the powerful self-reinforcing feedback loops within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. 

    c. most of the non-linear cause and effect relationships within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. (Non-linear cause and effect relationships are a regular aspect of the behavior of complex adaptive systems.)

    d. many of the cause and effect interconnections and critical interdependencies within and between the climate system and its subsystems. And,

    e. many critical points of no return within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. (These crucial points of no return help signal and predict coming tipping points and most often dangerous system crashes and collapses that occur after a tipping point is crossed.)

    The result of omitting the essential a-e factors above from climate computer models is what you get is more like a Perfect Day prediction scenario, where either none or far too few of the a-e factors are accounted for within the computer-modeled climate predictions. 

    The crucial thing to know about items a - e above is that they embrace thousands of essential and utterly unaccounted-for climate factors that are also at play in creating reliable and probable climate predictions and risk assessments. Moreover, many of the climate factors listed in a-e above are so powerful that just omitting a single one can radically alter the trajectory and usefulness of any of the IPCC's current climate prediction scenarios or suggested remedies.

    For example, suppose the IPCC has predicted that the average global temperature will rise to 2 degrees Celcius above pre-industrial levels by 2040 in one of their multiple prediction scenarios. Now factor in that they did not add to that computer model essential tipping points, feedback loops, or other non-linear cause and effect factors within the climate system and its subsystems. In that case, this a-e omission could quickly move their predicted average global temperature rise of 2 degrees Celsius by 2040 (with all of its associated risks and consequences) to far more than 2 degrees Celsius far sooner than 2040!  

    Worse yet, the world's political, corporate and the leaders of the other organizations mentioned earlier do not know about the Perfect day issue, which is that the IPCC predictions and their remedial climate recommendations do not reliably computer model the contexts, relationships, processes, and many ongoing transformations within the interacting climate, human and biological systems, and subsystems. 

    This "Perfect Day" problem means that the REAL climate risk and threat probabilities for humanity's climate future are being grossly underestimated! Unfortunately, this also means that our governments, largest corporations, and the leaders of the other organizations mentioned earlier are ALL currently operating on grossly inadequate climate risk assessments. As a result, within these organizations, our current climate condition's actual risk and threat levels and its fundamental uncertainties are far higher than what they understand and what we are being told. Consequently, we are currently not managing or preparing for our actual climate risks and uncertainties. 

    At Job One, we estimate that if you take all of the factors in a-e above (and all the IPCC's many other political, prediction modeling, and summary report problems described in the additional links at the end of this page), we should treat the IPCC's current predictions and climate remedies as being underestimated on the average by about 20-40%. This means we are underestimating both the severity and frequency of climate consequences and when these climate consequences will arrive by about 20-40%. 

    If one makes these 20-40% reasonable allowances for non-perfect day climate items in a-e above and the other IPPC problems linked at the end of this page, the world's governments and corporations should be panicking.

    On the other hand, if they were making appropriate allowances for the many a-e missing climate factors and risks, the corporations listed previously would demand our governments immediately declare an international climate extinction emergency. They would also demand that our governments cooperate globally to enforce the fossil fuel reductions needed to at least save some small portion of humanity. (If you would like to see the horrific chain of climate consequences with adjusted timelines when making allowances for the IPPC's problems, click here.)

    But, here is the really bad news about the climate system factors listed in a-e above. As the climate continues to heat, the climate and its subsystems will become more interactive, agitated, and unstable, and you will see many more of the a-e climate system factors occurring causing greater and greater climate disruption. 

    Imagine these a-e climate system factors interacting within the climate and churning and boiling like the water in a pressure cooker as you turn up the heat. Unfortunately, as our temperatures continue to rise, the a-e climate factors above will also occur at ever faster rates. This escalating rise in temperature will also create significantly more future climate predictive uncertainty. This will then lessen our ability to develop helpful risk analysis as the climate worsens.

    Knowing about this inherent dilemma of diminishing predictive power as temperatures rise helps let us know that we must prevent the climate system from EVER crossing this first extinction-triggering tipping point. If we cross this extinction-triggering tipping point, global warming will move into a runaway mode where reliable climate consequence predictions and timeframes will be all but impossible to construct.  

    Because of the Perfect Day problem and so much missing from the IPCC's computer climate modeling, any organization that uses the IPCC's data must immediately reevaluate their climate risks and adjust them at least, 20-40% to the negative. With this new modeling problem information, these organizations will then be able to create a far more realistic climate risk analysis for their specific operations and conditions. 

    The biggest danger of the IPCC Perfect Day problem

    The real climate change risk and threat level to all entities listed above is far beyond what they believe and are telling themselves, their citizens, or their clients. This serious risk analysis problem is not just dangerous. It will not only be very costly over time, but it also will likely turn into a serious legal liability for those entities as their citizens and clients discover the climate risk levels they were advised about were grossly underestimated. 

    The Perfect Day problem is also crippling our ability to find and use the correct collective climate change management strategies needed to save humanity itself. Because of the IPCC's Perfect Day problem, we are not dealing with the actual climate change risks appropriately and rationally.

    As a result, we are operating on incorrect climate change risk and threat assessments far below what they genuinely are. And, that will be the final recipe for a soon-arriving collective mass extinction.

    The climate change risk analysis the world is operating on from the IPCC makes the world think it still has many decades left to fix the climate change emergency and prevent extinction when at best, it only has about another 3-9 years. Yet, the IPCC continues to sell the world their grossly incomplete "Perfect Day" climate change prediction and remedy computer models and scenarios as reliable and probable representations of our climate future when they are grossly inadequate and underestimated!

    We believe that when the entities listed above redo their climate risk analysis using the information on this website and other websites critical of IPCC climate work, and which also includes the climate factors listed in a -e above, they will discover the following:

    1. We are currently at a level of extreme climate change risk. We passed high climate risk decades ago.
    2. When we cross the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 425 to 450 parts per million (ppm), we have entered the climate risk zone of unavoidable extinction for much of humanity by 2050. 
    3.  When we cross the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 450 to 500 ppm, we have entered the climate risk zone of near-total to total human extinction beginning as soon as 2070 or sooner.

     

    As you can see from the illustration above, for the last 65 years, atmospheric carbon levels have been getting worse even faster. As a result, we are about 3-9 years away from moving into the climate risk zone of unavoidable extinction for much of humanity by 2050.

    Building a plan, a risk analysis, or a climate scenario on everything going perfectly has always been the perfect plan for failure. Unfortunately, because of the above, our world is in a far deeper climate change extinction emergency than it believes it is in.

    And finally, there is another way to grasp the dire danger of the IPCC's Perfect Day problem. Ask yourself, when was the last time everything went perfectly according to your projected perfect plan?

    What can you do about the Perfect Day problem which is drastically impeding our progress on executing effective climate solutions?

    1. If you have any contacts with power at any of the organizations listed on this page, you can email them a copy of this article. It would help if you also referred them to this page. This page makes considerably better (but still not perfect) allowances for the IPCC's Perfect Day problem by more realistically adjusting climate consequence scenarios and timeframes to include and make allowances for more of the above a-e factors.

    Here are the key organizations to reach out to so they can update their internal critical climate risk analysis, so they become a better reflection of today's actual climate reality. You will be doing them a favor! Unfortunately, operating on the IPCC's flawed climate prediction scenarios for their internal climate risk analysis will eventually embarrass them. It could also expose them to severe legal liability for incorrect actions or incorrect advice.

    This risk updating process may also assist them in doing what is logical and necessary to help better manage our climate extinction emergency. There may be other entities you will think of as well: 

    World governments, the world's military, intelligence agencies, hedge funds, investment banks (like Goldman Sachs,) stock and commodity markets, foundations, think tanks, national and international reserve banks, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the World Economic Forum and corporations dealing with essential commodities and infrastructure needed for the future.

    2. Get started with the Job One for Humanity Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan.

    Other critical IPCC consequence prediction and timetable problems that rapidly need to be adjusted for in future government and corporate climate risk analysis 

    1. Click here to see the four most crucial extinction-triggering tipping points that must be factored into every adjusted future climate risk analysis.

    2. Click here to see how the accelerating primary and secondary consequences of climate change interact with and worsen humanity's 11 other major global crises.

    3. Click here to see the risk analysis adjusted 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    4. In addition to the "Perfect Day" problem previously described, below you will find essential additional links on the checkered history of the IPCC climate consequence predictions and research problems. These links will provide a valuable context for the relationships, processes, and climate research transformations going on within the IPPC.

    You will learn precisely how the IPCC constructs and calculates its climate consequence risk scenarios and recommended climate change remedies. Unfortunately, you also will discover that there are many other serious calculation and process problems going on within the IPCC in addition to the Perfect Day problem. The additional problems below further call into question the reliability and risk analysis usefulness of the IPCC's current prediction scenarios and climate remedies.

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the four key reasons why the IPCC's 26 global climate conferences have failed to produce results or legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Concluding and summarizing thoughts

    a. Despite all the IPPC's decades of actions and scores of climate conferences, the amount of additional atmospheric carbon in parts per million on an annual basis has tripled. Since the 1970s, it has been rising exponentially!

    b. Because of the many facts presented above, individuals, environmental groups, informed corporations, and concerned nations should pan, ignore and not support the IPCC and its climate conferences. We will not hear anything new from this new climate theatre that will reverse decades of increasing global fossil fuel use.

    c. The IPCC and its climate conferences create and promote dangerous illusions which perpetuate false hopes. These illusions and false hopes deny the correct urgency on the proper actions and falsely calm the general public. They continually act in a way that makes the public falsely believe progress is being made, their future will be safe, and some new technology or geoengineering (like carbon capture, etc.) will save them one second before the clock strikes midnight on our extinction.

    Organizations that intentionally or unintentionally create illusions about current progress or the correct solutions are the most counterproductive! Because of those illusions, a society, group, or individual believing the illusion may try to solve the wrong problem or enact the wrong solutions without ever realizing they are on the wrong course. 

    Creating illusionary solutions is particularly dangerous not only because it denies the correct solutions to the right problem, but also because it makes it near-impossible to avert passing real deadlines and crossing real tipping points. Moreover, when illusions block seeing a painful reality for what it is, it is far harder to make any changes that would be appropriate to improve that reality.

    d. The IPCC and its climate conferences continue to forward incorrect and incomplete climate analysis and gross consequence underestimation. Key areas of their reports and recommendations suffer from the continuous politicization of the analysis and recommendation process by fossil fuel producers, related fossil fuel industries, and their lobbyists.

    e. We now need to resoundingly reject the IPCC and its climate conferences' unreasonable demand that our transfer from fossil fuel energy generation to green energy generation must not harm global or national economies. Instead, we must replace this irrational barrier to resolving the global warming emergency with these realistic and correct principles:

    i. Principle one: "for the long-term wellbeing of our global economies we must fix the global warming extinction emergency. This is because there will be no remaining stable stock, commodity, or real estate markets or, economies in a global warming consequence fueled chaos as much of humanity dies off by mid-century.

    ii. Principle two: "the world's citizens must be taught that:

    1. We need to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets now to save humanity from extinction within a few decades. 

    2. The most direct and certain way to save humanity from extinction is to cut just global fossil fuel use immediately and ensure we get close to the real 2025 targets. And,

    3. To make the necessary fossil fuel cuts, we will have to make huge sacrifices of our everyday comforts. We also need to be willing to endure tremendous suffering to save humanity and the future." (To understand why this must be done by 2025click here.

    f. Because of the failures of the IPCC and its 25 previous conferences, we now face the IPCC's own worst projections for global temperature rise and related adverse consequences. Climate physics and its mathematics confirms we have a only small remaining window (until about 2025) to retain some reasonable control of our global warming future.

    g. It is time to publically and loudly call out the IPCC and its ineffective climate conferences for the fossil fuel industry co-opted failures they are! It is time for an honest broker for climate change analysis and global warming reduction global targets, consequences, and timetables.

    h. The continuous failures of the IPCC and its conferences beg the question. "Is it finally time to make an organizational climate change summary and analysis change?" The IPCC and its climate conferences have let the wolf into the hen house, and this hungry wolf, being what it is, will not stop eating until every "chicken" is dead. 

    i. We urgently need a non-political, genuinely independent, and qualified group of climate scientists to take over all the responsibilities and actions of the co-opted IPCC and its climate conferences. Just maybe with this change, we are almost out of time. Hopefully, we won't keep doing the same thing over and over, expecting a different result.

    Because of all of the above, it is now time for all of us to become disruptors! The necessity for disruption is obligatory when the scale of damage is so large and severe that one must disrupt the activities causing the genuine threat once they are understood. For example, if there were an understood real and probable threat that would cause the imminent extinction of humanity or destroy the biological or climate systems upon which humanity depends for its survival, one would be obligated to disrupt any organization and its policies or actions causing that threat. 

    You should now understand why the global warming extinction emergency or anything that speeds it up or illusions that prevent us from seeing it honestly to resolve it, requires our continual creative disruption. (To learn more about the policy of necessary or obligatory disruption including what to do and ethically how to do it, click here.)

    What you can do about this nightmare!

    We are in a battle for the survival of humanity. We have both an ethical and moral duty to call out offenders and act! Unfortunately, we also have squandered away five decades of inaction when the needed changes could have been gradual and more manageable. 

    There is no more time to wait or remain inactive. To work our way out of this rapidly accelerating nightmare, we must act immediately. Here is a list of ethical disruptive and necessary actions to begin to do your critical part before it is too late. Please help us get thousands of copies of this blog post flying all over the Internet, reaching every place and person where it should be to help reverse the ongoing UN climate conference tragic farse.

    a. Share this article everywhere you think it should go!

    b. Sign the global warming extinction emergency petition for our politicians. It is fast and easy. Click here to sign it.

    c. We need your help with emails and calls to get this article to everywhere it needs to go. Personalized calls and emails are always more effective than non-personalized calls and emails. If you are not calling or emailing this information to the people mentioned on the list below, and you want to print it and snail mail it, be sure to include the original post link here ( https://www.joboneforhumanity.org/why_the_results_of_the_glasgow ). 

    Here is how to make phone calls to your politicians:

    1. If you are a US citizen, find your congressperson here. If you are not a US citizen, you will need to look up the phone number of your political representatives.

    2. If you are a US citizen, call the US Capitol switchboard (202) 224-3121 to leave your representative a message.  

    3. Then use this or your script: "Hi my name is ___, and I'm calling from ____. I do not support our government using the current United Nations global fossil fuel reduction targets. They are incorrect and far too small! These fossil fuel reduction targets will result in the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century. I am counting on you to use your influence to get our nation to use the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. We cannot continue using the net-zero by 2050, 2040, or 2030 currently promoted targets, or we will fail and many of us will die."

    If you are emailing to people on the lists below: 

    i. Email this post to politicians worldwide, especially before all climate change conferences. Particularly email US politicians and their support staff. Please forward it to US politicians like John Kerry (the Climate Czar,) Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and other members of the US progressive Squad. Please also send this post to any other global politicians you think should see it as well.

    ii. Email this post to all of the delegates, officials, and corporate sponsors of the IPCC's climate conferences. Maybe some of them will finally stand up against manipulating their climate research work or using their names to continue to protect the profits of oil-producing nations and fossil fuel-related industries. In general, corporate sponsors do not normally want to be associated with failures, unless they are somehow secretly profiting from those failures.

    Be certain to get this post to the delegations from those mostly underdeveloped nations who are suffering the most from global warming and also have done the least to create it. Maybe collectively, these endangered nations can act to stop the ongoing climate conference fossil fuel reduction target lies.

    iii. Email this post to ecological and global warming educational groups, such as 350.org, Climate Central, Climate Mobilization, Climate Emergency Fund, Sunrise Movement, Sierra Club, World Wildlife Fund, Green Peace, etc. Please send it to any other regional or local environmental and global warming educational groups you think should see it as well.

    iv. Send this article to local regional or national media in your area where you think there might be a news person who is going to do the deep research and analysis and not just accept what is being fed to them by the fossil fuel industry lobbyists, the IPCC, and climate conference attendees. 

    We also strongly encourage you to publically call out and shame any media that does lazy research or promotes fossil fuel industry-shilled or false climate stories. But, please never shame individuals, only the organizations or institutions in which they work! The peaceful public shaming of corporations or organizations is a long-accepted and legitimate social protest action and necessary disruption strategy.

    d. Start to accept the terrible reality of our current global warming extinction emergency. This new reality means that you and I will need to sacrifice and endure the loss of many of our fossil fuel-derived comforts to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. (For more on what our governments and we need to do to reach the 2025 reduction targets, click here. Please note that individual actions alone will not reverse the global warming extinction emergency at this late stage. At this late stage, only these government-enforced actions will do that.)

    e. Don't forget to begin your personal or business resilience plans because the worst consequences of global warming are no longer avoidable due to our five decades of inaction. This resilience plan contains critical information for living within the Earth's carrying capacity, preparing for what is coming, and adapting your lifestyle and livelihood to become a part of the energy reduction solutions needed for this emergency. Remember, no government, corporation, or NGO will ever be able to keep up with ever-escalating damages and costs of the consequences of global warming.

    f. We strongly recommend getting the book Overshoot by Willian Catton. It will explain the Earth's carrying capacity crisis that underlies the global warming emergency, the many false economic solutions now being forward by the IPCC and its climate conferences, and many of our other 11 major global crises. 

    Feel free to translate and quote this post as needed.

    Here are three things to start talking about with friends:

    1. Demand a national carbon Fee and Dividend program, which would immediately price toxic fossil fuel carbon and methane pollution, hopefully at about $150 a ton. (For a complete description of a fair Fee and Dividend program that would not punish the poor, please click here and Scan down the page for the Fee and Dividend section.)

    2. Demand the immediate termination of all fossil fuel industry-related government or taxpayer subsidies. (Currently about 6 trillion dollars a year globally.)

    3. Demand that the fossil fuel industry and its executives be held legally and financially responsible for the 10 million deaths a year they cause through toxic carbon and methane pollution of our atmosphere and all of the related other damages they are doing to our homes, cities, and the environment. 

    References

    The following links will assist curious individuals in getting up to speed on the current global warming analysis.

    Reference Topic 1: Why you can't believe the current IPCC issued global fossil fuel reduction targets or their consequence predictions and timetables:

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the REAL 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    To see the many mass mobilization actions our governments must now take to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and save humanity from near-total extinction, click here.

    Reference Topic 2: How can the probability (or even the possibility) of a soon-arriving near-total human extinction be accurate? 

    Click here to see a detailed "big picture" catastrophic meltdown of our global warming consequences and tipping points. Their interactions with our other 11 major global crises will produce starvation and extinction for much of humanity by mid-century and near-total extinction beginning as soon as 2070.

    Click here to see the four major global warming extinction-evoking tipping points and how close we are to crossing them. 

    Reference Topic 3: What governments must do

    It is time to also call for global warming legal accountability, the immediate termination of all global fossil fuel subsidies, and placing a worldwide price for all corporations on their carbon, methane, and other greenhouse gas emissions and pollution. 

    Click here to learn more about the carbon pricing and other actions our governments and corporations must immediately take to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    Reference Topic 4: The deep causes of this whole mess

    To understand the most profound reasons behind our current global warming emergency and our 11 other most dangerous global crises, please get the book Overshoot. In it, you can learn about the concept of the Earth's carrying capacity (the land and sea acreage available and needed for a given population's needs.) 

    Reference Topic 5: Miscellaneous 

    Click here and read our Job One for Humanity policy on the necessary disruption of all false or dangerous global warming and environmental acts or ideas.

    Please continue to educate yourself about these life-critical climate issues by exploring the documentation and analysis found on this website.

     

    This article has been created in our humble opinion,

    by

    The Global Warming Research Team of the Job One for Humanity Non-profit Organization

     

    PS If we get the global warming extinction emergency under control in time, click here to see the many surprising benefits we can create in a Great Global Rebirth. If you can, we also ask that you support the research and candid climate analysis done by making a tax-deductible donation to the Job One for Humanity nonprofit organization. 


  • What are the 10 most dangerous things most people do not understand about the climate change emergency?

    Overview

    Unfortunately, the 10 most dangerous facts of global warming are the least understood by most of humanity. And, what we do not understand if left unmanaged will kill almost everything!

     

     

    Most people do not understand the following ten facts about global warming. The documentation for these facts is in their full explanations further down this article.

    Fact 1. We are already in a state of runaway global warming because we have wasted four decades when we could have prevented this.

    Fact 2: The severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences occurring within 3-9 years will start rising exponentially,

    Fact 3: Survival-critical global warming tipping points are already being crossed, 

    Fact 4: Whenever you hear national politicians promise net-zero by 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, or 2070, know that it equals mass human extinction occurring by mid-century or sooner,

    Fact 5: Crossed climate tipping points can have both linear predictable cause-and-effect relationships and dangerous and currently unpredictable nonlinear cause-and-effect relationships.

    Fact 6: Because the climate system has so much accumulated momentum and inertial within it already, (about 20-30 years worth) we are rapidly running out of the little remaining time we have left to save ourselves. If we do not come close to the life-critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets in time to slow down our climate change emergency, without fail, Mother Nature will do it for us by painfully taking us beyond mass human extinction into total extinction!

    Fact 7: In regards to fixing the climate extinction emergency, we are currently acting much like the experimental frogs who boil themselves to death floating in a slowly heating pot that they could easily escape. 

    Fact 8: We are long past the point of individual actions alone saving us. Only worldwide governmental action and mass mobilization to enforce immediate, radical, and painful fossil fuel cuts can save us from extinction.

    Fact 9: The current global warming emergency and its future are far worse than the government, the media or the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] are telling us.

    Fact 10: The world's leading authority on climate change, the IPCC, is not telling the governments or us what we need to know to save ourselves from total extinction because of the many political, prediction modeling, and summary report problems within the IPCC itself. Among the IPCC's many and most serious climate prediction problems is the climate computer modeling "Perfect Day" problem.

    Here is the full explanation and documentation for why these ten facts are true

    Fact 1. Because we have wasted decades in ineffective climate actions, we are now in a state of runaway global warming and, it is now too late to prevent the extinction of half of humanity by 2050. But, we still can prevent our total extinction.

    Isn't that worth striving for? 

    To help you understand this painful and well-documented runaway global warming truth, we first need to define runaway global warming. Runaway global warming means that global warming will increase on a runaway course.

    Imagine a train going down a hill faster and faster with no functional brakes. You now have a good working concept of why runaway global warming is so dangerous! However, the scariest thing about our current runaway global warming is that it will continue, of, and by and of itself with few practical ways left to slow, stop or control it.

    With runaway global warming, the average global temperature will continue to get warmer and warmer. This unstoppable temperature rise will be due to our crossing additional climate tipping points and many other climate factors. Once we increase the average global temperature by four degrees Celcius, adapting to global warming consequences is no longer possible!

    Because of climate system momentum factors, human inertia factors, dangerous climate tipping points, and decades of failed global fossil fuel reductions, we have until about 2025 (or staying below the atmospheric carbon level of 425-450 parts per million) to maintain any remaining realistic control of our runaway global warming future.

    To help you more easily understand what is meant in the sentence above you will need to understand how we measure global warming, what increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere tells us about future global warming. 

    Carbon is the main greenhouse gas that we are creating by our fossil fuel use that is causing global warming. Atmospheric carbon from fossil fuel burning is the main human-caused factor in the escalating global warming we are experiencing now. The current level of carbon in our atmosphere is tracked using what is called the Keeling curve

    Each year, many measurements are taken at Mauna Loa, Hawaii to determine the parts per million (ppm) of carbon in the atmosphere at that time. At the beginning of the Industrial Revolution (1) around 1880, before we began fossil fuel burning, our atmospheric carbon ppm level was at about 270. Here is the current Keeling curve graph for where we are as of September 2021.

     


    Keeling Curve Monthly CO2 graph, via Show.earth (2)

     

    As you can see, we are not doing very well. No matter what you hear in the media, if the total carbon ppm level is not going down or carbon’s average ppm level per year is not falling or at least slowing its steep increase, (3) we are not making any significant progress on resolving the escalating global warming emergency. Total atmospheric carbon and carbon’s average ppm level per year are the most dependable measurements of our progress and a predictor of what will be happening with global warming and its many consequences.

    How do we know if we're making honest progress in reducing carbon dioxide to reduce escalating global warming?

    There are at least two ways we will be able to tell that we are making honest progress in reducing global warming:

    1. When we see our average annual increase in carbon ppm levels (currently at about 3 ppm per year) begin dropping, remaining at the current level, or at least rising at a slower rate.

    2. When we start seeing the above Keeling graph levels dropping from the current carbon ppm level (approximately 420 ppm) to carbon 350-325 ppm. (How we do this is in the free Job One Plan.)

    Unfortunately, in July of 2021, we were already at carbon 420 parts per million. (There is a newer carbon graph (CO2) of this in parts per million at the very bottom of this page.)

    Understanding the key factors of climate system momentum factors, human inertia factors, dangerous climate tipping points, and decades of failed global fossil fuel reductions causing runaway global warming

    Most people do not understand this life-critical total extinction preventing 2025 deadline simply because they do not understand the physics and mechanics behind the laws of momentum and inertia. The momentum factor means that even if we stopped 100% of all global burning and use of fossil fuels today, global temperatures would continue rising for the next 2-3 (or more) decades. Furthermore, it also means that the radical 2025 global fossil fuel reductions we must make immediately will not deliver significant benefits for about 2-3 decades.

    If we ever do make the needed fossil fuel reductions, this climate momentum time lag will challenge the patience and understanding of most everyone. not just our politicians. 

     

     

    The graph above beautifully illustrates an exponential rise in the three critical atmospheric greenhouse gases expressed in parts per billion. Since the mid-1700s start of the Industrial Revolution, these gases have been mostly human-made from burning fossil fuels. Each of these greenhouse gases has built up considerable atmospheric momentum! 

    (Click here if you need to learn more about our 40 years of failed global fossil fuel reductions.)

    The most important reason we have until about 2025 to maintain control of our global warming futures is due to the extremely dangerous climate tipping points. The following information may at times seem a bit complex, but it is worth the time to push through because it is what your very near future will look like!

    The climate cliff versus runaway global warming

    For years our organization had previously called the carbon 425-450 ppm level the climate cliff. This climate cliff was based upon the United Nations' previous target of keeping the average global temperature from rising no more than 2°C above preindustrial levels.

    Now the UN's new climate cliff level is to stay below an average global temperature increase of 1.5C. This target level has changed because global warming consequences above this temperature are now known to be much worse than previously believed. One of the other major reasons now being acknowledged among recognized climate scientists for the new UN 1.5 C climate cliff temperature target level is that there are considerably more atmospheric carbon emissions than was previously predicted.

    These additional carbon emissions come from other amplifying carbon feedbacks and carbon sink failures. These additional amplifying carbon feedback and carbon sink issues will start to show up just beyond a 1.5C average global temperature increase as soon as 2025. (These amplifying carbon feedbacks and carbon sink failures will be described in detail further below.)

    Newer research also shows that staying at or near a 1.5 C average global temperature increase level is the only temperature level that fully excludes a runaway global warming threat or continuing to cross additional critical or extinction-level global warming tipping points. What this now means, is that because of what runaway global warming can do, going above 1.5C would eventually lead to the mass extinction of most of humanity by mid-century. 

    In our own 2016-17 climate analysis, using the existing fossil fuel infrastructure, we calculated like the UN, the first climate cliff for triggering runaway global warming (the unstoppable crossing of more and more amplifying global warming tipping points) would occur between the carbon 425 to carbon 450 ppm levels. These levels of atmospheric carbon would eventually create at least a 2 degrees Celcius temperature increase over preindustrial levels. 

    The beginning temperature limits for the former climate cliff now need to be updated from its previous carbon level (425-450 ppm) and previous temperature level of about 2 -2.7° C above preindustrial levels to its new climate cliff starting point.

    The new climate cliff shocker

    The UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has calculated that without crossing any climate tipping points, reaching the carbon 420 ppm level is equivalent to a 1.6 C average global temperature increase from preindustrial levels. (As you will soon discover, we have crossed climate tipping points and will quickly cross many more. Additionally, our calculations show the temperatures will rise much higher than the Un's calculations.)

    To stay below a 1.5 C target temperature increase, we would have kept our atmospheric carbon level below 386 ppm. Around 2015, we crossed over 386 carbon ppm level and ensured we would hit the 1.5 C level. 

    Because we went over the climate cliff in 2015, and an average global temperature increase of 1.5 C also triggers runaway global warming, we now have to face runaway global warming is here now. Unfortunately, runaway global warming also means that we can no longer stop the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century. The good news is we can still slow this extinction process down if we come close to the 2025 targets. (It is perfectly normal to reject the possibility of such large-scale extinction occurring so soon. Therefore, we strongly recommend at some point clicking here to see the detailed sequences of some 80 consequences that will bring about mass extinction.)

    All we can do now is slow and delay this extinction consequence. But, it will take a government-driven mass mobilization to do it. This government-driven mass mobilization would have to radically reduce global fossil fuel use and get very close to the 2025 targets as its first action. 

    If the world governments act immediately and get close to the l2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, more people will live longer and more comfortably. And, maybe we can still save humanity from the only thing worse than the extinction of much of humanity by mid-century, - - - total extinction! 

    But unfortunately, there is a bit more bad news. Acting only to minimize the current global warming extinction threat is insane! It is insane because any temperature increase of 1.5 C will also trigger the crossing of three more extinction-accelerating global warming tipping points!

    If nothing is done by our governments to radically slow and reverse a temperature increase above 1.5 C, total extinction will be our eventual future. Supporting this 1.5 C danger is also the Siberia permafrost field research (rather than less accurate computer modeling) by Anton Vaks. 

    This research puts a global permafrost "thaw-down" also beginning at 1.5 C. This Siberian research means that when the world's permafrost crosses this 1.5 C average global temperature increase tipping point, the world's permafrost begins a near-continuous meltdown. This means that after we reach this 1.5 C temperature increase, all permafrost stored carbon and methane will eventually be released from the permafrost. (Atmospheric methane is about 80 times more potent than carbon in raising the average global temperature.)

    This 1.5C permafrost release point plus other human-made carbon and methane releases put us squarely on the fast track for the worst global warming prediction scenarios. (Click here for more documentation on the permafrost meltdown.)

    Our ticking methane time bomb is further illuminated by the atmospheric methane CH4 graph below. When viewing this methane graph, keep in mind that atmospheric methane is about 80 times more effective than atmospheric carbon in increasing global warming. (The atmospheric methane graph below is in parts per billion [ppb].) 

     

     

    It is also vital to know how having already crossed the climate cliff will further accelerate the crossing of more global warming tipping points

    The new carbon 386 ppm tipping point level was our last chance climate cliff because it truly was our last window of opportunity to keep from going over the critical atmospheric carbon level and into the runaway multiple global warming tipping point processes. Once we went over this climate cliff, our average global temperature will inevitably rise to considerably above 1.5C - 2°C (possibly as much as 3.2 C in eventual equilibrium warming.) This is far, far faster than has ever occurred before over geologically scaled time spans. This means that what used to happen over millennia or centuries with our climate systems will now happen over decades with and at numerous tipping points.

    Unfortunately, rapidly rising average global temperatures are not the worst effect of crossing the carbon 386 ppm level and climate cliff. These fast temperature rises will also create an additional and powerful climate momentum factor in addition to the already existing atmospheric carbon climate momentum. This additional momentum will not only push our average global temperature even higher even faster, but it will also literally force many of the 11 critical global warming tipping points (below) to be crossed much faster within the climate and its subsystems. 

    (The illustration below lists the 11 major global warming tipping points. The arrows between the shown tipping points indicate that these tipping points also interact with each other and can trigger each other's main system or subsystem tipping points. When this happens global warming temperatures will soar faster and faster triggering even more climate and human system tipping points.) 

     

     

    (At some point, we also strongly recommend that you click here to learn more details about what each tipping point above is and how they will unfold to bring us closer to total extinction. This tipping point meltdown detail page covers what happens when you cross each of the above global warming tipping points, how they accelerate global warming temperature rise, how they accelerate global warming consequences, and how they cause sudden and complete climate, biological and human system collapses. Crossing these climate tipping points will also make any possible recovery from crossing these tipping points impossible or much slower, harder, and more expensive. This expanded tipping point reading will help you "see" the tremendous and dangerous impact that the many additional and soon-arriving crossed global warming tipping points will have on your future.)

    What to expect in rising temperatures now that we have already have crossed the new carbon 386 climate cliff into runaway global warming

    Since we have already passed carbon 386 ppm level back around 2015, within about 5 years (around 2025 or less,) we can expect to lock in an eventual total minimal increase in average global temperature of about 1.5 C. If we continue to the carbon 425 ppm level, by about 2025 we also can expect to lock in an additional eventual total increase in average global temperature of about 2 -2.7° Celsius (4° - 4.9° Fahrenheit) from preindustrial levels. (In July of 2021, we were at carbon 420 ppm.)  

    The distinguished Professor of Meteorology Michael Mann from the University of Pennsylvania recently stated that once we reach the carbon 405 ppm level in our atmosphere, a 2 degrees C average global temperature increase is already baked in! And, once that happens there is nothing we can do to stop it! 

    At just this 1.5 -2.7° Celsius increased average global temperature level, hundreds of millions will starve and hundreds of millions of people from all over the world will eventually be forced to either migrate or die.

    Once we went over the new climate cliff of carbon 386 ppm and doomed ourselves to hitting 1.5 Celsius average global temperature increase level, the total heat-producing momentum of all of the previous carbon and other greenhouse gases that we have ever put into the atmosphere (particularly all that additional carbon we have added over the last 50 years,) along with the other factors mentioned further down this page, will inevitably, and rather quickly, continue to push our average global temperature even higher as well as trigger the crossing of even more tipping points at an accelerating rate!

    Because we have already gone over the carbon 386 ppm climate cliff and we have triggered this next level of accelerating climate system tipping point crossings (and additional heat-producing momentum,) this now means that we are now locked into continually increasing temperatures for as much as the next 30+ years as well as crossing even more dangerous tipping points! 

    If we cross the carbon 425-450 carbon ppm tipping point level, we will reach the next key carbon and temperature transitional threshold, where, because of crossing even more future global warming tipping points being crossed at an accelerating rate, we will be unable to stop ourselves from proceeding uncontrollably to average global temperature increases of 3°, 4°, 5°, and 6° Celsius (5.4°, 7.2°, 9°, and 10.8° Fahrenheit respectively.) 

    Once we cross the 2° Celsius (the carbon 425-450 ppm level,) the higher mass extinction accelerating temperature levels of 3°, 4°, 5°, and possibly even 6° Celsius will be all but locked in as well! According to James Hansen one of the world's most important climate researchers, just a carbon 450 ppm level would eventually correspond and develop into an average global temperature increase of 6° Celsius (10.8° Fahrenheit) in this century and the complete end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it. 

    This uncontrollable continuous rise in average global temperature which will cause mass starvation, death, and migration will be due primarily to:

    1. the major global warming consequences will continue to intensify and cross-react as heat rises.

    The following illustration below will help you to visualize how future global warming consequences will intensify separately and together as we cross more tipping points and global temperatures rise. Imagine all of the global warming consequences whirling around and colliding into each other and amplifying each other because of the agitation and "boiling effect" of ever-increasing heat. This is similar to how the rising heat under a steam cooker churns, whirls, and collides the boiling water inside the steam cooker faster and more violently. 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    As increasing heat boils our planet, just like with boiling water in a pot, the above global warming consequences will intensify and increase in severity, frequency, and scale! (To learn about exactly how the escalating 20 worst global warming consequences will cause mass starvation, death, and migration as well as social, economic, and political chaos, click here.)

    2. more of the global warming consequences (listed above) will go into positive feedback loops as temperatures rise. Think of a positive feedback loop as a small stimulus that then amplifies a specific effect or consequence to be bigger and bigger. For example, if you hold a microphone too close to a music amplifier there will be an irritating scratchy distortion of sound that "feeds back" to the amplifier getting louder and louder the longer the microphone is held closer and closer to the amplifier source. 

    3. our being unable to stop ourselves from crossing more global warming tipping points. Crossing more tipping points will once again trigger other positive feedback loops and points of no return within the systems and subsystems of the global climate. It will also cause global warming tipping points to cumulatively interact with each other,

    4. our continuing to cross "points of no return" within the global warming tipping points processes. Tipping point processes have within them definite points of no return. Once a tipping point's point of no return is crossed, crossing that tipping point is all but inevitable. Once that occurs, things usually collapse quickly and recovery is usually slow, difficult, and costly, or completely impossible.

     

     

    5. the accelerating heat-producing carbon and other greenhouse gas momentum, (we will continue to add more fossil fuel burning carbon to the atmosphere each and every additional year (currently at about 3 carbon ppm per year,)

    6. numerous serious human system inertia and other human system mal-adaptation factors will make it difficult to fix this extinction emergency or recover from it. (Described in detail on this page.)

    Because of the preceding, we have no other rational alternative other than to prevent ever crossing into this next highly dangerous transitional carbon 425-450 ppm threshold range and tipping point. At our current rate of carbon and other greenhouse gas atmospheric pollution, entering this range will begin, unfortunately, sometime around 2025 if we do not get very close to the correct and honest 2025 fossil fuel reduction targets. 

    There is something we can always be certain of in this horrible emergency. No matter what and in spite of all of the challenges and bad tipping point outcomes that are coming, the single constant truth for the best possible global warming outcome for humanity in this emergency is that the faster and more we reduce global fossil fuel use:

    a. the more people we will survive to carry on humanity, life, and our beautiful civilization, and

    b. future generations will suffer less from an ever-increasing sequence of escalating global warming consequences.

    In the illustration below you will see a red vertical "Must never pass, last chance battle line and range of carbon 425 to 450 ppm." As you can see, going over the carbon 425 ppm leads us to a very steep downward darker red slope toward our own rapid extinction. (The illustration below also shows at what carbon ppm levels the six distinct phases of a Climageddon extinction scenario and countdown will occur (i.e CS Phases 1-6 below.) After you read the rest of this document, we also strongly recommend that you also review the detailed year-by-year global warming consequence timetables found in the Climageddon extinction scenario and countdown. (As a reminder, the Climageddon extinction scenario and countdown will be linked again at the bottom of this page.)

    page229image7870976

     

    Here is what is most important to remember about any failure to get very close to our 2025 reduction targets and going over the carbon 425-450 ppm extinction accelerating tipping point:

    1. After we also go over the carbon 425-450 ppm range. We will cross so many more tipping points so fast, there will be little we can do to prevent total extinction.

    The pure mathematics and physics of atmospheric carbon and the other greenhouse gases will begin to go exponential after we go over the carbon 425-450 ppm level. This will drive our temperatures ever higher up to and through at least two more extinction-evoking tipping points and many other global warming consequences described further below.

    If we do not make the 2025 targets, our final window opportunity to effectively control our own destiny regarding preventing the last extinction-evoking tipping points from being crossed literally closes. This is why this last chance carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point is truly our most important next tipping point to understand and respect. (More about what causes this near-complete loss of control of our global warming future will be explained in the other tipping point sections below.)

    2. After we cross the 425-450 ppm climate cliff, stopping this ever-increasing global warming temperature increasing momentum will be like trying to stop a gigantic boulder from rolling faster and faster down a cliff that keeps getting steeper and steeper. 

    3. We are in an unacknowledged global warming extinction emergency and so far our governments are not even close to being on pace to hit the critical 2025 targets. 

    4. If we fail to hit the 2025 targets we lose our last chance to be able to stop ourselves from going over additional far worse global warming tipping points which will cause neat total human extinction and economic, political, and social chaos within our lifetimes!

    5. If we fail to hit the 2025 targets, global warming consequences will begin accelerating exponentially in frequency, severity, and scale.

    6. In case you're still somehow thinking or believing technology will save us at the last minute, no new carbon removal technologies (what we call magical carbon sucking unicorns,) will be able to save us in time. This is because even those who believe this technology might save us are projecting that they will not even be available at the earliest until sometime after 2050. This will be long after the damage is done and long after anything can be done for the billions of people who will suffer and die! (Please click here if you still have any illusions about new carbon removal technology miraculously saving us at the last minute. The science found there will help you to understand that the only way out of this imminent catastrophe is to radically reduce fossil fuel use globally to meet the 2025 targets.)

    Please for effect, once again see the most current blue Atmospheric CO2 carbon graph (near the bottom of this page) to see how dangerously close we are to this critical carbon 425 ppm tipping point already. 

    Additional thoughts on the critical importance of the carbon 425-450 ppm first major extinction-accelerating tipping point

    Because we have ignored decades of warmings, we are already deep into the global warming trajectory toward extinction and the collapse of civilization. This collapse outcome is highly likely because nine of the known global warming and climate change tipping points that regulate the climatic state of the planet have already been activated.

     

     

    Most of the above-activated tipping points can and will trigger abrupt and significant releases of carbon back into the atmosphere, such as the release of carbon dioxide and methane caused by the irreversible thawing of the Arctic permafrost. After global warming tipping points are crossed, additional warming would become self-sustaining due to both positive feedback loops within the climate system and the mutual interaction of these global warming tipping points.

    It is best to think about these nine interacting global warming tipping points within the climate system like a row of dominos. These climate system tipping points are so interconnected that knocking over the first couple of "dominos" will most likely lead to a cascade knocking over many, if not all, of them. Once the above global warming tipping point "dominos" begin their falling cascade, we are already at a point of global and societal no return.

    It is not just us saying this:

    Because of these global warming tipping points and positive feedback loops, Professor Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, director emeritus and founder of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, believes that if we go much above 2° C, we will quickly get to 4° C anyway and, a 4° C increase would spell the end of human civilization.

    Johan Rockström, the head of one of Europe's leading research institutes, warned that in a 4°C warmer world, it would be "difficult to see how we could accommodate a billion people or even half of that. Not even a rich minority world survive with modern lifestyles in the post 4°C-warmer turbulent, conflict-ridden world". 

    Many other climate scientists have warned that once the climate warms 4 degrees C over our preindustrial average global temperature, human adaptation to these temperature levels will be all but impossible!

    Leading Stanford University biologists, released new research recently showing species extinctions are accelerating in an unprecedented manner. This rapid loss of biodiversity is another likely tipping point for the collapse of human civilization. (These are the same Stanford biologists who were first to warn us that we are already experiencing the sixth mass extinction on Earth.)

    Soon we will lose control of the tipping points for the Amazon rainforest, the West Antarctic ice sheet, and the Greenland ice sheet in much less time than it's going to take us to get to any dubious and unenforceable global national net-zero emissions pledges.

    There is an additional and crucial way to think about the race to get close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets before we cross more extinction-accelerating global warming tipping points. Imagine that the captain on the Titanic suddenly sees the iceberg in front of him. To slow and steer the Titanic, he needs at least 3 miles, but he is only 1 mile away from the iceberg. In this example, the titanic is already doomed the moment the captain notices the iceberg.

    This Titanic example is not much different than our current situation. We have already gone over the carbon 386 ppm climate cliff and we are doing very poorly in trying to reach the last chance 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets. We have wasted so much time over the previous decades ignoring valid scientific warnings; we most likely do not have enough time remaining to "steer" away from extinction. 

    We already have a baked-in minimal 1.5 - 2 degrees C in average global temperature increase and, we have initiated the global climate tipping point cascade effect, which will quickly get us to 4°C and the collapse of civilization. This alone will likely rapidly take us to a far less habitable planet and climate regardless of any additional global fossil fuel reductions we might now make.

     

     

    In the image above, the Planetary Threshold dividing line is the climate cliff previously mentioned of carbon 386 ppm. As one can see, once we cross that carbon 386 ppm Planetary Threshold line, the stability of the planetary climate rapidly collapses into an over-heating uninhabitable Earth!     

    The most probable carbon feedback loops, loss of carbon sinks, points of no return, and tipping points to occur or be crossed after we have crossed the carbon 386 ppm climate cliff in 2015

    1. Decreased albedo from reduced snow cover and melting Arctic ice increasing the earth's heat,

    2. Increased sea ice and glacier melt resulting in additional sea-level rise,

    3. Increased atmospheric water vapor increases resulting in more extreme weather,

    4. Increased permafrost and tundra heating releases more carbon and methane and which results in more heat and more disease epidemics and possible pandemics. This once again speeds up the whole process of more positive feedback loops and crossing more points of no return and tipping points

    Please also note that melting permafrost in the tundra is because the northernmost areas are warming twice as fast as the rest of the world. This permafrost melting also has the potential to cause local and global pandemics caused by ancient viruses and bacteria being released from the permafrost. Already in Siberia they have had localized anthrax and smallpox outbreaks because of the decomposition of ancient frozen animals from the melting permafrost and tundra which residents either had no immunity to or who were not prepared to deal with these outbreaks due to lack of available vaccines. 

    5. Decreased carbon capture from the world's forests as temperatures rise and forests go from removing carbon from the atmosphere to carbon-neutral, no longer removing carbon from the atmosphere. Carbon neutral is the state that occurs before overheated over-stressed forests begin to release carbon back into the atmosphere.

    (Click here to learn more about each item listed above.)

    Here are the most likely keystone tipping points to be crossed after crossing the carbon 386 climate cliff in 2015

    There is an extinction tipping point area that is the most likely first candidate to significantly accelerate the beginning of the end of humanity. It is the increased melting of summer and year-round arctic polar ice due to global warming.

    It will truly have profound effects not only on worldwide weather stability but more importantly, on lowering global crop yields and increasing global crop failures. It will cause an accelerating massive global starvation, which will then also destabilize national economics, politics, and society.

    In the summer, when Arctic ice melts there is less cooling of all of the growing season areas affected anywhere by arctic weather. The more polar ice melts each year the less cooling and the more heat and drought in and during these critical growing season areas. 

    To make matters worse, food crops are more sensitive to heat when there are droughts and, they are more sensitive to heat, rain bombs, and cold spells when they are just beginning to grow. Unfortunately, because more ice is melting in the Arctic ocean almost every summer and staying melted longer in the year we are losing more and more critical cooling for our absolutely vital food crops and stable growing seasons. 

    The five major food grains are the largest source of the world's food supply. They are corn, wheat, rice, soybeans, and sorghum.

    All of these grains have upper and lower temperature limits. Most of them cannot survive more than 10 days during their growing season over 100° Fahrenheit particularly, if this heat comes early in their growing season or when their soils are drought dry.  

    Because of the continually increasing loss of the cooling effect on growing regions below the Arctic because of the continually diminishing Arctic ice, the number of growing season days with temperatures over 100° will continue increasing steadily as more and more Arctic ice melts and remains melted longer throughout the year. (We estimate within a decade or so, we could have as many as 30 days of 100-degree heat during the growing season in many critical crop-growing areas.)

    Because melting Arctic ice also affects and disrupts the jet stream and ocean currents like the Gulf Stream, you will also have radical and unseasonable cold spells appearing during the prime crop growing seasons around the world. This will also further reduce food yields and produce more crop failures during the fragile growing season.

    This means that the world is going to continue to experience more and larger crop reductions and failures as more polar ice melts and stays melted longer. To make matters even worse, corn is one of the largest food staples for humanity and it is also one of the most sensitive crops to increasing 100 degrees plus temperatures and drought.

    The following is from Wikipedia:

    “Since 1979, the minimum annual area of sea ice in the Arctic has dropped by about 40%, as measured each September. From sea ice models and recent satellite images, it can be expected that a sea ice-free summer will come before 2020. Models that best match historical trends project a nearly ice-free Arctic in the summer by the 2030s. However, these models do tend to underestimate the rate of sea ice loss since 2007.” (If you would like to see a video of how more polar ice is melting each summer as the years go by click here for this NASA video.)

    The increasing melting of arctic polar ice is a clear warning sign of increasing global warming and future serious reductions in major future crop yields as well as serious increases in future crop failures. This means not only higher prices but ever-increasing food scarcity and increasing global starvation.

    This is not something far-off in the future. It is already happening in many areas of the world.

    It is also already causing major migrations. This expanding and increasing polar ice melting is a major “canary in the coal mine” for increasing future mass starvation not way off in 2100 as we have been told, but now and in years the decade to follow.

    Already in the growing belt of the United States, we are seeing increased and record-breaking heat, droughts, rain bombs, and other extreme seasonal weather that is having a direct effect in reducing crop yields and crop failures in the most vulnerable areas. This pattern of greater crop yield reductions and crop failures will continue to increase as long as more polar ice disappears and the Arctic remains relatively ice-free into longer and longer summers. As the process of massive crop reductions and failures expand and continues, mass starvation will begin to destabilize all of our other economic, social, and political systems. 

    Additionally, reduced polar ice also reduces the albedo effect, which simply is that white snow or ice reflects heat back away from the earth and out into the atmosphere keeping the earth cooler. As more Arctic polar ice is melted the darker polar oceans absorb the heat, and then heat up more, which once again, causes more global warming.

    As temperatures continue rising, the time frames in which we will be crossing more of the tipping points listed above will get shorter. But that will not be the only significant effect of the melting Arctic ice due to global warming. Paradoxically, according to new studies, because of melting Arctic ice we will also have more extreme cold and heavier snows during the US winters. 

    In general, increased crop yield reductions and crop failures will increasingly occur because of arctic ice melt, increased heat, increased droughts, increase cold spells, and increased rain bombs and extreme weather storms that will make it more and more impossible for modern agriculture and the major food crops to survive throughout their current growing seasons. There are estimates that crop yield reductions and crop failures will average 5 to 10% or more for each degree F that the average global temperature rises until the planet becomes so warm that far too many days of the growing season will be at 100° or more. This will make successfully growing the world's major grains all but impossible.

    The current climate cliff and the 1.5 C temperature increase threshold was the last threshold for excluding humanity's mass extinction threat by mid-century. Staying below 1.5 C was also the last threshold where we still could have prevented a significant acceleration in crossing other more dangerous global warming tipping points.

    One can see that while you do your best to encourage our governments to meet the 2025 targets, it is also now wise to start your personal global warming emergency backup plan and "Plan B!"

    Summary of the first most misunderstood climate danger

    What not coming close to the critical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets means and what is at stake:

    1. If we fail, we will not be able to slow down a now unavoidable extinction of much of humanity by mid-century.

    2. Only by coming very close to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets do we have any reasonable chance of preventing an even worse, total extinction event from ending all of humanity and civilization beginning as soon as 2070.

    3. Because total extinction is associated with crossing the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 425 - 450 ppm, we have 3 to about 10 more years at best, to still be able to prevent our total extinction. (Carbon is currently accumulating in the atmosphere at about 3 carbon ppm per year.)

    4. We have two more dangerous extinction accelerating tipping points after carbon 425-450 ppm. Click here to learn about those even worse tipping points. 

    Fact 2: The severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences occurring will soon start rising exponentially starting in about 3-9 years (2025-2031.)

    Fact 1 listed above fully explains the science behind why many of the primary and secondary consequences of global warming will soon stop rising gradually and linearly as they are occurring now! It also explains why as global warming continues we will cross many more of the 11 key climate tipping points.

    As we cross more climate tipping points, global warming consequences will not just continue to gradually increase in frequency, severity, and scale. Many of the global warming consequences will soon start growing exponentially, (Within the next 3-9 years from 2025-2031. See Fact 1 for all of the reasons why this is true.)

    In the graph below, the red line is an example of a linear, somewhat steady, predictable, and gradual global warming consequence growth trajectory. (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.) The green line below is an example of a sudden, exponential, and highly unpredictable global warming consequence growth trajectory. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)

     

     

    The sudden green line exponential growth in the severity, frequency, and scale of global warming-related or triggered consequences will also eventually produce a sudden and abrupt massive global collapse that will be all but impossible to recover from for most nations. (When we use the terms sudden and abrupt, we are speaking in geological timeframes where 3-5 decades is barely a blink of the eye.)

    Never forget that the most dangerous exponential growth of global warming consequences will begin within the next 3-9 years (about 2025-2031. As explained in Fact 1 above, this exponential transition also corresponds to when we cross the carbon 425-450 ppm tipping point threshold level. Unfortunately, the exponential growth in global warming consequences will continue worsening even faster after we cross the carbon 425 to 450 threshold level as well! 

     

    Chapter_2_Consequence_Tornado.png

     

    This exponential growth in the severity, frequency, and scale of global warming consequences also means that few, if any, NGOs, corporations, or governments will ever be able to either manage or recover from these accelerating consequences for long. Exponential growth also means that unless you have made your emergency preparations long before these consequences begin rising exponentially, you won't have enough time to do so later. 

    This rising danger of getting caught unprepared exists because our social, economic, and political systems also will become exponentially more unpredictable, unstable, and chaotic. This system instability will happen sometime after global warming consequences enter their exponential curves (the green line above.) 

    If you have not prepared for exponentially rising global warming consequence growth long before it is needed (2025-2031), you will find yourself in a living hell! (Our Plan B for Climate Change Resilience will provide many ideas on how to get well-prepared for what is coming and what is now unavoidable because of climate system momentum and human system inertia. Unfortunately, getting correctly prepared will take most people and organizations several years!)

    Fact 3: Now that critical global warming tipping points are already being crossed, many climate-related systems (like the Arctic sea ice, melting glaciers, oxygen-producing plankton, etc.) will also collapse quickly (usually completely or near completely!)

    Click here to see all 11 of the major climate tipping points.

    Fact 4: Whenever you hear national politicians promise carbon net-zero by 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, or 2070, know that it equals mass human extinction occurring over the next several decades

    Net-zero carbon emissions means that we are not adding any more carbon to the atmosphere than we are taking out of it. However, it does not mean that we are reducing our current global levels of carbon emissions beyond where they are today.

    Net-zero carbon dioxide emissions theoretically can be achieved by balancing the local, regional, national, or global carbon dioxide emissions with its removal. This net-zero process is conducted in two ways:

    a. by directly eliminating and removing those carbon emissions from society (the most successful and proven method) or,

    b. by what is called carbon offsetting. (Carbon offsetting can be done in numerous ways, but as you will read below, it is currently the least effective way to resolve the global warming emergency. It is the method most often proposed by politicians because it is so vague, difficult to verify, and can be falsely manipulated in many ways to produce little to nothing. It is a colossal understatement is to say that using carbon offsetting as the primary focus to achieve net-zero carbon emissions is a massive danger for society.)

    Honest, independent, and non-politicized climate researchers have been trying to tell the world for over 50 years humanity is facing extinction. These researchers have been begging us to begin immediate global fossil fuel use reductions to come as close as possible to the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets to survive the coming extinction threat. 

    The 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets are not anything like or close to the fossil fuel industry-sponsored national net-zero carbon neutral targets, which nations are saying they will reach by 2070, 2060, 2050, 2040, or even 2030! For instance, India has pledged it will be net-zero by 2070, and China promised it will be net-zero by 2060. With much theatrical media coverage, Saudi Arabia also announced it will become net-zero emission by 2060. (Including the US at net zero by 2050, India and China make up the world's three largest carbon emitters.)

    But, there are big secrets concerning the net-zero carbon-neutral pledges. They, too, are feel-good illusions that do not produce anything even close to what is being promised. 

    These net-zero pledges are based predominantly on carbon offsetting. A carbon offset is supposed to reduce global carbon dioxide emissions or other greenhouse gases by compensating with emissions produced elsewhere. Unfortunately, carbon offsets are very difficult to verify, have considerable incentives for fraud, and are easy to fake by both purchasers and the suppliers of such carbon offsets. Additionally, carbon offsets have either no penalties or weak penalties for fraud. 

    James Hansen, the first climate scientist who warned us unchecked global warming would lead to our extinction, has described carbon offsets as "modern-day indulgences, sold to an increasingly carbon-conscious public to absolve their climate sins." Carbon offsets may also be interpreted as greenwashing. This is especially true in the case of most corporate commitments, which do not include actionable goals and schedules that implicate that their 'net-zero' emission goals are anything more than good publicity.

    Theoretically, carbon offsets were meant to support projects that reduce the emission of greenhouse gases in the short or long term. A common offset project type is renewable energy, such as wind farms, biomass energy, biogas digesters, or hydroelectric dams. Other offsets include:

    • Energy efficiency projects like efficient cookstoves.
    • The destruction of industrial pollutants or agricultural byproducts.
    • The destruction of landfill methane.
    • Forestry projects.

    But, that is not what is really happening. Instead, carbon offsets have become another clever way for nations to make fabulous public net-zero pledges, which facilitate hiding their lack of actual fossil fuel reduction from their citizens and the world. 

    In addition to the fraud-friendly carbon offset issue, most net-zero carbon neutral pledges are back-end loaded, meaning most of the cuts are to come well after 2025. (Our last chance fossil fuel reduction target for keeping global warming under our control.) 

    Most of these "emperors' new clothes" pledges also assume steady major technological advances in currently non-existent or unproven technologies or outright revolutionary tech breakthroughs that will somehow reach the required levels of development and scale to save us at the last moment. These net-zero carbon-neutral pledges are just another form of illusion keeping us from making the real and hard choices. These pledges also specifically exclude all fossil fuel exports from figuring into the national accounting and calculations for the net-zero pledge goals. As you can see, net-zero carbon-neutral pledges have more loopholes than a swiss cheese has holes. 

    Unfortunately, there is yet more to the net-zero carbon neutral illusion:

    a. Tracing the history of illusions in climate policy from 1988 to 2021, climate scientists James Dyke, Robert Watson, and Wolfgang Knorr "[arrive] at the painful realization that the idea of net-zero has licensed a recklessly cavalier "burn now, pay later" approach which has seen carbon emissions continue to soar!

    b. In his 16-page report, Dangerous Distractions, economist Marc Lee states that "'Net-zero" has the potential to be a dangerous distraction that reduces the political pressure to achieve actual emission reduction." "A net-zero target means less incentive to get to 'real zero' emissions from fossil fuels, an escape hatch that perpetuates business as usual and delays more meaningful climate action." 

    c. Current net-zero policies will not keep warming within the UN's 1.5°C temperature rise target because they were never intended to. They were and still are driven by a need to protect business as usual, not the climate. If we want to keep people safe, then large and sustained cuts to carbon emissions need to happen now. The time for wishful thinking is over.

    d. In March 2021, Tzeporah Berman, chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, argued that the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty would be a more genuine and realistic way to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement than the "Net-zero" approach. She claimed the net-zero approach is "delusional and based on bad science." 

    (The above four statements were found on Wikipedia.)

    The current net-zero pledges by the world's top fossil fuel users and producers are telling and sadly funny. If we keep going as we are now, by 2050 - 2070, there will be few, if any, of us left to see if any nation even fulfilled its ridiculously "far too little, far too late" net-zero pledges. 

    The toothless, unenforceable, and vague net-zero pledges should be seen as nothing more than media bla, bla, bla. They are great theatrics for the pledging nations on the world stage. 

    The nations loudly promoting their net-zero pledges also helps hide the truth that the world's top 20 carbon emitters have made no commitments to directly and immediately cut their national fossil fuel use! 

    The correct 2025 targets now need to be enacted to compensate for 50 years of inaction. They will require tremendous sacrifice, suffering, and hardship for all the world's people, industries, and nations. 

    These 2025 global targets require that the world's developed nations enforce and come close to a 75% total reduction in ALL global fossil fuel use by 2025. In addition, these 2025 targets include lesser climate justice-adjusted targets for undeveloped countries, which did not play a major role in creating the global warming emergency. These 2025 national fossil fuel reductions of 75%  include China and India.

    To understand more about why government-driven and corporate-driven carbon net-zero programs are so dangerous to your near-term future survival, first read about what happens as we cross the first global warming extinction tipping point in the next 3-9 years, then read about the primary and secondary consequences of crossing this extinction-evoking tipping point.

    If you learn best by videos

    Here are two funny and informative net-zero and climate conference failure videos that are entertaining and powerful yet, still underestimate the rapidly approaching extinction dangers we all now face:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1FqXTCvDLeo

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QIyKmqEdgR4&t=57s

    Aiming for net-zero carbon using carbon offsets is also much like the funny, powerful, and massively shared article by an Australian drinker who promises to get to net-zero alcohol intake by 2050. Click here to see this five short paragraph, highly relevant article that also ties together much of what is being said above.  

    Fact 5: Crossed tipping points can have both linear cause-and-effect relationships as well as dangerous and currently unpredictable nonlinear cause-and-effect relationships.

    These nonlinear relationships can occur between global warming tipping points and human and biological system tipping points (economy, politics, mass species die-offs, war, and conflict) as well as within and between any other part of the climate system and its subsystems. The presence of counter-intuitive, nonlinear tipping point and system relationships mean that causes and effects within the climate systems and subsystems are sometimes not logically connected, clear, or predictable. 

    This means that within a complex adaptive system like the climate, an area that happens to be a part of its system or its subsystems can create an effect in some other completely different climate system or subsystem where there seems to be no apparent cause and effect relationship between the two climate systems or subsystems. The huge danger here is that if a global warming tipping point triggers a nonlinear reaction in another climate or human system or subsystem, we could quickly find ourselves caught in a gigantic and uncontrollable catastrophic situation without ever being able to predict or prepare for it.

    Never forget that a complex adaptive system such as the climate reacts with its subsystems in both predictable and unpredictable ways. In the illustration below, an action X in climate system A causes the obvious linear effect Y in climate system B, but it can also cause a seemingly unconnected nonlinear XY reaction in climate system C. It is this nonlinear unpredictability in other interconnected and interdependent climate systems which also should cause us great concern as we add more fossil fuel carbon to the atmosphere.


    Chapter_4_Unpredictable_Nonlinear_Reactions.png

     

    Fact 6: If we do not make the required 2025 global fossil fuel reductions in time to fix the global warming extinction emergency, without fail, Mother Nature will painfully do it for us!

    Right now, no matter what we do, much of humanity (51% or more) will die by mid-century because currently, we are ridiculously far from meeting the critical 2025 global targets. (This has been explained on this page and this page.)

    Worse yet, if we do not get close to the 2025 targets, Mother Nature will take over and keep raising the global temperature until most or all of humanity (75% or more) goes extinct and the Earth is back to its optimal human carrying capacity. 

    Please keep in mind that if we miss the last-chance 2025 fossil fuel reduction opportunity, Mother Nature will execute her immutable physics and mathematics climate laws to take the dominant control of our global warming future. Humanity will then be thrown into the back seat of a planetary "car," rapidly accelerating towards the cliff to Climageddon. 

    If we fail to get close to the 2025 global reduction targets, and Mother Nature is forced to create a painful global warming solution for our unconscionable failures; hopefully, she will leave a few of us alive so that we can learn the harsh lessons needed to rebuild a new world more in balance with nature. 

    (Click here to see the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points that will be the main tools used by Mother Nature to solve global warming for us if we do not do it for ourselves.)

    Fact 7: We are much like the experimental frogs who boil to death floating in a slowly heating pot that they could easily escape. 

    Our ape ancestors have left us with mental and emotional hardwiring that does not recognize or respond well to distant, complex, or slow-moving threats. Will enough of us understand the heating pot we have put ourselves into, in time to still do something about it? We will know soon; either by 2025 or soon after we have passed the atmospheric carbon level of 425-450 parts per million.

    To help illustrate how dangerous our current climate situation is, please review the atmospheric carbon CO2 graph in parts per million below. We also are currently adding an additional 3 carbon parts per million to our atmosphere each year. So, you do not have to be Albert Einstein to do the simple math to see how bad things are right now for us soon crossing the carbon 425-450 tipping point!

    At this point, we strongly recommend that you watch this video by a respected climate researcher on runaway climate change. It will help illustrate how everything above fits together.  This video has many clear and helpful slides.

    Fact 8: We are long past the point of individual actions alone saving us. Only worldwide governmental action and mass mobilization to enforce immediate, radical, and painful fossil fuel cuts can save us from extinction.

    (Click here to see what our governments need to do. What limited actions we can take as individuals or businesses is found at the bottom of this page.) 

    Fact 9: The global warming emergency and its future are far worse than the government, the media, or the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] are telling us.

    (Click here to see just how much worse things will become and how fast.) 

    Fact 10: The world's leading authority on climate change, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC,] is not accurately telling our governments what they need to know to save us from total extinction because of the IPCC's "Perfect Day" problem.

    Our governments are in serious climate risk analysis trouble because they rely upon the IPCC's "authoritative" climate consequence scenario projections and remedies. Moreover, the world's military, intelligence agencies, hedge funds, investment banks (like Goldman Sachs,) stock and commodity markets, foundations, think tanks, national and international reserve banks, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the World Economic Forum all use the same IPCC climate research, predictions, and remedies for their climate risk analysis.

    All of the previously mentioned entities are being dangerously weakened by what is known as the IPCC's climate computer modeling "Perfect Day" problem. 

    The Perfect Day problem and how it works 

    The IPCC uses computer modeling to predict future climate consequences and calculate how much fossil fuel we must reduce globally to keep ourselves safe. Every 3 to 5 years, the IPCC creates 4-7 updated best to worst climate prediction scenarios and what we must do to prevent them from occurring. 

    The governments, organizations, corporations, and individuals that rely upon these IPCC climate scenarios to create their internal climate risk analyses are being told by the IPCC and their governments these climate scenarios are reasonably accurate projections of probable future climate conditions. But, unfortunately, the truth is they are far from it.

     

    The IPCC's climate computer models actually reflect "Perfect Day" climate scenarios far more than they reflect more probable climate scenarios. The IPCC's climate computer models are plagued with this "Perfect Day" problem because they seldom include most of the following critical climate modeling factors. These are the critical climate-related but missing factors that regularly and routinely occur both within and between the complex adaptive systems within our climate's multiple systems and subsystems. 

    The IPPC's climate computer models and multiple predictive scenarios still fail to capture:

    a. almost all of the primary and secondary tipping points within and between the climate system and its subsystems. 

    b. most of the powerful self-reinforcing feedback loops within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. 

    c. most of the non-linear cause and effect relationships within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. (Non-linear cause and effect relationships are a regular aspect of the behavior of complex adaptive systems.)

    d. many of the cause and effect interconnections and critical interdependencies within and between the climate system and its subsystems. And,

    e. many critical points of no return within and between the climate systems and their subsystems. (These crucial points of no return help signal and predict coming tipping points and most often dangerous system crashes and collapses that occur after a tipping point is crossed.)

    The result of omitting the essential a-e factors above from climate computer models is what you get is more like a Perfect Day prediction scenario, where either none or far too few of the a-e factors are accounted for within the computer-modeled climate predictions. 

    The crucial thing to know about items a - e above is that they embrace thousands of essential and utterly unaccounted-for climate factors that are also at play in creating reliable and probable climate predictions and risk assessments. Moreover, many of the climate factors listed in a-e above are so powerful that just omitting a single one can radically alter the trajectory and usefulness of any of the IPCC's current climate prediction scenarios or suggested remedies.

    For example, suppose the IPCC has predicted that the average global temperature will rise to 2 degrees Celcius above pre-industrial levels by 2040 in one of their multiple prediction scenarios. Now factor in that they did not add to that computer model essential tipping points, feedback loops, or other non-linear cause and effect factors within the climate system and its subsystems. In that case, this a-e omission could quickly move their predicted average global temperature rise of 2 degrees Celsius by 2040 (with all of its associated risks and consequences) to far more than 2 degrees Celsius far sooner than 2040!  

    Worse yet, the world's political, corporate and the leaders of the other organizations mentioned earlier do not know about the Perfect day issue, which is that the IPCC predictions and their remedial climate recommendations do not reliably computer model the contexts, relationships, processes, and many ongoing transformations within the interacting climate, human and biological systems, and subsystems. 

    This "Perfect Day" problem means that the REAL climate risk and threat probabilities for humanity's climate future are being grossly underestimated! Unfortunately, this also means that our governments, largest corporations, and the leaders of the other organizations mentioned earlier are ALL currently operating on grossly inadequate climate risk assessments. As a result, within these organizations, our current climate condition's actual risk and threat levels and its fundamental uncertainties are far higher than what they understand and what we are being told. Consequently, we are currently not managing or preparing for our actual climate risks and uncertainties. 

    At Job One, we estimate that if you take all of the factors in a-e above (and all the IPCC's many other political, prediction modeling, and summary report problems described in the additional links at the end of this page), we should treat the IPCC's current predictions and climate remedies as being underestimated on the average by about 20-40%. This means we are underestimating both the severity and frequency of climate consequences and when these climate consequences will arrive by about 20-40%. 

    If one makes these 20-40% reasonable allowances for non-perfect day climate items in a-e above and the other IPPC problems linked at the end of this page, the world's governments and corporations should be panicking.

    On the other hand, if they were making appropriate allowances for the many a-e missing climate factors and risks, the corporations listed previously would demand our governments immediately declare an international climate extinction emergency. They would also demand that our governments cooperate globally to enforce the fossil fuel reductions needed to at least save some small portion of humanity. (If you would like to see the horrific chain of climate consequences with adjusted timelines when making allowances for the IPPC's problems, click here.)

    But, here is the really bad news about the climate system factors listed in a-e above. As the climate continues to heat, the climate and its subsystems will become more interactive, agitated, and unstable, and you will see many more of the a-e climate system factors occurring causing greater and greater climate disruption. 

    Imagine these a-e climate system factors interacting within the climate and churning and boiling like the water in a pressure cooker as you turn up the heat. Unfortunately, as our temperatures continue to rise, the a-e climate factors above will also occur at ever faster rates. This escalating rise in temperature will also create significantly more future climate predictive uncertainty. This will then lessen our ability to develop helpful risk analysis as the climate worsens.

    Knowing about this inherent dilemma of diminishing predictive power as temperatures rise helps let us know that we must prevent the climate system from EVER crossing this first extinction-triggering tipping point. If we cross this extinction-triggering tipping point, global warming will move into a runaway mode where reliable climate consequence predictions and timeframes will be all but impossible to construct.  

    Because of the Perfect Day problem and so much missing from the IPCC's computer climate modeling, any organization that uses the IPCC's data must immediately reevaluate their climate risks and adjust them at least, 20-40% to the negative. With this new modeling problem information, these organizations will then be able to create a far more realistic climate risk analysis for their specific operations and conditions. 

    The biggest danger of the IPCC Perfect Day problem

    The real climate change risk and threat level to all entities listed above is far beyond what they believe and are telling themselves, their citizens, or their clients. This serious risk analysis problem is not just dangerous. It will not only be very costly over time, but it also will likely turn into a serious legal liability for those entities as their citizens and clients discover the climate risk levels they were advised about were grossly underestimated. 

    The Perfect Day problem is also crippling our ability to find and use the correct collective climate change management strategies needed to save humanity itself. Because of the IPCC's Perfect Day problem, we are not dealing with the actual climate change risks appropriately and rationally.

    As a result, we are operating on incorrect climate change risk and threat assessments far below what they genuinely are. And, that will be the final recipe for a soon-arriving collective mass extinction.

    The climate change risk analysis the world is operating on from the IPCC makes the world think it still has many decades left to fix the climate change emergency and prevent extinction when at best, it only has about another 3-9 years. Yet, the IPCC continues to sell the world their grossly incomplete "Perfect Day" climate change prediction and remedy computer models and scenarios as reliable and probable representations of our climate future when they are grossly inadequate and underestimated!

    We believe that when the entities listed above redo their climate risk analysis using the information on this website and other websites critical of IPCC climate work, and which also includes the climate factors listed in a -e above, they will discover the following:

    1. We are currently at a level of extreme climate change risk. We passed high climate risk decades ago.
    2. When we cross the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 425 to 450 parts per million (ppm), we have entered the climate risk zone of unavoidable extinction for much of humanity by 2050. 
    3.  When we cross the atmospheric carbon threshold of carbon 450 to 500 ppm, we have entered the climate risk zone of near-total to total human extinction beginning as soon as 2070 or sooner.

     

    As you can see from the illustration above, for the last 65 years, atmospheric carbon levels have been getting worse even faster. As a result, we are about 3-9 years away from moving into the climate risk zone of unavoidable extinction for much of humanity by 2050.

    Building a plan, a risk analysis, or a climate scenario on everything going perfectly has always been the perfect plan for failure. Unfortunately, because of the above, our world is in a far deeper climate change extinction emergency than it believes it is in.

    And finally, there is another way to grasp the dire danger of the IPCC's Perfect Day problem. Ask yourself, when was the last time everything went perfectly according to your projected perfect plan?

    What can you do about the Perfect Day problem which is drastically impeding our progress on executing effective climate solutions?

    1. If you have any contacts with power at any of the organizations listed on this page, you can email them a copy of this article. It would help if you also referred them to this page. This page makes considerably better (but still not perfect) allowances for the IPCC's Perfect Day problem by more realistically adjusting climate consequence scenarios and timeframes to include and make allowances for more of the above a-e factors.

    Here are the key organizations to reach out to so they can update their internal critical climate risk analysis, so they become a better reflection of today's actual climate reality. You will be doing them a favor! Unfortunately, operating on the IPCC's flawed climate prediction scenarios for their internal climate risk analysis will eventually embarrass them. It could also expose them to severe legal liability for incorrect actions or incorrect advice.

    This risk updating process may also assist them in doing what is logical and necessary to help better manage our climate extinction emergency. There may be other entities you will think of as well: 

    World governments, the world's military, intelligence agencies, hedge funds, investment banks (like Goldman Sachs,) stock and commodity markets, foundations, think tanks, national and international reserve banks, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the World Economic Forum and corporations dealing with essential commodities and infrastructure needed for the future.

    2. Get started with the Job One for Humanity Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan.

    Other critical IPCC consequence prediction and timetable problems that rapidly need to be adjusted for in future government and corporate climate risk analysis 

    1. Click here to see the four most crucial extinction-triggering tipping points that must be factored into every adjusted future climate risk analysis.

    2. Click here to see how the accelerating primary and secondary consequences of climate change interact with and worsen humanity's 11 other major global crises.

    3. Click here to see the risk analysis adjusted 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and why we must get close to a 75% reduction in total global fossil fuel use (oil, natural gas, coal, etc.) by 2025, not the far, far less net-zero emission levels they have pledged by 2050 or 2040! (In the technical notes at the bottom of the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction specification page, you will see each calculation and compensation for the various factors that make up the required correct global fossil fuel reduction numbers.)

    4. In addition to the "Perfect Day" problem previously described, below you will find essential additional links on the checkered history of the IPCC climate consequence predictions and research problems. These links will provide a valuable context for the relationships, processes, and climate research transformations going on within the IPPC.

    You will learn precisely how the IPCC constructs and calculates its climate consequence risk scenarios and recommended climate change remedies. Unfortunately, you also will discover that there are many other serious calculation and process problems going on within the IPCC in addition to the Perfect Day problem. The additional problems below further call into question the reliability and risk analysis usefulness of the IPCC's current prediction scenarios and climate remedies.

    Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more.

    Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the books" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven and non-existent "carbon sucking unicorn" technology into their projections. 

    Click here to see the eleven key climate change tipping points that have been mostly excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use we must reduce each year globally. 

    Click here to see the four key reasons why the IPCC's 26 global climate conferences have failed to produce results or legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets.

    In Summary of the 10 Facts

    Because global warming is already in a runaway state and primarily out of our control, it is good to be clear about the two things that we can still control:

    1. We can slow down some unavoidable global warming consequences for you and others by getting our governments to execute Part 3 of the Job One Climate and Global Crises Resilience Plan (aka Plan B.)

    2. We can prepare to survive accelerating global warming consequences for as long and as comfortably as possible. At the same time, we can hope that this crisis does not turn into total extinction and that our wise preparation helps us make it through the now unavoidable death of half of humanity by mid-century.

    What you can do today about the climate change and global warming emergency because we are running out of time!

    1. We do need your help in getting this post to everywhere it needs to go!

    a. Would you please help email this post to more politicians worldwide before the COP26 International climate change conference. Particularly these US politicians because it is doubtful they and their climate staff understand these issues as well. Please forward it to US politicians like John Kerry (the Climate Czar,) Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and other members of the US progressive Squad. Please also send it to all other global politicians you think should see it as well.

    b. Kindly email this post to the delegates, officials, and sponsors of the United Nations next international climate conference (COP26) November 1-12, 2021. It is time the next climate conference stops watering down the correct global fossil fuel reduction targets needed to prevent our mass extinction. 

    Furthermore, it is time for COP26 to stop setting any global warming reduction targets based upon carbon removal technology that does not exist. It is time for COP26 to tell the people of the world exactly how unlivable our global warming future will be because if they fail to mobilize government action again, there will be no time left to reach the correct global fossil fuel reductions. (Click here to learn how the IPCC is distorting carbon capture technology calculations to allow fossil fuel producing nations and the fossil fuel industry to maintain production and profits and keep global fossil fuel reductions targets far below where they should be. 

    c. Please email this post to the ecological and global warming educational groups and their staff mentioned in this post, such as 350.org, Climate Central, Climate Mobilization, Climate Emergency Fund, the Sunrise Movement, Sierra Club, World Wildlife Fund, etc. Please also send it to ALL other environmental and global warming educational groups you think should see it as well.

    2. Sign this global warming emergency petition to our politicians.

    3. Get started with your personal and business Plan B for Climate Change Resilience today. It also contains information on how to live within our carrying capacity limits, prepare for what is coming, and how to adapt and simplify both your lifestyle and livelihood so you become part of the energy solution to this emergency.

    Please note that at this late stage, individual actions alone will not reverse the global warming extinction emergency. Only government actions will do that.

    Please help support the research and candid comprehensive climate change analysis done by the Job One for Humanity organization. Make a tax-deductible donation here.

    More documentation

    1. To now learn about the 10 most important current facts on climate change, click here.

    2. To learn how difficult it will be to get close to the extinction-preventing 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, click here.

    3. Please note that this older 2 C limit calculation by the United Nations IPCC did not include adequate tipping point calculations. But, it did wrongly include magical compensatory carbon capture calculations for technology that might not exist for thirty years. It also did not include many other critical calculation factors described here.