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  • The Forecasted Consequences of Climate Change for the Next 2-5 Decades, 2032-2070.

    Climate change consequences will exponentially worsen in frequency, severity, and scale during this period.

    If our governments do not enforce the required fossil fuel reductions and come close to the legitimate 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets for their nations, we will not be able to avoid near-total extinction consequences. Near-total extinction means that about 70 percent to as much as 90 percent of humanity (about six to seven billion people) will perish in a climate change-driven global collapse process.

    Click here for the master list of all of the primary and secondary consequences of climate change.

    Here are more of the forecasted consequences of climate change for the next 2-5 decades, 2032-2070. (Most are not mentioned in the above link.}

    Because of the many consequences of climate change, which will now rise at exponential rates in this climate change phase 3, it will affect all categories of food prices. Expect food bills to go up every year by at least 9-15 percent more than the previous average food inflation rate average.

    We also expect continuous massive food shortages around the world. A radical increase in food prices will be due to unprecedented and severe low global crop yields, many failed crops, exponential food distribution cost increases (due to increased security costs), and food labor production increases as climate change consequences grow exponentially.

    The number of starving people worldwide will also grow exponentially into the billions, causing desperate mass migrations of starving people to overwhelm even the most stable governments. Poor and middle-class individuals and families will not have enough money to buy enough food at what it will cost during phase 3.

    If the Thwaites Doomsday glacier collapses early on during the next several decades, the world will eventually experience sea levels rising another 7-10 feet within just a few decades beyond the initial and rapid 2-3 foot rise after the Thwaites glacier's initial collapse.) 

    Mass climate migration will go out of control during this period, and few nations will be able to control or survive the billions of migrants on the move, fleeing coastal areas and desperate for resources.

    The previous US fossil fuel reductions were based on grossly inadequate fossil fuel reduction calculations that provided the uninformed a temporary false hope but eventually an extremely painful and harsh dose of climate reality. Unless the US government adopts the correct 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets and immediately leads the rest of the world to enforce these targets, unavoidably, half of humanity will be dead by mid-century! This is highly likely to happen, especially under the new US presidential administration.

    If the world's governments significantly miss the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets, near-total human extinction will occur within the next 50 to 70 years or less. Because humanity will be unable to recover from or adapt to the accelerating frequency, severity, and scale of worsening climate change-related consequences, humanity faces the painful road of escalating economic, political, and social chaos and collapse long before its final members pass away. Violent criminal gangs will begin to fill the void where law and order as broken down.

    From 2032-2070, the climate change consequences described on this page will worsen exponentially in severity, frequency, and scale. In the US alone, we estimate that the total 38-year cost of climate change consequences will range from 200-300 trillion dollars or more. Worldwide, other than the US, we estimate the 38-year total for all exponentially exploding climate change consequences will cost the world between 1,200 and 2,000 trillion dollars. All surviving nations will be thrown into social, political, and economic chaos by these costs and the destruction and suffering of the many climate change consequences. These costs could be considerably lower by 2050 or beyond because so much of the human population is dead, and there is no nation or persons to pay these costs or even tabulate them. We forecast that long before 2070, the ever-increasing litany of catastrophic climate change consequences will force most world nations into insolvency, financial depression, and a governmental and law and order breakdown. The costs of exponentially accelerating climate change consequences will make inflation the major source of economic collapse and fuel further starvation in the remaining poor and middle classes.

    Worldwide, successful litigation against fossil fuel companies for the damages caused by climate change consequences will rise exponentially among individuals, businesses, states, and nations. (For more information on worldwide lawsuits and how you, too, can get restitution for the climate change damages you have experienced, click here to begin to learn what you can do.)

    As accelerating climate consequences create many more deaths globally, reaching mass extinction levels, humanity will eventually suffer another high-risk consequence at some point. Human genetic diversity is also radically reduced as the global population is radically reduced. Having a high level of human genetic diversity (including many genetic mutations) helps safeguard humanity against new pandemics, killing off all, most, or the rest of humanity.

    All homes, businesses, and farms in medium to high-risk climate change areas are uninsurable due to rising property insurance costs or cancelations due to increasing climate change consequences and risks. Governments worldwide are accelerating their Managed Retreat programs and running out of money to do so.

    As climate conditions worsen to unsurvivable suffering levels, climate change-related suicides will climb steadily in all areas where any solution or release from accelerating climate consequences appears hopeless.

    Because of increasing public demand and outrage, courts worldwide will finally begin convicting and severely punishing individuals, corporations, and even governments of acts of commission or omission that directly or indirectly caused, contributed to, or enabled the ongoing climate change-related human and biological extinction. These eco-felonies will be labeled as genocidal-enabling crimes against humanity and the future.

    Current Earth system computer models (ESMs) project a dramatic slowing (28–42% by 2100) of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and Southern Meridional Overturning Circulation (SMOC) across a range of climate scenarios, with a complete shutdown of SMOC possible by the year 2300. These newest predictions for ocean current slowdown are decades ahead of previous climate-related forecasts. Maintaining this critical ocean current at the same pre-climate change speed it has held for thousands of years is essential to humanity's future survival. This current slowdown in the ocean is a massive catastrophic climate change tipping point; see this article.

    In the face of an endless worsening of climate change consequences, the world's generalized climate change fear and anxiety will become undeniable even to the most strident climate change denier. Governments and politicians will finally switch away from their previous climate change denial positions and begin to acknowledge accelerating climate change and its dangers publically. Feeling the burning wind of public opinion and anger turning against them, and to save their jobs and nations, they will, at last, call for drastic and immediate fossil fuel cuts and other "too-little, too-late" actions that will not save most of humanity from extinction.

    The full painful phase-by-phase, consequence-by-consequence 2032 to 2050 climate change-driven collapse process is described in full detail here.

     

    The following is already happening 

    The arrows in the illustration below indicate how climate change tipping points and feedback loops interact and feed into each other. As more tipping points are crossed and feedback loops interact, they will multiply and amplify each other's effects. This will cause climate change consequences to worsen exponentially and far beyond what people are expecting or prepared for.

     

    Section 7: Conclusion

    Until our governments dare to tell their citizens that we have to go through a painful period of enormous individual and collective sacrifice to get close to the 2005 global fossil fuel reduction targets, and they enforce laws to ensure we do, we are doomed to ever-increasing worldwide suffering and death because of the immutable laws of climate physics and climate math.

    Maybe a 1/2 trillion dollar single incident climate mega-disaster will finally get the world's governments serious about cutting global fossil fuels usage to, at least, get close to the 2025 global targets.

    The 800-pound gorilla in the room, and the big problem today is we are not listening to the ever-louder and more costly destructive feedback that Mother Nature is giving us during this accelerating climate change emergency. Therefore, Mother Nature will do as she has always done. She will turn up her destructive climate consequence feedback to even higher, more painful levels and hopefully get our attention before it is too late. 

    Mother Nature can be fully trusted to continue to act as she has for the last 10,000 years of human evolution. She will continue to favor the wise, the well-informed, the best prepared, and the most cooperative. And she will punish everyone who does not listen to her repeated and rapidly intensifying climate change consequence feedback.

     

    If you find this 2025 climate change forecast helpful, please email it directly to your friends because it is unlikely they will get it elsewhere. Here's why? Your government and your media outlets will not cover or will water down these 2025 climate change consequences in the service of mostly hidden vested financial interests that are determined to maintain their obscene fossil fuel-related profits. (If you do not believe the world's most profitable cartel controlling 35% or more of the world's GDP would create billions of dollars in worldwide disinformation and misinformation or actively suppress accurate climate change information to maintain its profits, then click here to see the mountain of research on why this is true.)

     

    Please donate any amount to help keep our 100% publicly funded nonprofit think tank free for everyone! Help us to keep providing uncensored climate change forecasts, facts, and solutions to the public.

    With every donation of any amount, you will get amazing gifts! Click the donate image below and also see what these gifts are.

     

     

    Critical additional reading and documentation for our predictions for the next 2-5 decades:

    To save much of humanity, here is how we must compel our governments to act.

    Click here to see why human extinction should end at near-total levels but should not go to total extinction.

    Click here for a step-by-step, detailed explanation of the processes of near-total extinction.

    Click here for the four extinction-triggering climate tipping points. 

    Click here to see the Climageddon Feedbck Scenario, which describes in painful detail the meltdown of climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions that are already occurring and will only worsen.

    For additional information on climate change-driven mass extinction and global collapse processes, please see our three-part series of articles relating to the Club of Rome/MIT study (and four related verification studies), including our updating of them with recent climate change information. See the first article here. It will take you to the other articles. 

    Discover additional essential information, tools, alerts, and promotional benefits for becoming a Job One for Humanity climate change think tank donor/supporter/member by clicking here!

    And finally, if you are concerned about what you can do about the climate change emergency to protect yourself, click here.

    Click here to see our other climate change forecasts

    Phase 2 Climate Change, 2026-2031: We have created a separate forecast page for those who also want to see what happens in their short-term climate change consequences in the future, occurring from 2026 to 2031. Click here to see this 2026 to 2031 page.

    Click here to see our 2025 forecast.


  • Here are the major climate change consequences to watch from 2026 to 2031

    We will cross a key climate change tipping point range in the next from 2026 to 2031. It is the critical atmospheric carbon threshold level of carbon 425-carbon 450 parts per million (ppm).

    As we cross this key climate tipping point, it will cause climate change consequences not to continue to gradually increase in frequency, severity, and scale as they are doing now. Instead, climate change consequences will grow dramatically in frequency, severity, and scale.

    More specifically:

    We predict that between 2025 and 2031, the frequency of many climate change consequences will come close to doubling.

    Between 2025 and 2031, the severity of these consequences will rise dramatically, and in many cases, it will come close to reaching double the previous severity.

    Between 2025 and 2031, the size of areas affected by climate change consequences will also dramatically increase. In many cases, between 2025 and 2031, climate consequences will affect areas coming close to twice the area of what we are seeing in 2024. 

    Hearing that climate change consequences will, in many cases, double over this very short period from 2025-2031 is disheartening and scary. A key reason for this has to do with the Climageddon Feedback Scenario, which describes a scenario where more and more of the climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions between the climate system and sub-systems are crossed and triggered, causing a rapid acceleration of climate change consequences. (The Climageddon Feedback Scenario is fully explained with many illustrations on this page. Job One wants you to understand the analysis behind statements like from 2025 to 2031, many climate change consequences will double as discussed above.)

    When we are pushed beyond the carbon 425-450 ppm climate change tipping point about 2031 and beyond, many climate change consequences will soon begin to increase exponentially, and we will enter into a second and irreversible phase of runaway global heating!

    Irreversible climate change means we will not be able to get the dangerous levels of excess greenhouse gases (like carbon) out of our atmosphere and back down to a normal and human-safe pre-industrial level for hundreds to thousands of years. (As of December of 2024, We are currently at the insane atmospheric carbon level of 425 ppm. We will soon enter and pass through the irreversible second phase of runaway global heating sometime around late 2027-2031. This runaway phase occurs when we enter the carbon 425-450 ppm range.)

    Because we will enter and cross this critical climate threshold, the years 2025-3031 will have much worse climate change consequences. Much more of the detailed climate science for additional reasons why our climate change consequences will get so much worse from 2025 to 2031 and why this threshold is so critical to the survival of humanity is fully explained on this page. 

    We strongly recommend reading this page because it will help you understand how we cross into irreversible, runaway global heating. Irreversible runaway global heating is where the average global temperature keeps rising from 2°C to 3°C to 4°C and eventually far beyond any level much of humanity could survive.

    We have provided the following graph to help illustrate how dangerous an exponential increase in climate change consequences is. In the graph below, the red line is an example of a gradual linear, steady, and mostly predictable climate change consequence growth trajectory. (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.) The green line below is an example of a sudden, exponential, and highly unpredictable climate change consequence growth trajectory. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)

     

     

     

    An exponential climate change consequence increase corresponds precisely to when we cross the critical atmospheric carbon 425-450 ppm threshold and climate change tipping point. Never forget thatat best, we have only until about 2025 and maybe up to 2031 to reduce global fossil fuel use to the survival-critical 2025 target levels, or we will not just lose half of humanity by about mid-century; we will proceed toward near total extinction after mid-century. (We are currently at about carbon 425 ppm, as shown in the blue CO2 graph further above.) 

    Here are the major climate change consequences to watch from 2026 to 2031, many of which will also be dramatically increasing in frequency, severity, and scale:

    There will be far more work disruptions and production stresses. The human capacity to work outside or in building enclosures will decrease significantly as temperatures accelerate and new records are broken. Not including dealing with further extreme weather consequences, accelerating climate change will cause more and longer costly business, production, and distribution delays and interruptions.

    Worldwide, city, zoning, and planning departments and long-range corporate planners will begin amending their building and other codes and their long-term plans to compensate for or adapt to the accelerating severity of climate change-related consequences. Cities will have to start expanding their sewer systems because of rain bombs, raising highways from flood-prone areas, building expensive sea walls, and moving key electrical, communication, water purification, and sewage treatment plants from high-risk flood or fire areas. They will also have to change their building codes so that homes and buildings can survive the 1,000-year extreme storms and category six hurricanes and tornadoes that will soon be coming regularly.

    For every one degree of further global temperature rise, the atmosphere will take up and hold another 7% of water vapor through evaporation. This additional water vapor in the atmosphere does not only mean more rain in certain areas, but it also means that rain bombs will also grow more frequent and intense, with 20-30 inches of rain falling within a day or two common in many areas. 

    Food prices will continue to soar globally because of climate consequences, causing crop yields to drop or some crops to fail. Expect to pay a much larger percentage of your total budget to buy the same or lesser amounts of food.

    Many more individuals will experience a stronger generalized climate change fear and anxiety. They will see undeniable, repeated, and strong patterns of worsening climate disasters, but they still will not understand climate change processes and projections well enough to understand what is really happening. This ever-increasing generalized anxiety and fear will strongly affect their health and well-being. It also will make them very strongly inclined to accept false climate change solutions from individuals who project certainty and safety even though what is being proposed will not work and whose solutions will only surreptitiously protect the status quo of the global fossil fuel cartel profits and its affiliated companies.

    More climagees (climate refugees) will also migrate from high-risk climate areas to low-risk areas within large nations. In the US and Europe, we estimate that both regions will soon reach 3 million climate migrants per year. By the late 2030s, 300 million to 1 billion or more people worldwide will be displaced or migrating because of the many interrelated and accelerating climate change consequences. (If the Thwaites Doomsday glacier collapses, the migration numbers from coastal areas worldwide will be closer to 1 billion or more.) 

    From 2026 to 3031, more nations and politicians will demand stringent and extreme immigration laws and regulations for dealing with illegal immigrants in or trying to enter their nations. They will do everything within their power to make it harder for all but a few new immigrants to arrive. Radically changing the immigration laws during this period will prepare these nations for the massive climate migrant surge that will begin during this period and rise exponentially after this period. Many nations will begin or complete the process of closing their borders entirely due to being overwhelmed by climate change migrants.

    As the generalized climate change fear and anxiety rise more intensely in the climate change uninformed population, there will be a steady worldwide rise in governments and politicians moving toward greater conservatism, authoritarianism, and dictatorial practices to deal with growing illegal climate change migration and the other intensifying climate change consequences, which they will not publically acknowledge as accelerating climate change. Ironically and simultaneously, there also will be a rise in governmental, political, and fossil fuel-controlled media continuing to hide or deny the fact that climate change is dramatically intensifying and its worse effects will arrive far sooner than they are telling their citizens. 

    There will be substantial ongoing economic losses. (Most nations will spend an ever-increasing percentage of their total gross domestic product (GDP) directly or indirectly paying for the many consequences of the global warming emergency in 2025. The cost of living for repair, maintenance, building, or rebuilding in the safer global warming areas will continue to rise significantly. By the early 2030s, the US and many other countries will, directly and indirectly, spend about 5%-10% of their total gross domestic product (GDP) on climate change-related consequences and disasters. 

    Global stock and commodity markets, which have grossly underestimated the costs and the multitude of business problems associated with the plethora of interrelated climate change consequences, will begin to experience wild market swings and some collapses in the weaker markets. Because of new climate-related economic shocks to the markets, the probability of an economic recession or depression on national or global levels becomes significantly higher. 

    People with low incomes will get much poorer because of continuously escalating climate consequences, disasters, and work interruptions.

    Because of the many consequences of climate change listed above and below, which will now rise at faster rates and also affect all categories of food prices, expect food bills to go up every year by at least 4-8 percent more than the previous average food inflation rate average. This increase in food prices is due to many more and more severe low crop yields and failed crops, dramatic food distribution cost increases, and food labor production increases as climate change consequences greatly accelerate. This will put more poor families on the streets and put paycheck-to-paycheck middle-class families under high stress. We estimate that poor families will spend 16-23% of their total income on food, more than the previous average food inflation rate average. Middle-class families will spend less of their total income, but there will still be a significant increase of about 3-5 % percent per year. Starvation worldwide will grow dramatically, causing mass migrations and conflicts to accelerate.

    Many more homes, businesses, and farms in medium to high-risk climate change areas will become uninsurable due to rising property insurance costs or cancelations due to increasing climate change consequences and risks. Far more individuals will acknowledge the reality of accelerating climate change consequences and will decide to relocate rather than rebuild after major climate change catastrophes. More and more homeowners, businesses, and farm owners will know that if they become uninsurable either because the rates are unsustainable or because their insurance company cancels them, their property values will crash to a fraction of their original value, and they will lose most of their investment in that property. Governments worldwide will accelerate their Managed Retreat programs.

    Worldwide litigation against fossil fuel companies for the damages caused by climate change consequences will rise dramatically among individuals, businesses, states, and nations. (For more information on these worldwide lawsuits and how you, too, can get restitution for the climate change damages you have experienced, click here to begin to learn what you can do.)

    A widespread crime rate increase in poorer neighborhoods will be survival driven by increased climate change consequences that will expand a starving, unemployed, and poorer citizen and migrant population. (Imagine hundreds of millions of desperate individuals worldwide trying to stay alive by any means possible! That increasing desperation will drive up crime rates worldwide. In 2025, the US alone will face about 3+ million annual climate migrants seeing legal and illegal entry into the US.)

    More climate scientists, climate researchers, climate-informed individuals, and well-informed ultra-wealthy individuals and corporations will be discretely migrating to or buying land in the world's remaining global warming-safe areas. This safer land is only about 5% of the world's available landmass. 

    As they grasp the severity and accelerating difficulties of the climate extinction emergency, more individuals will become doomers or doomsday peppers. A recent survey showed that 50% of Generation Z believe they are doomed. 

    Democracies can only exist and grow with an environmental, food, and resource surplus or sufficiency. Because of accelerating climate change-related consequences and the stresses they create, democracies worldwide will become less democratic and continue their move toward more authoritarianism. This political change will be facilitated additionally because climate change will destroy valuable food resources. With more food destroyed or other unusable or unavailable resources, the world's population will become significantly more competitive, more aggressive, and more polarized. More local, regional, and national climate migration and food and water shortages will aggravate regional and national wars and conflicts. If the nations of the world are not very careful and controlled, these regional and national climate-driven conflicts could also create a real threat of regional, national or international nuclear war.

    The fossil fuel industry will not give up trying to make the world's population believe it is safe when it is not. To keep massive profits rolling in from its toxic products, it will continue promoting things like clean hydrogen made from methane from fracking, clean coal, clean gasoline, and who knows, they might even find a way to sell us clean green tar sands.

    The fundamental climate normalcy and relative stability that humanity has come to depend upon for its existence for tens of thousands of years is rapidly disappearing. Severe climate instability and unpredictability are the new climate reality. New climate research indicates that the human civilization may not be sustainable when climate change produces an average temperature increase of as little as 3°C.

    Governments will realize they need to be adequately funded to keep repairing damages from climate catastrophes. Due to increasing climate-related disasters and growing delays in getting disaster relief and aid, more governments worldwide will require their citizens to have at least a two-week supply of food, water, and other needed supplies.

    Climate change is no longer a problem for our grandchildren as it was 60 years ago. It is already a severe problem for generations X, Y, Z, and all new generations. Runaway global heating is accelerating so fast that even the baby boomers and other retirees will feel its painful and bitter stings as their lives come to a close.

    Sadly, we will not likely come close enough to reach the 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets! (We had to reduce ALL fossil fuel burning in developed countries (including China and India) by about 75% by close to 2025 (and considerably and justly less than that in undeveloped countries. This near-impossible 75% global fossil fuel reduction exists because our governments wasted 60 years of warnings when these reductions could have been easier and gradual.) 

    Even more climate-change-driven extreme weather records will be broken.

    The ocean waters of the tropics and middle latitudes will grow warmer. This warming water will cause the plankton to migrate north or south into colder waters. When the plankton moves north or south into colder waters, the fish stocks that depend upon this plankton as the stable bottom for their food change will also move north or south. This fish stock relocation means millions of additional people who rely on fish for protein in the tropics and middle latitudes will starve.

    Food prices will begin skyrocketing to compensate for growing and severe crop losses. Food prices will be considerably more than the typical cost of living increases, and they will become a dominant portion of the budgets of the poor and middle class. Food insecurity will skyrocket, and world hunger and starvation will rise dramatically. Many poor to middle-class people will have to create a local garden and start hunting wildlife to survive skyrocketing food prices and food distribution shortages.

    Many more people will suffer and die from 2025-2031 because of climate change-related consequences. The number of people worldwide who will die from the direct and indirect effects of the primary and secondary climate change consequences will increase radically to around 250-350 million people. (As conditions worsen drastically, climate change-related suicides will also climb steadily in many areas.)

    If the Thwaites Doomsday glacier collapses during this period, the world is looking at a very rapid and completely unmanageable, 2 to 3-foot sea level rise. 50% of the world's population lives at coastal areas. The collapse of the Thwaites glacier will produce the largest human migration in history.

    Long-held water rights will begin to be lost to government regulations as sporadic and long-term droughts affect vital areas of nations. Despite previous water rights and laws, governments will be forced to provide water for their citizens and other critical uses.

    Climate change-related crimes will rise significantly during this period. Governments will have to create larger police forces, courts, and jails to handle the rising crime as society becomes more unstable due to accelerating climate change loss and damage. Increasing numbers of climate change-displaced individuals whose resources have been severely depleted by climate change loss and damage will turn to crime to stay alive.

    Atmospheric rivers that have been hitting the West Coast of the United States during the winter months will significantly increase the amount of water they release wherever they hit land. They will no longer be called atmospheric rivers. They will begin to be called flood-stage atmospheric rivers.

    Because of the ever-increasing climate change consequences occurring around the world, fear and scarcity will increase among the population. As fear and scarcity increase in areas with insufficient law and order resources, criminality and violence will follow.

    From 2026-2031, the climate change consequences described on this page will become dramatically worse in severity, frequency, and scale. In the US alone, we estimate that the total 6-year cost of climate change consequences will range from 4- 6 trillion dollars or more. Most of these costs will not be planned for or budgeted for by the US government, US businesses, or individual families. Worldwide, other than the US, we estimate the total 6 year total for all climate change consequences will cost the world between 60 and 100 trillion dollars. Climate change will become the largest financially unmanaged cause of growing national, business, and personal financial losses and deficits. The costs of dramatically accelerating climate change consequences will continue to be the hidden and unmanageable source of inflation. 

    From 2026 to 2031, some nations and areas will experience considerably more climate change consequence intensification. Those nations and areas are Australia, India, China, southern Europe, the southeast and southwest United States, Southeast Asia, and generally many areas between the 35th parallel north and the 35th parallel south. There will be some microclimates and areas that will have significantly fewer global warming consequences. The safer areas amount to about 5% of the land mass of the planet.

    Warming in the far north and far south will continue to be 2 to 4 times greater than in the upper latitudes.

    More governments around the world will begin hiding or downplaying more of the consequences of accelerating climate change to prevent fear, economic disruption, or mass migration in their populations.

    There are many other climate change consequences that will be dramatically worsening in frequency, severity, and scale during this period. Click here for the master list of all of the primary and secondary consequences of climate change.

     

    The Thwaites glacier in Antarctica is a critical global climate tipping point for irreversible sea level rise to watch over the next decadeor so. It is often called the Doomsday Glacier. When the Thwaites glacier slides into the ocean, we have crossed an extinction accelerating catastrophic climate tipping point.

     

     

     

     

     

    When Thwaites breaks off, it is your mega-warning sign that the global sea level will rise to fast to adapt to. Pay close attention to any progress updates for the Thwaites collapse. 

    Current research says that the Thwaites Glacier will continue melting over the next few decades, steadily increasing sea levels. Still, the Thwaites Glacier's complete collapse is predicted decades from now. New cracks in the Thwaites Glacier's eastern ice shelf indicate that the ice shelf could collapse within the next five to ten years. This could cause sea levels to rise by several feet, endangering coastal communities worldwide. The growth of the cracks seems to be accelerating. 

    What could happen if the ice shelf collapses? 
    • The glacier could release an armada of icebergs that are behind it.
    • Ice in the region could flow up to three times faster into the sea.
    • Once the Thwaites glacier collapses, we will cross far worse extinction-accelerating climate tipping points. (Like sea level rising another 7-10 feet within decades after the initial 2-3 foot rise after the Thwaites glacier's initial collapse.)

    50% of the world's population lives in coastal areas. Once the Thwaites glacier collapses and the ice shelf behind it begins sliding into the ocean, humanity will experience the single greatest mass migration in human history.

    We know the news is terrible, but please do not forget the most essential thing after reading our predictions for the next 3-8 years. 

    Our governments and politicians have squandered the last 60 years in inaction or ineffective climate change actions. If they had acted effectively, fixing climate change could have been much easier and more gradual. If our governments enforced the now-required fossil fuel reductions and came close to the legitimate and radical 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets for their nation, we still can avoid many but not all of the worst consequences listed on this page. 

    But we can save about half of humanity if we all work together to compel our governments and politicians to act NOW!

    If you have ANY remaining doubts about only having from 2025-2031 to fix climate change before it becomes irreversible and destroys humanity, see this page. (This page covers the detailed science of why climate change will get so much worse (by double or more in many cases) from 2025-2031.)

    Click here to see a recent, easy-to-understand YouTube video that validates and explains much of our research and analysis, which we conducted nine years ago. The video is called Climate Doomsday 6 Years From Now, and describes many of the phenomena in this 2025-2036 forecast section with lots of simple illustrations and references to newer scientific studies that validate what Job One forecasted nine years ago.

    If you are concerned about what you can do about the climate change emergency to protect yourself, click here.

    Discover excellent information, tools, climate disaster alerts, and promotional benefits for becoming a Job One for Humanity climate change think tank as a new donor/supporter/member by clicking here!

    (Please see this critical article on the Climageddon Feedback loop scenario, which describes why climate change consequences will soon grow exponentially. This scenario is almost totally excluded in current climate change computer modeling and risk analysis modeling.)

     

    If you find this 2025 climate change forecast helpful, please email it directly to your friends because it is unlikely they will get it elsewhere. Here's why? Your government and your media outlets will not cover or will water down these 2025 climate change consequences in the service of mostly hidden vested financial interests that are determined to maintain their obscene fossil fuel-related profits. (If you do not believe the world's most profitable cartel controlling 35% or more of the world's GDP would create billions of dollars in worldwide disinformation and misinformation or actively suppress accurate climate change information to maintain its profits, then click here to see the mountain of research on why this is true.)

     

    Please donate any amount to help keep our 100% publicly funded nonprofit think tank free for everyone! Help us to keep providing uncensored climate change forecasts, facts, and solutions to the public.

    With every donation of any amount, you also get amazing gifts! Click the donate image below and also see what these gifts are.

     

     

    For those who are interested in our other climate change forecasts beyond 2025

    Phase 3 Climate Change, 2032 to 2050: We have created a separate forecast page for those who also want to see what happens in their short-term climate change consequences in the future, occurring from 2032 to 2050. Click here to see this 2032-2050 page.

    Click here to see our 2025 forecast.


  • published An informed opinion of climate emergency in Blog 2025-02-03 12:43:47 -0800

    An informed opinion about the current climate emergency

    We rarely publish individual comments and opinions in our blog, but this one by an informed individual got our attention, and we decided it was worth sharing. 

    Read more

  • published Barry in Blog 2025-01-15 14:43:38 -0800

    Climate-Change Fire Sale: California Joins Florida As Uninsurable State

    The insurance industry proves the existence of climate change.

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  • Five Reasons Why Job One For Humanity's Climate Change Consequences Forecasts Are More Accurate Than Other Similar Organizations

    Last Updated 2.7.25

    There are five shocking reasons why Job One for Humanity's climate change think tank forecasts are considerably more accurate than the forecasts of other climate change think tanks.

     

     

    Here are five main reasons why climate change facts, forecasts, and analyses coming out of the Job One for Humanity climate change think tank are considerably more accurate than facts and analyses coming from other climate change think tanks or climate change educational organizations:

    1. Our 100% public-only funding factor means that our research and analysis have no "funding bias" or funder coloring, which alters our results or forecasts. "Funding bias occurs when researchers are aware that whatever individual, corporation, or government agency is funding their research is also seeking some favorable research result they can use to support a position or project they want to forward or maintain.

     

     

    Unfortunately, funding bias is blinding and plaguing many climate research and environmental educational organizations. They keep altering or watering down the actual climate facts so as not to upset their donors and to ensure continual funding by other vested financial interests directly or indirectly related to the global fossil fuel cartel.

     

     

    Job One for Humanity is very different. It treats its donors and members as adults capable of managing lousy news. We always tell them the current climate facts, no matter how painful and disruptive they might be.

    We also do not accept ANY funding or consulting work from any organization benefiting directly or indirectly from climate change or its causes or with a history of altering or hiding climate change facts or promoting falsehoods. 

    We can only do this because we are 100% publicly funded by you! Please click here to see how the global fossil fuel cartel is spending billions to ensure no organization, government, or mainstream media outlet is telling the public about how bad the change emergency really is.

     

    2. We are the only climate change think tank using the newest and most likely most powerful analysis system for understanding and predicting complex adaptive systems like the climate. This new, very advanced analysis system is called Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking

    If you are a nerd like us and want to learn more about this colossal breakthrough transcending earlier systems to analyze the complex data found within today's many complex adaptive systems (like politics, economics, the climate, ecology, etc.), click here first, then click here.

    (The first click will take you to a review of a new book called Human Superintelligence that discusses Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking in detail. The second link will take you to many other resources on this world-changing analysis breakthrough that is perfect for the world of complex adaptive systems we now live in.)

    Click here to see how this new thinking skill allows us to understand the deep levels of the complexity of climate change.

    Climate change denial is a widely recognized problem in the general population. What is not widely recognized is that within the worldwide climate change research community, a problem exists we call climate change stupidity. Climate change stupidity occurs when climate change researchers fail to keep up with the latest data analysis methodologies like the critical new methodology, Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking.

    Not having this skill set produces far inferior data analysis and forecasting, especially with the complex adaptive systems in climate subsystems. Traditional big data statistics and system theory skills are no longer enough to forecast climate change consequences, timetables, or solutions adequately or more accurately. Those systems are simply not adequate to handle the uniqueness of the complex adaptive climate system.

     

    3. We take into account the seldom accounted-for Climageddon Feedback Scenario by including its accelerating, dangerous, and catastrophic possibilities and probabilities in our analysis. forecasts, and solutions. For visitors to our climate change think tank's website, the biggest question they have after reading our climate change forecasts is:

    "Why are your climate change forecasts so much worse than almost everything you hear in the media, from your government, or from many other environmental and climate change educational organizations?"

    The simple and foremost reason is that, like only a few others worldwide, our organization uses calculations, approximations, or values related to the many climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and other seldom compensated factors from what is called the Climageddon Feedback Loop. Other organizations either intentionally ignore these critical factors or do not use them because of a climate change ignorance of the dialectical and interacting dynamics of complex adaptive systems and the many systems and subsystems of climate change.

    Please click here to learn about what may be one of the most important pages on our website. It will illustrate and explain the very complex Climageddon Feedback Scenario.

     

    4. Our think tank goes to great lengths to re-analyze current climate change research and analysis for intentional and unintentional errors, omissions, understated and overstated consequences, and subtly hidden, vested financial interest disinformation and misinformation manipulation of climate change data. We also look for patterns between the various studies that would not be seen by individual climate specialist focusing only on their own specialty i.e. water vapor, oceans, soils, forests, glaciers, permafrost, etc.

    Click here and read the many links on this page to discover the many intentional and unintentional errors, omissions, understated and overstated consequences, and subtly hidden, vested financial interest manipulation of climate change data that our organization has exposed over the years.

     

    5. Accurate information about the climate change emergency is vital to humanity's future and to preventing widespread global collapse and chaos. It must be told honestly and repeatedly until those in power hear it.

    There will be mass human extinction if we do not continuously speak "climate truth to power" and tell the whole truth about the climate change emergency --- no matter how painful. In the accelerating climate change emergency, humanity's very survival is in the balance.

    If accurate climate change consequences and timetables are not openly discussed as adults, or they are denied or hidden, much of humanity will perish. Yes, you heard that right: much of humanity will perish!

    Everyone at Job One for Humanity knows this to be the unequivocal truth, so our work must remain uncensored and 100% publicly funded.

    Click here for highly accurate climate change forecasts and predictions for the current year. 

    Click here to see the Climageddon Feedbck Scenario, which describes in painful detail the meltdown of climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions that are already occurring and will only worsen, leading to mass human extinction.

     

     

    More about Job One for Humanity.

    Founded in 2008, Job One is a non-profit, 100% publicly funded climate change think tank that provides:

    1.) a holistic "big picture" climate change overview and

    b. uncensored Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking and analysis of the inter-connected and inter-dependent complex adaptive climate systems and sub-systems creating our current climate change and runaway global heating emergency. 

    Our organization supplies research-grounded climate change consequence analysis, timeframes, risk assessment, and solutions to educational, climate, and environmental organizations worldwide without charge. We also provide a fee-based climate analysis, risk assessment, and solutions service to insurance companies, governments, and businesses affected by climate change emergencies.

    While we do not conduct original in-house climate research, we use published research papers, respected climate scientists, and climate research from organizations like the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA). of independent  

    Our organization's think tank comprises climate change research scientists and analysts. Some of the world's best climate change scientists anonymously or openly volunteer their skills, analyses, and perspectives to help us create the uncensored and unpoliticized climate change analysis on our website.

    The climate scientists who contribute anonymously do so because of the long history of global fossil fuel cartel-related academic research defunding efforts, unwarranted harassment, and reputational attacks on those academics who openly speak out on the coming severe climate change consequences and mass extinction-accelerating nature of our escalating climate change emergency.

    For example, climate scientists like James Hansen have experienced decades of unwarranted actions to ruin his reputation, defund his research, cut off his public speaking events, and harass him in numerous other ways. This was done because he strongly warned (and continues to warn) the public about the dangers of mass human extinction caused by the current climate emergency. 

    Not all climate change academics are as brave as Hansen. Consequently, they do their critical climate change work anonymously.

    Click here to learn more about the research we review and analyze to develop our climate change forecasts.


  • Your 2025 Climate Change Consequences Forecast Preview

    Here is your 2025 climate change consequence forecast sneak preview.

    Read more

  • What is the Climageddon Feedback Loop? Will It Cause Eventual Climate Chaos or Mass Human Extinction?

    Last updated 2.8.25.

    Prologue

    For visitors to our climate change think tank's website, the biggest question they have after reading our climate change forecasts is:

    "Why are your climate change forecasts so much worse than almost everything you hear in the media, from your government, or from many other environmental and climate change educational organizations?"

    The simple and foremost reason is that, like only a few others worldwide, our organization uses calculations, approximations, or values related to the many climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and other seldom compensated factors from what is called the Climageddon Feedback Loop. Other organizations either intentionally ignore these critical factors or do not use them because of a climate change ignorance of the dialectical and interacting dynamics of complex adaptive systems and the many systems and subsystems of climate change.

    The Climageddon Feedback Loop describes the increasing and accelerating interactions and reactions between climate change's tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions common to complex adaptive systems. It is the most hidden and publicly undiscussed reason why global warming's consequences will be far worse than you are told by the media, the governments, or even many environmental organizations.

    What absolutely terrifies those very few climate change researchers and analysts who do understand the Climageddon Feedback Loop and who do review and include calculations from the many climate change-related studies on the climate's numerous complex adaptive systems and subsystems is that the calculations required for the many factors within the Climageddon Feedback Loop are not being included in current climate change forecasts. These calculations are being intentionally (or ignorantly withheld and not considered) with the false belief that by doing so, they will somehow protect the public from climate change panic.

    To clarify what we mean by the climate's complex adaptive systems and subsystems here is just a partial list of them: atmospheric greenhouse carbon, methane and nitrous oxide levels effecting global heating, atmospheric water vapor levels affecting worldwide weather, ocean temperature, ocean carbonization, and ocean current slowing affecting weather and ocean fish stocks, glacier melting, Arctic ice pack size and albedo effects, Antarctica glaciers sliding into the sea like the Thwaites Doomsday glacier, carbon sink uptake and carbon sink carbon release levels, tundra and permafrost melting and carbon and methane release levels, sea level rise, etc.

     

    99.9% of the public and our politicians do not understand the complex and survival-critical interdependence and interconnection of the various climate systems, or they are ignoring the critical processes that will, with high probability, cause and trigger "unexpected" massive global climate catastrophes and mass human extinction.

    The illustration below illustrates only the global warming tipping point part of the Climagedon Feedback Loop climate change equation. Further down this page, you will see more illustrations of the Climageddon Feedback Loop and its effects.

     

    Tipping_Points.png

     

     

     

     

    Introduction

    Understanding the Climageddon Feedback Loop is not just about knowing about climate change; it's about realizing the urgent need to prepare for the impending climate chaos.

    It's also about grasping why those climate change researchers who accurately include in their calculations the following Climageddon Loop factors and are not caught by the distortions of the global fossil fuel disinformation campaigns described here are terrified. Because multi-discipline climate researchers understand it, some are quietly relocating their families to safer climate change locations, especially if they live in medium—to high-risk climate change areas.

    Unfortunately, about 90% of current climate change researchers do not fully grasp or account for the Climageddon Feedback Loop in their forecasts and projections. If they did, many more vehement climate change researchers' voices would demand that governments act before humanity enters irreversible mass extinction due to climate change consequences.

    While reading this real and potent imminent threat to your future, please ask yourself, why haven't your politicians acted to fix the climate change emergency? Are they just not smart enough to understand the following feedback loop and risk? Are they too distracted? Or, are they receiving such large donations from the global fossil fuel cartel that, as Mark Twain said, "It's hard to teach a man something that their salary depends upon not knowing."

     

     

    The Climageddon Feedback Loop 

    The simple definition of the Climageddon Feedback Loop is:

    The Climageddon Feedback Loop is multiple climate systems and subsystems synergeticly and cumulatively feeding back into each other, continually worsening climate conditions and accelerating the worst consequences of many to most of those climate systems and subsystems.

    What is most often missed or underestimated in this definition of the Climageddon Feedback Loop are the words synergeticly and cumulatively. To help remedy this issue, we include the meanings of these words to refresh them in your mind while you read the expanded definition of the Climageddon Feedback Loop below.

    Synergetic means working together or cooperating, especially when the result is greater than the sum of its parts. "The tasteful food resulted from the synergetic use of its spices and seasonings."

    Cumulative means increasing or increased in quantity, degree, or force by successive additions. "The cumulative effect of two years of drought was far worse than any single-year drought."

    Although the above is a simple definition of the Climageddon Feedback Loop, what we are trying to describe looks more like the spaghetti image below. The following section will help untangle the spaghetti plate of the different factors in the Climageddon Feedback Loop scenario, which looks more like the scenario that will lead humanity to mass human extinction.

     

    Chapter_6_Spaghetti.png

     

    The following sections expand the Climageddon Feedback Loop definition with the necessary details to accurately understand humanity's danger from accelerating climate change. 

    The Climageddon Feedback Loop illuminates the three critical and interacting climate change factors and forces that will facilitate and then accelerate the extinction of much of humanity over the following 3-5 decades. These three critical climate calculation factors are collectively and woefully missing from almost all climate change calculations done by climate researchers with a single specialty, such as the specialties of glaciers, water vapor, forest carbon absorption, sea ice coverage, ocean temperature, carbonization, currents, etc.

    These three interacting factors and highly disruptive forces will be explained shortly, but first, it is necessary to illuminate the hidden danger of climate change, which is already accelerating. Most people will acknowledge that global warming is accelerating. Over the last two decades, it has accelerated by about 50% from one decade to the next. This acceleration is in perfect lockstep with the key atmospheric greenhouse gases (carbon, methane, and nitrous oxide), as shown in the graph below.

     

     

    This massive 50% acceleration in global warming over the previous several decades contradicts everything you hear in the media from our authorities telling us that we are making progress on fixing global warming. (In case you still do not believe the 50% increase, James Hansen, the world-renowned climate scientist, recently verified this dangerous 50% acceleration in global warming over the last two decades. Click here for this new verification 2024 study by James Hansen.) 

    The following Climageddon Feedback Loop process explains the powerful and regularly unaccounted-for climate system forces that, behind the scenes, are rapidly accelerating global warming temperatures and intensifying climate change consequences. The Climageddon Feedback Loop process's effects also explain why the climate change emergency has now grown beyond humanity's effective and practical control.

    For decades, most of the world's single-specialty climate scientists have overlooked, hidden, denied, ignored, or grossly underestimated the effects of the Climageddon Feedback Loop as a major factor in the accuracy of their climate change calculations. Almost all of our single specialty climate scientists have overwhelmingly failed to include within their calculations the critical cumulative and synergetic effects of ALL other interacting and interdependent climate change systems and subsystems probable, likely, or potential:

    a. crossed climate tipping points,

    Chapter_4_Global_Warming_Tipping_Points.png

     

    b. Inherent or interconnected feedback loops, and

     

    c. non-linear reactions commonly found within the systems and subsystems of complex adaptive systems.

    The following illustration helps demonstrate nonlinear reactions in complex adaptive systems like the climate. Inn, system A the illustration is connected to system B. Still, because they are complex adaptive climate systems, they can and will produce nonlinear, highly unpredictable effects in climate system or subsystem C.

     

    Chapter_4_Unpredictable_Nonlinear_Reactions.png

     

    The above three climate-related factors and forces inherently feed into and fuel each other, creating the Climageddon Feedback Loop process within and between the systems in subsystems of climate change.

    About a dozen major climate change systems and subsystems are interconnected and interact in most normal climate change transactions. They are glacier melting or glacier break-off status, sea ice coverage, ocean temperature, ocean carbon absorption, ocean currents, methane and carbon release from permafrost, methane release from coastal ocean areas, atmospheric water vapor, the albedo effect, and soil and forest carbon sequestration or carbon release factors. (There are other climate factors and subsystems, but these are the major ones.) 

    If all of the climate's probable, likely, and potential crossed tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions are not accounted for in climate change analysis and forecasts designed to give us accurate climate change consequence timetables and climate solutions, any real chance to fix the climate change emergency before near-total extinction will slip through humanity's fingers before our leaders and humanity ever realizes its last climate-fixing opportunity is gone.

    The illustration below shows what happens before a tipping point is crossed. Just before the collapse, the system starts to oscillate faster and faster to higher and lower oscillating levels.

     

    Chapter_4_Tipping_Points_Crash_Warning_Signs.png

     

    Understanding how the three factors and forces of the Climageddon Feedback Loop interact is critical to humanity's future. The Climageddon Feedback Loop occurs whenever more crossed climate tipping points, feedback loops, and triggered non-linear reactions interact and accelerate each other's effects in what can become a near-endless feedback loop.

     

    Chapter_4_Interacting_Global_Warming_Tipping_Points.png

     

    The three factors and forces of tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions interact in the climate to create a new and much larger or mega feedback loop (the Climageddon Feedback Loop) of and between themselves. This now-activated Climageddon feedback loop will continuously fuel and accelerate new levels of rapidly increasing heat and intensify climate change consequences.

     

    Tipping_Points.png

     

    In the Climageddon Feedback Loop, more tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions are pushed into being crossed or activated faster and faster. This once again triggers or accelerates other and more climate tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions in other climate systems and subsystems. This, in turn, fuels and creates the Climageddon Feedback Loop extinction spiral of ever-increasing and ever more severe climate change consequences at even faster rates!

    As the Climagageddon Feedback Loop continues to expand and accelerate as described above, eventually, all that Humanity will be able to do is prepare and adapt and hope that you can live as comfortably as possible under the extreme climate change conditions never seen before by humanity.

    The monster climate crisis and extinction threat are hidden by ignoring the Climageddon Feedback Loop in current climate change analysis and predictions.

    Today, most climate scientists have not simultaneously included calculations, algorithmic values, or reasonable allowances for ALL or even most of the probable, likely, or potential crossed climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions from the dozen most essential climate systems and subsystems in their final climate change calculations. This dangerous and gross underestimation issue helps to create a delusional climate change "Perfect Day scenario," with no nasty climate tipping points, feedback loops, or non-linear reactions to ruin their "Perfect Day" climate change forecasts. 

    Consequently, our current real climate change risks and threats are not accurately provided to those with the political and financial power to act. Because of this, governments, businesses, and the world's citizens have not been informed of the accurate and actual climate change consequences and time frames we currently face. They have been grossly misinformed about their climate future! 

    The widespread failure of climate scientists to include the Climageddon Feedback Loop process and scenario in ALL of their climate change calculations explains why the current global warming temperature predictions and time frames that humanity is being given are so far off from what is already occurring and will occur. (We appear to be regularly meeting or exceeding our current worst-case climate change scenario predictions precisely because, in part, of the omission of the Climageddon Feedback Loop in those predictions.) 

    The undisclosed and uncompensated Climageddon Feedback Loop has already caused humanity to enter phase 2 of runaway global warming. This phase is terrible because it means half or more of humanity will perish by about 2050.

    If we do not immediately make radical worldwide fossil fuel reductions, as much as 95% of humanity or more will likely not survive past 2070. Immediate and drastic action is the only way to prevent global temperatures from entering runaway mode and living in climate hell.

    To help you understand the global warming-driven side of the coming "Great Global Collapse," which will lead to mass human extinction, review the following runaway global heating illustration starting from the bottom up! 

    Starting from the bottom, this illustration reflects the unfolding natural progression of ever-worsening and interacting consequences with climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions included in the projections.

    The top of the illustration shows you the later phases of the Climageddon Feedback Loop extinction model processes and consequences. The bottom of the illustration shows you the earlier consequences.

    For now, get a general idea of all the runaway global heating consequences, tipping points, feedback loops, and potential non-linear reactions that will be interacting and colliding as well as amplifying and multiplying each other as the Climageddon Feedback Loop extinction scenario unfolds over time in phases and waves. 

    Please remember to review the following illustration from the bottom up, beginning with the heating effect of escalating global warming!

     

     

    (Full explanations for 11 major climate tipping points, feedback loops, potential nonlinear reactions, and consequences are here and in the following link for the 20 worst global warming consequences.)

     

    Points of no return 

    Tipping points also have a point of no return that, when crossed, will always lead to the particular tipping point being crossed and a system crash. Today, you hear very little about the points of no return in some climate change system tipping point. This is another area of high risk and deep concern for humanity's climate future. Unless we also understand these points of no return for any particular climate change tipping point, we will keep crossing more and more dangerous climate change tipping points.

     

    Chapter_4_Tipping_Points_Have_No_Return.png

     

    Understanding the difference between linear and exponential increases in climate change consequences is crucial. It provides a complete perspective on the severity of the situation and the urgent need for action.

    The following illustration helps you understand this life-and-death, mass human extinction versus survival factor.

    We have provided the following graph to help illustrate how dangerous an exponential increase in climate change consequences is. The red line in the graph below exemplifies a gradual, linear, steady, and mostly predictable climate change consequence growth trajectory. (Linear progression equals 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, etc.) The green line below exemplifies a sudden, exponential, and highly unpredictable climate change consequence growth trajectory. (Exponential progression equals 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 264, etc.)

     

     

     

    An exponential climate change consequence increase corresponds precisely to when we cross the critical atmospheric carbon 425-450 ppm threshold and climate change tipping point. Never forget thatat best, we have only until about 2025 and maybe up to 2031 to reduce global fossil fuel use to the survival-critical 2025 target levels, or we will not just lose half of humanity by about mid-century; we will proceed toward near-total extinction after mid-century. (We are currently at about carbon 425 ppm, as shown in the blue CO2 graph further above.)

    We also strongly recommend reading this page because it will help you understand how we have crossed into irreversible, runaway global heating. Irreversible runaway global heating is where the average global temperature keeps rising from 2°C to 3°C to 4°C and eventually far beyond any level much of humanity could survive.

     

    A

    Painful Summary

    You probably have heard different governments and environmental groups saying that at 2100°, they still expect the global temperature to be 2°C warmer than preindustrial levels.
    As the above article shows, this is utter, complete, and total hogwash!
    Those convenient and deceptive projections do not adequately allow for and account for amplifying tipping points, climate feedbacks, and nonlinear reactions in their climate calculations and forecasts. (Current climate science innocuously mislabels these three major climate danger factors as "uncertainties."). When you account for amplifying feedbacks, tipping points, and other expected nonlinear reactions in complex adaptive systems like the climate, the earth's temperature will probably be about 7.8°C warmer in 2100.
    Without additional efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions far beyond those currently in place, emissions growth is expected to persist, driven by the growth in global population and economic activities. Baseline scenarios without additional mitigation result in global mean surface temperature increases in 2100 from 3.7°C to 4.8°C compared to pre-industrial levels. However, these "Perfect Day" numbers still do not include allowances or calculations for climate tipping points, climate feedback loops, and nonlinear reactions inherent within the climate system.
    The painful facts
    To put these above projections and temperatures in a time perspective, we will probably cross the 2°C increase mark by around 2031 at the carbon 450 ppm level. (James Hansen, a world-leading climate researcher, estimates that when we hit carbon 450 ppm, the eventual actual temperature will reach 2.8°C. 
    At 3 and 4°C increases, humanity will experience mass extinction and massive worldwide crop failures. At 4°C increases, humanity will experience hell on earth.
    Near-total human extinction will occur between 5 and 6 °C, and it will not happen in 2100 but far sooner, sometime between 2050 and 2070.
    Unfortunately, intense human suffering begins to grow exponentially around 2031, when we cross the carbon 450 level and trigger a cascade of new climate tipping points, feedbacks, and nonlinear reactions. From 2031 to 2050, life for most of humanity will become an ever-increasing nightmare of one devastating and record-breaking new climate catastrophe after another.
    That is our real climate future. As long as governments and environmental and climate education organizations hide the truth from the Earth's population, it will take even longer to stop the toxic pollution of the atmosphere with greenhouse gases that cause the climate change catastrophes and global heating described above.
    What this means
    Intelligent individuals will begin adapting right away. Our climate change adaptation web pages and our sister organization, Climatesafevillages.org, provide extensive information on adapting to what is coming.

    What to do:

    Click here to review the most critical climate change information and learn how to protect yourself and your family from rapidly accelerating climate change consequences.

    More Supportive Information

    1. The Climageddon Feedback Loop process also invisibly accelerates and significantly distorts the committed and "baked-in" future temperature warming calculations the public is being given. To see far more accurate calculations for future committed global warming temperatures and timeframes that include values for the many forces of the Climageddon Feedback Loop, click here.)

    2. Please click here for a full explanation of the obscene "Perfect Day" climate change calculations distortion that has plagued the climate information being given to the public about their climate change futures. Then please click here for even more on how the public has been denied the necessary truth about our horrible current climate situation.

    3. There are at least 11 major climate change tipping points. There are also many factors about tipping points that most people do not understand. To learn more about these two critical issues, click here.

    4. Job One for Humanity does include many calculations, algorithmic values, or appropriate allowances for probable, likely, and possible crossed climate change tipping points, feedback loops, and non-linear reactions from the dozen major climate systems and subsystems in their final climate change calculations, consequence timeframes forecasts, and recommended solutions as seen in the ten facts and links found on this page. (Our research and analysis methodology can be found on this page.)

    5. In addition to the above problem of failure to compensate in forecasts and predictions regarding climate change and the Climageddon Feedback Loop, another collection of climate change researcher errors, omissions, and silences has to be brought to light and remedied if we are ever going to solve this escalating extinction-level crisis. Click here to be taken to this page, which covers most of these additional serious problems causing 60+ years of our failure to manage accelerating climate change effectively.

    6. To learn more about why the Job One for Humanity think tank's climate change forecasts are considerably more accurate than those of other think tanks, please click here.

    7. The following is already happening. The arrows in the illustration below indicate how climate change tipping points and feedback loops interact and feed into each other. As more tipping points are crossed and feedback loops interact, they multiply and amplify each other's effects. This will cause climate change consequences to worsen exponentially and far beyond, worse and sooner than people expect or prepare for.

     

     

     

     


  • From Ground to Air: US Energy Flow. A Climate Change Shocker

    You will be shocked by how energy in the US is produced, consumed, and flows through the US economy. This information has jaw-dropping implications for rapidly worsening the climate change emergency and the future of humanity.

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  • published Grapes tell the story of climate change in Blog 2024-12-12 16:44:06 -0800

    Grapes are telling the story of climate change

    Although this is a story about the wine industry in Canada, it applies to many, if not most, worldwide wine-makers. Many global wine-makers are changing locations now or considering it because of current and future climate change consequences and uncertainties. 

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  • Why humanity is failing to manage the accelerating climate change emergency?

    There are many reasons for humanity's 60+ year total failure to stop accelerating climate change and global warming and for its relentless march toward climate change-driven mass extinction. Here are the big ones.

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  • Why Job One For Humanity's Climate Change Consequences Forecasts Are More Accurate Than Other Similar Organizations

    There are five simple but still shocking reasons why Job One for Humanity's climate change think tank forecasts are so accurate.

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  • published Human SuperIntelligence in US 2024-11-29 11:58:18 -0800

    How you can develop Human SuperIntelligence

    Introduction

    We have included John Stewart's new book review of Human Superintelligence because it describes how to develop the critical Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking skill set. This new thinking and analysis process is also crucial to our climate change analysis work at Job One, and we want as many other people to learn it as soon as possible.

    If our leaders and politicians learned it, they would be far better able to make wiser decisions about the climate change emergency and the many other world problems involving complex adaptive systems.

    The Human Superintelligence book review

    I just finished reading a new book by John Stewart called Human Superintelligence: How you can develop it using recursive self-improvement.

    The subtitle definitely does not do this book’s comprehensiveness justice.

     

    Human Superintelligence is a bold throw down and challenge to every Mensa member, polymath, valedictorian, salutatorian, or autodidact worldwide looking for their next big intellectual challenge. But, before I share my experience of this book and its techniques, a few words should be said about the author. 

    John Stewart is a well-published evolutionary theorist. His work on the principles of progressive evolution has significantly advanced original thinking about the most profound principles of evolution. His publications on Progressive Evolution are earning him the underground nickname of “the new Darwin of the 21st Century.”

    At this point, you may wonder what would cause or even qualify an evolutionary theorist to write a book on human superintelligence. The answer comes from the discovery that to understand and model the multiple, overlaying complex adaptive systems that create evolution and reveal the deeper framework principles of Progressive Evolution, one first has to be able to model and analyze complex adaptive processes at what could only be called a new level of human superintelligence.

    In other words, John Stewart had to first develop human superintelligence within himself to model and discover the most profound principles of Progressive Evolution. Additionally, after years of trying to teach progressive evolution principles to others and failing consistently, it became clear to Stewart that his students also had to develop superintelligence before they could effectively understand Progressive Evolution and, more importantly, the many complex adaptive systems currently determining the fate of human civilization (climate change, politics, economics, ecology, etc.).

    Stewart’s new book Human SuperIntelligence begins with a beautiful and vulnerable narrative of how he developed superintelligence over his lifetime and understood how to develop human superintelligence in others. In the book's later sections, Stewart shares the many techniques one must diligently practice to develop superintelligence within oneself. 

    Stewart admits he is autistic, and his writing style can occasionally be repetitive and nonlinear. But most often, he brilliantly and convincingly argues that the processes of developing superintelligence only partially surrender to traditional linear thinking and transcend being understood using only the past's rational, analytical thinking methodologies.

    This book is designed for the highly motivated who want to reach their fullest intellectual potential. It is also far from a light read. To achieve something that only a few other people have gained during their lifetimes, the reader must put in consistent effort and learn a breakthrough new thinking methodology that far transcends the rational, analytical thinking for the First Enlightenment and the birth of science. 

    This new methodology is called Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking. It is derived from the work of a former Harvard professor, Otto Laske. Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking is very complex.  It is so complex that one must be at least 27 years old to do it effectively. (Under 27, one does not have enough synaptic brain connections to do this kind of high-level modeling and processing.)

    For the first time, Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking allows humanity to model complex adaptive systems at a level that far exceeds the capabilities and capacities of rational, analytical thinking. Using the new Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking, you can “see” a single, continually transforming, and evolving moment (or series of moments) from 28 unique and powerful perspectives. The difference between the old rational, analytical thinking versus the new Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking can be described as being able to see the details and nuances of the relationships, processes, contexts, and transformations of the world at a 4,200 computer screen dpi resolution when previously you could only see the world at a computer 420 dpi screen resolution.

    Unfortunately, Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking is not the only new skill you must learn to develop human superintelligence. You will also need to become skillful in turning your internal subjective thoughts, emotions, attitudes, and ideas into external objects you can view dispassionately and objectively. Stewart says this objectification of internalized thoughts and feelings ability is one of the most challenging skills you must acquire to develop human superintelligence. 

    Making your subjective internal thoughts become like exterior objects that can be quickly reviewed and manipulated is not an entirely new skill. Meditators who have practiced for years can sometimes do this with their thoughts and emotions. Additionally, some lucky individuals who have reached Harvard professor Robert Keegan's fourth or fifth highest stages of social-emotional development have developed the skill naturally.

    In summary

    To develop your superintelligence, one will have to:

      1. Diligently study the heavy lift of the 28 dialectical perspectives described in intricate and nuanced detail by Otto Laske in his new three-book series, Advanced Systems Level Problem-solving. Approaching real-world complexity with dialectical thinking. Once you have mastered that, you have at least the foundation of Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking.
      2. Be able to treat your thoughts and emotions objectively. And,
      3. Listen to Stewart's many tips in his life story and detailed descriptions of what one must go through and do to succeed.

    There are also a few foundational skills that can be very helpful once one has developed superintelligence and is proficient in the new Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking. The paradox around these skills is that if you have them now, you will have to suspend these analysis approaches, at least temporarily, to master Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking. This is because dialectical meta-systemic thinking is so different and far transcends them when it comes to the modeling and analysis of complex adaptive systems. 

    Don't worry if you don't have all the foundational skills now. These skills should be easier to develop after you have achieved superintelligence.

    Those foundational skills are:

      1. Classic logic.
      2. Rational, analytical thinking,
      3. System thinking, and 
      4. Statical analysis.

    I can attest that this book will deliver on its big promises, but only if you put in the intense intellectual effort, practice wisely, and persist despite slowly increasing success for most people. You will develop superintelligence if you do what he recommends and bring a significant level of your intellectual bandwidth to the challenge.

    For those who succeed, the rewards are super-abundant wherever understanding and solving problems that involve the world’s many complex adaptive systems is required. Superintelligence is particularly useful in the humanities, where its Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking skills will produce abundant beneficial new research results.

    By mastering the superintelligence skill subset of Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking, you can write your career ticket worldwide. Your peers will wonder how you know what you know and how you solve problems with new solutions that nobody previously had any idea how to find. Using your developed superintelligence, you will begin to stand out to others in the know, like Matt Damon stood out in the movie “Good Will Hunting.”

    Towards the end of Stewart’s empowering book, he describes what else naturally happens to you after you acquire human superintelligence. That description is a beautiful and inspiring invitation to gifted individuals worldwide to experience and help create a superintelligent human future and a rich and beneficial Second Enlightenment era for humanity.

    In conclusion, if you know someone who is gifted (or at least thinks they are), please forward this book review to them. Challenge them to move beyond the First Enlightenment rational, analytical thinking to the new Second Enlightenment Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking, the perfect thinking methodology for managing the complex adaptive systems of today and the rapidly escalating challenges facing humanity’s future.

    Click here for the new Human Superintelligence book on Amazon.

    Click here for more about the author John Stewart and his Progressive Evolution publications.

    Click Here for more information on Dialectical Meta-systemic Thinking.

    Lawrence Wollersheim wrote this book review and uses the principles and tools of Stewart’s Human Super Intelligence daily. He is a lead research analyst at the Universe Institute and the Job One for Humanity think tanks.

     

     

     


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